NASDAQ:MERC Mercer International Q1 2023 Earnings Report $3.70 +0.03 (+0.82%) Closing price 07/16/2025 04:00 PM EasternExtended Trading$3.76 +0.06 (+1.73%) As of 07/16/2025 04:34 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. ProfileEarnings HistoryForecast Mercer International EPS ResultsActual EPS-$0.46Consensus EPS $0.36Beat/MissMissed by -$0.82One Year Ago EPS$1.34Mercer International Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$522.67 millionExpected Revenue$512.70 millionBeat/MissBeat by +$9.97 millionYoY Revenue Growth-11.80%Mercer International Announcement DetailsQuarterQ1 2023Date5/4/2023TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateFriday, May 5, 2023Conference Call Time10:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsMercer International's Q2 2025 earnings is scheduled for Wednesday, August 6, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Friday, August 1, 2025 at 10:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Mercer International Q1 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrMay 5, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.Key Takeaways Mercer reported a Q1 net loss of $31 million ($0.46 per share), using $53 million of cash as EBITDA fell by ~$29 million from lower pulp pricing and $8 million from a weaker U.S. dollar, alongside a $15 million non-cash inventory write-down. Pulp production was strong—up 31,000 tonnes from Q4—but softer demand led to a 29,000-tonne sales decline and an inventory build, which management expects to unwind over the next one to two months. In lumber, the Friesau mill hit record quarterly production (134 million board feet) and sales (140 million board feet), yet U.S. pricing slipped and European pricing was flat, resulting in a $5 million EBITDA reduction compared to Q4. The company is rapidly scaling its mass timber segment, citing a filling CLT order book and a $60 million stalking-horse bid for Structuralam assets, with CLT revenue expected to rise noticeably as production ramps in Q2. Capital expenditures for 2023 have been trimmed to $150–180 million to prioritize high-return projects—such as the Peace River wood room, lignin extraction pilot plant, and a mass timber plant expansion—and the German credit facility was converted into a sustainability-linked loan tied to 2030 carbon reduction targets. AI Generated. May Contain Errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallMercer International Q1 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xThere are 7 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, and welcome to Mercer International's First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. On the call today is Juan Carlos Bueno, President and Chief Executive Officer of Mercer International with David Ure, Juan, Senior Vice President of Finance to Financial Officer and Secretary. I will now hand the call over to David Youre. Please Go ahead. Speaker 100:00:25Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. I will begin by touching on the financial and operating highlights of the first $1,000,000,000. I'd like to remind you that in this morning's conference call, we will make forward looking statements and according to the Safe 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, which were down in all of our markets compared to Q4. Overall demand was relatively weak in the current quarter as customers reduced inventory levels in anticipation of lower prices and inflation and economic uncertainty negatively impacted paper demand. Speaker 100:02:51European NBSK list prices averaged $13.77 per tonne in the current quarter $14.42 per tonne in Q4. In China, the Q1 average NBSK net price $8.91 per tonne, down $29 from $9.20 per tonne in Q4. As we've seen several times in the past decade, the Chinese market price gap between NBSK and NBHK grew to about $180 this quarter as the hardwood market digests new eucalyptus hardwood capacity from South America. In China, the Q1 average MDHK net price was $7.10 per tonne, down $127 $8.37 per tonne in Q4. The lower hardwood prices and relatively high chemical and logistics costs 1,000,000 resulted in the recording of a $15,000,000 non cash inventory write down in Q1. Speaker 100:04:05Lower pulp prices resulted in negative impact on EBITDA of about $29,000,000 compared to the 4th quarter. In addition, the weaker U. S. Dollar negatively impacted EBITDA by $8,000,000 compared to Q4. Our pulp production was strong this quarter, up 31,000 tons from the 4th quarter, but due to relatively soft demand, Our sales volume was down 29,000 tonnes, creating an inventory build that we expect to reverse over the next 1.2 months. Speaker 100:04:37Our Celgar mill had a 10 day shut in the Q1 compared to the Q4 when we had a 21 day shut at the Stendal mill. In Q1, the Stendal Mill received almost $8,000,000 for business interruption insurance related to the fire damaged wood yard infrastructure. These proceeds were principally covering operating losses in the current quarter. The final repairs to the mill are scheduled to be completed in Q2. For our solid wood segment, lumber pricing was up slightly in the European market, but down in the U. Speaker 100:05:12S. Market. European demand was steady in the Q1, but pricing continued to decline in the U. S. Market due to the economic uncertainty and rising interest rates. Speaker 100:05:24The Random Lengths U. S. Benchmark for Western SPF 2 and better averaged $3.86 per 1,000 board feet in EBITDA by approximately $5,000,000 when compared to the Q4. Today, the benchmark price for Western SPF 2 and better 2x4s $3.50 per 1,000 board feet, virtually unchanged from the beginning of 2023. We had record quarterly production at our Friesau Mill as we continue to realize the benefits of the capital improvements to the mill. Speaker 100:06:06Total lumber production was 134,000,000 board feet in the quarter, which is up 17,000,000 board feet from the 4th quarter. We also had record lumber sales volumes due in part to the timing of certain vessels that were delayed out of Q4. Lumber sales volumes were approximately 140,000,000 board feet, up 41,000,000 board feet from the prior quarter. We are making solid progress with the integration of our Torghao Mill. And while economic headwinds and Seasonality are negatively impacting pricing for pallets, biofuels and lumber, which make it more difficult to quickly obtain our synergies targets. Speaker 100:06:49We continue to expect annual synergies from the transaction to approach $16,000,000 annually once product pricing turns to more normal levels. Electricity sales totaled 2 37 gigawatt hours in the quarter, which is up 15 gigawatt hours from Q4 due to our strong production in the current quarter and the absence of the planned maintenance shut at Stendal in Q4. Pricing in Q1 fell to about $130 per megawatt hour due to the implementation of the German energy price cap, 1.2% in June due to reduced energy supply concerns in Europe. We reported a consolidated net loss $31,000,000 for the quarter or $0.46 per share compared to net income of $20,000,000 or $0.30 per share in Q4. After removing the impact of the non cash inventory charge, the net loss is about $0.29 per share. Speaker 100:07:59We used about $53,000,000 of cash in Q1 compared to using about $8,000,000 in Q4. The increased cash usage was due to lower EBITDA and a significant buildup of inventory in our Canadian mills. We increased our log inventory at our Peace River Mill to prepare for the start up of the new wood room, which was completed in Q1. And at Celgar, we opportunistically build some wood inventory to secure our operating position through the summer. Our pulp finished goods inventory also grew modestly in the quarter as we tried to manage our sales process in the backdrop of falling prices. Speaker 100:08:41We expect this working capital build to reverse considerably beginning in Q2. Capital spending was about $33,000,000 in Q1 and included cost to complete the Peace River Wood Room, which started operating late in the quarter. We expect to see the benefits from this project in the form of lower fiber costs for the mill beginning in Q2. Looking ahead, we have moderated our expected CapEx spend At the end of the quarter, our liquidity position totaled about $556,000,000 comprised of $301,000,000 of cash and $255,000,000 of undrawn revolvers. And as you have seen from our press release Today, our Board has approved a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share for shareholders of record on June 28, 2023, for which payment will be made on July 6. Speaker 100:09:45That ends my overview of the financial results. I'll turn the call now to Juan Carlos. Speaker 200:09:51Juan. Thanks, Dave. Let me start by saying that I'm very pleased with the strong performance of our mills as we exceeded our production targets for the quarter. Our operating results were negatively affected by a number of external factors. The most impactful was finished product pricing. Speaker 200:10:10Compared to Q4, pricing for most of our products was down. On average, pulp pricing was down about 5%, while lumber prices down about 15% in the U. S. And although fiber prices peaked in Q1 and were coming down through the quarter, Our pulp mill costs on average were considerably higher than Q4. However, our Q1 results also reflected some positives. Speaker 200:10:35Most notably, our recent investments in our free cell mill allowed the mill to achieve record production and sales volumes this quarter. I'm also excited with the progress we're making in developing our mass timber business. Our order book is filling rapidly and we continue to bid on numerous Mass Timber Projects. As production ramps up in Q2, we expect to realize a noticeable increase in CLT revenue. In addition, as some of you may be aware, we are the stocking horse bidder for the bankrupt Structuralam assets. Speaker 200:11:07This process may end up in an auction, so the outcome is unclear today. But I will say that regardless of the outcome, we will continue to invest in the growth of 1. I am satisfied with the progress we have made on integrating our Torghao sawmill, And I applaud our Torgau Cal employees for being open to changing how they do things, especially around safety. Despite the current market dynamics that are limiting our synergies, I believe that in the fullness of time, this asset will add significant shareholder value. Softwood pulp prices were steady through most of Q1, but fell off about $50 per tonne on average late in the quarter. Speaker 200:11:52During this same period, hardwood prices in China fell roughly $185 per tonne. Subsequent to the end of the quarter, pulp prices in China have Continued to weaken. Pulp markets were put under additional pressure by a number of factors, including Chinese buyers holding off new orders mid March, while 1.5% of hardwood as new capacities are starting to reach the market. Looking forward, we expect pulp pricing to continue to be under pressure in Q2. On the softwood side, we feel that prices will begin to firm late in Q2 as Chinese buyers and traders take advantage of low prices to refill their inventories And the impact of reduced supply is felt as producers head into the maintenance season. Speaker 200:12:43History tells us That producers will continue will consider extending their maintenance shuts during times of weaker pulp prices. Why. At these low prices, we expect Asian integrated hardwood production to curtail, which will help support prices. However, we expect the gap between hardwood and softwood prices to continue to grow beyond the current $180 per tonne level. As a result of these market pressures, we will be extending our Peace River Mill annual maintenance this quarter from 13 days to 29 days. Speaker 200:13:29This will allow us to reduce the cost of the shut by allowing us to reduce overtime hours and reduce The work done by contractors. In addition to the 29 days, our Peace River mill will be down in Q2. Our 2023 annual maintenance schedule includes Stendal having a short 3 day shutdown and Caribou being down for the entire month of May, now in Q2. In total, we expect our Q2 annual maintenance downtime to reduce production by about 55,000 tons. Rosenthal will be down for 14 days in Q3, Reducing production by about 14,000 tons. Speaker 200:14:12Stenda will have another short 3 day shuts and Celgar will have a 26 major maintenance in Q4 or roughly 41,000 tonnes of production in total. Our first quarter lumber results reflected mixed markets with the U. S. Market down compared to Q4 and the European market up slightly. The negative market sentiment in the U. Speaker 200:14:36S. Continues to be the result of uncertainty created by rising mortgage rates and uncertain economic indicators. Housing starts and growing optimism from homebuilders, lumber prices remained low due to general economic uncertainty. We continue to believe that low lumber channel inventories, the large number of sawmill curtailments, relatively low housing stock and constructive homeowner demographics will put positive pressure on the supply demand fundamentals of this market in mid to mid term. We will continue to match our mix of lumber products and customers to current market conditions. Speaker 200:15:22In Q1, our lumber sales volumes were roughly evenly split between the U. S. We continue to see improvements in our logistics channels and modest decreases in our freight costs. In Q4, we saw pulpwood prices peak. These high cost inventory was utilized in Q1, which pushed our fiber costs 1st quarter. Speaker 200:15:45The high pulpwood costs were mainly driven by demand from the energy sector as users were looking for cheaper forms of energy, The energy sector demand has significantly decreased and we expect fiber costs to come down noticeably in the second quarter. In Western Canada, we expect the impact of our New Peace River Mills Wood Room and increased log harvesting levels to bring our fiber cost down in the second quarter. Looking ahead in light of lower product pricing and uncertain market conditions, we have made the prudent decision to reduce Our planned CapEx slightly to between $150,000,000 to $180,000,000 in 2023. We have retained all high value projects delaying only those that were discretionary. Our CapEx spends includes the completion of the Shergo Woodroom as well as the lignin development center and the extraction pilot plant, which is a large step towards being able to begin commercialization of lignin. Speaker 200:16:45We will also do the majority of a $27,000,000 expansion project at our Spokane Mass Timber Plant, an investment that will allow the state of the art facility to fully utilize a more varied raw material mix, add GluLem to our product portfolio and increase finger joint production. This is a first step in what will ultimately be an expansion of CLT capacity in anticipation of our efforts to steadily increase our order book for mass timber products. We will also complete upgrades at our new Torregao Mill to increase lumber production and debottleneck certain elements of our shipping pallet and heating pallet plants. As our world becomes more sensitive to reducing carbon emissions, we believe that products like lignin, mass timber, green energy, Extractives, lumber and pulp are all products that will play increasingly important roles in displacing carbon intensive products. Products like concrete and steel for construction, plastic packaging, fossil fuel generated electricity and synthetic fragrances and flavors, Even Synthetic Textiles. Speaker 200:17:51We're committed to our 2,030 carbon reduction targets and believe our products one part of the climate change solution. In fact, we believe that in the fullness of time, demand for our low carbon products will dramatically increase as the world looks for solutions to reduce its Carbon Emissions. To that end, going forward, we will see us looking to grow these areas of our business. We remain bullish on the long term value of pulp, But to bring more balance to our business, solid wood and extractives will grow more quickly. I encourage you to look at our website for more details. Speaker 200:18:24We're so confident in our ability to meet these targets that we converted our German revolving credit facility to a sustainability linked loan, making us part of a small group of wood product producers willing to invest in carbon emission reduction targets in favor of modest reductions in our cost of borrowing. And finally, as Dave noted, Richard Short will assume the CFO role effective June 1. As most of you know, Rich is Juan, is a seasoned industry leader and has been with us for over 15 years. They will remain with us for a few more months to finish some transition activities and is available, of course, with Rich and I at any time should you need further information. Thanks for listening, and I will now turn the call back to the operator for questions. Speaker 200:19:09Thank you. Operator00:19:18Followed by the digit 1 on your telephone keypad. Also, if you are using a speakerphone, we ask that you please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your Speaker 300:20:04Sorry, apologies guys. Yes, I'll start with Wood Products. Can you give us an idea of how much the losses this quarter were split between Freezeau and the Torgau facility. And then I guess more specific to Freezeau, you're still shipping half Your volume to the U. S. Speaker 200:20:25Can you give us an idea Speaker 300:20:26of the rationale of continuing at that pace with prices where they are, freight rates where they are, any intention to pull back on volumes into that market? Speaker 100:20:39Yes, I guess starting with the mix, the Wood Products mix, I'd say they're all between Torogawa and Friso They were similar. It wasn't one driving it. It wasn't one driving the result over another. They were broadly in alignment For different reasons, of course, but broadly in alignment. So not really an outlier there. Speaker 100:21:03In terms of the 50%, I'd say that's a little bit higher than our target. We had the shipments there were quite a bit higher than normal. We had a little bit of a backlog in 1,000,000 vessels that came from Q4 and ended up in Q1. So I don't think you should think of 50% as being indicative of what we're going Speaker 400:21:29Okay. Thanks for that. And then Speaker 300:21:33Dave, just comments on overall comfort with liquidity and leverage. And I guess particularly with respect to Your interest in Structural Am and I appreciate that Engineered Wood Products Mass Timber is going to be a growth focus for the company, but Your funding constraints will arguably increase as pulp prices are capitulating here. Just overall thoughts on comfort with your balance sheet at this point in the cycle. Speaker 100:22:06Yes. It's hard to see it at the moment, but maybe I'll just talk about the liquidity at the moment, we think is quite sufficient, dollars 300,000,000 of cash. We've got a lot of working capital at the moment that's going to unwind itself quite quickly. So we're Coming out of Q1 is our always our largest inventory quarter for wood. So that will start unwinding itself and materialize into cash quickly, we've got we held back on some pulp sales in Q1 that will come out, will be unwound here in Q2. Speaker 100:22:44So there's a working capital element. The other thing that is happening in the background where We've just passed the peak of some of our most important costs in our cost structure. So for example, the pulpwood costs We peaked during Q1 and we're now seeing considerable reductions in wood costs. We'll have a noticeable improvement in wood costs in Q2 and we're seeing the same thing with chemicals. So Most of our chemicals are derivatives of electricity or gas, which ran up really hard in Q4 And now there's some starting to come back, not coming back as quickly as the revenue from our electricity, but They're coming back very quickly. Speaker 100:23:32We see the same thing. We purchased a little bit of gas on the market as well and that's coming down very quickly. So These are inputs that most of these inputs went up by 50% or more over the last year and now they're backing off very quickly. So we're looking ahead to that. We also have you've heard us talk a little bit about our mass timber business, and we got our first big order. Speaker 100:24:04We believe that that's the beginning of more to come, and so we're preparing for that. And in terms of the leverage, we know that the leverage is going to be a little bit higher than our target here for a while, but I See that as more having to do with the depressed EBITDA at the moment than the value of the debt that we have in place. I think to get just to get right to the nub of your question, this is a place that we're pretty comfortable. We've got working capital coming. We're trimming back at our CapEx. Speaker 100:24:42As you heard Juan Carlos say, we're going to moderate the CapEx for 2023, Let's drill, push ahead with the high return projects and prepare ourselves that we can participate if the Structuralam Speaker 300:25:02And just one follow-up there, Dave. For Pulpwood Costs and Chemicals, can you give us an idea of what kind of declines you might expect to see in the Q2? Speaker 100:25:14Yes. So when we talk about the declines, we're principally talking about Europe because that's where the big inflation was. We're getting a little bit of inflation Canada, but nothing like we had in Europe. And we're probably expecting somewhere in the range of 10% to 15% reduction in Q2 From Q1 and probably similar for chemicals. And those two elements are form as you know form probably 90% of our cost structure. Speaker 300:25:50Okay. Thanks very much for that, Dave. That's all I have. Operator00:25:56And next we'll hear from Paul Quinn of RBC Capital Markets. Speaker 500:26:01Yes, thanks very much. Good morning. So you outlined Chinese NBSK prices are $8.91 in Q1 average down, I think it was $29 from Q4. What are curve prices in April there? And what do you expect for the Q2 price that's average? Speaker 200:26:20Prices right now are a bit north of 700, around 700 a ton for softwood. So yes, the big decline has happened in April more than it did in May. And we believe it's very close to the floor We expect that floor to be hit during this quarter. Speaker 500:26:42Okay. Thanks for that. And just could you help me understand the Process around the stocking horse bid for Structured Lam and what that process is and what do you expect on the timing side? Speaker 200:26:56The stocking horse process with Structural M gives us kind of the initial bid one priority for this project. As you know, we bid US60 $1,000,000 for it. By May 25 or May 27, the actual auction would commence For those parties that would be interested in acquiring this asset, for anybody to outbid us, they would have I believe every auction, every bid would have to be probably, I I think it's $500,000 higher than the previous one or $1,000,000 higher than the previous one. And that goes fairly quickly. So it's On May 27, we should know the results of the bidding process. Speaker 500:28:00Okay, that's great. Thanks for that. And then just on the Mastimer, your existing facility, great to hear that the order file is growing. I think I heard you described it as very Profitable business, but I suspect that's the comment that your expectation in the future. Is that business expected breakeven this year? Speaker 200:28:21Yes, absolutely, yes. I think it's going to be positive this year already. It is positive. So we see that growing very well. The second quarter will be positive without a doubt. Speaker 200:28:36And we continue to see a very good momentum on projects that we have been bidding for And more similar projects to the one we won that were already In production phase, we have others lined up of similar size that are progressing very well. Speaker 300:28:56So Speaker 200:28:56that's why we're very, very confident about our ability to achieve very good growth results with cross laminated timber. And we see this mass timber business, As you well said, as a not only as a profitable business, but the big advantage that it brings is The growth that this industry is having overall in the construction business. When you look at the rates at which it has been growing in the U. S. North America is north of 15% over the past 15 over the past 5 years and it is expected to keep on growing at more than 15% for the next 5 years. Speaker 200:29:37So we have a very significant organic growth behind us. And the fact that we're sitting on one of the most modern facilities in the U. S. With high productivity indexes, obviously gives us a high confidence in what we can deliver. And Structuraland would be a tremendous complement to that. Speaker 200:29:57With their Blueland capacity on top of what we already have in CLT in Spokane, That obviously rounds it up very nicely with 2 very new facilities and very large capacities. So it's clearly a growth engine for us. Speaker 500:30:15Okay. And just so we understand the Structural Lam facility once if you're successful. What was the project what's the problem with that company that they ran Speaker 200:30:30They had some operational issues that Basically forced them out of business on some of the deals that they had contracted and that basically those businesses were turned down And that put them into dire straits. So it was performance issues that got them into trouble. Speaker 500:30:54I guess you guys feel confident Speaker 300:30:55that you'd be able to Speaker 500:30:56get around those performance issues based on the Speaker 200:30:59overall impact of the company. Absolutely, because there were more mistakes Then actual issues with the facilities or the structure itself. So there were production mistakes That shouldn't have been committed obviously. And we trust that our the management team that we have At Spokane, the leaders that we have, the knowledge of the team that we have built within Mercer Gives us very high confidence that we will be able to take over this asset and run it under the standards that we're running our facility in Spokane Operator00:31:53And next we'll hear from Hamir Patel of CIBC Capital Markets. Speaker 400:32:00Good morning. Juan Carlos with pulp prices coming off as much as they have, Where do you think the cost curve is for Canadian soft and pulp capacity? Speaker 200:32:19I think obviously with prices at this level, There are several mills that can be having very, very difficult times in making a profit. I think when it comes to softwood, we still believe even with these prices, we're managing through these rough times. The way that we have set up Celgar allows us that possibility. In Celgar, We've improved tremendously our position from a wood cost perspective. That brings us also some relief Going forward from a cost perspective knowing that we will be able to source wood from the U. Speaker 200:33:04S. South of the border And that's something that is probably unique to Celgar, especially for those mills that are in BC that suffer so much from the curtailments of sawmills and actually just access to chips at good prices. What we have in Celgar is the capacity to look for different baskets that other mills would not be what we're able to reach at least at a competitive basis. So we see that as a positive development for Celgar. The fact that we can continue to develop the mill stronger from a wood perspective and also once we have the wood room ready by the end of the year, that would give us even more benefit on the cost side. Speaker 200:33:54That Woodroom benefit, we've seen it already in Peace River. That is helping very much our situation in Peace River going forward. So as we once we finish this maintenance shutdown period in Peace River, we'll begin with softwood campaigns and running the wood room and getting the benefits out of it. So I think that's a little bit where we are. Obviously, the situation is complicated in a quarter where, as I said before, I think we're going to reach bottom prices in Q2 for softwood at least. Speaker 200:34:33But I think we can navigate through those with the assets that we have. Speaker 400:34:40Okay, great. Thanks. That's helpful. And just a question for Dave. I believe you referenced Pallet prices coming off year over year. Speaker 400:34:49Do you have a sense as to what Maybe the level of price declines you've seen there in Europe and have prices started to stabilize yet or are you still expecting further declines from here? Speaker 100:35:05What our teams are telling us that they are they were still falling during the quarter, during quarter 1, But they're starting to stabilize now, but they've come off probably 40% to 50% in the last 6 months. Speaker 400:35:23Okay. Wow. I didn't realize it was that much. And had they run up quite a bit in kind of the prior year or 2 or is that? Speaker 100:35:31They did in the in 2022. They were very quite high levels. Speaker 400:35:39Okay, fair enough. Speaker 200:35:40And this is all in the back, Hamir, of this obviously economic uncertainty. So we do believe that as conditions improve gradually, that Commerce will begin reactivating and we will see obviously this market rebounding fairly quickly Once conditions stabilize. Speaker 400:36:06Yes, fair enough. Thanks. That's all I had. I'll turn it over. Operator00:36:21We'll now have from Richard Stevens, Monte. Speaker 600:36:27Hi. Just a couple of follow ups, if I could. I appreciate the comments regarding the pulpwood costs coming down, chemical costs. One of the things you mentioned in terms of cash generation was the increase in working capital. If you look at your free cash flow burn, Most of it was related to an inventory drag in Q1. Speaker 600:36:50Can you just quantify how we should expect that to work out through the 1. I mean by definition you would kind of think that maybe Q2 becomes a little more of a free cash flow breakeven period. You guys are at least positive cash from operations. Is that fair to say? Speaker 100:37:08Well, if we talk about the inventory or The inventory build, I'd say roughly half of it is pulp inventory And I'm generalizing here a little bit, roughly half of it is pulp inventory and half of it is wood inventory in front of the mills. And the wood inventory is higher. It's generally quite high at this time of the year. This is a typical quarter where we build wood inventory. The peak, a lot of our harvesting and buying activities happens in the winter and then we consume it during the summer when we don't have access to the sites. Speaker 100:37:47So it's relatively high. The other thing about our wood inventory at the moment is we've built quite a bit of inventory at our Peace River Mill in preparation to start up the new wood room. So the new wood room that we built, very high capacity wood room. We wanted to make sure we had a lot of wood in front of it when we started it up, and we started it up a couple of weeks ago now. And so a little bit unusually high wood because of that in preparation for the wood room. Speaker 100:38:18On the pulp side, It doesn't have that seasonal impact that we have with wood, but we did have relatively high inventories of pulp. And the principal reason for that was when the reductions in pulp first started to materialize, we were trying to manage them and not trying to We're trying to manage the pricing and make sure that we weren't damaging the price by introducing too much pulp to the market and holding back a little bit on sales, but that pulp will relieve itself very quickly here in Q2. So if you ask about the timing, how this will unwind, I think you can expect that the pulp inventory, so half of the build will come out very quickly into Q2. The wood inventory, the other half will take longer than that because it's wood that is intended to supply the mill Through the summer, you can expect that to unwind over probably the next two quarters. Speaker 600:39:21Got it. Okay, that's helpful. And then just to follow-up on the stocking horse bid, the $60,000,000 I'm assuming that's not included in your CapEx plan. Is that fair? Speaker 200:39:36Correct. That is not included. As we mentioned, that is not yet a done deal. So when we regrouped And looked at our CapEx spending and adjusted it to $150,000,000 to $180,000,000 that is not including the $60,000,000 or above that we would be willing to pay for Structural Am. Speaker 600:40:00Got it. And then final question for me. You mentioned earlier that you in terms of the bonds and trading levels that were out there. Post quarter end, have you guys considered or have you been active in potentially repurchasing the bonds in the open market Speaker 100:40:22We've been watching that and I think perhaps in different circumstances that would be something we'd be considering. But if you can imagine, we're in a period where we've got Some uncertainty on how long the pulp prices are going to stay low, and so preparing ourselves for if it could go if This last for longer than a few months. And then, also making sure that we've got enough dry powder for something Like the structure of land that we're hoping to complete on. So it just didn't seem like the right time to The prices of the bonds are attractive, but just not the right time. Speaker 600:41:03Got it. Okay. That's it for me. Thank you. Operator00:41:14And at this time, there are no further questions. I will turn the call back over to Juan Carlos for any additional or closing comments. Speaker 200:41:22Okay. Thank you, operator. And thanks to all of you for joining our call. Rich, Dave and I are available to talk more at any time, so don't hesitate to call one of us. Otherwise, we look forward to speaking to you again on our next earnings call in July. Speaker 200:41:36Bye for now.Read morePowered by Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Mercer International Earnings HeadlinesMercer International Inc. Announces Conference Call for Second Quarter ...July 11, 2025 | morningstar.comMMercer International Inc. Announces Conference Call for Second Quarter 2025 ResultsJuly 9, 2025 | globenewswire.comEveryone’s watching Nvidia right now. Here’s why I’m excited.So, unless you’ve been living under a rock, you probably saw the news… Nvidia just signed a $7 BILLION deal with Saudi Arabia to power its new AI empire 🤯 We’re talking about hundreds of thousands of chips, including their latest Grace Blackwell supercomputer. | Timothy Sykes (Ad)Mercer International Inc. (MERC) Stock Price Today - WSJJuly 3, 2025 | wsj.comMercer further improves Sustainalytics ESG Risk Rating, ranking in the top 15% globallyJuly 2, 2025 | financialpost.comFMercer further improves Sustainalytics ESG Risk Rating, ranking in the top 15% globallyJuly 2, 2025 | globenewswire.comSee More Mercer International Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Mercer International? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Mercer International and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Mercer InternationalMercer International (NASDAQ:MERC) Inc is a Vancouver-based global producer of market pulp primarily used in tissue, specialty papers and printing and writing papers. The company operates integrated pulp mills, leveraging a mix of softwood and hardwood fiber sources to manufacture bleached eucalyptus kraft (BEK) pulp, bleached chemi-thermomechanical pulp (BCTMP) and other pulp grades. With a focus on efficient production and high-quality output, Mercer International supplies pulp to paper manufacturers and traders around the world. The company’s operations span North America, Europe and South America, encompassing facilities in British Columbia, Germany and Uruguay. In Canada, Mercer operates a high-yield bleached mechanical pulp mill that caters to regional demand, while its German mills produce a range of kraft pulp grades for European customers. In Uruguay, Mercer’s plantations and mill complex supply BEK pulp, benefiting from fast-growing eucalyptus fiber. Together, these facilities provide diversified geographic exposure, stable wood supply and operational flexibility to respond to shifts in global pulp markets. Mercer International traces its corporate lineage to Western Canada’s pulp and paper industry, formally establishing itself as a public company in 2006. Since then, the company has grown through targeted acquisitions, mill upgrades and sustainability initiatives. Under the leadership of President and CEO Darrell McManus, Mercer International emphasizes responsible forestry practices, certification under globally recognized programs and investment in renewable energy and biomass utilization. Its board of directors oversees strategic development aimed at long-term value creation and environmental stewardship.Written by Jeffrey Neal JohnsonView Mercer International ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles 3 Analysts Set $600 Target Ahead of Microsoft EarningsTesla: 2 Plays Ahead of Next Week's Earnings ReportFastenal Surges After Earnings Beat, Tariff Risks Loom3 Catalysts Converge on Intel Ahead of a Critical Earnings ReportSmith & Wesson Stock Falls on Earnings Miss, Tariff WoesWhat to Expect From the Q2 Earnings Reporting CycleBroadcom Slides on Solid Earnings, AI Outlook Still Strong Upcoming Earnings American Express (7/18/2025)HDFC Bank (7/18/2025)Coca Cola Femsa (7/18/2025)3M (7/18/2025)Southern Copper (7/18/2025)Charles Schwab (7/18/2025)Truist Financial (7/18/2025)NXP Semiconductors (7/21/2025)Verizon Communications (7/21/2025)Comcast (7/22/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. 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There are 7 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, and welcome to Mercer International's First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. On the call today is Juan Carlos Bueno, President and Chief Executive Officer of Mercer International with David Ure, Juan, Senior Vice President of Finance to Financial Officer and Secretary. I will now hand the call over to David Youre. Please Go ahead. Speaker 100:00:25Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. I will begin by touching on the financial and operating highlights of the first $1,000,000,000. I'd like to remind you that in this morning's conference call, we will make forward looking statements and according to the Safe 1,000,000,000 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, which were down in all of our markets compared to Q4. Overall demand was relatively weak in the current quarter as customers reduced inventory levels in anticipation of lower prices and inflation and economic uncertainty negatively impacted paper demand. Speaker 100:02:51European NBSK list prices averaged $13.77 per tonne in the current quarter $14.42 per tonne in Q4. In China, the Q1 average NBSK net price $8.91 per tonne, down $29 from $9.20 per tonne in Q4. As we've seen several times in the past decade, the Chinese market price gap between NBSK and NBHK grew to about $180 this quarter as the hardwood market digests new eucalyptus hardwood capacity from South America. In China, the Q1 average MDHK net price was $7.10 per tonne, down $127 $8.37 per tonne in Q4. The lower hardwood prices and relatively high chemical and logistics costs 1,000,000 resulted in the recording of a $15,000,000 non cash inventory write down in Q1. Speaker 100:04:05Lower pulp prices resulted in negative impact on EBITDA of about $29,000,000 compared to the 4th quarter. In addition, the weaker U. S. Dollar negatively impacted EBITDA by $8,000,000 compared to Q4. Our pulp production was strong this quarter, up 31,000 tons from the 4th quarter, but due to relatively soft demand, Our sales volume was down 29,000 tonnes, creating an inventory build that we expect to reverse over the next 1.2 months. Speaker 100:04:37Our Celgar mill had a 10 day shut in the Q1 compared to the Q4 when we had a 21 day shut at the Stendal mill. In Q1, the Stendal Mill received almost $8,000,000 for business interruption insurance related to the fire damaged wood yard infrastructure. These proceeds were principally covering operating losses in the current quarter. The final repairs to the mill are scheduled to be completed in Q2. For our solid wood segment, lumber pricing was up slightly in the European market, but down in the U. Speaker 100:05:12S. Market. European demand was steady in the Q1, but pricing continued to decline in the U. S. Market due to the economic uncertainty and rising interest rates. Speaker 100:05:24The Random Lengths U. S. Benchmark for Western SPF 2 and better averaged $3.86 per 1,000 board feet in EBITDA by approximately $5,000,000 when compared to the Q4. Today, the benchmark price for Western SPF 2 and better 2x4s $3.50 per 1,000 board feet, virtually unchanged from the beginning of 2023. We had record quarterly production at our Friesau Mill as we continue to realize the benefits of the capital improvements to the mill. Speaker 100:06:06Total lumber production was 134,000,000 board feet in the quarter, which is up 17,000,000 board feet from the 4th quarter. We also had record lumber sales volumes due in part to the timing of certain vessels that were delayed out of Q4. Lumber sales volumes were approximately 140,000,000 board feet, up 41,000,000 board feet from the prior quarter. We are making solid progress with the integration of our Torghao Mill. And while economic headwinds and Seasonality are negatively impacting pricing for pallets, biofuels and lumber, which make it more difficult to quickly obtain our synergies targets. Speaker 100:06:49We continue to expect annual synergies from the transaction to approach $16,000,000 annually once product pricing turns to more normal levels. Electricity sales totaled 2 37 gigawatt hours in the quarter, which is up 15 gigawatt hours from Q4 due to our strong production in the current quarter and the absence of the planned maintenance shut at Stendal in Q4. Pricing in Q1 fell to about $130 per megawatt hour due to the implementation of the German energy price cap, 1.2% in June due to reduced energy supply concerns in Europe. We reported a consolidated net loss $31,000,000 for the quarter or $0.46 per share compared to net income of $20,000,000 or $0.30 per share in Q4. After removing the impact of the non cash inventory charge, the net loss is about $0.29 per share. Speaker 100:07:59We used about $53,000,000 of cash in Q1 compared to using about $8,000,000 in Q4. The increased cash usage was due to lower EBITDA and a significant buildup of inventory in our Canadian mills. We increased our log inventory at our Peace River Mill to prepare for the start up of the new wood room, which was completed in Q1. And at Celgar, we opportunistically build some wood inventory to secure our operating position through the summer. Our pulp finished goods inventory also grew modestly in the quarter as we tried to manage our sales process in the backdrop of falling prices. Speaker 100:08:41We expect this working capital build to reverse considerably beginning in Q2. Capital spending was about $33,000,000 in Q1 and included cost to complete the Peace River Wood Room, which started operating late in the quarter. We expect to see the benefits from this project in the form of lower fiber costs for the mill beginning in Q2. Looking ahead, we have moderated our expected CapEx spend At the end of the quarter, our liquidity position totaled about $556,000,000 comprised of $301,000,000 of cash and $255,000,000 of undrawn revolvers. And as you have seen from our press release Today, our Board has approved a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share for shareholders of record on June 28, 2023, for which payment will be made on July 6. Speaker 100:09:45That ends my overview of the financial results. I'll turn the call now to Juan Carlos. Speaker 200:09:51Juan. Thanks, Dave. Let me start by saying that I'm very pleased with the strong performance of our mills as we exceeded our production targets for the quarter. Our operating results were negatively affected by a number of external factors. The most impactful was finished product pricing. Speaker 200:10:10Compared to Q4, pricing for most of our products was down. On average, pulp pricing was down about 5%, while lumber prices down about 15% in the U. S. And although fiber prices peaked in Q1 and were coming down through the quarter, Our pulp mill costs on average were considerably higher than Q4. However, our Q1 results also reflected some positives. Speaker 200:10:35Most notably, our recent investments in our free cell mill allowed the mill to achieve record production and sales volumes this quarter. I'm also excited with the progress we're making in developing our mass timber business. Our order book is filling rapidly and we continue to bid on numerous Mass Timber Projects. As production ramps up in Q2, we expect to realize a noticeable increase in CLT revenue. In addition, as some of you may be aware, we are the stocking horse bidder for the bankrupt Structuralam assets. Speaker 200:11:07This process may end up in an auction, so the outcome is unclear today. But I will say that regardless of the outcome, we will continue to invest in the growth of 1. I am satisfied with the progress we have made on integrating our Torghao sawmill, And I applaud our Torgau Cal employees for being open to changing how they do things, especially around safety. Despite the current market dynamics that are limiting our synergies, I believe that in the fullness of time, this asset will add significant shareholder value. Softwood pulp prices were steady through most of Q1, but fell off about $50 per tonne on average late in the quarter. Speaker 200:11:52During this same period, hardwood prices in China fell roughly $185 per tonne. Subsequent to the end of the quarter, pulp prices in China have Continued to weaken. Pulp markets were put under additional pressure by a number of factors, including Chinese buyers holding off new orders mid March, while 1.5% of hardwood as new capacities are starting to reach the market. Looking forward, we expect pulp pricing to continue to be under pressure in Q2. On the softwood side, we feel that prices will begin to firm late in Q2 as Chinese buyers and traders take advantage of low prices to refill their inventories And the impact of reduced supply is felt as producers head into the maintenance season. Speaker 200:12:43History tells us That producers will continue will consider extending their maintenance shuts during times of weaker pulp prices. Why. At these low prices, we expect Asian integrated hardwood production to curtail, which will help support prices. However, we expect the gap between hardwood and softwood prices to continue to grow beyond the current $180 per tonne level. As a result of these market pressures, we will be extending our Peace River Mill annual maintenance this quarter from 13 days to 29 days. Speaker 200:13:29This will allow us to reduce the cost of the shut by allowing us to reduce overtime hours and reduce The work done by contractors. In addition to the 29 days, our Peace River mill will be down in Q2. Our 2023 annual maintenance schedule includes Stendal having a short 3 day shutdown and Caribou being down for the entire month of May, now in Q2. In total, we expect our Q2 annual maintenance downtime to reduce production by about 55,000 tons. Rosenthal will be down for 14 days in Q3, Reducing production by about 14,000 tons. Speaker 200:14:12Stenda will have another short 3 day shuts and Celgar will have a 26 major maintenance in Q4 or roughly 41,000 tonnes of production in total. Our first quarter lumber results reflected mixed markets with the U. S. Market down compared to Q4 and the European market up slightly. The negative market sentiment in the U. Speaker 200:14:36S. Continues to be the result of uncertainty created by rising mortgage rates and uncertain economic indicators. Housing starts and growing optimism from homebuilders, lumber prices remained low due to general economic uncertainty. We continue to believe that low lumber channel inventories, the large number of sawmill curtailments, relatively low housing stock and constructive homeowner demographics will put positive pressure on the supply demand fundamentals of this market in mid to mid term. We will continue to match our mix of lumber products and customers to current market conditions. Speaker 200:15:22In Q1, our lumber sales volumes were roughly evenly split between the U. S. We continue to see improvements in our logistics channels and modest decreases in our freight costs. In Q4, we saw pulpwood prices peak. These high cost inventory was utilized in Q1, which pushed our fiber costs 1st quarter. Speaker 200:15:45The high pulpwood costs were mainly driven by demand from the energy sector as users were looking for cheaper forms of energy, The energy sector demand has significantly decreased and we expect fiber costs to come down noticeably in the second quarter. In Western Canada, we expect the impact of our New Peace River Mills Wood Room and increased log harvesting levels to bring our fiber cost down in the second quarter. Looking ahead in light of lower product pricing and uncertain market conditions, we have made the prudent decision to reduce Our planned CapEx slightly to between $150,000,000 to $180,000,000 in 2023. We have retained all high value projects delaying only those that were discretionary. Our CapEx spends includes the completion of the Shergo Woodroom as well as the lignin development center and the extraction pilot plant, which is a large step towards being able to begin commercialization of lignin. Speaker 200:16:45We will also do the majority of a $27,000,000 expansion project at our Spokane Mass Timber Plant, an investment that will allow the state of the art facility to fully utilize a more varied raw material mix, add GluLem to our product portfolio and increase finger joint production. This is a first step in what will ultimately be an expansion of CLT capacity in anticipation of our efforts to steadily increase our order book for mass timber products. We will also complete upgrades at our new Torregao Mill to increase lumber production and debottleneck certain elements of our shipping pallet and heating pallet plants. As our world becomes more sensitive to reducing carbon emissions, we believe that products like lignin, mass timber, green energy, Extractives, lumber and pulp are all products that will play increasingly important roles in displacing carbon intensive products. Products like concrete and steel for construction, plastic packaging, fossil fuel generated electricity and synthetic fragrances and flavors, Even Synthetic Textiles. Speaker 200:17:51We're committed to our 2,030 carbon reduction targets and believe our products one part of the climate change solution. In fact, we believe that in the fullness of time, demand for our low carbon products will dramatically increase as the world looks for solutions to reduce its Carbon Emissions. To that end, going forward, we will see us looking to grow these areas of our business. We remain bullish on the long term value of pulp, But to bring more balance to our business, solid wood and extractives will grow more quickly. I encourage you to look at our website for more details. Speaker 200:18:24We're so confident in our ability to meet these targets that we converted our German revolving credit facility to a sustainability linked loan, making us part of a small group of wood product producers willing to invest in carbon emission reduction targets in favor of modest reductions in our cost of borrowing. And finally, as Dave noted, Richard Short will assume the CFO role effective June 1. As most of you know, Rich is Juan, is a seasoned industry leader and has been with us for over 15 years. They will remain with us for a few more months to finish some transition activities and is available, of course, with Rich and I at any time should you need further information. Thanks for listening, and I will now turn the call back to the operator for questions. Speaker 200:19:09Thank you. Operator00:19:18Followed by the digit 1 on your telephone keypad. Also, if you are using a speakerphone, we ask that you please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your Speaker 300:20:04Sorry, apologies guys. Yes, I'll start with Wood Products. Can you give us an idea of how much the losses this quarter were split between Freezeau and the Torgau facility. And then I guess more specific to Freezeau, you're still shipping half Your volume to the U. S. Speaker 200:20:25Can you give us an idea Speaker 300:20:26of the rationale of continuing at that pace with prices where they are, freight rates where they are, any intention to pull back on volumes into that market? Speaker 100:20:39Yes, I guess starting with the mix, the Wood Products mix, I'd say they're all between Torogawa and Friso They were similar. It wasn't one driving it. It wasn't one driving the result over another. They were broadly in alignment For different reasons, of course, but broadly in alignment. So not really an outlier there. Speaker 100:21:03In terms of the 50%, I'd say that's a little bit higher than our target. We had the shipments there were quite a bit higher than normal. We had a little bit of a backlog in 1,000,000 vessels that came from Q4 and ended up in Q1. So I don't think you should think of 50% as being indicative of what we're going Speaker 400:21:29Okay. Thanks for that. And then Speaker 300:21:33Dave, just comments on overall comfort with liquidity and leverage. And I guess particularly with respect to Your interest in Structural Am and I appreciate that Engineered Wood Products Mass Timber is going to be a growth focus for the company, but Your funding constraints will arguably increase as pulp prices are capitulating here. Just overall thoughts on comfort with your balance sheet at this point in the cycle. Speaker 100:22:06Yes. It's hard to see it at the moment, but maybe I'll just talk about the liquidity at the moment, we think is quite sufficient, dollars 300,000,000 of cash. We've got a lot of working capital at the moment that's going to unwind itself quite quickly. So we're Coming out of Q1 is our always our largest inventory quarter for wood. So that will start unwinding itself and materialize into cash quickly, we've got we held back on some pulp sales in Q1 that will come out, will be unwound here in Q2. Speaker 100:22:44So there's a working capital element. The other thing that is happening in the background where We've just passed the peak of some of our most important costs in our cost structure. So for example, the pulpwood costs We peaked during Q1 and we're now seeing considerable reductions in wood costs. We'll have a noticeable improvement in wood costs in Q2 and we're seeing the same thing with chemicals. So Most of our chemicals are derivatives of electricity or gas, which ran up really hard in Q4 And now there's some starting to come back, not coming back as quickly as the revenue from our electricity, but They're coming back very quickly. Speaker 100:23:32We see the same thing. We purchased a little bit of gas on the market as well and that's coming down very quickly. So These are inputs that most of these inputs went up by 50% or more over the last year and now they're backing off very quickly. So we're looking ahead to that. We also have you've heard us talk a little bit about our mass timber business, and we got our first big order. Speaker 100:24:04We believe that that's the beginning of more to come, and so we're preparing for that. And in terms of the leverage, we know that the leverage is going to be a little bit higher than our target here for a while, but I See that as more having to do with the depressed EBITDA at the moment than the value of the debt that we have in place. I think to get just to get right to the nub of your question, this is a place that we're pretty comfortable. We've got working capital coming. We're trimming back at our CapEx. Speaker 100:24:42As you heard Juan Carlos say, we're going to moderate the CapEx for 2023, Let's drill, push ahead with the high return projects and prepare ourselves that we can participate if the Structuralam Speaker 300:25:02And just one follow-up there, Dave. For Pulpwood Costs and Chemicals, can you give us an idea of what kind of declines you might expect to see in the Q2? Speaker 100:25:14Yes. So when we talk about the declines, we're principally talking about Europe because that's where the big inflation was. We're getting a little bit of inflation Canada, but nothing like we had in Europe. And we're probably expecting somewhere in the range of 10% to 15% reduction in Q2 From Q1 and probably similar for chemicals. And those two elements are form as you know form probably 90% of our cost structure. Speaker 300:25:50Okay. Thanks very much for that, Dave. That's all I have. Operator00:25:56And next we'll hear from Paul Quinn of RBC Capital Markets. Speaker 500:26:01Yes, thanks very much. Good morning. So you outlined Chinese NBSK prices are $8.91 in Q1 average down, I think it was $29 from Q4. What are curve prices in April there? And what do you expect for the Q2 price that's average? Speaker 200:26:20Prices right now are a bit north of 700, around 700 a ton for softwood. So yes, the big decline has happened in April more than it did in May. And we believe it's very close to the floor We expect that floor to be hit during this quarter. Speaker 500:26:42Okay. Thanks for that. And just could you help me understand the Process around the stocking horse bid for Structured Lam and what that process is and what do you expect on the timing side? Speaker 200:26:56The stocking horse process with Structural M gives us kind of the initial bid one priority for this project. As you know, we bid US60 $1,000,000 for it. By May 25 or May 27, the actual auction would commence For those parties that would be interested in acquiring this asset, for anybody to outbid us, they would have I believe every auction, every bid would have to be probably, I I think it's $500,000 higher than the previous one or $1,000,000 higher than the previous one. And that goes fairly quickly. So it's On May 27, we should know the results of the bidding process. Speaker 500:28:00Okay, that's great. Thanks for that. And then just on the Mastimer, your existing facility, great to hear that the order file is growing. I think I heard you described it as very Profitable business, but I suspect that's the comment that your expectation in the future. Is that business expected breakeven this year? Speaker 200:28:21Yes, absolutely, yes. I think it's going to be positive this year already. It is positive. So we see that growing very well. The second quarter will be positive without a doubt. Speaker 200:28:36And we continue to see a very good momentum on projects that we have been bidding for And more similar projects to the one we won that were already In production phase, we have others lined up of similar size that are progressing very well. Speaker 300:28:56So Speaker 200:28:56that's why we're very, very confident about our ability to achieve very good growth results with cross laminated timber. And we see this mass timber business, As you well said, as a not only as a profitable business, but the big advantage that it brings is The growth that this industry is having overall in the construction business. When you look at the rates at which it has been growing in the U. S. North America is north of 15% over the past 15 over the past 5 years and it is expected to keep on growing at more than 15% for the next 5 years. Speaker 200:29:37So we have a very significant organic growth behind us. And the fact that we're sitting on one of the most modern facilities in the U. S. With high productivity indexes, obviously gives us a high confidence in what we can deliver. And Structuraland would be a tremendous complement to that. Speaker 200:29:57With their Blueland capacity on top of what we already have in CLT in Spokane, That obviously rounds it up very nicely with 2 very new facilities and very large capacities. So it's clearly a growth engine for us. Speaker 500:30:15Okay. And just so we understand the Structural Lam facility once if you're successful. What was the project what's the problem with that company that they ran Speaker 200:30:30They had some operational issues that Basically forced them out of business on some of the deals that they had contracted and that basically those businesses were turned down And that put them into dire straits. So it was performance issues that got them into trouble. Speaker 500:30:54I guess you guys feel confident Speaker 300:30:55that you'd be able to Speaker 500:30:56get around those performance issues based on the Speaker 200:30:59overall impact of the company. Absolutely, because there were more mistakes Then actual issues with the facilities or the structure itself. So there were production mistakes That shouldn't have been committed obviously. And we trust that our the management team that we have At Spokane, the leaders that we have, the knowledge of the team that we have built within Mercer Gives us very high confidence that we will be able to take over this asset and run it under the standards that we're running our facility in Spokane Operator00:31:53And next we'll hear from Hamir Patel of CIBC Capital Markets. Speaker 400:32:00Good morning. Juan Carlos with pulp prices coming off as much as they have, Where do you think the cost curve is for Canadian soft and pulp capacity? Speaker 200:32:19I think obviously with prices at this level, There are several mills that can be having very, very difficult times in making a profit. I think when it comes to softwood, we still believe even with these prices, we're managing through these rough times. The way that we have set up Celgar allows us that possibility. In Celgar, We've improved tremendously our position from a wood cost perspective. That brings us also some relief Going forward from a cost perspective knowing that we will be able to source wood from the U. Speaker 200:33:04S. South of the border And that's something that is probably unique to Celgar, especially for those mills that are in BC that suffer so much from the curtailments of sawmills and actually just access to chips at good prices. What we have in Celgar is the capacity to look for different baskets that other mills would not be what we're able to reach at least at a competitive basis. So we see that as a positive development for Celgar. The fact that we can continue to develop the mill stronger from a wood perspective and also once we have the wood room ready by the end of the year, that would give us even more benefit on the cost side. Speaker 200:33:54That Woodroom benefit, we've seen it already in Peace River. That is helping very much our situation in Peace River going forward. So as we once we finish this maintenance shutdown period in Peace River, we'll begin with softwood campaigns and running the wood room and getting the benefits out of it. So I think that's a little bit where we are. Obviously, the situation is complicated in a quarter where, as I said before, I think we're going to reach bottom prices in Q2 for softwood at least. Speaker 200:34:33But I think we can navigate through those with the assets that we have. Speaker 400:34:40Okay, great. Thanks. That's helpful. And just a question for Dave. I believe you referenced Pallet prices coming off year over year. Speaker 400:34:49Do you have a sense as to what Maybe the level of price declines you've seen there in Europe and have prices started to stabilize yet or are you still expecting further declines from here? Speaker 100:35:05What our teams are telling us that they are they were still falling during the quarter, during quarter 1, But they're starting to stabilize now, but they've come off probably 40% to 50% in the last 6 months. Speaker 400:35:23Okay. Wow. I didn't realize it was that much. And had they run up quite a bit in kind of the prior year or 2 or is that? Speaker 100:35:31They did in the in 2022. They were very quite high levels. Speaker 400:35:39Okay, fair enough. Speaker 200:35:40And this is all in the back, Hamir, of this obviously economic uncertainty. So we do believe that as conditions improve gradually, that Commerce will begin reactivating and we will see obviously this market rebounding fairly quickly Once conditions stabilize. Speaker 400:36:06Yes, fair enough. Thanks. That's all I had. I'll turn it over. Operator00:36:21We'll now have from Richard Stevens, Monte. Speaker 600:36:27Hi. Just a couple of follow ups, if I could. I appreciate the comments regarding the pulpwood costs coming down, chemical costs. One of the things you mentioned in terms of cash generation was the increase in working capital. If you look at your free cash flow burn, Most of it was related to an inventory drag in Q1. Speaker 600:36:50Can you just quantify how we should expect that to work out through the 1. I mean by definition you would kind of think that maybe Q2 becomes a little more of a free cash flow breakeven period. You guys are at least positive cash from operations. Is that fair to say? Speaker 100:37:08Well, if we talk about the inventory or The inventory build, I'd say roughly half of it is pulp inventory And I'm generalizing here a little bit, roughly half of it is pulp inventory and half of it is wood inventory in front of the mills. And the wood inventory is higher. It's generally quite high at this time of the year. This is a typical quarter where we build wood inventory. The peak, a lot of our harvesting and buying activities happens in the winter and then we consume it during the summer when we don't have access to the sites. Speaker 100:37:47So it's relatively high. The other thing about our wood inventory at the moment is we've built quite a bit of inventory at our Peace River Mill in preparation to start up the new wood room. So the new wood room that we built, very high capacity wood room. We wanted to make sure we had a lot of wood in front of it when we started it up, and we started it up a couple of weeks ago now. And so a little bit unusually high wood because of that in preparation for the wood room. Speaker 100:38:18On the pulp side, It doesn't have that seasonal impact that we have with wood, but we did have relatively high inventories of pulp. And the principal reason for that was when the reductions in pulp first started to materialize, we were trying to manage them and not trying to We're trying to manage the pricing and make sure that we weren't damaging the price by introducing too much pulp to the market and holding back a little bit on sales, but that pulp will relieve itself very quickly here in Q2. So if you ask about the timing, how this will unwind, I think you can expect that the pulp inventory, so half of the build will come out very quickly into Q2. The wood inventory, the other half will take longer than that because it's wood that is intended to supply the mill Through the summer, you can expect that to unwind over probably the next two quarters. Speaker 600:39:21Got it. Okay, that's helpful. And then just to follow-up on the stocking horse bid, the $60,000,000 I'm assuming that's not included in your CapEx plan. Is that fair? Speaker 200:39:36Correct. That is not included. As we mentioned, that is not yet a done deal. So when we regrouped And looked at our CapEx spending and adjusted it to $150,000,000 to $180,000,000 that is not including the $60,000,000 or above that we would be willing to pay for Structural Am. Speaker 600:40:00Got it. And then final question for me. You mentioned earlier that you in terms of the bonds and trading levels that were out there. Post quarter end, have you guys considered or have you been active in potentially repurchasing the bonds in the open market Speaker 100:40:22We've been watching that and I think perhaps in different circumstances that would be something we'd be considering. But if you can imagine, we're in a period where we've got Some uncertainty on how long the pulp prices are going to stay low, and so preparing ourselves for if it could go if This last for longer than a few months. And then, also making sure that we've got enough dry powder for something Like the structure of land that we're hoping to complete on. So it just didn't seem like the right time to The prices of the bonds are attractive, but just not the right time. Speaker 600:41:03Got it. Okay. That's it for me. Thank you. Operator00:41:14And at this time, there are no further questions. I will turn the call back over to Juan Carlos for any additional or closing comments. Speaker 200:41:22Okay. Thank you, operator. And thanks to all of you for joining our call. Rich, Dave and I are available to talk more at any time, so don't hesitate to call one of us. Otherwise, we look forward to speaking to you again on our next earnings call in July. Speaker 200:41:36Bye for now.Read morePowered by