Capital One Financial Has Weak Outlook for GRNT Q3 Earnings

Key Points

• Capital One Financial has reduced its Q3 2025 earnings estimate for Granite Ridge Resources to $0.15 per share, down from $0.17, with an overall FY2025 estimate set at $0.66 EPS.
• Granite Ridge Resources reported $0.11 EPS for its latest quarter, missing the consensus of $0.13 and generating revenues of $109.22 million.
• The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.11 per share, with a dividend yield of 8.4%, although its payout ratio is notably high at 183.33%.

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (NYSE:GRNT - Free Report) - Capital One Financial decreased their Q3 2025 earnings estimates for shares of Granite Ridge Resources in a report issued on Monday, August 11th. Capital One Financial analyst P. Johnston now expects that the company will post earnings per share of $0.15 for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of $0.17. The consensus estimate for Granite Ridge Resources' current full-year earnings is $0.52 per share. Capital One Financial also issued estimates for Granite Ridge Resources' FY2025 earnings at $0.66 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at $0.16 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $0.15 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $0.17 EPS and Q4 2026 earnings at $0.17 EPS.

Granite Ridge Resources (NYSE:GRNT - Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Thursday, August 7th. The company reported $0.11 EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.13 by ($0.02). The company had revenue of $109.22 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $109.69 million. Granite Ridge Resources had a net margin of 7.47% and a return on equity of 13.09%.

Separately, Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Granite Ridge Resources from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Saturday, July 12th.

Granite Ridge Resources Stock Up 0.1%

Granite Ridge Resources stock opened at $5.24 on Tuesday. The stock has a market cap of $687.09 million, a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.81, a PEG ratio of 0.70 and a beta of 0.34. The company has a current ratio of 1.32, a quick ratio of 1.32 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43. The company's 50-day moving average price is $5.73 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $5.66. Granite Ridge Resources has a 52 week low of $4.52 and a 52 week high of $7.00.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in the company. GAMMA Investing LLC boosted its holdings in shares of Granite Ridge Resources by 892.9% in the first quarter. GAMMA Investing LLC now owns 7,089 shares of the company's stock worth $43,000 after buying an additional 6,375 shares during the period. Parallel Advisors LLC boosted its holdings in shares of Granite Ridge Resources by 222.4% in the first quarter. Parallel Advisors LLC now owns 8,722 shares of the company's stock worth $53,000 after buying an additional 6,017 shares during the period. BNP Paribas Financial Markets acquired a new position in shares of Granite Ridge Resources in the fourth quarter worth about $62,000. Ieq Capital LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Granite Ridge Resources in the first quarter worth approximately $62,000. Finally, One68 Global Capital LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Granite Ridge Resources in the fourth quarter worth approximately $71,000. 31.56% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Insider Activity

In other Granite Ridge Resources news, CEO Luke C. Brandenberg acquired 18,252 shares of Granite Ridge Resources stock in a transaction dated Thursday, May 15th. The stock was bought at an average price of $5.55 per share, for a total transaction of $101,298.60. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 151,167 shares in the company, valued at approximately $838,976.85. This trade represents a 13.73% increase in their position. The acquisition was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, Director Matthew Reade Miller acquired 17,000 shares of Granite Ridge Resources stock in a transaction dated Monday, June 16th. The shares were acquired at an average price of $5.98 per share, with a total value of $101,660.00. Following the transaction, the director owned 1,261,877 shares in the company, valued at approximately $7,546,024.46. This represents a 1.37% increase in their position. The disclosure for this purchase can be found here. In the last 90 days, insiders have bought 46,896 shares of company stock valued at $270,002. Insiders own 8.50% of the company's stock.

Granite Ridge Resources Dividend Announcement

The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Monday, September 15th. Stockholders of record on Friday, August 29th will be given a dividend of $0.11 per share. The ex-dividend date is Friday, August 29th. This represents a $0.44 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 8.4%. Granite Ridge Resources's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 183.33%.

About Granite Ridge Resources

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc operates as a non-operated oil and gas exploration and production company. It owns a portfolio of wells and acreage across the Permian and other unconventional basins in the United States. Granite Ridge Resources, Inc is based in Dallas, Texas.

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