NYSE:CNO CNO Financial Group Q1 2023 Earnings Report $39.28 -0.82 (-2.04%) Closing price 10/10/2025 03:59 PM EasternExtended Trading$39.28 0.00 (0.00%) As of 10/10/2025 04:27 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. ProfileEarnings HistoryForecast CNO Financial Group EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.84Consensus EPS N/ABeat/MissN/AOne Year Ago EPSN/ACNO Financial Group Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$968.30 millionExpected RevenueN/ABeat/MissN/AYoY Revenue GrowthN/ACNO Financial Group Announcement DetailsQuarterQ1 2023Date5/19/2023TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateN/AConference Call TimeN/AUpcoming EarningsCNO Financial Group's Q3 2025 earnings is scheduled for Thursday, October 30, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Friday, October 31, 2025 at 11:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by CNO Financial Group Q1 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrMay 2, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.Key Takeaways Net loss of just under $1M in Q1, driven by a $59M non-operating fair value adjustment. Operating EPS of $0.51 was supported by a 7% increase in insurance product margin and a 57% boost in fee income. Total new annualized premium rose 7% with strong product growth, including Medicare Supplement (+20%), Medicare Advantage (+55%) and supplemental health (+12%). Agent recruiting momentum continued with consumer recruiting +22% and worksite recruiting +48%, as worksite sales jumped 28%. New money rates hit 6.34% (vs 3.73% LY) and investment portfolio quality improved, while a planned Bermuda captive reinsurance treaty is expected to release $150–$200M of excess capital in Q3. AI Generated. May Contain Errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallCNO Financial Group Q1 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xThere are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:01Good morning or good afternoon all and welcome to the CNA Financial Group Last Quarter 2023 Earnings Results Call. My name is Adam and Speaker 100:00:08I'll be your operator for today. Operator00:00:15I'll now hand the floor over to Adam Morville to begin. So Adam, please go ahead when you are ready. Speaker 200:00:21Good morning, and thank you for joining us on CNO Financial Group's Q1 2023 earnings conference call. Today's presentation will include remarks from Gary Bajwani, Chief Executive Officer and Paul McDonough, Chief Financial Officer. Following the presentation, we will also have other business leaders available for the question and answer period. During this conference call, we will be referring to information contained in yesterday's press release. You can obtain the release by visiting the Media section of our website atcnoinc.com. Speaker 200:00:51This morning's presentation is also available in the Investors section of our website and was filed in the Form 8 ks yesterday. We expect to file our Form 10 Q and post it on our website on or before May 10. Let me remind you that any forward looking statements we make today are subject to a number of factors, which may cause actual results to be materially different than those contemplated by the forward looking statements. Today's presentations contain a number of GAAP measures, which should not be considered as substitutes for the most directly comparable GAAP measures. You'll find a reconciliation of the non GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measures in the appendix. Speaker 200:01:31Throughout the presentation, we'll be making performance comparisons. Unless otherwise specified, any comparisons made will be referring to changes between Q1 2023 and Q1 2022. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Gary. Speaker 100:01:46Thanks, Adam. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We're off to a positive start in 2023, posting solid operating earnings, production and capital results. Operating earnings per share were $0.51 Our balanced business model lends strength, stability and resilience to our earnings results. The fundamental health of the business is solid as demonstrated by strong insurance product margins, growth in fee income, Increasing new money rates and solid overall investment results even as alternative results underperformed compared to the prior year period. Speaker 100:02:24Sales production and agent recruiting delivered strong balanced results across both our consumer and worksite divisions. Total new annualized premium was up 7%. We posted sales growth in nearly all product categories, including direct to consumer and field agent sold life, Medicare products, including both Medicare Supplement and Medicare Advantage, supplemental health, annuities and worksite insurance sales. Capital ratios and liquidity remain above target levels underscoring our resilient capital position and disciplined capital Our high quality investment portfolio remains well positioned to weather market turmoil and to deliver consistent investment income. Book value per diluted share, excluding AOCI, was up 13% to over $31 Effective January 1, we adopted LDTI, the new GAAP accounting standard for long duration insurance contracts. Speaker 100:03:25This transition represents the culmination of a significant multiyear initiative. We thank and recognize the many CNO associates from across our organization for their hard work and dedication to implementing LVTI. Turning to Slide 5 and our growth scorecard. 4 of our 5 growth scorecard metrics were up for the quarter demonstrating the value of our broad product portfolio and diverse integrated distribution model. I'll discuss each division in the next two slides. Speaker 100:03:56Beginning with the Consumer division on Slide 6. We are very pleased with sales performance in the quarter. We saw year over year sales growth in nearly all of our product lines in the Consumer division. Life and Health NAP was up 4% for the quarter. Life production was up nicely. Speaker 100:04:15Life sales in the Bankers Life Agent channel were up 5%. Our direct to consumer channel generated record live sales, up 1% against a strong comparable. This is the 7th consecutive quarter of sales growth for D2C Life. Efficient advertising spend, Enhanced distribution and solid policy conversion rates continue to deliver growth for this business. Supplemental Health sales were up 12%, the 3rd quarter of double digit growth for these products. Speaker 100:04:48Our Medicare business posted record growth in the quarter, building on sales momentum from the 4th quarter Medicare annual enrollment period. As a reminder, our approach to Medicare business includes Medicare Supplement products that we manufacture and a broad offering of 3rd party Medicare Advantage and Part B prescription drug plans for which we collect fees. Medicare Supplement NAF was up 20% for the quarter. The new more efficient The new more competitive Medicare Supplement plans that we launched last year continue to be well received by consumers in this important market. Medicare Advantage sales were up 55% for the quarter. Speaker 100:05:30This contributed to third party fee revenue growth of 57%. As a reminder, MA policies drive fee revenue and are not reflected in that. Enhancements to our Medicare portfolio are enabling double digit growth. We continue to add Medicare Advantage carrier plans that are available through our MyHealth policy platform and makes strategic technology investments in the platform's capabilities. With branch offices in more than 230 communities, we operate a national footprint of knowledgeable local agents ready to help with Medicare enrollments. Speaker 100:06:06Our agents build personal relationships with our customers, earning the opportunity to assist with future needs and develop potential cross sales. These strong relationships allow us to mitigate the churn prevalent in so much of the industry. Our unique ability to marry a virtual connection with our established in person agent force who complete the important last mile of sales and service remains a key differentiator. Annuity collected premiums were up 1%, our 10th consecutive quarter of comparable period growth. Annuity persistency remains within expected ranges. Speaker 100:06:44This is primarily due to our model of distributing annuity products exclusively through our captive agents. Client assets in brokerage and advisory were down 8% year over year to $2,600,000,000 due to ongoing market volatility and More importantly, net inflows and new accounts were up, continuing this positive trend from prior quarters. Combined with our annuity account values, our clients entrust us with nearly $14,000,000,000 of their assets. Agent recruiting continued to accelerate and was up 22%, our 5th consecutive quarter of recruiting gains. As a result of the sustained recruiting success, we achieved an inflection point in our producing agent count, which ended up 1% for the quarter. Speaker 100:07:30As I've shared in previous calls, it takes time for new agents to meet production levels to be counted as a producing agent. We're pleased to see meaningful increases in agent recruiting begin to translate into increases in producing agent count. We remain bullish on our Agent Force prospects for the balance of the year. Our recruiting strategies support a return to continued Agent Force growth. These include our proven agent referral program and recent enhancements to our online recruiting approaches. Speaker 100:08:01A softer labor market has traditionally resulted in more Veteran agent retention and productivity remains solid. Our registered agent count increased 5% from prior year, expanding the number of securities professionals available to assist our customers in today's challenging economic environment. Turning to Slide 7 and our Worksite division performance. Insurance sales were up 28% this quarter. This is the 8th consecutive quarter of growth. Speaker 100:08:333 of the last 4 quarters had growth of 20% or more, albeit off a small base. Leading indicators of the health of the business continue to trend positively. Retention of our existing employer customers remains strong. Employee persistency within these employer groups is stable. Producing agent counts were up 38% and recruiting was up 48%. Speaker 100:08:59We remain squarely focused on deepening the integration of our worksite capabilities under our Optimize brand, Advancing our strategic worksite priorities in both the national and regional employer markets and accelerating agent recruiting momentum. We also continue to invest in our ability to serve customers through service and product offerings. In the second half of last year, we introduced our hybrid enrollment platform Optimize Now. The platform gives our agents greater ability to connect with employees wherever they are, including by video meeting or over the phone. It continues to be well received by employers and employees, And we have experienced an uptick in attendance rates as a result of the technology. Speaker 100:09:43And with that, I'll turn it over to Paul. Speaker 300:09:47Thank you, Gary, and good morning, everyone. Before commenting on our financial results in the quarter, I'd like to say a few words regarding the implementation of LDTI. Yesterday, we posted our Q4 'twenty two financial supplement recast to reflect the adoption of the new accounting standard. The impact on the balance sheet of transition and on earnings over the remeasurement period were in line with the estimates we previously provided. As a reminder, LDTI has no impact on STAAD's financial results, capital or cash flows. Speaker 300:10:21I'd like to second Gary's comment from the beginning of the call and also express my gratitude to the CNO implementation team. We're well positioned not just for the Q1 close under the new standard, but also to operate smoothly and efficiently going forward. Turning to the financial highlights on Slide 8. Our net income for the quarter was a loss of just under $1,000,000 Driven by a non operating loss of $59,000,000 which in turn was driven primarily by $65,000,000 pretax of fair value changes in embedded derivative reserve liabilities and market risk benefits, both of which relate to the GAAP accounting for Quarter was a gain of $59,000,000 or $0.51 per share, dollars 6,000,000 or $0.03 per share lower than the prior year period, driven by a decline in the variable components of net investment income. Expenses were also elevated compared to the prior year period, But in line with our expectations for the quarter, our projected expense ratio for the full year is unchanged at between 19.0 And 19.4%. Speaker 300:11:42On a run rate basis, we're very pleased with the results in the quarter. Notably, insurance product margin increased by $14,000,000 or 7% year over year and fee income increased by $6,000,000 or 57 We deployed $15,000,000 of capital on share repurchases in the quarter, contributing to a 5% reduction in weighted average diluted shares outstanding year over year. For the 12 months ending March 31, 'twenty 3, Operating return on equity was 10.3%. Turning to Slide 9. The growth in insurance product margin Indexed Annuities and Supplemental Health. Speaker 300:12:31The annuity and health margins were largely flat in total year over year With pluses and minuses by individual product line within each product category. Turning to Slide 10. The new money rate in the quarter was 6.34%, up from 3.73% in the prior year period And 5.96 percent in 4Q 'twenty two. This is the 4th consecutive quarter with new money rates exceeding The average yield on allocated investments, which increased to 4.62% in the quarter, up 2 basis points both sequentially and year over year. This marks the Q3 of sequential improvement and the Q1 of year over year improvement in net yield. Speaker 300:13:18While the improvement is small, it's nevertheless an important inflection point. After years of declining yield And together with growth in net insurance liabilities, contributes to growth in net investment income allocated to product, which was up 4% in the quarter. Investment income not allocated to products fell in the quarter, Driven by a decline in the return on alternative investments and also a decline in prepayment and call income. Notably, the decline was in part mitigated by growth in income from general account assets, the FHLB and FABN programs And the contribution from COLI Investments. Our new investments comprised approximately $690,000,000 of assets With an average rating of AA- and an average duration of 3 years. Speaker 300:14:09Our new investments are summarized in more detail on Slides 21 and 22 of this presentation. Turning to Slide 11. At quarter end, our invested assets totaled $25,000,000,000 Down 8% year over year, reflecting declining market values, driven primarily by higher interest rates. Approximately 97% of our fixed maturity portfolio at quarter end was investment grade rated with an average rating of A, Reflecting our up in quality actions over the last several quarters, in the last 12 months, the allocation to single A rated or higher securities It is up 460 basis points. The BBB allocation is down 330 basis points And the high yield allocation is down 130 basis points. Speaker 300:15:01These actions served us well during the recent banking crisis And continue to position us well relative to potential broader economic downturn. Given the amount of attention the commercial real estate market has Call. I thought I should touch on that briefly. You'll note that 9.8% of our invested assets are in commercial mortgage backed Securities and 4.7 percent are in commercial mortgage loans. We've included some metrics on these investments in Slides 23 and 24 of this presentation. Speaker 300:15:35The key messages are number 1, that our CMBS allocation is highly rated with significant structural protection Tilted toward lower risk property types and with limited loss content in extreme stress scenarios. And second, that our commercial mortgage loan allocation is also conservatively positioned across a number of metrics. Turning to Slide 12. At quarter end, our consolidated RBC ratio was 380%. HoldCo liquidity was $158,000,000 We'll continue to manage this to the targets of 3.75 percent RBC And $150,000,000 HoldCo liquidity. Speaker 300:16:18Turning to Slide 13. Our outlook for the full year, as summarized on this slide, is unchanged from what we shared back in February at our Investor Day. I do want to provide an update on our planned formation of a captive Bermuda Reinsurance Company. We continue to work through the regulatory approval process, which we expect will conclude in time to initiate a treaty in the Q3 of this year. Under this treaty, we intend to seed a portion of our fixed index annuity business from our U. Speaker 300:16:51S. Operations to the Bermuda Company. Contingent on all necessary regulatory approvals, we expect excess cash flow to the Holdco to increase by $150,000,000 to $200,000,000 at inception of the initial reinsurance treaty. We'll certainly be judicious in how and when we By no means assured and we don't want to get ahead of the approval process, but we thought it was nevertheless appropriate at this stage to dimensionalize What the capital impact might be. And with that, I'll turn it back to Gary. Speaker 100:17:35Thanks, Paul. In February, we held our Investor Day at the New York Stock Exchange. It was nice to see so many of you in person. We also appreciated those who were able to join virtually. At the meeting, I opened my remarks with this comment. Speaker 100:17:50CNO is a growth story. After several years of navigating the pandemic and Call. The pivot to growth was again on display this quarter in the strong sales performance delivered by both of our divisions. We have solid free cash flow to fund both growth and capital return. Our balance sheet, Capital position and liquidity remains strong. Speaker 100:18:16As we look to the remainder of 2023 and beyond, we are squarely focused on accelerating that profitable growth, consistent steady execution on our strategic priorities and generating sustainable Long term shareholder value. We thank you for your support of and interest in CNO Financial Group. We will now open it up for questions. Operator? Operator00:18:43Thank you. And our first question today comes from Ryan Krueger from Stifel. Ryan, please go ahead. Your line is open. Speaker 400:19:03Hey, thanks. Good morning. My first question was on the Bermuda transaction. There's some proposed changes to Bermuda Capital Rules and I just wanted to Confirm that the expected $150,000,000 to $200,000,000 benefit already incorporated those potential impacts. Speaker 300:19:23Good morning, Ryan. It's Paul. The range certainly incorporates the potential impact About the new rules that Bermuda has presented. Honestly, we're still sort of working through what the specific impacts might be, but we don't expect them to be material. Speaker 400:19:47Okay, great. And then as a follow-up, how are you thinking about the potential use of the additional capital freed up? Would you be You likely to return most of that to shareholders or would you like potentially use a piece of that to build a further capital cushion? Speaker 300:20:07So Ryan, we'll continue to think about excess capital the way that we always have, which I think if you look at what Historically, we are thoughtful and deploy it appropriately on the margin. Certainly, we've used it to return excess capital to shareholders. So I would imagine that would be a component of it. But we As I said, we'll be do we'll not do anything right away. We'll think about it and approach it, again, the same way we have historically. Speaker 400:20:47Okay, great. Thank you. Operator00:20:53The next question comes from Erik Bass from Autonomous. Erik, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:20:59Hi, thank you. Speaker 300:21:00I was Speaker 100:21:00just hoping you could talk Speaker 300:21:01a little bit more about the Speaker 500:21:02level of capital generation and excess cash flow to the holding company this quarter. I'm curious if this was affected at all by any seasonal impacts or timing issues. Speaker 300:21:13Sure. Hey, good morning, Eric. It's Paul. So the excess cash flow in the quarter was a bit on the low side. I would emphasize that We expect the cash flow for the full year to be in the range of $170,000,000 to $200,000,000 There are really two things that pushed it to the low The first is the other category in sources of cash. Speaker 300:21:38This is largely timing differences of intercompany Cash flows between the Holdco and the operating subsidiaries, it was minus $17,000,000 in the quarter. On a full year basis, it tends to be neutral to slightly positive. And then the second thing is holding company expenses and other are typically higher in the Q1, And that's driven primarily by annual bonus payments made in March. So it was minus $38,000,000 in the quarter, and we'd expect that to improve in subsequent quarters. Speaker 500:22:10Got it. Thank you. That's helpful. Then a follow-up on the Bermuda cap. Is the plan initially to reinsure all of the enforced Bankers Life fixed annuity policies and then thinking about the benefit prospectively, can we use the size of the capital release as a percentage of liability Seated, just kind of approximate what that go forward benefit would be on new sales? Speaker 300:22:35So Eric, it's Paul again. So on the in force book, we're proposing to seed the 2018 and more recent issue years. And that translates to about 60% of the in force of fixed indexed annuities, Which have an account value currently of about $9,000,000,000 With respect to the new business, We do propose to seed 100% of the new business. I Speaker 600:23:08don't I wouldn't take Speaker 300:23:13The amount freed up at inception necessarily is a proxy. I think there are more moving parts. We're declining to size that at this stage, but certainly as we get into this, We'll provide some appropriate disclosure. Speaker 500:23:33Thank you. If I could just sneak in one quick one. Does your $2.80 to $3 of EPS guidance range factor in an expectation of lower VII in the Q1? Or should we think of the range being based on a normal level of VII for the year? Speaker 300:23:49So it's really based on actuals for the Q1 and plan for the balance of the year. So it does not presume that we get back the low VII in 1st quarter, but it does presume that alt income reverts to the mean in subsequent quarters. It also notably assumes that Life margin improves off the seasonal first quarter lows And that expenses trend down, resulting in the full year expense ratio in our guidance of between 19.0 and 19.4. Speaker 500:24:28Got it. Thank you very much. Operator00:24:34The next question comes from John Barnidge from Piper Sandler. Speaker 700:24:42If we could stick with guidance for a second, it looks like The income Speaker 100:24:46is really, really strong in the quarter. Can you talk about how we should be thinking that in the balance of Speaker 800:24:51the year? I know there's seasonality with Speaker 100:24:53the weighting for the Q1. Thank you. Speaker 300:24:58Sure. So John, I as I just Sharon, with in response to Eric's question, the guidance is really pretty straightforward. It's Based on actuals for the Q1 and plan for the balance of the year, the only material variance to our plan in the Q1 was Lower alt returns, partially offset by higher fee income. Notably, our expenses in the Q1 were in line with our planned expectations. So if you do the math, clearly, we expect earnings to be higher In subsequent quarters than the Q1, there is some seasonality to Life margin that explains some of that. Speaker 300:25:49As I mentioned, we expect expenses to trend down. And again, as I mentioned, we expect alts to revert to the mean in subsequent quarters. Speaker 800:26:01Can you talk about the drivers of the strong growth in the fee income in the quarter? It seems like there was Some good follow through with Optimize driving improved enrollment rates? Speaker 300:26:14Yes. So the fee income in the quarter was Actually driven primarily by the MedAdvantage sales in the quarter, not so much by AppDevise. Speaker 800:26:27Okay, great. And then one last one. It looks like agent recruitment trends have been increasing and with softening in the labor market, There's a propensity for referrals to be better agents. Are you seeing different sectors where the supply of that's coming as the labor market Yes. Thank you for the answers. Speaker 100:26:48Yes. Hey, John, this is Gary. I'll take that one. What we found, we have certain targeted approaches, specifically referrals and certain other things we're doing online. And I wouldn't say we've seen a particular sector 1 or another deliver more agent opportunities to us or more prospective agents to us. Speaker 100:27:07We're still following the same playbook with tweaks here and there. All that said, I think it is reasonable to conclude if a particular industry Call. I think that's a fair theory, but we haven't seen it play yet. Speaker 900:27:30Thank you. Operator00:27:35Next question comes from Mark Dwyer from RBC Capital Markets. Mark, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:27:42Yes, good morning. Just building on the question on the recruitment. From the recruitment has been ramping up a lot the last couple of quarters. What's the normal kind of lag time or hang time between when you do get recruitment and when these people translate into Productive agents delivering targeted quotas or whatever the right metric is. Speaker 100:28:07Sure. Mark, this is Gary. Thanks for the question. Before I answer your question, I just want to remind everybody of one thing. Producing agent count is not a GAAP defined metric. Speaker 100:28:18In other words, what we count as a productive agent may be different than Brand X. So it's always important to remember that we've got various Standards that are laid out in terms of how we define a producing agent. But to answer your question, I think 1 to 3 years Is when we see a really notable difference somewhere in that time frame. If they make it past the 1st 12 months, Then we really see the productivity start to ramp up again between months 12 and 36. That's when we really see it start to kick in. Speaker 700:28:52Thanks. That's helpful. And then turning to some of the disclosures that you had Related to the loan book and the CMBS, first of all, appreciate you putting those together for us. It's definitely Yes, helpful. When you sit back and look at this, what would be the area that you're most concerned? Speaker 700:29:14Where would you see the greatest vulnerability as you look at Speaker 1000:29:25This is Eric Johnson. Thank you When I look at this set of data, what I see is a pretty strong basis To weather, whatever lies ahead in terms of the developments of the commercial mortgage market, I feel, looking at CMBS, which you mentioned first, it's a pretty highly rated portfolio, Has very low loss content, even using the NAIC's most conservative scenario, which has a They think has a 2% probability of occurring, 40% deterioration in property values, maybe we lose $15,000,000 $20,000,000 In that scenario, on a $2,000,000,000 portfolio. So over 10 years. So I think that demonstrates even in the lowest probability scenarios, that's a fairly well constructed portfolio with a lot of Inherent credit support. If you look at our commercial mortgage loan portfolio, very conservatively constructed. Speaker 1000:30:32We gave you some data around LTVs, which are current and around the SCRs, which are current, very Tilted toward lower risk properties, spaces, no delinquencies, no restructured loans, very low the amount of maturity. So in both those areas, while I do think there's still going to be So we're in the 4th inning of a 9 inning game and I think we all have to be prepared for To play those next five innings, I think we have a strong basis, not just to deliver pretty Stable results from what we've got, but find opportunities that emerge once CMBS trades to levels where Severe losses are baked into the prices or higher quality loans in a more in what is becoming a very Underwriting and pricing environment. So this may be an area where we have to be thoughtful, protect what we've got, but also look For the upside opportunities, which I think will emerge as we get into the later innings of the game. Speaker 700:31:48Thank you very much for the additional color. I would tend to agree with your thoughts on that. Thank you. Operator00:32:02And our next question comes from Tom Gallagher from Evercore. Tom, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:32:09Thanks. Paul, a follow-up on the Bermuda Reinsurance Captive. The $150,000,000 to $200,000,000 Amount being freed up, can you kind of split out how much of that is on the in force versus how much of that Do you expect to come from seeding 100% of new business for FIAs? And then maybe As a follow-up, what kind of annual cash flow benefit would you expect the new business part of that to have beyond this Immediate one time benefit. Speaker 300:32:48Sure. Good morning, Tom. So the $150,000,000 to 200 €1,000,000 is entirely on seeding the in force. And again, it's 2018 more recent Issue here is, which is roughly 60% of that in force book. So we've not sized the impact from the new business, Which we expect we would begin seeding 100% of at inception of the treaty, which we expect sometime in the Q3. Speaker 300:33:17So directionally, there's some incremental lift there, which we haven't quantified. We will do so as we get deeper into this. But certainly, there's some relief from new business strain with this structure. Speaker 900:33:37Got you. And then I guess we'll get more after you Affect this in 3Q in terms of what the kind of ongoing benefit is expected. I assume there's going to be an ongoing benefit based on The new business strain positive. And then would you yes, for should you be willing to dimension that by 3Q? Speaker 300:34:02I think we probably will. We'll know more than we do today. We'll have Spent more time modeling it. We'll begin to have some real activity with it. So I imagine we'd be prepared to give Some dimensionality to the relief of new business strain with this structure. Speaker 900:34:27Great. And then for a follow-up, another question for Eric Johnson. So it looked like 30% of your new money in the quarter Was in residential mortgage loans at 57% yield. Were those direct investments into resi mortgage loans? I assume those are direct investments, not MBS. Speaker 900:34:49And then can you talk a little bit about would you expect to continue to allocate a lot to that asset class because I think it's fairly small for you right now. Speaker 1000:35:00Good morning and thanks for the question. Today, residential mortgage loan allocation is probably 1 and some change percent Of our overall asset allocation. Yes. I think that can get bigger, although I think it will remain probably below So 3% at the high end. Why do I say this? Speaker 1000:35:35One, I think it's a good risk return, even in an environment where HPA is flat to declining And the consumer has probably peaked in terms of credit quality. I think that Because this is the market for non QM, non conforming loans, it's really Been in a much more conservative underwriting posture in the last year relative to the prior period, Where you're getting much lower LTVs, higher FICOs, what we've been buying is FICO is in the middle 700s, LTV is in the middle 60s, and What we would historically expect for loans, whole loans Of those characteristics would be a very low loss content in the basis points in a normal year, 10 to 20 basis points and a really Bad year, 30 to 50 basis points. So, if you are these loans carry a capital weighting that's Akin to a single A corporate bond, but they probably pay 200 extra basis points. So you have plenty of room to be wrong And still make an excess yield relative to the investable alternative. And our experience with them, we've been doing it now for a number of years, Has been quite good and in line with our expectations of losses in the basis points. Speaker 1000:37:20So, this is an area that we feel is additive to our overall performance. It's not a mainstream product For us, but at the margin and in times where the non QM market and other markets are not providing The outlet, you can buy these at a good price on good terms, and it worked out pretty well. Speaker 900:37:49Makes sense. Thank you. Operator00:37:54The next question is from Daniel Bergman from Jefferies. Daniel, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:38:01Thanks. Good morning. To start, I was hoping you could provide a little more color on the main moving pieces for the RBC ratio this quarter. It looked like it slightly from year end 2022 levels despite below typical levels of dividends paid to the holding company this quarter. So any color you can give on the main drivers of the ratio in the Q1 would be great. Speaker 300:38:21Good morning, Dan. I would describe it as sort of typical Impacts on RBC, so the main drivers are any impact from investments, which were So in line with our expectations to the low side, and then statutory income and dividends. And So it's really sort of part and parcel of cash flow. And in that context, I would just repeat 2 of the main drivers that push the excess cash flow to the holdco to the low end In the quarter and they are the other category in sources of cash, Which is really just intercompany cash flows between HoldCo and OpCo, negative 17 in the quarter Tends to be neutral to positive on a full year basis. And then Holdco expenses in the period include The annual bonus payment, obviously, that's a seasonal thing. Speaker 300:39:32So that was $38,000,000 in the quarter and we'd expect that to trend down in subsequent quarters. Speaker 600:39:44Got it. Thanks. And then maybe shifting gears a little bit, just the Medicare Supplement earnings and margin Call. Margin in the quarter came in a little bit lower than they've been running in recent quarters. So I was hoping you could give some color on the main drivers and what you saw in the quarter. Speaker 600:39:58I mean is there any way to think about how much Impact came from seasonality versus higher utilization post pandemic or other factors. Any way to dimension the earnings power of this business kind of going forward post LDI would be very helpful. Speaker 300:40:12So there is a seasonality Pointing to it, the Q1 is typically the lowest margin quarter for MedSup. Year over year in the Q1, The decline is really driven primarily by 2 things, the shrinking size of the Med supp block And better claims experience in the prior year period as compared to the current year period. We're observing that claims in Med supp are certainly back to pre COVID norms And in the quarter, a bit on the high end of that range, still within a sort of normal range of volatility, But back to pre COVID levels. Speaker 600:41:03Got it. That's very helpful. Thank you. Operator00:41:22We have no further questions at this time. So I'll hand back to Adam for any concluding remarks. Speaker 200:41:27Thank you, operator, and thank you all for participating in today's call. Please reach out to the Investor Relations team if you have any further questions, And have a great rest of your day. Operator00:41:40This concludes today's call. Thank you all very much for your attendance. You may now disconnect yourRead morePowered by Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) CNO Financial Group Earnings HeadlinesKeefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains CNO Financial Group (CNO) Market Perform RecommendationOctober 10 at 8:49 PM | msn.comCNO Financial Group (NYSE:CNO) Upgraded by Wall Street Zen to Buy RatingOctober 5, 2025 | americanbankingnews.comNvidia CEO Makes First Ever Tesla AnnouncementWhile headlines focus on Tesla’s car sales, tech analyst Jeff Brown says the real story is Tesla’s role in a $25 trillion AI revolution — one that Nvidia’s CEO himself has called a “multi-trillion-dollar future industry” — and he’s uncovered a little-known stock 168 times smaller than Nvidia that could be positioned to ride this breakthrough.October 12 at 2:00 AM | Brownstone Research (Ad)Assessing the Valuation of CNO Financial Group (CNO) After Recent Steady Share PerformanceOctober 3, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comOptavise and Rula Partner to Improve Workforce Access to Mental Health ServicesOctober 1, 2025 | prnewswire.com3 Insurance Stocks with Open QuestionsSeptember 17, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comSee More CNO Financial Group Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like CNO Financial Group? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on CNO Financial Group and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About CNO Financial GroupCNO Financial Group (NYSE:CNO) is an Indiana‐based holding company that offers a range of insurance and retirement solutions through its operating subsidiaries. Its primary business activities include life insurance, annuities, and supplemental health insurance products designed to help individuals plan for retirement and manage health‐related expenses. The company serves middle‐income Americans, with particular emphasis on senior customers seeking guaranteed coverage and reliable income streams. Originally founded as Conseco in 1979, the company underwent a financial restructuring and rebranded as CNO Financial Group in 2010. Headquartered in Carmel, Indiana, CNO Financial leverages both career agents and independent distribution relationships to reach policyholders across the United States. Its national footprint enables it to tailor product offerings to diverse regional markets and demographic groups. CNO Financial’s three main operating segments each focus on distinct customer needs. Bankers Life provides life and health insurance solutions primarily to senior consumers through a dedicated career sales force. Washington National offers protection and savings products including annuities and life policies via independent agents and financial institutions. Colonial Penn markets final‐expense life insurance directly to consumers through advertising and call center channels. In addition, the company delivers claims administration and policy services to support its insurance operations. Governed by an experienced board of directors and led by a senior management team with deep insurance expertise, CNO Financial Group emphasizes disciplined risk management, customer service excellence, and technology investments. This strategic focus aims to strengthen its market position, enhance operational efficiency, and maintain long‐term policyholder trust.View CNO Financial Group ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles 3 Reasons to Buy Sprouts Farmers Market Ahead of EarningsTesla Earnings Loom: Bulls Eye $600, Bears Warn of $300Spotify Could Surge Higher—Here’s the Hidden Earnings SignalBerkshire-Backed Lennar Slides After Weak Q3 EarningsWall Street Eyes +30% Upside in Synopsys After Huge Earnings FallRH Stock Slides After Mixed Earnings and Tariff ConcernsCelsius Stock Surges After Blowout Earnings and Pepsi Deal Upcoming Earnings Fastenal (10/13/2025)America Movil (10/14/2025)BlackRock (10/14/2025)Citigroup (10/14/2025)The Goldman Sachs Group (10/14/2025)Johnson & Johnson (10/14/2025)JPMorgan Chase & Co. 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There are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:01Good morning or good afternoon all and welcome to the CNA Financial Group Last Quarter 2023 Earnings Results Call. My name is Adam and Speaker 100:00:08I'll be your operator for today. Operator00:00:15I'll now hand the floor over to Adam Morville to begin. So Adam, please go ahead when you are ready. Speaker 200:00:21Good morning, and thank you for joining us on CNO Financial Group's Q1 2023 earnings conference call. Today's presentation will include remarks from Gary Bajwani, Chief Executive Officer and Paul McDonough, Chief Financial Officer. Following the presentation, we will also have other business leaders available for the question and answer period. During this conference call, we will be referring to information contained in yesterday's press release. You can obtain the release by visiting the Media section of our website atcnoinc.com. Speaker 200:00:51This morning's presentation is also available in the Investors section of our website and was filed in the Form 8 ks yesterday. We expect to file our Form 10 Q and post it on our website on or before May 10. Let me remind you that any forward looking statements we make today are subject to a number of factors, which may cause actual results to be materially different than those contemplated by the forward looking statements. Today's presentations contain a number of GAAP measures, which should not be considered as substitutes for the most directly comparable GAAP measures. You'll find a reconciliation of the non GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measures in the appendix. Speaker 200:01:31Throughout the presentation, we'll be making performance comparisons. Unless otherwise specified, any comparisons made will be referring to changes between Q1 2023 and Q1 2022. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Gary. Speaker 100:01:46Thanks, Adam. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We're off to a positive start in 2023, posting solid operating earnings, production and capital results. Operating earnings per share were $0.51 Our balanced business model lends strength, stability and resilience to our earnings results. The fundamental health of the business is solid as demonstrated by strong insurance product margins, growth in fee income, Increasing new money rates and solid overall investment results even as alternative results underperformed compared to the prior year period. Speaker 100:02:24Sales production and agent recruiting delivered strong balanced results across both our consumer and worksite divisions. Total new annualized premium was up 7%. We posted sales growth in nearly all product categories, including direct to consumer and field agent sold life, Medicare products, including both Medicare Supplement and Medicare Advantage, supplemental health, annuities and worksite insurance sales. Capital ratios and liquidity remain above target levels underscoring our resilient capital position and disciplined capital Our high quality investment portfolio remains well positioned to weather market turmoil and to deliver consistent investment income. Book value per diluted share, excluding AOCI, was up 13% to over $31 Effective January 1, we adopted LDTI, the new GAAP accounting standard for long duration insurance contracts. Speaker 100:03:25This transition represents the culmination of a significant multiyear initiative. We thank and recognize the many CNO associates from across our organization for their hard work and dedication to implementing LVTI. Turning to Slide 5 and our growth scorecard. 4 of our 5 growth scorecard metrics were up for the quarter demonstrating the value of our broad product portfolio and diverse integrated distribution model. I'll discuss each division in the next two slides. Speaker 100:03:56Beginning with the Consumer division on Slide 6. We are very pleased with sales performance in the quarter. We saw year over year sales growth in nearly all of our product lines in the Consumer division. Life and Health NAP was up 4% for the quarter. Life production was up nicely. Speaker 100:04:15Life sales in the Bankers Life Agent channel were up 5%. Our direct to consumer channel generated record live sales, up 1% against a strong comparable. This is the 7th consecutive quarter of sales growth for D2C Life. Efficient advertising spend, Enhanced distribution and solid policy conversion rates continue to deliver growth for this business. Supplemental Health sales were up 12%, the 3rd quarter of double digit growth for these products. Speaker 100:04:48Our Medicare business posted record growth in the quarter, building on sales momentum from the 4th quarter Medicare annual enrollment period. As a reminder, our approach to Medicare business includes Medicare Supplement products that we manufacture and a broad offering of 3rd party Medicare Advantage and Part B prescription drug plans for which we collect fees. Medicare Supplement NAF was up 20% for the quarter. The new more efficient The new more competitive Medicare Supplement plans that we launched last year continue to be well received by consumers in this important market. Medicare Advantage sales were up 55% for the quarter. Speaker 100:05:30This contributed to third party fee revenue growth of 57%. As a reminder, MA policies drive fee revenue and are not reflected in that. Enhancements to our Medicare portfolio are enabling double digit growth. We continue to add Medicare Advantage carrier plans that are available through our MyHealth policy platform and makes strategic technology investments in the platform's capabilities. With branch offices in more than 230 communities, we operate a national footprint of knowledgeable local agents ready to help with Medicare enrollments. Speaker 100:06:06Our agents build personal relationships with our customers, earning the opportunity to assist with future needs and develop potential cross sales. These strong relationships allow us to mitigate the churn prevalent in so much of the industry. Our unique ability to marry a virtual connection with our established in person agent force who complete the important last mile of sales and service remains a key differentiator. Annuity collected premiums were up 1%, our 10th consecutive quarter of comparable period growth. Annuity persistency remains within expected ranges. Speaker 100:06:44This is primarily due to our model of distributing annuity products exclusively through our captive agents. Client assets in brokerage and advisory were down 8% year over year to $2,600,000,000 due to ongoing market volatility and More importantly, net inflows and new accounts were up, continuing this positive trend from prior quarters. Combined with our annuity account values, our clients entrust us with nearly $14,000,000,000 of their assets. Agent recruiting continued to accelerate and was up 22%, our 5th consecutive quarter of recruiting gains. As a result of the sustained recruiting success, we achieved an inflection point in our producing agent count, which ended up 1% for the quarter. Speaker 100:07:30As I've shared in previous calls, it takes time for new agents to meet production levels to be counted as a producing agent. We're pleased to see meaningful increases in agent recruiting begin to translate into increases in producing agent count. We remain bullish on our Agent Force prospects for the balance of the year. Our recruiting strategies support a return to continued Agent Force growth. These include our proven agent referral program and recent enhancements to our online recruiting approaches. Speaker 100:08:01A softer labor market has traditionally resulted in more Veteran agent retention and productivity remains solid. Our registered agent count increased 5% from prior year, expanding the number of securities professionals available to assist our customers in today's challenging economic environment. Turning to Slide 7 and our Worksite division performance. Insurance sales were up 28% this quarter. This is the 8th consecutive quarter of growth. Speaker 100:08:333 of the last 4 quarters had growth of 20% or more, albeit off a small base. Leading indicators of the health of the business continue to trend positively. Retention of our existing employer customers remains strong. Employee persistency within these employer groups is stable. Producing agent counts were up 38% and recruiting was up 48%. Speaker 100:08:59We remain squarely focused on deepening the integration of our worksite capabilities under our Optimize brand, Advancing our strategic worksite priorities in both the national and regional employer markets and accelerating agent recruiting momentum. We also continue to invest in our ability to serve customers through service and product offerings. In the second half of last year, we introduced our hybrid enrollment platform Optimize Now. The platform gives our agents greater ability to connect with employees wherever they are, including by video meeting or over the phone. It continues to be well received by employers and employees, And we have experienced an uptick in attendance rates as a result of the technology. Speaker 100:09:43And with that, I'll turn it over to Paul. Speaker 300:09:47Thank you, Gary, and good morning, everyone. Before commenting on our financial results in the quarter, I'd like to say a few words regarding the implementation of LDTI. Yesterday, we posted our Q4 'twenty two financial supplement recast to reflect the adoption of the new accounting standard. The impact on the balance sheet of transition and on earnings over the remeasurement period were in line with the estimates we previously provided. As a reminder, LDTI has no impact on STAAD's financial results, capital or cash flows. Speaker 300:10:21I'd like to second Gary's comment from the beginning of the call and also express my gratitude to the CNO implementation team. We're well positioned not just for the Q1 close under the new standard, but also to operate smoothly and efficiently going forward. Turning to the financial highlights on Slide 8. Our net income for the quarter was a loss of just under $1,000,000 Driven by a non operating loss of $59,000,000 which in turn was driven primarily by $65,000,000 pretax of fair value changes in embedded derivative reserve liabilities and market risk benefits, both of which relate to the GAAP accounting for Quarter was a gain of $59,000,000 or $0.51 per share, dollars 6,000,000 or $0.03 per share lower than the prior year period, driven by a decline in the variable components of net investment income. Expenses were also elevated compared to the prior year period, But in line with our expectations for the quarter, our projected expense ratio for the full year is unchanged at between 19.0 And 19.4%. Speaker 300:11:42On a run rate basis, we're very pleased with the results in the quarter. Notably, insurance product margin increased by $14,000,000 or 7% year over year and fee income increased by $6,000,000 or 57 We deployed $15,000,000 of capital on share repurchases in the quarter, contributing to a 5% reduction in weighted average diluted shares outstanding year over year. For the 12 months ending March 31, 'twenty 3, Operating return on equity was 10.3%. Turning to Slide 9. The growth in insurance product margin Indexed Annuities and Supplemental Health. Speaker 300:12:31The annuity and health margins were largely flat in total year over year With pluses and minuses by individual product line within each product category. Turning to Slide 10. The new money rate in the quarter was 6.34%, up from 3.73% in the prior year period And 5.96 percent in 4Q 'twenty two. This is the 4th consecutive quarter with new money rates exceeding The average yield on allocated investments, which increased to 4.62% in the quarter, up 2 basis points both sequentially and year over year. This marks the Q3 of sequential improvement and the Q1 of year over year improvement in net yield. Speaker 300:13:18While the improvement is small, it's nevertheless an important inflection point. After years of declining yield And together with growth in net insurance liabilities, contributes to growth in net investment income allocated to product, which was up 4% in the quarter. Investment income not allocated to products fell in the quarter, Driven by a decline in the return on alternative investments and also a decline in prepayment and call income. Notably, the decline was in part mitigated by growth in income from general account assets, the FHLB and FABN programs And the contribution from COLI Investments. Our new investments comprised approximately $690,000,000 of assets With an average rating of AA- and an average duration of 3 years. Speaker 300:14:09Our new investments are summarized in more detail on Slides 21 and 22 of this presentation. Turning to Slide 11. At quarter end, our invested assets totaled $25,000,000,000 Down 8% year over year, reflecting declining market values, driven primarily by higher interest rates. Approximately 97% of our fixed maturity portfolio at quarter end was investment grade rated with an average rating of A, Reflecting our up in quality actions over the last several quarters, in the last 12 months, the allocation to single A rated or higher securities It is up 460 basis points. The BBB allocation is down 330 basis points And the high yield allocation is down 130 basis points. Speaker 300:15:01These actions served us well during the recent banking crisis And continue to position us well relative to potential broader economic downturn. Given the amount of attention the commercial real estate market has Call. I thought I should touch on that briefly. You'll note that 9.8% of our invested assets are in commercial mortgage backed Securities and 4.7 percent are in commercial mortgage loans. We've included some metrics on these investments in Slides 23 and 24 of this presentation. Speaker 300:15:35The key messages are number 1, that our CMBS allocation is highly rated with significant structural protection Tilted toward lower risk property types and with limited loss content in extreme stress scenarios. And second, that our commercial mortgage loan allocation is also conservatively positioned across a number of metrics. Turning to Slide 12. At quarter end, our consolidated RBC ratio was 380%. HoldCo liquidity was $158,000,000 We'll continue to manage this to the targets of 3.75 percent RBC And $150,000,000 HoldCo liquidity. Speaker 300:16:18Turning to Slide 13. Our outlook for the full year, as summarized on this slide, is unchanged from what we shared back in February at our Investor Day. I do want to provide an update on our planned formation of a captive Bermuda Reinsurance Company. We continue to work through the regulatory approval process, which we expect will conclude in time to initiate a treaty in the Q3 of this year. Under this treaty, we intend to seed a portion of our fixed index annuity business from our U. Speaker 300:16:51S. Operations to the Bermuda Company. Contingent on all necessary regulatory approvals, we expect excess cash flow to the Holdco to increase by $150,000,000 to $200,000,000 at inception of the initial reinsurance treaty. We'll certainly be judicious in how and when we By no means assured and we don't want to get ahead of the approval process, but we thought it was nevertheless appropriate at this stage to dimensionalize What the capital impact might be. And with that, I'll turn it back to Gary. Speaker 100:17:35Thanks, Paul. In February, we held our Investor Day at the New York Stock Exchange. It was nice to see so many of you in person. We also appreciated those who were able to join virtually. At the meeting, I opened my remarks with this comment. Speaker 100:17:50CNO is a growth story. After several years of navigating the pandemic and Call. The pivot to growth was again on display this quarter in the strong sales performance delivered by both of our divisions. We have solid free cash flow to fund both growth and capital return. Our balance sheet, Capital position and liquidity remains strong. Speaker 100:18:16As we look to the remainder of 2023 and beyond, we are squarely focused on accelerating that profitable growth, consistent steady execution on our strategic priorities and generating sustainable Long term shareholder value. We thank you for your support of and interest in CNO Financial Group. We will now open it up for questions. Operator? Operator00:18:43Thank you. And our first question today comes from Ryan Krueger from Stifel. Ryan, please go ahead. Your line is open. Speaker 400:19:03Hey, thanks. Good morning. My first question was on the Bermuda transaction. There's some proposed changes to Bermuda Capital Rules and I just wanted to Confirm that the expected $150,000,000 to $200,000,000 benefit already incorporated those potential impacts. Speaker 300:19:23Good morning, Ryan. It's Paul. The range certainly incorporates the potential impact About the new rules that Bermuda has presented. Honestly, we're still sort of working through what the specific impacts might be, but we don't expect them to be material. Speaker 400:19:47Okay, great. And then as a follow-up, how are you thinking about the potential use of the additional capital freed up? Would you be You likely to return most of that to shareholders or would you like potentially use a piece of that to build a further capital cushion? Speaker 300:20:07So Ryan, we'll continue to think about excess capital the way that we always have, which I think if you look at what Historically, we are thoughtful and deploy it appropriately on the margin. Certainly, we've used it to return excess capital to shareholders. So I would imagine that would be a component of it. But we As I said, we'll be do we'll not do anything right away. We'll think about it and approach it, again, the same way we have historically. Speaker 400:20:47Okay, great. Thank you. Operator00:20:53The next question comes from Erik Bass from Autonomous. Erik, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:20:59Hi, thank you. Speaker 300:21:00I was Speaker 100:21:00just hoping you could talk Speaker 300:21:01a little bit more about the Speaker 500:21:02level of capital generation and excess cash flow to the holding company this quarter. I'm curious if this was affected at all by any seasonal impacts or timing issues. Speaker 300:21:13Sure. Hey, good morning, Eric. It's Paul. So the excess cash flow in the quarter was a bit on the low side. I would emphasize that We expect the cash flow for the full year to be in the range of $170,000,000 to $200,000,000 There are really two things that pushed it to the low The first is the other category in sources of cash. Speaker 300:21:38This is largely timing differences of intercompany Cash flows between the Holdco and the operating subsidiaries, it was minus $17,000,000 in the quarter. On a full year basis, it tends to be neutral to slightly positive. And then the second thing is holding company expenses and other are typically higher in the Q1, And that's driven primarily by annual bonus payments made in March. So it was minus $38,000,000 in the quarter, and we'd expect that to improve in subsequent quarters. Speaker 500:22:10Got it. Thank you. That's helpful. Then a follow-up on the Bermuda cap. Is the plan initially to reinsure all of the enforced Bankers Life fixed annuity policies and then thinking about the benefit prospectively, can we use the size of the capital release as a percentage of liability Seated, just kind of approximate what that go forward benefit would be on new sales? Speaker 300:22:35So Eric, it's Paul again. So on the in force book, we're proposing to seed the 2018 and more recent issue years. And that translates to about 60% of the in force of fixed indexed annuities, Which have an account value currently of about $9,000,000,000 With respect to the new business, We do propose to seed 100% of the new business. I Speaker 600:23:08don't I wouldn't take Speaker 300:23:13The amount freed up at inception necessarily is a proxy. I think there are more moving parts. We're declining to size that at this stage, but certainly as we get into this, We'll provide some appropriate disclosure. Speaker 500:23:33Thank you. If I could just sneak in one quick one. Does your $2.80 to $3 of EPS guidance range factor in an expectation of lower VII in the Q1? Or should we think of the range being based on a normal level of VII for the year? Speaker 300:23:49So it's really based on actuals for the Q1 and plan for the balance of the year. So it does not presume that we get back the low VII in 1st quarter, but it does presume that alt income reverts to the mean in subsequent quarters. It also notably assumes that Life margin improves off the seasonal first quarter lows And that expenses trend down, resulting in the full year expense ratio in our guidance of between 19.0 and 19.4. Speaker 500:24:28Got it. Thank you very much. Operator00:24:34The next question comes from John Barnidge from Piper Sandler. Speaker 700:24:42If we could stick with guidance for a second, it looks like The income Speaker 100:24:46is really, really strong in the quarter. Can you talk about how we should be thinking that in the balance of Speaker 800:24:51the year? I know there's seasonality with Speaker 100:24:53the weighting for the Q1. Thank you. Speaker 300:24:58Sure. So John, I as I just Sharon, with in response to Eric's question, the guidance is really pretty straightforward. It's Based on actuals for the Q1 and plan for the balance of the year, the only material variance to our plan in the Q1 was Lower alt returns, partially offset by higher fee income. Notably, our expenses in the Q1 were in line with our planned expectations. So if you do the math, clearly, we expect earnings to be higher In subsequent quarters than the Q1, there is some seasonality to Life margin that explains some of that. Speaker 300:25:49As I mentioned, we expect expenses to trend down. And again, as I mentioned, we expect alts to revert to the mean in subsequent quarters. Speaker 800:26:01Can you talk about the drivers of the strong growth in the fee income in the quarter? It seems like there was Some good follow through with Optimize driving improved enrollment rates? Speaker 300:26:14Yes. So the fee income in the quarter was Actually driven primarily by the MedAdvantage sales in the quarter, not so much by AppDevise. Speaker 800:26:27Okay, great. And then one last one. It looks like agent recruitment trends have been increasing and with softening in the labor market, There's a propensity for referrals to be better agents. Are you seeing different sectors where the supply of that's coming as the labor market Yes. Thank you for the answers. Speaker 100:26:48Yes. Hey, John, this is Gary. I'll take that one. What we found, we have certain targeted approaches, specifically referrals and certain other things we're doing online. And I wouldn't say we've seen a particular sector 1 or another deliver more agent opportunities to us or more prospective agents to us. Speaker 100:27:07We're still following the same playbook with tweaks here and there. All that said, I think it is reasonable to conclude if a particular industry Call. I think that's a fair theory, but we haven't seen it play yet. Speaker 900:27:30Thank you. Operator00:27:35Next question comes from Mark Dwyer from RBC Capital Markets. Mark, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:27:42Yes, good morning. Just building on the question on the recruitment. From the recruitment has been ramping up a lot the last couple of quarters. What's the normal kind of lag time or hang time between when you do get recruitment and when these people translate into Productive agents delivering targeted quotas or whatever the right metric is. Speaker 100:28:07Sure. Mark, this is Gary. Thanks for the question. Before I answer your question, I just want to remind everybody of one thing. Producing agent count is not a GAAP defined metric. Speaker 100:28:18In other words, what we count as a productive agent may be different than Brand X. So it's always important to remember that we've got various Standards that are laid out in terms of how we define a producing agent. But to answer your question, I think 1 to 3 years Is when we see a really notable difference somewhere in that time frame. If they make it past the 1st 12 months, Then we really see the productivity start to ramp up again between months 12 and 36. That's when we really see it start to kick in. Speaker 700:28:52Thanks. That's helpful. And then turning to some of the disclosures that you had Related to the loan book and the CMBS, first of all, appreciate you putting those together for us. It's definitely Yes, helpful. When you sit back and look at this, what would be the area that you're most concerned? Speaker 700:29:14Where would you see the greatest vulnerability as you look at Speaker 1000:29:25This is Eric Johnson. Thank you When I look at this set of data, what I see is a pretty strong basis To weather, whatever lies ahead in terms of the developments of the commercial mortgage market, I feel, looking at CMBS, which you mentioned first, it's a pretty highly rated portfolio, Has very low loss content, even using the NAIC's most conservative scenario, which has a They think has a 2% probability of occurring, 40% deterioration in property values, maybe we lose $15,000,000 $20,000,000 In that scenario, on a $2,000,000,000 portfolio. So over 10 years. So I think that demonstrates even in the lowest probability scenarios, that's a fairly well constructed portfolio with a lot of Inherent credit support. If you look at our commercial mortgage loan portfolio, very conservatively constructed. Speaker 1000:30:32We gave you some data around LTVs, which are current and around the SCRs, which are current, very Tilted toward lower risk properties, spaces, no delinquencies, no restructured loans, very low the amount of maturity. So in both those areas, while I do think there's still going to be So we're in the 4th inning of a 9 inning game and I think we all have to be prepared for To play those next five innings, I think we have a strong basis, not just to deliver pretty Stable results from what we've got, but find opportunities that emerge once CMBS trades to levels where Severe losses are baked into the prices or higher quality loans in a more in what is becoming a very Underwriting and pricing environment. So this may be an area where we have to be thoughtful, protect what we've got, but also look For the upside opportunities, which I think will emerge as we get into the later innings of the game. Speaker 700:31:48Thank you very much for the additional color. I would tend to agree with your thoughts on that. Thank you. Operator00:32:02And our next question comes from Tom Gallagher from Evercore. Tom, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:32:09Thanks. Paul, a follow-up on the Bermuda Reinsurance Captive. The $150,000,000 to $200,000,000 Amount being freed up, can you kind of split out how much of that is on the in force versus how much of that Do you expect to come from seeding 100% of new business for FIAs? And then maybe As a follow-up, what kind of annual cash flow benefit would you expect the new business part of that to have beyond this Immediate one time benefit. Speaker 300:32:48Sure. Good morning, Tom. So the $150,000,000 to 200 €1,000,000 is entirely on seeding the in force. And again, it's 2018 more recent Issue here is, which is roughly 60% of that in force book. So we've not sized the impact from the new business, Which we expect we would begin seeding 100% of at inception of the treaty, which we expect sometime in the Q3. Speaker 300:33:17So directionally, there's some incremental lift there, which we haven't quantified. We will do so as we get deeper into this. But certainly, there's some relief from new business strain with this structure. Speaker 900:33:37Got you. And then I guess we'll get more after you Affect this in 3Q in terms of what the kind of ongoing benefit is expected. I assume there's going to be an ongoing benefit based on The new business strain positive. And then would you yes, for should you be willing to dimension that by 3Q? Speaker 300:34:02I think we probably will. We'll know more than we do today. We'll have Spent more time modeling it. We'll begin to have some real activity with it. So I imagine we'd be prepared to give Some dimensionality to the relief of new business strain with this structure. Speaker 900:34:27Great. And then for a follow-up, another question for Eric Johnson. So it looked like 30% of your new money in the quarter Was in residential mortgage loans at 57% yield. Were those direct investments into resi mortgage loans? I assume those are direct investments, not MBS. Speaker 900:34:49And then can you talk a little bit about would you expect to continue to allocate a lot to that asset class because I think it's fairly small for you right now. Speaker 1000:35:00Good morning and thanks for the question. Today, residential mortgage loan allocation is probably 1 and some change percent Of our overall asset allocation. Yes. I think that can get bigger, although I think it will remain probably below So 3% at the high end. Why do I say this? Speaker 1000:35:35One, I think it's a good risk return, even in an environment where HPA is flat to declining And the consumer has probably peaked in terms of credit quality. I think that Because this is the market for non QM, non conforming loans, it's really Been in a much more conservative underwriting posture in the last year relative to the prior period, Where you're getting much lower LTVs, higher FICOs, what we've been buying is FICO is in the middle 700s, LTV is in the middle 60s, and What we would historically expect for loans, whole loans Of those characteristics would be a very low loss content in the basis points in a normal year, 10 to 20 basis points and a really Bad year, 30 to 50 basis points. So, if you are these loans carry a capital weighting that's Akin to a single A corporate bond, but they probably pay 200 extra basis points. So you have plenty of room to be wrong And still make an excess yield relative to the investable alternative. And our experience with them, we've been doing it now for a number of years, Has been quite good and in line with our expectations of losses in the basis points. Speaker 1000:37:20So, this is an area that we feel is additive to our overall performance. It's not a mainstream product For us, but at the margin and in times where the non QM market and other markets are not providing The outlet, you can buy these at a good price on good terms, and it worked out pretty well. Speaker 900:37:49Makes sense. Thank you. Operator00:37:54The next question is from Daniel Bergman from Jefferies. Daniel, your line is open. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:38:01Thanks. Good morning. To start, I was hoping you could provide a little more color on the main moving pieces for the RBC ratio this quarter. It looked like it slightly from year end 2022 levels despite below typical levels of dividends paid to the holding company this quarter. So any color you can give on the main drivers of the ratio in the Q1 would be great. Speaker 300:38:21Good morning, Dan. I would describe it as sort of typical Impacts on RBC, so the main drivers are any impact from investments, which were So in line with our expectations to the low side, and then statutory income and dividends. And So it's really sort of part and parcel of cash flow. And in that context, I would just repeat 2 of the main drivers that push the excess cash flow to the holdco to the low end In the quarter and they are the other category in sources of cash, Which is really just intercompany cash flows between HoldCo and OpCo, negative 17 in the quarter Tends to be neutral to positive on a full year basis. And then Holdco expenses in the period include The annual bonus payment, obviously, that's a seasonal thing. Speaker 300:39:32So that was $38,000,000 in the quarter and we'd expect that to trend down in subsequent quarters. Speaker 600:39:44Got it. Thanks. And then maybe shifting gears a little bit, just the Medicare Supplement earnings and margin Call. Margin in the quarter came in a little bit lower than they've been running in recent quarters. So I was hoping you could give some color on the main drivers and what you saw in the quarter. Speaker 600:39:58I mean is there any way to think about how much Impact came from seasonality versus higher utilization post pandemic or other factors. Any way to dimension the earnings power of this business kind of going forward post LDI would be very helpful. Speaker 300:40:12So there is a seasonality Pointing to it, the Q1 is typically the lowest margin quarter for MedSup. Year over year in the Q1, The decline is really driven primarily by 2 things, the shrinking size of the Med supp block And better claims experience in the prior year period as compared to the current year period. We're observing that claims in Med supp are certainly back to pre COVID norms And in the quarter, a bit on the high end of that range, still within a sort of normal range of volatility, But back to pre COVID levels. Speaker 600:41:03Got it. That's very helpful. Thank you. Operator00:41:22We have no further questions at this time. So I'll hand back to Adam for any concluding remarks. Speaker 200:41:27Thank you, operator, and thank you all for participating in today's call. Please reach out to the Investor Relations team if you have any further questions, And have a great rest of your day. Operator00:41:40This concludes today's call. Thank you all very much for your attendance. You may now disconnect yourRead morePowered by