NYSE:KMX CarMax Q4 2023 Earnings Report $66.29 -0.26 (-0.39%) As of 05/9/2025 03:53 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast CarMax EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.44Consensus EPS $0.24Beat/MissBeat by +$0.20One Year Ago EPS$0.98CarMax Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$5.72 billionExpected Revenue$6.10 billionBeat/MissMissed by -$378.82 millionYoY Revenue Growth-25.60%CarMax Announcement DetailsQuarterQ4 2023Date4/11/2023TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateTuesday, April 11, 2023Conference Call Time9:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsCarMax's Q1 2026 earnings is scheduled for Friday, June 20, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 9:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Annual Report (10-K)SEC FilingEarnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by CarMax Q4 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrApril 11, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 17 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 4th Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 CarMax Earnings Release Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. Operator00:00:22I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Lowenstein, AVP, Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:33Thank you, Corliss. Good morning. Thank you for joining our fiscal 2023 4th Quarter Earnings Conference Call. I'm here today with Bill Nash, our President and CEO Enrique Mayermora, our Executive Vice President and CFO and John Daniels, our Senior Vice President, CarMax Auto Finance Operations. Let me remind you, Our statements today that are not statements of historical fact, including statements regarding the company's future business plans, prospects and financial performance, are forward looking statements that we make pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Speaker 100:01:17These statements are based on our current knowledge, expectations and assumptions and are subject to substantial risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. In providing projections and other forward looking statements, we disclaim any intent or obligation to update them. For additional information on important factors that could affect these expectations, please see our Form 8 ks followed with the SEC this morning and our annual report on Form 10 ks for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2022, previously filed with the SEC. Should you have any follow-up questions after the call, please feel free to contact our Investor Relations department at 804 740seven-four twenty two extension 7,865. Lastly, Let me thank you in advance for asking only one question and getting back in the queue for more follow ups. Speaker 100:02:21Bill? Speaker 200:02:22Great. Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. The current challenges in the used auto industry are well documented with affordability pressured by broad inflation, climbing interest rates, tightening lending standards and prolonged low consumer confidence. We are continuing to leverage our strongest assets, our associates, our experience and our culture to build momentum and manage through this cycle. Speaker 200:02:47While there are many macro factors that we cannot control, we have taken deliberate steps to support our business both the near term and the long run. This quarter, we reduced SG and A further. We delivered strong retail GPU through our vehicle acquisition, reconditioning and margin management strategies, continuing to test price elasticity. We adjusted offers to deliver strong wholesale GPU while increasing unit sales quarter over quarter. We aligned used saleable inventory units with market conditions while driving down total inventory dollars more than 25% year over year. Speaker 200:03:22And finally, we raised CAF's consumer rates to help offset rising cost of funds while still growing CAF's penetration. We are prioritizing initiatives to drive efficiency and improve experiences for our associates and customers. We believe these steps will enable us to come out of this cycle leaner and more effective, while also positioning us for future growth. Reflecting on fiscal 2023, We achieved a number of key milestones in each area of our diversified business model. We enabled online self progression for all of our retail customers, enhanced our wholesale shopping experience and completed the nationwide rollout of our finance based shopping prequalification product. Speaker 200:04:00All of these accomplishments further position our business for growth as the most customer centric experience in the industry. I'll talk more about these later in the call. And now on to our results for the Q4 of FY2023. Our diversified business model delivered total sales of $5,700,000,000 down 26% compared to last year, driven by lower retail and wholesale volume and prices. In our retail business, Total unit sales declined 12.6 percent and used unit comps were down 14.1%. Speaker 200:04:31Average selling prices declined approximately $2,700 per unit or 9% year over year. In addition to the macro factors I mentioned previously, we believed our performance continued to be impacted by transitory competitive responses to the current environment. Our market share data indicates that our nationwide share of 0 to 10 year old vehicles remained at 4% for calendar year 2022. External title data shows that the market share gains we achieved during the first half of the year were offset by share losses during the second half of the year as we prioritize profitability over near term market share. For context, We have lost the market share during prior down cycles. Speaker 200:05:11In those cases, we recovered the market share and then continued to grow it to new heights as economic conditions improved. We remain focused on achieving profitable market share gains that can be sustained for the long term and plan to continue running extensive price elasticity tests. The results from our most recent test confirm that holding margins during the quarter was the right profitability play. Despite the decrease in average selling price, 4th quarter retail gross profit per used unit was $22.77 up $82 per unit year over year, demonstrating our ability to appropriately value vehicles and effectively manage margin inventory. Wholesale unit sales were down 19.3 percent versus the Q4 last year, but improved from the 36.7% decline during this year's Q3 as our total buyers from consumers and dealers improved sequentially. Speaker 200:06:03Wholesale average selling price declined approximately $3,200 per unit or 28% year over year, though we saw some appreciation beginning in January. Wholesale gross profit unit was $11.87 which is consistent with last year's 4th quarter. Margin benefited from the recent price appreciation I just mentioned and from strong dealer demand, particularly at the end of the quarter. We bought approximately 262,000 vehicles from consumers and dealers during the quarter, down 22% from last year's record, but a sequential improvement from the 40% decline during this year's Q3. Our self sufficiency remained above 70% during the quarter. Speaker 200:06:42We purchased approximately 247,000 cars from consumers in the quarter with a little more than half of those buys coming through our online instant appraisal experience. We sourced approximately 15,000 vehicles through dealers, up 4% from last year. In regard to our 4th quarter online metrics, approximately 14% of retail unit sales were online, up from 11% in the prior year. Approximately 52% of retail unit sales were omni sales this quarter, down from 55% in the prior year. Nearly all of our 4th quarter wholesale auctions and sales, which represents 18 percent of total revenue remain virtual and are considered online transactions. Speaker 200:07:25We began a small wholesale auction simulcast test during the quarter to gauge dealer interest in resuming in person attendance and we'll continue to test options for live attendance during FY 2024. Total revenue resulting from online transactions was approximately 30%, down slightly from last year. CarMax Auto Finance, or CAF, delivered income of $124,000,000 down from $194,000,000 during the same period last year. John will provide more detail on customer financing, the loan loss provision and CAF contribution in a few moments. At this I'd like to turn the call over to Enrique, who will provide more information on our Q4 financial performance. Speaker 200:08:04Enrique? Speaker 300:08:05Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everyone. Our continued focus on managing what is in our control drove a sequential improvement from the Q3 across key financial metrics, including EPS, gross profit and SG and A. 4th quarter net earnings per diluted share was $0.44 down from $0.98 a year ago. Total gross profit was $611,000,000 down 14% from last year's 4th quarter. Used retail margin of $387,000,000 and wholesale vehicle margin of $143,000,000 declined 9% 20%, respectively. Speaker 300:08:44The year over year decreases were driven by lower volume across used and wholesale. This was partially offset by strong margin per unit performance. Used unit margins increased from last year's 4th quarter and wholesale margins per unit were flat year over year. Other gross profit was $81,000,000 down 24% from last year's 4th quarter. This decrease was driven primarily by a decline in extended protection plan or EPP revenues. Speaker 300:09:17In addition to the impact of lower retail unit sales, profit sharing revenues from our partners decreased from $33,000,000 and last year's Q4 to $16,000,000 in this year's quarter. This was partially offset by stronger margins and a favorable year over year return reserve adjustment. Penetration was flat year over year at approximately 60%. 3rd party finance fees were relatively flat over last year's Q4 with lower volume and fee generating Tier 2 offset by lower Tier 3 volume for which we pay a fee. Service was also relatively flat over last year's 4th quarter, reflecting sequential improvement in year over year performance. Speaker 300:10:03We have maintained our technician staffing levels and have put in place key efficiency and cost coverage goals for our teams. This supports our expectations of improved performance in FY 2024 compared to the full FY2023 year. The extent of this improvement will also be governed by sales performance given the leverage deleveraged nature of service. On the SG and A front, expenses for the Q4 were $573,000,000 down 8% from the prior year's quarter and down 3% sequentially from this year's Q3. SG and A as a percent of gross profit was higher than the 4th quarter last year due primarily to the 14% decrease in total gross profit dollars compared to last year's quarter. Speaker 300:10:51The change in SG and A dollars over last year was mainly due to the following factors. First, we reduced advertising by $34,000,000 2nd, total compensation and benefits decreased $17,000,000 which included an $18,000,000 increase in share based compensation. Excluding the latter, compensation and benefits was down $35,000,000 of which $18,000,000 was due to a lower corporate bonus accrual in the quarter. 3rd, other overhead increased by $6,000,000 The year over year increase in investments in our technology platforms and strategic growth initiatives was primarily the result of decisions made in prior quarters. This was partially offset by a favorable year over year comparison due to costs incurred in last year's 4th quarter associated with a significant ramp in staffing and favorability in a variety of other smaller costs this year. Speaker 300:11:50During the quarter, We continue to take steps to better align our expenses to our sales. This included further reducing staffing through attrition in our stores and CECs, limiting hiring and contractor utilization in our corporate offices and continuing to align our marketing spend to sales. While our advertising expense on the dollar and per unit basis was lower year over year on the quarter, our investment for the quarter and full year on a per unit basis remains aligned with last year's full year spend level. For fiscal 2024, in total, we anticipate maintaining per unit spend at a similar level to FY2023 with per unit spend varying from quarter to quarter. We believe that at this point, we largely have the resources in place to meet our near term omni channel and other digital investment needs. Speaker 300:12:47Accordingly, our expectation is that we will bend the expense growth curve on our omnichannel investments and our overall SG and A. In FY 2024, we expect to require low single digit gross profit growth to lever SG and A, well below the levels we've guided to during the investment heavy phases of our omni transformation. As a result, We expect to deliver a stronger flow through of gross profit growth to profitability. While we expect that the front half of the year will benefit experienced in Q4 may be muted, particularly in Q1. This dynamic stems from rolling over a more comparable period for advertising and the corporate bonus accrual in Q1 and the 4th quarter declines that I noted earlier. Speaker 300:13:47While not providing specific guidance beyond FY 2024, we expect that this bending of the SG and A growth curve will carry over beyond this year. This will support our pathway back to a lower SG and A leverage ratio with the initial goal of returning to the mid-seventy percent range over time. Hitting this range will also require healthier consumer demand. Regarding capital structure, Our first priority remains to fund the business. Given recent performance and ongoing market uncertainty, We continue to take a conservative approach to our capital structure. Speaker 300:14:23While our adjusted net debt to capital ratio was slightly below our 35% to 45 targeted range. We are managing our net leverage to maintain the flexibility that allows us to efficiently access Capital Markets for both CAF and CarMax as a whole. In keeping with this goal of maintaining flexibility, we continue to pause our share buybacks. Our $2,450,000,000 authorization remains in place as does our commitment to return capital to shareholders over time. For capital expenditures, we anticipate approximately $450,000,000 in FY 2024, similar to our FY2023 level. Speaker 300:15:05This spend is primarily being driven by investments in land and the build out of facilities related to long term growth capacity for production and auctions. New store development is also contributing to CapEx, albeit at a lower level as we have slowed the pace of openings in FY 2024. In FY 2024, we plan to open 5 new locations, including 2 more stores in the New York City Metro market, as well as our 1st off-site production location in the Atlanta Metro market. Our extensive nationwide footprint and logistics network continues to be a competitive advantage for CarMax. Our liquidity remains very strong and we ended the quarter with approximately 3 $50,000,000 in cash on the balance sheet and no draw on our $2,000,000,000 revolver. Speaker 300:15:52Now I'd like to turn the call over to John. Speaker 400:15:55Thanks, Enrique, and good morning, everyone. During the Q4, CarMax Auto Finance originated $1,900,000,000 resulting in penetration of 44.7 percent net of 3 day payoffs, up from the 41% seen in the same quarter last year and in line with Q3. The weighted average contract rate charged to new customers at 10.9% was up 110 basis points from Q3 and 2.70 basis points from the same period last year. We were pleased with our ability to increase consumer rates within the quarter, while maintaining a consistent share of finance contracts sequentially and growing our share of finance contracts substantially on a year over year basis. Tier 2 penetration in the quarter was 19.4%, lower than typical seasonal levels. Speaker 400:16:40Tier 3 penetration was flat to last year at 6.9%. While our long term lending partners continue to complement each other in providing strong credit offers to our customers, we did observe year over year tightening as both rising interest rates and delinquencies likely led to these adjustments. Of note, CAF has also adjusted its underwriting standards in reaction to the current environment, including towards the end of Q4, reducing its targeted percentage of Tier 3 volume from 10% to 5%. Cap income for the quarter was $124,000,000 down from $194,000,000 in the same period last year. The $70,000,000 year over year decrease is primarily driven by a $44,000,000 increase in loan loss provision as well as a $61,000,000 increase in interest expense, partially offset by growth in interest and fee income. Speaker 400:17:31Within the quarter, total interest margin decreased to $262,000,000 down $22,000,000 from the same quarter last year. The corresponding margin to receivables rate of 6.3% is down approximately 100 basis points year over year and 125 basis points from the near 10 year peak seen in this year's Q1, driven mostly by the significant interest rate jumps absorbed during the past year. In response, we have made numerous pricing moves over the last 12 months, including in the Q4 that should cause the reduction in margin to slow and allow this portfolio rate to level off in fiscal year 2024. The loan loss provision in Q4 of $98,000,000 results in an ending reserve balance of $507,000,000 or 3.02 percent of ending receivables. This is compared to a reserve of 491 $1,000,000 last quarter, which was 2.95 percent of receivables. Speaker 400:18:26This sequential 7 basis point adjustment in the reserve to receivable ratio reflects unfavorable performance in the portfolio as well as the uncertain macro environment along with the continued increase in cash Tier 2 and Tier 3 volume. We continue to target and operate within the 2% to 2.5% cumulative net credit loss range for our core Tier 1 portfolio We believe we are appropriately reserved for future losses. Regarding further advancements in our credit technology, We continue to stabilize and improve upon our nationally available best in class prequalification product, finance based shopping or FBS. During the Q4, we fully deployed yet another of our large lending partners within the FBS platform, now bringing the total 5 well established lenders that are providing decisions on the full vehicle inventory for an applicant and co applicant leveraging a soft credit pull. Note what truly makes this product distinct in the used auto industry is our ability to calculate over 6,000,000 unique credit decisions every minute from multiple finance sources, each leveraging their own distinct credit models and then to make these offers digitally available to customers wherever they are shopping in the store at home or walking the lot. Speaker 400:19:42During this upcoming Q1, we hope to add additional finance partners to the platform as work is already well underway. Now I'll turn the call back over to Bill. Speaker 200:19:51Thank you, John and Enrique. As I mentioned at the start of the call, even as we navigated the challenges of fiscal 'twenty three, We achieved a number of key milestones during the year by focusing on making our omnichannel experience faster, simpler and more seamless for our associates and customers. I'm proud of the progress that we've made on our journey to deliver the most customer centric experience in the industry. Some highlights from this year that will have a lasting impact across our diversified business model are for retail, we enabled online self progression capabilities for all of our customers. As we evolve our omni channel experience, we're also updating our operating models to drive efficiency gains in our stores. Speaker 200:20:28During the year, we launched self checking capabilities for appraisal customers and also enhanced eSign functionality to better enable self progression. Our e commerce engine combined with our unparalleled Nationwide Fiscal Footprint is a competitive advantage. Our ability to deliver integration across digital and physical transactions For wholesale, we rolled out a modernized mobile friendly vehicle details page that displays the most relevant information from dealers They need to preview our wholesale inventory, creating a shopping experience for dealers that is similar to how consumers shop our retail inventory. We also expanded Mack's offer, our digital appraisal product for dealers to approximately 50 markets, which enable us to build on our leading position as a buyer of cars. We utilize our Edmund sales team to sign up new dealers for the service, which provides profitable incremental wholesale volume. Speaker 200:21:26For credit and cash, we completed the nationwide rollout of finance based shopping, our multi lender prequalification product. As John mentioned, this gives customers the flexibility to digitally receive quick credit decisions from a majority of our lenders across the entire vehicle inventory. Over 80% of our customers have used this online tool as they begin the credit process. In addition, TAP is equally focused on coming out of this cycle leaner and more effective. The team is already leveraging the new loan receivable system that we deployed a little over a year ago to deliver on savings opportunities with many more expected in the upcoming years. Speaker 200:22:02Looking ahead to fiscal 2024, we will build on last year's initiatives and prioritize projects that unlock operating efficiencies and Some examples include for retail, we are leveraging data science, automation and AI to make it even easier for customers to complete key transaction steps on their own and to go back and forth between assisted health and self progression. We are also building digital tools that will support customers across key transaction steps and their journey and give them better insight into their remaining steps. These tools will drive online sales to make it easier for customers to opt in to express pickup. This delivery option offers customers the ability to complete their transaction at one of our stores in as little as 30 minutes and represents a win win opportunity. Our research shows that customers love this experience when utilized and it will enable us to lower costs over time. Speaker 200:23:04For wholesale, we will leverage our modernized vehicle detail page to offer new services. Some examples include AI enhanced condition reports and proxy bidding capabilities. We will also improve Mac's offer by rolling out our instant offer experience to all participating dealers. These tools will enable us to drive incremental operational efficiencies as we continue to scale our wholesale volume, all while providing a better experience. For CAF, we're working to integrate our finance based shopping product into our stores and customer experience centers more seamlessly so that all consumers can enjoy the full experience. Speaker 200:23:40As John mentioned, we will also continue to pursue opportunities to add additional lenders to the platform, which will expand the breadth and depth of offers available to our customers. While these are a few good examples, our entire organization from Edmunds to Logistics is focused on improving efficiencies and experiences. We are confident in the future of our diversified business. We will continue to evaluate our performance relative to our long term financial targets annually. As we start fiscal 2024, We are affirming the targets that we updated in April 2022, selling between $2,200,000 vehicles through our combined retail and wholesale channels by fiscal 2026 generating between $33,000,000,000 $45,000,000,000 in revenue by fiscal 2026 and growing our nationwide market share of dear to 10 year old vehicles to more than 5% by the end of calendar 2025. Speaker 200:24:31I want to thank and congratulate all of our associates for the work they do. They are our strongest differentiator and the key to our success. Last week, Fortune Magazine named CarMax as one of its 100 Best Companies to Work For, for the 19th year in a row. I am incredibly proud of this recognition, particularly as we face a challenging year. It's due to our associates' commitments to supporting each other, our customers and our communities every day. Speaker 200:24:57Over our nearly 30 year history, we've navigated many challenging environments and have emerged stronger each time. This environment is no different and I'm confident that the actions we are taking will enable us to drive robust growth as the market improves. With that, we'll be happy to take your questions. Corliss? Operator00:25:17Absolutely. At this time, we will open the floor for Speaker 200:25:392. Operator00:25:40Please limit your questions to 1 at a time. And your first question comes from the line of John Healy with Northcoast Research. Speaker 500:26:00Guys, I wanted to talk just Speaker 600:26:01a little bit about the CAF business to start off. Enrique, I was hoping maybe you could hit us with kind of maybe your thoughts Where maybe some of the key metrics might look out maybe say the next quarter or so, maybe on kind of losses as well as recoveries and maybe the crosscurrents there. But also just kind of on your cost of funds and where that's kind of moving to of late as well as kind of the coupon rate that's going to the consumer and is there a lag, is there a catch up period? Just how we can think about maybe some of those dynamics moving for as we start fiscal 2024. Speaker 300:26:38Yes. Thanks for the question, John. I'll address the cost of funds and kind of how to think about that, but I'll turn it over to John to talk about the business. So from a cost of funds perspective, what I'd tell you is that the securitization market, which we're largely dependent on, the market is open. It's constructive Currently and what we've seen, you saw it in our first deal where the cost of funds came down relative to the deal that ended in 2022, right? Speaker 300:27:03And so we do believe that the benchmarks continue to come down, spreads continue to be healthy and we would expect that to kind of carry forward. Per timing, you would expect us to be in the market here in the near term, but We would expect to be able to execute our deal. And again, I think relative to a couple of deals ago where the market really was compressed and the cost of funds was one of the highest we had seen in many, many, many years. It's come down from there. Still higher than obviously what we'd like Certainly better than where they had trended a couple of deals ago. Speaker 700:27:39Sure. And I'll jump in Speaker 400:27:40on the other metrics. Just to piggyback on the cost of funds, obviously, the other component there is the kind of The APR that's in the deal as well. Last time we were at 9.09, we just cited that we were 10.9 on our originations in this quarter. We've done a great job of raising rates through the year. So Can imagine that to drive through into future deals as well. Speaker 400:27:57So if spread settles in and our APRs are higher that should benefit us. With regard to losses and delinquencies, As mentioned in the prepared remarks, again, we've taken our reserve up to $507,000,000 That's 3.02 percent of receivables. Did mention that some of that is driven by unfavorability in the portfolio and the macro environment. I think the entire industry is feeling A higher sense of delinquency in the consumer for us in the existing book of business. You've got some you've got definitely higher inflation, making it more challenging for consumers. Speaker 400:28:33Our newer originations are purchasing at a higher average selling price. Therefore, there's a higher payment. So people are having to work through having a higher auto payment than they might normally be used to. So All these factors are things we're watching very carefully. We've reserved accordingly for it, but definitely a rise in delinquencies that We've done a nice job with and hasn't fully trended its way into losses and we think we're going to be able to continue to serve the consumer well. Speaker 400:28:59The other thing I'll add to that is we did mention in the prepared remarks And we have tightened many lenders have tightened down there in our platform as well as outside of the industry and we've tightened as well. It's something that we've done on a regular basis. We did it in the Great Recession. We did it at the start of the pandemic. We've done it many times in between. Speaker 400:29:18So we have tightened just to make it a little more conservative to watch this consumer carefully. But again, with our tightening, Our partners will be happy to pick up that volume as we've done. So looking out, hard to say where losses and delinquencies are going to be, but we think we're in that 2% to 2.5% range as we always have. We think we're well reserved and we'll watch the consumer carefully. Speaker 600:29:40Great. Thank you. Operator00:29:49And the next question comes from Michael Montani with Evercore ISI. Your line is open. Speaker 200:29:57Great. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to ask on retail and wholesale GPUs. Those were both I think stronger than we were anticipating. If you could just provide some update on pricing volatility that we're seeing pretty unprecedented, I think, both at retail as well as at wholesale. Speaker 200:30:15And then competitively, what you're seeing in the market, How sustainable is this kind of strong discipline in GPU, I guess, for those two segments? Sure. Good morning, Michael. Yes, on the retail and wholesale GPU, obviously, they did come in stronger. I think the wholesale benefited a little bit. Speaker 200:30:33We saw some appreciation and the latter part of the quarter, which when that generally happens, we usually trail whether it goes up or comes down. So I think that added a little bit of favorability there. I think as you go forward thinking about wholesale, I would land probably more in the line of where we've been historically $900,000 to $1,000 On the retail side, again, we did expansive price elasticity testing and determined that We could have sold a few more cars, but we actually would have made less money. So we held the retail JTUs. They're pretty similar to the 3rd quarter. Speaker 200:31:06They were up year over year, and that's more of a function of the fact that we continue to have a higher mix of older vehicles, which carry a little bit more A little bit more margin. I think just in the retail pricing environment in totality, We did see some depreciation at the beginning of the quarter. We saw a little bit of appreciation at the latter part. If you go back a year ago, not this year, they just completed the year before, prices appreciated about $7,500 and that's in the 0 to 5 year old cars this year. By the end of the calendar year, they had come back about $5,000 I would expect even though we've seen some recent appreciation, I would expect to probably start to see a little bit more depreciation as we go forward. Speaker 200:31:55So that should continue to give a little bit of relief on the overall retail sales price. Speaker 500:32:01Thank you. Speaker 800:32:03Sure. Operator00:32:06And the next question comes from the line of Craig Kennison with Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 900:32:14Hey, good morning and thank you for taking my question. We're hearing that some banks Speaker 200:32:25Orliss, I think we may have lost Craig. Operator00:32:30Craig, your line is open. Speaker 900:32:32Yes. Good morning. Can you hear me? Speaker 200:32:34Yes. We can hear you, Craig. Go ahead. Speaker 900:32:36Thank you. Yes. So we've heard that some banks are pulling back on floor plan credit for some of your competitors. I'm wondering since you self fund your inventory. Would you expect an advantage sourcing inventory in this environment? Speaker 200:32:52Yes. I think It's hard to say. I mean, what I would tell you is because our self sufficiency is so high, we just really haven't had an issue on sourcing environment. It's not like we're Going out and competing in the auction lanes as much as we used to. I think it remains to be seen what the impact is on competitors and where they get their funding. Speaker 200:33:13I guess theoretically it could cause prices to go down if they are not able to source financing to keep inventory on the lots. But that remains to be seen. Speaker 1000:33:25Thank you. Operator00:33:31The next question comes from the line of Rajat Gupta with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Speaker 1100:33:40Great. Thanks for taking the question. Just had like a question on SG and A and one within that. Maybe just on the store occupancy cost, It was lower quarter over quarter by roughly 10% despite 5 new stores opened. Is there something we're missing there? Speaker 1100:34:03We would have expected it to be up sequentially given the new openings, but I just want to make sure I will not be missing any one timers there. And then I have a quick follow-up. Speaker 300:34:12Great. Yes. Thanks, Rajat. Yes, I don't think you're missing anything. I think a couple points here. Speaker 300:34:17One is that there was some timing of spend. From quarter to quarter, things will vary. So we had some timing favorability this quarter over the previous quarter. In addition, given the volumes and where they're at, we had a bit of a pullback in our rent. As volumes flex, We will move up in terms of our off lot short term capacity to accommodate volumes. Speaker 300:34:39And given where volumes are at, we did have pullback in our off-site capacity. So you'll see that reflected in occupancy through lower rent. So those are the 2 bigger items I tell you within the quarter. Speaker 1100:34:53Understood. That's helpful. And in terms of just budgeting purposes for SG and A for the year, What kind of view are you taking on the used car market this year? I mean, do you expect the industry, specifically the 0 to 10 year old space to grow this year and do you expect to grow share within that with the level of ad spend that you're guiding to. Just curious like what kind of shape of recovery are you assuming in your budgeting plan? Speaker 200:35:22Yes, Rajat, thanks for the question. We're certainly not economists, but I think there's some publications, I think like Cox for example has the used market overall being down a little bit this year. I think they also have it Softer in the front part, I mean softer in the front part a little bit better in the back half. I think that's The way we think about it as well, but that remains to be seen. And as always on the market share, Our goal is whether the market is a good market or a bad market, we want to gain profitable market share. Speaker 200:35:57And I spoke to just the transitory pressures that we continue to see in this quarter as it relates to market share. But given previous experiences, we would expect that to turn and then we get back into gaining market share. Speaker 1100:36:15Understood. Thank you. Speaker 800:36:17Sure. Operator00:36:20Our next question comes from the line of Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 800:36:27Hi, good morning. Speaker 300:36:28Good morning. Speaker 800:36:29So the question I want to so in the comments, it sounds like you are telegraphing for this year now A lower leverage point. You're going to leverage expenses at lower rates of growth. So I guess the question I have is To make sure I'm correct in that assessment, and then what changed? I mean, what levers were you able to pull in order to allow that to happen? And then again kind of going back to your comments for the clarification, should we assume then as the business eventually strengthens out of this cyclical trough that leverage point will remain more subdued than it has been previously. Speaker 200:37:05Yes, Brian. Thanks for the question. I'll give you my thoughts first. I'm sure Enrique will have some thoughts as well. But you're exactly right. Speaker 200:37:12We are sending the message that we expect this to And if you think about the past few years, every year we update and say, okay, this is what it's going to take to lever and we are running update in this past year prior to the year we said, hey, it's going to require more than that because of the investments we knew we were making plus some Speaker 700:37:31of the Speaker 200:37:31carryover investments. We hadn't been giving longer term guidance. Because quite honestly, while many companies have gone from a pure brick and mortar to more of an omnichannel, there really Hasn't been any other example of companies doing that with what I call a considered purchase where there's a lot of back and forth between physical and Digital Properties. And so I almost equate this to renovating an old house, which unfortunately I haven't experienced with that You don't know what you don't know until you get into it. And every time you pull down a wall in Old House, there's some new surprise there. Speaker 200:38:06Well, with this, every time we would turnover of rock as it related to the omni channel experience. There were 2 other rocks underneath it. And I think what we've gotten to the point of is that We've built out our product organization. We feel really good about the resources there. We've got the base of the capabilities. Speaker 200:38:22Now it's about enhancing. And then as we enhance and finish some things, we'll shift people to work on different things. So we feel good about the resources that we have, at this point. And I'll let Enrique add any other Speaker 300:38:32Yes, just to build on that a little bit. As I said in my prepared remarks, we are past the investment heavy phase of our omni transformation. We believe, largely speaking, that we have the resources in place, we're appropriately staffed, And now it's really a matter of executing on our plans, which are really focused around enhancing efficiencies, enhancing and strengthening experiences for our customers and for our associates, right? But we believe we passed that point. So we do think that now and for the guidance that we've given, Low single digit gross profit growth is what we're going to need to lever. Speaker 300:39:10And I would think about that as well as carrying beyond FY 2024 and into when I'm giving specific guidance, I would think about that. That is kind of where we are in our maturity curve as a company and that's kind Operator00:39:31Our next question comes from the line of Sharon Zackfia with William Blair. Your line is open. Speaker 1200:39:38Hi, good morning. A few things around SG and A. I just want to make sure I understand the context around leverage. So are you referring to SG and A leverage as a percent of sales or SG and A to gross profits? I just want to make sure we're all level set on what metric you're using. Speaker 1200:39:56I also want to clarify the cadence in the first quarter. Are you referring to sequential moderation in the decline or year over year moderation. I think that's kind of important to quantify as well. And then Lastly, and I'm sorry, it's a multipronged question. It's just on the ad spend. Speaker 1200:40:15So I was a little surprised to hear and I think I heard correctly that ad spend per car would remain consistent year over year. And I just wondered the thought process behind that given the environment we're in, which It sounds as if a lot of people are just priced out of cars period. So I wonder about keeping that ad spend kind of at the same level versus retracting maybe more towards the $300 level that you had historically. Speaker 300:40:43Yes. Thank you, Sharon, for the multiple questions. And see here if I can Speaker 1200:40:47Couple of clarifications. I'm using the clarification next few. Speaker 700:40:50I guess, yes, there is Speaker 300:40:51a nuance difference here, right? So on the first one, absolutely, we moved to leverage being defined as SBNA to gross profit. So not retail units, Not sales because as you know as we've migrated and transformed ourselves, it's not about just solely per retail unit is also about our wholesale business, about our CAF business. So we take a holistic look and our leverage point specifically is on gross profit. So I think that was your first point of clarification. Speaker 300:41:20The second for the Q1, yes, it is an important point and I had it in my notes here that I spoke to. So in the Q4, right, we year over year, we were down 8% in SG and A. So what we're Communicating here is that in the Q1 of FY 'twenty four upcoming year, that decrease may be muted compared The year over year decrease in the Q1 versus last year's Q1 would be muted compared to that 8%. And that's just because we'll be We'll have more comparables when it comes to the corporate bonus accrual, which in the Q4 was down pretty materially as I called out in my notes. As well, our Q4 last year, our marketing spend was much higher than what it was in this Q4, which provided some relief in this Q4. Speaker 300:42:06So that presents a little bit more of a challenge for the Q1 of FY2024 as compared year over year as compared to FY 2023. And then lastly, on marketing per spend, we made a decision a few years ago to take our marketing per unit spend up along with our journey here and our transformation. And That's where we currently what we intend on keeping it. We believe we have a strong line of sight into ROI and very accretive properties and investments here. Our marketing team does a fantastic job in being able to track what is accretive, what is ROI generating and what is not ROI generating. Speaker 300:42:46So we have a pretty good understanding of our portfolio of investments when it comes to marketing and currently we think that $350,000,000 roughly per unit spend is appropriate for where we are. Speaker 200:42:57And Sharon, the only other thing I would add to that is, and Enrique said this in his comments, It can vary quarter to quarter. You may be up in some quarters, you may be down in some other quarters and that will really be dictated by some of the ROI that we're seeing. We're always going to have Brands been out there because I think it's important long term. So the other thing I think of note here is that when we think about advertising, We also it's not just about customer acquisition, it's also about vehicle acquisition. So there may be some times where you spend up a little bit more Trying to buy cars from consumers. Speaker 200:43:28So again, we'll continue to monitor this. Operator00:43:32Okay. Thank you. Speaker 200:43:33Thank you. Operator00:43:37Your next question comes from the line of Scot Ciccarelli with Truist Securities. Your line is open. Speaker 1300:43:45Hey, guys. It's got Ciccarelli. Obviously, retail prices are still up quite a bit, average rates also up And so monthly payments are up meaningfully. I know it's causing a double digit decline in comps, but I guess what kind of impact is it having specifically on your conversion rate? In other words, like when we look at the sales decline, is it being driven more by reduction in traffic or kind of the first swing at the plate that you guys get? Speaker 1300:44:08Or is it more kind of people get close to the finish line and then just decide that they really can't afford what they're looking at? Like is it one more than the other or they those factors about the same? Speaker 200:44:18Yes. Great question, Scott, and welcome back to the call. Speaker 500:44:22Thank you. Speaker 200:44:23It's We see the traffic top of funnel. So it's not top of funnel. The degradation really happens at the conversion point and which can make sense as you Find a car that you like, you start working through and all of a sudden you realize, wow, that monthly payment is more than I can afford. And then you see where they fall out, which is the reason why we've been talking about vehicle affordability is one of the factors that impact our sales. So it's all about Scott, just one other thing. Speaker 200:44:48We mentioned the FBS platform and one Speaker 400:44:50of the things we're so excited about that, right? So many people are shopping for that monthly payment online out the gate, not in the store necessarily. And so being Speaker 1400:44:59Put those pieces together, if you could talk about kind of the staffing where we're at and where that goes and what it means for long term SG and A margins. Speaker 300:45:06Yes. What I'd tell you is that we believe we're Largely speaking, appropriately staffed, there's still some pockets where there's probably some over staffing that we're working through, right? And we do it in a healthy way, which is just through attrition. And that's the approach we've taken for the past period here. But largely speaking, we think we're appropriately staffed kind of across the board. Speaker 300:45:24Compared to last year, Right. We are down when it comes to like what flows through SG and A because we do have a large service department and service associates that flows through our COGS. But just through SG and A, we're down about 10% year over year, right? And that's really kind of staffing in our CECs as we've right sized in our stores as we've right sized as well and that's where you'll see it offset a little bit by our corporate overhead staffing, but net net we're down about 10%. So that's kind of where we are. Speaker 300:45:55When it comes to like the 70%, mid-seventy percent, yes, we're actually striving To get there, our goal is to get back to a leverage rate that's more reflective of a stronger flow through and the business model that we're striving to get to. Now that to get to that number, we're also going to need some help in sales, right, as well to support that and we expect to get there over time. I think To get there in FY 2024, I would tell you would be a strong stretch just kind of given where we ended FY 2023 and kind of where volumes are at and just the environment that we're operating in. But we are controlling what is in our control and I think we've done a pretty effective job here of taking our SG and A down and thinking about our business model and the maturity curve in terms of where we are with our omni transformation. And now it's really a matter of kind of reallocating resources internally to work on the most accretive projects that we have. Speaker 200:46:48Yes. And Daniel, only other thing I would add to that is even as we As business returns, we're heavily focused on finding efficiencies. The business model has really changed within the store with Omni. We're looking at more efficiencies in the CECs. So as more volume comes in, CECs don't have to grow as fast. Speaker 200:47:05We've already taken We've reduced the sales force because of the CECs, because customers are coming more progressed, which is Another reason why we're really focused on this self progression, the more customers can progress on their own, our floor sales consultants can handle more associates. So As we think about the future model, we're trying to get efficiencies not only at the corporate side, which we feel pretty good about the teams we've got there, but also just become more efficient in the field operations. Speaker 1400:47:31And if I could squeeze a clarifier, not another question. I guess you guys used to be in the mid to high 60s. It sounds like you reduced headcount 10%. The CEC is making more efficient. I guess, why wouldn't that or something better than that be the target you're working towards Enrique rather than the mid-70s? Speaker 1400:47:47I guess, have there been incremental expenses from the omni and the admins that have raised that long term SG and A margin? Speaker 300:47:57Yes. And what I said is that our first step, Right. So our initial goal is to mid-70s and then longer term, we do have as part of our aspirations to get back to roughly where we were. I don't know if we'll get back fully to where we were in the medium term here, but certainly our first step is to get to the mid-70s. Speaker 200:48:15Yes. And I think, Daniel, on that, keep in mind, part of the omni transformation is we've gone from an organization that worked with all legacy systems. It really didn't cost anything to a combination of systems that we built in house, but also software as a service and software as a service Expense that we used to not have. So things like software as a service, the product organization that we built out, we've got 60 product teams that really enable having this omnichannel experience both to have the store and the digital. So that expense isn't going away. Speaker 200:48:45We didn't use to have that also that But there are other things like cybersecurity that because we have so much of a digital presence now you had to step up your spin there. So there's some things which is why To Enrique's point, our first goal is, hey, let's get back to the 70s because we know we've got some headwinds below there. Speaker 1000:49:00Great. I appreciate all Speaker 1400:49:01the color and best of luck. Speaker 200:49:03Thank you. Operator00:49:08Your next question comes from Seth Basham with Wedbush Securities. Your line is open. Speaker 700:49:16Thanks a lot and good morning. My question is on retail GPU, pretty good performance this quarter. Curious to know whether or not you think the market dynamics helped you on that metric. And then looking forward, should we be thinking about that flat year over year for 2024 fiscal, or should there be a movement one way or the other based on your price elasticity expectations and other factors. Speaker 200:49:42Yes. Good morning, Seth. Yes, I think the market dynamics did help because again we were doing pricing elasticity As I said earlier, we could have sold some more cars, but overall profitability would have been down. So I think That did help. Now as far as going forward, I think I'd probably get more in the range of where we historically. Speaker 200:50:05Part of it will depend on the macro factors because we'll continue to test elasticity. But if you think about we've been kind of in the 2,100 Roughly 2,100, 2,150, 22 in that range. I would think somewhere in that range is probably a good target to think about for the upcoming year. But again, It's going to be dependent on what we see from the market factors. Speaker 700:50:29Okay. And just as a follow-up, Thinking about the trade off between unit sales and GPU, market share is clearly an important goal of yours. Is there a point in time where you'll be more aggressive on price to regain market share to meet your long term targets? Do you truly believe this is transitory? Is there Any reason why it may not be? Speaker 200:50:49Yes. No, it's a great question. Again, we've always said this idea of profitable market share and that hasn't changed. If I look at The market share for 2022 relatively flat. You could argue it's slightly up, but we call it relatively flat. Speaker 200:51:04For the first half of the year, We saw good market share gains. In fact, most several of the months were double digit gains. We hit August. August, I would call, was fairly flat and then we saw declining gains really from September through December. And We've seen this before. Speaker 200:51:24If I go back to 2008, 2009, if I go back to COVID, although they're very different circumstances, We've seen where we've lost market share for a period of time, then it flattens out. We start from a month over month, we start to grow it back. We get back where we were before we started and then we continue to increase. I would expect this to not be any different. I'm encouraged as I look at the data that we have so far. Speaker 200:51:51If you look at the August through or really September through December, it was decreasing market shares month over month. I think December, January, my hope is we've kind of bottomed out there. We don't have the February data yet, But I'm hoping that we've bottomed out, which means that okay market share should for month over month will still be probably below year over year, but we should start to climb back out. Speaker 700:52:15Thank you. Sure. Operator00:52:20Your next question comes from Scott Bottiglieri with BNP Paribas. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:52:28Hey, guys. It's Chris Bottiglieri. I just wanted to ask on CapEx, if you can elaborate a little bit more there. The omni channel is slowing a bit You're only opening 5 stores. Just trying to get a sense for like why the CapEx is stepping up. Speaker 1000:52:42Are you planning to reaccelerate store growth in FY 2025? Just incurring some upfront capital cost there. And then you mentioned sorry, it's a long winded question, but you said a lot on the call. You mentioned that you're opening up these off-site reconditioning centers and auction centers. Are these more capital intensive in your stores? Speaker 1000:53:03Trying to understand the strategy is and what these investments have to accomplish. Just elaborate that would be really helpful. Speaker 300:53:12Yes. Chris, thanks for the question. Yes. So year over year in FY 'twenty four, we expect our CapEx spend to be roughly the same as what it was, but what's making it up is changing a little bit, right? And so by far, the largest contributor to our CapEx in FY 'twenty four It's going to be really starting to build out our off-site production, our off-site auction We feel good about our near term and our ability to hit kind of our sales, our auction levels, but we also need to plan for the future at the same time. Speaker 300:53:50So that consists of buying land across the country. It also consists of this year building out and opening our first Off-site Production Auction Production Site, sorry, which will be in Atlanta in the metro market there. And the way to think about that is The size of it will be roughly and this way to think about them moving forward, our off-site production locations will be roughly the size of our largest production locations that we have in our stores currently, right? Large acreage, so 20 plus acres as well is how to think about them. And from a CapEx spend, it will be similar to the CapEx that we had spent in the past on kind of our production locations just for those. Speaker 300:54:31That is actually driving the largest piece of our CapEx spend. There is some anticipation that stores will continue to grow in FY 2025, Right. Still, it was going to kind of see how the market how we perform, how the macro environment is. We have lowered that amount for FY 2024. As you know, we're 5 new stores, and we'll see in FY 2025, but there is some planning for that that goes ahead even this early on in the year because it does take Quite a bit of time to get a store open. Speaker 200:55:01Yes. And Chris, I would just add to that that the planned spend for the capacity, It's no different than what we've done in the past. We used to build production stores as we're going into new markets. Well, what we've been doing here lately because we haven't opened up a bunch of production We've been leveraging the existing production. So we had planned to add capacity. Speaker 200:55:20So it's really no different than what we've done in the past. It just happens Okay, now is the time that we start to do some additional production builds. And the really only difference is that some of them will not be attached to stores, but still in close proximity to Because that's a big competitive advantage. Speaker 1000:55:38Yes. That's really helpful. And then just related, I think you mentioned something effective opening up simulcast again in wholesale. Can you maybe just elaborate there? It seems you're getting really strong wholesale volumes and GPUs, just to understand like the motivation there and What that means for revenue and cost? Speaker 1000:55:54Just any thoughts would be helpful. Speaker 200:55:55Yes. No, it's a good question. Yes, we just want to make sure that we're Both maximizing the experience for our dealers as well as maximizing the ultimate price that our cars sell for. And so we're just doing small tests just to see, hey, Having a both a physical sale, but also virtually broadcasting it, are there new dealers that might show up? Do you get extra bids? Speaker 200:56:20So we in our efforts to make sure we're being efficient as possible, we don't want to leave any soon as unturned. So I don't really think about it as a big SG and A spend because a lot of like the testing that we're doing is what I would call more of a So you actually don't have the cars running through, but you have the auction line open for folks to bid in that kind of thing. So again, small test, we're going to continue it to see what we Ken Lauren, but to your point, we feel great about the margins, what we can put on cards. But again, we always are looking to get a little better. Speaker 1000:56:53Got you. Okay. Thank you for the time. Appreciate it. Speaker 200:56:55Thank Operator00:56:58you. Your next question comes from the line of John Murphy with Bank of America. Your line is open. Speaker 1500:57:05Good morning, guys. Just two very quick follow ups or clarifications. In the press release, you said total interest margin would level off in 2024. I'm just Curious, as we look at the last 3 years running in 2021 2020, you did about 7% collateral spreads in those pools and in the last 4, you did 4% collateral spreads. Is there something in sort of the forward market or what you're About to launch where you think the spreads are going to open up quite a bit. Speaker 1500:57:31It just seems hard to understand how and if we think about this that spreads could And then just a second question, Bill, on the franchise I'm sorry, on the market share gains, is there room to gain in the 6 to 10 year old segment. I mean, if you kind of think about that 4% in 1 in the 0 to 10 year old market, Is there significant room in these older vehicles where you might have higher grosses over time? Speaker 400:57:58Sure. Yes. Thanks, John, for the question. I'll take the NIM one. So I think first most important to point out is you're coming off of probably a 10 year peak in Q1 previous of this year. Speaker 400:58:11You really benefited from low funding costs. Lenders were able to capture a lot of margin there. You look at some of those deals you referenced, I mean, very, very strong margin. While we'd love to have been to stay up there, it was probably never going to happen. And you've seen us come down sequentially quarter over quarter. Speaker 400:58:29I think if you look at what we have been able to raise rates for our consumers, Obviously, Enrique already mentioned earlier, we do think that the ABS market is kind of improving. We're probably better matched with our rates to how we'll do long term funding costs out there. And so we think that when we look out, you never know where funding costs are going to go. You never know what consumers are going to walk through the door. Ultimately, we need to remain competitive and make sure that we're able to sell cars and provide competitive rates for our consumers. Speaker 400:59:00But when we look out, we've come down off of this peak. We think that we're well matched with our rates versus what we can fund this stuff for in the future, and we do think we can level off in 'twenty four. Speaker 1500:59:10I'm sorry, does the match mean that you're going to get back to 5% to 6% collateral spreads you think in the near future? Speaker 200:59:16Yes. Speaker 1500:59:16That's where you've been, when things are somewhat more normal. So I'm Curious if that's what you think you're going to get to soon. Speaker 400:59:21Sure. Yes. If you just look at those previous deals, you look at the 20 three-one deal again, an APR of 9.09. We just referenced that we're at 10.9 this quarter. And I can tell you that's not where we ended the quarter. Speaker 400:59:31So you're going to see in subsequent deals, Yes, APR is higher. If funding costs are more reasonable, I think we're absolutely going to be better matched funding costs for rate out there. That's exactly what I'm referring to. Speaker 200:59:45Thank you. And John on the market share the 6 to 10, remember we always measure market share 0 to 10. I do think 6 to 10 is an opportunity. I mean, if you look at our recent sales like even this quarter, vehicles over 6 years over 60,000 miles, If I look at where we were year over year, we're probably 10 points higher. We're probably high 30s as a percent of sale. Speaker 201:00:08The real question will be as prices come down, do consumers start to go back to newer model vehicles? So we'll see. I think we're in a great position. We obviously have shown that we can acquire those vehicles and recondition them. So it's a great lever as we go forward. Speaker 201:00:24But wouldn't you just think of that as Speaker 1501:00:25a structural opportunity, right? I mean, if those consumers go back to the younger, cheaper vehicles, you still have those 10 year old vehicles that you can sell. Wouldn't that just augment your sort of long term structural growth? I mean, I'm just curious. I mean, it just seems like a huge opportunity. Speaker 201:00:40Yes, I think so. But again, some of it will be just on consumer demand. If the folks that are coming into our stores are looking for later model vehicles, lower mileage, we're Going to put more of those on our lot. So we'll manage whatever the consumer is looking for. Speaker 801:00:54Okay. Thank you. Speaker 201:00:55Yes. Thank you. Operator01:01:00Your next question comes from Chris Pierce with Needham. Your line is open. Speaker 501:01:06Hey, good morning. About halfway through Q1 here, I was just curious if you could comment on used ASPs, retail ASPs and what you're seeing. It came down 7% sequentially in Q4, but I know Q3 was a little bit artificially inflated. Just given there's been talk about wholesale demand and strong wholesale price I was curious if that's flowing through the retail or not as much because of the retail wholesale spread. Just kind of curious what you're seeing quarter to date for retail ASPs. Speaker 201:01:32Yes. I think, Chris, it's a little early because the vehicles we're selling right now, we sourced in the last quarter. So I don't think it's really going to impact up to this point what your retail ASPs are. So I would think about This quarter right now, our retail ASPs are probably similar to what they were for the quarter. And again, we had a little bit of appreciation that we saw there. Speaker 201:01:57Keep in mind that the depreciation flows through much quickly on the wholesale cars because you're turning those inventory that inventory every 7 Speaker 501:02:04days. Okay. Speaker 1101:02:06Perfect. Thank you. Speaker 1001:02:07Yes. Operator01:02:12And the next question comes from David Whiston with Morningstar. Your line is open. Speaker 1601:02:20Thanks. Good morning. Just curious if you've seen a noteworthy pullback from CAF Lending Partners or I'm sorry from your lending partners because your CAF gross penetration was up 3 30 bps. And related to that, John, I think you said earlier, you wanted to your goal is to add new lenders. Were you talking about ABS lending or also for the 2 tier 2 and 3 partners? Speaker 401:02:42Sure. Yes. Just to your first question, David. Yes. Certainly, when partners pull back, the pie sums to 100, so CAF can benefit from that. Speaker 401:02:52But I think CAF's penetration is really again us remaining competitive in that tier space and winning the volume All right. But yes, we did see our Tier 2 partners certainly pull back. Tier 3 tends to benefit from that because those Customers who typically will be Tier 2 may move down and get picked up by Tier 3. But I think that just speaks to the quality of our platform, right? If CapEx pulls back Tier 2 picks up, if Tier 2 pulls back Tier 3 picks up or other partners in Tier 2, but we did see pullback in the Tier 2 space certainly. Speaker 401:03:25And your second question was probably with regard to my prepared remarks and about adding a subsequent lender. We were referring to the FBS platform. We have 5, again, long term lenders on there, which means that they are operating with a soft pull. They are decisioning all the vehicles using their models in minutes and getting it back to us so we can provide that to the consumer and provide as rich an offer as possible. Every lender you add, we added 1 in Q4. Speaker 401:03:53We hope to add another 1 in Q1, Just further strengthens the set of offers across all the inventory that the customer can see, and helps them to convert. So that's what I was referring to. Speaker 201:04:04And those are David, those are long term lenders that we already have that we're pulling into the financials. Absolutely. It's not adding a Speaker 401:04:10brand new lender, although I'm sure we have plenty of lenders that would love to come into our space. But this is existing in our typical in store environment that we're going to add into this, again, very rich FBS environment. Speaker 1601:04:24Okay. Thank you. And are you seeing any increase in repossessions? Or do you expect that to happen later this year? Speaker 401:04:31So if your question is increase in repossessions, Obviously, as losses go up as you're seeing delinquencies certainly in the industry, it will lead to losses Then you're going to see added repossession. So I think the entire industry is seeing that. We are seeing that to some degree, if that's your question. Speaker 1601:04:49Yes. Thank you very much. Speaker 801:04:51Yes. Operator01:04:56Thank you. We don't have any further questions at this time. I'll hand the call back to Bill for any closing remarks. Speaker 201:05:03Great. Thank you. I want to thank everybody for joining the call I do want to congratulate all the associates again on being named a great place to work for 19 years in a row. And like I said earlier, we believe we're well positioned to navigate this environment and merge even stronger. We look forward to talking with everyone next quarter. Speaker 201:05:20Take care. Operator01:05:24Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. That concludes the 4th Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 CarMax Earnings Release Conference Call. You may nowRead morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallCarMax Q4 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Annual report(10-K) CarMax Earnings HeadlinesThis CarMax Insider Increased Their Holding In The Last YearMay 9 at 10:14 PM | finance.yahoo.comINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of CarMax, Inc. - KMXMay 9 at 8:00 AM | globenewswire.comThis next market event could mean total financial ruin for someYou think the volatility is over? Think again … Because it’s just getting started. In fact, according to a strange investment secret discovered just before the Great Depression …May 10, 2025 | Weiss Ratings (Ad)CarMax Returns as Front-of-Jersey Sponsor for Richmond Ivy Soccer ClubMay 8 at 1:00 PM | globenewswire.comCarMax Has A Lot More To ProveMay 8 at 10:16 AM | seekingalpha.comINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Kyndryl ...May 6, 2025 | gurufocus.comSee More CarMax Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like CarMax? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on CarMax and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About CarMaxCarMax (NYSE:KMX), through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. It operates in two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The CarMax Sales Operations segment offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; used vehicle auctions; extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale; and reconditioning and vehicle repair services. The CarMax Auto Finance segment provides financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum and arrangements with various financial institutions. 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There are 17 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 4th Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 CarMax Earnings Release Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. Operator00:00:22I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Lowenstein, AVP, Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:33Thank you, Corliss. Good morning. Thank you for joining our fiscal 2023 4th Quarter Earnings Conference Call. I'm here today with Bill Nash, our President and CEO Enrique Mayermora, our Executive Vice President and CFO and John Daniels, our Senior Vice President, CarMax Auto Finance Operations. Let me remind you, Our statements today that are not statements of historical fact, including statements regarding the company's future business plans, prospects and financial performance, are forward looking statements that we make pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Speaker 100:01:17These statements are based on our current knowledge, expectations and assumptions and are subject to substantial risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. In providing projections and other forward looking statements, we disclaim any intent or obligation to update them. For additional information on important factors that could affect these expectations, please see our Form 8 ks followed with the SEC this morning and our annual report on Form 10 ks for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2022, previously filed with the SEC. Should you have any follow-up questions after the call, please feel free to contact our Investor Relations department at 804 740seven-four twenty two extension 7,865. Lastly, Let me thank you in advance for asking only one question and getting back in the queue for more follow ups. Speaker 100:02:21Bill? Speaker 200:02:22Great. Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. The current challenges in the used auto industry are well documented with affordability pressured by broad inflation, climbing interest rates, tightening lending standards and prolonged low consumer confidence. We are continuing to leverage our strongest assets, our associates, our experience and our culture to build momentum and manage through this cycle. Speaker 200:02:47While there are many macro factors that we cannot control, we have taken deliberate steps to support our business both the near term and the long run. This quarter, we reduced SG and A further. We delivered strong retail GPU through our vehicle acquisition, reconditioning and margin management strategies, continuing to test price elasticity. We adjusted offers to deliver strong wholesale GPU while increasing unit sales quarter over quarter. We aligned used saleable inventory units with market conditions while driving down total inventory dollars more than 25% year over year. Speaker 200:03:22And finally, we raised CAF's consumer rates to help offset rising cost of funds while still growing CAF's penetration. We are prioritizing initiatives to drive efficiency and improve experiences for our associates and customers. We believe these steps will enable us to come out of this cycle leaner and more effective, while also positioning us for future growth. Reflecting on fiscal 2023, We achieved a number of key milestones in each area of our diversified business model. We enabled online self progression for all of our retail customers, enhanced our wholesale shopping experience and completed the nationwide rollout of our finance based shopping prequalification product. Speaker 200:04:00All of these accomplishments further position our business for growth as the most customer centric experience in the industry. I'll talk more about these later in the call. And now on to our results for the Q4 of FY2023. Our diversified business model delivered total sales of $5,700,000,000 down 26% compared to last year, driven by lower retail and wholesale volume and prices. In our retail business, Total unit sales declined 12.6 percent and used unit comps were down 14.1%. Speaker 200:04:31Average selling prices declined approximately $2,700 per unit or 9% year over year. In addition to the macro factors I mentioned previously, we believed our performance continued to be impacted by transitory competitive responses to the current environment. Our market share data indicates that our nationwide share of 0 to 10 year old vehicles remained at 4% for calendar year 2022. External title data shows that the market share gains we achieved during the first half of the year were offset by share losses during the second half of the year as we prioritize profitability over near term market share. For context, We have lost the market share during prior down cycles. Speaker 200:05:11In those cases, we recovered the market share and then continued to grow it to new heights as economic conditions improved. We remain focused on achieving profitable market share gains that can be sustained for the long term and plan to continue running extensive price elasticity tests. The results from our most recent test confirm that holding margins during the quarter was the right profitability play. Despite the decrease in average selling price, 4th quarter retail gross profit per used unit was $22.77 up $82 per unit year over year, demonstrating our ability to appropriately value vehicles and effectively manage margin inventory. Wholesale unit sales were down 19.3 percent versus the Q4 last year, but improved from the 36.7% decline during this year's Q3 as our total buyers from consumers and dealers improved sequentially. Speaker 200:06:03Wholesale average selling price declined approximately $3,200 per unit or 28% year over year, though we saw some appreciation beginning in January. Wholesale gross profit unit was $11.87 which is consistent with last year's 4th quarter. Margin benefited from the recent price appreciation I just mentioned and from strong dealer demand, particularly at the end of the quarter. We bought approximately 262,000 vehicles from consumers and dealers during the quarter, down 22% from last year's record, but a sequential improvement from the 40% decline during this year's Q3. Our self sufficiency remained above 70% during the quarter. Speaker 200:06:42We purchased approximately 247,000 cars from consumers in the quarter with a little more than half of those buys coming through our online instant appraisal experience. We sourced approximately 15,000 vehicles through dealers, up 4% from last year. In regard to our 4th quarter online metrics, approximately 14% of retail unit sales were online, up from 11% in the prior year. Approximately 52% of retail unit sales were omni sales this quarter, down from 55% in the prior year. Nearly all of our 4th quarter wholesale auctions and sales, which represents 18 percent of total revenue remain virtual and are considered online transactions. Speaker 200:07:25We began a small wholesale auction simulcast test during the quarter to gauge dealer interest in resuming in person attendance and we'll continue to test options for live attendance during FY 2024. Total revenue resulting from online transactions was approximately 30%, down slightly from last year. CarMax Auto Finance, or CAF, delivered income of $124,000,000 down from $194,000,000 during the same period last year. John will provide more detail on customer financing, the loan loss provision and CAF contribution in a few moments. At this I'd like to turn the call over to Enrique, who will provide more information on our Q4 financial performance. Speaker 200:08:04Enrique? Speaker 300:08:05Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everyone. Our continued focus on managing what is in our control drove a sequential improvement from the Q3 across key financial metrics, including EPS, gross profit and SG and A. 4th quarter net earnings per diluted share was $0.44 down from $0.98 a year ago. Total gross profit was $611,000,000 down 14% from last year's 4th quarter. Used retail margin of $387,000,000 and wholesale vehicle margin of $143,000,000 declined 9% 20%, respectively. Speaker 300:08:44The year over year decreases were driven by lower volume across used and wholesale. This was partially offset by strong margin per unit performance. Used unit margins increased from last year's 4th quarter and wholesale margins per unit were flat year over year. Other gross profit was $81,000,000 down 24% from last year's 4th quarter. This decrease was driven primarily by a decline in extended protection plan or EPP revenues. Speaker 300:09:17In addition to the impact of lower retail unit sales, profit sharing revenues from our partners decreased from $33,000,000 and last year's Q4 to $16,000,000 in this year's quarter. This was partially offset by stronger margins and a favorable year over year return reserve adjustment. Penetration was flat year over year at approximately 60%. 3rd party finance fees were relatively flat over last year's Q4 with lower volume and fee generating Tier 2 offset by lower Tier 3 volume for which we pay a fee. Service was also relatively flat over last year's 4th quarter, reflecting sequential improvement in year over year performance. Speaker 300:10:03We have maintained our technician staffing levels and have put in place key efficiency and cost coverage goals for our teams. This supports our expectations of improved performance in FY 2024 compared to the full FY2023 year. The extent of this improvement will also be governed by sales performance given the leverage deleveraged nature of service. On the SG and A front, expenses for the Q4 were $573,000,000 down 8% from the prior year's quarter and down 3% sequentially from this year's Q3. SG and A as a percent of gross profit was higher than the 4th quarter last year due primarily to the 14% decrease in total gross profit dollars compared to last year's quarter. Speaker 300:10:51The change in SG and A dollars over last year was mainly due to the following factors. First, we reduced advertising by $34,000,000 2nd, total compensation and benefits decreased $17,000,000 which included an $18,000,000 increase in share based compensation. Excluding the latter, compensation and benefits was down $35,000,000 of which $18,000,000 was due to a lower corporate bonus accrual in the quarter. 3rd, other overhead increased by $6,000,000 The year over year increase in investments in our technology platforms and strategic growth initiatives was primarily the result of decisions made in prior quarters. This was partially offset by a favorable year over year comparison due to costs incurred in last year's 4th quarter associated with a significant ramp in staffing and favorability in a variety of other smaller costs this year. Speaker 300:11:50During the quarter, We continue to take steps to better align our expenses to our sales. This included further reducing staffing through attrition in our stores and CECs, limiting hiring and contractor utilization in our corporate offices and continuing to align our marketing spend to sales. While our advertising expense on the dollar and per unit basis was lower year over year on the quarter, our investment for the quarter and full year on a per unit basis remains aligned with last year's full year spend level. For fiscal 2024, in total, we anticipate maintaining per unit spend at a similar level to FY2023 with per unit spend varying from quarter to quarter. We believe that at this point, we largely have the resources in place to meet our near term omni channel and other digital investment needs. Speaker 300:12:47Accordingly, our expectation is that we will bend the expense growth curve on our omnichannel investments and our overall SG and A. In FY 2024, we expect to require low single digit gross profit growth to lever SG and A, well below the levels we've guided to during the investment heavy phases of our omni transformation. As a result, We expect to deliver a stronger flow through of gross profit growth to profitability. While we expect that the front half of the year will benefit experienced in Q4 may be muted, particularly in Q1. This dynamic stems from rolling over a more comparable period for advertising and the corporate bonus accrual in Q1 and the 4th quarter declines that I noted earlier. Speaker 300:13:47While not providing specific guidance beyond FY 2024, we expect that this bending of the SG and A growth curve will carry over beyond this year. This will support our pathway back to a lower SG and A leverage ratio with the initial goal of returning to the mid-seventy percent range over time. Hitting this range will also require healthier consumer demand. Regarding capital structure, Our first priority remains to fund the business. Given recent performance and ongoing market uncertainty, We continue to take a conservative approach to our capital structure. Speaker 300:14:23While our adjusted net debt to capital ratio was slightly below our 35% to 45 targeted range. We are managing our net leverage to maintain the flexibility that allows us to efficiently access Capital Markets for both CAF and CarMax as a whole. In keeping with this goal of maintaining flexibility, we continue to pause our share buybacks. Our $2,450,000,000 authorization remains in place as does our commitment to return capital to shareholders over time. For capital expenditures, we anticipate approximately $450,000,000 in FY 2024, similar to our FY2023 level. Speaker 300:15:05This spend is primarily being driven by investments in land and the build out of facilities related to long term growth capacity for production and auctions. New store development is also contributing to CapEx, albeit at a lower level as we have slowed the pace of openings in FY 2024. In FY 2024, we plan to open 5 new locations, including 2 more stores in the New York City Metro market, as well as our 1st off-site production location in the Atlanta Metro market. Our extensive nationwide footprint and logistics network continues to be a competitive advantage for CarMax. Our liquidity remains very strong and we ended the quarter with approximately 3 $50,000,000 in cash on the balance sheet and no draw on our $2,000,000,000 revolver. Speaker 300:15:52Now I'd like to turn the call over to John. Speaker 400:15:55Thanks, Enrique, and good morning, everyone. During the Q4, CarMax Auto Finance originated $1,900,000,000 resulting in penetration of 44.7 percent net of 3 day payoffs, up from the 41% seen in the same quarter last year and in line with Q3. The weighted average contract rate charged to new customers at 10.9% was up 110 basis points from Q3 and 2.70 basis points from the same period last year. We were pleased with our ability to increase consumer rates within the quarter, while maintaining a consistent share of finance contracts sequentially and growing our share of finance contracts substantially on a year over year basis. Tier 2 penetration in the quarter was 19.4%, lower than typical seasonal levels. Speaker 400:16:40Tier 3 penetration was flat to last year at 6.9%. While our long term lending partners continue to complement each other in providing strong credit offers to our customers, we did observe year over year tightening as both rising interest rates and delinquencies likely led to these adjustments. Of note, CAF has also adjusted its underwriting standards in reaction to the current environment, including towards the end of Q4, reducing its targeted percentage of Tier 3 volume from 10% to 5%. Cap income for the quarter was $124,000,000 down from $194,000,000 in the same period last year. The $70,000,000 year over year decrease is primarily driven by a $44,000,000 increase in loan loss provision as well as a $61,000,000 increase in interest expense, partially offset by growth in interest and fee income. Speaker 400:17:31Within the quarter, total interest margin decreased to $262,000,000 down $22,000,000 from the same quarter last year. The corresponding margin to receivables rate of 6.3% is down approximately 100 basis points year over year and 125 basis points from the near 10 year peak seen in this year's Q1, driven mostly by the significant interest rate jumps absorbed during the past year. In response, we have made numerous pricing moves over the last 12 months, including in the Q4 that should cause the reduction in margin to slow and allow this portfolio rate to level off in fiscal year 2024. The loan loss provision in Q4 of $98,000,000 results in an ending reserve balance of $507,000,000 or 3.02 percent of ending receivables. This is compared to a reserve of 491 $1,000,000 last quarter, which was 2.95 percent of receivables. Speaker 400:18:26This sequential 7 basis point adjustment in the reserve to receivable ratio reflects unfavorable performance in the portfolio as well as the uncertain macro environment along with the continued increase in cash Tier 2 and Tier 3 volume. We continue to target and operate within the 2% to 2.5% cumulative net credit loss range for our core Tier 1 portfolio We believe we are appropriately reserved for future losses. Regarding further advancements in our credit technology, We continue to stabilize and improve upon our nationally available best in class prequalification product, finance based shopping or FBS. During the Q4, we fully deployed yet another of our large lending partners within the FBS platform, now bringing the total 5 well established lenders that are providing decisions on the full vehicle inventory for an applicant and co applicant leveraging a soft credit pull. Note what truly makes this product distinct in the used auto industry is our ability to calculate over 6,000,000 unique credit decisions every minute from multiple finance sources, each leveraging their own distinct credit models and then to make these offers digitally available to customers wherever they are shopping in the store at home or walking the lot. Speaker 400:19:42During this upcoming Q1, we hope to add additional finance partners to the platform as work is already well underway. Now I'll turn the call back over to Bill. Speaker 200:19:51Thank you, John and Enrique. As I mentioned at the start of the call, even as we navigated the challenges of fiscal 'twenty three, We achieved a number of key milestones during the year by focusing on making our omnichannel experience faster, simpler and more seamless for our associates and customers. I'm proud of the progress that we've made on our journey to deliver the most customer centric experience in the industry. Some highlights from this year that will have a lasting impact across our diversified business model are for retail, we enabled online self progression capabilities for all of our customers. As we evolve our omni channel experience, we're also updating our operating models to drive efficiency gains in our stores. Speaker 200:20:28During the year, we launched self checking capabilities for appraisal customers and also enhanced eSign functionality to better enable self progression. Our e commerce engine combined with our unparalleled Nationwide Fiscal Footprint is a competitive advantage. Our ability to deliver integration across digital and physical transactions For wholesale, we rolled out a modernized mobile friendly vehicle details page that displays the most relevant information from dealers They need to preview our wholesale inventory, creating a shopping experience for dealers that is similar to how consumers shop our retail inventory. We also expanded Mack's offer, our digital appraisal product for dealers to approximately 50 markets, which enable us to build on our leading position as a buyer of cars. We utilize our Edmund sales team to sign up new dealers for the service, which provides profitable incremental wholesale volume. Speaker 200:21:26For credit and cash, we completed the nationwide rollout of finance based shopping, our multi lender prequalification product. As John mentioned, this gives customers the flexibility to digitally receive quick credit decisions from a majority of our lenders across the entire vehicle inventory. Over 80% of our customers have used this online tool as they begin the credit process. In addition, TAP is equally focused on coming out of this cycle leaner and more effective. The team is already leveraging the new loan receivable system that we deployed a little over a year ago to deliver on savings opportunities with many more expected in the upcoming years. Speaker 200:22:02Looking ahead to fiscal 2024, we will build on last year's initiatives and prioritize projects that unlock operating efficiencies and Some examples include for retail, we are leveraging data science, automation and AI to make it even easier for customers to complete key transaction steps on their own and to go back and forth between assisted health and self progression. We are also building digital tools that will support customers across key transaction steps and their journey and give them better insight into their remaining steps. These tools will drive online sales to make it easier for customers to opt in to express pickup. This delivery option offers customers the ability to complete their transaction at one of our stores in as little as 30 minutes and represents a win win opportunity. Our research shows that customers love this experience when utilized and it will enable us to lower costs over time. Speaker 200:23:04For wholesale, we will leverage our modernized vehicle detail page to offer new services. Some examples include AI enhanced condition reports and proxy bidding capabilities. We will also improve Mac's offer by rolling out our instant offer experience to all participating dealers. These tools will enable us to drive incremental operational efficiencies as we continue to scale our wholesale volume, all while providing a better experience. For CAF, we're working to integrate our finance based shopping product into our stores and customer experience centers more seamlessly so that all consumers can enjoy the full experience. Speaker 200:23:40As John mentioned, we will also continue to pursue opportunities to add additional lenders to the platform, which will expand the breadth and depth of offers available to our customers. While these are a few good examples, our entire organization from Edmunds to Logistics is focused on improving efficiencies and experiences. We are confident in the future of our diversified business. We will continue to evaluate our performance relative to our long term financial targets annually. As we start fiscal 2024, We are affirming the targets that we updated in April 2022, selling between $2,200,000 vehicles through our combined retail and wholesale channels by fiscal 2026 generating between $33,000,000,000 $45,000,000,000 in revenue by fiscal 2026 and growing our nationwide market share of dear to 10 year old vehicles to more than 5% by the end of calendar 2025. Speaker 200:24:31I want to thank and congratulate all of our associates for the work they do. They are our strongest differentiator and the key to our success. Last week, Fortune Magazine named CarMax as one of its 100 Best Companies to Work For, for the 19th year in a row. I am incredibly proud of this recognition, particularly as we face a challenging year. It's due to our associates' commitments to supporting each other, our customers and our communities every day. Speaker 200:24:57Over our nearly 30 year history, we've navigated many challenging environments and have emerged stronger each time. This environment is no different and I'm confident that the actions we are taking will enable us to drive robust growth as the market improves. With that, we'll be happy to take your questions. Corliss? Operator00:25:17Absolutely. At this time, we will open the floor for Speaker 200:25:392. Operator00:25:40Please limit your questions to 1 at a time. And your first question comes from the line of John Healy with Northcoast Research. Speaker 500:26:00Guys, I wanted to talk just Speaker 600:26:01a little bit about the CAF business to start off. Enrique, I was hoping maybe you could hit us with kind of maybe your thoughts Where maybe some of the key metrics might look out maybe say the next quarter or so, maybe on kind of losses as well as recoveries and maybe the crosscurrents there. But also just kind of on your cost of funds and where that's kind of moving to of late as well as kind of the coupon rate that's going to the consumer and is there a lag, is there a catch up period? Just how we can think about maybe some of those dynamics moving for as we start fiscal 2024. Speaker 300:26:38Yes. Thanks for the question, John. I'll address the cost of funds and kind of how to think about that, but I'll turn it over to John to talk about the business. So from a cost of funds perspective, what I'd tell you is that the securitization market, which we're largely dependent on, the market is open. It's constructive Currently and what we've seen, you saw it in our first deal where the cost of funds came down relative to the deal that ended in 2022, right? Speaker 300:27:03And so we do believe that the benchmarks continue to come down, spreads continue to be healthy and we would expect that to kind of carry forward. Per timing, you would expect us to be in the market here in the near term, but We would expect to be able to execute our deal. And again, I think relative to a couple of deals ago where the market really was compressed and the cost of funds was one of the highest we had seen in many, many, many years. It's come down from there. Still higher than obviously what we'd like Certainly better than where they had trended a couple of deals ago. Speaker 700:27:39Sure. And I'll jump in Speaker 400:27:40on the other metrics. Just to piggyback on the cost of funds, obviously, the other component there is the kind of The APR that's in the deal as well. Last time we were at 9.09, we just cited that we were 10.9 on our originations in this quarter. We've done a great job of raising rates through the year. So Can imagine that to drive through into future deals as well. Speaker 400:27:57So if spread settles in and our APRs are higher that should benefit us. With regard to losses and delinquencies, As mentioned in the prepared remarks, again, we've taken our reserve up to $507,000,000 That's 3.02 percent of receivables. Did mention that some of that is driven by unfavorability in the portfolio and the macro environment. I think the entire industry is feeling A higher sense of delinquency in the consumer for us in the existing book of business. You've got some you've got definitely higher inflation, making it more challenging for consumers. Speaker 400:28:33Our newer originations are purchasing at a higher average selling price. Therefore, there's a higher payment. So people are having to work through having a higher auto payment than they might normally be used to. So All these factors are things we're watching very carefully. We've reserved accordingly for it, but definitely a rise in delinquencies that We've done a nice job with and hasn't fully trended its way into losses and we think we're going to be able to continue to serve the consumer well. Speaker 400:28:59The other thing I'll add to that is we did mention in the prepared remarks And we have tightened many lenders have tightened down there in our platform as well as outside of the industry and we've tightened as well. It's something that we've done on a regular basis. We did it in the Great Recession. We did it at the start of the pandemic. We've done it many times in between. Speaker 400:29:18So we have tightened just to make it a little more conservative to watch this consumer carefully. But again, with our tightening, Our partners will be happy to pick up that volume as we've done. So looking out, hard to say where losses and delinquencies are going to be, but we think we're in that 2% to 2.5% range as we always have. We think we're well reserved and we'll watch the consumer carefully. Speaker 600:29:40Great. Thank you. Operator00:29:49And the next question comes from Michael Montani with Evercore ISI. Your line is open. Speaker 200:29:57Great. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to ask on retail and wholesale GPUs. Those were both I think stronger than we were anticipating. If you could just provide some update on pricing volatility that we're seeing pretty unprecedented, I think, both at retail as well as at wholesale. Speaker 200:30:15And then competitively, what you're seeing in the market, How sustainable is this kind of strong discipline in GPU, I guess, for those two segments? Sure. Good morning, Michael. Yes, on the retail and wholesale GPU, obviously, they did come in stronger. I think the wholesale benefited a little bit. Speaker 200:30:33We saw some appreciation and the latter part of the quarter, which when that generally happens, we usually trail whether it goes up or comes down. So I think that added a little bit of favorability there. I think as you go forward thinking about wholesale, I would land probably more in the line of where we've been historically $900,000 to $1,000 On the retail side, again, we did expansive price elasticity testing and determined that We could have sold a few more cars, but we actually would have made less money. So we held the retail JTUs. They're pretty similar to the 3rd quarter. Speaker 200:31:06They were up year over year, and that's more of a function of the fact that we continue to have a higher mix of older vehicles, which carry a little bit more A little bit more margin. I think just in the retail pricing environment in totality, We did see some depreciation at the beginning of the quarter. We saw a little bit of appreciation at the latter part. If you go back a year ago, not this year, they just completed the year before, prices appreciated about $7,500 and that's in the 0 to 5 year old cars this year. By the end of the calendar year, they had come back about $5,000 I would expect even though we've seen some recent appreciation, I would expect to probably start to see a little bit more depreciation as we go forward. Speaker 200:31:55So that should continue to give a little bit of relief on the overall retail sales price. Speaker 500:32:01Thank you. Speaker 800:32:03Sure. Operator00:32:06And the next question comes from the line of Craig Kennison with Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 900:32:14Hey, good morning and thank you for taking my question. We're hearing that some banks Speaker 200:32:25Orliss, I think we may have lost Craig. Operator00:32:30Craig, your line is open. Speaker 900:32:32Yes. Good morning. Can you hear me? Speaker 200:32:34Yes. We can hear you, Craig. Go ahead. Speaker 900:32:36Thank you. Yes. So we've heard that some banks are pulling back on floor plan credit for some of your competitors. I'm wondering since you self fund your inventory. Would you expect an advantage sourcing inventory in this environment? Speaker 200:32:52Yes. I think It's hard to say. I mean, what I would tell you is because our self sufficiency is so high, we just really haven't had an issue on sourcing environment. It's not like we're Going out and competing in the auction lanes as much as we used to. I think it remains to be seen what the impact is on competitors and where they get their funding. Speaker 200:33:13I guess theoretically it could cause prices to go down if they are not able to source financing to keep inventory on the lots. But that remains to be seen. Speaker 1000:33:25Thank you. Operator00:33:31The next question comes from the line of Rajat Gupta with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Speaker 1100:33:40Great. Thanks for taking the question. Just had like a question on SG and A and one within that. Maybe just on the store occupancy cost, It was lower quarter over quarter by roughly 10% despite 5 new stores opened. Is there something we're missing there? Speaker 1100:34:03We would have expected it to be up sequentially given the new openings, but I just want to make sure I will not be missing any one timers there. And then I have a quick follow-up. Speaker 300:34:12Great. Yes. Thanks, Rajat. Yes, I don't think you're missing anything. I think a couple points here. Speaker 300:34:17One is that there was some timing of spend. From quarter to quarter, things will vary. So we had some timing favorability this quarter over the previous quarter. In addition, given the volumes and where they're at, we had a bit of a pullback in our rent. As volumes flex, We will move up in terms of our off lot short term capacity to accommodate volumes. Speaker 300:34:39And given where volumes are at, we did have pullback in our off-site capacity. So you'll see that reflected in occupancy through lower rent. So those are the 2 bigger items I tell you within the quarter. Speaker 1100:34:53Understood. That's helpful. And in terms of just budgeting purposes for SG and A for the year, What kind of view are you taking on the used car market this year? I mean, do you expect the industry, specifically the 0 to 10 year old space to grow this year and do you expect to grow share within that with the level of ad spend that you're guiding to. Just curious like what kind of shape of recovery are you assuming in your budgeting plan? Speaker 200:35:22Yes, Rajat, thanks for the question. We're certainly not economists, but I think there's some publications, I think like Cox for example has the used market overall being down a little bit this year. I think they also have it Softer in the front part, I mean softer in the front part a little bit better in the back half. I think that's The way we think about it as well, but that remains to be seen. And as always on the market share, Our goal is whether the market is a good market or a bad market, we want to gain profitable market share. Speaker 200:35:57And I spoke to just the transitory pressures that we continue to see in this quarter as it relates to market share. But given previous experiences, we would expect that to turn and then we get back into gaining market share. Speaker 1100:36:15Understood. Thank you. Speaker 800:36:17Sure. Operator00:36:20Our next question comes from the line of Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 800:36:27Hi, good morning. Speaker 300:36:28Good morning. Speaker 800:36:29So the question I want to so in the comments, it sounds like you are telegraphing for this year now A lower leverage point. You're going to leverage expenses at lower rates of growth. So I guess the question I have is To make sure I'm correct in that assessment, and then what changed? I mean, what levers were you able to pull in order to allow that to happen? And then again kind of going back to your comments for the clarification, should we assume then as the business eventually strengthens out of this cyclical trough that leverage point will remain more subdued than it has been previously. Speaker 200:37:05Yes, Brian. Thanks for the question. I'll give you my thoughts first. I'm sure Enrique will have some thoughts as well. But you're exactly right. Speaker 200:37:12We are sending the message that we expect this to And if you think about the past few years, every year we update and say, okay, this is what it's going to take to lever and we are running update in this past year prior to the year we said, hey, it's going to require more than that because of the investments we knew we were making plus some Speaker 700:37:31of the Speaker 200:37:31carryover investments. We hadn't been giving longer term guidance. Because quite honestly, while many companies have gone from a pure brick and mortar to more of an omnichannel, there really Hasn't been any other example of companies doing that with what I call a considered purchase where there's a lot of back and forth between physical and Digital Properties. And so I almost equate this to renovating an old house, which unfortunately I haven't experienced with that You don't know what you don't know until you get into it. And every time you pull down a wall in Old House, there's some new surprise there. Speaker 200:38:06Well, with this, every time we would turnover of rock as it related to the omni channel experience. There were 2 other rocks underneath it. And I think what we've gotten to the point of is that We've built out our product organization. We feel really good about the resources there. We've got the base of the capabilities. Speaker 200:38:22Now it's about enhancing. And then as we enhance and finish some things, we'll shift people to work on different things. So we feel good about the resources that we have, at this point. And I'll let Enrique add any other Speaker 300:38:32Yes, just to build on that a little bit. As I said in my prepared remarks, we are past the investment heavy phase of our omni transformation. We believe, largely speaking, that we have the resources in place, we're appropriately staffed, And now it's really a matter of executing on our plans, which are really focused around enhancing efficiencies, enhancing and strengthening experiences for our customers and for our associates, right? But we believe we passed that point. So we do think that now and for the guidance that we've given, Low single digit gross profit growth is what we're going to need to lever. Speaker 300:39:10And I would think about that as well as carrying beyond FY 2024 and into when I'm giving specific guidance, I would think about that. That is kind of where we are in our maturity curve as a company and that's kind Operator00:39:31Our next question comes from the line of Sharon Zackfia with William Blair. Your line is open. Speaker 1200:39:38Hi, good morning. A few things around SG and A. I just want to make sure I understand the context around leverage. So are you referring to SG and A leverage as a percent of sales or SG and A to gross profits? I just want to make sure we're all level set on what metric you're using. Speaker 1200:39:56I also want to clarify the cadence in the first quarter. Are you referring to sequential moderation in the decline or year over year moderation. I think that's kind of important to quantify as well. And then Lastly, and I'm sorry, it's a multipronged question. It's just on the ad spend. Speaker 1200:40:15So I was a little surprised to hear and I think I heard correctly that ad spend per car would remain consistent year over year. And I just wondered the thought process behind that given the environment we're in, which It sounds as if a lot of people are just priced out of cars period. So I wonder about keeping that ad spend kind of at the same level versus retracting maybe more towards the $300 level that you had historically. Speaker 300:40:43Yes. Thank you, Sharon, for the multiple questions. And see here if I can Speaker 1200:40:47Couple of clarifications. I'm using the clarification next few. Speaker 700:40:50I guess, yes, there is Speaker 300:40:51a nuance difference here, right? So on the first one, absolutely, we moved to leverage being defined as SBNA to gross profit. So not retail units, Not sales because as you know as we've migrated and transformed ourselves, it's not about just solely per retail unit is also about our wholesale business, about our CAF business. So we take a holistic look and our leverage point specifically is on gross profit. So I think that was your first point of clarification. Speaker 300:41:20The second for the Q1, yes, it is an important point and I had it in my notes here that I spoke to. So in the Q4, right, we year over year, we were down 8% in SG and A. So what we're Communicating here is that in the Q1 of FY 'twenty four upcoming year, that decrease may be muted compared The year over year decrease in the Q1 versus last year's Q1 would be muted compared to that 8%. And that's just because we'll be We'll have more comparables when it comes to the corporate bonus accrual, which in the Q4 was down pretty materially as I called out in my notes. As well, our Q4 last year, our marketing spend was much higher than what it was in this Q4, which provided some relief in this Q4. Speaker 300:42:06So that presents a little bit more of a challenge for the Q1 of FY2024 as compared year over year as compared to FY 2023. And then lastly, on marketing per spend, we made a decision a few years ago to take our marketing per unit spend up along with our journey here and our transformation. And That's where we currently what we intend on keeping it. We believe we have a strong line of sight into ROI and very accretive properties and investments here. Our marketing team does a fantastic job in being able to track what is accretive, what is ROI generating and what is not ROI generating. Speaker 300:42:46So we have a pretty good understanding of our portfolio of investments when it comes to marketing and currently we think that $350,000,000 roughly per unit spend is appropriate for where we are. Speaker 200:42:57And Sharon, the only other thing I would add to that is, and Enrique said this in his comments, It can vary quarter to quarter. You may be up in some quarters, you may be down in some other quarters and that will really be dictated by some of the ROI that we're seeing. We're always going to have Brands been out there because I think it's important long term. So the other thing I think of note here is that when we think about advertising, We also it's not just about customer acquisition, it's also about vehicle acquisition. So there may be some times where you spend up a little bit more Trying to buy cars from consumers. Speaker 200:43:28So again, we'll continue to monitor this. Operator00:43:32Okay. Thank you. Speaker 200:43:33Thank you. Operator00:43:37Your next question comes from the line of Scot Ciccarelli with Truist Securities. Your line is open. Speaker 1300:43:45Hey, guys. It's got Ciccarelli. Obviously, retail prices are still up quite a bit, average rates also up And so monthly payments are up meaningfully. I know it's causing a double digit decline in comps, but I guess what kind of impact is it having specifically on your conversion rate? In other words, like when we look at the sales decline, is it being driven more by reduction in traffic or kind of the first swing at the plate that you guys get? Speaker 1300:44:08Or is it more kind of people get close to the finish line and then just decide that they really can't afford what they're looking at? Like is it one more than the other or they those factors about the same? Speaker 200:44:18Yes. Great question, Scott, and welcome back to the call. Speaker 500:44:22Thank you. Speaker 200:44:23It's We see the traffic top of funnel. So it's not top of funnel. The degradation really happens at the conversion point and which can make sense as you Find a car that you like, you start working through and all of a sudden you realize, wow, that monthly payment is more than I can afford. And then you see where they fall out, which is the reason why we've been talking about vehicle affordability is one of the factors that impact our sales. So it's all about Scott, just one other thing. Speaker 200:44:48We mentioned the FBS platform and one Speaker 400:44:50of the things we're so excited about that, right? So many people are shopping for that monthly payment online out the gate, not in the store necessarily. And so being Speaker 1400:44:59Put those pieces together, if you could talk about kind of the staffing where we're at and where that goes and what it means for long term SG and A margins. Speaker 300:45:06Yes. What I'd tell you is that we believe we're Largely speaking, appropriately staffed, there's still some pockets where there's probably some over staffing that we're working through, right? And we do it in a healthy way, which is just through attrition. And that's the approach we've taken for the past period here. But largely speaking, we think we're appropriately staffed kind of across the board. Speaker 300:45:24Compared to last year, Right. We are down when it comes to like what flows through SG and A because we do have a large service department and service associates that flows through our COGS. But just through SG and A, we're down about 10% year over year, right? And that's really kind of staffing in our CECs as we've right sized in our stores as we've right sized as well and that's where you'll see it offset a little bit by our corporate overhead staffing, but net net we're down about 10%. So that's kind of where we are. Speaker 300:45:55When it comes to like the 70%, mid-seventy percent, yes, we're actually striving To get there, our goal is to get back to a leverage rate that's more reflective of a stronger flow through and the business model that we're striving to get to. Now that to get to that number, we're also going to need some help in sales, right, as well to support that and we expect to get there over time. I think To get there in FY 2024, I would tell you would be a strong stretch just kind of given where we ended FY 2023 and kind of where volumes are at and just the environment that we're operating in. But we are controlling what is in our control and I think we've done a pretty effective job here of taking our SG and A down and thinking about our business model and the maturity curve in terms of where we are with our omni transformation. And now it's really a matter of kind of reallocating resources internally to work on the most accretive projects that we have. Speaker 200:46:48Yes. And Daniel, only other thing I would add to that is even as we As business returns, we're heavily focused on finding efficiencies. The business model has really changed within the store with Omni. We're looking at more efficiencies in the CECs. So as more volume comes in, CECs don't have to grow as fast. Speaker 200:47:05We've already taken We've reduced the sales force because of the CECs, because customers are coming more progressed, which is Another reason why we're really focused on this self progression, the more customers can progress on their own, our floor sales consultants can handle more associates. So As we think about the future model, we're trying to get efficiencies not only at the corporate side, which we feel pretty good about the teams we've got there, but also just become more efficient in the field operations. Speaker 1400:47:31And if I could squeeze a clarifier, not another question. I guess you guys used to be in the mid to high 60s. It sounds like you reduced headcount 10%. The CEC is making more efficient. I guess, why wouldn't that or something better than that be the target you're working towards Enrique rather than the mid-70s? Speaker 1400:47:47I guess, have there been incremental expenses from the omni and the admins that have raised that long term SG and A margin? Speaker 300:47:57Yes. And what I said is that our first step, Right. So our initial goal is to mid-70s and then longer term, we do have as part of our aspirations to get back to roughly where we were. I don't know if we'll get back fully to where we were in the medium term here, but certainly our first step is to get to the mid-70s. Speaker 200:48:15Yes. And I think, Daniel, on that, keep in mind, part of the omni transformation is we've gone from an organization that worked with all legacy systems. It really didn't cost anything to a combination of systems that we built in house, but also software as a service and software as a service Expense that we used to not have. So things like software as a service, the product organization that we built out, we've got 60 product teams that really enable having this omnichannel experience both to have the store and the digital. So that expense isn't going away. Speaker 200:48:45We didn't use to have that also that But there are other things like cybersecurity that because we have so much of a digital presence now you had to step up your spin there. So there's some things which is why To Enrique's point, our first goal is, hey, let's get back to the 70s because we know we've got some headwinds below there. Speaker 1000:49:00Great. I appreciate all Speaker 1400:49:01the color and best of luck. Speaker 200:49:03Thank you. Operator00:49:08Your next question comes from Seth Basham with Wedbush Securities. Your line is open. Speaker 700:49:16Thanks a lot and good morning. My question is on retail GPU, pretty good performance this quarter. Curious to know whether or not you think the market dynamics helped you on that metric. And then looking forward, should we be thinking about that flat year over year for 2024 fiscal, or should there be a movement one way or the other based on your price elasticity expectations and other factors. Speaker 200:49:42Yes. Good morning, Seth. Yes, I think the market dynamics did help because again we were doing pricing elasticity As I said earlier, we could have sold some more cars, but overall profitability would have been down. So I think That did help. Now as far as going forward, I think I'd probably get more in the range of where we historically. Speaker 200:50:05Part of it will depend on the macro factors because we'll continue to test elasticity. But if you think about we've been kind of in the 2,100 Roughly 2,100, 2,150, 22 in that range. I would think somewhere in that range is probably a good target to think about for the upcoming year. But again, It's going to be dependent on what we see from the market factors. Speaker 700:50:29Okay. And just as a follow-up, Thinking about the trade off between unit sales and GPU, market share is clearly an important goal of yours. Is there a point in time where you'll be more aggressive on price to regain market share to meet your long term targets? Do you truly believe this is transitory? Is there Any reason why it may not be? Speaker 200:50:49Yes. No, it's a great question. Again, we've always said this idea of profitable market share and that hasn't changed. If I look at The market share for 2022 relatively flat. You could argue it's slightly up, but we call it relatively flat. Speaker 200:51:04For the first half of the year, We saw good market share gains. In fact, most several of the months were double digit gains. We hit August. August, I would call, was fairly flat and then we saw declining gains really from September through December. And We've seen this before. Speaker 200:51:24If I go back to 2008, 2009, if I go back to COVID, although they're very different circumstances, We've seen where we've lost market share for a period of time, then it flattens out. We start from a month over month, we start to grow it back. We get back where we were before we started and then we continue to increase. I would expect this to not be any different. I'm encouraged as I look at the data that we have so far. Speaker 200:51:51If you look at the August through or really September through December, it was decreasing market shares month over month. I think December, January, my hope is we've kind of bottomed out there. We don't have the February data yet, But I'm hoping that we've bottomed out, which means that okay market share should for month over month will still be probably below year over year, but we should start to climb back out. Speaker 700:52:15Thank you. Sure. Operator00:52:20Your next question comes from Scott Bottiglieri with BNP Paribas. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:52:28Hey, guys. It's Chris Bottiglieri. I just wanted to ask on CapEx, if you can elaborate a little bit more there. The omni channel is slowing a bit You're only opening 5 stores. Just trying to get a sense for like why the CapEx is stepping up. Speaker 1000:52:42Are you planning to reaccelerate store growth in FY 2025? Just incurring some upfront capital cost there. And then you mentioned sorry, it's a long winded question, but you said a lot on the call. You mentioned that you're opening up these off-site reconditioning centers and auction centers. Are these more capital intensive in your stores? Speaker 1000:53:03Trying to understand the strategy is and what these investments have to accomplish. Just elaborate that would be really helpful. Speaker 300:53:12Yes. Chris, thanks for the question. Yes. So year over year in FY 'twenty four, we expect our CapEx spend to be roughly the same as what it was, but what's making it up is changing a little bit, right? And so by far, the largest contributor to our CapEx in FY 'twenty four It's going to be really starting to build out our off-site production, our off-site auction We feel good about our near term and our ability to hit kind of our sales, our auction levels, but we also need to plan for the future at the same time. Speaker 300:53:50So that consists of buying land across the country. It also consists of this year building out and opening our first Off-site Production Auction Production Site, sorry, which will be in Atlanta in the metro market there. And the way to think about that is The size of it will be roughly and this way to think about them moving forward, our off-site production locations will be roughly the size of our largest production locations that we have in our stores currently, right? Large acreage, so 20 plus acres as well is how to think about them. And from a CapEx spend, it will be similar to the CapEx that we had spent in the past on kind of our production locations just for those. Speaker 300:54:31That is actually driving the largest piece of our CapEx spend. There is some anticipation that stores will continue to grow in FY 2025, Right. Still, it was going to kind of see how the market how we perform, how the macro environment is. We have lowered that amount for FY 2024. As you know, we're 5 new stores, and we'll see in FY 2025, but there is some planning for that that goes ahead even this early on in the year because it does take Quite a bit of time to get a store open. Speaker 200:55:01Yes. And Chris, I would just add to that that the planned spend for the capacity, It's no different than what we've done in the past. We used to build production stores as we're going into new markets. Well, what we've been doing here lately because we haven't opened up a bunch of production We've been leveraging the existing production. So we had planned to add capacity. Speaker 200:55:20So it's really no different than what we've done in the past. It just happens Okay, now is the time that we start to do some additional production builds. And the really only difference is that some of them will not be attached to stores, but still in close proximity to Because that's a big competitive advantage. Speaker 1000:55:38Yes. That's really helpful. And then just related, I think you mentioned something effective opening up simulcast again in wholesale. Can you maybe just elaborate there? It seems you're getting really strong wholesale volumes and GPUs, just to understand like the motivation there and What that means for revenue and cost? Speaker 1000:55:54Just any thoughts would be helpful. Speaker 200:55:55Yes. No, it's a good question. Yes, we just want to make sure that we're Both maximizing the experience for our dealers as well as maximizing the ultimate price that our cars sell for. And so we're just doing small tests just to see, hey, Having a both a physical sale, but also virtually broadcasting it, are there new dealers that might show up? Do you get extra bids? Speaker 200:56:20So we in our efforts to make sure we're being efficient as possible, we don't want to leave any soon as unturned. So I don't really think about it as a big SG and A spend because a lot of like the testing that we're doing is what I would call more of a So you actually don't have the cars running through, but you have the auction line open for folks to bid in that kind of thing. So again, small test, we're going to continue it to see what we Ken Lauren, but to your point, we feel great about the margins, what we can put on cards. But again, we always are looking to get a little better. Speaker 1000:56:53Got you. Okay. Thank you for the time. Appreciate it. Speaker 200:56:55Thank Operator00:56:58you. Your next question comes from the line of John Murphy with Bank of America. Your line is open. Speaker 1500:57:05Good morning, guys. Just two very quick follow ups or clarifications. In the press release, you said total interest margin would level off in 2024. I'm just Curious, as we look at the last 3 years running in 2021 2020, you did about 7% collateral spreads in those pools and in the last 4, you did 4% collateral spreads. Is there something in sort of the forward market or what you're About to launch where you think the spreads are going to open up quite a bit. Speaker 1500:57:31It just seems hard to understand how and if we think about this that spreads could And then just a second question, Bill, on the franchise I'm sorry, on the market share gains, is there room to gain in the 6 to 10 year old segment. I mean, if you kind of think about that 4% in 1 in the 0 to 10 year old market, Is there significant room in these older vehicles where you might have higher grosses over time? Speaker 400:57:58Sure. Yes. Thanks, John, for the question. I'll take the NIM one. So I think first most important to point out is you're coming off of probably a 10 year peak in Q1 previous of this year. Speaker 400:58:11You really benefited from low funding costs. Lenders were able to capture a lot of margin there. You look at some of those deals you referenced, I mean, very, very strong margin. While we'd love to have been to stay up there, it was probably never going to happen. And you've seen us come down sequentially quarter over quarter. Speaker 400:58:29I think if you look at what we have been able to raise rates for our consumers, Obviously, Enrique already mentioned earlier, we do think that the ABS market is kind of improving. We're probably better matched with our rates to how we'll do long term funding costs out there. And so we think that when we look out, you never know where funding costs are going to go. You never know what consumers are going to walk through the door. Ultimately, we need to remain competitive and make sure that we're able to sell cars and provide competitive rates for our consumers. Speaker 400:59:00But when we look out, we've come down off of this peak. We think that we're well matched with our rates versus what we can fund this stuff for in the future, and we do think we can level off in 'twenty four. Speaker 1500:59:10I'm sorry, does the match mean that you're going to get back to 5% to 6% collateral spreads you think in the near future? Speaker 200:59:16Yes. Speaker 1500:59:16That's where you've been, when things are somewhat more normal. So I'm Curious if that's what you think you're going to get to soon. Speaker 400:59:21Sure. Yes. If you just look at those previous deals, you look at the 20 three-one deal again, an APR of 9.09. We just referenced that we're at 10.9 this quarter. And I can tell you that's not where we ended the quarter. Speaker 400:59:31So you're going to see in subsequent deals, Yes, APR is higher. If funding costs are more reasonable, I think we're absolutely going to be better matched funding costs for rate out there. That's exactly what I'm referring to. Speaker 200:59:45Thank you. And John on the market share the 6 to 10, remember we always measure market share 0 to 10. I do think 6 to 10 is an opportunity. I mean, if you look at our recent sales like even this quarter, vehicles over 6 years over 60,000 miles, If I look at where we were year over year, we're probably 10 points higher. We're probably high 30s as a percent of sale. Speaker 201:00:08The real question will be as prices come down, do consumers start to go back to newer model vehicles? So we'll see. I think we're in a great position. We obviously have shown that we can acquire those vehicles and recondition them. So it's a great lever as we go forward. Speaker 201:00:24But wouldn't you just think of that as Speaker 1501:00:25a structural opportunity, right? I mean, if those consumers go back to the younger, cheaper vehicles, you still have those 10 year old vehicles that you can sell. Wouldn't that just augment your sort of long term structural growth? I mean, I'm just curious. I mean, it just seems like a huge opportunity. Speaker 201:00:40Yes, I think so. But again, some of it will be just on consumer demand. If the folks that are coming into our stores are looking for later model vehicles, lower mileage, we're Going to put more of those on our lot. So we'll manage whatever the consumer is looking for. Speaker 801:00:54Okay. Thank you. Speaker 201:00:55Yes. Thank you. Operator01:01:00Your next question comes from Chris Pierce with Needham. Your line is open. Speaker 501:01:06Hey, good morning. About halfway through Q1 here, I was just curious if you could comment on used ASPs, retail ASPs and what you're seeing. It came down 7% sequentially in Q4, but I know Q3 was a little bit artificially inflated. Just given there's been talk about wholesale demand and strong wholesale price I was curious if that's flowing through the retail or not as much because of the retail wholesale spread. Just kind of curious what you're seeing quarter to date for retail ASPs. Speaker 201:01:32Yes. I think, Chris, it's a little early because the vehicles we're selling right now, we sourced in the last quarter. So I don't think it's really going to impact up to this point what your retail ASPs are. So I would think about This quarter right now, our retail ASPs are probably similar to what they were for the quarter. And again, we had a little bit of appreciation that we saw there. Speaker 201:01:57Keep in mind that the depreciation flows through much quickly on the wholesale cars because you're turning those inventory that inventory every 7 Speaker 501:02:04days. Okay. Speaker 1101:02:06Perfect. Thank you. Speaker 1001:02:07Yes. Operator01:02:12And the next question comes from David Whiston with Morningstar. Your line is open. Speaker 1601:02:20Thanks. Good morning. Just curious if you've seen a noteworthy pullback from CAF Lending Partners or I'm sorry from your lending partners because your CAF gross penetration was up 3 30 bps. And related to that, John, I think you said earlier, you wanted to your goal is to add new lenders. Were you talking about ABS lending or also for the 2 tier 2 and 3 partners? Speaker 401:02:42Sure. Yes. Just to your first question, David. Yes. Certainly, when partners pull back, the pie sums to 100, so CAF can benefit from that. Speaker 401:02:52But I think CAF's penetration is really again us remaining competitive in that tier space and winning the volume All right. But yes, we did see our Tier 2 partners certainly pull back. Tier 3 tends to benefit from that because those Customers who typically will be Tier 2 may move down and get picked up by Tier 3. But I think that just speaks to the quality of our platform, right? If CapEx pulls back Tier 2 picks up, if Tier 2 pulls back Tier 3 picks up or other partners in Tier 2, but we did see pullback in the Tier 2 space certainly. Speaker 401:03:25And your second question was probably with regard to my prepared remarks and about adding a subsequent lender. We were referring to the FBS platform. We have 5, again, long term lenders on there, which means that they are operating with a soft pull. They are decisioning all the vehicles using their models in minutes and getting it back to us so we can provide that to the consumer and provide as rich an offer as possible. Every lender you add, we added 1 in Q4. Speaker 401:03:53We hope to add another 1 in Q1, Just further strengthens the set of offers across all the inventory that the customer can see, and helps them to convert. So that's what I was referring to. Speaker 201:04:04And those are David, those are long term lenders that we already have that we're pulling into the financials. Absolutely. It's not adding a Speaker 401:04:10brand new lender, although I'm sure we have plenty of lenders that would love to come into our space. But this is existing in our typical in store environment that we're going to add into this, again, very rich FBS environment. Speaker 1601:04:24Okay. Thank you. And are you seeing any increase in repossessions? Or do you expect that to happen later this year? Speaker 401:04:31So if your question is increase in repossessions, Obviously, as losses go up as you're seeing delinquencies certainly in the industry, it will lead to losses Then you're going to see added repossession. So I think the entire industry is seeing that. We are seeing that to some degree, if that's your question. Speaker 1601:04:49Yes. Thank you very much. Speaker 801:04:51Yes. Operator01:04:56Thank you. We don't have any further questions at this time. I'll hand the call back to Bill for any closing remarks. Speaker 201:05:03Great. Thank you. I want to thank everybody for joining the call I do want to congratulate all the associates again on being named a great place to work for 19 years in a row. And like I said earlier, we believe we're well positioned to navigate this environment and merge even stronger. We look forward to talking with everyone next quarter. Speaker 201:05:20Take care. Operator01:05:24Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. That concludes the 4th Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 CarMax Earnings Release Conference Call. You may nowRead morePowered by