Federal Home Loan Mortgage Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

There are 3 speakers on the call.

Operator

Morning and thank you for joining us for a presentation of Freddie Mac's Third Quarter 2023 Financial Results. I'm Jeff Markowitz, Deputy CAO and SVP of External Affairs and Corporate Communications. We're joined today by our CEO, Michael DeVito and by our CFO, Chris Lown. Before we begin, we'd like to point out that during the call, Mr. DeVito and Mr.

Operator

Lown may make forward looking statements based on assumptions about the company's key business drivers and other factors. Changes in these factors could cause the company's actual results to materially vary from its expectations. A description of those factors can be found in the company's Quarterly report on 10 Q filed today. You'll find the 10 Q earnings press release and related materials posted on the Investor Relations section of freddiemac.com. This call is recorded and a replay will soon be available on freddiemac.com.

Operator

We ask that the call not be rebroadcast or transcribed. With that, I'll turn the call over to Freddie Mac's CEO, Michael DeVito.

Speaker 1

Good morning and thank you for joining today's call to review Freddie Mac's business and financial results. As many of you know, September marked 15 years since Freddie Mac entered government conservatorship and the company has made significant progress. While much remains to be done and this company is committed to the work, today I will cover 3 topics that illustrate how far Freddie Mac has come since 2,008. First, how the company has intensified its focus on mission, particularly related to affordable housing. 2nd, how risk has been reduced.

Speaker 1

And finally, how Freddie Mac has made progress in its work to build financial stability. Then I'll turn it over to our CFO, Chris Lown, For an update on the company's Q3 financial performance. Let's start with mission. Over the past few years, Freddie Mac has strengthened its focus on its mission and embraced an expansive view of support for affordable housing. Freddie Mac strives to meet or exceed the number of affordable housing related commitments, Such as affordable housing goals in both single family and multifamily.

Speaker 1

The duty to serve plan, which targets high needs rural regions, Manufactured housing and affordable housing preservation and includes the company's payments into the Capital Magnet Fund and Affordable Housing Trust Fund, which now topped $2,200,000,000 And finally, Freddie Mac's Equitable Housing Finance Plan, which expands the company's efforts to promote equity in the single family and multifamily markets. Regulatory commitments are the baseline expectation. Today, the company approaches mission more broadly with a range of initiatives to help renters, lenders, diverse developers and other market participants. For example, single family improved its technology to help borrowers with thin credit files by allowing lenders to access bank data, Tax transcripts and direct deposit data to verify critical information such as income, assets and on time rent payments. Multifamily is helping renters prepare for homeownership through an on time rent reporting initiative, which helps them establish or raise credit scores.

Speaker 1

To date, more than 375,000 renters participate. Freddie Mac has also provided tools to help borrowers receive down payment assistance, including through special purpose credit programs and the newly launched DPA1 tool, both of which I've discussed previously. This company's commitment to housing affordability is more ingrained in its DNA than ever before. That's equally true for the company's commitment to strong risk management. Today, it is both a requirement and a vital part of Freddie Mac's identity.

Speaker 1

Here are just a few of the many examples. Since 2008, Freddie Mac has reduced its mortgage related investments portfolio Down to approximately $85,000,000,000 This is less than onetenth of its $867,000,000,000 peak. In 2020, the company adopted bank like capital requirements designed to backstop its risks and has been steadily building total equity to meet those requirements. And finally, Freddie Mac pioneered credit risk transfer. CRT brings 1,000,000,000 of dollars of private capital into the U.

Speaker 1

S. Housing finance system, dramatically reducing taxpayer exposure And lowering the company's own risk. In fact, the Q3 marked 10 years since the first single family CRT transaction. To date, Freddie Mac's single family CRT program has transferred more than $108,000,000,000 of credit risk on approximately $3,300,000,000,000 of mortgages. Multifamily has also protected a 0.5 $1,000,000,000,000 of loans via its K deal program, which started in 2,009.

Speaker 1

Finally, let me turn to the growing stability of Freddie Mac's financial position after 15 years of change and improvement. In the Q3, the company earned $2,700,000,000 And grew its net worth to $44,700,000 Furthermore, credit quality today is strong in both the single family and multifamily mortgage businesses. Chris will say more about that in a moment, but it is clear that the changes the company made since 2008 have set Freddie Mac on a new course. While the company made significant strides to improve its focus and performance over the past 15 years, it still preserved the core elements of Freddie Mac that have worked for That includes support for the 30 year mortgage, the cornerstone of the American Housing Finance System and Freddie Mac's business. 30 year fixed rate mortgages accounted for more than 90% of the home loans we purchased this year.

Speaker 1

Freddie Mac is also helping provide access to housing for low and moderate income renters and borrowers. Support for first time homebuyers is near all time highs at 50% of purchase loans and more than 90% of the eligible rental units financed were affordable to low income and working families. The company has also preserved small lenders access to the secondary mortgage market Via the cash window. At an enhanced liquidity in the to be announced market, it's one of the leaders in the creation of the uniform mortgage backed security, One of the most significant changes to the market in the generation. Since inception, more than $284,000,000,000,000 of UMBS have been traded.

Speaker 1

Finally, Freddie Mac has maintained its countercyclical role. The company's market presence in the early days of the pandemic and current support for the housing market are solid examples. Before I turn it over to Chris Lown, allow me to put the work of thousands of talented people over 15 years into context. Since 2008, Freddie Mac has provided more than $8,000,000,000,000 in liquidity to the mortgage market, Help nearly 11,000,000 homebuyers, including more than 4,100,000 first time homebuyers and funded more than 8,300,000 rental units, 87% of which were affordable. Further, the company has returned nearly $120,000,000,000 to taxpayers, approximately 67% More than it borrowed from the U.

Speaker 1

S. Treasury. And most importantly, Freddie Mac is a strong, stable organization. It is unwavering in its focus on making home possible for renters and borrowers well into the future. Now let me turn it over to Chris.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Michael, and good morning. As Michael noted, this morning we reported net income of $2,700,000,000 for the quarter, An increase of $1,400,000,000 or 104% year over year. This increase was primarily driven by a credit reserve release Our single family business versus a credit reserve build in the prior year quarter. 3rd quarter net revenues were $5,700,000,000 An increase of $509,000,000 or 10% year over year. This increase was driven by both higher net interest income And higher non interest income.

Speaker 2

Net interest income increased 4% year over year to $4,700,000,000 Driven by higher investments net interest income benefiting from higher short term interest rates. Non interest income of $941,000,000 was up 50 drove a $263,000,000 benefit for credit losses this past quarter versus an expense of $1,800,000,000 in the prior year quarter. In the Q3 of 2022, the provision for credit losses was driven by deterioration in housing market conditions, Coupled with lower observed and forecasted house price appreciation, these increases were partially offset by a $751,000,000 Or 41% increase in our non interest expense, which was primarily driven by an allocation of $313,000,000 For the accrual for the judgment in the Fairholme Fund litigation and the $314,000,000 decrease in single family credit enhancement recoveries due to a decline in expected credit losses on covered loans. Our total mortgage portfolio at the end of the Q3 was $3,500,000,000,000 a 2% increase year over year. Turning to our individual business segments, the single family segment reported net income of 2,300,000,000 For the quarter, up $1,500,000,000 or 176 percent from the prior year quarter.

Speaker 2

Single family net interest income of $4,500,000,000 was up 4% year over year, primarily driven by higher income on our investment portfolio, which benefited from higher short term interest rates, partially offset by lower deferred fee income recognition as prepayments slowed due to higher mortgage interest rates. Mortgage interest rates at the end of this quarter were 7.31%, up 61 basis points from the prior year quarter. Non interest income for single family was $393,000,000 this quarter, up $335,000,000 from the prior year quarter. This increase was primarily driven by higher net investment gains, which benefited from higher interest rate related gains. Our benefit for single family credit losses this quarter was $304,000,000 primarily driven by increases in observed and forecasted house price appreciation.

Speaker 2

In the prior year quarter, we had a provision expense of $1,800,000,000 which was primarily driven by deterioration in forecasted housing conditions And lower observed and forecasted house price appreciation. House prices increased by 2.5% this quarter And our forecast assumes an increase of 2.9% over the next 12 months and 1.7% over the subsequent 12 months. The single family allowance for credit losses coverage ratio at the end of the quarter was 22 basis points, down from 23 basis points a year earlier. The single family serious delinquency rate declined to 55 basis points at the end of the 3rd quarter, down 12 basis points from the end of the prior year quarter. The single family series delinquency rate remains historically low and is down 8 basis points from the pre COVID rate of 63 basis points at the end of 2019.

Speaker 2

In the Q3, we helped approximately 18,000 families remain in their homes through loan workouts. Our loan workouts have continued to decline As a seriously delinquent loan population has declined. Our single family mortgage portfolio increased 2% year over year to $3,000,000,000,000 at the end of the 3rd quarter. Credit characteristics of our single family portfolio remains strong with the weighted average current loan to value ratio at 53% And the weighted average current credit score is 756. At the end of the quarter, 62% of our single family portfolio had some form of credit enhancement.

Speaker 2

New business activity was $85,000,000,000 up $2,000,000,000 from the 2nd quarter. However, Year over year new business activity declined $36,000,000,000 or 30% as both refinance and purchase activity declined due to higher mortgage interest rates. Home purchase volume of $76,000,000,000 made up 89% of our total new business activity this quarter. First time homebuyers represented 50 percent of new single family home purchase loans. The average guarantee fee rate on new business was 55 basis points this quarter.

Speaker 2

Moving on to Multifamily, the segment reported net income of $362,000,000 Down 23% or $108,000,000 from the prior year quarter. This decrease was primarily driven by higher provision for credit losses and higher non interest expense in this period. The provision for credit losses in multifamily this quarter was $41,000,000 increase of $29,000,000 from the prior year quarter, primarily driven by deterioration in overall loan performance. The multifamily allowance for credit losses coverage ratio at the end of this quarter was 54 basis points, up from 14 basis points a year earlier. Non interest expense was $266,000,000 up $94,000,000 or 55 percent year over year, primarily driven by an allocation for the accrual for the judgment in the Fairholme Funds litigation.

Speaker 2

The multifamily delinquency rate was 24 basis points at the end of this quarter, up from 21 basis points last quarter and 13 basis points at the end of September 2022. This increase was primarily driven by an increase in delinquent loans in our senior housing and small balance loans portfolios. 94% of these delinquent loans have credit enhancement coverage. We have seen a continued decline in demand for multifamily mortgage financing due to higher mortgage interest rates a slowdown in the multifamily origination market. Our multifamily new business activity was $13,000,000,000 for the 3rd quarter, Bringing the year to date volume to $32,000,000,000 versus $44,000,000,000 for the same time last year.

Speaker 2

Our multifamily mortgage portfolio increased 4% year over year to $432,000,000,000 of which 95% was covered by credit enhancements. On the capital front, our net worth increased to $44,700,000,000 at the end of the quarter, representing a 27% increase year over year. With that, I will turn it back over to Michael.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Chris. Before we close, let me say a few words about the recent announcement that I'll be departing Freddie Mac in early 2024. It is a privilege to lead this company And Freddie Mac is fortunate to have a strong leadership team ready to meet the challenge of guiding this company into the future and an outstanding group of employees

Earnings Conference Call
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Q3 2023
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