NYSE:AVD American Vanguard Q2 2023 Earnings Report $4.14 -0.12 (-2.71%) Closing price 05/7/2025 03:59 PM EasternExtended Trading$4.14 +0.00 (+0.12%) As of 05/7/2025 07:50 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast American Vanguard EPS ResultsActual EPS-$0.04Consensus EPS $0.32Beat/MissMissed by -$0.36One Year Ago EPSN/AAmerican Vanguard Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$132.79 millionExpected Revenue$166.00 millionBeat/MissMissed by -$33.21 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/AAmerican Vanguard Announcement DetailsQuarterQ2 2023Date8/8/2023TimeN/AConference Call DateTuesday, August 8, 2023Conference Call Time5:00PM ETUpcoming EarningsAmerican Vanguard's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Thursday, May 8, 2025Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by American Vanguard Q2 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrAugust 8, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 7 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Welcome to the American Vanguard Corporation Second Quarter and Year to Date 2023 Earnings Call. I will now turn the call over to Bill Kuser, Director of Investor Relations. You may begin. Speaker 100:00:13Well, thank you very much, Misty, and welcome everyone to American Vanguard's 2nd quarter and mid year Earnings Review. Our speakers today will be Mr. Eric Wintemute, the Chairman and CEO of American Vanguard Mr. David Johnson, the company's Chief Financial Officer and also to assist in answering your questions today, we have Mr. Shane Weatherall, the CEO of AmGuard Environmental Technologies, which we refer to in our filings as the non crop business And also Mr. Speaker 100:00:45Jim Thompson, Director of Portfolio Strategy and Business Development, who is the leader of our Green Solutions Initiative. Before beginning, let's take a moment for our usual cautionary reminder. In today's call, the company may discuss forward looking information. Such information and statements are based on estimates and assumptions by the company's management and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from management's current expectations. Such factors can include weather conditions, changes in regulatory policy, competitive pressures and various other risks as detailed in the company's SEC reports and filings. Speaker 100:01:35All forward looking statements represent the company's best judgment as of the date of this call and such information will not necessarily to be updated by the company. With that said, we turn the call over to Eric. Speaker 200:01:50Thank you, Bill, and welcome, everyone. As you will have read from our earnings release and we have highlighted on Slide 4, our Q2 sales declined In the face of an industry decline in the face of an industry wide drop in procurement activity as the distribution channel destock their inventory. Currently, we are seeing stable commodity prices, a strong farm economy and low channel inventory of our domestic crop products. And as such, we expect a strong recovery in the second half of the year. The second half rebound will not likely be enough to bring us Up to our original full year forecast. Speaker 200:02:32Sales mix for the quarter year to date is important to note As we continue to see strong growth in our Green Solutions product lines. Further, given current conditions, We are closely managing expenses across the board in order to improve operating leverage. With that in mind, our downward adjusted performance targets for 2023 as compared to 2022 are as follows: Slightly elevated net sales between $615,000,000 $625,000,000 Similar Adjusted EBITDA between $70,000,000 $75,000,000 lower net income between $20,000,000 $24,000,000 Much of the downward pressure in this metric relates to interest and tax expense. Let's start with Q2 and then move onward to the full year and beyond. In our last earnings call, we mentioned that customers were beginning more judicious Becoming more judicious about inventory control in light of increased interest rates and the associated carrying costs. Speaker 200:03:45Those early signs of hesitancy and procurement hit us and impacted the global agchem industry during the Q2, as distributors abruptly slowed purchasing activity in order to destock their inventory. Like many of you, we have been reading with interest the earnings report of our public peers and observe the industry as a whole experienced a drop in the quarterly sales On average of approximately 20%. Some, particularly those who carry more generic products experienced even more severe setbacks. By contrast, you can see on Slide 5, our overall net sales were down by only 10%. We break that down further as follows. Speaker 200:04:35Net sales of our U. S. Crop business were down 11% And but for the unavailability of 1 of our high margin herbicides, we would have done much better. We have since sourced that herbicide and believe we will be able to serve our customers going forward. Within the non crop sector, we have seen a similar trend. Speaker 200:04:59That is retailers, whether big box stores, nurseries or garden centers, Broke with the long standing practice of having a full barn that contained 120 days to 180 days of inventory and redefined it to mean 20 days to 40 days of inventory. This in turn led to a drop in demand as they exhausted existing stocks, followed by smaller orders as they adopted the new approach. In effect, retail has pushed inventory carrying costs back on to the manufacturers. Consequently, net sales within our non crop business decreased by about 20% in the quarter. Within our international business, while net sales in Mexico and Australia were strong, they were not enough to overcome the fact that China based suppliers were loading the markets within Central America and Brazil with low priced generic products. Speaker 200:05:57This altered the market dynamics, resulting in reduced demand for higher margin products. Despite this spike And supply of generic goods, we're able to maintain our brand value in these regions. And on a consolidated basis, our international sales By 6% and experienced a 1% margin decline. Before moving to David's presentation, I want to cover some of the positive achievements of the year to date as you see on Slide 6. 1st, after a major interruption in the supply of raw materials that we use to make Astec, We now have 2 sources of both raws that are being delivered in advance of our manufacturing campaign set to start next month and run through November. Speaker 200:06:48Similarly, the supplier of our high margin herbicide Dactyl, which had been unavailable for the past three quarters, We'll commence production again in September in time for the fall 2023 and full 20 24 season. Channel inventories of that herbicide are fully depleted, so we expect strong demand in Q4. At this stage, Then we know of no supply chain issues that should prevent us from serving our customers for the balance of the year and into next planting season. 2nd, our Grune Solutions portfolio, which includes over 130 biorational and soil health products continues to grow at a strong clip. Compared to Q2 of 2022, sales of Green Solution products, which we sell into global markets, rose by 21%. Speaker 200:07:40These products are largely immune from the cycles of the chemical supply market. Further, we continue to see higher adoption of these solutions by growers. In addition, with respect to BioWake, a seed lubricant from soy protein, we are expanding uses beyond soybeans and corn to include peanuts and cotton in 2024. 3rd, over the quarter, we continue to repurchase our common stock On the open market through our 15,000,000 10b5-1 purchase plan. That plan concludes within the next 2 weeks And our Board has authorized the company to enter into another repurchase plan for up to $7,500,000 worth of common stock. Speaker 200:08:24We continue to see value in our equity and find this to be a prudent allocation of capital. 4th, we are happy to report that our proprietary precision application system, SIMPAS, is now operating On the ground in Brazil. This represents a huge step forward in the global commercialization of this at plant technology. With a Brazilian label for Counter, our nematicide product that includes corn, soybeans, cotton, sugarcane, coffee and bananas, we We are now providing the first end to end solution, both product and equipment for precision application in that country. You can see on Slide 7, our first SIMPAS unit in Brazil And is operated by Bomb Futuro, a large scale grower who manages 500,000 hectares of soy, corn and cotton. Speaker 200:09:25They've been a loyal user of Counter and in the past have found that our product gave them an average of 15% yield boost in corn. In this photo, you will see Baum Frontera's 49 row John Deere planter fitted with our SIMPAS system. They have already tested 7 different application rates at 7 to 8 Kilometers per hour over 30 plus minute intervals. We are pleased to report that the accuracy has been exceptional, much to the light of the Baum Ferturo team and American Vanguard. Turning to Slide 8, the market potential for Counter in Brazil is quite large, with about 200,000,000 acres Planted across these 6 crops. Speaker 200:10:20Average interference with yield is about 15%. If we obtain only 5% of the acres that would translate into a $400,000,000 revenue opportunity In that country for counter alone. The fact is we intend to register additional SIMPAS applied solutions in Brazil That would increase the revenue opportunity all the more. At this point, let me ask David, our CFO, to make a few comments and then we'll return to talk further about the balance of the year. David? Speaker 300:10:57Thank you, Eric. With regard to our public filing, we plan to file our Form 10 Q later today. Moving to Slide 10, as Eric mentioned, the Q2 of 2023 has seen continually challenging operating performance for the company, With overall revenues down about $15,000,000 or 10% as compared to the same period of 2022. For the Q2 of 2023, under our new accounting approach for freight and logistics, on Slide 11, You see that our gross margin percentage ended at 32% of sales as compared to 33% of sales in 2022. The lower overall gross margin performance was driven by the increased share of international sales and generic price competition in both Central America and Brazil. Speaker 300:11:50From a manufacturing perspective, our factory performance was broadly in line with last year. On Slide 12, you can see that for the 3 months ended June 30, 2023, operating expenses increased by less than 1.5% Despite significant inflation pressures, there are several factors driving this result, including increased travel expenses Continued investment in various R and D activities in support of our growing business, substantially offset by lower incentive compensation accruals, reflecting business performance. As you can see from slide 13, we did make a small operating profit in the quarter. In addition, during the quarter, we incurred a one time tax expense in Brazil that did not relate to Q2 financial performance. The expense was associated with withholding taxes on intercompany loans granted to our Brazilian holding company to facilitate the purchase of our operating entity in Brazil. Speaker 300:12:49We were required to convert the loans to equity in order to meet thin capitalization rules in Brazil. Such a conversion requires for approval from the Brazilian Central Bank. We submitted the necessary documentation to the Central Bank in 2022. In May 2023, without notice, the Brazilian Central Bank issued the approval and the company was required to execute the conversion of the loans immediately. The one time expense is a current expected net cost. Speaker 300:13:16With regard to the overall loss, it's worth noting that it was driven by the tax expense And that this is only the second time the company has recorded a loss in the last 55 quarters And comes more than 13 years since the last reported loss. On Slide 14, you can see that for the 6 months ended June 30, 2023 operating costs decreased by $742,000 This was achieved despite strong inflationary pressure And as a result of careful focus on expense control, the main drivers were similar to those described for the Q2. As you can see from Slide 15, it was a challenging first half of twenty twenty three with sales down 13%. Interest rates have increased more than threefold to 6.9% versus 2.2% last year, And our use of working capital has increased about 17% as customers are transitioning from buying early to buying as late as possible, Driving interest expense up $3,700,000 As a positive and as I have just discussed, operating expenses were down for the first half of Christine, you can see that at the end of the Q2 of 2023, our inventory increased compared to previous quarters. We are at $237,000,000 at June 30, 2023, as compared to $182,000,000 at the same point of 2022. Speaker 300:14:52The company came into 2023 with a strong demand forecast and set our manufacturing plan in response. We had some challenges with supply chain in the Q1 and the Q2 that are now behind us. However, We do have some elevated inventories of certain products that we expect to sell in the final quarter of 2023 or the Q1 of the following year. In addition, our inventories have been impacted by the abrupt U. S. Speaker 300:15:18Market change from buying early to buying late, driven by customer decisions in the face of elevated interest And by aggressive actions by Chinese manufacturers in Central and South America. The graph on Slide 17 shows the debt ended at $161,000,000 at the end of the Q2 of 2023 As compared to $101,000,000 at the same point of 2022, we anticipate our debt to seasonally decline by year end. With that, I will hand back to Eric. Speaker 200:15:52Thank you, David. Our last substantive topic is the full year 2023 Outlook. In doing so, we focus first on things that are clearly within our view. As we have listed on Slide 18, channel inventory of our corn soil insecticides is down to 12% of the amount That was actually applied last year. In fact, Astec, our leading corn soil insecticide is down to only 7.5%. Speaker 200:16:24Both of these numbers are historic lows. We believe this creates significant headroom for demand over multiple product lines with respect to the 2024 season. 2nd, the farm economy is relatively strong. Given stable commodity prices and expected levels of planted acres of row crops. In spite of incrementally higher U. Speaker 200:16:49S. Interest rates, growers should be poised for investing in 2024, particularly those who have minimized inventory of crop inputs. 3rd, we're in close contact with our key accounts. These are national distributors that market and sell the majority of crop inputs within the U. S. Speaker 200:17:10As part of our usual planning purpose Process, we meet with each of these customers and map out a plan for selling into the next season. These are the same customers who Typically participate in early pay programs by which they commit cash to us before the season in exchange for discounts on our products. These payments are indicative of customer commitment and help us to meet working capital needs. At present, we anticipate normal prepay activity. We expect that these factors taken together will support better demand in the second half of the year. Speaker 200:17:48Specifically, we anticipate that domestic sales Will be approximately flat within last year, while our international business will grow 3% to 5%. Before turning to the full year targets, let me spend a moment on timing. While our view into macroeconomic tends Is limited, we can safely assume that growers will need crop inputs in time to plant their crop next season. Thus, even if distribution continues to exercise fiscal austerity, they will eventually need to replenish their socks Even if the orders come closer to the season. Consequently, at least with respect to the domestic crop markets, We expect the 4th quarter will likely be significantly stronger than the 3rd. Speaker 200:18:39Turning to Slide 19, based on our best assessment of our markets, channel inventory and other factors, we are targeting A modest growth of 1% to 3% over full year 2022. Gross profit margin of 32%, Operating expenses as a percent of sales between 25% and 27% interest expense of $9,000,000 to 10,000,000 Tax rate of 27% to 29%. Debt to EBITDA targets are unchanged from last year. Net income between $20,000,000 $24,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA of between $70,000,000 $75,000,000 In short, following lower than expected performance in the first half of twenty twenty three, we see a rebound for the balance of the year. Despite uncertainty within the sector, we are poised to meet customer demand and to take advantage of depleted inventory levels And a reasonably strong farm economy. Speaker 200:19:48At the same time, we will continue to advance our other growth strategies, Green Solutions and Simpaz both here and in Brazil. In keeping with prudent capital allocation, we will Be back into the market investing in our own stock. Before closing, I want to leave you with a final thought as per Slide 20. We have always placed a premium on financial discipline and operating efficiency. Within current market conditions, It is especially important that we continue that imperative. Speaker 200:20:21To that end, we have challenged multiple teams across all functions to focus on ways to increase operating leverage both over the balance of 2023 and throughout 2024. These projects include such things as cost of raw materials, inventory days on hand, accounts receivable and accounts payable timing, Factory efficiencies, discretionary spending and selling expenses to name but a few. Who will report on the progress of these efforts on future calls. With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator to take any questions you might have. Misty? Operator00:21:00Thank you. And I'll just wait a few moments for the queue to build. Okay. Our first question is going to come from Chris Cas with Loop Capital. Your line is open. Speaker 400:21:30Hi, good afternoon. So a common theme for global chemical companies coming through the last, I don't know, 6, 9 months has been inventory destocking. In ag, Ken, specifically, it feels like more like the mother of all Destocking Cycles. And a lot of your peers have talked about it and Maybe there's different magnitudes in different geographies and the different product categories. But you added something that I hadn't heard was I mean, it's somewhat intuitive, but just the copious amounts of glyphosate that are kind of Enter certain regions. Speaker 400:22:17I'm curious about if given the pricing of glyphosate is now Back to below pre pandemic or pre supply crunch levels and that's kind of putting pressure on the overall Prop Protection Chemicals market, has that changed the competitive intensity anywhere to the extent that It's influencing or affecting your market share positions for any of your core chemical products? Speaker 200:22:49That's a great question, Chris. I remember years ago back in, I think it was the '80s, we had our Distributors telling us, hey, you guys want to get into glyphosate? And we said, no, it's not going to be a good fit for us. And I know a lot of people have made a lot of money over the years, but when you get into a situation like this, similar to 2,009, it's a pretty painful Our number one herbicide impact is a great Marriage partner with glyphosate and glufosinate. It targets leaves that escape both of those chemistries. Speaker 200:23:29And so although there is such a swing and so much pressure put On the chain to take these surplus volumes of glyphosate and grosphosphonate, Yes. We see the continued use of our products. I won't say completely immune because it is I mean, it is dependent on weeds escaping, but we've seen a good Hold of our market in those geographies. So I guess I would there are broadcast wide spectrum herbicides in that arena. I think that's a Pretty tough market today. Speaker 200:24:20But as far as kind of them and again, I think glyphosate goes out of like 22 ounces per acre and we go out At about 3 quarters of an ounce per acre. And as you may recall, we were for years Monsanto's roundup partner for corn. So they're complementary. Speaker 400:24:39Okay. Then, I mean, I guess similar getting at a similar Question. Just with the broad the breadth of The inventory destocking across the industry and the impact it's had on demand Current period, maybe last couple of quarters, has or I guess it's really been pretty abrupt in crop protection chemicals maybe this quarter. Has that Affected, any aspect of the competitive landscape? Is there Has anybody sort of responded by just getting much more aggressive? Speaker 400:25:26I'm just You mentioned that obviously the generic producers out of China for glyphosate specifically, So that's maybe somewhat unique to that product line. Just wondering more generally if there's any more any Notice what changes in competitive intensity across the board. Speaker 200:25:46Yes. So I mean, certainly as people are Scrambling to get their products moved and through the channel, there has been pricing pressure, which we've seen in all of our entities, Whether it's Mexico, Australia, all the Central America countries, Brazil, And even in the U. S, I mean, certainly there are products that we sell that have multiple registrants where we saw a lot of pressure in our non crop business. But that's really not a focus for us. I mean, again, Our focus has been to try to channel our energies on the products where we do have stronger margins and those margins generally come With we've got some uniqueness, whether it's the active ingredient itself or we've got mixtures that Are different. Speaker 200:26:45I think you can kind of see that effect in our green solutions area where we don't know exactly Where that market has played out, given that there are very few Sure. I'll call it green solutions companies or biological companies that are public. And but I think Jim, you might comment on that, but I think we believe it's down some, But we still grew that market by 21%. So I don't know if that kind of answered your question, but I'll ask Jim maybe just to show some color on Green Solution, if that's okay. Speaker 500:27:31Sure. Sure. Yes, same themes, Eric. In the Green Solution side, we did see some buyer behavior that I think is similar to what you saw on the chemistry side, but to a lesser effect. So we saw a little bit of pressure, but overall, it's really offset by Our 2 biggest geographies, U. Speaker 500:27:51S. And Latin America, growing at a very, very fast clip. And the growth is also driven by new products that are still being registered and Further penetration of our existing products. So that's been able to offset any negative effects we see. We didn't quite grow as fast as thought we would this quarter, but nonetheless, it's a good acceleration of growth year over year. Speaker 500:28:12So we expect that to continue on. Speaker 200:28:17Chris, I don't know if that's your Okay. Speaker 300:28:19Yes, that's helpful. Speaker 400:28:20And then just One other one. Just you had mentioned historic low inventory levels for a couple of products. And just Could you just remind us the method by which you gauge those inventory levels and the confidence level around The normalization of demand as we sort of exited this year headed into the growing season, at least for North America. Speaker 200:28:49So we've got a check and balance system that's there. So obviously, we keep track of The sales that go to our distributors. We then are able through electronic debt index To see the sales that they make to the retailers. The retailers movement to the farmers Is one that we have an assumption for. Generally farmers at the end of the season Earn their product to the retailers and the retailers return to distribution. Speaker 200:29:29So This year and of course bolstered by the fact that we had maybe 30% of the Aztec that we wanted to get into the market available. We saw that there were virtually no returns. It's a very I mean, there were returns, but again, the total amount As a percent of our sales in 2022 is down to 7.5%. And generally, I think The rule of thumb has been, if you can get down to 20% to 22%, you're doing really good, but it probably averages Closer to norm is in that 30% range. So I think We check that with what goes out and what comes back and then we do a balance of What the beginning inventory was and what the now stated inventory is. Speaker 200:30:25And so we're able to see if there's anything unusual. We also do spot checks with our bigger retailers to just confirm that these are the numbers That we have, can you confirm this is actually what you have? And of course, there are payment programs That are associated with the sale of inventory. So it's a Fairly honest system that we have a high level of confidence in. Speaker 400:30:57Got it. Helpful. I'll leave it at that. Thanks. Operator00:31:04Our next question is going to come from Gerry Sweeney with Roth Capital. Your line is open. Speaker 600:31:12Hello. This is Brandon Rogers on for Jerry Sweeney. Speaker 200:31:15Hi Brandon. Speaker 600:31:16I just had a few questions. One was around the SIMPAS solution. I saw that you are Operating now in Brazil. I was wondering if you could just comment on the multiyear targets that you indicated in prior calls. If there's any additional investment required or if things are going to go forward just as is. Speaker 200:31:38Yes. So the targets that we've given up to now, I think have been Without any thoughts towards Brazil, because we weren't sure how the adoption would go. Our target is to get 19 systems running with large farmers this year. And based on their experience, I think we'll have a better feel for Market adoption in Brazil. Within the U. Speaker 200:32:07S, yes, we had a beautiful 2023 season, operating About 100 different systems that were out there, we had virtually no complaints and We were able to do our infield kind of field check system for the time. That went well. We also And that's kind of important to be able to develop or return on investment story. In addition, we began initial with our liquid for the first time. We also did our first time disposable, call it, polybag. Speaker 200:33:01That's what we intend to use for biologicals that are not going to be able to be returned and refilled. And so we have Some tweaking to do on that design, the system didn't hold the bags quite as well as we had hoped. So we've made a minor adjustment to that, so that they will ride steady under heavy rock conditions where The unit, the planter is jumping around quite a bit. So we'll have a much better feel as we get Our next through this Q3. 3rd quarter is a very large quarter In Brazil, so we'll have a better feel with how that looks. Speaker 200:33:51And so by the time we get to our next conference call, I'll just give an update Both. And I think also, as Jim mentioned, Q3 is a big focus on updating those Targets at the next conference call. Speaker 600:34:09Got it. And then I just had one other question kind of around the cost reduction Considering the challenging market conditions, you mentioned a few of the different initiatives that you're Going to go forward with, but can you give me any additional color around some of the inputs within the cost reduction initiatives? Speaker 200:34:32I mean, inventory sticks out. Obviously, we've had we've produced in advance and where we were paying 2.2% and now we're paying 6.9%. And I've told our team, Speaker 500:34:48look, our customers have done a Speaker 200:34:48great job of The reserve has done a great job of it. It's our turn now. So we're going to focus on bringing down just in order to improve our working capital Inventory. I mean, given what we went through on Astec, that is one where we said we're going to continue to buy To raw materials, until we've got 100% of what we need for the 2024 season. And I mentioned we'll start that campaign next month. Speaker 200:35:19So we will have 100% Our technical needs won't have it all formulated, but by the end of the year. But some of the other products, Yes. We need to focus on being a little bit more prudent on when we bring inventory in. Again, our suppliers in the various countries have pushed us to as they're trying to make their numbers to buy larger stocks and we told our team that's it. We're not going to be Mr. Speaker 200:35:56Nice Guy to everybody. We need to adopt a similar policy. We're not bringing inventories in to cover 6 months. There is ample supply of most of our products and as such, we need to be more prudent. So that would be one area. Speaker 200:36:15We have started a year, I guess about 12 months ago, an initiative on factory efficiencies. We've identified Different build factors, different run times, turnaround times. So we've got a team that's working on that. We just brought it in an individual 25 years with DuPont as a Sigma Black Belt And from the chemistry operations standpoint, we are looking for him to help us as well Better factory efficiencies and kind of run with that. But we've identified quite a few areas where we think We can gain efficiency. Speaker 200:37:03And of course, we're looking at All of the metrics with operating expenses, not just the plant efficiencies, to see what we can do to lower operating costs in this environment. Speaker 600:37:20Awesome. Thank you. All the rest of my questions have been answered. Appreciate it. Operator00:37:31Our next question is going to come from Chris from Loop Capital, who has a follow-up question. Chris, your line is open. Speaker 400:37:43Yes. So, thanks for the update on SIMPAS. But I'm curious about I mean that obviously has a growth trajectory that is part of the 2025 Growth target framework that you put out. And I'm just wondering how at this point, given where you are Resetting 2023 expectations too. How do you want investors to think about Those growth targets and what's the right way to think about progress towards those? Speaker 400:38:19Are you planning on Recasting those or when would you communicate something, an update along those lines And what kind of visibility you have in terms of continued progress towards those sorts of numbers? Thank you. Speaker 200:38:38Yes. So, yes, we haven't come I mean, on the SIMPAS and the green solutions, at this point, We don't have a thought that we would be resetting those, but a lot of that's going to depend on what we see over the Next couple of months. But with regard to the growth targets that we laid out of, I think it was the 9.07% and And the 140x25. Yes, we expected to make a lot better progress this year moving EBITDA up Into the 90 range and the fact that we're going to be well short of that would kind of indicate that We're behind. So I think we'll have a pretty telling as we get through the balance of this year. Speaker 200:39:31Are we going to leap forward in 2024? Because if we're taking 6 months out of 2023 And if demand stays the same, then we should have a big jump in 2024 With a full year of normalized buying. But we just went through the last couple of weeks about 10 different budget meetings for the 2024 season. In there are forecasts for 2526. And so we haven't had time to digest that. Speaker 200:40:09We need to obviously Pull that together. I think we want to have our budget kind of figured out here by next month and then kind of drill down on the 20 'twenty five and 'twenty six outcome. And so I would think by our next call that we'll have The ability to upgrade the target graphs. Okay. Operator00:40:42Our next question is going to come from John Roberts with Credit Suisse. Your line is open. Speaker 200:40:50Thank you. The 6% volume decline that you saw in international, that was less Then the other volume declines you saw, was it a similar inventory correction just off of higher growth rate that's there or was it a much smaller inventory correction? No, I think, I mean, we've had initiatives for growth in Mexico. They continue to perform strongly. Australia also did well. Speaker 200:41:19And as I said, our GreenOak Screen Solutions Yes, did also well. I think we I mean, there was definitely generic price pressure in Mexico. I mean, we heard this from everybody That the people were sitting long on inventories and we're pushing things through. And actually, we had Usually this happens in that last couple of days of the month. We have things that we think shipped and they didn't get out, so we could bill. Speaker 200:41:53But I think it was, we generally have A pretty kind of specific portfolio of products. I mean, our counters doing well in Brazil. We have Our Bromasil, our crowbar, which is used in the agave market has performed well. So I think Generally, I mean, we had good supply positions where we were able to meet demand. And so I think, Yes. Speaker 200:42:27I mean, I was pleasantly surprised. I do think as I looked at our peers, Yes, as they've broken out the various segments, it does seem like North America got hit as hard as any place. We don't have much of a market in Europe. So that's not there. But I know a number of companies did have difficulty certainly in Brazil. Speaker 200:42:55And I think if you've got If you have countries where your products were in tight supply and there was a flood of orders and you filled those orders, whether it was in time for the 2022 season or those were carried over into 2023. I think those are definitely an issue, but again, we don't play in a lot of the big volume generic chemistry. So that's probably The main reason. And then on Slide 11, why was U. S. Speaker 200:43:27Crop gross profit only down 9% when sales were down 11%? Normally, We think about gross profit being down more than sales would be down. Was that price raws coming through as an offset? Yes, we did have some improvements in particular our soil fumigant has improved in profitability. That's our single biggest product. Speaker 200:43:50So I think it's largely product mix. And again, we have a good Portion of the products that we sell in the U. S, we are proprietary on. So they have the healthiest margins along both crop and non crop. Speaker 400:44:07Thank Operator00:44:12you. Okay. It doesn't look like there's anybody else in queue. So I'll turn it back over to you for any closing remarks. Speaker 200:44:45Okay. Thank you, Misty. And again, really appreciate your people taking the time to listen to the call today. Great questions from the 3 of you. Thank you. Speaker 200:44:56And we look forward to updating you as our Q3 unfolds and what the balance The year will look like for our Q4 and then the next call maybe some thoughts about our longer range targets. Okay. Thank you very much everybody. Bye. Operator00:45:16This concludes your call. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallAmerican Vanguard Q2 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) American Vanguard Earnings HeadlinesAmerican Vanguard enters agreement with ex-CEO WintemuteApril 23, 2025 | investing.comAmerican Vanguard misses NYSE filing deadlineApril 6, 2025 | investing.comWhite House to reset Social Security?Elon Musk's parting DOGE gift looks set to shock America... A single announcement by July 22nd could soon bring Elon Musk's DOGE operation to its final, dramatic conclusion - with huge consequences for millions of investors. So if you have any money in the market... you're almost out of time to prepare. This plan has already been put in place... and can operate even if Elon's long gone from Washington. May 8, 2025 | Altimetry (Ad)American Vanguard Faces NYSE Noncompliance NoticeApril 4, 2025 | tipranks.comAmerican Vanguard (AVD) Faces NYSE Non-Compliance for Late 2024 10-K FilingApril 4, 2025 | gurufocus.comAmerican Vanguard Receives NYSE Notice Regarding Delayed 10-K FilingApril 4, 2025 | businesswire.comSee More American Vanguard Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like American Vanguard? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on American Vanguard and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About American VanguardAmerican Vanguard (NYSE:AVD), through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets specialty chemicals for agricultural, commercial, and consumer uses in the United States and internationally. It manufactures and formulates chemicals, including insecticides, fungicides, herbicides, soil health, plant nutrition, molluscicides, growth regulators, soil fumigants, and biorationals in liquid, powder, and granular forms for crops, turf and ornamental plants, and human and animal health protection. The company also markets, sells, and distributes end-use chemical and biological products for crop applications; and distributes chemicals for turf and ornamental markets. It distributes its products through national distribution companies, and buying groups or co-operatives; and through sales offices, sales force executives, sales agents, and wholly owned distributors. American Vanguard Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.View American Vanguard ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Disney Stock Jumps on Earnings—Is the Magic Sustainable?Archer Stock Eyes Q1 Earnings After UAE UpdatesFord Motor Stock Rises After Earnings, But Momentum May Not Last Broadcom Stock Gets a Lift on Hyperscaler Earnings & CapEx BoostPalantir Stock Drops Despite Stellar Earnings: What's Next?Is Eli Lilly a Buy After Weak Earnings and CVS-Novo Partnership?Is Reddit Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold After Earnings Release? 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There are 7 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Welcome to the American Vanguard Corporation Second Quarter and Year to Date 2023 Earnings Call. I will now turn the call over to Bill Kuser, Director of Investor Relations. You may begin. Speaker 100:00:13Well, thank you very much, Misty, and welcome everyone to American Vanguard's 2nd quarter and mid year Earnings Review. Our speakers today will be Mr. Eric Wintemute, the Chairman and CEO of American Vanguard Mr. David Johnson, the company's Chief Financial Officer and also to assist in answering your questions today, we have Mr. Shane Weatherall, the CEO of AmGuard Environmental Technologies, which we refer to in our filings as the non crop business And also Mr. Speaker 100:00:45Jim Thompson, Director of Portfolio Strategy and Business Development, who is the leader of our Green Solutions Initiative. Before beginning, let's take a moment for our usual cautionary reminder. In today's call, the company may discuss forward looking information. Such information and statements are based on estimates and assumptions by the company's management and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from management's current expectations. Such factors can include weather conditions, changes in regulatory policy, competitive pressures and various other risks as detailed in the company's SEC reports and filings. Speaker 100:01:35All forward looking statements represent the company's best judgment as of the date of this call and such information will not necessarily to be updated by the company. With that said, we turn the call over to Eric. Speaker 200:01:50Thank you, Bill, and welcome, everyone. As you will have read from our earnings release and we have highlighted on Slide 4, our Q2 sales declined In the face of an industry decline in the face of an industry wide drop in procurement activity as the distribution channel destock their inventory. Currently, we are seeing stable commodity prices, a strong farm economy and low channel inventory of our domestic crop products. And as such, we expect a strong recovery in the second half of the year. The second half rebound will not likely be enough to bring us Up to our original full year forecast. Speaker 200:02:32Sales mix for the quarter year to date is important to note As we continue to see strong growth in our Green Solutions product lines. Further, given current conditions, We are closely managing expenses across the board in order to improve operating leverage. With that in mind, our downward adjusted performance targets for 2023 as compared to 2022 are as follows: Slightly elevated net sales between $615,000,000 $625,000,000 Similar Adjusted EBITDA between $70,000,000 $75,000,000 lower net income between $20,000,000 $24,000,000 Much of the downward pressure in this metric relates to interest and tax expense. Let's start with Q2 and then move onward to the full year and beyond. In our last earnings call, we mentioned that customers were beginning more judicious Becoming more judicious about inventory control in light of increased interest rates and the associated carrying costs. Speaker 200:03:45Those early signs of hesitancy and procurement hit us and impacted the global agchem industry during the Q2, as distributors abruptly slowed purchasing activity in order to destock their inventory. Like many of you, we have been reading with interest the earnings report of our public peers and observe the industry as a whole experienced a drop in the quarterly sales On average of approximately 20%. Some, particularly those who carry more generic products experienced even more severe setbacks. By contrast, you can see on Slide 5, our overall net sales were down by only 10%. We break that down further as follows. Speaker 200:04:35Net sales of our U. S. Crop business were down 11% And but for the unavailability of 1 of our high margin herbicides, we would have done much better. We have since sourced that herbicide and believe we will be able to serve our customers going forward. Within the non crop sector, we have seen a similar trend. Speaker 200:04:59That is retailers, whether big box stores, nurseries or garden centers, Broke with the long standing practice of having a full barn that contained 120 days to 180 days of inventory and redefined it to mean 20 days to 40 days of inventory. This in turn led to a drop in demand as they exhausted existing stocks, followed by smaller orders as they adopted the new approach. In effect, retail has pushed inventory carrying costs back on to the manufacturers. Consequently, net sales within our non crop business decreased by about 20% in the quarter. Within our international business, while net sales in Mexico and Australia were strong, they were not enough to overcome the fact that China based suppliers were loading the markets within Central America and Brazil with low priced generic products. Speaker 200:05:57This altered the market dynamics, resulting in reduced demand for higher margin products. Despite this spike And supply of generic goods, we're able to maintain our brand value in these regions. And on a consolidated basis, our international sales By 6% and experienced a 1% margin decline. Before moving to David's presentation, I want to cover some of the positive achievements of the year to date as you see on Slide 6. 1st, after a major interruption in the supply of raw materials that we use to make Astec, We now have 2 sources of both raws that are being delivered in advance of our manufacturing campaign set to start next month and run through November. Speaker 200:06:48Similarly, the supplier of our high margin herbicide Dactyl, which had been unavailable for the past three quarters, We'll commence production again in September in time for the fall 2023 and full 20 24 season. Channel inventories of that herbicide are fully depleted, so we expect strong demand in Q4. At this stage, Then we know of no supply chain issues that should prevent us from serving our customers for the balance of the year and into next planting season. 2nd, our Grune Solutions portfolio, which includes over 130 biorational and soil health products continues to grow at a strong clip. Compared to Q2 of 2022, sales of Green Solution products, which we sell into global markets, rose by 21%. Speaker 200:07:40These products are largely immune from the cycles of the chemical supply market. Further, we continue to see higher adoption of these solutions by growers. In addition, with respect to BioWake, a seed lubricant from soy protein, we are expanding uses beyond soybeans and corn to include peanuts and cotton in 2024. 3rd, over the quarter, we continue to repurchase our common stock On the open market through our 15,000,000 10b5-1 purchase plan. That plan concludes within the next 2 weeks And our Board has authorized the company to enter into another repurchase plan for up to $7,500,000 worth of common stock. Speaker 200:08:24We continue to see value in our equity and find this to be a prudent allocation of capital. 4th, we are happy to report that our proprietary precision application system, SIMPAS, is now operating On the ground in Brazil. This represents a huge step forward in the global commercialization of this at plant technology. With a Brazilian label for Counter, our nematicide product that includes corn, soybeans, cotton, sugarcane, coffee and bananas, we We are now providing the first end to end solution, both product and equipment for precision application in that country. You can see on Slide 7, our first SIMPAS unit in Brazil And is operated by Bomb Futuro, a large scale grower who manages 500,000 hectares of soy, corn and cotton. Speaker 200:09:25They've been a loyal user of Counter and in the past have found that our product gave them an average of 15% yield boost in corn. In this photo, you will see Baum Frontera's 49 row John Deere planter fitted with our SIMPAS system. They have already tested 7 different application rates at 7 to 8 Kilometers per hour over 30 plus minute intervals. We are pleased to report that the accuracy has been exceptional, much to the light of the Baum Ferturo team and American Vanguard. Turning to Slide 8, the market potential for Counter in Brazil is quite large, with about 200,000,000 acres Planted across these 6 crops. Speaker 200:10:20Average interference with yield is about 15%. If we obtain only 5% of the acres that would translate into a $400,000,000 revenue opportunity In that country for counter alone. The fact is we intend to register additional SIMPAS applied solutions in Brazil That would increase the revenue opportunity all the more. At this point, let me ask David, our CFO, to make a few comments and then we'll return to talk further about the balance of the year. David? Speaker 300:10:57Thank you, Eric. With regard to our public filing, we plan to file our Form 10 Q later today. Moving to Slide 10, as Eric mentioned, the Q2 of 2023 has seen continually challenging operating performance for the company, With overall revenues down about $15,000,000 or 10% as compared to the same period of 2022. For the Q2 of 2023, under our new accounting approach for freight and logistics, on Slide 11, You see that our gross margin percentage ended at 32% of sales as compared to 33% of sales in 2022. The lower overall gross margin performance was driven by the increased share of international sales and generic price competition in both Central America and Brazil. Speaker 300:11:50From a manufacturing perspective, our factory performance was broadly in line with last year. On Slide 12, you can see that for the 3 months ended June 30, 2023, operating expenses increased by less than 1.5% Despite significant inflation pressures, there are several factors driving this result, including increased travel expenses Continued investment in various R and D activities in support of our growing business, substantially offset by lower incentive compensation accruals, reflecting business performance. As you can see from slide 13, we did make a small operating profit in the quarter. In addition, during the quarter, we incurred a one time tax expense in Brazil that did not relate to Q2 financial performance. The expense was associated with withholding taxes on intercompany loans granted to our Brazilian holding company to facilitate the purchase of our operating entity in Brazil. Speaker 300:12:49We were required to convert the loans to equity in order to meet thin capitalization rules in Brazil. Such a conversion requires for approval from the Brazilian Central Bank. We submitted the necessary documentation to the Central Bank in 2022. In May 2023, without notice, the Brazilian Central Bank issued the approval and the company was required to execute the conversion of the loans immediately. The one time expense is a current expected net cost. Speaker 300:13:16With regard to the overall loss, it's worth noting that it was driven by the tax expense And that this is only the second time the company has recorded a loss in the last 55 quarters And comes more than 13 years since the last reported loss. On Slide 14, you can see that for the 6 months ended June 30, 2023 operating costs decreased by $742,000 This was achieved despite strong inflationary pressure And as a result of careful focus on expense control, the main drivers were similar to those described for the Q2. As you can see from Slide 15, it was a challenging first half of twenty twenty three with sales down 13%. Interest rates have increased more than threefold to 6.9% versus 2.2% last year, And our use of working capital has increased about 17% as customers are transitioning from buying early to buying as late as possible, Driving interest expense up $3,700,000 As a positive and as I have just discussed, operating expenses were down for the first half of Christine, you can see that at the end of the Q2 of 2023, our inventory increased compared to previous quarters. We are at $237,000,000 at June 30, 2023, as compared to $182,000,000 at the same point of 2022. Speaker 300:14:52The company came into 2023 with a strong demand forecast and set our manufacturing plan in response. We had some challenges with supply chain in the Q1 and the Q2 that are now behind us. However, We do have some elevated inventories of certain products that we expect to sell in the final quarter of 2023 or the Q1 of the following year. In addition, our inventories have been impacted by the abrupt U. S. Speaker 300:15:18Market change from buying early to buying late, driven by customer decisions in the face of elevated interest And by aggressive actions by Chinese manufacturers in Central and South America. The graph on Slide 17 shows the debt ended at $161,000,000 at the end of the Q2 of 2023 As compared to $101,000,000 at the same point of 2022, we anticipate our debt to seasonally decline by year end. With that, I will hand back to Eric. Speaker 200:15:52Thank you, David. Our last substantive topic is the full year 2023 Outlook. In doing so, we focus first on things that are clearly within our view. As we have listed on Slide 18, channel inventory of our corn soil insecticides is down to 12% of the amount That was actually applied last year. In fact, Astec, our leading corn soil insecticide is down to only 7.5%. Speaker 200:16:24Both of these numbers are historic lows. We believe this creates significant headroom for demand over multiple product lines with respect to the 2024 season. 2nd, the farm economy is relatively strong. Given stable commodity prices and expected levels of planted acres of row crops. In spite of incrementally higher U. Speaker 200:16:49S. Interest rates, growers should be poised for investing in 2024, particularly those who have minimized inventory of crop inputs. 3rd, we're in close contact with our key accounts. These are national distributors that market and sell the majority of crop inputs within the U. S. Speaker 200:17:10As part of our usual planning purpose Process, we meet with each of these customers and map out a plan for selling into the next season. These are the same customers who Typically participate in early pay programs by which they commit cash to us before the season in exchange for discounts on our products. These payments are indicative of customer commitment and help us to meet working capital needs. At present, we anticipate normal prepay activity. We expect that these factors taken together will support better demand in the second half of the year. Speaker 200:17:48Specifically, we anticipate that domestic sales Will be approximately flat within last year, while our international business will grow 3% to 5%. Before turning to the full year targets, let me spend a moment on timing. While our view into macroeconomic tends Is limited, we can safely assume that growers will need crop inputs in time to plant their crop next season. Thus, even if distribution continues to exercise fiscal austerity, they will eventually need to replenish their socks Even if the orders come closer to the season. Consequently, at least with respect to the domestic crop markets, We expect the 4th quarter will likely be significantly stronger than the 3rd. Speaker 200:18:39Turning to Slide 19, based on our best assessment of our markets, channel inventory and other factors, we are targeting A modest growth of 1% to 3% over full year 2022. Gross profit margin of 32%, Operating expenses as a percent of sales between 25% and 27% interest expense of $9,000,000 to 10,000,000 Tax rate of 27% to 29%. Debt to EBITDA targets are unchanged from last year. Net income between $20,000,000 $24,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA of between $70,000,000 $75,000,000 In short, following lower than expected performance in the first half of twenty twenty three, we see a rebound for the balance of the year. Despite uncertainty within the sector, we are poised to meet customer demand and to take advantage of depleted inventory levels And a reasonably strong farm economy. Speaker 200:19:48At the same time, we will continue to advance our other growth strategies, Green Solutions and Simpaz both here and in Brazil. In keeping with prudent capital allocation, we will Be back into the market investing in our own stock. Before closing, I want to leave you with a final thought as per Slide 20. We have always placed a premium on financial discipline and operating efficiency. Within current market conditions, It is especially important that we continue that imperative. Speaker 200:20:21To that end, we have challenged multiple teams across all functions to focus on ways to increase operating leverage both over the balance of 2023 and throughout 2024. These projects include such things as cost of raw materials, inventory days on hand, accounts receivable and accounts payable timing, Factory efficiencies, discretionary spending and selling expenses to name but a few. Who will report on the progress of these efforts on future calls. With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator to take any questions you might have. Misty? Operator00:21:00Thank you. And I'll just wait a few moments for the queue to build. Okay. Our first question is going to come from Chris Cas with Loop Capital. Your line is open. Speaker 400:21:30Hi, good afternoon. So a common theme for global chemical companies coming through the last, I don't know, 6, 9 months has been inventory destocking. In ag, Ken, specifically, it feels like more like the mother of all Destocking Cycles. And a lot of your peers have talked about it and Maybe there's different magnitudes in different geographies and the different product categories. But you added something that I hadn't heard was I mean, it's somewhat intuitive, but just the copious amounts of glyphosate that are kind of Enter certain regions. Speaker 400:22:17I'm curious about if given the pricing of glyphosate is now Back to below pre pandemic or pre supply crunch levels and that's kind of putting pressure on the overall Prop Protection Chemicals market, has that changed the competitive intensity anywhere to the extent that It's influencing or affecting your market share positions for any of your core chemical products? Speaker 200:22:49That's a great question, Chris. I remember years ago back in, I think it was the '80s, we had our Distributors telling us, hey, you guys want to get into glyphosate? And we said, no, it's not going to be a good fit for us. And I know a lot of people have made a lot of money over the years, but when you get into a situation like this, similar to 2,009, it's a pretty painful Our number one herbicide impact is a great Marriage partner with glyphosate and glufosinate. It targets leaves that escape both of those chemistries. Speaker 200:23:29And so although there is such a swing and so much pressure put On the chain to take these surplus volumes of glyphosate and grosphosphonate, Yes. We see the continued use of our products. I won't say completely immune because it is I mean, it is dependent on weeds escaping, but we've seen a good Hold of our market in those geographies. So I guess I would there are broadcast wide spectrum herbicides in that arena. I think that's a Pretty tough market today. Speaker 200:24:20But as far as kind of them and again, I think glyphosate goes out of like 22 ounces per acre and we go out At about 3 quarters of an ounce per acre. And as you may recall, we were for years Monsanto's roundup partner for corn. So they're complementary. Speaker 400:24:39Okay. Then, I mean, I guess similar getting at a similar Question. Just with the broad the breadth of The inventory destocking across the industry and the impact it's had on demand Current period, maybe last couple of quarters, has or I guess it's really been pretty abrupt in crop protection chemicals maybe this quarter. Has that Affected, any aspect of the competitive landscape? Is there Has anybody sort of responded by just getting much more aggressive? Speaker 400:25:26I'm just You mentioned that obviously the generic producers out of China for glyphosate specifically, So that's maybe somewhat unique to that product line. Just wondering more generally if there's any more any Notice what changes in competitive intensity across the board. Speaker 200:25:46Yes. So I mean, certainly as people are Scrambling to get their products moved and through the channel, there has been pricing pressure, which we've seen in all of our entities, Whether it's Mexico, Australia, all the Central America countries, Brazil, And even in the U. S, I mean, certainly there are products that we sell that have multiple registrants where we saw a lot of pressure in our non crop business. But that's really not a focus for us. I mean, again, Our focus has been to try to channel our energies on the products where we do have stronger margins and those margins generally come With we've got some uniqueness, whether it's the active ingredient itself or we've got mixtures that Are different. Speaker 200:26:45I think you can kind of see that effect in our green solutions area where we don't know exactly Where that market has played out, given that there are very few Sure. I'll call it green solutions companies or biological companies that are public. And but I think Jim, you might comment on that, but I think we believe it's down some, But we still grew that market by 21%. So I don't know if that kind of answered your question, but I'll ask Jim maybe just to show some color on Green Solution, if that's okay. Speaker 500:27:31Sure. Sure. Yes, same themes, Eric. In the Green Solution side, we did see some buyer behavior that I think is similar to what you saw on the chemistry side, but to a lesser effect. So we saw a little bit of pressure, but overall, it's really offset by Our 2 biggest geographies, U. Speaker 500:27:51S. And Latin America, growing at a very, very fast clip. And the growth is also driven by new products that are still being registered and Further penetration of our existing products. So that's been able to offset any negative effects we see. We didn't quite grow as fast as thought we would this quarter, but nonetheless, it's a good acceleration of growth year over year. Speaker 500:28:12So we expect that to continue on. Speaker 200:28:17Chris, I don't know if that's your Okay. Speaker 300:28:19Yes, that's helpful. Speaker 400:28:20And then just One other one. Just you had mentioned historic low inventory levels for a couple of products. And just Could you just remind us the method by which you gauge those inventory levels and the confidence level around The normalization of demand as we sort of exited this year headed into the growing season, at least for North America. Speaker 200:28:49So we've got a check and balance system that's there. So obviously, we keep track of The sales that go to our distributors. We then are able through electronic debt index To see the sales that they make to the retailers. The retailers movement to the farmers Is one that we have an assumption for. Generally farmers at the end of the season Earn their product to the retailers and the retailers return to distribution. Speaker 200:29:29So This year and of course bolstered by the fact that we had maybe 30% of the Aztec that we wanted to get into the market available. We saw that there were virtually no returns. It's a very I mean, there were returns, but again, the total amount As a percent of our sales in 2022 is down to 7.5%. And generally, I think The rule of thumb has been, if you can get down to 20% to 22%, you're doing really good, but it probably averages Closer to norm is in that 30% range. So I think We check that with what goes out and what comes back and then we do a balance of What the beginning inventory was and what the now stated inventory is. Speaker 200:30:25And so we're able to see if there's anything unusual. We also do spot checks with our bigger retailers to just confirm that these are the numbers That we have, can you confirm this is actually what you have? And of course, there are payment programs That are associated with the sale of inventory. So it's a Fairly honest system that we have a high level of confidence in. Speaker 400:30:57Got it. Helpful. I'll leave it at that. Thanks. Operator00:31:04Our next question is going to come from Gerry Sweeney with Roth Capital. Your line is open. Speaker 600:31:12Hello. This is Brandon Rogers on for Jerry Sweeney. Speaker 200:31:15Hi Brandon. Speaker 600:31:16I just had a few questions. One was around the SIMPAS solution. I saw that you are Operating now in Brazil. I was wondering if you could just comment on the multiyear targets that you indicated in prior calls. If there's any additional investment required or if things are going to go forward just as is. Speaker 200:31:38Yes. So the targets that we've given up to now, I think have been Without any thoughts towards Brazil, because we weren't sure how the adoption would go. Our target is to get 19 systems running with large farmers this year. And based on their experience, I think we'll have a better feel for Market adoption in Brazil. Within the U. Speaker 200:32:07S, yes, we had a beautiful 2023 season, operating About 100 different systems that were out there, we had virtually no complaints and We were able to do our infield kind of field check system for the time. That went well. We also And that's kind of important to be able to develop or return on investment story. In addition, we began initial with our liquid for the first time. We also did our first time disposable, call it, polybag. Speaker 200:33:01That's what we intend to use for biologicals that are not going to be able to be returned and refilled. And so we have Some tweaking to do on that design, the system didn't hold the bags quite as well as we had hoped. So we've made a minor adjustment to that, so that they will ride steady under heavy rock conditions where The unit, the planter is jumping around quite a bit. So we'll have a much better feel as we get Our next through this Q3. 3rd quarter is a very large quarter In Brazil, so we'll have a better feel with how that looks. Speaker 200:33:51And so by the time we get to our next conference call, I'll just give an update Both. And I think also, as Jim mentioned, Q3 is a big focus on updating those Targets at the next conference call. Speaker 600:34:09Got it. And then I just had one other question kind of around the cost reduction Considering the challenging market conditions, you mentioned a few of the different initiatives that you're Going to go forward with, but can you give me any additional color around some of the inputs within the cost reduction initiatives? Speaker 200:34:32I mean, inventory sticks out. Obviously, we've had we've produced in advance and where we were paying 2.2% and now we're paying 6.9%. And I've told our team, Speaker 500:34:48look, our customers have done a Speaker 200:34:48great job of The reserve has done a great job of it. It's our turn now. So we're going to focus on bringing down just in order to improve our working capital Inventory. I mean, given what we went through on Astec, that is one where we said we're going to continue to buy To raw materials, until we've got 100% of what we need for the 2024 season. And I mentioned we'll start that campaign next month. Speaker 200:35:19So we will have 100% Our technical needs won't have it all formulated, but by the end of the year. But some of the other products, Yes. We need to focus on being a little bit more prudent on when we bring inventory in. Again, our suppliers in the various countries have pushed us to as they're trying to make their numbers to buy larger stocks and we told our team that's it. We're not going to be Mr. Speaker 200:35:56Nice Guy to everybody. We need to adopt a similar policy. We're not bringing inventories in to cover 6 months. There is ample supply of most of our products and as such, we need to be more prudent. So that would be one area. Speaker 200:36:15We have started a year, I guess about 12 months ago, an initiative on factory efficiencies. We've identified Different build factors, different run times, turnaround times. So we've got a team that's working on that. We just brought it in an individual 25 years with DuPont as a Sigma Black Belt And from the chemistry operations standpoint, we are looking for him to help us as well Better factory efficiencies and kind of run with that. But we've identified quite a few areas where we think We can gain efficiency. Speaker 200:37:03And of course, we're looking at All of the metrics with operating expenses, not just the plant efficiencies, to see what we can do to lower operating costs in this environment. Speaker 600:37:20Awesome. Thank you. All the rest of my questions have been answered. Appreciate it. Operator00:37:31Our next question is going to come from Chris from Loop Capital, who has a follow-up question. Chris, your line is open. Speaker 400:37:43Yes. So, thanks for the update on SIMPAS. But I'm curious about I mean that obviously has a growth trajectory that is part of the 2025 Growth target framework that you put out. And I'm just wondering how at this point, given where you are Resetting 2023 expectations too. How do you want investors to think about Those growth targets and what's the right way to think about progress towards those? Speaker 400:38:19Are you planning on Recasting those or when would you communicate something, an update along those lines And what kind of visibility you have in terms of continued progress towards those sorts of numbers? Thank you. Speaker 200:38:38Yes. So, yes, we haven't come I mean, on the SIMPAS and the green solutions, at this point, We don't have a thought that we would be resetting those, but a lot of that's going to depend on what we see over the Next couple of months. But with regard to the growth targets that we laid out of, I think it was the 9.07% and And the 140x25. Yes, we expected to make a lot better progress this year moving EBITDA up Into the 90 range and the fact that we're going to be well short of that would kind of indicate that We're behind. So I think we'll have a pretty telling as we get through the balance of this year. Speaker 200:39:31Are we going to leap forward in 2024? Because if we're taking 6 months out of 2023 And if demand stays the same, then we should have a big jump in 2024 With a full year of normalized buying. But we just went through the last couple of weeks about 10 different budget meetings for the 2024 season. In there are forecasts for 2526. And so we haven't had time to digest that. Speaker 200:40:09We need to obviously Pull that together. I think we want to have our budget kind of figured out here by next month and then kind of drill down on the 20 'twenty five and 'twenty six outcome. And so I would think by our next call that we'll have The ability to upgrade the target graphs. Okay. Operator00:40:42Our next question is going to come from John Roberts with Credit Suisse. Your line is open. Speaker 200:40:50Thank you. The 6% volume decline that you saw in international, that was less Then the other volume declines you saw, was it a similar inventory correction just off of higher growth rate that's there or was it a much smaller inventory correction? No, I think, I mean, we've had initiatives for growth in Mexico. They continue to perform strongly. Australia also did well. Speaker 200:41:19And as I said, our GreenOak Screen Solutions Yes, did also well. I think we I mean, there was definitely generic price pressure in Mexico. I mean, we heard this from everybody That the people were sitting long on inventories and we're pushing things through. And actually, we had Usually this happens in that last couple of days of the month. We have things that we think shipped and they didn't get out, so we could bill. Speaker 200:41:53But I think it was, we generally have A pretty kind of specific portfolio of products. I mean, our counters doing well in Brazil. We have Our Bromasil, our crowbar, which is used in the agave market has performed well. So I think Generally, I mean, we had good supply positions where we were able to meet demand. And so I think, Yes. Speaker 200:42:27I mean, I was pleasantly surprised. I do think as I looked at our peers, Yes, as they've broken out the various segments, it does seem like North America got hit as hard as any place. We don't have much of a market in Europe. So that's not there. But I know a number of companies did have difficulty certainly in Brazil. Speaker 200:42:55And I think if you've got If you have countries where your products were in tight supply and there was a flood of orders and you filled those orders, whether it was in time for the 2022 season or those were carried over into 2023. I think those are definitely an issue, but again, we don't play in a lot of the big volume generic chemistry. So that's probably The main reason. And then on Slide 11, why was U. S. Speaker 200:43:27Crop gross profit only down 9% when sales were down 11%? Normally, We think about gross profit being down more than sales would be down. Was that price raws coming through as an offset? Yes, we did have some improvements in particular our soil fumigant has improved in profitability. That's our single biggest product. Speaker 200:43:50So I think it's largely product mix. And again, we have a good Portion of the products that we sell in the U. S, we are proprietary on. So they have the healthiest margins along both crop and non crop. Speaker 400:44:07Thank Operator00:44:12you. Okay. It doesn't look like there's anybody else in queue. So I'll turn it back over to you for any closing remarks. Speaker 200:44:45Okay. Thank you, Misty. And again, really appreciate your people taking the time to listen to the call today. Great questions from the 3 of you. Thank you. Speaker 200:44:56And we look forward to updating you as our Q3 unfolds and what the balance The year will look like for our Q4 and then the next call maybe some thoughts about our longer range targets. Okay. Thank you very much everybody. Bye. Operator00:45:16This concludes your call. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by