Twin Disc Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
April 28, 2023

Key Takeaways

  • Sales up 24% year-over-year to $73.8 million with double-digit growth in North America and Asia Pacific as supply chain constraints ease and shipments accelerate.
  • Gross margins were pressured by a non-cash LIFO inventory charge and higher costs, but operational performance delivered sequential margin improvement when normalizing for that charge.
  • Strong demand in Marine & Propulsion Systems, Land-Based Transmissions and Industrial Products is being driven by offshore oil & gas recovery, rebuild activity and a noticeable uptick in hybrid/electric applications through collaborations like Veth and Rolla.
  • Backlog is at its highest level in over four years as the company continues to mitigate component shortages, reduce inventory and improve lead times across its global footprint.
  • Capital allocation priorities include reducing net debt (down $7 million to a 0.7x leverage ratio), resuming dividends only when sustainably funded, and pursuing bolt-on M&A to expand hybrid and electrification offerings.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Twin Disc Q3 2023
00:00 / 00:00

There are 4 speakers on the call.

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Twin Disc Fiscal Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Jeff Knutson, Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary.

Operator

Thank you. You may begin.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Doug. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our fiscal Q3 2023 results. On the call with me today is John Batten, Twin Disc's CEO. I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during this conference call, especially statements expressing hopes, beliefs, expectations or predictions for the future are forward looking statements. It is important to remember that the company's actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward looking statements.

Speaker 1

Information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward looking statements are contained In the company's annual report on Form 10 ks, copies of which may be obtained by contacting either the company or the SEC. Any forward looking statements that are made during this call are based on assumptions as of today, and the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise these statements to reflect subsequent events or new information. During today's call, management will also discuss certain non GAAP financial measures. For a different definition of non GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of GAAP to non GAAP financial results, please see the earnings release issued earlier today. By now, you should have received the news release, which was issued this morning before the market opened.

Speaker 1

If you have not received a copy, please call our office at 262-638-4000 and we will send a release to you. Now I'll turn the call over to John.

Speaker 2

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I'd like to start today's call with a few highlights from the quarter. Strong demand across our end markets coupled with an easing supply chain constraints and in turn higher shipments translated into a 24% Increase in sales year over year and double digit sales growth in our North American and Asia Pacific regions. Margins were adversely impacted by multiple factors including a non cash LIFO charge related to a reevaluation of inventory and higher costs that more than offset the pricing actions we implemented mid quarter. Normalizing for the non cash impact to margins, the operational accomplishments of our team would have resulted in sequential margin improvement, which has been and supply chain constraints and higher costs and we've been working with other strategic vendors to source components that are in short supply or that are currently sourced from a single supplier.

Speaker 2

The operational accomplishments of our team led to a significant improvement in shipments, which will allow us to continue to decrease inventory and further improve lead times. I'm also encouraged by the results we are seeing from our collaboration between Veth and Rolla. The Veth team has been working with our propeller manufacturer to include more TWIN disc content in their designs and provide a better overall product to customers. There has been a noticeable increase in the number of applications of our hybrid and electric offerings We are seeing a correlated increase in new orders as a result. Our Marine and Propulsion Systems product group continues to experience Strong demand across end markets.

Speaker 2

We are seeing more activity within offshore oil and gas, which has translated into offshore oil supply vessel inquiries, something we haven't seen in several years. As the geopolitical environment in the South Pacific continues to evolve, we've concurrently observed a Significant increase in the number of inquiries from U. S. And European governments for small military marine transmissions used in shallow water boats. Fett has had a number of wins recently and has experienced its geographical reach beyond its core Northern European markets, booking orders across North America, Asia Pacific And the rest of Europe, including Italy, which is a key luxury yacht market.

Speaker 2

We are excited about those we are excited about what those opportunities represent. On the land based transmission side of our business, the lack of oil and gas investment over the past few years has increased utilization and the need to rebuild or replace fleets. Has led to delayed orders for new transmissions. Instead, we've experienced increased orders for rebuilding existing transmissions, Work we are uniquely positioned to complete. Our e frac testing continues to progress and the feedback on the results to date remain extremely positive.

Speaker 2

We anticipate orders to begin shortly after this fiscal year. Within the Industrial Product Group, we continue to experience stable demand across And have been able to maintain volumes in line with the spike observed last year. While still early to be days, there has been a noticeable increase in opportunities to work and to partner with key domestic OEMs on a variety of exciting projects. Additionally, we've seen the number of hybrid and electrification System applications continue to grow. The greater Twin Disc content in these systems presents an opportunity to accelerate sales growth And expand the margin profile for the Industrial Product Group.

Speaker 2

Focusing on inventory and backlog for a moment, strong end market Demand persisted throughout the quarter resulting in our highest backlog level in over 4 years and easing supply chain headwinds and operational execution are working to find alternatives to mitigate these headwinds as we experience or are able to find and able to anticipate them. For example, one of our major suppliers hasn't been able to source enough material for a graphite ring that seals inside of a piston. We've explored alternate suppliers as well as a change in material. Either path requires significant lab testing for extended time periods, which presents its own challenges. That being said, the bulk of the supply chain headwinds Faced in prior quarters like heat treatment and capacity constraints started to subside in the Q3 and we expect those trends to continue.

Speaker 2

As we navigate and respond to each challenge that our business faces, we evaluate our options based on how they align with our commitments and long term strategy. We strive to be the leading hybrid and electric solution provider for our marine and off highway land based applications. As we look to the future, it is clear the control system controls and systems integration provides greater sales and margin opportunities Then a continued focus on individual components would. We've also noted that the vet business has had a lot of success recently and we expect that trend to continue as we extend and that business across geographies and markets. As with the acquisition of that, our M and A priorities continue to be focused on Industrial and Marine Technology, especially for the hybrid and electrification solutions where we strive to be the leading provider.

Speaker 2

Further, we need to modernize and optimize the global footprint of our business to be more efficient and improve customer response and lead times. As we think about capital allocation and more specifically returning capital to shareholders, I think it's important to clarify our approach. First, we will continue prioritizing the reduction of net debt, which we've been able to accelerate in recent quarters as we've closed on the sale of various facilities around the world. 2nd, Twin Disc has historically paid a dividend to shareholders and we have a strong desire to resume paying a dividend. However, we won't use debt to fund it.

Speaker 2

We will only resume the dividend We continue to make investments within our business to fuel growth through research and development, geographic diversification and expansion And our marketing efforts. We will also continue to evaluate and pursue bolt on and or transformational acquisitions that align with our strategic and financial characteristics as well as other considerations, which we've consolidated on Slide 9. As we look forward, I think it is important to provide clarity around our near term expectations of external factors and the actions we are taking in response. We expect broader manufacturing and supply chain headwinds To continue to moderate, while acute components shortages, especially those sourced from European suppliers are likely to persist or resolve and then reemerge elsewhere in the portfolio over the next several quarters. We are doing what we can to anticipate and to address these headwinds as early as possible.

Speaker 2

We have not experienced a reduction in raw material costs despite the lowering prices of key commodities. Our pricing actions to restore margins are already in effect and at the moment we do not expect lower raw material cost to be the material driver of margin improvement in the near term. Our team continues to progress on our plan to modernize our legacy facilities, equipment, processes and geographic footprint. This work has and is expected to continue to deliver improved shipments, lower inventory, reduced lead times and lower costs, all of which will Attribute to better margins and cash flow for Twin Disc. With that, I will now turn it over to Jeff to discuss the financials.

Speaker 1

Jeff? Thanks, John. Good morning, everyone. We delivered sales of $73,800,000 for the quarter, up $14,500,000 or 24.4 percent from the prior year, driven by strong demand across our end markets, especially within our marine and propulsion systems and land based transmission product groups. As John mentioned, shipments improved significantly in the quarter and we are seeing light at the end of the tunnel for our supply chain.

Speaker 1

Net income attributable to Twin Disc for the quarter Was $2,700,000 or $0.20 per diluted share compared to $2,200,000 or $0.17 per diluted share in Q3 of fiscal 2022. The approximately 20% year over year improvement in net income was primarily the result of our sales performance and lower income tax, which was driven by the geographic mix of earnings. Marine and Propulsion Systems and Land Based Transmissions both delivered double digit growth sequentially and year over year, while our Industrial Product Group delivered another quarter of sales in line Looking at sales by geography, we saw our year over year and sequential increased sales within North America and Asia Pacific regions We're primarily driven by efforts to diversify the Veth business outside its core Northern European markets. Veth has had a number of wins recently and currently boasts record high 12 month order backlog. We see a clear path to further growth in this business.

Speaker 1

As John mentioned, within the luxury yacht market, Veth is now partnering with Rola, Our high end propeller design and manufacturing firm to design and develop components that are more fluid dynamic and leverage additional content from Twin Disc. Gross margins of 26.1 percent, a decrease of 370 basis points from the prior year period, were negatively impacted by non cash write down of domestic inventory As a result of LIFO accounting in the quarter, we expect this to similarly impact Q4 as we continue to reduce inventory to pre COVID levels. As John noted, we have seen commodity pricing continue to trend down, but that has not yet translated into decreased prices for our raw materials. Twin Disc doesn't buy raw steel. Instead, we buy forgings or castings, which have held firm on pricing to date.

Speaker 1

We expect our raw material pricing to I want to take a moment to highlight the progress we've made with our balance sheet and leverage ratio since the end of fiscal 2022. In 3 short quarters, we've been able to reduce net debt by $7,000,000 Our cash position is now $14,000,000 which is approximately 12% higher than at the start of fiscal 2023. EBITDA is up 14.8% compared to the year ago period, primarily driven by higher depreciation and amortization With net debt of $17,300,000 at the end of Q3 and EBITDA over the last 12 months of $23,400,000 Our leverage ratio has gone from 1.1x to 0.7x in just 3 quarters. The balance sheet progress we've achieved is foundational to our pursuit of bolt on or transformational M and A opportunities as well as a key factor in our ability to optimize the global footprint And operational efficiency of Twin Disc. Building on the near term expectations that John laid out, I'd like to take this opportunity to reaffirm our medium term targets.

Speaker 1

Over the next 3 to 5 years, we believe the execution of our strategy will deliver revenues of approximately $400,000,000 with gross margins of 30%. To get there, we will need to take advantage of and extend our leadership position across hybrid electrification opportunities, continue expanding the geographic reach of the vet business And evolve our business practices to adapt to the ever changing operational environment. We also see a path to delivering consistent Free cash flow conversion of 60% through streamlined supply chain operations, optimizing our manufacturing footprint and remaining disciplined with our capital spending. And before we open the line for questions, I'd like to leave you with a few key takeaways. The robust demand and sales momentum experienced in Q3 is expected to We've seen the bulk of our supply chain headwinds moderate and are working to resolve component shortages faced in the quarter.

Speaker 1

Our teams have been working tirelessly to improve our operational efficiencies and that has allowed us to ramp up shipments in Q3 and position Q4 for success. I think it is also important to highlight our current capital allocation priorities, framework for M and A opportunities and reaffirm our confidence in our strategy and That concludes our prepared remarks. John and I will be happy to answer your questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will begin

Speaker 3

Just starting with the, oil and gas business, how big how much revenue was that in the quarter?

Speaker 1

So it's a little bit hard to break that out real cleanly, but it was obviously a big part of the quarter To market and forward market, I would say 25% to 30% of the quarter Top line. Okay.

Speaker 3

Is that how much of that new equipment versus consumables or aftermarket?

Speaker 1

I would say it's probably more than half aftermarket, maybe sixty-forty aftermarket versus new equipment With most of the new equipment headed to Asia.

Speaker 3

Okay. I'm sorry, just to clarify, the 25% to 30%, is that total revenue or just land based transmission? Total. Okay. And then staying on the oil and gas, what are you seeing from your customers?

Speaker 3

I mean, given the recent volatility in oil prices and lower natural gas prices, are they continuing activity? Or are you starting to see them park equipment? I What are you seeing there?

Speaker 2

We so Simon, we haven't seen any slowdown in the rebuild activity. They may have idled some equipment, but I think it's mostly equipment that needs to be rebuilt or replaced. And every conversation that I've had, whether it's for Asia or North America, The rebuild activity is going to continue and they're actively looking at new spreads because Some of it's particularly North America. Traditional frac rigs are going on their 4th, 5th maybe 6th rebuild. And there's still we're seeing that that is going to continue through the rest of the calendar year.

Speaker 2

And availability of engines is still out a couple of quarters. So we probably won't see A significant additional frac fleet, some build, but I expect to see that at the end of this calendar year.

Speaker 3

Okay, great. And then one more oil and gas question. In your last upcycle, how big was the offshore part of the business for you guys?

Speaker 2

Simon, offshore was historically a very big component. But I would say just that That was probably high single digits, 10% of our business when it was at when it was Near its peak.

Speaker 3

Yes. Okay, 10% as peak. It can be a meaningful contributor going into next few years if offshore really comes back as The industry say you're saying it is. Okay. Just one last question, and I'll jump back in Outside of oil and gas, anything in your new product pipeline that you're excited about that you can talk about?

Speaker 2

Well, I just I would say, a lot of the industrial products, some of our PTOs, Whether it's electrically shifted or hydraulically shifted, those are starting to gain traction. And really what's exciting The amount of hybrid and electrification applications, projects, quoting that we're doing, in the systems, the Hinckley is the one that we've been able to talk about, but we should have some exciting industrial ones to talk about. And I'm guessing we'll have through this calendar year, certainly next fiscal year, a lot more coming out where the full system is provided by Twin Disc.

Speaker 3

Okay.

Speaker 2

So a

Speaker 1

lot of controls developed.

Speaker 2

And that's been a bit hampered. I mean our controls group has done an amazing job Resourcing a lot of just the base components that were in such short supply over the last 12 to 18 months.

Speaker 3

Okay. All right. Great. Thank you, guys.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Simon.

Operator

There are no other questions in the queue. I'd like to hand the call back to management for closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Doug. I just wanted to take a moment to thank our

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