NASDAQ:CEG Constellation Energy Q2 2023 Earnings Report $292.40 -1.62 (-0.55%) Closing price 05/20/2025 04:00 PM EasternExtended Trading$289.00 -3.40 (-1.16%) As of 07:29 AM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast Constellation Energy EPS ResultsActual EPS$2.56Consensus EPS $0.73Beat/MissBeat by +$1.83One Year Ago EPS-$0.34Constellation Energy Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$5.45 billionExpected Revenue$4.55 billionBeat/MissBeat by +$899.49 millionYoY Revenue Growth-0.30%Constellation Energy Announcement DetailsQuarterQ2 2023Date8/3/2023TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateThursday, August 3, 2023Conference Call Time10:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsConstellation Energy's Q2 2025 earnings is scheduled for Tuesday, August 5, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 10:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)SEC FilingEarnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Constellation Energy Q2 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrAugust 3, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 8 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00You for your patience, ladies and gentlemen. We were experiencing some technical issues there. We're now restarting the call. Please continue. Speaker 100:00:08Thank you, Liz, and thank you everyone for your patience this morning with our technical difficulties. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Constellation Chief Executive Officer and Dan Eggers, Constellation's Chief Financial Officer. They are joined by other members of Constellation's Your management team will be available to answer your questions following our prepared remarks. We issued our earnings release this morning along with the presentation, All of which can be found in the Investor Relations section of Constellation's website. The earnings release and other matters, which we discuss during today's call, contain forward looking Statements and estimates regarding Constellation and its subsidiaries that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Speaker 100:00:57Actual results could differ from our forward looking Statements based on factors and assumptions discussed in today's material and comments made during this call. Please refer to today's 8 ks and Constellation's other SEC filings for discussions of risk factors and other circumstances and considerations that may cause results to differ from management's projections, forecasts and expectations. Today's presentation also includes references to adjusted EBITDA and other non GAAP measures. Please refer to the information contained in the appendix of our presentation And our earnings release for reconciliations between the non GAAP measures and the nearest equivalent GAAP measures. I'll now turn it over to Joe Dominguez, the CEO of Constellation. Speaker 200:01:39Thanks, Emily. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining our call. I'm sorry about the delayed start here. I know it's a busy day for many of you, but it's a reminder of the old adage that all very good things are worth waiting for. Speaker 200:01:54I want to begin by thanking the women and men of Constellation for delivering a fantastic second quarter. It builds on the great work they did in the Q1. For the Q2, we earned $1,031,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA. As a result of the strong year to date results And our expectations for the performance to continue, we are raising our 2023 adjusted EBITDA guidance range by $400,000,000 The $3,300,000,000 to $3,700,000,000 and we remain despite this update bullish for the balance of the year. What's more, the strong performance of the team is now limited to 2023. Speaker 200:02:33As you can see in the disclosures, It also reflects an increase in our 2024 gross margin update, which has increased by another $150,000,000 On top of the $100,000,000 increase you saw just a quarter ago, and we continue to find opportunity for further improvement. Our O and M remains on plan with the only material variance being the expected increase in employee compensation And profit sharing that comes with such an extraordinary year. Of course, Dan will discuss all of the drivers in more detail in his remarks. The short story here is this. In Constellation, you own the largest and most reliable clean energy fleet in America, As well as the best C and I and commercial platform in the business. Speaker 200:03:23We strategically couple These businesses with a strong balance sheet that in turn gives us a powerful competitive advantage across all retail and lower channels. It all translates into a unique ability to give our customers the certainty and visibility they want on energy costs and sustainability solutions And ultimately leads to margin expansion and better value for you. In addition to the strong financial results I just touched upon, We had a great operational quarter, which I'll go through. And we also had some exciting developments since our last earnings call That should give you great confidence in the long run strength of our company. First, we announced the acquisition of 44% of the dual unit South Texas project nuclear station from NRG last month. Speaker 200:04:16This is an excellent asset. It's one of the youngest and largest in the country. And like our fleet, it has been well maintained. Regulatory approval has been filed with the NRC and we expect to be able to close by the end of the year. 2nd, we announced a deal with Microsoft to provide them with an hourly time match clean energy product. Speaker 200:04:38It's the first agreement of its kind and we think it will lead to many more. I'll cover the importance of that deal in a moment. 3rd, we reached an agreement with NYSERDA to share the value of the PTC with New York customers. New York was the 1st state to adopt a program that recognizes the unique value of clean, carbon free nuclear energy. And so it makes sense that they are first in receiving the benefits of the IRA. Speaker 200:05:08The resolution of this issue is exactly what we planned for. 4th, at Constellation, you know that our mission is to accelerate the transition to a clean carbon free future. But we think that natural gas is an important bridge fuel and we have invested in technologies to make natural gas generation cleaner. In May, we set an industry record for blending hydrogen with natural gas at our Hillb generating station to reduce emissions. The test showed that with only minor modifications and existing natural gas plant, I think this plant is a little bit over 15 years That kind of technology can safely operate on a blend of nearly 40% clean hydrogen and 60% natural gas, Nearly doubling the previous blending record for similar generation stations. Speaker 200:06:03As many of you know, EPA's proposed regulations reducing carbon emissions from gas power plants depends upon clean hydrogen blending and we just showed that it works. In addition, we have worked on gas generation with carbon capture technologies that have the potential of making natural gas generation Truly carbon free. We have been investors and collaborators in NetPower and at CCUS Technology for many years. We were pleased to see the successful launch of this publicly traded company with our stake presently valued At over $450,000,000 These accomplishments and many more are laid out in our 2nd sustainability report That we published last month. It details how Constellation and its customers are leading the fight against the climate crisis. Speaker 200:06:59I commend this important report to your reading. Now before I turn to the quarterly operational updates, let me remind you that we just launched this company. August 2 marked the 1st 18 months of our business. And I think folks would be hard pressed to find a better launch. And we appreciate you being on that journey with you. Speaker 200:07:21Let me turn to Slide 6. We saw strong performance across our generation fleet during the quarter, meeting or exceeding our operational targets and we have continued to See good performance in July. That's one of the reasons we have such confidence in the updates we're providing you today. Our nuclear plants had a 2nd quarter capacity factor of 92.4%. Folks, that's Even with 5 refueling outages during the quarter. Speaker 200:07:52And these outages were completed in less than 24 days on average. By the way, just for context, that's 2 weeks less time than the industry average for refuels. Scale matters. Our power assets have exceeded their plan, delivering a dispatch match of 99.1%, Meaning, they were available just about every time they were called. Our Texas fleet continues to meet the challenge of extreme heat this summer, Putting needed power on the grid and allowing us to capture additional value from the higher prices that we are seeing. Speaker 200:08:30And lastly, our renewables fleet performed near plan despite the lower wind speeds that it seems just about everyone is talking about. Turning to Slide 7. As I mentioned, our commercial business is driving the outperformance this year because of the way that we optimize our positions across both the generation and loan portfolios to create additional gross margin. We saw just that during the quarter. The team also continues to have success in helping our customers meet their sustainability needs. Speaker 200:09:01But this quarter, our team made history setting a new bar for corporate Sure, Vince. As I touched upon previously, in June, we reached a landmark agreement with Microsoft That combines the environmental attributes of nuclear power with renewable energy to produce a time match clean energy solution for Microsoft. This agreement enables 1 of Microsoft's facilities to time match clean energy production and energy use In order to operate on nearly 100 percent clean power every single hour of the day. Matching clean energy production To the exact moment when a customer uses energy is essential to reaching carbon reduction goals while maintaining electric reliability. You'll recall that the 1st generation of clean energy accounting rules as well as state clean energy programs Allowed customers to claim that they are reducing emissions even when the credits they're buying are from electricity produced in faraway regions We're in a completely different day, time or even year. Speaker 200:10:11In effect, We were allowing people to take RECs from April and pretend that it was offsetting energy consumption in July or August. People were buying racks from Texas and pretending it was deliverable in New England or the Mid Atlantic to meet sustainability goals. Now to be fair, this approach was a good starting point, but leaves a large gap between stated emissions and reduction goals and actual emissions reductions. Unfortunately, it also sent the wrong message. It told developers to build generation in places where customers are not located And encourage them to produce energy at times customers don't need it. Speaker 200:10:55Among other things, that mismatch in time and location Has led to the enormous interconnection problems that we're really seeing across the nation and which in our opinion will only get worse. It is a tough problem, but the answer is simple. In order to meet the climate crisis head on and preserve electric reliability, We need clean energy that predictably operates so that output is time matched to customer demand. As we see in Europe and elsewhere, clean energy, time and geographic matching is where energy policy and corporate sustainabilities must go. The leading sustainability companies in the nation and the world's governments and NGOs get that. Speaker 200:11:41Constellation and Microsoft are leading by example with this landmark agreement. It shows that time matching works It shows that nuclear energy in combination with renewable energy can make it all happen. Basically, Nuclear fills the gap when the wind isn't flowing and when the sun doesn't shine. And that produces a solution that cannot be matched By renewables alone. Having Microsoft one of the world's sustainability leaders, recognizing the value of nuclear as a Sustainability solution that will lead to even better environmental outcomes is a very big deal. Speaker 200:12:21It paves the way for others to follow. Annette, this is the way I think about it. 2022 will always be remembered as a year in which the federal government Finally began to put nuclear energy in the high echelon of premium clean energy products that must be supported by policy as a national priority. I believe that 2023 will go down as the year in which large customers We began to think the same way and recognize the reality that including nuclear energy and sustainability solutions leads to even better outcomes. My compliments to the Microsoft team and their vision. Speaker 200:12:59We're glad to have them both as a partner and as a customer. I'll now turn it over to Dan for a more detailed update on the financial outlook. Dan? Thank you, Joe, and good morning, everyone. Beginning on Slide 8, as Joe mentioned, we continue to see strong performance from the business that is driving our earnings results and expectations for the year. Speaker 200:13:20We earned $1,031,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA in the 2nd quarter, which compares to $603,000,000 last year. We realized higher prices on our generation output compared to 2022 and the commercial team had another exceptional quarter. They captured significant value from higher margins, successful load auction wins and through optimization of the portfolio As volatility in the market persisted through the Q2, the volatility creates opportunities to help our customers. We're looking for certainty in their costs And we can provide it where others cannot in part due to our strong investment grade balance sheet. Volatility also leads to higher unit margins As risk is more appropriately priced in and we can optimize our positions across our load serving and generation businesses, Which creates additional value. Speaker 200:14:15This performance flows through our quarterly results and also improved our expectations for the remainder of the year, I will discuss in a few minutes. In addition to the strong performance of our team, this quarter We recognized $218,000,000 of EBITDA from the Illinois ZEC program for the full 2023, 2024 Planning here covering June of this year through May of next year. As some of you may recall from when the legislation was passed, The Illinois DEC program is subject to an overall cost cap as one of its consumer protection features. Over the course of the program to date, That cost cap has been reached in each planning year and thus we had ZECs that were produced, but we are not compensated for. The law allows for this revenue to be banked and compensated in a subsequent planning year when the cost cap is not reached. Speaker 200:15:11For the 2023 2024 planning year, the ZEC price is $0.30 per megawatt hour. And so for the first time, the cost cap will not be reached. Therefore, some of those uncompensated ZECs from prior years will be recovered in this cycle up to the level of the overall cost cap. Our gross margin tables for 2023 2024 have already included the use of BankAx on a ratable basis over the planning year. However, accounting rules require us to instead recognize the full planning year's bank revenues At the beginning of the planning year, which caused us to recognize the $218,000,000 in June and therefore pulling forward some revenues In the full year 2023 from 2024, the change in timing is now reflected in our updated gross margin tables For both 2023 2024. Speaker 200:16:08To put all this in context, Clinton Quad Cities have received an average realized price for energy, capacity in ZECs of $40 to $45 per megawatt hour during the 1st 6 years of the program. Looking forward, we forecast energy capacity in ZECs to be at least at PTC levels over the remaining life of the ZEC program. As a refresher, Slide 19 in the appendix provides more details on the mechanics of the Illinois SAC program. Turning to Slide 9 and our gross margin outlook. We've increased our gross margin forecast for 2023 2024, Incorporating the strong execution and performance Joe and I have discussed. Speaker 200:16:52For 2023, total gross margin increased by $350,000,000 The increase primarily reflects outperformance in our commercial business, strong margins, Higher customer win rates and opportunities created by the sustained volatility in commodity markets. As a result, we executed $400,000,000 of our Power new business target. This benefit is seen on the table in the mark to market of hedges As executed business moves out of the Power to Go line. In addition, we raised our new business target by $300,000,000 Based on our expectations to continue to create value during the remainder of the year, our contracted revenue line also increased by about $100,000,000 Due to the Illinois exact timing I just covered, in 2024, our total gross margin including PTCs It's $9,200,000,000 up $150,000,000 from our last update. Lower prices offset by an increase in expected nuclear PTCs from plants without existing ZEC programs, reinforcing the downside protection The PTC provides against declining power prices. Speaker 200:18:09Consistent with what we are seeing in 2023, The favorable margin trends with our C and I customers and load auctions are showing up in business being contracted into 2024. This favorability is supporting the $150,000,000 increase in our overall 2024 gross margin outlook. Our disclosures currently do not reflect the STP acquisition. Following our typical practice, we will include them once we have closed the transaction And expect STP will be included in our 4th quarter disclosures. Moving to Slide 10, are raising our full year EBITDA guidance outlook by $400,000,000 to a $3,500,000,000 midpoint. Speaker 200:18:54The new range of $3,300,000,000 to $3,700,000,000 This upward revision reflects the significant increase to our gross margin forecast Since the beginning of the year, which is slightly offset by an increase to our O and M, driven by increased compensation for our employees Due to the strong financial performance of the company this year. Turning to financing and liquidity update on Slide 11. Our strong balance sheet is critical to our business model, allowing us to participate in volatile markets in ways that many others cannot. It also supports our capital allocation strategy, providing us with options from organic and inorganic growth to capital return. Keeping in step with this advantage, Moody's upgraded its outlook from stable to positive during the quarter, referencing our balance sheet strength In recognition of the commodity price downside protection provided by the PPC, we want to thank our colleagues at Moody's for their thoughtfulness We look forward to continued productive conversations. Speaker 200:19:59Our credit metrics remain on target and well above our downgrade thresholds. As we discussed during the SVP announcement call, we plan to issue debt later this year to fund the transaction, which we expect to close by year end. We continue to execute on our commitment to return capital to our shareholders and have now completed half of the $1,000,000,000 buyback program Authorized by our Board in February, we purchased an additional 3,000,000 shares through the end of the second quarter, including through June. We continue to see our stock as attractive at these levels and we'll be opportunistic for the remainder of the authorized program. We still have an additional $1,200,000,000 of unallocated capital in 2023 2024 to create additional shareholder value Through growth investments, M and A or additional return of capital to our owners. Speaker 200:20:52I'll now turn the call back to Joe for his closing remarks. Thanks, Dan. That's a good summary. Folks, this management team remains focused on creating value for our shareholders. Our business is unique and we continue to have many opportunities in front of us to create incremental value for our investors. Speaker 200:21:11As you know, we're the best operator of nuclear plants and the largest producer of carbon free electricity in the United States. Our commercial business serves nearly 25% of the competitive C and I market in the United States And it's helping our customers like Microsoft meet their sustainability goals through products like our hourly matching product. Our businesses are essential to addressing the climate crisis and our assets are durable. The Inflation Reduction Act Provides unique opportunities for Constellation and its investors. We believe we will be able to use nuclear energy to produce hydrogen. Speaker 200:21:53We will be able to relicense our nuclear fleet to run at least 80 years without needing to replace it. And the IRA provides at long last the long term commitment that nuclear energy It's part of the national security of this great nation. And we have many ways to grow and bring more value to our shareholders. Against the baseline earnings level supported by the PTC floor over the length of the PTC, we will benefit from floor price inflation. If you're a believer that 2% inflation for the U. Speaker 200:22:31S. Is going to be hard to reach, then you should like this company a great deal. We generate strong free cash flow that can be used to fund robust organic growth at double digit unlevered returns, disciplined to M and A Like the STP deal, fund a growing dividend and buy back stock. We're doing all of those things already. We've been asked a $1,500,000,000 growth in upgrades, hydrogen and wind repowering, double the per share dividend and have bought back Approximately $500,000,000 of our own stock as part of the authorized $1,000,000,000 buyback. Speaker 200:23:11And as Dan mentioned, there's more we can do. We have $1,200,000,000 of unallocated capital in 2023 2024 that can be used to further enhance Our earnings growth in the ways that I've outlined. Constellation is a uniform that cannot be matched anywhere in the marketplace. Our large clean carbon free nuclear fleet paired with our customer facing business provides us with opportunities grow and create value for our shareholders, and that's what we're focused on. Now Dan and I and the rest of the management team look forward to your questions. Operator00:23:51Thank Our first question comes from the line of Steve Fleishman with Wolfe Research. Speaker 200:24:14Good morning, Steve. Speaker 300:24:16Yes. Hi, good morning. I guess a couple of questions. Just on the credit metrics slide, The numbers are kind of the same as the last quarter. Are you not yet including the higher Assumed guidance for 23 in there? Speaker 300:24:35Correct. Speaker 200:24:36Yes. The way we approach that Slide as we refresh it, once a year when we give our full plan for numbers. So the metrics stay there, I'll tell you that given the strength in earnings this year, That would certainly look favorable before we put FTE and timing wise. So we do not include updates to our numbers The credit metrics for the cash available as we go through the year. So the favorability we've seen in 2023 and 2024 would be after the numbers we talked about. Speaker 300:25:04Okay. And then I guess secondly, maybe just a little more kind of color or thought process on The sustainability of this improved environment for wholesale retail margins, You kind of talked about what's driving it, a little more color of what's driving it and just how you're thinking about the sustainability of it Beyond, Speaker 200:25:29I know Speaker 300:25:29some of it's end to 24, but even beyond that. Speaker 200:25:34Yes, sure, Steve. I mean, First of all, think about the duration of our products that we typically sell on the market on 1 year products. We're selling for 30 months or more In the case of load following options, so this is the deals we're entering into are going to persist for a while. I think that The margin expansion is really and I'm going to invite Jim McHugh, the Head of our Commercial Group to chime in here It's a reflection of the volatility we've seen in the market. And in turn, I think that volatility is a reflection of the changing composition of the generation And kind of saw that this summer in Texas, where you have whole home prices and all of a sudden you have less wind or renewable output And prices spike asymmetrically, really high levels. Speaker 200:26:26That makes it real difficult for companies that don't have our balance sheet and our generation Capabilities that handle frankly the impact, the financial impact, that volatility and cover themselves. That's a new phenomenon, and I think that's going to do nothing but increase. I think honestly, Steve, I think reserve margins are about as They're going to be in these markets and as you see fossil generation being replaced with renewable generation. The underlying markets are going to be very volatile and it's going to take a special kind of company with special balance sheet to cover that. I think the sustainability solutions also allow us to enter into longer deals with That really want that sort of product support. Speaker 200:27:16So look, I think this is durable. I think margins will always increase and Contract over time, but what we're seeing here is what I think is going to be a durable long term trend. And Jim, why don't you get into some of the specifics of what you're seeing? Speaker 400:27:30Sure. Yes. Thanks, Joe. And Steve, I agree. I think adding some color on the duration of the contracts. Speaker 400:27:36If you think about In addition to the contract as we sign it, the duration of the customer. We tend to hold customers for at least 5 years Once we get them signed up, when you think about retention. So that's another sign towards durability. I think the macro trends On volatility with as load and electrification hit and load growth continues or starts to really pick up, Combining with the supply side changes that Joe talked about on the intermittency and other things on the generation side, Volatility in multiple of these markets, we think is going to continue in the next several year window, PJM, Texas, New England, New York. So I think that optimization activity is durable also. Speaker 400:28:23And then, to me, the last thing I would add is The year, as you talked about 2023 and we've talked about 2024. We definitely see some of this margin also now going into 2025 as we sign up these customers and The activity we're seeing in the market. So we expect that to be there over the next few years on the gross margin optimization also. And then the macro trend of sustainability products is something that can add to that as it scales in the future. We've talked about our core product quite a bit with you all. Speaker 400:28:56The amount of volumes we're seeing there and the margins have been continuing to grow. And now we have the possibility with hourly CFE, carbon free energy matching to look at the next wave of sustainability products To get our customers signed up for longer terms and for decent margins. So we're feeling good about the sustainability of all in it. It really does start with the balance sheet. Our competitiveness is there. Speaker 400:29:25I think others in this interest rate environment with the collateral costs and the borrowing costs Can't quite do what we can do. So I think it's we're feeling good about it. Speaker 300:29:37Great. Thanks. I have one more question That was very helpful. Just can you maybe update us on your thoughts on the green hydrogen IRA credit treatment. And I guess, aligned with that, how are you thinking about Choosing between producing green hydrogen from nuclear or these 20 fourseven Contracts like this just can maybe go through your thought process on how you're prioritizing Among those. Speaker 200:30:16Yes. Let me kind of go at that a little backwards and cover your second question first. So when you think about the Time Match product we just sold to Microsoft, it's the same sort of product that is going to enable Also hydrogen production at a customer location, right? So if you have a refinery, a processing center, if you're distributing hydrogen And you don't want to make it, for example, behind the fence line of a nuclear plant transported, you could cite the electrolyzer directly at the customer's location. And then we would sell that customer Time Match Clean Energy that would allow that customer to get the tax credit and we would Earn some of the value of that tax credit in the transaction in these longer term deals that Jim is talking about. Speaker 200:31:04So It can be a separate product. It can be sold the 20 fourseven product can be sold to a Microsoft light company for sustainability reasons, But it could also be sold to enable hydrogen production at the customer location, so called grid connected hydrogen. In terms of how we see the current discussions going on in treasury, let me just start with this, Steve. The language of the statute is clear That existing nuclear plants are allowed to earn a tax credit for producing hydrogen. There's no other way to read it. Speaker 200:31:41And frankly, when Congress intends something like, for example, only new resources would be allowed to earn the tax credit, Congress is well aware of how to write that and explain that in the statute. I think Senators Manchin, Senator Carver, who just came out Very publicly this week are exactly right that there was never an agreement on additionality, let alone even a discussion of additionality when this bill was passed. And so to the extent from a regulatory standpoint, people intend to impose that requirement, We believe it will be defeated in court, but I don't think we're going to get there. We're having very productive conversations with the administration About means of addressing this from a regulatory standpoint, so that existing nuclear can begin to be used to make hydrogen And relicensed nuclear plants would effectively count as new. I think those conversations are productive, not only because Democratic allies in Congress are saying what they're saying about this never came up in the process. Speaker 200:32:50But also the fact that think about it, with nuclear, the other Tiers of the strategy they're trying to achieve, time matching, geographic matching, already are there. We could do that immediately. Tomorrow, we could start having these contracts and electrolyze with running on time matched, regionally matched electricity. And we're going to have to do this Because for things like the EPA regulations that I mentioned earlier, let's say for example, that existing natural gas should blend with hydrogen, You'll never ever create that much hydrogen by the deadlines that EPA is seeking Unless you allow these existing resources to begin making hydrogen with megawatts that frankly are in surplus at different times of the year. So look, I think we've made all of those arguments. Speaker 200:33:41We continue those discussions. I don't want to get into the nitty gritty on these calls Of the exact content of those discussions, because I think it will be counterproductive, but I feel confident. And if at the end of the day, Those discussions don't go the way we expect, then we'll use the boards to achieve alignment. And I'm quite confident that we will be successful. Speaker 300:34:06Super helpful. Thanks so much. Speaker 200:34:08All right. Thanks, Steve. Operator00:34:12Our next question comes from the line of Shar Pourreza with Guggenheim Partners. Speaker 200:34:18Hey, Shar. Hey, good morning, guys. Speaker 500:34:20Good morning. Joe, I just wanted to follow-up on Steve's question and just drill down a little bit on the ongoing gross margin out performance we've seen so far this year and in particular on the quarter, the retail margin expansion is pretty straightforward. You guys have talked about it a lot this morning. But Where have you seen the wholesale outperformance? It seems like you were very hedged as of last quarter. Speaker 500:34:44Is it primarily the ERCOT CCGTs? Just some more color there if you can. Thanks. Speaker 200:34:50Sure. Shar, let me give it over to Jim. Speaker 400:34:52Sure. Yes. Good morning, Shar. Speaker 200:34:55Hey, Jim. Hey, I Speaker 400:34:57would start with wholesale load customers too. I know you've kind of focused on our retail customer base, but on the wholesale side, we've also had Decent, really good strong performance in wholesale loads, whether that be load auctions to utility companies, but also Structured origination contracts with other large entities and municipals and co ops. So we've seen the ability to go sign up customers For load contracts on the wholesale side, too, so that's part of the wholesale story. The second one is on the optimization activity to your point, It's really been around kind of this volatility assessment and just the decisions we need to make Every hour, every day, every month, every week, as you see the prices movements and load and weather Movements where we can kind of optimize the portfolio by setting up the imbalances in the right way of where our generation is and where our load Delivered contracts are. So that's been also a significant driver of it. Speaker 400:36:01So That is the one we're saying we expect to continue because we've had this track record when you see these markets moving around and being volatile. This is where we've seen this This isn't kind of the first time we've seen wholesale success in volatile markets. And we just expect that These markets are going to continue to exhibit this behavior based on just the changing stack dynamics. So I think it's Customer business and optimization activity, both that are driving that. Speaker 500:36:30Fantastic. Helpful. And then Joe, just on TPN, I realize you guys are somewhat removed from the legal situation between the current owners and I appreciate the comments and the prepareds. But Any additional color you could provide on your timing expectation right now and how we should be thinking about the potential redeployment of that $1,750,000,000 if like whatever reason, this becomes a more serious roadblock. Speaker 200:36:58Yes, sure. I'm not even to the second 1, because frankly, I think the claims are meritless and will be dismissed by a quarter. To the extent we find any extra capital in our plan, we'll use it for the things we've talked about, double digit Growth opportunities and if they don't happen and we don't have any inorganic growth opportunities at that time, We're going to look to deploy value back to our owners. And Dan and I have not been shy about saying, we very much like the value of the company And buying back shares at these price levels. I said it on the Q1 call when the price was in the 70s That we would buy all day long at those prices and I feel the same way today. Speaker 500:37:45Okay, perfect. And then just lastly for me, I know you mentioned in your prepared remarks, Joe, your dialogue with the New York on that Zacks. Can we Just expand on the mechanics of what that will look like going forward. Is there actually uplift from the transition to Speaker 200:38:01the PTC? Thank you guys. Yes, sure. Sharpe, let me give let me introduce you to Dave Dardis, our General Counsel, Who negotiated the provisions of that agreement and it's best to answer the details question. Speaker 600:38:17Yes. Thank you. Well, first, Obviously, New York was the 1st state to recognize the value of nuclear and what it did for its customers both a sustainability perspective as well as managing prices and so the ZEC program was historic and we've been a strong partner of the state All along under that program, New York also was able to negotiate provision in the PTC, which basically ignores the ZEC payments For purposes of calculating the PTC and in working with New York, what we've agreed to under the amendment we made under provision of our existing contract is that the ZEC program will be reduced dollar for dollar for every dollar of PTC We would otherwise be eligible for Speaker 500:39:09it. Yes. Perfect. I think that was helpful guys. Hey, Operator00:39:19question comes from the line of David Arcaro with Morgan Stanley. Speaker 200:39:24Hey, good morning, David. Speaker 700:39:25Hey, good morning. Thanks so much for taking my question. Joe, what have your conversations been like at the policy level around on shoring nuclear fuel production? Just curious where you see that going and what's the latest there? Speaker 200:39:42Yes. I think there's been some good developments. I'm going to turn it over to Kathleen Barone, who has Strategy and governmental affairs for us to give an update on that. Speaker 100:39:51Yes, good morning. We have had some good developments on that front. As you know, we have been Encouraging Congress to allocate funding to improve domestic enrichment and conversion services in the U. S. And in July, there was a vote taken in the Senate to include the Nuclear Fuel Security Act into The NDAA is sort of a must pass bill for this year to fund the military. Speaker 100:40:20So a little bit outside the scope of that topic, but Given the importance of this issue, that provision was added in a vote of 96 to 3, which does include $3,500,000,000 And funding to go to the DOE, again, to spur new conversion and enrichment capacity in the U. S, that was one of several provisions that were Positive towards nuclear that were added into the bill. There was an extension of Price Anderson by 20 years, streamlining of NRC review of new reactors and this additional funding for domestic sources of fuel. So It may be one of the last remaining issues that's bipartisan in the Senate, but continued support for the nuclear industry is It's certainly something that was behind those 3 provisions and we think is a good signal for how Congress and federal policymakers are thinking about our business. Speaker 700:41:20Got it. Thanks. That's helpful. And then just looking back to what your Vacations were around nuclear fuel cost heading into this year. How has that been tracking in terms of market pricing of nuclear fuel and your ability To lock that in going forward. Speaker 700:41:37And then kind of similar topic just on O and M trends this year. How has your overall O and M expense been following against your earlier guidance?Read morePowered by Key Takeaways We achieved $1.03 billion of Q2 adjusted EBITDA and raised full-year 2023 guidance by $400 million to a $3.3–$3.7 billion range, while also increasing our 2024 gross margin outlook by $150 million. Operationally, our nuclear fleet ran at a 92.4% capacity factor with five refueling outages completed two weeks faster than the industry average, our power assets delivered 99.1% dispatch availability, and our Texas and renewables fleets met or exceeded targets amid extreme weather. We announced acquisition of a 44% stake in the South Texas Project nuclear station (expected to close by year-end), launched the first hourly time-matched clean energy deal with Microsoft, and struck a PTC–ZEC value-sharing agreement with NYSERDA. We set an industry record by blending nearly 40% green hydrogen with natural gas at our Hill B station and continue advancing carbon capture technologies, as detailed in our latest sustainability report. Our balance sheet remains strong with a Moody’s positive outlook, $500 million of share repurchases completed under our $1 billion buyback program, and $1.2 billion of unallocated capital for growth or shareholder returns. A.I. generated. May contain errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallConstellation Energy Q2 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Constellation Energy Earnings HeadlinesJim Cramer on Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG): ‘I’ve Been Recommending It Practically The Whole Way’May 16, 2025 | insidermonkey.comIs Constellation Energy (CEG) The Most Crowded Hedge Fund Stock That is Targeted by Short Sellers?May 13, 2025 | msn.comWhite House to reset Social Security?Elon Musk's parting DOGE gift looks set to shock America... A single announcement by July 22nd could soon bring Elon Musk's DOGE operation to its final, dramatic conclusion - with huge consequences for millions of investors. So if you have any money in the market... you're almost out of time to prepare. This plan has already been put in place... and can operate even if Elon's long gone from Washington. May 21, 2025 | Altimetry (Ad)3 Brilliant Nuclear Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long TermMay 11, 2025 | fool.comConstellation Energy Corporation (CEG): One of the Best Energy Stocks to Buy Right NowMay 10, 2025 | msn.comNew Long-Term Deals Boost Constellation EnergyMay 9, 2025 | forbes.comSee More Constellation Energy Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Constellation Energy? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Constellation Energy and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Constellation EnergyConstellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) generates and sells electricity in the United States. It operates through five segments: Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and Other Power Regions. The company sells natural gas, energy-related products, and sustainable solutions. It has approximately 33,094 megawatts of generating capacity consisting of nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric assets. It serves distribution utilities; municipalities; cooperatives; and commercial, industrial, governmental, and residential customers. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.View Constellation Energy ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Alibaba's Earnings Just Changed Everything for the StockCisco Stock Eyes New Highs in 2025 on AI, Earnings, UpgradesSymbotic Gets Big Earnings Lift: Is the Stock Investable Again?D-Wave Pushes Back on Short Seller Case With Strong EarningsAppLovin Surges on Earnings: What's Next for This Tech Standout?Can Shopify Stock Make a Comeback After an Earnings Sell-Off?Rocket Lab: Earnings Miss But Neutron Momentum Holds Upcoming Earnings Copart (5/22/2025)Ross Stores (5/22/2025)Analog Devices (5/22/2025)Workday (5/22/2025)Autodesk (5/22/2025)Intuit (5/22/2025)Toronto-Dominion Bank (5/22/2025)Bank of Nova Scotia (5/27/2025)AutoZone (5/27/2025)PDD (5/28/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. Start Your 30-Day Trial MarketBeat All Access Features Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring Get personalized stock ideas. Compare portfolio to indices. Check stock news, ratings, SEC filings, and more. Stock Ideas and Recommendations See daily stock ideas from top analysts. Receive short-term trading ideas from MarketBeat. Identify trending stocks on social media. Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools Use our seven stock screeners to find suitable stocks. Stay informed with MarketBeat's real-time news. Export data to Excel for personal analysis. Sign in to your free account to enjoy these benefits In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies. Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more. Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter. Sign in to your free account to enjoy all that MarketBeat has to offer. Sign In Create Account Your Email Address: Email Address Required Your Password: Password Required Log In or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google Forgot your password? Your Email Address: Please enter your email address. Please enter a valid email address Choose a Password: Please enter your password. Your password must be at least 8 characters long and contain at least 1 number, 1 letter, and 1 special character. Create My Account (Free) or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
There are 8 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00You for your patience, ladies and gentlemen. We were experiencing some technical issues there. We're now restarting the call. Please continue. Speaker 100:00:08Thank you, Liz, and thank you everyone for your patience this morning with our technical difficulties. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Constellation Chief Executive Officer and Dan Eggers, Constellation's Chief Financial Officer. They are joined by other members of Constellation's Your management team will be available to answer your questions following our prepared remarks. We issued our earnings release this morning along with the presentation, All of which can be found in the Investor Relations section of Constellation's website. The earnings release and other matters, which we discuss during today's call, contain forward looking Statements and estimates regarding Constellation and its subsidiaries that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Speaker 100:00:57Actual results could differ from our forward looking Statements based on factors and assumptions discussed in today's material and comments made during this call. Please refer to today's 8 ks and Constellation's other SEC filings for discussions of risk factors and other circumstances and considerations that may cause results to differ from management's projections, forecasts and expectations. Today's presentation also includes references to adjusted EBITDA and other non GAAP measures. Please refer to the information contained in the appendix of our presentation And our earnings release for reconciliations between the non GAAP measures and the nearest equivalent GAAP measures. I'll now turn it over to Joe Dominguez, the CEO of Constellation. Speaker 200:01:39Thanks, Emily. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining our call. I'm sorry about the delayed start here. I know it's a busy day for many of you, but it's a reminder of the old adage that all very good things are worth waiting for. Speaker 200:01:54I want to begin by thanking the women and men of Constellation for delivering a fantastic second quarter. It builds on the great work they did in the Q1. For the Q2, we earned $1,031,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA. As a result of the strong year to date results And our expectations for the performance to continue, we are raising our 2023 adjusted EBITDA guidance range by $400,000,000 The $3,300,000,000 to $3,700,000,000 and we remain despite this update bullish for the balance of the year. What's more, the strong performance of the team is now limited to 2023. Speaker 200:02:33As you can see in the disclosures, It also reflects an increase in our 2024 gross margin update, which has increased by another $150,000,000 On top of the $100,000,000 increase you saw just a quarter ago, and we continue to find opportunity for further improvement. Our O and M remains on plan with the only material variance being the expected increase in employee compensation And profit sharing that comes with such an extraordinary year. Of course, Dan will discuss all of the drivers in more detail in his remarks. The short story here is this. In Constellation, you own the largest and most reliable clean energy fleet in America, As well as the best C and I and commercial platform in the business. Speaker 200:03:23We strategically couple These businesses with a strong balance sheet that in turn gives us a powerful competitive advantage across all retail and lower channels. It all translates into a unique ability to give our customers the certainty and visibility they want on energy costs and sustainability solutions And ultimately leads to margin expansion and better value for you. In addition to the strong financial results I just touched upon, We had a great operational quarter, which I'll go through. And we also had some exciting developments since our last earnings call That should give you great confidence in the long run strength of our company. First, we announced the acquisition of 44% of the dual unit South Texas project nuclear station from NRG last month. Speaker 200:04:16This is an excellent asset. It's one of the youngest and largest in the country. And like our fleet, it has been well maintained. Regulatory approval has been filed with the NRC and we expect to be able to close by the end of the year. 2nd, we announced a deal with Microsoft to provide them with an hourly time match clean energy product. Speaker 200:04:38It's the first agreement of its kind and we think it will lead to many more. I'll cover the importance of that deal in a moment. 3rd, we reached an agreement with NYSERDA to share the value of the PTC with New York customers. New York was the 1st state to adopt a program that recognizes the unique value of clean, carbon free nuclear energy. And so it makes sense that they are first in receiving the benefits of the IRA. Speaker 200:05:08The resolution of this issue is exactly what we planned for. 4th, at Constellation, you know that our mission is to accelerate the transition to a clean carbon free future. But we think that natural gas is an important bridge fuel and we have invested in technologies to make natural gas generation cleaner. In May, we set an industry record for blending hydrogen with natural gas at our Hillb generating station to reduce emissions. The test showed that with only minor modifications and existing natural gas plant, I think this plant is a little bit over 15 years That kind of technology can safely operate on a blend of nearly 40% clean hydrogen and 60% natural gas, Nearly doubling the previous blending record for similar generation stations. Speaker 200:06:03As many of you know, EPA's proposed regulations reducing carbon emissions from gas power plants depends upon clean hydrogen blending and we just showed that it works. In addition, we have worked on gas generation with carbon capture technologies that have the potential of making natural gas generation Truly carbon free. We have been investors and collaborators in NetPower and at CCUS Technology for many years. We were pleased to see the successful launch of this publicly traded company with our stake presently valued At over $450,000,000 These accomplishments and many more are laid out in our 2nd sustainability report That we published last month. It details how Constellation and its customers are leading the fight against the climate crisis. Speaker 200:06:59I commend this important report to your reading. Now before I turn to the quarterly operational updates, let me remind you that we just launched this company. August 2 marked the 1st 18 months of our business. And I think folks would be hard pressed to find a better launch. And we appreciate you being on that journey with you. Speaker 200:07:21Let me turn to Slide 6. We saw strong performance across our generation fleet during the quarter, meeting or exceeding our operational targets and we have continued to See good performance in July. That's one of the reasons we have such confidence in the updates we're providing you today. Our nuclear plants had a 2nd quarter capacity factor of 92.4%. Folks, that's Even with 5 refueling outages during the quarter. Speaker 200:07:52And these outages were completed in less than 24 days on average. By the way, just for context, that's 2 weeks less time than the industry average for refuels. Scale matters. Our power assets have exceeded their plan, delivering a dispatch match of 99.1%, Meaning, they were available just about every time they were called. Our Texas fleet continues to meet the challenge of extreme heat this summer, Putting needed power on the grid and allowing us to capture additional value from the higher prices that we are seeing. Speaker 200:08:30And lastly, our renewables fleet performed near plan despite the lower wind speeds that it seems just about everyone is talking about. Turning to Slide 7. As I mentioned, our commercial business is driving the outperformance this year because of the way that we optimize our positions across both the generation and loan portfolios to create additional gross margin. We saw just that during the quarter. The team also continues to have success in helping our customers meet their sustainability needs. Speaker 200:09:01But this quarter, our team made history setting a new bar for corporate Sure, Vince. As I touched upon previously, in June, we reached a landmark agreement with Microsoft That combines the environmental attributes of nuclear power with renewable energy to produce a time match clean energy solution for Microsoft. This agreement enables 1 of Microsoft's facilities to time match clean energy production and energy use In order to operate on nearly 100 percent clean power every single hour of the day. Matching clean energy production To the exact moment when a customer uses energy is essential to reaching carbon reduction goals while maintaining electric reliability. You'll recall that the 1st generation of clean energy accounting rules as well as state clean energy programs Allowed customers to claim that they are reducing emissions even when the credits they're buying are from electricity produced in faraway regions We're in a completely different day, time or even year. Speaker 200:10:11In effect, We were allowing people to take RECs from April and pretend that it was offsetting energy consumption in July or August. People were buying racks from Texas and pretending it was deliverable in New England or the Mid Atlantic to meet sustainability goals. Now to be fair, this approach was a good starting point, but leaves a large gap between stated emissions and reduction goals and actual emissions reductions. Unfortunately, it also sent the wrong message. It told developers to build generation in places where customers are not located And encourage them to produce energy at times customers don't need it. Speaker 200:10:55Among other things, that mismatch in time and location Has led to the enormous interconnection problems that we're really seeing across the nation and which in our opinion will only get worse. It is a tough problem, but the answer is simple. In order to meet the climate crisis head on and preserve electric reliability, We need clean energy that predictably operates so that output is time matched to customer demand. As we see in Europe and elsewhere, clean energy, time and geographic matching is where energy policy and corporate sustainabilities must go. The leading sustainability companies in the nation and the world's governments and NGOs get that. Speaker 200:11:41Constellation and Microsoft are leading by example with this landmark agreement. It shows that time matching works It shows that nuclear energy in combination with renewable energy can make it all happen. Basically, Nuclear fills the gap when the wind isn't flowing and when the sun doesn't shine. And that produces a solution that cannot be matched By renewables alone. Having Microsoft one of the world's sustainability leaders, recognizing the value of nuclear as a Sustainability solution that will lead to even better environmental outcomes is a very big deal. Speaker 200:12:21It paves the way for others to follow. Annette, this is the way I think about it. 2022 will always be remembered as a year in which the federal government Finally began to put nuclear energy in the high echelon of premium clean energy products that must be supported by policy as a national priority. I believe that 2023 will go down as the year in which large customers We began to think the same way and recognize the reality that including nuclear energy and sustainability solutions leads to even better outcomes. My compliments to the Microsoft team and their vision. Speaker 200:12:59We're glad to have them both as a partner and as a customer. I'll now turn it over to Dan for a more detailed update on the financial outlook. Dan? Thank you, Joe, and good morning, everyone. Beginning on Slide 8, as Joe mentioned, we continue to see strong performance from the business that is driving our earnings results and expectations for the year. Speaker 200:13:20We earned $1,031,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA in the 2nd quarter, which compares to $603,000,000 last year. We realized higher prices on our generation output compared to 2022 and the commercial team had another exceptional quarter. They captured significant value from higher margins, successful load auction wins and through optimization of the portfolio As volatility in the market persisted through the Q2, the volatility creates opportunities to help our customers. We're looking for certainty in their costs And we can provide it where others cannot in part due to our strong investment grade balance sheet. Volatility also leads to higher unit margins As risk is more appropriately priced in and we can optimize our positions across our load serving and generation businesses, Which creates additional value. Speaker 200:14:15This performance flows through our quarterly results and also improved our expectations for the remainder of the year, I will discuss in a few minutes. In addition to the strong performance of our team, this quarter We recognized $218,000,000 of EBITDA from the Illinois ZEC program for the full 2023, 2024 Planning here covering June of this year through May of next year. As some of you may recall from when the legislation was passed, The Illinois DEC program is subject to an overall cost cap as one of its consumer protection features. Over the course of the program to date, That cost cap has been reached in each planning year and thus we had ZECs that were produced, but we are not compensated for. The law allows for this revenue to be banked and compensated in a subsequent planning year when the cost cap is not reached. Speaker 200:15:11For the 2023 2024 planning year, the ZEC price is $0.30 per megawatt hour. And so for the first time, the cost cap will not be reached. Therefore, some of those uncompensated ZECs from prior years will be recovered in this cycle up to the level of the overall cost cap. Our gross margin tables for 2023 2024 have already included the use of BankAx on a ratable basis over the planning year. However, accounting rules require us to instead recognize the full planning year's bank revenues At the beginning of the planning year, which caused us to recognize the $218,000,000 in June and therefore pulling forward some revenues In the full year 2023 from 2024, the change in timing is now reflected in our updated gross margin tables For both 2023 2024. Speaker 200:16:08To put all this in context, Clinton Quad Cities have received an average realized price for energy, capacity in ZECs of $40 to $45 per megawatt hour during the 1st 6 years of the program. Looking forward, we forecast energy capacity in ZECs to be at least at PTC levels over the remaining life of the ZEC program. As a refresher, Slide 19 in the appendix provides more details on the mechanics of the Illinois SAC program. Turning to Slide 9 and our gross margin outlook. We've increased our gross margin forecast for 2023 2024, Incorporating the strong execution and performance Joe and I have discussed. Speaker 200:16:52For 2023, total gross margin increased by $350,000,000 The increase primarily reflects outperformance in our commercial business, strong margins, Higher customer win rates and opportunities created by the sustained volatility in commodity markets. As a result, we executed $400,000,000 of our Power new business target. This benefit is seen on the table in the mark to market of hedges As executed business moves out of the Power to Go line. In addition, we raised our new business target by $300,000,000 Based on our expectations to continue to create value during the remainder of the year, our contracted revenue line also increased by about $100,000,000 Due to the Illinois exact timing I just covered, in 2024, our total gross margin including PTCs It's $9,200,000,000 up $150,000,000 from our last update. Lower prices offset by an increase in expected nuclear PTCs from plants without existing ZEC programs, reinforcing the downside protection The PTC provides against declining power prices. Speaker 200:18:09Consistent with what we are seeing in 2023, The favorable margin trends with our C and I customers and load auctions are showing up in business being contracted into 2024. This favorability is supporting the $150,000,000 increase in our overall 2024 gross margin outlook. Our disclosures currently do not reflect the STP acquisition. Following our typical practice, we will include them once we have closed the transaction And expect STP will be included in our 4th quarter disclosures. Moving to Slide 10, are raising our full year EBITDA guidance outlook by $400,000,000 to a $3,500,000,000 midpoint. Speaker 200:18:54The new range of $3,300,000,000 to $3,700,000,000 This upward revision reflects the significant increase to our gross margin forecast Since the beginning of the year, which is slightly offset by an increase to our O and M, driven by increased compensation for our employees Due to the strong financial performance of the company this year. Turning to financing and liquidity update on Slide 11. Our strong balance sheet is critical to our business model, allowing us to participate in volatile markets in ways that many others cannot. It also supports our capital allocation strategy, providing us with options from organic and inorganic growth to capital return. Keeping in step with this advantage, Moody's upgraded its outlook from stable to positive during the quarter, referencing our balance sheet strength In recognition of the commodity price downside protection provided by the PPC, we want to thank our colleagues at Moody's for their thoughtfulness We look forward to continued productive conversations. Speaker 200:19:59Our credit metrics remain on target and well above our downgrade thresholds. As we discussed during the SVP announcement call, we plan to issue debt later this year to fund the transaction, which we expect to close by year end. We continue to execute on our commitment to return capital to our shareholders and have now completed half of the $1,000,000,000 buyback program Authorized by our Board in February, we purchased an additional 3,000,000 shares through the end of the second quarter, including through June. We continue to see our stock as attractive at these levels and we'll be opportunistic for the remainder of the authorized program. We still have an additional $1,200,000,000 of unallocated capital in 2023 2024 to create additional shareholder value Through growth investments, M and A or additional return of capital to our owners. Speaker 200:20:52I'll now turn the call back to Joe for his closing remarks. Thanks, Dan. That's a good summary. Folks, this management team remains focused on creating value for our shareholders. Our business is unique and we continue to have many opportunities in front of us to create incremental value for our investors. Speaker 200:21:11As you know, we're the best operator of nuclear plants and the largest producer of carbon free electricity in the United States. Our commercial business serves nearly 25% of the competitive C and I market in the United States And it's helping our customers like Microsoft meet their sustainability goals through products like our hourly matching product. Our businesses are essential to addressing the climate crisis and our assets are durable. The Inflation Reduction Act Provides unique opportunities for Constellation and its investors. We believe we will be able to use nuclear energy to produce hydrogen. Speaker 200:21:53We will be able to relicense our nuclear fleet to run at least 80 years without needing to replace it. And the IRA provides at long last the long term commitment that nuclear energy It's part of the national security of this great nation. And we have many ways to grow and bring more value to our shareholders. Against the baseline earnings level supported by the PTC floor over the length of the PTC, we will benefit from floor price inflation. If you're a believer that 2% inflation for the U. Speaker 200:22:31S. Is going to be hard to reach, then you should like this company a great deal. We generate strong free cash flow that can be used to fund robust organic growth at double digit unlevered returns, disciplined to M and A Like the STP deal, fund a growing dividend and buy back stock. We're doing all of those things already. We've been asked a $1,500,000,000 growth in upgrades, hydrogen and wind repowering, double the per share dividend and have bought back Approximately $500,000,000 of our own stock as part of the authorized $1,000,000,000 buyback. Speaker 200:23:11And as Dan mentioned, there's more we can do. We have $1,200,000,000 of unallocated capital in 2023 2024 that can be used to further enhance Our earnings growth in the ways that I've outlined. Constellation is a uniform that cannot be matched anywhere in the marketplace. Our large clean carbon free nuclear fleet paired with our customer facing business provides us with opportunities grow and create value for our shareholders, and that's what we're focused on. Now Dan and I and the rest of the management team look forward to your questions. Operator00:23:51Thank Our first question comes from the line of Steve Fleishman with Wolfe Research. Speaker 200:24:14Good morning, Steve. Speaker 300:24:16Yes. Hi, good morning. I guess a couple of questions. Just on the credit metrics slide, The numbers are kind of the same as the last quarter. Are you not yet including the higher Assumed guidance for 23 in there? Speaker 300:24:35Correct. Speaker 200:24:36Yes. The way we approach that Slide as we refresh it, once a year when we give our full plan for numbers. So the metrics stay there, I'll tell you that given the strength in earnings this year, That would certainly look favorable before we put FTE and timing wise. So we do not include updates to our numbers The credit metrics for the cash available as we go through the year. So the favorability we've seen in 2023 and 2024 would be after the numbers we talked about. Speaker 300:25:04Okay. And then I guess secondly, maybe just a little more kind of color or thought process on The sustainability of this improved environment for wholesale retail margins, You kind of talked about what's driving it, a little more color of what's driving it and just how you're thinking about the sustainability of it Beyond, Speaker 200:25:29I know Speaker 300:25:29some of it's end to 24, but even beyond that. Speaker 200:25:34Yes, sure, Steve. I mean, First of all, think about the duration of our products that we typically sell on the market on 1 year products. We're selling for 30 months or more In the case of load following options, so this is the deals we're entering into are going to persist for a while. I think that The margin expansion is really and I'm going to invite Jim McHugh, the Head of our Commercial Group to chime in here It's a reflection of the volatility we've seen in the market. And in turn, I think that volatility is a reflection of the changing composition of the generation And kind of saw that this summer in Texas, where you have whole home prices and all of a sudden you have less wind or renewable output And prices spike asymmetrically, really high levels. Speaker 200:26:26That makes it real difficult for companies that don't have our balance sheet and our generation Capabilities that handle frankly the impact, the financial impact, that volatility and cover themselves. That's a new phenomenon, and I think that's going to do nothing but increase. I think honestly, Steve, I think reserve margins are about as They're going to be in these markets and as you see fossil generation being replaced with renewable generation. The underlying markets are going to be very volatile and it's going to take a special kind of company with special balance sheet to cover that. I think the sustainability solutions also allow us to enter into longer deals with That really want that sort of product support. Speaker 200:27:16So look, I think this is durable. I think margins will always increase and Contract over time, but what we're seeing here is what I think is going to be a durable long term trend. And Jim, why don't you get into some of the specifics of what you're seeing? Speaker 400:27:30Sure. Yes. Thanks, Joe. And Steve, I agree. I think adding some color on the duration of the contracts. Speaker 400:27:36If you think about In addition to the contract as we sign it, the duration of the customer. We tend to hold customers for at least 5 years Once we get them signed up, when you think about retention. So that's another sign towards durability. I think the macro trends On volatility with as load and electrification hit and load growth continues or starts to really pick up, Combining with the supply side changes that Joe talked about on the intermittency and other things on the generation side, Volatility in multiple of these markets, we think is going to continue in the next several year window, PJM, Texas, New England, New York. So I think that optimization activity is durable also. Speaker 400:28:23And then, to me, the last thing I would add is The year, as you talked about 2023 and we've talked about 2024. We definitely see some of this margin also now going into 2025 as we sign up these customers and The activity we're seeing in the market. So we expect that to be there over the next few years on the gross margin optimization also. And then the macro trend of sustainability products is something that can add to that as it scales in the future. We've talked about our core product quite a bit with you all. Speaker 400:28:56The amount of volumes we're seeing there and the margins have been continuing to grow. And now we have the possibility with hourly CFE, carbon free energy matching to look at the next wave of sustainability products To get our customers signed up for longer terms and for decent margins. So we're feeling good about the sustainability of all in it. It really does start with the balance sheet. Our competitiveness is there. Speaker 400:29:25I think others in this interest rate environment with the collateral costs and the borrowing costs Can't quite do what we can do. So I think it's we're feeling good about it. Speaker 300:29:37Great. Thanks. I have one more question That was very helpful. Just can you maybe update us on your thoughts on the green hydrogen IRA credit treatment. And I guess, aligned with that, how are you thinking about Choosing between producing green hydrogen from nuclear or these 20 fourseven Contracts like this just can maybe go through your thought process on how you're prioritizing Among those. Speaker 200:30:16Yes. Let me kind of go at that a little backwards and cover your second question first. So when you think about the Time Match product we just sold to Microsoft, it's the same sort of product that is going to enable Also hydrogen production at a customer location, right? So if you have a refinery, a processing center, if you're distributing hydrogen And you don't want to make it, for example, behind the fence line of a nuclear plant transported, you could cite the electrolyzer directly at the customer's location. And then we would sell that customer Time Match Clean Energy that would allow that customer to get the tax credit and we would Earn some of the value of that tax credit in the transaction in these longer term deals that Jim is talking about. Speaker 200:31:04So It can be a separate product. It can be sold the 20 fourseven product can be sold to a Microsoft light company for sustainability reasons, But it could also be sold to enable hydrogen production at the customer location, so called grid connected hydrogen. In terms of how we see the current discussions going on in treasury, let me just start with this, Steve. The language of the statute is clear That existing nuclear plants are allowed to earn a tax credit for producing hydrogen. There's no other way to read it. Speaker 200:31:41And frankly, when Congress intends something like, for example, only new resources would be allowed to earn the tax credit, Congress is well aware of how to write that and explain that in the statute. I think Senators Manchin, Senator Carver, who just came out Very publicly this week are exactly right that there was never an agreement on additionality, let alone even a discussion of additionality when this bill was passed. And so to the extent from a regulatory standpoint, people intend to impose that requirement, We believe it will be defeated in court, but I don't think we're going to get there. We're having very productive conversations with the administration About means of addressing this from a regulatory standpoint, so that existing nuclear can begin to be used to make hydrogen And relicensed nuclear plants would effectively count as new. I think those conversations are productive, not only because Democratic allies in Congress are saying what they're saying about this never came up in the process. Speaker 200:32:50But also the fact that think about it, with nuclear, the other Tiers of the strategy they're trying to achieve, time matching, geographic matching, already are there. We could do that immediately. Tomorrow, we could start having these contracts and electrolyze with running on time matched, regionally matched electricity. And we're going to have to do this Because for things like the EPA regulations that I mentioned earlier, let's say for example, that existing natural gas should blend with hydrogen, You'll never ever create that much hydrogen by the deadlines that EPA is seeking Unless you allow these existing resources to begin making hydrogen with megawatts that frankly are in surplus at different times of the year. So look, I think we've made all of those arguments. Speaker 200:33:41We continue those discussions. I don't want to get into the nitty gritty on these calls Of the exact content of those discussions, because I think it will be counterproductive, but I feel confident. And if at the end of the day, Those discussions don't go the way we expect, then we'll use the boards to achieve alignment. And I'm quite confident that we will be successful. Speaker 300:34:06Super helpful. Thanks so much. Speaker 200:34:08All right. Thanks, Steve. Operator00:34:12Our next question comes from the line of Shar Pourreza with Guggenheim Partners. Speaker 200:34:18Hey, Shar. Hey, good morning, guys. Speaker 500:34:20Good morning. Joe, I just wanted to follow-up on Steve's question and just drill down a little bit on the ongoing gross margin out performance we've seen so far this year and in particular on the quarter, the retail margin expansion is pretty straightforward. You guys have talked about it a lot this morning. But Where have you seen the wholesale outperformance? It seems like you were very hedged as of last quarter. Speaker 500:34:44Is it primarily the ERCOT CCGTs? Just some more color there if you can. Thanks. Speaker 200:34:50Sure. Shar, let me give it over to Jim. Speaker 400:34:52Sure. Yes. Good morning, Shar. Speaker 200:34:55Hey, Jim. Hey, I Speaker 400:34:57would start with wholesale load customers too. I know you've kind of focused on our retail customer base, but on the wholesale side, we've also had Decent, really good strong performance in wholesale loads, whether that be load auctions to utility companies, but also Structured origination contracts with other large entities and municipals and co ops. So we've seen the ability to go sign up customers For load contracts on the wholesale side, too, so that's part of the wholesale story. The second one is on the optimization activity to your point, It's really been around kind of this volatility assessment and just the decisions we need to make Every hour, every day, every month, every week, as you see the prices movements and load and weather Movements where we can kind of optimize the portfolio by setting up the imbalances in the right way of where our generation is and where our load Delivered contracts are. So that's been also a significant driver of it. Speaker 400:36:01So That is the one we're saying we expect to continue because we've had this track record when you see these markets moving around and being volatile. This is where we've seen this This isn't kind of the first time we've seen wholesale success in volatile markets. And we just expect that These markets are going to continue to exhibit this behavior based on just the changing stack dynamics. So I think it's Customer business and optimization activity, both that are driving that. Speaker 500:36:30Fantastic. Helpful. And then Joe, just on TPN, I realize you guys are somewhat removed from the legal situation between the current owners and I appreciate the comments and the prepareds. But Any additional color you could provide on your timing expectation right now and how we should be thinking about the potential redeployment of that $1,750,000,000 if like whatever reason, this becomes a more serious roadblock. Speaker 200:36:58Yes, sure. I'm not even to the second 1, because frankly, I think the claims are meritless and will be dismissed by a quarter. To the extent we find any extra capital in our plan, we'll use it for the things we've talked about, double digit Growth opportunities and if they don't happen and we don't have any inorganic growth opportunities at that time, We're going to look to deploy value back to our owners. And Dan and I have not been shy about saying, we very much like the value of the company And buying back shares at these price levels. I said it on the Q1 call when the price was in the 70s That we would buy all day long at those prices and I feel the same way today. Speaker 500:37:45Okay, perfect. And then just lastly for me, I know you mentioned in your prepared remarks, Joe, your dialogue with the New York on that Zacks. Can we Just expand on the mechanics of what that will look like going forward. Is there actually uplift from the transition to Speaker 200:38:01the PTC? Thank you guys. Yes, sure. Sharpe, let me give let me introduce you to Dave Dardis, our General Counsel, Who negotiated the provisions of that agreement and it's best to answer the details question. Speaker 600:38:17Yes. Thank you. Well, first, Obviously, New York was the 1st state to recognize the value of nuclear and what it did for its customers both a sustainability perspective as well as managing prices and so the ZEC program was historic and we've been a strong partner of the state All along under that program, New York also was able to negotiate provision in the PTC, which basically ignores the ZEC payments For purposes of calculating the PTC and in working with New York, what we've agreed to under the amendment we made under provision of our existing contract is that the ZEC program will be reduced dollar for dollar for every dollar of PTC We would otherwise be eligible for Speaker 500:39:09it. Yes. Perfect. I think that was helpful guys. Hey, Operator00:39:19question comes from the line of David Arcaro with Morgan Stanley. Speaker 200:39:24Hey, good morning, David. Speaker 700:39:25Hey, good morning. Thanks so much for taking my question. Joe, what have your conversations been like at the policy level around on shoring nuclear fuel production? Just curious where you see that going and what's the latest there? Speaker 200:39:42Yes. I think there's been some good developments. I'm going to turn it over to Kathleen Barone, who has Strategy and governmental affairs for us to give an update on that. Speaker 100:39:51Yes, good morning. We have had some good developments on that front. As you know, we have been Encouraging Congress to allocate funding to improve domestic enrichment and conversion services in the U. S. And in July, there was a vote taken in the Senate to include the Nuclear Fuel Security Act into The NDAA is sort of a must pass bill for this year to fund the military. Speaker 100:40:20So a little bit outside the scope of that topic, but Given the importance of this issue, that provision was added in a vote of 96 to 3, which does include $3,500,000,000 And funding to go to the DOE, again, to spur new conversion and enrichment capacity in the U. S, that was one of several provisions that were Positive towards nuclear that were added into the bill. There was an extension of Price Anderson by 20 years, streamlining of NRC review of new reactors and this additional funding for domestic sources of fuel. So It may be one of the last remaining issues that's bipartisan in the Senate, but continued support for the nuclear industry is It's certainly something that was behind those 3 provisions and we think is a good signal for how Congress and federal policymakers are thinking about our business. Speaker 700:41:20Got it. Thanks. That's helpful. And then just looking back to what your Vacations were around nuclear fuel cost heading into this year. How has that been tracking in terms of market pricing of nuclear fuel and your ability To lock that in going forward. Speaker 700:41:37And then kind of similar topic just on O and M trends this year. How has your overall O and M expense been following against your earlier guidance?Read morePowered by