NASDAQ:CME CME Group Q3 2022 Earnings Report $284.35 +2.36 (+0.84%) As of 05/9/2025 04:00 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast CME Group EPS ResultsActual EPS$1.98Consensus EPS $1.93Beat/MissBeat by +$0.05One Year Ago EPSN/ACME Group Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$1.23 billionExpected Revenue$1.23 billionBeat/MissBeat by +$1.66 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/ACME Group Announcement DetailsQuarterQ3 2022Date10/26/2022TimeN/AConference Call DateWednesday, October 26, 2022Conference Call Time8:30AM ETUpcoming EarningsCME Group's Q2 2025 earnings is scheduled for Wednesday, July 23, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 7:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by CME Group Q3 2022 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrOctober 26, 2022 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 20 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Hello, and welcome to CME Group Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. My name is Sarah, and I will be your coordinator for today's event. Please note this conference is being recorded and for the duration of the call, your lines will be on listen only. However, you will have the opportunity to ask questions. And you will be connected to an operator. Operator00:00:30I will now hand you over to your host, John Pesher, to begin today's conference. Thank you. Speaker 100:00:36Good morning, and I hope you all are doing well today. I'm going to start with the Safe Harbor language, then I'll turn it over to Terry and team for brief remarks, followed by your questions. Other members of our management team will also participate in the Q and A session. Statements made on this call and in the other reference documents On our website that are not historical facts are forward looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance. Speaker 100:01:01They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied in any statement. Detailed information about factors that may affect our performance can be found in the filings with the SEC, which are on our website. Lastly, on the final page of the earnings release, you will see a reconciliation between GAAP and non GAAP measure. On a personal note, today will be my last earnings call as I am retiring after more than 20 years with CME. Speaker 100:01:34My first day on the job was December 24, 2001 with a plan that CME would go public Soon after I joined, CME ultimately went public in December of 2002 and it has been an amazing journey. We have created a lot of value for our investor. I want to thank all of our shareholders and sell side analysts who I have met on this journey And I want to thank all my CME colleagues I have worked with closely with during the last 2 decades, in particular, the CFOs Dave, Jamie and John. Most importantly, Jennifer and George and Susan Jacks with whom I have worked closely with for many years Have been instrumental to our success. Lastly, I'd like to thank Terry for his leadership of this successful journey. Speaker 100:02:24He and I are the only ones left who were on the first CME earnings call in 2003 and it's been a great run. With that, I will turn it over to Terry. Speaker 200:02:33Well, thank you all for joining us this morning. And let me take a quick moment first to thank you, John, on behalf of all of us For an incredible run, more than 2 decades, as you said, with CME and giving service to the organization and its shareholder relations organization. You have been an instrumental force in our Investor Relations and analyst outreach helping us grow from our early days, as you said, as a public company To the leading derivatives marketplace we have become today. As a friend and respected colleague to so many, you've made a significant impact on our business. There is no doubt you'll be missed. Speaker 200:03:07We wish you nothing but the best for you and your family going forward. And again, on behalf of everybody at CME and throughout the investor community, John, we thank you very much for your leadership. Thank you. Thank you. We are leaving the investment community in good hands with remaining members of the Investor Relations team as John referenced, Jennifer George and Susan Jaks, We're over side by side with John through his entire career as well as Adam Minnick, who you'll I'll get to know soon, who recently joined the Investor Relations department coming over from our Strategy department. Speaker 200:03:39So we look forward to all of you meeting up with Adam. We released our executive commentary earlier today, which provided extensive details on the Q3 of 2022. I have John Lynn, Sean Derek, Sunil and Julie Winkler on the call this morning as well as Tim McCourt, our Global Head of Equity and FX Products. I felt it was important to take some time to not only run through a snapshot of our current business and financial results, but more importantly To expand on why we feel our business is in such a strong position to finish out the year and head into 2023 on a high note. I will start and then Sean, Tim and Dirk will provide some thoughts before John finishes up our commentary with details related to our financial results and our JV. Speaker 200:04:26Then he will then open the we will open the call for your questions. Let me start by talking about the tremendous amount of uncertainty in the markets Whether that be uncertainty around the U. S. Federal Reserve policy, varying views about the recession risk With inflation at levels not seen since the 1980s or uncertainty around the size and speed Of the unwind of the Fed's balance sheet. When there is uncertainty driving activity in our interest rate business, The impacts cascade to other asset classes, most prominently in equities as rate changes impact corporate valuation And in foreign exchange with varied policies and approaches from central banks around the world. Speaker 200:05:13We are also seeing high level of volatility In the commodities markets, which appear likely to persist given the impact of the Russian invasion in Ukraine and the resulting disruption Affecting both agriculture and energy markets in the region and around the world. Risk management is our business And we have been and always will be committed to helping our customers manage uncertainty. We do this across our unique breadth of asset classes And our broad range of deeply liquid, globally relevant products. With that being said, let me transition into our Q3 performance. Our performance for Q3 year to date in 2022 highlights the effectiveness of our risk management solution. Speaker 200:06:01Our volume is up 23% year to date versus the same period last year and up 19% from the same period in 2019 Prior to the pandemic, the highest average daily volume quarter in CME's group's history was Q1 of 2020, 1, risk management was critical at the onset of the pandemic. The 1st three quarters of this year have been the 2nd, 3rd and 4th highest ADV quarters in our history. So far in 2022, our interest rates, equities and FX products have At peak levels of large open interest holders, with our interest rate products at an all time high again, Just last week suggesting that this represents a risk on environment. Additionally, Q3 represented our 5th Sequential quarter of double digit year over year growth in total ADV. With the pandemic becoming part of our lives, global economics And market participants are left to manage not only uncertain market risk, but also potential new risk associated with the pandemic. Speaker 200:07:10We're pleased the NEX integration is complete and market participants are able to access cash treasuries And cash foreign exchange through one platform, complementing our existing futures on treasuries and on foreign exchange. The breadth of the assets we've built over time, combined with the work we are currently doing in partnership with Google to transform markets Will provide us further opportunity to continue our industry leading innovation going forward. And we are 100% focused on growing in the short term, by also positioning the business for long term sustained growth. I'll now turn it over to Sean and then Tim and Dirk to dig into more detail around these themes. Speaker 300:07:57Thanks, Terry. With the return of interest rate volatility and Central Bank activity, We've seen strong year over year growth in our fixed income businesses. Interest Rate Futures and Options ADV were up 28% in Q3, And we've now delivered 6 consecutive double digit year over year ADV growth quarters for the asset class. The tailwinds Terry described should continue moving through 2023. Every FOMC meeting is in play, and with high and uncertain inflation, Every jobs report and every consumer price index reading is important. Speaker 300:08:29You could see this very clearly with the 34,000,000 contracts trading On a single day, on October 13, following the latest CPI release, and the uncertainty here Could remain for years as inflation ratings for rent and shelter tend to lag the real economy by up to 18 months. These factors have led to significant trading volumes in our short term interest rate complex, with volumes up 45% through the 1st three quarters. During this time, we have progressed the eurodollar to SOFR migration with SOFR Futures and Options, Both now trading more contracts per day than their eurodollar counterparts, reaching a record 5,900,000 SOFR contracts traded on October 13. Lastly, our ARC endorsed term SOFR benchmark Has already been licensed to over 1700 firms in 83 different countries And has been referenced in over $2,800,000,000,000 of loans and OTC derivatives. On the long end of Curve, we saw double digit ADV growth in both Q2 and Q3 in Treasury Futures and Treasury Options Have had particular strength with 21% growth in Q3. Speaker 300:09:45The tailwinds from Fed balance sheet reduction And inflation are becoming larger and have the potential to be long lasting due to the huge increase in government debt. And as Terry mentioned, uncertainty in monetary policy then drives uncertainty in other asset classes. Speaker 200:10:05I'll turn Speaker 300:10:05it over to Tim to speak to this very point. Speaker 400:10:08Thanks, Sean, and it's a pleasure to be on the call today. Allow me to start with the strength of our Equity Index business Where our deep and liquid markets offer access to the most important global benchmark indices on one platform around the clock. This strong foundation positioned us well in 2022 as interest rate expectations have led to equity valuation adjustments And increased need for risk management. The 1st three quarters of this year were the 1st, 2nd and 3rd highest ADV quarters on record respectively For overall equity index ADV as well as equity index options ADV, year to date through Q3, Total ADV has increased 44% and options ADV has increased 74% compared with the same timeframe of last year. It is important to note that our growth is driven not only by volatility, but also by product innovation. Speaker 400:11:021 of our most Successful innovations was the launch of our Micro E Mini products in 2019. We view the Micros as a useful tool to continue to attract new international and U. S.-based Customers given the smaller contract size and the lower upfront financial commitment. Due to the premium price point on a risk equivalent basis, The 3,200,000 micro equity contracts that trade per day add their revenue equivalent of approximately 1,000,000 e mini contracts Despite being onetenth the notional size. We've also introduced a suite of products that bring traditional OTC functionality to CME, Such as basis traded index close, adjusted interest rate total return futures, sector futures, dividend futures, equity option blocks And most recently, Derived Block Functionality. Speaker 400:11:50These OTC alternative products meet customers' need under the uncleared margin rules, While benefiting from the capital efficiency afforded by our equities franchise, these premium products command fees of 3 to 4 times that of standard equity rates And added approximately 160,000 contracts per day in the Q3. Now I will turn to FX, Which has certainly come alive following an extended period of historic low volatility with the Q3 FX ADV up 41% year over year. Similar to equities, we have introduced innovations in our FX business during the low volatility period and we are now harvesting those investments. We've changed minimum price increments, built out emerging market currencies, introduced OTC alternatives like FX Link, Added EBS Cash Markets and created tools and analytics that show the efficiencies of trading FX at CME. These innovations position us well to Continue to benefit from the volatility in the currency markets as the disparate interest rate approaches of the global central banks continue to flow through to the foreign exchange market. Speaker 400:12:56Derek will now address the trends in our commodities, options and international businesses. Speaker 500:13:01Thanks, Tim. While our Energy business, which has been impacted Temporary market dislocations was the only asset cost that was down in Q3. We like our long term structural positives for our U. S. Energy benchmarks including WTI Crude Oil, Refined Products and Henry Hub Natural Gas. Speaker 500:13:17The U. S. Is producing nearly 12,000,000 barrels of oil a day and exporting record levels of crude and refined products. The U. S. Speaker 500:13:24Is the marginal supplier of crude oil to Europe and Asia, which positions WTI and our refined product benchmarks well for the long term beyond the current supply and Price dislocations. Similarly, the U. S. Is the world's largest producer and exporter of natural gas boosted by increasing liquefied natural gas exports priced off Henry Hub Futures Markets. Additional LNG facilities are coming online in the U. Speaker 500:13:47S. In the medium term, which further bolsters Henry Hub as the benchmark for the global natural gas market for decades to come. As the market transitions through the short term disruptions caused by the war in Ukraine, We believe that we have the strongest portfolio of risk management tools in the global energy and environmental products markets, which positions us well to grow this asset class over the long term. In agricultural products, CME's markets serve as the benchmarks for global price discovery in grains, oilseeds, livestock, dairy and lumber. We saw increased customer activity in the 3rd quarter with average daily volume of 1,200,000 contracts, up 6% year over year with particular strength in options. Speaker 500:14:27Buy side and bank customers are our strongest performing client segments this year and our strongest global growth is coming from Latin America. Turning to metals. 3rd quarter average daily volume increased 4% to 498,000 contracts led by 20% growth in September. Citi Group's aluminum futures continue to see strong adoption by both commercial and financial market participants. Given the customer growth we are seeing, The adoption of Comex aluminum by top metals broker, Marex and the success we've had in getting our reference prices to be included In physical procurement contracts from commercial customers, we feel that we are at an inflection point for growth in this important market. Speaker 500:15:06Turning to options, we continue to see options ADV and Open Interest outpacing futures. Terry spoke earlier about the high levels of uncertainty in the world today And options are a powerful tool for helping our global customers to manage risk in that environment and can be a more cost effective means for getting exposure Since only the option premium is included. With year to date options ADV up 27% to 4,100,000 contracts a day, we are on track to To pass our record year from 2019 of 4,000,000 contracts. Finally, our international business continues to generate record volumes. In the Q3, we delivered 6,100,000 ADV, up 21% versus last year. Speaker 500:15:45Based on our strong year to date results, we're on track to deliver another record year With our non U. S. ADV through September of 6,500,000 contracts compared to our record 5,500,000 ADV from last year. With that, I'll turn it over to John. Speaker 600:16:00Thanks, Derek. CME's revenue for the Q3 was approximately $1,230,000,000 driven by a 26.1% growth in trading activity. This was up 10.6% compared to the Q3 of last year and up nearly 15% When adjusting for the impacts of the formation of Ostra, our post trade joint venture with S&P Global that we formed in September of last year. This is our 4th consecutive quarter when making that adjustment of double digit revenue growth demonstrating the importance of our markets in these uncertain times. Market Data revenue was again a record during the quarter, up 6% compared to a year ago to $154,000,000 reflecting the strong need for the information our markets produce. Speaker 600:16:45Expenses continue to be very carefully managed and on an adjusted basis were $441,000,000 for the quarter And $359,000,000 excluding license fees, our efforts towards moving to the cloud progressed as expected We are nearing the completion of the initial foundational work necessary to migrate our applications. Year to date, we spent approximately $21,000,000 in incremental cash cost towards that effort And expect to end the year at approximately $30,000,000 and within our 1st year guidance for that project. On a year to date adjusted basis, Excluding our Google spend, license fees and the impacts of the formation of Ostra, our revenues were up 13% and our expenses were only up 3%. We continue to manage our capital expenditures effectively and with an eye towards our move to the cloud. As a result, we are lowering our CapEx guidance to $100,000,000 For the quarter, our capital expenditures were approximately $20,000,000 Our joint ventures and investments continue to produce meaningful results for CME Group. Speaker 600:17:44Year to date on an adjusted basis, These investments have contributed $272,500,000 or close to 10% of our pre tax income this year. In addition to the earnings they contribute, their strategic importance continues to play out. The Ostr joint venture is capturing synergies Through the combination of our post trade businesses with that of S and P Global. This creates the leader in the space and has the scope and scale for long term growth. Our S and P Dow Jones Indices joint venture has delivered 14% average annual earnings growth since the 1st full year of inception in 2013. Speaker 600:18:20Strategically, the exclusive rights to the indices that we have secured through our ownership of the joint venture underpins over 20% The overall futures contracts traded at CME Group and creates significant capital efficiencies across our equity complex making us the global destination For Equity Futures. We also benefit from the trading of products licensed by the joint venture to other exchanges and from the continued move from active to passive investing. These joint ventures and other investments that we've made continue to position CME well strategically and financially. For the quarter, CME had an adjusted effective tax rate of 23.4%, which resulted in an adjusted net income of $719,000,000 Up 25% from the Q3 last year and an adjusted EPS attributable to common shareholders of 1.98 C and P paid out $2,300,000,000 of dividends so far this year and cash at the end of the quarter was approximately $2,200,000,000 In summary, our global benchmarks, data, innovation, investments and strong focus on execution Continue to address the needs of our clients and deliver results for our shareholders. Please refer to the last page of our executive commentary for additional financial highlights and details. Speaker 600:19:37We'd like to now open up the call for your questions. Based on the number of analysts covering us, please limit yourself to one question and then feel free to jump back into the queue. Thank you. Operator00:20:09The first question comes from the line of Rich Repetto from Piper Sandler. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:20:16Yes. Good morning, Terry. Good morning, John. And I guess the first thing is for John Pesher. He's been a very thoughtful and unwaveringly committed and loyal employee and has been a pleasure to work with For however many years, he's done a great job training Jennifer and Susan. Speaker 700:20:36We're excited to work With the team going forward as well. So congrats, John. Speaker 100:20:43Thanks, Rich. Speaker 700:20:45Terry, I guess my one question would be, the media reported, I think within the last month or so, That you applied for an FCM license or tried to obtain an FCM license through the CFTC. I was just trying to understand what was the purpose of the rationale behind doing that? Thank you. Speaker 200:21:08Thanks, Rich. Appreciate it. First, it was at the NFA we filed the application and then it will eventually go to the CFTC to support Cadence perspective. But I think what's important is I never define how we would ever use an FCM. And I think there's been a tremendous amount of speculation about how CME would or would not use an FCM. Speaker 200:21:32I also I think it's important to note that I don't know and I don't know anybody that does know what an FCM is going to look like 3, 5, 10, 15 years From now on, I just don't know what that's going to look like. Is it going to look the same as it does today or will it look completely different? I don't know. I don't think it's in anyone's best interest to wait to find out. I think you should be going along with that process to see. Speaker 200:21:55But I want to make sure something's very clear. My commitment, our commitment at CME to our FCM community, as I've said, is unwavering. And we are going to continue to work to make them better, Our existing FCMs and our future FCMs, how we can partner with them and make them better. So I think that's really important. And also I know there's been speculation about CME Is looking to get their own FCM because of retail products. Speaker 200:22:23Let me be very clear about this. Our existing FCM base and our future FCM base, wherever that may or may not be, has plenty of wherewithal to address the retail market For CME Group. So that is not, not the purpose of doing an FCM. So I think it's really important that we just Clarify a few of these things. But again, my position is and the company's position is we want to work with our existing FCMs, we will continue to do so. Speaker 200:22:50That is the model that we enjoy, but we're also not of the mind that we don't think things could potentially change down the road and we will be prepared. So when I say that, Our cost associated with this FCM so far is about 0. So we have not put any money into this. We just filed an application. But we will be watching this space very, very carefully. Speaker 200:23:10And again, we will not ever put CME in a position where it's coming from behind. We will always be leading going forward. So Hopefully, I answered the questions and more, but I really want to make it clear there has been no defined FCM that CME has applied for that is competing with the existing FCM model today. I know all the pitfalls that people have talked about with the DSRA status and things of that nature. Those things can all be worked around if in fact they need to be worked around, but that's not the purpose of our application. Speaker 700:23:41Got it. Super helpful, Terry, I'll get back in the queue. Thank you. Thanks, Fred. Operator00:23:47The next question comes from the line of Dan Fannon from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:23:53Thanks. Good morning and congrats, John Fisher, on your retirement. My question is for the other John, just on expenses. Just obviously the guidance implies a pretty material step up into the Q4. So could you talk about what that in terms of where what you're spending on and how that ramps. Speaker 800:24:12And then I know it's early, but just thinking about 2023 and Kind of the roll forward of the Google spend and other investment priorities, can you talk about how to think about a growth And expenses versus what you guys have done historically? Speaker 600:24:29Yes. Thanks, Dan. Thanks for the question. Pardon me. Yes. Speaker 600:24:33The Q4 of this year Q4 of all years, generally speaking, and the Q4 of this year It's traditionally the heaviest quarter in terms of expenses and we expected that to occur this year. There are a number of planned customer events And marketing spend in the Q4 and we expect increased in person sales activity reflecting the improved business environment. So If you look at last year and adjust for Ostra, you saw about a 10% increase in expenses from Q3 3 to Q4. This year it's a little bit heavier between Q3 and Q4. This would imply about a 15% increase. Speaker 300:25:13And if Speaker 600:25:13you look at the expense spend between Q3 and Q4 last year, we did not have This environment that we see this year. So we are expecting definitely more increased in person sales activity, marketing spend and travel. So that accounts for some of the increase that we're seeing this year. The remainder so when you take a look at sorry, when you take a look at Q3 to Q4, we expect approximately 70% of the increase to be in the marketing travel and in person events. The remainder of the sequential increase would be related to salary and wages reflecting variable compensation related to Our company's performance and staffing of key roles and customer facing resources. Speaker 600:26:01So last year, again, the variable compensation Higher this year than last year and also the number of employees are higher this year than last year. We're expecting to hire more going into the Q4. We also expect to see increased professional services as we are investing in growth projects. So that kind of accounts for Q4 growth compared to Q3 and a bit of about the difference between last year and this year. You are right as we are early in the process Of looking at our budget for next year, and as you know and as the entire team knows, the entire Our group here at CME has done a very effective job over the years of managing our costs, and we tend to do the same And towards this incoming year, it's a bit too early to give guidance. Speaker 600:26:56And as I said, we are still in the budget building process and that has be approved by the Board. So we are definitely keeping our eyes on inflationary impacts, and we're looking to mitigate those impacts through process efficiencies, Leveraging lower cost locations, partnering with vendors and being judicious in hiring. So, I think the way to think about 2020 3 is to think about how we've been managing costs over the last several years. We've done a very effective job ensuring that we're Spending very efficiently, and we'll continue to leverage that approach going into next year. So that's some of the kind of the core business. Speaker 600:27:40In terms of the Google spend, in terms of our migration, We're working through the plan for next year now. We are, as I mentioned the last, I guess, couple of earnings calls ago, We're expecting on average to be approximately $30,000,000 in incremental spend over the next 4 years as we approach At the point where costs will be lower assuming similar volume levels and I think we're planning on kind of a similar type spend as this year, but that will be a function of how fast we're going to be migrating the applications onto The Google platform. So, we're pretty we're pleased with where we're at in terms of Our Google progress, it's about where we expected it would be. And as I said in my prepared remarks, The initial foundation that we needed to create in order to start rolling those apps is nearing completion. We'll be looking to see the apps migrate at a quicker rate going in 2023. Speaker 600:28:52So That's the kind of the expense view this so far this year. Speaker 700:29:00Great. Thank you. Speaker 600:29:01Yes. Thanks, Dan. Operator00:29:04The next question comes from the line of Alex Kramm from UBS. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:29:10Yes. Hey, good morning, everyone. I want to talk about the LIBOR sulfur or Eurodollar sulfur transition now that you have, I guess a date next April to basically shut down your dollar if I understand this correctly. I want to really understand what that means Both from a potential volume and also revenue impact. So can you remind us what you're charging for when it comes So, sulfur and euro dollar today independently where there's still certain discounts or non charging. Speaker 900:29:40And then more importantly, as one contract goes away, I assume today there's a lot of, I guess, trading or arbing between those two products happening. So just wondering if you have an estimate how much that could be Today and how much of that could potentially go away? So, we are clear about again like a revenue or volume impact come April next year. Thanks. Speaker 300:30:03Don? Thanks, Terry and thanks Alex for the question. We are very pleased with the progress we have made in the So for futures traded 2,600,000 contracts a day in September, while SOFR options traded more than 850,000 contracts Per day. So for futures are now trading more than double the volumes of YourDollar Futures and So for Options are now trading 130% of what YourDollar options trade every day. So for futures now have more than 8,000,000 contracts in open interest We're 98.5 percent of Eurodollar futures and SOFR options have reached 15,000,000 contracts open interest For 70% of your dollar options. Speaker 300:30:49In terms of RPC, as you know, in June, July August, We executed our SOFR1st for options initiative, which had very strong support from U. S. And U. K. Regulators as well as from our customers. Speaker 300:31:01On the back of that, we've achieved the incredibly strong growth that you've seen. That program in terms of SOFR1st for options was completed At the end of August, that program had, 1st of all, fee waivers for all participants for June, July August And secondly, significantly enhanced incentives to create liquidity in order to build the same ecosystem And to have as much liquidity and efficiency in that marketplace as the marketplace has enjoyed in your Dollar Futures and Options. We have now achieved Very much of what we needed to there. And with that, as I said, we did remove those fee waivers at the end of August And we did decrease the overall incentives to market participants. As you know, incentives are important to ensure that we have liquidity for all participants And our YourDollar futures have had incentives historically and continue to have incentives. Speaker 300:32:00So we do expect that the incentives that are required for YourDollar futures and options Will be required in the longer run for sulfur fusion options. We do expect however that we will be able to continue to decrease The incentives, the extra incentives above what we've had for your all our futures and options in the coming months. So we think we're in a very good place. We think we're on a very good path. We are following our plan. Speaker 300:32:27And overall, I think we're in a good place. Speaker 200:32:29Alex, let me just it's Terry Duffy. Let me add to what Sean said, because one of the parts of your question that we didn't answer is on the arb between Euro dollars and so far. You have to remember what Sean said, I said and others did year and a half, 2 years ago and subsequently every quarter going forward Is that we are at an extreme benefit to have both these contracts listed at CME and we did see a lot of trading going back and forth Between the 2, but the objective and the goal was to have that arb end up in the sulfur products knowing full well that the LIBOR was going to be discontinued. So I think when you look at the arb, you will have to look at it in a success rate of arbing from euro dollars into the sulfur, which Sean gave you the statistics, Which are now larger than the euro dollar. So Sean? Speaker 300:33:18Yes. I apologize for not answering that part of the question. Thank you, Terry. So the inter commodity spreads between The two products are running between 250,350,000 contracts today to make it perfectly quantitative. Speaker 200:33:30Yes. So hopefully that gives you a little bit more insight. All along that was our strategy as the incumbent of the euro dollars is to move it into the SOFR and we successfully did that. Speaker 900:33:41Yes. No, that's great numbers there. Thank you. Operator00:33:49For our next question, we have Michael Cyprys from Morgan Stanley on the line. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:33:56Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to ask about customer collateral, just given the movement in interest rates. I was hoping You can update us on your latest expectations around the take rates on cash collateral as well as non cash collateral and how you expect So those take rates and balances to evolve from here, particularly if we get another 75 basis point hike in November and what you expect to see from customers in terms Shifting back and forth between cash and non cash collateral. Thank you. Speaker 200:34:24Thanks, Michael. I'll let John go ahead and answer that and I might jump in as well. Speaker 600:34:28Yes. Thanks, Michael. Yes, let's take a look at our collateral earnings in its totality. So first In the non operating section of our income statement, we've got earnings on cash held by clients at the clearinghouse And that was up $14,000,000 sequentially. Average cash balances were lower by $27,500,000,000 to $117,500,000,000 and that was more than offset by higher returns, which were 29 basis points for the quarter, An increase of 9 basis points. Speaker 600:35:02The last two rate hikes were passed on to our clients, which helped lessen the reduction in those balances. So looking in our other revenue section of our income statement, custody revenue was up $9,000,000 driven primarily by an increase in average non cash collateral balances held by our clients in the clearinghouse and a fee increase on those balances From 5 basis points to 7 basis points, balances eligible to be charged to a fee increased from an average of $81,000,000,000 in Q2 $2,000,000,000 to $95,000,000,000 in Q3. So we had a sequential increase in non cash Collateral earnings of $9,000,000 which is in the revenue line, an increase of $14,000,000 sequentially on cash And that's in the non operating section of our income statement for a total of a $23,000,000 sequential increase in earnings on collateral. So let's take a look at what is going on in the Q4 so far. So average cash balances Through October 24, we're $117,800,000,000 so roughly flat With the average for Q3 and we had an ending balance of cash of $110,000,000,000 on October 24. Speaker 600:36:28Non cash collateral, which is subject to fees, again, there's an other non cash collateral, which we don't earn fees on. But the non cash collateral subject to fees average for October so far through 24th Was $90,300,000,000 with an ending balance of $95,600,000,000 So that gives you an idea of what happened For the quarter and how those balances are trending for the Q4 so far. So in terms of what happens going forward, There's a number of factors that play into that. First is the total amount of collateral that needs to be put up at the clearinghouse, which is subject to The types of trading and the risk management required for that trading, so that determines the total size of The amount of collateral that's put up and then clients will have a certain amount of cash and non cash collateral that they need just to run their business. They'll put that up depending on what they have on hand. Speaker 600:37:32And to the extent they can optimize their portfolio, They will put up that instrument that yields the highest return. So look at Cash that they the amount of return they can get on cash they put up at the clearinghouse versus other instruments that they could put up at the clearinghouse. Now what we've done over the last several rate hikes is that we've maintained the minus 25 basis points spread Versus what the Fed has moved. And I think that's proven to be effective to maintain the balances That we've been able to maintain so far, but it's really going to be a function of what their businesses require And how they optimize their portfolio. Great. Speaker 600:38:24Thank you. Thank you. Thanks for your question, Mike. Operator00:38:28Our next question comes from the line of Brian Bedell from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Speaker 1000:38:34Great. Thanks very much for taking my question. Maybe just one other clarification on the collateral balances. So, were there other drivers in that non operating income line in the investment income and other non operating costs Aside from the collateral balances, just one question. The other question, if I can speak one in, is On the RPC trends coming into the Q4, I guess, First of all, is sort of some of that noise on the RPC on rates from that sulfur LIBOR transition and you expect that to sort Go away in the Q4 over the next coming months. Speaker 1000:39:16And then on it looks like you have pricing power on the micro products as well Across that franchise and maybe just some sort of outlook is how that you think may that may develop coming into 2023? Speaker 200:39:28Okay. Speaker 600:39:30Wow, Brian, there's a lot of questions in there. So Let's start out and take a look at the entire non operating section of our income statement. And I think that will be helpful for that for you to understand what all the moving parts are there. So If you take a look between Q2 and Q3 in the non operating section of our income statement, you see that it's a sequential increase of 13,000,000 I talked a little bit about the earnings on cash held by our clients at the clearinghouse and that was up $14,000,000 We also saw earnings on CME cash And that was up about $8,600,000 So that was an increase in earnings. We did see a slight Increase in interest expense that was up about $500,000 and that was related to a credit that we received last quarter. Speaker 600:40:31And then finally is the earnings in unconsolidated subsidiaries. And I think here, again, I kind of highlighted it in the prepared remarks. We were very pleased with the way our joint ventures and investments have been performing. This quarter, however, we did see some impacts of one time items in the joint venture. So Ostra, Which is our post trade joint venture with S&P Global was down about $3,000,000 and the S and P Dow Jones sequentially was down about $6,000,000 And that's because both in Q2 and in Q3 there were one time adjustments. Speaker 600:41:08If you normalize those out, The earnings on those joint ventures were relatively flat with earnings on the Oster joint venture In the $19,500,000 to $20,000,000 range and then if you look at the S and P Dow Jones joint venture, Its results are roughly in the $61,000,000 to $62,000,000 range. So And another kind of key point to make there is that when you look at the nonoperating when you look at the S and P Dow Jones Joint venture in the equity and unconsolidated subsidiaries line, year to date, the joint venture when you make The adjustments for the one time items is up about 13% year over year and has had a CAGR of 16% Since 2020. So very pleased with how those are performing. So that gives you kind of the breakdown on that Part of your question, you had a question about the RPC, which I think Sean you kind of hit that the last question. Do you want to just kind of reemphasize that? Speaker 300:42:17Yes. In terms of the RPC, as I said, we had market wide fee waivers in June, July August. All of those were removed at the end of August. In addition to that, we had very significant liquidity incentives in June, July August and all of those are gone. We do have some incentives that are greater than the incentives that we've had historically for Your Dollar Futures and Options still in place. Speaker 300:42:43However, we will look to reduce those as we have been. I do expect, right, a significantly higher RPC for software options for obvious In Q4, again, the fee waivers are gone and the additional the significant additional liquidity incentives that we had during June, July August are gone. So those will be positive impacts in Q4. And then there's a question on, Speaker 600:43:08I think Brian you had a question on the pricing power for micros. Speaker 1000:43:12For the macros, yes, they have been increasing across all of the categories. So just wondering if that's sustainable? Speaker 200:43:19Why don't you break down the asset class that you're talking You want to talk to him about the equities? Speaker 1100:43:25Go ahead. Speaker 400:43:26Yes, sure. So this is Tim All right. And thanks, Brian. When we look at the MicroE Mini contract, as I said in my opening remarks, they are a premium price to the older sibling E Mini contract. They're about onetenth the size, but they're depending on the index you're looking at between 1 fourth to 1 third the cost. Speaker 400:43:45So that is something that is of importance. It's been a good driver of growth both in terms of volume and revenue for us. I think one thing that's important to note with Back to the pricing power of MicroE Mini is not commenting on where that might go in the future is that when we look at its relative value to other product choices in the market, Despite being at a premium, it's still growing faster than say the SPY ETF. If you look at the micro S&P E Mini contract growth In 2021, that's up about 57% versus last year. When you look at the SPY ETF, that's up only a little over 30%. Speaker 400:44:18So despite the premium To the e mini contract and the premium to the ETF, it is still a tremendous value to the marketplace as evidenced by the premium price at Command as well as It's sustained growth at CME and versus comparable products. Speaker 600:44:32Yes. And just in terms of pricing in general, As I mentioned from the question that Dan Fannon had, we're going through the budget building process Right now and this is the time that we take a look at our pricing. There's a number of factors that go into the pricing decisions, Including the health of the market, how much other how our clients can get exposure in other markets, Innovation that we've created, the liquidity that we've created, we've done I think a tremendous job of developing a lot of value for our clients. But that is in the process that we normally do every year about this time. We review our incentive plans As Sean has mentioned and we do that regularly. Speaker 600:45:24So we'll reallocate resources in terms of programs To ensure that we're developing the liquidity and creating value for our clients. So that process It is underway now as we develop the plan for 2023. Speaker 1000:45:43Great. Thanks so much. And my congrats to John Peachtree also. Speaker 100:45:47Thank you. Operator00:45:50The next question comes from the line of Kyle Voigt from KBW. Please go ahead. Speaker 1200:45:58Hi, good morning. Maybe a question on the growth in Asia, it was extremely strong in the quarter at 41%. It looks like the growth there has accelerated over the each of the past three quarters. It looks like a lot of that growth is being driven by equity index and FX. Maybe you could just help us drill in a bit further and provide any more color or help us understand which customer segments you think are driving that growth or is it Asset managers, hedge funds, retail or other users. Speaker 1200:46:26And is there a way to help investors kind of frame the ultimate size of that opportunity from Asia and how much more runway To grow at these levels. Speaker 200:46:35Sarah? Speaker 500:46:36Yes. I appreciate the question, Kyle. Yes, international continues to go from strength to strength. As I mentioned at the top of the call, we're on track For a pretty significant beat on last year's total non U. S. Speaker 500:46:46Volume record, which was $5,500,000 last year, we're averaging $6,500,000 a year this year. And as you rightly point out, our growth in Asia continues to go from strength to strength. In the Q3 of this year, we put our 6th consecutive quarter up 5th said 14th consecutive quarter of growth. On the APAC business, we're up 41% this year, our fastest growing part of our business. EMEA grew 14% and LatAm grew about 30% 31%. Speaker 500:47:12When you dig into the region as you rightly point out, we've seen particular strength And growth with our financial products, equities and fixed income, actually Asia interestingly is the strongest area of growth for our energy business. Our Asian Energy business is up 30% year to date this year as well. So it's broad growth. Equities is a strong driver for us. When you look at the individual countries, It is spread stronger across multiple countries. Speaker 500:47:39It's no one particular country that's delivering strongest growth. Where we've seen Particular bright spot is in Korea. Our Korean business this year is up 45%. That has now stepped into our 2nd Largest revenue generator for us across all of our non U. S. Speaker 500:47:56Jurisdictions that have been a pretty significant climb over the last couple of years. Other significant growth drivers coming out of Asia is Taiwan is up 53% volumes this year, India up 65% and the Middle East primarily United Arab Emirates and Dubai specifically is showing volume growth of almost 70% growth. So Asia continues to be a strong support area for us. Julie Winkler and her global sales team are pursuing the global sales campaigns for our regional products and bringing in new clients working through our channel partners. Retail is a big part of that story and the micro story. Speaker 500:48:29And as I said, that's a strong part of the energy growth there as well. So hopefully that gave you some color on what we're And we think that we're probably early innings of the client penetration in Asia as well going forward. Speaker 200:48:40So Kyle and I know the other analysts know this as well, Derek He's now taking over the international business over the last several months. He has restructured the division, and he has actually been globe trotting around And being a customer facing participant as a managing team member, so I think that's added a lot to the success of the international businesses, Putting a face with the name and the name of the face whatever you like to say, but it's been really important for us to get back out there. We've been stressing this. John reflected some of the cost in our numbers, but we are back in front of clients all over the world and Derek's done a really good job with that and heading up to New International. Okay. Speaker 200:49:16And I think the numbers are reflecting it. So thank you for your question. Speaker 1200:49:19Yes. Thank you. Operator00:49:22Our next question comes from the line of Alex Blostein from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Speaker 1300:49:29Great. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I was hoping we could zone in on sort of what are some of the dynamics in cash fixed income markets. We've seen volumes relatively slow there, especially in line of the volatility we've seen in the marketplace broadly. Speaker 1300:49:44And CME's revenue, I guess, On the kind of former Next business have also been trending a little bit slower. So, any color you could provide in terms of the look through to clients, Who is doing better? Who is doing worse? And what do you think ultimately needs to happen to get this market going a little bit more? Is QT the catalyst or as long as Vale As high as it is, there is just muted activity. Speaker 200:50:08Sean, you want to go ahead and address that? Sure. Speaker 300:50:10Thanks very much for the question, Alex. If you look at our BrokerTec U. S. Treasury volumes, they're up 11% year over year, year to date. That is very similar to our treasury futures complex. Speaker 300:50:20So BrokerTec, U. S. Treasuries and CME's Treasury Futures, the most liquid treasury instrument available on the planet, We're growing at similar level. If you look at the BrokerTec business in a bit more detail, U. S. Speaker 300:50:33Repo is up 21% year over year And European repo is up 17% year over year. So our U. S. Repo business and our European repo business are on track for all time record years. Some of the initiatives that we have been engaged in relative to the post migration of BrokerTec to Globex I've also seen some good success. Speaker 300:50:55Our RV trading order type achieved a new all time record in the Q3 with $2,100,000,000 a day And our cross selling of BrokerTec into our futures clients working with our CD and S team under Julie Winkler, we've added 9 new clients to the BrokerTec Platform that has never traded on it before and they are currently trading $6,100,000,000 a day. If you look at the granular survey, likewise, You can see our results there, but year over year in September, we saw a significant increase in market share relative to the alternative marketplaces. In terms of go forward for the treasury market, as we said in our opening remarks, inflation obviously is at the highest level in 4 years and is very volatile. You've also only just begun to see the Federal Reserve reduce its balance sheet. The Federal Reserve to date has only reduced its balance sheet by about $200,000,000,000 If you look at their expectations for reduction in balance sheet for next year at $95,000,000,000 a month, That would mean more than $1,000,000,000,000 in reduction in that Fed balance sheet next year relative to the $200,000,000,000 that we've seen so far. Speaker 300:52:03So in terms of the BrokerTec business doing well post migration, new initiatives getting good traction. We're also investing in further analytics. We're also investing in direct streaming platform, leveraging the technology that we built for UBS. So reusing that technology a second time for a new business. So overall, I think that The increased deficits of the U. Speaker 300:52:32S. Government, the decreased size of the Fed balance sheet and the high level of inflation should be Operator00:52:48The next question comes from the line of Gautam Sawan from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead. Speaker 1400:52:55Good morning and thank you for taking my question. I just had 2 follow ups here. One was just on the commentary around the interest rates complex. Given the types of trading and risk management strategies you're seeing right now with the rising short term rates, can you speak to the types of trading strategies or Changes in client behavior that could translate into activity migrating from the short end of the curve to maybe the medium and longer term products? Speaker 300:53:24Yes, sure. We've seen far stronger growth in the short end as we mentioned With every single Fed meeting in play, we've also seen very strong growth in our SOFR Futures and Options. At the long end, we have seen double digit growth although at a slower pace. We do expect, as I said already, With the reduction in the size of the Fed balance sheet and the expected $1,000,000,000,000 deficits, as far as the eye can see from the Congressional Budget Office, That long end will have a tailwind for market participants as we move forward. Speaker 1400:54:04Okay. Thank you. And as a follow-up, can you just provide an update on the metal complex? And if there's And increased willingness to participate from maybe some of the international physical warehouse operators? Speaker 600:54:19Derek? Yes. Speaker 500:54:20This is Derek. Good question. We've certainly seen a pretty significant change in what's happening in the industrial metals market post March of this year. We as we've been talking about have been putting significant efforts into Providing a robust alternative market in markets like aluminum, we've established a great deal of success in the copper markets over the last 5 years. We have seen a significant increase in activity in our aluminum business specifically since March. Speaker 500:54:51We see an influx of new client interest and demand from customers looking to take advantage of what they know is how Comex markets operate within CME Group on the precious metal side and on the copper side. As I mentioned at the top of my call, there was an exciting development and announcement yesterday out of London where Merix, which is the largest broker on the LME As announced, they will be providing direct market access into Comex aluminum products and providing market commentary on a daily basis to expand Their customer market reach and access into Comex aluminum markets. We're also seeing more commercial customers Right in Comex references for aluminum for their physical procurement, which when you're moving physical benchmarks, that's a heavy lift. So we're excited to see both on the commercial participants' side as well as on the financial participant side increasing record levels of volume open interest and commercial participation As well as the broker intermediary adoption of Comex based on client demand. So we are here to serve client needs. Speaker 500:55:50We're seeing that and our global efforts to procure access into that market I think has been something we've done a good job over the last Few months were point of inflection in this market, but we like where things are positioned and where we're going from here. Speaker 200:56:04Thanks, Derek. All right, Alex. Thank you for the question. Speaker 1400:56:09Thank you. Operator00:56:11The next question comes from the line of Owen Lau from Oppenheimer. Please go ahead. Speaker 200:56:17Good morning, and thank you for taking my question. First of all, congrats, Sean, for the retirement. So in terms of capital return, given the amount of cash you have on your balance sheet and also the leverage, How do you think about variable dividend this year? Also for valuation, given where your share is trading at compared to historical level, How would you think about share buybacks as well? Thank you. Speaker 200:56:47On our variable, I'm going to let John and Lynn A little bit here, but on our variable, obviously, we meet with our Board and our Finance Committee. We walk through a process and make a determination, and we look at Obviously, certain factors in the market, what we see coming. So we don't we will be getting that information coming out End of the year beginning of next sometime, beginning of next? Speaker 600:57:10Yes, generally early Speaker 200:57:13December. Early December. Okay. So we got a little time on that one yet, so we're not going to commit to where we're at on that yet. We are still finalizing that process. Speaker 1500:57:20Yes. So I guess I would just add that The structure we have has been in place since 2012. We've returned over $18,800,000,000 to shareholders through dividends since that time. We do like the transparency of the approach, and we think it has served us well. But as Terry said, this policy is something we review regularly with our Finance Committee of the Board, Operator00:57:50The next question comes from the line of Chris Allen from Citi. Please go ahead. Speaker 1600:57:56Good morning everyone and congrats Mr. Pesher. I hope you play a lot of golf in the future. Speaker 100:58:02I get to play with you Chris. Thank you. Speaker 1600:58:06Hopefully no caddies lighting any fires this time. Yes, I just wanted to ask about basically getting back to the rates market and revisiting some of the questions already asked. We're seeing consistent headlines on liquidity issues in U. S. Treasuries seem to be exacerbated by high volatility levels. Speaker 1600:58:25And it is a cautious outlook when you talk to players in the treasury complex and also the swaptions markets, for example, Moving forward, so I'm just trying to reconcile that with you're seeing a record large open interest holders in rates right now, Probably seen a very good trajectory in rates. So maybe help us understand like how you're thinking about potential liquidity issues and volatility issues In the cash markets and other OTC markets and how that's impacting you or it's not impacting, particularly the treasury complex on the future side moving forward? Speaker 300:59:02Yes. Thanks for the question, Chris. A really good one. If you look at the 10 year notes, As of a week ago, we had the fastest increase in U. S. Speaker 300:59:1710 year note yields Over the previous 12 weeks since 1987, so the level of volatility and the speed with which rates are trading, We have not seen in more than 35 years. Given that, Whenever you have much greater volatility, it makes sense for market participants to reduce What they are trading right in terms of the size. So in terms of prudent risk management For our customers, there is a tendency to lower the amount of liquidity that they are willing to give at any individual price level. We are seeing through this very high volatility that every price level is typically trading in our markets even when the markets move quickly. So overall, I think the markets are operating very well and something to keep in mind is that as prices move much more quickly, Top of book tends to be much smaller and that is just a natural reaction to how the market works. Speaker 301:00:28And again, I would say it's prudent risk management by our customers. Speaker 201:00:32Yes. I would also say this has had to be the most telecast liquidity potential drop that we've ever seen. When you have the Fed Raising 3 quarters of a percent at a clip and also them talking about bringing down their balance sheet at the exact same time. People expected Liquidity to maybe be a little bit disruptive, but I think they priced to Sean's point price that into their activity. So I think this is different than when we saw In 2018, when they had to step in and to add some liquidity, so I think this has been fairly well telecasted about what's happening with the liquidity situation And participants have priced it in. Speaker 201:01:09So the volatility is going to be there. We know that and we think we benefit from it. Speaker 1701:01:13And do you guys think about this Speaker 1601:01:15as kind of a temporary situation that Speaker 1701:01:16a volatility that you So now it Speaker 1601:01:17would be positive catalyst moving forward? Speaker 201:01:20I won't speak for Sean, but when you referenced some of the numbers that could go out for years to come, you had $31,000,000,000,000 on a debt and rising. You have a whole host of other issues fundamentally associated with not only with the U. S. But globally. I don't think this is a one and done deal. Speaker 201:01:34So this could be around for a while. Speaker 1601:01:37Thanks, Chris. Speaker 201:01:39Thanks, Chris. Operator01:01:43The next Question comes from the line of Ken Worthington from JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Speaker 601:01:48Hi. Thanks for taking my question. If we dig into open interest after jumping in February from about $100,000,000 contracts to $110,000,000 open interest It's been stable at about $50,000,000 of futures OI and about $60,000,000 of options OI. What is the outlook or what is your outlook for open interest over the next 12 months or so? Maybe what asset classes do you think Might see the best percentage growth from current levels. Speaker 601:02:18And is it ultimately lower volatility that drives a better OI outlook from here or might it be something else? Speaker 501:02:28Ken, I Speaker 201:02:28think that's no crystal ball here by anybody in the room to make that Determination of what it could or could not be. It's just like we cannot predict future volumes. We just don't know. There's so many geopolitical factors, Pandemic factors, a whole host of issues that could have a reflection on open interest or not. The trade could go up with open interest going down. Speaker 201:02:50The trade could go down with open interest going up. Who knows what the ultimate is going to look like? We do believe that the open interest It is a function that we keep a very close watch on. Julie and their team Julie Winkler and her team have an internal tool that helps us give guidance to what we think internally The openings is going to look like, but again, it's very, very difficult to make that prediction and especially on the asset classes. When you look at some of the asset classes, I guess, you would think in fundamentally that the ag should be higher and maybe something else should be lower or the energy should be higher and something else And maybe it's the opposite for that particular time. Speaker 201:03:27People do different things at different times, which has a massive reflection on the open interest each and every day. That's obviously why we publish it, so people can see the transparency of it, Derek. Speaker 501:03:37Yes, I think there's probably a bit of a story there relative to the options, Ken. When you actually look at across Every single asset class now on the financial side has been a very strong year up across the board. Commodities has struggled on the volume side. When you look at the options This is the future side. This is a story you hear us continue to tell. Speaker 501:03:54Options continue to perform more strongly than our futures. Our futures year to date across the Tire franchise are up 21%, options are up 27%. When you dig into the open interest there, it's even a stronger story. Even in asset classes in commodities where futures Volumes are down and open interest is down. You actually see open interest and volumes in options. Speaker 501:04:15For example, When we're seeing energy futures open interest down 24%, energy options open interest is up 6%. So Every single asset class, almost regardless of the volume trajectory this year, is seeing open interest gains. I think that's reflective of more people using Options more broadly as a bigger part of their portfolio management tools and that's why it's important that we provide the deepest most look at electronic markets in every asset class Speaker 201:04:40And we're seeing growth in futures and options. But just be careful, don't price in that if the options OI is higher than the futures that has An effect on the business because the futures and options open interest can go back and forth for a whole host of reasons and there's no one particular reason why there'll be more options growth And futures growth are more futures open interest and options open interest. So please be careful not to hold to that number of growth in options open interest because it goes back Thank you very much. Thank you. Operator01:05:14The next question comes from the line of Craig Siegenthaler from Bank of America. Please go ahead. Speaker 1801:05:21Hey, good morning, everyone. This is Eli from Craig's team. Thanks for taking my question. Could you discuss the opportunity in front of CME with the mortgage TBA futures? It's definitely a large addressable market, but could you maybe elaborate on the Deficiencies at the existing system for hedging, and then maybe discuss how this new product could potentially address those? Speaker 1801:05:42Thanks. Speaker 201:05:42Thanks, Eli. Yes, we'll let Sean go ahead and address that market. Speaker 301:05:46Yes, we're as you know, we continuously innovate and continuously launch new products that we see client demand for. In terms of our TBA futures, we are launching them on November 7. The unique value proposition that we offer here is Our client set, so many of CME Group's clients do not have access to the TVA market today, and they want To be able to trade the TVA market, so this will allow us to use our distribution channel to have a much wider audience, have access to the marketplace Van has liquid access to it today. In addition to that, as with any new rates product that we add to our platform, This will offer unique portfolio margin or margin offset opportunity. So you'll be able to trade the TBA futures The spread to our treasury futures, if you look in the cash market TBAs versus cash treasuries is a very common trade. Speaker 301:06:41So the ability to trade the TBA futures versus CMEs very liquid. Treasury futures, number 1. And then secondly, the ability so wider audience, Ability to trade those spreads last the portfolio margining that you can get between the treasury futures And the TBAs, are all unique value propositions. I don't know. I'm not going to predict. Speaker 301:07:03I think new product launches are very difficult to predict. So I will not Predict the impact. In addition to that though a couple of other things I would mention as long as you brought it up. We are also launching on October 31, Ester futures. So Ester is the European short term rate. Speaker 301:07:18It is the European equivalent of sulfur. There is no significantly successful Ester future on the market. If you look at the foreign exchange cross currency swap market today, it is being quoted as a spread between SOFR and Ester. So we are very excited and we're seeing a lot of demand for Ester futures. We're very excited about how participants then can use our Ester futures that have spread to our solar futures In order to manage their short term interest rate risk both in the U. Speaker 301:07:47S. And Europe as well as their cross currency business. In addition to that, We're seeing very strong demand as I said earlier, out of our repo business. So, Ester rates are used heavily in European repo. We're seeing an all time record year in European repo. Speaker 301:08:05We're also seeing demand from our European repo Participants, last thing I will mention is in terms of portfolio margining, we will be launching in December of this year Portfolio margining between SOFR options and interest rate swaps and also treasury options and interest rate swaps for the first time. We're very excited that in the month of September, we offered market participants a new all time record in terms of efficiencies of $8,400,000,000 a day on average. And as you can see, we're continuously enhancing that offering, as we as I just said in December. So I hope that helps to answer the question. Speaker 201:08:44Thanks, Eli, for your question. John, thank you. Do we have another question? Operator01:08:52The next question comes from the line of Simon Klinch from Atlantic Equities. Please go ahead. Speaker 1701:08:59Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. And I'll just say congrats to you John Bichaire as well for retiring. You're way too young, so I'm very jealous. Thanks, Speaker 501:09:08Dan. Speaker 1701:09:09So my question actually is just on the treasury market, the cash treasuries market. I've been Reading about the prospects of the market moving to all to all trading. And I was just wondering how CME's BrokerTec is positioned for Any kind of transition like that and sort of what the implications are generally speaking for Speaker 201:09:27you? John, it's your day. Speaker 301:09:30Thank you very much for the question. Clearly, Mr. Gensler has set out several new proposals In terms of the U. S. Treasury market, including requirements for certain hedge Funds and proprietary trading firms to become broker dealers, for treasury platforms to become full rate ATS compliant, And most recently, for significant increases in the requirements to clear U. Speaker 301:09:58S. Treasuries, Many are talking about this as being very similar to the requirements to clear U. S. Swaps now Almost a decade ago. So we navigated that at CME Group, I think very successfully with and when we used it in order to build our OTC Swap clearing business and we used it to build unique efficiencies that could not be offered by anyone else. Speaker 301:10:22As I mentioned earlier in the portfolio margin between swaps and futures And so we will navigate this similarly. We are all over it. We are in close contact with our customers. We are closely watching the developments In the proposed regulations, and we will adjust our products and services in order to ensure that we provide everything that our clients need in that type of environment. Speaker 201:10:48Great. Thanks very much. Speaker 1901:10:50Thanks, Frank. Operator01:10:53The next question comes from the line of Andrew Bohn from Rosenblatt Securities. Please go ahead. Speaker 1101:11:00Hey, good morning. Just wanted to follow-up on the open interest question, particularly in energy. I just wanted to see if you could discuss some of that dynamics driving the natural gas market currently. Over the past few years, we've seen the emergence of TTF as kind of more of a global benchmark as natural gas moved from regionally to a globally priced commodity. And we've seen some shift back to the U. Speaker 1101:11:19S. Given the dislocations in Europe and Russia, but seeing the open interest has remained relatively low. So can you kind of discuss the Henry Hub benchmark? Do you think it's become somewhat dislocated relative to the international gas market or the other dynamics that are driving this market? Thanks. Speaker 501:11:35Yes. Great question. I appreciate that. You've heard us talk about the prominence that fiscal benchmarks play in global energy markets, WTI and Henry Hub specifically. When you look at the global trends in the energy markets right now, the U. Speaker 501:11:47S. Is now the largest producer and exporter of natural gas And that LNG shipment is now becoming more important than ever before rather than pipeline gas coming into Europe from what used to be Russia, TTS is under pressure to be redefined into something different than pipeline gas because that simply has been cut off. There's both opportunity and threat in that situation. Certainly, the TTF market is trying to figure out what that input is going to be. Right now, we have actually just about 3 weeks ago launched a new contract for to specifically address what is a gap in the European Natural gas market to specifically go into European LNG contract, which is an import contract based in Northern Europe. Speaker 501:12:32So as TTF no longer can rely on pipeline gas coming in from Russia, we worked with Platts as a price assessment agent to launch a futures contract that is European LNG that We think is probably the best opportunity for the market to adopt as LNG is going to be that import source of gas for Europe. Taking a step back and look at the long term picture, given the lowest price gas in the world is coming from the U. S. Or record export levels and if you look at the As I mentioned at the top Speaker 701:12:59of the Speaker 501:12:59call, the pipeline for LNG liquefaction facilities coming out of the U. S. Over the next 10 years, Natural gas is the transition fuel, but it's also the energy fuel of the future itself, not just the transition. Henry Hub Is the price marker for LNG cargoes coming out of the U. S. Speaker 501:13:18Increasingly that is becoming the source of fuel for Asia and Europe. So Henry Hub is at the pivotal center of the natural gas market. We think it's the physical marker where LNG cargo shipments are priced off Henry Hub. That further positions and strengthens Henry Hub as the central price marker globally for both Europe and Asia. So we like the position. Speaker 501:13:39We like the structural Growth of Physical Benchmarks with the U. S. Being the leader of the exporter of these markets and we think that the long term prospects for Henry Hub and our market particularly Very well placed for long term strength there. Speaker 201:13:54Great. Thanks. Thank you. Operator01:13:58And as for our last question, we have Richard Patter from Piper Sandler on the line. Please go ahead. Speaker 701:14:05Yes, thank you. Since it was already brought up earlier, I do want to point out a flaw in John Picchu's service, And that's his golf game was very suspect over the 20 years. Anyway, Well, you have more time to work on it like Chris said. I do have a serious question though. So it's been mentioned a number of times about Cross Margining and Margining Efficiencies. Speaker 701:14:39And I know Terry, you've been working on it, and there's been a I think there's a leadership Change going on at DTCC. So I guess what is the potential to get increased Cross Margining Efficiencies in the Treasury Complex with DTCC? Speaker 1701:14:58And is that something that gets Come Speaker 701:15:00on board and it just immediately releases capital and is a benefit to clients? Speaker 201:15:07Yes. Rich, let me make a couple of comments about that on the timing, and then I'll let Sunil, who obviously has been living and breathing this for several years in his former life in the clearing entity Working with DTCC and the regulators. We are at a point now where I believe sometime early next month, we'll be doing the final filings along with To the government agencies to submit into the SEC for approval on the cross margining. And then hopefully, sometime thereafter when the clock It's up or in between that we will get it. I think we had it it's been a long process in achieving to try to achieve these efficiencies. Speaker 201:15:45So We feel confident that we're going to get them. And hopefully, we're at the in the 9th inning of getting approval on this. But again, I don't want to Overpromise and underdeliver on that. But I do that is the timeline right now. I've been head to head of DTCC Here in Chicago, the new President of it, 2 weeks ago, we had a good meeting. Speaker 201:16:09I've talked To the SEC, I've talked to others. I think we're in a very strong position to get this done. But let me ask Sunil to give comments as it relates to the offsets for the clients. Speaker 601:16:19Rich, I'll Speaker 1901:16:21spend a brief moment on offsets. We've done Cross margining with several clearinghouses, we do that with DTCC today as well. The effort we're going through right now is to improve the margin and portfolio benefit. In terms of actual offset, It's a function of one's portfolio. So if it is duration matched and it's a basis rate, then the offsets tend to be very high. Speaker 1901:16:49But if it is of a different nature then the offsets are a function of that risk profile. So it's very hard to actually come and give an Exact offset number and it's very portfolio dependent. Having said that, the idea here is to give clients who trade both futures And cash products, the most capital efficient solution, so they can carry their portfolios through time. So That's our objective, and I think we are on our way to actually deliver that. Speaker 201:17:21Thanks, Juniel. Speaker 701:17:23Got it. Thank you. Speaker 201:17:24Thanks, Rich. Operator01:17:27As there are no further questions, I'll hand the floor back to management for closing remarks. Speaker 201:17:34Well, again, well, thank you, John. Thank you, sir, again. But thank you all for participating in today's call. We appreciate you taking time Listen to us, and we look forward to talking to you soon. Be well. Operator01:17:49Thank you for joining today's call. You may now disconnect your lines.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallCME Group Q3 202200:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) CME Group Earnings HeadlinesWas Jim Cramer Right About CME Group (CME)?May 9 at 4:38 PM | insidermonkey.comCME Group Concludes 2025 Annual Shareholder MeetingMay 9 at 1:49 PM | tipranks.comGold Hits New Highs as Global Markets SpiralWhen Trump took office in 2017, gold was just $1,100 an ounce. By the time he left, it had soared to $1,839. Now… as new tariffs take effect, gold is breaking records again. You've hopefully already seen this in action… but gold is surpassing $3,000 per ounce for the first time EVER.May 10, 2025 | Premier Gold Co (Ad)CME Group Inc. Announces Preliminary Results from its 2025 Annual Meeting of ShareholdersMay 9 at 10:29 AM | prnewswire.comCME Group Declares Quarterly DividendMay 8 at 7:30 AM | prnewswire.comTop Executive Sells Over a Million in CME Group Stock!May 7 at 10:09 PM | tipranks.comSee More CME Group Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like CME Group? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on CME Group and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About CME GroupCME Group (NASDAQ:CME), together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company also provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges; and trade processing and risk mitigation services. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.View CME Group ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Why Nearly 20 Analysts Raised Meta Price Targets Post-EarningsOXY Stock Rebound Begins Following Solid Earnings BeatMonolithic Power Systems: Will Strong Earnings Spark a Recovery?Datadog Earnings Delight: Q1 Strength and an Upbeat Forecast Upwork's Earnings Beat Fuels Stock Rally—Is Freelancing Booming?DexCom Stock: Earnings Beat and New Market Access Drive Bull CaseDisney Stock Jumps on Earnings—Is the Magic Sustainable? Upcoming Earnings Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (5/12/2025)Simon Property Group (5/12/2025)JD.com (5/13/2025)NU (5/13/2025)Sony Group (5/13/2025)SEA (5/13/2025)Cisco Systems (5/14/2025)Toyota Motor (5/14/2025)Copart (5/15/2025)NetEase (5/15/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. Start Your 30-Day Trial MarketBeat All Access Features Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring Get personalized stock ideas. Compare portfolio to indices. Check stock news, ratings, SEC filings, and more. Stock Ideas and Recommendations See daily stock ideas from top analysts. Receive short-term trading ideas from MarketBeat. Identify trending stocks on social media. Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools Use our seven stock screeners to find suitable stocks. Stay informed with MarketBeat's real-time news. Export data to Excel for personal analysis. Sign in to your free account to enjoy these benefits In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies. Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more. Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter. Sign in to your free account to enjoy all that MarketBeat has to offer. Sign In Create Account Your Email Address: Email Address Required Your Password: Password Required Log In or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google Forgot your password? Your Email Address: Please enter your email address. Please enter a valid email address Choose a Password: Please enter your password. Your password must be at least 8 characters long and contain at least 1 number, 1 letter, and 1 special character. Create My Account (Free) or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
There are 20 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Hello, and welcome to CME Group Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. My name is Sarah, and I will be your coordinator for today's event. Please note this conference is being recorded and for the duration of the call, your lines will be on listen only. However, you will have the opportunity to ask questions. And you will be connected to an operator. Operator00:00:30I will now hand you over to your host, John Pesher, to begin today's conference. Thank you. Speaker 100:00:36Good morning, and I hope you all are doing well today. I'm going to start with the Safe Harbor language, then I'll turn it over to Terry and team for brief remarks, followed by your questions. Other members of our management team will also participate in the Q and A session. Statements made on this call and in the other reference documents On our website that are not historical facts are forward looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance. Speaker 100:01:01They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied in any statement. Detailed information about factors that may affect our performance can be found in the filings with the SEC, which are on our website. Lastly, on the final page of the earnings release, you will see a reconciliation between GAAP and non GAAP measure. On a personal note, today will be my last earnings call as I am retiring after more than 20 years with CME. Speaker 100:01:34My first day on the job was December 24, 2001 with a plan that CME would go public Soon after I joined, CME ultimately went public in December of 2002 and it has been an amazing journey. We have created a lot of value for our investor. I want to thank all of our shareholders and sell side analysts who I have met on this journey And I want to thank all my CME colleagues I have worked with closely with during the last 2 decades, in particular, the CFOs Dave, Jamie and John. Most importantly, Jennifer and George and Susan Jacks with whom I have worked closely with for many years Have been instrumental to our success. Lastly, I'd like to thank Terry for his leadership of this successful journey. Speaker 100:02:24He and I are the only ones left who were on the first CME earnings call in 2003 and it's been a great run. With that, I will turn it over to Terry. Speaker 200:02:33Well, thank you all for joining us this morning. And let me take a quick moment first to thank you, John, on behalf of all of us For an incredible run, more than 2 decades, as you said, with CME and giving service to the organization and its shareholder relations organization. You have been an instrumental force in our Investor Relations and analyst outreach helping us grow from our early days, as you said, as a public company To the leading derivatives marketplace we have become today. As a friend and respected colleague to so many, you've made a significant impact on our business. There is no doubt you'll be missed. Speaker 200:03:07We wish you nothing but the best for you and your family going forward. And again, on behalf of everybody at CME and throughout the investor community, John, we thank you very much for your leadership. Thank you. Thank you. We are leaving the investment community in good hands with remaining members of the Investor Relations team as John referenced, Jennifer George and Susan Jaks, We're over side by side with John through his entire career as well as Adam Minnick, who you'll I'll get to know soon, who recently joined the Investor Relations department coming over from our Strategy department. Speaker 200:03:39So we look forward to all of you meeting up with Adam. We released our executive commentary earlier today, which provided extensive details on the Q3 of 2022. I have John Lynn, Sean Derek, Sunil and Julie Winkler on the call this morning as well as Tim McCourt, our Global Head of Equity and FX Products. I felt it was important to take some time to not only run through a snapshot of our current business and financial results, but more importantly To expand on why we feel our business is in such a strong position to finish out the year and head into 2023 on a high note. I will start and then Sean, Tim and Dirk will provide some thoughts before John finishes up our commentary with details related to our financial results and our JV. Speaker 200:04:26Then he will then open the we will open the call for your questions. Let me start by talking about the tremendous amount of uncertainty in the markets Whether that be uncertainty around the U. S. Federal Reserve policy, varying views about the recession risk With inflation at levels not seen since the 1980s or uncertainty around the size and speed Of the unwind of the Fed's balance sheet. When there is uncertainty driving activity in our interest rate business, The impacts cascade to other asset classes, most prominently in equities as rate changes impact corporate valuation And in foreign exchange with varied policies and approaches from central banks around the world. Speaker 200:05:13We are also seeing high level of volatility In the commodities markets, which appear likely to persist given the impact of the Russian invasion in Ukraine and the resulting disruption Affecting both agriculture and energy markets in the region and around the world. Risk management is our business And we have been and always will be committed to helping our customers manage uncertainty. We do this across our unique breadth of asset classes And our broad range of deeply liquid, globally relevant products. With that being said, let me transition into our Q3 performance. Our performance for Q3 year to date in 2022 highlights the effectiveness of our risk management solution. Speaker 200:06:01Our volume is up 23% year to date versus the same period last year and up 19% from the same period in 2019 Prior to the pandemic, the highest average daily volume quarter in CME's group's history was Q1 of 2020, 1, risk management was critical at the onset of the pandemic. The 1st three quarters of this year have been the 2nd, 3rd and 4th highest ADV quarters in our history. So far in 2022, our interest rates, equities and FX products have At peak levels of large open interest holders, with our interest rate products at an all time high again, Just last week suggesting that this represents a risk on environment. Additionally, Q3 represented our 5th Sequential quarter of double digit year over year growth in total ADV. With the pandemic becoming part of our lives, global economics And market participants are left to manage not only uncertain market risk, but also potential new risk associated with the pandemic. Speaker 200:07:10We're pleased the NEX integration is complete and market participants are able to access cash treasuries And cash foreign exchange through one platform, complementing our existing futures on treasuries and on foreign exchange. The breadth of the assets we've built over time, combined with the work we are currently doing in partnership with Google to transform markets Will provide us further opportunity to continue our industry leading innovation going forward. And we are 100% focused on growing in the short term, by also positioning the business for long term sustained growth. I'll now turn it over to Sean and then Tim and Dirk to dig into more detail around these themes. Speaker 300:07:57Thanks, Terry. With the return of interest rate volatility and Central Bank activity, We've seen strong year over year growth in our fixed income businesses. Interest Rate Futures and Options ADV were up 28% in Q3, And we've now delivered 6 consecutive double digit year over year ADV growth quarters for the asset class. The tailwinds Terry described should continue moving through 2023. Every FOMC meeting is in play, and with high and uncertain inflation, Every jobs report and every consumer price index reading is important. Speaker 300:08:29You could see this very clearly with the 34,000,000 contracts trading On a single day, on October 13, following the latest CPI release, and the uncertainty here Could remain for years as inflation ratings for rent and shelter tend to lag the real economy by up to 18 months. These factors have led to significant trading volumes in our short term interest rate complex, with volumes up 45% through the 1st three quarters. During this time, we have progressed the eurodollar to SOFR migration with SOFR Futures and Options, Both now trading more contracts per day than their eurodollar counterparts, reaching a record 5,900,000 SOFR contracts traded on October 13. Lastly, our ARC endorsed term SOFR benchmark Has already been licensed to over 1700 firms in 83 different countries And has been referenced in over $2,800,000,000,000 of loans and OTC derivatives. On the long end of Curve, we saw double digit ADV growth in both Q2 and Q3 in Treasury Futures and Treasury Options Have had particular strength with 21% growth in Q3. Speaker 300:09:45The tailwinds from Fed balance sheet reduction And inflation are becoming larger and have the potential to be long lasting due to the huge increase in government debt. And as Terry mentioned, uncertainty in monetary policy then drives uncertainty in other asset classes. Speaker 200:10:05I'll turn Speaker 300:10:05it over to Tim to speak to this very point. Speaker 400:10:08Thanks, Sean, and it's a pleasure to be on the call today. Allow me to start with the strength of our Equity Index business Where our deep and liquid markets offer access to the most important global benchmark indices on one platform around the clock. This strong foundation positioned us well in 2022 as interest rate expectations have led to equity valuation adjustments And increased need for risk management. The 1st three quarters of this year were the 1st, 2nd and 3rd highest ADV quarters on record respectively For overall equity index ADV as well as equity index options ADV, year to date through Q3, Total ADV has increased 44% and options ADV has increased 74% compared with the same timeframe of last year. It is important to note that our growth is driven not only by volatility, but also by product innovation. Speaker 400:11:021 of our most Successful innovations was the launch of our Micro E Mini products in 2019. We view the Micros as a useful tool to continue to attract new international and U. S.-based Customers given the smaller contract size and the lower upfront financial commitment. Due to the premium price point on a risk equivalent basis, The 3,200,000 micro equity contracts that trade per day add their revenue equivalent of approximately 1,000,000 e mini contracts Despite being onetenth the notional size. We've also introduced a suite of products that bring traditional OTC functionality to CME, Such as basis traded index close, adjusted interest rate total return futures, sector futures, dividend futures, equity option blocks And most recently, Derived Block Functionality. Speaker 400:11:50These OTC alternative products meet customers' need under the uncleared margin rules, While benefiting from the capital efficiency afforded by our equities franchise, these premium products command fees of 3 to 4 times that of standard equity rates And added approximately 160,000 contracts per day in the Q3. Now I will turn to FX, Which has certainly come alive following an extended period of historic low volatility with the Q3 FX ADV up 41% year over year. Similar to equities, we have introduced innovations in our FX business during the low volatility period and we are now harvesting those investments. We've changed minimum price increments, built out emerging market currencies, introduced OTC alternatives like FX Link, Added EBS Cash Markets and created tools and analytics that show the efficiencies of trading FX at CME. These innovations position us well to Continue to benefit from the volatility in the currency markets as the disparate interest rate approaches of the global central banks continue to flow through to the foreign exchange market. Speaker 400:12:56Derek will now address the trends in our commodities, options and international businesses. Speaker 500:13:01Thanks, Tim. While our Energy business, which has been impacted Temporary market dislocations was the only asset cost that was down in Q3. We like our long term structural positives for our U. S. Energy benchmarks including WTI Crude Oil, Refined Products and Henry Hub Natural Gas. Speaker 500:13:17The U. S. Is producing nearly 12,000,000 barrels of oil a day and exporting record levels of crude and refined products. The U. S. Speaker 500:13:24Is the marginal supplier of crude oil to Europe and Asia, which positions WTI and our refined product benchmarks well for the long term beyond the current supply and Price dislocations. Similarly, the U. S. Is the world's largest producer and exporter of natural gas boosted by increasing liquefied natural gas exports priced off Henry Hub Futures Markets. Additional LNG facilities are coming online in the U. Speaker 500:13:47S. In the medium term, which further bolsters Henry Hub as the benchmark for the global natural gas market for decades to come. As the market transitions through the short term disruptions caused by the war in Ukraine, We believe that we have the strongest portfolio of risk management tools in the global energy and environmental products markets, which positions us well to grow this asset class over the long term. In agricultural products, CME's markets serve as the benchmarks for global price discovery in grains, oilseeds, livestock, dairy and lumber. We saw increased customer activity in the 3rd quarter with average daily volume of 1,200,000 contracts, up 6% year over year with particular strength in options. Speaker 500:14:27Buy side and bank customers are our strongest performing client segments this year and our strongest global growth is coming from Latin America. Turning to metals. 3rd quarter average daily volume increased 4% to 498,000 contracts led by 20% growth in September. Citi Group's aluminum futures continue to see strong adoption by both commercial and financial market participants. Given the customer growth we are seeing, The adoption of Comex aluminum by top metals broker, Marex and the success we've had in getting our reference prices to be included In physical procurement contracts from commercial customers, we feel that we are at an inflection point for growth in this important market. Speaker 500:15:06Turning to options, we continue to see options ADV and Open Interest outpacing futures. Terry spoke earlier about the high levels of uncertainty in the world today And options are a powerful tool for helping our global customers to manage risk in that environment and can be a more cost effective means for getting exposure Since only the option premium is included. With year to date options ADV up 27% to 4,100,000 contracts a day, we are on track to To pass our record year from 2019 of 4,000,000 contracts. Finally, our international business continues to generate record volumes. In the Q3, we delivered 6,100,000 ADV, up 21% versus last year. Speaker 500:15:45Based on our strong year to date results, we're on track to deliver another record year With our non U. S. ADV through September of 6,500,000 contracts compared to our record 5,500,000 ADV from last year. With that, I'll turn it over to John. Speaker 600:16:00Thanks, Derek. CME's revenue for the Q3 was approximately $1,230,000,000 driven by a 26.1% growth in trading activity. This was up 10.6% compared to the Q3 of last year and up nearly 15% When adjusting for the impacts of the formation of Ostra, our post trade joint venture with S&P Global that we formed in September of last year. This is our 4th consecutive quarter when making that adjustment of double digit revenue growth demonstrating the importance of our markets in these uncertain times. Market Data revenue was again a record during the quarter, up 6% compared to a year ago to $154,000,000 reflecting the strong need for the information our markets produce. Speaker 600:16:45Expenses continue to be very carefully managed and on an adjusted basis were $441,000,000 for the quarter And $359,000,000 excluding license fees, our efforts towards moving to the cloud progressed as expected We are nearing the completion of the initial foundational work necessary to migrate our applications. Year to date, we spent approximately $21,000,000 in incremental cash cost towards that effort And expect to end the year at approximately $30,000,000 and within our 1st year guidance for that project. On a year to date adjusted basis, Excluding our Google spend, license fees and the impacts of the formation of Ostra, our revenues were up 13% and our expenses were only up 3%. We continue to manage our capital expenditures effectively and with an eye towards our move to the cloud. As a result, we are lowering our CapEx guidance to $100,000,000 For the quarter, our capital expenditures were approximately $20,000,000 Our joint ventures and investments continue to produce meaningful results for CME Group. Speaker 600:17:44Year to date on an adjusted basis, These investments have contributed $272,500,000 or close to 10% of our pre tax income this year. In addition to the earnings they contribute, their strategic importance continues to play out. The Ostr joint venture is capturing synergies Through the combination of our post trade businesses with that of S and P Global. This creates the leader in the space and has the scope and scale for long term growth. Our S and P Dow Jones Indices joint venture has delivered 14% average annual earnings growth since the 1st full year of inception in 2013. Speaker 600:18:20Strategically, the exclusive rights to the indices that we have secured through our ownership of the joint venture underpins over 20% The overall futures contracts traded at CME Group and creates significant capital efficiencies across our equity complex making us the global destination For Equity Futures. We also benefit from the trading of products licensed by the joint venture to other exchanges and from the continued move from active to passive investing. These joint ventures and other investments that we've made continue to position CME well strategically and financially. For the quarter, CME had an adjusted effective tax rate of 23.4%, which resulted in an adjusted net income of $719,000,000 Up 25% from the Q3 last year and an adjusted EPS attributable to common shareholders of 1.98 C and P paid out $2,300,000,000 of dividends so far this year and cash at the end of the quarter was approximately $2,200,000,000 In summary, our global benchmarks, data, innovation, investments and strong focus on execution Continue to address the needs of our clients and deliver results for our shareholders. Please refer to the last page of our executive commentary for additional financial highlights and details. Speaker 600:19:37We'd like to now open up the call for your questions. Based on the number of analysts covering us, please limit yourself to one question and then feel free to jump back into the queue. Thank you. Operator00:20:09The first question comes from the line of Rich Repetto from Piper Sandler. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:20:16Yes. Good morning, Terry. Good morning, John. And I guess the first thing is for John Pesher. He's been a very thoughtful and unwaveringly committed and loyal employee and has been a pleasure to work with For however many years, he's done a great job training Jennifer and Susan. Speaker 700:20:36We're excited to work With the team going forward as well. So congrats, John. Speaker 100:20:43Thanks, Rich. Speaker 700:20:45Terry, I guess my one question would be, the media reported, I think within the last month or so, That you applied for an FCM license or tried to obtain an FCM license through the CFTC. I was just trying to understand what was the purpose of the rationale behind doing that? Thank you. Speaker 200:21:08Thanks, Rich. Appreciate it. First, it was at the NFA we filed the application and then it will eventually go to the CFTC to support Cadence perspective. But I think what's important is I never define how we would ever use an FCM. And I think there's been a tremendous amount of speculation about how CME would or would not use an FCM. Speaker 200:21:32I also I think it's important to note that I don't know and I don't know anybody that does know what an FCM is going to look like 3, 5, 10, 15 years From now on, I just don't know what that's going to look like. Is it going to look the same as it does today or will it look completely different? I don't know. I don't think it's in anyone's best interest to wait to find out. I think you should be going along with that process to see. Speaker 200:21:55But I want to make sure something's very clear. My commitment, our commitment at CME to our FCM community, as I've said, is unwavering. And we are going to continue to work to make them better, Our existing FCMs and our future FCMs, how we can partner with them and make them better. So I think that's really important. And also I know there's been speculation about CME Is looking to get their own FCM because of retail products. Speaker 200:22:23Let me be very clear about this. Our existing FCM base and our future FCM base, wherever that may or may not be, has plenty of wherewithal to address the retail market For CME Group. So that is not, not the purpose of doing an FCM. So I think it's really important that we just Clarify a few of these things. But again, my position is and the company's position is we want to work with our existing FCMs, we will continue to do so. Speaker 200:22:50That is the model that we enjoy, but we're also not of the mind that we don't think things could potentially change down the road and we will be prepared. So when I say that, Our cost associated with this FCM so far is about 0. So we have not put any money into this. We just filed an application. But we will be watching this space very, very carefully. Speaker 200:23:10And again, we will not ever put CME in a position where it's coming from behind. We will always be leading going forward. So Hopefully, I answered the questions and more, but I really want to make it clear there has been no defined FCM that CME has applied for that is competing with the existing FCM model today. I know all the pitfalls that people have talked about with the DSRA status and things of that nature. Those things can all be worked around if in fact they need to be worked around, but that's not the purpose of our application. Speaker 700:23:41Got it. Super helpful, Terry, I'll get back in the queue. Thank you. Thanks, Fred. Operator00:23:47The next question comes from the line of Dan Fannon from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:23:53Thanks. Good morning and congrats, John Fisher, on your retirement. My question is for the other John, just on expenses. Just obviously the guidance implies a pretty material step up into the Q4. So could you talk about what that in terms of where what you're spending on and how that ramps. Speaker 800:24:12And then I know it's early, but just thinking about 2023 and Kind of the roll forward of the Google spend and other investment priorities, can you talk about how to think about a growth And expenses versus what you guys have done historically? Speaker 600:24:29Yes. Thanks, Dan. Thanks for the question. Pardon me. Yes. Speaker 600:24:33The Q4 of this year Q4 of all years, generally speaking, and the Q4 of this year It's traditionally the heaviest quarter in terms of expenses and we expected that to occur this year. There are a number of planned customer events And marketing spend in the Q4 and we expect increased in person sales activity reflecting the improved business environment. So If you look at last year and adjust for Ostra, you saw about a 10% increase in expenses from Q3 3 to Q4. This year it's a little bit heavier between Q3 and Q4. This would imply about a 15% increase. Speaker 300:25:13And if Speaker 600:25:13you look at the expense spend between Q3 and Q4 last year, we did not have This environment that we see this year. So we are expecting definitely more increased in person sales activity, marketing spend and travel. So that accounts for some of the increase that we're seeing this year. The remainder so when you take a look at sorry, when you take a look at Q3 to Q4, we expect approximately 70% of the increase to be in the marketing travel and in person events. The remainder of the sequential increase would be related to salary and wages reflecting variable compensation related to Our company's performance and staffing of key roles and customer facing resources. Speaker 600:26:01So last year, again, the variable compensation Higher this year than last year and also the number of employees are higher this year than last year. We're expecting to hire more going into the Q4. We also expect to see increased professional services as we are investing in growth projects. So that kind of accounts for Q4 growth compared to Q3 and a bit of about the difference between last year and this year. You are right as we are early in the process Of looking at our budget for next year, and as you know and as the entire team knows, the entire Our group here at CME has done a very effective job over the years of managing our costs, and we tend to do the same And towards this incoming year, it's a bit too early to give guidance. Speaker 600:26:56And as I said, we are still in the budget building process and that has be approved by the Board. So we are definitely keeping our eyes on inflationary impacts, and we're looking to mitigate those impacts through process efficiencies, Leveraging lower cost locations, partnering with vendors and being judicious in hiring. So, I think the way to think about 2020 3 is to think about how we've been managing costs over the last several years. We've done a very effective job ensuring that we're Spending very efficiently, and we'll continue to leverage that approach going into next year. So that's some of the kind of the core business. Speaker 600:27:40In terms of the Google spend, in terms of our migration, We're working through the plan for next year now. We are, as I mentioned the last, I guess, couple of earnings calls ago, We're expecting on average to be approximately $30,000,000 in incremental spend over the next 4 years as we approach At the point where costs will be lower assuming similar volume levels and I think we're planning on kind of a similar type spend as this year, but that will be a function of how fast we're going to be migrating the applications onto The Google platform. So, we're pretty we're pleased with where we're at in terms of Our Google progress, it's about where we expected it would be. And as I said in my prepared remarks, The initial foundation that we needed to create in order to start rolling those apps is nearing completion. We'll be looking to see the apps migrate at a quicker rate going in 2023. Speaker 600:28:52So That's the kind of the expense view this so far this year. Speaker 700:29:00Great. Thank you. Speaker 600:29:01Yes. Thanks, Dan. Operator00:29:04The next question comes from the line of Alex Kramm from UBS. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:29:10Yes. Hey, good morning, everyone. I want to talk about the LIBOR sulfur or Eurodollar sulfur transition now that you have, I guess a date next April to basically shut down your dollar if I understand this correctly. I want to really understand what that means Both from a potential volume and also revenue impact. So can you remind us what you're charging for when it comes So, sulfur and euro dollar today independently where there's still certain discounts or non charging. Speaker 900:29:40And then more importantly, as one contract goes away, I assume today there's a lot of, I guess, trading or arbing between those two products happening. So just wondering if you have an estimate how much that could be Today and how much of that could potentially go away? So, we are clear about again like a revenue or volume impact come April next year. Thanks. Speaker 300:30:03Don? Thanks, Terry and thanks Alex for the question. We are very pleased with the progress we have made in the So for futures traded 2,600,000 contracts a day in September, while SOFR options traded more than 850,000 contracts Per day. So for futures are now trading more than double the volumes of YourDollar Futures and So for Options are now trading 130% of what YourDollar options trade every day. So for futures now have more than 8,000,000 contracts in open interest We're 98.5 percent of Eurodollar futures and SOFR options have reached 15,000,000 contracts open interest For 70% of your dollar options. Speaker 300:30:49In terms of RPC, as you know, in June, July August, We executed our SOFR1st for options initiative, which had very strong support from U. S. And U. K. Regulators as well as from our customers. Speaker 300:31:01On the back of that, we've achieved the incredibly strong growth that you've seen. That program in terms of SOFR1st for options was completed At the end of August, that program had, 1st of all, fee waivers for all participants for June, July August And secondly, significantly enhanced incentives to create liquidity in order to build the same ecosystem And to have as much liquidity and efficiency in that marketplace as the marketplace has enjoyed in your Dollar Futures and Options. We have now achieved Very much of what we needed to there. And with that, as I said, we did remove those fee waivers at the end of August And we did decrease the overall incentives to market participants. As you know, incentives are important to ensure that we have liquidity for all participants And our YourDollar futures have had incentives historically and continue to have incentives. Speaker 300:32:00So we do expect that the incentives that are required for YourDollar futures and options Will be required in the longer run for sulfur fusion options. We do expect however that we will be able to continue to decrease The incentives, the extra incentives above what we've had for your all our futures and options in the coming months. So we think we're in a very good place. We think we're on a very good path. We are following our plan. Speaker 300:32:27And overall, I think we're in a good place. Speaker 200:32:29Alex, let me just it's Terry Duffy. Let me add to what Sean said, because one of the parts of your question that we didn't answer is on the arb between Euro dollars and so far. You have to remember what Sean said, I said and others did year and a half, 2 years ago and subsequently every quarter going forward Is that we are at an extreme benefit to have both these contracts listed at CME and we did see a lot of trading going back and forth Between the 2, but the objective and the goal was to have that arb end up in the sulfur products knowing full well that the LIBOR was going to be discontinued. So I think when you look at the arb, you will have to look at it in a success rate of arbing from euro dollars into the sulfur, which Sean gave you the statistics, Which are now larger than the euro dollar. So Sean? Speaker 300:33:18Yes. I apologize for not answering that part of the question. Thank you, Terry. So the inter commodity spreads between The two products are running between 250,350,000 contracts today to make it perfectly quantitative. Speaker 200:33:30Yes. So hopefully that gives you a little bit more insight. All along that was our strategy as the incumbent of the euro dollars is to move it into the SOFR and we successfully did that. Speaker 900:33:41Yes. No, that's great numbers there. Thank you. Operator00:33:49For our next question, we have Michael Cyprys from Morgan Stanley on the line. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:33:56Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to ask about customer collateral, just given the movement in interest rates. I was hoping You can update us on your latest expectations around the take rates on cash collateral as well as non cash collateral and how you expect So those take rates and balances to evolve from here, particularly if we get another 75 basis point hike in November and what you expect to see from customers in terms Shifting back and forth between cash and non cash collateral. Thank you. Speaker 200:34:24Thanks, Michael. I'll let John go ahead and answer that and I might jump in as well. Speaker 600:34:28Yes. Thanks, Michael. Yes, let's take a look at our collateral earnings in its totality. So first In the non operating section of our income statement, we've got earnings on cash held by clients at the clearinghouse And that was up $14,000,000 sequentially. Average cash balances were lower by $27,500,000,000 to $117,500,000,000 and that was more than offset by higher returns, which were 29 basis points for the quarter, An increase of 9 basis points. Speaker 600:35:02The last two rate hikes were passed on to our clients, which helped lessen the reduction in those balances. So looking in our other revenue section of our income statement, custody revenue was up $9,000,000 driven primarily by an increase in average non cash collateral balances held by our clients in the clearinghouse and a fee increase on those balances From 5 basis points to 7 basis points, balances eligible to be charged to a fee increased from an average of $81,000,000,000 in Q2 $2,000,000,000 to $95,000,000,000 in Q3. So we had a sequential increase in non cash Collateral earnings of $9,000,000 which is in the revenue line, an increase of $14,000,000 sequentially on cash And that's in the non operating section of our income statement for a total of a $23,000,000 sequential increase in earnings on collateral. So let's take a look at what is going on in the Q4 so far. So average cash balances Through October 24, we're $117,800,000,000 so roughly flat With the average for Q3 and we had an ending balance of cash of $110,000,000,000 on October 24. Speaker 600:36:28Non cash collateral, which is subject to fees, again, there's an other non cash collateral, which we don't earn fees on. But the non cash collateral subject to fees average for October so far through 24th Was $90,300,000,000 with an ending balance of $95,600,000,000 So that gives you an idea of what happened For the quarter and how those balances are trending for the Q4 so far. So in terms of what happens going forward, There's a number of factors that play into that. First is the total amount of collateral that needs to be put up at the clearinghouse, which is subject to The types of trading and the risk management required for that trading, so that determines the total size of The amount of collateral that's put up and then clients will have a certain amount of cash and non cash collateral that they need just to run their business. They'll put that up depending on what they have on hand. Speaker 600:37:32And to the extent they can optimize their portfolio, They will put up that instrument that yields the highest return. So look at Cash that they the amount of return they can get on cash they put up at the clearinghouse versus other instruments that they could put up at the clearinghouse. Now what we've done over the last several rate hikes is that we've maintained the minus 25 basis points spread Versus what the Fed has moved. And I think that's proven to be effective to maintain the balances That we've been able to maintain so far, but it's really going to be a function of what their businesses require And how they optimize their portfolio. Great. Speaker 600:38:24Thank you. Thank you. Thanks for your question, Mike. Operator00:38:28Our next question comes from the line of Brian Bedell from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Speaker 1000:38:34Great. Thanks very much for taking my question. Maybe just one other clarification on the collateral balances. So, were there other drivers in that non operating income line in the investment income and other non operating costs Aside from the collateral balances, just one question. The other question, if I can speak one in, is On the RPC trends coming into the Q4, I guess, First of all, is sort of some of that noise on the RPC on rates from that sulfur LIBOR transition and you expect that to sort Go away in the Q4 over the next coming months. Speaker 1000:39:16And then on it looks like you have pricing power on the micro products as well Across that franchise and maybe just some sort of outlook is how that you think may that may develop coming into 2023? Speaker 200:39:28Okay. Speaker 600:39:30Wow, Brian, there's a lot of questions in there. So Let's start out and take a look at the entire non operating section of our income statement. And I think that will be helpful for that for you to understand what all the moving parts are there. So If you take a look between Q2 and Q3 in the non operating section of our income statement, you see that it's a sequential increase of 13,000,000 I talked a little bit about the earnings on cash held by our clients at the clearinghouse and that was up $14,000,000 We also saw earnings on CME cash And that was up about $8,600,000 So that was an increase in earnings. We did see a slight Increase in interest expense that was up about $500,000 and that was related to a credit that we received last quarter. Speaker 600:40:31And then finally is the earnings in unconsolidated subsidiaries. And I think here, again, I kind of highlighted it in the prepared remarks. We were very pleased with the way our joint ventures and investments have been performing. This quarter, however, we did see some impacts of one time items in the joint venture. So Ostra, Which is our post trade joint venture with S&P Global was down about $3,000,000 and the S and P Dow Jones sequentially was down about $6,000,000 And that's because both in Q2 and in Q3 there were one time adjustments. Speaker 600:41:08If you normalize those out, The earnings on those joint ventures were relatively flat with earnings on the Oster joint venture In the $19,500,000 to $20,000,000 range and then if you look at the S and P Dow Jones joint venture, Its results are roughly in the $61,000,000 to $62,000,000 range. So And another kind of key point to make there is that when you look at the nonoperating when you look at the S and P Dow Jones Joint venture in the equity and unconsolidated subsidiaries line, year to date, the joint venture when you make The adjustments for the one time items is up about 13% year over year and has had a CAGR of 16% Since 2020. So very pleased with how those are performing. So that gives you kind of the breakdown on that Part of your question, you had a question about the RPC, which I think Sean you kind of hit that the last question. Do you want to just kind of reemphasize that? Speaker 300:42:17Yes. In terms of the RPC, as I said, we had market wide fee waivers in June, July August. All of those were removed at the end of August. In addition to that, we had very significant liquidity incentives in June, July August and all of those are gone. We do have some incentives that are greater than the incentives that we've had historically for Your Dollar Futures and Options still in place. Speaker 300:42:43However, we will look to reduce those as we have been. I do expect, right, a significantly higher RPC for software options for obvious In Q4, again, the fee waivers are gone and the additional the significant additional liquidity incentives that we had during June, July August are gone. So those will be positive impacts in Q4. And then there's a question on, Speaker 600:43:08I think Brian you had a question on the pricing power for micros. Speaker 1000:43:12For the macros, yes, they have been increasing across all of the categories. So just wondering if that's sustainable? Speaker 200:43:19Why don't you break down the asset class that you're talking You want to talk to him about the equities? Speaker 1100:43:25Go ahead. Speaker 400:43:26Yes, sure. So this is Tim All right. And thanks, Brian. When we look at the MicroE Mini contract, as I said in my opening remarks, they are a premium price to the older sibling E Mini contract. They're about onetenth the size, but they're depending on the index you're looking at between 1 fourth to 1 third the cost. Speaker 400:43:45So that is something that is of importance. It's been a good driver of growth both in terms of volume and revenue for us. I think one thing that's important to note with Back to the pricing power of MicroE Mini is not commenting on where that might go in the future is that when we look at its relative value to other product choices in the market, Despite being at a premium, it's still growing faster than say the SPY ETF. If you look at the micro S&P E Mini contract growth In 2021, that's up about 57% versus last year. When you look at the SPY ETF, that's up only a little over 30%. Speaker 400:44:18So despite the premium To the e mini contract and the premium to the ETF, it is still a tremendous value to the marketplace as evidenced by the premium price at Command as well as It's sustained growth at CME and versus comparable products. Speaker 600:44:32Yes. And just in terms of pricing in general, As I mentioned from the question that Dan Fannon had, we're going through the budget building process Right now and this is the time that we take a look at our pricing. There's a number of factors that go into the pricing decisions, Including the health of the market, how much other how our clients can get exposure in other markets, Innovation that we've created, the liquidity that we've created, we've done I think a tremendous job of developing a lot of value for our clients. But that is in the process that we normally do every year about this time. We review our incentive plans As Sean has mentioned and we do that regularly. Speaker 600:45:24So we'll reallocate resources in terms of programs To ensure that we're developing the liquidity and creating value for our clients. So that process It is underway now as we develop the plan for 2023. Speaker 1000:45:43Great. Thanks so much. And my congrats to John Peachtree also. Speaker 100:45:47Thank you. Operator00:45:50The next question comes from the line of Kyle Voigt from KBW. Please go ahead. Speaker 1200:45:58Hi, good morning. Maybe a question on the growth in Asia, it was extremely strong in the quarter at 41%. It looks like the growth there has accelerated over the each of the past three quarters. It looks like a lot of that growth is being driven by equity index and FX. Maybe you could just help us drill in a bit further and provide any more color or help us understand which customer segments you think are driving that growth or is it Asset managers, hedge funds, retail or other users. Speaker 1200:46:26And is there a way to help investors kind of frame the ultimate size of that opportunity from Asia and how much more runway To grow at these levels. Speaker 200:46:35Sarah? Speaker 500:46:36Yes. I appreciate the question, Kyle. Yes, international continues to go from strength to strength. As I mentioned at the top of the call, we're on track For a pretty significant beat on last year's total non U. S. Speaker 500:46:46Volume record, which was $5,500,000 last year, we're averaging $6,500,000 a year this year. And as you rightly point out, our growth in Asia continues to go from strength to strength. In the Q3 of this year, we put our 6th consecutive quarter up 5th said 14th consecutive quarter of growth. On the APAC business, we're up 41% this year, our fastest growing part of our business. EMEA grew 14% and LatAm grew about 30% 31%. Speaker 500:47:12When you dig into the region as you rightly point out, we've seen particular strength And growth with our financial products, equities and fixed income, actually Asia interestingly is the strongest area of growth for our energy business. Our Asian Energy business is up 30% year to date this year as well. So it's broad growth. Equities is a strong driver for us. When you look at the individual countries, It is spread stronger across multiple countries. Speaker 500:47:39It's no one particular country that's delivering strongest growth. Where we've seen Particular bright spot is in Korea. Our Korean business this year is up 45%. That has now stepped into our 2nd Largest revenue generator for us across all of our non U. S. Speaker 500:47:56Jurisdictions that have been a pretty significant climb over the last couple of years. Other significant growth drivers coming out of Asia is Taiwan is up 53% volumes this year, India up 65% and the Middle East primarily United Arab Emirates and Dubai specifically is showing volume growth of almost 70% growth. So Asia continues to be a strong support area for us. Julie Winkler and her global sales team are pursuing the global sales campaigns for our regional products and bringing in new clients working through our channel partners. Retail is a big part of that story and the micro story. Speaker 500:48:29And as I said, that's a strong part of the energy growth there as well. So hopefully that gave you some color on what we're And we think that we're probably early innings of the client penetration in Asia as well going forward. Speaker 200:48:40So Kyle and I know the other analysts know this as well, Derek He's now taking over the international business over the last several months. He has restructured the division, and he has actually been globe trotting around And being a customer facing participant as a managing team member, so I think that's added a lot to the success of the international businesses, Putting a face with the name and the name of the face whatever you like to say, but it's been really important for us to get back out there. We've been stressing this. John reflected some of the cost in our numbers, but we are back in front of clients all over the world and Derek's done a really good job with that and heading up to New International. Okay. Speaker 200:49:16And I think the numbers are reflecting it. So thank you for your question. Speaker 1200:49:19Yes. Thank you. Operator00:49:22Our next question comes from the line of Alex Blostein from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Speaker 1300:49:29Great. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I was hoping we could zone in on sort of what are some of the dynamics in cash fixed income markets. We've seen volumes relatively slow there, especially in line of the volatility we've seen in the marketplace broadly. Speaker 1300:49:44And CME's revenue, I guess, On the kind of former Next business have also been trending a little bit slower. So, any color you could provide in terms of the look through to clients, Who is doing better? Who is doing worse? And what do you think ultimately needs to happen to get this market going a little bit more? Is QT the catalyst or as long as Vale As high as it is, there is just muted activity. Speaker 200:50:08Sean, you want to go ahead and address that? Sure. Speaker 300:50:10Thanks very much for the question, Alex. If you look at our BrokerTec U. S. Treasury volumes, they're up 11% year over year, year to date. That is very similar to our treasury futures complex. Speaker 300:50:20So BrokerTec, U. S. Treasuries and CME's Treasury Futures, the most liquid treasury instrument available on the planet, We're growing at similar level. If you look at the BrokerTec business in a bit more detail, U. S. Speaker 300:50:33Repo is up 21% year over year And European repo is up 17% year over year. So our U. S. Repo business and our European repo business are on track for all time record years. Some of the initiatives that we have been engaged in relative to the post migration of BrokerTec to Globex I've also seen some good success. Speaker 300:50:55Our RV trading order type achieved a new all time record in the Q3 with $2,100,000,000 a day And our cross selling of BrokerTec into our futures clients working with our CD and S team under Julie Winkler, we've added 9 new clients to the BrokerTec Platform that has never traded on it before and they are currently trading $6,100,000,000 a day. If you look at the granular survey, likewise, You can see our results there, but year over year in September, we saw a significant increase in market share relative to the alternative marketplaces. In terms of go forward for the treasury market, as we said in our opening remarks, inflation obviously is at the highest level in 4 years and is very volatile. You've also only just begun to see the Federal Reserve reduce its balance sheet. The Federal Reserve to date has only reduced its balance sheet by about $200,000,000,000 If you look at their expectations for reduction in balance sheet for next year at $95,000,000,000 a month, That would mean more than $1,000,000,000,000 in reduction in that Fed balance sheet next year relative to the $200,000,000,000 that we've seen so far. Speaker 300:52:03So in terms of the BrokerTec business doing well post migration, new initiatives getting good traction. We're also investing in further analytics. We're also investing in direct streaming platform, leveraging the technology that we built for UBS. So reusing that technology a second time for a new business. So overall, I think that The increased deficits of the U. Speaker 300:52:32S. Government, the decreased size of the Fed balance sheet and the high level of inflation should be Operator00:52:48The next question comes from the line of Gautam Sawan from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead. Speaker 1400:52:55Good morning and thank you for taking my question. I just had 2 follow ups here. One was just on the commentary around the interest rates complex. Given the types of trading and risk management strategies you're seeing right now with the rising short term rates, can you speak to the types of trading strategies or Changes in client behavior that could translate into activity migrating from the short end of the curve to maybe the medium and longer term products? Speaker 300:53:24Yes, sure. We've seen far stronger growth in the short end as we mentioned With every single Fed meeting in play, we've also seen very strong growth in our SOFR Futures and Options. At the long end, we have seen double digit growth although at a slower pace. We do expect, as I said already, With the reduction in the size of the Fed balance sheet and the expected $1,000,000,000,000 deficits, as far as the eye can see from the Congressional Budget Office, That long end will have a tailwind for market participants as we move forward. Speaker 1400:54:04Okay. Thank you. And as a follow-up, can you just provide an update on the metal complex? And if there's And increased willingness to participate from maybe some of the international physical warehouse operators? Speaker 600:54:19Derek? Yes. Speaker 500:54:20This is Derek. Good question. We've certainly seen a pretty significant change in what's happening in the industrial metals market post March of this year. We as we've been talking about have been putting significant efforts into Providing a robust alternative market in markets like aluminum, we've established a great deal of success in the copper markets over the last 5 years. We have seen a significant increase in activity in our aluminum business specifically since March. Speaker 500:54:51We see an influx of new client interest and demand from customers looking to take advantage of what they know is how Comex markets operate within CME Group on the precious metal side and on the copper side. As I mentioned at the top of my call, there was an exciting development and announcement yesterday out of London where Merix, which is the largest broker on the LME As announced, they will be providing direct market access into Comex aluminum products and providing market commentary on a daily basis to expand Their customer market reach and access into Comex aluminum markets. We're also seeing more commercial customers Right in Comex references for aluminum for their physical procurement, which when you're moving physical benchmarks, that's a heavy lift. So we're excited to see both on the commercial participants' side as well as on the financial participant side increasing record levels of volume open interest and commercial participation As well as the broker intermediary adoption of Comex based on client demand. So we are here to serve client needs. Speaker 500:55:50We're seeing that and our global efforts to procure access into that market I think has been something we've done a good job over the last Few months were point of inflection in this market, but we like where things are positioned and where we're going from here. Speaker 200:56:04Thanks, Derek. All right, Alex. Thank you for the question. Speaker 1400:56:09Thank you. Operator00:56:11The next question comes from the line of Owen Lau from Oppenheimer. Please go ahead. Speaker 200:56:17Good morning, and thank you for taking my question. First of all, congrats, Sean, for the retirement. So in terms of capital return, given the amount of cash you have on your balance sheet and also the leverage, How do you think about variable dividend this year? Also for valuation, given where your share is trading at compared to historical level, How would you think about share buybacks as well? Thank you. Speaker 200:56:47On our variable, I'm going to let John and Lynn A little bit here, but on our variable, obviously, we meet with our Board and our Finance Committee. We walk through a process and make a determination, and we look at Obviously, certain factors in the market, what we see coming. So we don't we will be getting that information coming out End of the year beginning of next sometime, beginning of next? Speaker 600:57:10Yes, generally early Speaker 200:57:13December. Early December. Okay. So we got a little time on that one yet, so we're not going to commit to where we're at on that yet. We are still finalizing that process. Speaker 1500:57:20Yes. So I guess I would just add that The structure we have has been in place since 2012. We've returned over $18,800,000,000 to shareholders through dividends since that time. We do like the transparency of the approach, and we think it has served us well. But as Terry said, this policy is something we review regularly with our Finance Committee of the Board, Operator00:57:50The next question comes from the line of Chris Allen from Citi. Please go ahead. Speaker 1600:57:56Good morning everyone and congrats Mr. Pesher. I hope you play a lot of golf in the future. Speaker 100:58:02I get to play with you Chris. Thank you. Speaker 1600:58:06Hopefully no caddies lighting any fires this time. Yes, I just wanted to ask about basically getting back to the rates market and revisiting some of the questions already asked. We're seeing consistent headlines on liquidity issues in U. S. Treasuries seem to be exacerbated by high volatility levels. Speaker 1600:58:25And it is a cautious outlook when you talk to players in the treasury complex and also the swaptions markets, for example, Moving forward, so I'm just trying to reconcile that with you're seeing a record large open interest holders in rates right now, Probably seen a very good trajectory in rates. So maybe help us understand like how you're thinking about potential liquidity issues and volatility issues In the cash markets and other OTC markets and how that's impacting you or it's not impacting, particularly the treasury complex on the future side moving forward? Speaker 300:59:02Yes. Thanks for the question, Chris. A really good one. If you look at the 10 year notes, As of a week ago, we had the fastest increase in U. S. Speaker 300:59:1710 year note yields Over the previous 12 weeks since 1987, so the level of volatility and the speed with which rates are trading, We have not seen in more than 35 years. Given that, Whenever you have much greater volatility, it makes sense for market participants to reduce What they are trading right in terms of the size. So in terms of prudent risk management For our customers, there is a tendency to lower the amount of liquidity that they are willing to give at any individual price level. We are seeing through this very high volatility that every price level is typically trading in our markets even when the markets move quickly. So overall, I think the markets are operating very well and something to keep in mind is that as prices move much more quickly, Top of book tends to be much smaller and that is just a natural reaction to how the market works. Speaker 301:00:28And again, I would say it's prudent risk management by our customers. Speaker 201:00:32Yes. I would also say this has had to be the most telecast liquidity potential drop that we've ever seen. When you have the Fed Raising 3 quarters of a percent at a clip and also them talking about bringing down their balance sheet at the exact same time. People expected Liquidity to maybe be a little bit disruptive, but I think they priced to Sean's point price that into their activity. So I think this is different than when we saw In 2018, when they had to step in and to add some liquidity, so I think this has been fairly well telecasted about what's happening with the liquidity situation And participants have priced it in. Speaker 201:01:09So the volatility is going to be there. We know that and we think we benefit from it. Speaker 1701:01:13And do you guys think about this Speaker 1601:01:15as kind of a temporary situation that Speaker 1701:01:16a volatility that you So now it Speaker 1601:01:17would be positive catalyst moving forward? Speaker 201:01:20I won't speak for Sean, but when you referenced some of the numbers that could go out for years to come, you had $31,000,000,000,000 on a debt and rising. You have a whole host of other issues fundamentally associated with not only with the U. S. But globally. I don't think this is a one and done deal. Speaker 201:01:34So this could be around for a while. Speaker 1601:01:37Thanks, Chris. Speaker 201:01:39Thanks, Chris. Operator01:01:43The next Question comes from the line of Ken Worthington from JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Speaker 601:01:48Hi. Thanks for taking my question. If we dig into open interest after jumping in February from about $100,000,000 contracts to $110,000,000 open interest It's been stable at about $50,000,000 of futures OI and about $60,000,000 of options OI. What is the outlook or what is your outlook for open interest over the next 12 months or so? Maybe what asset classes do you think Might see the best percentage growth from current levels. Speaker 601:02:18And is it ultimately lower volatility that drives a better OI outlook from here or might it be something else? Speaker 501:02:28Ken, I Speaker 201:02:28think that's no crystal ball here by anybody in the room to make that Determination of what it could or could not be. It's just like we cannot predict future volumes. We just don't know. There's so many geopolitical factors, Pandemic factors, a whole host of issues that could have a reflection on open interest or not. The trade could go up with open interest going down. Speaker 201:02:50The trade could go down with open interest going up. Who knows what the ultimate is going to look like? We do believe that the open interest It is a function that we keep a very close watch on. Julie and their team Julie Winkler and her team have an internal tool that helps us give guidance to what we think internally The openings is going to look like, but again, it's very, very difficult to make that prediction and especially on the asset classes. When you look at some of the asset classes, I guess, you would think in fundamentally that the ag should be higher and maybe something else should be lower or the energy should be higher and something else And maybe it's the opposite for that particular time. Speaker 201:03:27People do different things at different times, which has a massive reflection on the open interest each and every day. That's obviously why we publish it, so people can see the transparency of it, Derek. Speaker 501:03:37Yes, I think there's probably a bit of a story there relative to the options, Ken. When you actually look at across Every single asset class now on the financial side has been a very strong year up across the board. Commodities has struggled on the volume side. When you look at the options This is the future side. This is a story you hear us continue to tell. Speaker 501:03:54Options continue to perform more strongly than our futures. Our futures year to date across the Tire franchise are up 21%, options are up 27%. When you dig into the open interest there, it's even a stronger story. Even in asset classes in commodities where futures Volumes are down and open interest is down. You actually see open interest and volumes in options. Speaker 501:04:15For example, When we're seeing energy futures open interest down 24%, energy options open interest is up 6%. So Every single asset class, almost regardless of the volume trajectory this year, is seeing open interest gains. I think that's reflective of more people using Options more broadly as a bigger part of their portfolio management tools and that's why it's important that we provide the deepest most look at electronic markets in every asset class Speaker 201:04:40And we're seeing growth in futures and options. But just be careful, don't price in that if the options OI is higher than the futures that has An effect on the business because the futures and options open interest can go back and forth for a whole host of reasons and there's no one particular reason why there'll be more options growth And futures growth are more futures open interest and options open interest. So please be careful not to hold to that number of growth in options open interest because it goes back Thank you very much. Thank you. Operator01:05:14The next question comes from the line of Craig Siegenthaler from Bank of America. Please go ahead. Speaker 1801:05:21Hey, good morning, everyone. This is Eli from Craig's team. Thanks for taking my question. Could you discuss the opportunity in front of CME with the mortgage TBA futures? It's definitely a large addressable market, but could you maybe elaborate on the Deficiencies at the existing system for hedging, and then maybe discuss how this new product could potentially address those? Speaker 1801:05:42Thanks. Speaker 201:05:42Thanks, Eli. Yes, we'll let Sean go ahead and address that market. Speaker 301:05:46Yes, we're as you know, we continuously innovate and continuously launch new products that we see client demand for. In terms of our TBA futures, we are launching them on November 7. The unique value proposition that we offer here is Our client set, so many of CME Group's clients do not have access to the TVA market today, and they want To be able to trade the TVA market, so this will allow us to use our distribution channel to have a much wider audience, have access to the marketplace Van has liquid access to it today. In addition to that, as with any new rates product that we add to our platform, This will offer unique portfolio margin or margin offset opportunity. So you'll be able to trade the TBA futures The spread to our treasury futures, if you look in the cash market TBAs versus cash treasuries is a very common trade. Speaker 301:06:41So the ability to trade the TBA futures versus CMEs very liquid. Treasury futures, number 1. And then secondly, the ability so wider audience, Ability to trade those spreads last the portfolio margining that you can get between the treasury futures And the TBAs, are all unique value propositions. I don't know. I'm not going to predict. Speaker 301:07:03I think new product launches are very difficult to predict. So I will not Predict the impact. In addition to that though a couple of other things I would mention as long as you brought it up. We are also launching on October 31, Ester futures. So Ester is the European short term rate. Speaker 301:07:18It is the European equivalent of sulfur. There is no significantly successful Ester future on the market. If you look at the foreign exchange cross currency swap market today, it is being quoted as a spread between SOFR and Ester. So we are very excited and we're seeing a lot of demand for Ester futures. We're very excited about how participants then can use our Ester futures that have spread to our solar futures In order to manage their short term interest rate risk both in the U. Speaker 301:07:47S. And Europe as well as their cross currency business. In addition to that, We're seeing very strong demand as I said earlier, out of our repo business. So, Ester rates are used heavily in European repo. We're seeing an all time record year in European repo. Speaker 301:08:05We're also seeing demand from our European repo Participants, last thing I will mention is in terms of portfolio margining, we will be launching in December of this year Portfolio margining between SOFR options and interest rate swaps and also treasury options and interest rate swaps for the first time. We're very excited that in the month of September, we offered market participants a new all time record in terms of efficiencies of $8,400,000,000 a day on average. And as you can see, we're continuously enhancing that offering, as we as I just said in December. So I hope that helps to answer the question. Speaker 201:08:44Thanks, Eli, for your question. John, thank you. Do we have another question? Operator01:08:52The next question comes from the line of Simon Klinch from Atlantic Equities. Please go ahead. Speaker 1701:08:59Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. And I'll just say congrats to you John Bichaire as well for retiring. You're way too young, so I'm very jealous. Thanks, Speaker 501:09:08Dan. Speaker 1701:09:09So my question actually is just on the treasury market, the cash treasuries market. I've been Reading about the prospects of the market moving to all to all trading. And I was just wondering how CME's BrokerTec is positioned for Any kind of transition like that and sort of what the implications are generally speaking for Speaker 201:09:27you? John, it's your day. Speaker 301:09:30Thank you very much for the question. Clearly, Mr. Gensler has set out several new proposals In terms of the U. S. Treasury market, including requirements for certain hedge Funds and proprietary trading firms to become broker dealers, for treasury platforms to become full rate ATS compliant, And most recently, for significant increases in the requirements to clear U. Speaker 301:09:58S. Treasuries, Many are talking about this as being very similar to the requirements to clear U. S. Swaps now Almost a decade ago. So we navigated that at CME Group, I think very successfully with and when we used it in order to build our OTC Swap clearing business and we used it to build unique efficiencies that could not be offered by anyone else. Speaker 301:10:22As I mentioned earlier in the portfolio margin between swaps and futures And so we will navigate this similarly. We are all over it. We are in close contact with our customers. We are closely watching the developments In the proposed regulations, and we will adjust our products and services in order to ensure that we provide everything that our clients need in that type of environment. Speaker 201:10:48Great. Thanks very much. Speaker 1901:10:50Thanks, Frank. Operator01:10:53The next question comes from the line of Andrew Bohn from Rosenblatt Securities. Please go ahead. Speaker 1101:11:00Hey, good morning. Just wanted to follow-up on the open interest question, particularly in energy. I just wanted to see if you could discuss some of that dynamics driving the natural gas market currently. Over the past few years, we've seen the emergence of TTF as kind of more of a global benchmark as natural gas moved from regionally to a globally priced commodity. And we've seen some shift back to the U. Speaker 1101:11:19S. Given the dislocations in Europe and Russia, but seeing the open interest has remained relatively low. So can you kind of discuss the Henry Hub benchmark? Do you think it's become somewhat dislocated relative to the international gas market or the other dynamics that are driving this market? Thanks. Speaker 501:11:35Yes. Great question. I appreciate that. You've heard us talk about the prominence that fiscal benchmarks play in global energy markets, WTI and Henry Hub specifically. When you look at the global trends in the energy markets right now, the U. Speaker 501:11:47S. Is now the largest producer and exporter of natural gas And that LNG shipment is now becoming more important than ever before rather than pipeline gas coming into Europe from what used to be Russia, TTS is under pressure to be redefined into something different than pipeline gas because that simply has been cut off. There's both opportunity and threat in that situation. Certainly, the TTF market is trying to figure out what that input is going to be. Right now, we have actually just about 3 weeks ago launched a new contract for to specifically address what is a gap in the European Natural gas market to specifically go into European LNG contract, which is an import contract based in Northern Europe. Speaker 501:12:32So as TTF no longer can rely on pipeline gas coming in from Russia, we worked with Platts as a price assessment agent to launch a futures contract that is European LNG that We think is probably the best opportunity for the market to adopt as LNG is going to be that import source of gas for Europe. Taking a step back and look at the long term picture, given the lowest price gas in the world is coming from the U. S. Or record export levels and if you look at the As I mentioned at the top Speaker 701:12:59of the Speaker 501:12:59call, the pipeline for LNG liquefaction facilities coming out of the U. S. Over the next 10 years, Natural gas is the transition fuel, but it's also the energy fuel of the future itself, not just the transition. Henry Hub Is the price marker for LNG cargoes coming out of the U. S. Speaker 501:13:18Increasingly that is becoming the source of fuel for Asia and Europe. So Henry Hub is at the pivotal center of the natural gas market. We think it's the physical marker where LNG cargo shipments are priced off Henry Hub. That further positions and strengthens Henry Hub as the central price marker globally for both Europe and Asia. So we like the position. Speaker 501:13:39We like the structural Growth of Physical Benchmarks with the U. S. Being the leader of the exporter of these markets and we think that the long term prospects for Henry Hub and our market particularly Very well placed for long term strength there. Speaker 201:13:54Great. Thanks. Thank you. Operator01:13:58And as for our last question, we have Richard Patter from Piper Sandler on the line. Please go ahead. Speaker 701:14:05Yes, thank you. Since it was already brought up earlier, I do want to point out a flaw in John Picchu's service, And that's his golf game was very suspect over the 20 years. Anyway, Well, you have more time to work on it like Chris said. I do have a serious question though. So it's been mentioned a number of times about Cross Margining and Margining Efficiencies. Speaker 701:14:39And I know Terry, you've been working on it, and there's been a I think there's a leadership Change going on at DTCC. So I guess what is the potential to get increased Cross Margining Efficiencies in the Treasury Complex with DTCC? Speaker 1701:14:58And is that something that gets Come Speaker 701:15:00on board and it just immediately releases capital and is a benefit to clients? Speaker 201:15:07Yes. Rich, let me make a couple of comments about that on the timing, and then I'll let Sunil, who obviously has been living and breathing this for several years in his former life in the clearing entity Working with DTCC and the regulators. We are at a point now where I believe sometime early next month, we'll be doing the final filings along with To the government agencies to submit into the SEC for approval on the cross margining. And then hopefully, sometime thereafter when the clock It's up or in between that we will get it. I think we had it it's been a long process in achieving to try to achieve these efficiencies. Speaker 201:15:45So We feel confident that we're going to get them. And hopefully, we're at the in the 9th inning of getting approval on this. But again, I don't want to Overpromise and underdeliver on that. But I do that is the timeline right now. I've been head to head of DTCC Here in Chicago, the new President of it, 2 weeks ago, we had a good meeting. Speaker 201:16:09I've talked To the SEC, I've talked to others. I think we're in a very strong position to get this done. But let me ask Sunil to give comments as it relates to the offsets for the clients. Speaker 601:16:19Rich, I'll Speaker 1901:16:21spend a brief moment on offsets. We've done Cross margining with several clearinghouses, we do that with DTCC today as well. The effort we're going through right now is to improve the margin and portfolio benefit. In terms of actual offset, It's a function of one's portfolio. So if it is duration matched and it's a basis rate, then the offsets tend to be very high. Speaker 1901:16:49But if it is of a different nature then the offsets are a function of that risk profile. So it's very hard to actually come and give an Exact offset number and it's very portfolio dependent. Having said that, the idea here is to give clients who trade both futures And cash products, the most capital efficient solution, so they can carry their portfolios through time. So That's our objective, and I think we are on our way to actually deliver that. Speaker 201:17:21Thanks, Juniel. Speaker 701:17:23Got it. Thank you. Speaker 201:17:24Thanks, Rich. Operator01:17:27As there are no further questions, I'll hand the floor back to management for closing remarks. Speaker 201:17:34Well, again, well, thank you, John. Thank you, sir, again. But thank you all for participating in today's call. We appreciate you taking time Listen to us, and we look forward to talking to you soon. Be well. Operator01:17:49Thank you for joining today's call. You may now disconnect your lines.Read morePowered by