Park-Ohio Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
November 2, 2023

Key Takeaways

  • Record‐setting revenue: Park Ohio achieved an all‐time high year-to-date revenue in 2023 and posted a 9% year-over-year sales increase in Q3, with EBITDA nearing its 2018 peak.
  • Margin expansion: Q3 gross margin rose to 16.7%, up 300 basis points YoY, driven by operational leverage and realized customer price increases to offset inflation.
  • Robust cash flow: The company generated $17 million of free cash flow in Q3 and expects $20 million–$25 million for 2023, bolstering its balance sheet and $175 million in liquidity.
  • UAW strike headwind: Labor disruptions at major auto customers are expected to reduce Q4 revenues by approximately $25 million–$30 million per month until production normalizes.
  • Diversified end‐market strength: Growth in aerospace & defense, commercial markets, and a $172 million backlog in Engineered Products support the maintained 10%–15% full‐year sales growth guidance.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Park-Ohio Q3 2023
00:00 / 00:00

There are 5 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Park Ohio Third Quarter 2023 Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the presentation, the company will conduct a question and answer session. Today's conference is also being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time.

Operator

Before we get started, I want to remind everyone that certain statements made on today's call may be forward looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. The list of relevant risks and uncertainties may be found in the earnings press release as well as in the company's 2022 10 ks, which was filed on March 16, 2023 with the SEC. Additionally, the company may Adjusted EPS, adjusted operating income and EBITDA as defined on a continuing operations or consolidated basis. These metrics are not measures of performance under generally accepted accounting principles.

Operator

For reconciliation of EPS to adjusted EPS, Operating income to adjusted operating income and net income attributable to Park Ohio common shareholders to EBITDA As defined, please refer to the company's earnings recent release. I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Matthew Crawford, Chairman, President and CEO.

Speaker 1

Let me start by going off script here a little bit and discuss how we view our results as compared to prior periods. As I've stated before, Despite demand volatility, supply chain challenges, inflation and labor have challenged our results over the last couple of years, Our business model and our value proposition remain unchanged. This is why we often choose to compare ourselves to the financial record setting of 2018 and not 2022 as we do in this report. On that note, we're pleased to have achieved an all time record revenue year to date In 2023 and expect based on our forecast to have a record setting year for revenue in 2023. While we've not achieved the same in profitability metrics, It's important to note the 3rd quarter EBITDA was nearing the record also set in 2018.

Speaker 1

Turning to the results, the 3rd quarter showed strong revenue growth of 9%, as well as solid operating leverage in our gross margins and other profit results. Additionally, we're pleased to see significant free cash flow during the quarter, which we anticipate will extend through the end of the year and will continue to strengthen our balance sheet and strong liquidity position. Again, this quarter, diversity in end markets continues to be our strength, While revenue growth overall moderated from a blistering rate of 17% in the first half, all three business segments contributed to our improved performance during the Q3. While the demand continues to be stable across the business, it's worth noting that aerospace and defense has become an increasing

Speaker 2

Part of our

Speaker 1

growth profile. We also continue to benefit from commercial and pricing adjustments, which have been a priority this year as we grapple with inflation, Especially as it relates to labor. In addition, as we conclude our restructuring of our operations during the last several years, We're now pursuing a more focused operating model, which aims to increase productivity by allocating capital to our best products, services and centers of excellence. While the UAW strike at some of our truck and auto customers will provide a headwind to our 4th quarter results, I am certain that we will end the year a much stronger, more focused and disciplined company than we began the year and well positioned

Speaker 2

Thank you, Matt, and good morning. Our 3rd quarter results reflect continued strong sales growth year over year and Significant profit improvement across all three of our business segments. Sales were at a near record level, gross margins were at their highest level in over 5 years And operating income, earnings per share and EBITDA were higher than both last quarter and Q3 of last year. Our year over year sales growth in the quarter was driven by continued strong customer demand in each of our business segments and increased product pricing. Sales growth was achieved in each business unit within our 3 business segments as we continue to benefit from our very diverse and global customer base.

Speaker 2

Our consolidated net sales from continuing operations were $419,000,000 up 9% compared to $384,000,000 in the Q3 of Last year and for the 1st 9 months of this year, our sales were a record $1,300,000,000 representing a 14% growth rate. We estimate that approximately half of our growth was volume driven and the remainder was driven by material and value added price increases Implemented across each business, which offset higher raw material, labor and operational costs. In addition to the strong sales quarter, We also delivered sequential and year over year improvement in our gross margin. In the current quarter, our gross margin was 16.7%, This is an increase of 300 basis points over 13.7% last year and our highest gross margin percentage since the Q2 of 2018. SG and A expenses compared favorably to the 2nd quarter levels and totaled $43,000,000 in the 3rd quarter, Up approximately $6,000,000 year over year.

Speaker 2

The increase compared to the prior year quarter was due to higher sales levels, increased personnel As a percentage of sales, SG and A was 10.3% in the 3rd quarter compared to 10.9% in the Q2 of this year. Consolidated operating income from continuing operations was $27,000,000 compared to 11.6 $1,000,000 a year ago. On an adjusted basis, operating income was up 70% compared to the Q3 of last year and 16% sequentially compared to the 2nd quarter. Our 3rd quarter improvement in operating margins reflects the positive impact Resulting from the planned consolidation actions completed in the prior periods, from customer price increases implemented from operational improvement initiatives across our businesses. Interest expense was $11,600,000 in the quarter Compared to $9,000,000 a year ago.

Speaker 2

Of the $2,600,000 year over year increase, dollars 2,400,000 was driven by higher interest rates, with remainder due to higher average borrowings year over year. Our effective income tax in the quarter was 24%, which is in line with our expectations for the full year. GAAP earnings per share from continuing operations for the quarter was $0.99 per diluted share compared to $0.58 in the Q3 of last year. On an adjusted basis, diluted earnings per share was equal to our GAAP earnings of $0.99 compared to $0.85 per share last year, an increase of 16%. On a sequential basis, compared to last in the 3rd quarter compared to approximately $30,000,000 a year ago, an increase of 29% And improved 8% sequentially.

Speaker 2

This is our highest EBITDA level since the Q2 of 2018. On a year to date basis, EBITDA from continuing operations has increased 35% over last year. During the Q3, we generated $23,000,000 of operating cash flows and $17,000,000 of free cash flow. During the 1st 9 months of the year, we have made significant progress in reducing our net working capital base and are seeing the benefits across most of our businesses. As a result, we continue to expect strong free cash flow during the Q4 and estimate our full year free cash flow to range $20,000,000 $25,000,000 Our liquidity continued to be strong at the end of the 3rd quarter It totaled $175,000,000 which consisted of $51,000,000 of cash on hand and $124,000,000 of unused borrowing capacity Under our various banking arrangements.

Speaker 2

In September, we amended our existing revolving credit facility to extend the scheduled maturity date. The amended facility combined with free cash flow of $20,000,000 to $25,000,000 expected this year enhances our strong liquidity foundation to support our future growth strategy. Turning now to our segment results. Supply Technologies net We're $193,000,000 during the quarter, up 4% compared to $186,000,000 a year ago. On a year to date basis, sales in this segment have grown 10% to a record $586,000,000 Average daily sales in our supply chain business were up 6% year over year.

Speaker 2

The sales increase was driven by higher customer demand In most key end markets, in realized customer price increases. During the quarter, the largest end market increases For heavy duty truck and bus, military and civilian aerospace, powersports and industrial and agricultural equipment. The few end markets which you find year over year were again isolated in certain consumer related end markets and in the semiconductor end market. In addition, our fastener manufacturing business continues to perform well and achieved continued strong sales in the quarter, driven by increasing global demand for our proprietary Self Pierce and Quench products. Operating income in this segment totaled $15,600,000 Compared to $10,700,000 a year ago, an increase of 46%.

Speaker 2

Operating margins were up 2 30 basis points year over year To 8.1% in

Speaker 1

the current

Speaker 2

quarter, driven by the profit flow through from higher sales levels, customer price increases and reduced operating costs. We remain focused on our initiatives to grow our higher margin industrial supply business and our proprietary self piercing quench products in this segment. The integration of our prior year acquisitions has gone well as both Southern Fasteners and Charter Automotive have exceeded our expectations and will position our industrial supply business and our SPAC products for future growth. In our Assembly Components segment, sales for the quarter were $108,000,000 compared to $101,000,000 a year ago, an increase of 7% year over year. Sales from each of our product categories, which include our rubber and plastic products as well as our fuel related products grew year over year, Resulting from new business launched in the last year and increased customer pricing realized during the quarter.

Speaker 2

Segment operating income in the quarter increased significantly to $11,000,000 compared to $3,000,000 a year ago And operating margins exceeded 10% in the quarter. On a year to date basis, adjusted operating income Has improved $23,000,000 year over year. The significant increase in margins has been driven by lower operating costs, resulting from our plant consolidation efforts and other profit enhancement activities, including increased customer pricing. With respect to our aluminum business, which has historically been included in this segment, the sales process is ongoing. We continue to implement operational improvements and customer price increases, which will positively impact future results.

Speaker 2

During the Q3, the operating loss incurred in this business was approximately $1,000,000 We continue to believe that The automotive OEMs initiative around lightweighting, electrification and the onshoring of certain products for key auto platforms We'll benefit this business over the long term. In our Engineered Products segment, sales in the Q3 were $118,000,000 Up 21% compared to $97,000,000 a year ago, driven by strong customer demand in both our capital equipment business And our Forged and Machine Products business. In our Capital Equipment business, sales of new equipment and aftermarket parts and services were both higher year over year, resulting in a sales increase of 21% in this business compared to a year ago. Revenues increased again this quarter in every region As our strong backlogs are being converted into sales. Bookings remained strong in the quarter and totaled $44,000,000 And our backlog as of September 30th was $172,000,000 an increase of 6% compared to the end of last year.

Speaker 2

In our Forged Machine Products business, sales in the quarter were up 22%, driven by increasing customer demand in several key end markets, including Rail and Aerospace and Defense. During the quarter, operating income in the segment was $7,000,000 compared to $6,000,000 a year ago. And on an adjusted basis, operating income was $7,000,000 in each period, as the profit flow through from the higher sales was offset By lower operating margins in our Forging business. Our capital equipment operating income margins were strong in the 3rd quarter and were approximately 9%. And in our forging business, equipment downtime in the early part of the quarter and start up costs incurred on our newly installed forging line And our Canton, Ohio facility impacted our results.

Speaker 2

On a year to date basis, sales in this segment were $354,000,000 An increase of 23% year over year and adjusted operating income increased to $20,000,000 15% higher than the prior year. We continue to win new business in this segment in support of the increased production of electrical steel used in battery technologies And certain munitions used in defense end markets. This year, we have reached received over $50,000,000 of new equipment orders directly related to these market trends and believe this part of our business will continue to benefit. And finally, with respect Our full year 2023 sales guidance, we are maintaining our sales growth range of 10% to 15% year over year. Our 4th quarter revenues will be negatively impacted by the United Auto Workers strike, which affected several OEM customer plants.

Speaker 2

Although there appears to be tentative agreements between the OEMs and the UAW, it is difficult to estimate the full impact of the strikes on our 4th quarter revenues as production ramps back up to normal levels. Our current revenue levels from the OEM plants impacted by the strikes Total approximately $25,000,000 to $30,000,000 per month across our Assembly Components and Supply Technologies segments. We continue to expect year over year improvement in adjusted operating income, EBITDA as defined free cash flow And adjusted earnings per share for the full year. Now I'll turn the call back over to Matt.

Speaker 1

Great. Thank you very much, Pat. We'll now open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question Our first questions come from the line of Dave Storms with Stonegate Capital Markets.

Speaker 1

Hey, maybe on mute.

Speaker 3

Scott was on mute. Good morning.

Speaker 1

Good morning.

Operator

Just wanted to kind

Speaker 3

of start, you mentioned in Call that your strong revenues was a product of half volume and half pricing. How do you see that going forward? Is there still room to push pricing? Or do you think volumes are going to kind of be the driver through the remainder of 'twenty three and into 'twenty four?

Speaker 1

Yes, it's a great question. We'd love to know the answer. No, I'm not a joke. There's no question that pricing During what's been a very challenging inflationary market in the industrial space over the last couple of years, migrating from supply chain issues To raw material issues, to supply chain issues, to now labor, has provided the opportunity for us to push pricing. It has been a strategic priority, as I mentioned, And one that has been an incredible amount of focus over the last couple of years.

Speaker 1

Clearly, as inflation subdues, Particularly in those first two areas, not so much in labor yet, the opportunity is lesser. So, we have not entered our business planning process yet. So it's really difficult to comment Really into next year, but I would say that our ability and our efforts around pricing We'll become less significant as we close out what has been a very challenging period. It was a lot of robust and difficult conversations. So and they're not complete yet, and we're still dealing with inflation and labor.

Speaker 1

So I don't want to suggest it's over. I just think that The opportunities will get smaller and smaller moving forward. And we have to anticipate that we can manage the additional Inflation, and if we can't, then that's a different issue.

Speaker 3

Understood. Very helpful. And then just switching to cash flows for a second. It looks like you had a nice bump in cash flows in Q3. Obviously, you have your stated goal of to $25,000,000 for 2023.

Speaker 3

Kind of what levers do you expect to pull to close out the end of the year and hit those goals?

Speaker 2

Yes. David, this is Pat. As I mentioned, we've set Very aggressive working capital reduction targets in terms of the days of working capital to manage the business. The progress has been being made throughout the 1st three quarters and we expect that to continue in the 4th quarter. So, it's really driven off of reduced working capital.

Speaker 2

The investments that we made in In 2022, when supply chain restrictions required us to really carry more inventory, we're starting to see that reduce. And as you look at the sales growth that we've seen in the current year, we've invested very little in working capital, Which is a tremendous achievement by our business units and we expect that to continue in the 4th quarter.

Speaker 3

That's perfect. Thank you for taking my questions.

Speaker 1

I would just comment and this is unrelated to your question. But as we think through our business, we do anticipate our business model, particularly around continuing operations as a less capital intensive business. Yes. As we think about cash flows, and I talk about in my comments about being a stronger, More focused business, that is part of the story, our ability to generate cash flow through the business cycle.

Speaker 3

That's great clarification. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your questions.

Speaker 4

Good morning, everyone. This is actually Christian Zylo on for Steve Barger. Thank you for taking my questions.

Speaker 2

Good morning. First question.

Speaker 4

Good morning. First question, with your guidance held that implies about a 6% year over year growth rate in 4Q on a pretty nice 17% comp. During a time where customers are and suppliers continue to talk about destocking and broad macro uncertainty, which end markets do you see that strength Continuing and are you hearing any slowdowns from your customers?

Speaker 1

I'll give Pat a minute To answer that question, I try to beat the drum on diversity full time. There's no doubt that volume Unit volume is year over year, has softened in terms of from a growth perspective. Our numbers and our forecast incorporate some of the pricing work that I alluded to earlier. So No, I think we agree. We've seen some of the unit slowdown that you mentioned.

Speaker 1

But again, I think our diversity is strong. And I would highlight a couple of different Areas, one as I mentioned the rotation and I guess leadership for lack of a better word to aerospace and defense. Again, an important part of our business, not one we spend a lot of time on, but that is not slowing down, it's increasing. So that diversity continues, I think, to support. The other thing I will mention is, while supply technologies, in particular, is affected, I think, by consumption and demand rates at our customers on a daily, weekly, monthly basis.

Speaker 1

We also have an equipment business and a forging business that Have backlogs that extend, in some cases, beyond 2024. So, this is our diversity at play. Pat, does that give you a

Speaker 2

Yes. I mean, Matt touched on the topics that will show Increases in revenue year over year in the Q4, but we have tremendous backlogs right now in our Engineered Products segment And the diversity of our supply technologies segment that stretches beyond No. One particular part of the business, whether it be bus and truck, aerospace, agricultural, we see strength year over year in each of Those markets and Matt highlighted Aerospace and Defense where we expect that to continue to be strong for us. The last few years have been quite sluggish in that end market. So the increases are going to be seen not only on the commercial aerospace side, But on the defense side as well.

Speaker 4

Great. Thanks for that color. Moving to the UAW comments, just want to make sure I understand your comments. You quantified about $27,000,000 in monthly revenues from the Detroit 3 automakers impacted by the strikes. How should we think about haircutting that?

Speaker 4

I guess, is like a 20% haircut on those revenues fair or are you shifting production from some of those products in the near term? Just trying to

Speaker 1

So I'm going to let Pat gather his thoughts here for a second. Please understand that The UAW strikes have not only impacted or strikes in general, organized labor strikes have not only impacted the big three. While that is a significant chunk of impact, there have been other labor disruptions in the marketplace. I might point one out, Mack Truck, who is Still currently dealing with a strike. So, I just want to point out this in this environment, this is an ongoing A thing that is happening in the industrial workplaces is I think many of these unions are sort of The last people at the table relative to what the non union workers have gotten, particularly on the direct labor side over the last several years.

Speaker 1

So Well, we probably will see more of this is my guess. But this isn't just the big three. So for starters, particularly as we

Speaker 2

Yes. I would comment that the ability to forecast the impact of the strikes is very, very difficult. It's fluid. There's tentative agreements that are have to be voted on, ramping up Each of our production sites based on volume demand coming not only from the OEMs, but as Matt mentioned, the Tier 1s and Tier 2s, We'll start to see that come back throughout the month of November. My script Included the monthly impact based on what we knew as of the end of October.

Speaker 2

And That's probably a good barometer. Obviously, as the production plants get back to work and volumes start to begin to Get back to normal levels, dollars 25,000,000 to $30,000,000 a month will drop pretty significantly. But it's unknown right now at this time how quickly that's going to

Speaker 4

Got it. That's helpful. Thank you for that clarity. And then I guess switching over to M and A. Southern Fasteners seems to have been a really good value deal, when you guys bought it.

Speaker 4

Are there other good value deals out there and what does your pipeline look like and what are you most interested in acquiring?

Speaker 2

The pipeline has always been consistent. The diversity of our business allows us to get a look at a number of strategic opportunities throughout the course of the year. We're careful with the capital allocation. Southern Fasteners was a tremendous acquisition, allowed us to And our industrial supplies business, what we're seeing in the marketplace, credit markets are tight. And as a result, valuation multiples are starting to drop.

Speaker 2

And so There could be more opportunities that come our way. We continue to look for strategic acquisitions that are accretive To our margins, not only our gross margins, but our operating income margins and those businesses that we're able to grow At a faster pace than the current organic growth levels.

Speaker 4

Great. And just last one for me, I guess a follow-up on fasteners or Southern fasteners. Can you just remind us how are Southern's margins relative to the overall ST segment? And then what are the opportunities that you guys think about for improving that in the long term? Thank you so much.

Speaker 2

Sure. Before we acquired Southern Fasteners, We had built up an industrial supply business within Supply Technologies, which is primarily an OEM production Supply Chain Manager, the margins are higher than our segment margins would indicate in that space. Typically, those are MRO products or products used to fix equipment fasteners and other used in the production plants that often are critical spares needed in the business that generate higher margins. I won't comment on the individual margins in that particular business for us, but they're higher than the traditional segment margins that you see.

Speaker 1

I would also add to that, that as we think about how to identify opportunities in supply tech, Our focus is going to be bringing value to our customers. We think that there are opportunities to do that, which will be Accretive and provide improved consolidated margins, but our strategy both internally and is to continue to provide more value to our customers. So, but yes, I think that there will continue to be opportunities to extend That product portfolio in a very accretive way. If you think about it, the systems are already set up, which is nice.

Speaker 4

That's great. Thanks again for the time.

Operator

Thank you. We have reached the end I would now like to turn the floor back over to Matthew Crawford for any closing comments.

Speaker 1

Great. Thank you all for your interest and your ownership in our company. And know that while Times are still interesting and challenging in many ways. Again, we have a more focused, disciplined business model here and we're anxious To take advantage of what we see as a very bright future, a future in industrial space, both globally and particularly in the U. S.

Speaker 1

Thank you very much. Bye bye.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and enjoy the rest of your day.

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