BRP Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
September 7, 2023

There are 19 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the BRP Inc. FY 24 Second Quarter Results Conference Call. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Philippe Deschenes. Please go ahead, Mr.

Operator

Deschenes.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Julie. Good morning, and welcome to BRP's conference call for the Q2 of fiscal year 'twenty four. Joining me this morning are Jose Boisjoli, President and Chief Executive Officer and Sebastien Marcell, Chief Financial Officer. Before we move to the prepared remarks, I would like Forward looking information is based on certain assumptions and is subject to risks and uncertainties, and I invite you to consult BRP's MD and A for a complete update of these. Also during the call, reference will be made to supporting slides, and you can find the presentation on our website at brp.com under the Investor Relations section.

Speaker 1

So with that, I'll turn the

Speaker 2

call over to Jose. Thank you, Philippe. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I am pleased to that we have delivered a very solid quarter, driven by continued strength in consumer demand for our lineup And the ongoing support of our dealer network. Solid execution of our plan led to an impressive market share gain and record results for our 2nd quarter.

Speaker 2

Given the strong performance and our positive outlook for the rest of the year, We are increasing our normalized EPS guidance to a range of $12.35 to 12.85 Let's turn to Slide 4 for key financial highlights. Revenue reached $2,800,000,000 up 14% from the previous year, driven by higher volume and pricing. Normalized EBITDA grew 13% to $473,000,000 and normalized EPS increased 9% to reach 3.21 Turning to Slide 5 for a look at our Q2 retail performance. Our product portfolio continued to gain traction With consumers leading to significant market share gain. In North America, our retail sales were up 41% compared to an That was up mid teen percent.

Speaker 2

Given our retail performance, this imply that BRP accounted for most of the industry growth in the quarter. We were also very strong in international market With retail up 23% in EMEA, 36% in Latin America and 33% in Asia Pacific. Looking more closely at the numbers, we see that demand for our product remain robust despite ongoing macroeconomic concern. We just had our strongest second quarter ever at retail, except for the 1st few months of COVID, where we experienced significant inventory depletion. Not only was our retail up 41%, But it was up 37% versus Q2 of fiscal year 'twenty, showing continuous gain.

Speaker 2

With this strong performance, we reached record market share for side by side, ETV and personal watercraft. All of this with retail incentive below pre COVID levels. We believe those results are driven by the evolution of our customer profile over the last 4 years. The influx of new entrant remain high at 39%. We also continue to see high FICO score and the average household income from our customer survey is 40% higher than pre COVID at slightly above $160,000 Those customers are looking for more high end product, which explain our momentum in this category across our lineups.

Speaker 2

Bottom line, the typical BRP product buyer remained in very good shape financially. This put us in a favorable position entering the second half of the year. Turning to Slide 7 This year, club was one of the largest ever with 5,300 total participants in person and virtual. The highlight was the launch of the Can Am Mavic R, our flagship model in the sport category. It brings a new dimension to riding with an industry leading 240 horsepower engine, industry first dual clutch transmission, A unique suspension geometry and lots of enhanced technology.

Speaker 2

With this new offering, we are well positioned to gain market share in the high end sports side by side category. But this was not the only product news as shown on Slide 8. We improved our entry level offering with the 1st major evolution of the highly successful Sea Doo Spark since its introduction. We also launched many new side by side models, notably the Can Am Defender XT HD7, As well as the Mavic X3 RS Turbo, the industry most affordable mid HP 72 inches wide side by side. These models offer a lot of value, a price point that reach a wide range of consumers.

Speaker 2

We also continue to push innovation in the premium segment, which has seen the fastest growth in recent year. We introduced a full range of high end model such as the Manitou Explorer Max 300 HP Apountains With dual Rotax engine and the larger MAX deck, the Sidu RXPX and RXTX With 325 horsepower and the SiduSwitch Cruise Limited. We also added a touchscreen with Apple CarPlay to our Spiders models. These additions represent a historic level of product news, which will help us to gain more market share and grow our addressable market, while further improving our margin profile. All our new products were well received.

Speaker 2

The order process is ongoing, volume is as And the mix is currently trending slightly better. Now let's turn to Slide 9 for year round product. Revenue were up 8%, reaching $1,500,000,000 driven by strong shipment of side by side vehicle and ATVs. At retail, Can Am side by side had its strongest Q2 ever with retail up high 20% And solid growth in all segment and price categories. We also finished the season With a 6 point market share gain to reach the high 20% range in North America.

Speaker 2

With this performance, we are very close to delivering on our M25 objective of reaching a 30% market share By the end of fiscal year 'twenty five, but of course, we will not stop there. Moreover, For the first time ever, Can Am side by side reached the number one position in Canada with the market share in the high 30%. As for ATV, our retail was up mid-thirty percent. This performance was notably driven by strong growth in the mid cc segment, reflecting the success of our newly introduced mid cc Outlander platform. Also, ATV Also closed its North American season with the strongest share gain in the industry, passing the 20% mark for the first time ever.

Speaker 2

We are pleased with the momentum of our off road business and with recent product introduction, We are in a good position to continue outperforming the industry. Looking at 3 wheeled vehicle. Retail was down high single digit compared to an industry that was high single digit. While consumer interest remain high, the Ryker's retail performance was softer in the quarter. As seen across the industry, Buyers of entry level product are more hesitant to purchase at the moment.

Speaker 2

Meanwhile, the Spyder F3 and RT model, Which are higher end had solid growth. With the upgrade on the model year 'twenty four, we are well positioned for next season. Turning to Seasonal Products on Slide 10. Revenue were up 30%, reaching almost 900,000,000 driven by a higher volume of snowmobile and Switch pontoon as well as favorable pricing. Looking at our retail performance.

Speaker 2

We had a very strong quarter for Personal Watercraft, which retail up about 60%, Again, an easy comparable a year ago. Remember that we had limited product availability in the network during Q2 last year. Still, this performance was exceptional from an historical perspective. In fact, Our season to date retail is the strongest in the last 15 years. These results demonstrate the strength of our lineup And our ability to create new segments with models such as the Wake, Fish and Explorer Pros.

Speaker 2

These products bring new entrants to the category, which drive industry growth. And with our new product introduction for 2024, We are well positioned to sustain our momentum. As for our Sea Doo switch, our retail was up over 200% And we have the number 3 position in the U. S. Pontoon industry over the 3 month period ended in May.

Speaker 2

This is a great example of how we can disrupt category by developing market shipping product. Finally, for snowmobile, we are currently in the off season. We are confident for the peak season With a high level of unit presold to consumer. Moving on to Slide 11, with powersport Parts, Accessories and Apparel and OEM Engines. Revenue were up 14% to $294,000,000 We continue to benefit from our growing product portfolio and vehicle fleet in use, which led to higher replacement part and accessories sales driven by the LINK ecosystem.

Speaker 2

We expect a softer second half than originate plan for our P and A business As we anticipate dealer to destock inventory, mainly for the SiduPantoon and 3 wheeled vehicle lineups. Looking at our recent acquisition. A key highlight was the introduction of Pinion Motor Gearbox Unit, commonly called MGU, which combines a full power electric bicycle motor in our industry leading gearbox in one compact package. This promising technology got excellent review following its introduction in June, notably winning the prestigious Eurobike Gold Award in Frankfurt. Now moving to Marine on Slide 12.

Speaker 2

Revenue were down 5% to $125,000,000 reflecting a lower volume of boat shipment. The revenue decrease is due to the slower than expected production ramp up of the new Manitou platform, namely because of a Looking at retail sales. From an industry perspective, the boat category has seen weaker demand so far this year. Demand was affected by higher financing costs and poor weather in many markets, especially in the Great Lakes region, which is key for both Alumacraft and Manitou. In addition, our retail performance was impacted by the supply issue for Manitou, And we still had lapping months retailing welded bow for Halu Macalaf.

Speaker 2

For Quintilex, Detailed was down in line with the industry in Australia. Given the slower production ramp up For Manitou and softer industry trend in the boating sector, we decided to realign our plan for this year, focusing on season 24. While the year has not unfold according to plan, we are encouraged by consumer reaction to the new boat And we remain confident about our strategy for the Marine business. With that, I turn the call over to Sebastien.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Jose, and good morning, everyone. We once again delivered solid results in the Q2, driven by robust top line growth, Fueled by the sustained strong demand for our powersport lineups, which continues to translate in market share gain and growing momentum with our dealer network. Our focus on efficiency also paid dividends as we ended the quarter with lower than anticipated turbulence costs and operating expenses. These elements, combined with stronger than expected revenue growth, allowed us to offset inefficiencies on the Marine side to deliver results slightly ahead of plan. Our revenues for the quarter were up 14% versus last year ending at $2,800,000,000 We generated $698,000,000 of gross profit, representing a margin of 25.1%, Up forty basis points from last year, primarily driven by the favorable impact of pricing net of cost inflation and lower turbulence costs as we operated in a more normal production environment.

Speaker 3

These benefits were partly offset by Inefficiencies related to the Marine businesses increase in sales programs, which remained below pre COVID levels Higher interest rate on floorplan financing and unfavorable foreign exchange rate variations, which impacted margins by 180 basis points in the quarter. Continuing down the P and L, we generated normalized EBITDA for the quarter of $473,000,000 representing a margin of 17%. Our normalized net income reached $255,000,000 resulting in a normalized earnings per share of $3.21 up 9% versus last year. Our free cash flow generation was also strong at $387,000,000 driven by a strong operational performance and positive Working capital contribution. With a healthy balance sheet and the expectation for future cash generation in the back half of the year, We are well positioned to continue investing in growth projects for the business, while retaining the financial flexibility to continue returning capital to shareholders.

Speaker 3

Moving to Slide 15 for an update on dealer inventory. Our network inventory is in a good position, Striking the right balance between having sufficient product availability, all the while operating more efficiently with a lower number of days of inventory compared In fact, our network inventory is only up 24% versus pre COVID, While our retail volumes have grown 49% over that period, driven by industry growth, the addition of a new product line, the Sidu switch And more importantly, significant market share gains. We still have opportunities to further improve availability on ORV, We will continue to diligently manage our network inventory to ensure that we are well positioned to seize retail opportunities, While continuing to operate more efficiently to limit the cost of inventory for both us and our dealers. Turning to Slide 16 for an update on our guidance. We are entering the second half of the year in a strong position having delivered strong financial results and Retail Performance in H1.

Speaker 3

With just 5 months remaining in the fiscal year, we are well positioned to deliver on our guidance, which calls 1st solid year for year round and seasonal products as our lineups are driving strong consumer demand And the positive response to our recent product launches reinforce our confidence in ability to sustain our market share momentum in H2. The competitive and promotional environments remain in line with our initial expectations, and we now have better visibility into our shipment plans. Thanks to a strong booking of pre sold units in snowmobile and as we will be filling initial dealer orders for multiple new products we just introduced. As such, we are comfortable reaffirming our year round and seasonal products revenue guidance ranges. As for powersports P and A and OEM engines, We are adjusting our guidance to reflect softer trends in accessory orders as dealers are working through more elevated levels of inventory in the network.

Speaker 3

Similarly for Marine, we are revising our guidance to incorporate our decision to realign our shipment plans for the year to focus on positioning the business for a solid season 2024. Following these adjustments, we expect our revenues to grow between 7% 10% for the year. Continuing down the P and L, since our last guidance, the supply chain environment continued to improve. Consequently, we now anticipate incurring less This adjustment in an improved product mix translates into additional 50 basis point improvement in our gross profit margin for the year. Combined with our better than expected future results, This margin benefit offsets the impact of lower than anticipated shipments for P and A and Marine.

Speaker 3

Therefore, we are reaffirming our normalized EBITDA guidance With a solid growth of up 9% to 13%. This, when coupled with the benefit of a lower share count resulting from the buybacks we have completed at this point, Yields a normalized EPS guidance of $12.35 to $12.85 Additionally, within the context of our realigned marine plan for the year, we have to postpone our boat capacity expansion in Mexico by 12 months. The strategic decision, combined with timing of investments and other projects, allowed us to reduce our CapEx guidance by $100,000,000 now ranging from $650,000,000 to $700,000,000 This CapEx reduction is expected to further reinforce our already robust free cash flow generation for the year. Finally, Before turning the call back to Jose, I want to highlight a couple of elements. First, as evidenced in our normalized EPS guidance bridge on Slide 17.

Speaker 3

The adjustment in our Marine plan for the year has a negative impact of $0.60 on our guidance. Despite this impact, Our capacity to elevate our normalized EPS guidance underscores the resilience of our diversified portfolio and our ability to deliver operational efficiency. Furthermore, as we strategically position our Marine business for a strong season 'twenty four, you can appreciate that a successful year for that segment, coupled with continued momentum in powersport, could yield substantial benefits for our results in fiscal 'twenty five. Secondly, our guidance calls for a very strong second half of the year, as you can see on Slide 18. Although our top line growth may appear limited, I would like to remind you that we are lapping a period in which we had about $1,000,000,000 worth of inventory replenishment, making it a difficult comparable.

Speaker 3

Nevertheless, our results for the second half of the year are expected to be very strong from a historical perspective, reflecting the solid momentum of our powersport portfolio and the underlying strength of the demand for our products. In terms of cadence, we expect to generate roughly 45% of the remaining normalized EBITDA for the year in Q3, resulting as usual in Q4 being our strongest quarter for the year. On that, I will turn the call back to Jose.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Sebastien. I am pleased with our performance so far in fiscal 'twenty four as we continue to significantly outperform the industry. Our strategy is simple. We focus on delivering industry leading innovation across a diversified product portfolio and We team up with the best dealers. This gave us access to a wide range of customer base across all markets and region.

Speaker 2

Our ability to execute has delivered exceptional results over the past 8 years, as you can see on Slide 20. We have gained market share almost every quarter during that period. And we are now the number one OEM by a wide range by a wide margin in term of average unit retail per dealers. Looking ahead, we will continue to execute that strategy. The record level of new product introduced at Club position us well to continue our growth and remain the industry leader.

Speaker 2

As for the remainder of the year, we expect demand for product to continue driving our market share momentum And we'll stay focused on executing and optimizing efficiencies to deliver a record year in term of top and Bottom Line. In closing, I want to thank all our employees for another strong performance this quarter. I also acknowledge the support of our dealers who made us the leading OEM in the industry. On that note, I'd like to turn the call over to the operator for questions.

Operator

Thank you. Your first question comes from Mark Petrie from CIBC. Please go ahead.

Speaker 3

Hey, good morning. Thanks. I wanted to

Speaker 4

ask first just on the sort of competitive dynamics in the industry. Obviously, there's a healthy rebound in sales volumes versus sort of constraints last year. But I guess just commentary on sort of the competitive dynamics and then I know the sales programs are higher, But still below pre pandemic level. So is that just higher than what you sort of initially embedded in guidance? Or is it just higher from last year?

Speaker 4

Thanks.

Speaker 3

Yes. Good morning, Mark. I'll take the question on the sales program. They are trending in line with our expectation. Yes, the floor plan cost is higher because of interest rates are higher.

Speaker 3

But from a retail incentive point of view, We are trending according to plan. You might recall that we said we would expect about a 200 basis point headwind coming from retail incentives this year. And that is currently the assumption we're working with, so no changes there.

Speaker 2

On the other question, Mark, there is not much change in the dynamic into the industry. All OEM are Getting better with the supply chain. And basically, what I believe make us different than the others is our Focus on technology and new product and pushing novelty innovation. And on top of what is positive and we see more now the stability, but the customers profile. As I mentioned in my remarks, the household income of our customer have increased by 40% since pre COVID And those customers are shopping for high end product where we are good at.

Speaker 2

And I think No big change in the dynamic of the industry with the other OEM, but I think what make us different is What we've been good at, pushing innovation technology and coming out with new product in new segment and more premium product.

Speaker 4

Okay, thanks. And I wanted to ask about sort of the strength across the price points. I mean, you called out Ryker As sort of underperforming relative to Spider, but curious if that's also the case in PWCs where obviously you have a range across Price points, is that the same dynamic?

Speaker 2

It's a bit different. Those two products are entry level Product, but the Ryker customer is more, I would say, a mid range household income. Sometimes those customers are definitely more concerned with the macroeconomic and the inflation and all this. The watercraft spark customer is more high household income. It's people who have typically a cottage on the river, The lake and they buy 2 watercraft for their family.

Speaker 2

Then it's a different profile, same type of product entry level, but different profile in customers.

Speaker 4

Okay, understood. And then maybe just one last one. Seb, you mentioned the supply chain is sort of a 50 basis point tailwind in In the second half, is there still an opportunity for this to be a tailwind in next fiscal year? Or will you be lapping stability by that point?

Speaker 3

Obviously, this year, we are getting a huge benefit from a better supply chain. And I'd say also The teams are very focused on coming back to more normal operations and they've outperformed our expectation. We have solid people running all And so most of the benefit is going to happen this year. I might expect a bit of a benefit next year, but A significant part is being materialized, which is a good news this year.

Speaker 4

Yes, understood. Okay, thanks for all the comments. I'll pass the line. All the best.

Speaker 1

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Robin Farley from UBS. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Great. Thanks. I wanted to ask a little bit more about the sales promos that you highlighted kind of being tied to interest rates That partially offset some of the margin improvement. Can you give us some color around the mix of your buyers that are paying cash versus financing and how that kind of compares to pre COVID?

Speaker 3

When we look at the overall trends From our financing partners, there is not a significant change in terms of proportion of who's financing versus who's paying cash. So we're still in the range of with our partners about 30%, but we know that dealers have where there are local credit unions and banks and another 30% is being done through retail financing there as well. So about 65% is done through retail financing, the other is cash. But we are seeing higher FICO scores versus pre COVID. And that obviously is being highlighted, as Jose said, through the average household incomes that are higher as well.

Speaker 3

But the acceptance rates Are in line with pre COVID and with COVID. And we don't feel that our retail partners have Titan on the credit as well.

Speaker 5

Thank you. And then just one follow-up. You talked about the higher demand, your higher customer income level and obviously a lot of demand at the higher end. Can you talk a little bit about what's happening at the Entry level and whether it is a share shift to maybe some lower priced OEMs, some other imported product? Or is it do you think just overall just less entry level?

Speaker 5

In other words, is it more of a share issue or a Size of the pie issue at the more entry level. Thanks.

Speaker 2

I think it's obviously, the inflation that we've Been through in the last 18 months and the pressure on the macroeconomic and the uncertainty is scary for us. People who are buying entry level product could be scary. But our job is to make sure that We are competitive in the entry level. And we're focusing a lot on the premium because that's where we shine, but we still have Sidus Park and Ski Doo MXN Neo below $7,000 We have many, many side by side model And Commander and Maverick between $13,000 $16,000 in the switch, which is an entry level pontoon at The below $24,000 then what we're trying to do is always keep good offering in the value product And pushing again technology and innovation for the high end product. Then we want to have the wide portfolio of product to make sure that We please everybody, positive thing, like I said before on the previous question, is the trend of the customer change In the last few years and it's benefiting us right now.

Speaker 5

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from James Hardiman from Citi. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my call. I wanted to dig into the inventory situation a little bit. Obviously, you talked about your inventory being up 24% versus 49% increase in retail. I guess It sounds like you're comfortable with where you are.

Speaker 6

I guess, why is that? And ultimately, why is there not a greater opportunity To replenish inventories. And then I guess sort of a second part of that question. In the prepared remarks, you talked about how some dealers were working through elevated levels of inventory. It sounds like it's not Your inventory is elevated, but help us sort of connect those 2 comments.

Speaker 3

Well, we've always said that coming out of the pandemic, we wanted to run our dealer network With less inventory, we've said it a lot of OEMs have said it as well and dealers say it as well. And so we've been very focused on making sure that we have Enough inventory, so that the dealers have the right product offering when the consumer walks in and They can close the sale rapidly and get the unit to the consumer rapidly. We also have flexibility in our ability to quickly deliver units to the dealers if they need them. And so our goal is to make sure that we have that right level. And so I'm actually happy to see that, Again, dealers are saying that they have the right level of inventory.

Speaker 3

They're able to meet consumer demand and we're managing it Diligently, I mean, we are cognizant as well that interest rates are higher. So why put more inventory in the network, create more cost for us, more cost for the dealer network if we don't need it. Ultimately, what we are driving for with the dealer network is not to create a great pressure where they're focused on Our units because they have them in the yard, but because they're making more profits selling our units. And one way of making more profit is by having the right level of inventory so that they don't pay Unnecessary for plan.

Speaker 2

Just maybe to add to Sebastien, I just came back from a club where we had many discussion about this with dealer. Even For sure, if you survey a dealer, they will tell you they have too much inventory, but they look at it in dollars. And we look at it in units. And again, I said it in the remark, but our inventory level right now in the network is 24% higher than pre COVID, but our Retail is 50% higher than pre COVID, plus you have higher end product and you had all the price increase that we have done in the last For sure, the dealer, when they look at it in dollars, they don't like it with the interest rate. But If they want to support the growth in retail and be able to supply to the demand, this inventory is needed.

Speaker 2

And we look at it In number of days and we are below pre COVID.

Speaker 6

Got it. That's helpful. And just to clarify, The $1,000,000,000 headwind that you're lapping against in the second half of last year, That's versus a 0 this year's second half presumably or I guess maybe put a better way, The days on hand, you expect to stay pretty constant as we move forward, maybe not Quite a one to 1 wholesale to retail, because retail is obviously growing. But is there any offset to that $1,000,000,000 In the second half of this year versus the second half of last year? Or is that is your retail going to have to grow by that much more Just to get to sort of flattish sales.

Speaker 3

Well, if you look at the what the implied growth is for the back half of the year, Obviously, there is that inventory replenishment that we did last year. About 60% of that was for seasonal products Because of timing of shipments for Personal Watercraft and Switch. But when you look at the implied growth for year round products based on the guidance, you're talking about a growth of 11% to 16% Growth, that obviously comes from the market share gains we've experienced over the last few years. The recently introduced products That we've done at the club. Obviously, better pricing, better mix as well and also by strong deliveries of ATVs as we've launched a brand new Platform.

Speaker 3

But I'll remind you that in the last 3 years, we've gained 3 points of market share in side by side. And obviously, that momentum is Fueling wholesale delivery and retail deliveries as well. That's really helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Shihan Xu from BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Hi, guys. Thanks for the question. Maybe first on the $0.80 better than 90 days ago in The raise to guidance, can you maybe disaggregate between mix, turbulence costs and operating expenses? And then maybe within that mix Improvement, like what do you think is driving that? And how much do you think that continues until, let's say, like next year?

Speaker 7

Like does mix continue to be A positive driver for the next couple of years? Thanks.

Speaker 3

Yes. Well, about 40% of the $0.80 adjustment comes from mix. As Jose alluded to in his prepared remarks, we are seeing a financially Help your customers buying our product. These customers are looking for high end products. We've recently launched The Maverick are,

Speaker 7

we'll call

Speaker 3

it the next level in technology for the sports side by side. And that obviously is driving very strong margins. But from a utility point of view as well, the customers are asking for fully enclosed side by side With HVAC, and we've made adjustments in our production capacity in order to be able to deliver these units And meet customer demand and that obviously is helping the mix favorably.

Speaker 7

Okay, got it. And then maybe on Seasonal, you did better than Street expectations, But guidance was kind of held for the year. Were there any shifts to consider? And are there any kind of margin impacts we should think about?

Speaker 3

No, the we were expecting a very strong Q2 for seasonal products due to better deliveries Of Personal Watercraft and Sea Doo switch, again, last year because of supply chain, it was a tough quarter. And so now things are back It's a normal seasonal pattern. That obviously is a big plus. And so the implied revenue decline in the back half of the year is Really mainly related to the timing of deliveries compared to last year. But all in all, we're very happy with the season we had on seasonal.

Speaker 3

Sidu switch was the 1st real year of deliveries. Obviously, the demand was very good And the performance of the switch was also strong from a retail point of view and from an industry point of view as well, But nothing to highlight specifically other than that.

Speaker 7

Okay, great. Thank you. Good luck.

Operator

Your next question comes from Fred Wirthman with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hey, guys. Good morning. I just wanted to come back to the dealer inventory number, and I totally get that it's below the retail share Performance, but in the past you guys have given sort of a bridge between seasonal products and then also year round products. Can you give us an update on sort of where the dealer inventory Both of those categories stand today, either on a year over year basis or next to 2019, however you want to talk about it.

Speaker 3

Well, from a when I look at the overall inventory position, what I'd say is for year round products, We are comfortable with the inventory we have for both ATV as we've started shipping the new model. For side by side, as I said, we have opportunities to increase deliveries, especially on the utility full enclosure cabins That's a product that's in high demand. Spider, very strong on the traditional Spider. We're good there. We have a bit more Rykers And that obviously will we've put a plan in place to make sure that we get through that inventory in the next quarter.

Speaker 3

From a seasonal point of view, we finished the season with Personal Watercraft. It's going to finish in a month. Very happy with the season that we had. Good levels of inventory coming out of that season. In the C2 switch, strong season in some markets.

Speaker 3

The Midwest was a bit softer than what we were expecting. So we have a bit of inventory there that we are working through. And we've Put promotions as well in those regions to make sure we get the model year 'twenty three retail and get ready for model year 'twenty four.

Speaker 8

Okay. And then just a follow-up on sort of the Marine business. I mean, you guys are cutting the outlook. You're delaying or deferring some of the capacity expansion. It's just a pretty big change versus This is a couple of months ago.

Speaker 8

So can you just give us maybe an industry lay of the land as far as what changed and maybe why you think it was So much different than sort of the what seems like solid demand for a year out?

Speaker 2

And if you talk about the industry, obviously, the weather was not The best we didn't have the best summer to start with. After that, many customers financed their both 15 to 20 years, which is a very long period. And obviously, the interest rate that climbed over the last 18 months Our people delay. And when you have a combination of interest rate going up in the summer that weather is also, Some customer prefer to delay their purchase. And this is for the industry.

Speaker 2

For us, what happened and you know the story, I mean, I don't want to talk too much about it, but we had we were a victim of the cyber attack last fall. The operation in Marine was the last to be We integrated. After that, we had that supplier difficulty. And when we started to really ramp up with good volume, the production in May, Dealer were already have high inventory of other brand and at the end of the day, we're pushing too much. Then We decided to slow down for season 23 and refocus everything on season 24.

Speaker 2

Why we are happy overall, it's first, the product is well received, the product that we ship In season 23, we have introduced the dual engine 92 that was very well received by the dealers At Club 2 weeks ago, the factory is now up and running and we are reengaging the dealer and realigning all this For season 24. Then it's a question of all this. And obviously, the fact that in Mexico, we pushed by 1 year, we've lost basically a season Because of the industry and our we were behind our plan And this is was just a logic move to do.

Speaker 9

Makes sense. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Cameron Doerksen from National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Yes, thanks. Good morning. Just trying to get maybe a little bit better handle on what you're seeing in the retail. I mean, obviously, it's still very strong for you. But I just wonder if you can maybe talk about how retail kind of performed through the quarter?

Speaker 10

Was it fairly steady throughout? And then what have you seen so far, I guess, in August? I mean, obviously, you're facing a much tougher comp in near fiscal Q3, but Maybe you can just talk about retail trends so far in the Q3?

Speaker 2

Then the retail as you if we look at the year, retail was soft In February, March, but picked up very good in April and continued through the whole summers. And I know that some of you were concerned about the model year 'twenty two three wheel and watercraft, but We've been able to sell most of them and we're very happy the way the season unfold. For the Q3 or what is our expectation? And I don't want to go into too much detail and get into the habit of providing guidance every quarter for What's coming? But overall, we are in a good position for the second half because on the off road, We have the new Mavic car.

Speaker 2

We have the additional Defender entry level product, the additional entry level product on the X3. And when I see entry level product in the side by side category, which is high end, we have the ATV Mitsui platform that is Extremely well received. And the snowmobile lineup, as we've said, about half of our production is already pre sold. And we feel very good About off road and snowmobile, obviously, you can expect in H2 lower retail for watercraft and 3 wheel because last year we shipped The 22 in Q3. Then when we look at the overall, we are planning the industry to be flattish.

Speaker 2

And us, when you consider all the product line, some reduction on watercraft entry wheel and an increase in off road and snow, We're targeting to be around mid single digit growth for H2.

Speaker 10

Okay. That's very helpful. And just secondly, just maybe switching gears, just want to talk a little bit about the EV Roll out, I guess, at the club, you've kind of described that the final product that you're going to introduce on the electric It is going to maybe be delayed by about a year and there's been some, I guess, challenges in developing the technology. Can maybe just talk a bit about what the challenges Are you that you're facing there? And just how the EV rollout and development is going?

Speaker 2

Yes. But first, Cameron, I would like to remind you that we're developing our own technology and we're developing our own battery pack, motor, inverter, charger, software. And we believe by We pack motor, inverter, charger, software, and we believe by doing this to all by ourselves, we will be A better integration and performance than buying component that you need to put together. And it will be more cost effective. And doing this, it's about people and Supplier working with supplier.

Speaker 2

Then this is going on. There is overall some delay, but it's not We had planned for some delay in some area, but and I just want to remind you that last year when we disclosed the rise in the 2 wheel motor We said to the dealer that the product would be available in 2024. And Some dealer because we had some prospect dealer mainly from Europe in Atlanta wanted to see with BRP what are the rest of the lineup. And we wanted to be very clear with the dealers. And we could have decide to show the spec, the prices, the allocation and our plan for network Fulfillment, but we said it was too much information against the competition.

Speaker 2

And we said very clearly, All the detail will be unveiled at next summer and delivery for both the Rise and the 2 wheel will happen in the Fall of 2024. Then we're not delaying by 1 year. You could debate some we're expecting to have it Earlier in the summer, but we are basically overall on plan.

Speaker 10

Okay. No, that's helpful. Thanks very much.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Craig Kennison from Baird, please go ahead.

Speaker 11

Hey, good morning and thank you for taking my questions. It's been a good call. I wanted to ask on the credit side, do you have an understanding or a read on the percentage of your buyers that are exposed to student Loan repayments in the U. S?

Speaker 3

No, I know it's been on the I guess the news feeds recently changes to student loans, but we don't have that visibility, Craig, what percentage have Outstanding loans.

Speaker 11

Okay. And then maybe just then said more broadly, I'm wondering If there's a way to measure affordability in terms of monthly payments, if you look at a similar unit this year versus Maybe pre pandemic, how much more expensive is it per month relative to like the income of your consumer? And Do you see that consumer getting pinched in the climate that we have today?

Speaker 2

Yes. Good morning. I will give you an example of the SIDO switch because we're expecting the question and For ourselves to better understand the dynamic, but many of the buyer by boat finance 15 2020 a year. And if you take a Sea Doo switch law and we took a model switch port 21 feet. If you were financing and again, the rate could vary depending on your score, but high level.

Speaker 2

If you were financing a SIDU switch In Jan 'twenty two, your rate was 7%. If you were financing your switch in Jan 'twenty three, this year, Your rate was 8.8%. And in August, your rate was close to 12%. And the difference between, let's say, Jan 'twenty two, it was around $3.50 and it was $100 more In August 'twenty three, then you can debate $100 for someone who really want the product. Some will justify it, but when you commit for 15 or 20 years, it's a long payment.

Speaker 2

And I think The rate increased so much in the last 12 months that some customer are reflecting if they will buy or not and that's why That's what affected, I believe, the boat industry.

Speaker 11

That's a really helpful example. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Martin Landry from Stifel. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Hi. Good morning, guys. Maybe just a follow-up to that. The powersports industry has been very resilient when you compare it to the boating industry and Also when you compare it to the RV industry and is that resilience Just related to price points, is that it? Is that the main explanation why the powersports industry is not Seeing much sign of weakness versus other industries?

Speaker 2

But the big difference between powersport and marine is in the Power Sport, typically, the people who finance will be 3 to 5 years. Then your commitment is shorter. And the other thing is the OEM are it's easier for the OEM to subsidize or to do a sales program to Support the customers. Then I'll give you the example for us. Today, we have depending of the product line for model year 'twenty three, we have Some offer, Uvalde, from 2% to 4% for 36 to 60 months.

Speaker 2

And this is very different than the example I gave into the Marine business, a boat, where obviously the rate is higher, The period is higher and it's more difficult for the OEM to justify the subsidizing. And I think this is a big difference between the to Industry.

Speaker 3

And Martin, if I could add one extra element there. If we look at what has happened to MSRPs in the last, we'll call it, the last 4 years Since the onset of COVID, we saw much higher increases in MSRP in the Marine and the RV sector than we've seen in the powersports sector. And I'll just give you an example. If I look at Personal Watercraft, model year 'twenty to model year 'twenty four, we've increased Pricing by 17.4 percent in the U. S, whereas the boating industry has increased pricing by over 40%.

Speaker 3

And so that obviously makes the ticket item much higher for Marine Then for powersport, I think that's one factor that's also helping the powersport industry.

Speaker 9

Okay. That's good color. That's helpful. And maybe on changing gears to your guidance, your back half guidance Implies strong EBITDA margins, I think higher than 18% according to our math. And Sebastien, you touched in your opening remarks Heading into fiscal 'twenty five with strong momentum, just trying to Then those strong margins in the back half, is there a seasonal tailwind here?

Speaker 9

Or Can these higher margins be sustainable long term?

Speaker 3

Well, customarily, we have Usually higher margins in the back half of the year. Q3 is a quarter where we have strong margins. The mix is very strong in snowmobile. And also we're expecting very strong mix in side by side. And as I said, the teams are and I like it, the teams are over Forming from a operations point of view and from a procurement point of view, which is also driving good savings, which will be there next year.

Speaker 3

And as you know, next year is our M25 anniversary date and so where we have ambitious financial objectives. And our plans are still very much in line with the M25 objective. When you look at what we have delivered Since we've done our Investor Meeting last June or last year, on the side by side side, we are just shy of that 30% market share objective that we had given ourselves, especially with the recent product introductions, That will obviously drive continued market share gains. ATV, we finished very strong this season with 20% market share. And there's going to be continued momentum as we've just started delivering the new platform.

Speaker 3

We finished the season with record market share in snowmobile and personal watercraft, that obviously bodes well for next year. SiduSwitch, we said we want this to be a $500,000,000 business. This year, we will be at $500,000,000 So again, continuation next year. So everything in powersport is in line and even better than our plans. And again, if I want to put things into perspective, if you look at the last 12 months, we've gained about 6 points of market share in the powersport industry.

Speaker 3

And every point of market share we gain is about $190,000,000 of revenue. And so with the recent product introductions, The momentum, the brand, the dealer engagement, we are well positioned for next year. Marine, softer True than expected, but we are obviously making the necessary steps to position it well for next year. The lean is going very well, as I mentioned. The modular design is paying off, and we have a greater proportion of vehicles being produced in Mexico.

Speaker 3

So all in all, If the industry remains the same and consumer demand is maintained, we feel very comfortable with our plans for next year, Martin.

Speaker 9

Okay. That's helpful. Congrats on your results.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jamie Katz from Morningstar. Please go ahead.

Speaker 12

Hi, good morning. I hope you can just dissect your outlook on gross margin a little bit more just The ability to take pricing, the premiumization of the mix and then how much more of

Speaker 3

Yes. Obviously, we had a very good gross margin in the Q2, when I look at the puts and takes of the margin, obviously, pricing net of inflation Was a big driver. That was a tailwind of 170 basis points, offset by programs. We said our expectation for the year was 200 basis point headwind. This quarter was 170 basis points.

Speaker 3

Floorplan costs are higher as well. That's a headwind of 100 basis points. And in terms of turbulence, we're looking at 2 50 basis point tailwind. Big tailwind in Q1, big tailwind in Q2. That's going to taper down in Q3 and Q4, as even last year Q4, we saw benefits from turbulence costs, but overall in line with our In our plan plus adjustments we've made in the guidance.

Speaker 3

And as we mentioned, we had FX, which was a headwind for 100 basis 180 basis points in the quarter. So obviously, strong gross margin, strong EBITDA margin, Driven by, again, the great mix, product that command These margins and as well great operational efficiency from the teams.

Speaker 12

And then are there any inefficiencies that will Pushing the facility out that will weigh on gross margin next year, the building the build out of that marine

Speaker 3

Not significant when you look at the cost to build the plant. Yes, there's some operating expenses associated with it, but it's when you look in the grand scheme of things, not that material.

Speaker 12

Thanks. Helpful.

Operator

Your next question comes from Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Speaker 13

Thanks. Hey guys, good morning. Just want to go back to your comments regarding M25. You mentioned powersports It's trending well, Marine not so much. And you mentioned you're pushing back capacity expansion by 12 months.

Speaker 13

Is it safe to assume That we should think about the Marine M25 targets is getting pushed back a year as well? And how's your long term outlook for that segment changed at all? Yes.

Speaker 2

If you remember in the M 'twenty five, we were targeting by the end of fiscal year 'twenty five to be at $1,000,000,000 It's too early to say if we if what will happen next year. I think we need to wait to see how the industry will unfold Beginning of the year, the boat show and all this. But for me, this is short term For the Marine, the vision that we have is working. It's just a matter of execution this year and we will realign for next year then. I think it's too early for The $1,000,000,000 in M25 or fiscal year 'twenty five for Marine, but it don't change the overall Like Sebastien described for the overall BRPM 25 objective next year.

Speaker 13

Okay. That's helpful. And maybe just a quick question for Seb. I wanted to better understand How you see overall gross margins versus OpEx playing out this year? I think the prior expectation was gross margins would be up 50 basis points, OpEx up 50 basis points, so they sort of offset.

Speaker 13

But it sounds like that's still the case on the gross margin line. But we're looking to see maybe some lower or less of an increase in OpEx. So I'm curious if I have that right and where that's coming from.

Speaker 3

Yes. The initial estimate when we issued guidance was that we'd get a tailwind on gross margin of 50% and we'd get a headwind on OpEx of 50%. So net Flat EBITDA margin year over year at 17%. Now with the revised numbers, gross margin, it will be a tailwind of about 100 basis points And we'd get the tailwind from OpEx of $50,000,000 Pardon? Tailwind.

Speaker 3

Yes. And so that would be for this year, delivering strong EBITDA margin this year.

Speaker 13

Okay, Great. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Your next question comes from Luke Hannan from Canaccord. Please go ahead.

Speaker 14

Thanks and good morning. I'll start off with a quick one Sebastian. I believe you said last quarter that for the year you expected Working capital tailwind of roughly $400,000,000 I may have missed it if you mentioned it earlier in the call, but do you still expect to see that level of tailwinds for the year?

Speaker 3

Yes. We've generated strong cash flow, free cash flow since the beginning of the year, over $500,000,000 for the 1st 6 months, Total free cash flow with minimal working capital benefit. As I said, we're still running with Higher levels of inventory, I will call it safety stock. But obviously, with the good results that we're seeing from the Supply chain Turbulent, the expectation is that we will be able to achieve our $400,000,000 working capital benefit at the end of the year.

Speaker 14

Okay. And then a higher level question here. I appreciate the commentary earlier in the call, Jose, about The market share that you've been able to gain in SSV and particularly in Canada. But I guess just taking a step back and from a higher level, Structurally, when it comes to the competitive dynamics or anything else inherent to that product line specifically, Is there any reason why longer term you wouldn't be able to achieve a market share in SSV similar to what you have right now In snowmobiles and personal watercraft?

Speaker 2

There is no reason. You know, we're going step by step. On the M25, the objective was to reach 30% market share. We're almost there And then we will pass that 30% next year. And after that, with the momentum that we have And the product innovation, there is we will not stop there, like I said in my prepared remarks.

Speaker 2

But for us, it's always And a bit like I said in some investor many investor is asking why are you gaining so much versus others that are Not able, but as we said in 2015, when we introduced the Defender, We wanted to convey a strong message about our commitment in the side by side industry, and that's where we committed of a new model every 6 months for the next 4 years. And that message convince many dealers to convert more space to BRP And with our capacity to come out with innovative product, pushing technology, pushing design, combined with that commitment, It was like a big wheel that did start in motion. And today, the wheel is really in motion. And I believe that With our continued push on product and helping the dealers and working with the dealers to continue to grow, This is what explains the success. Then definitely, I will not comment this morning about any specific number for any days, but I can assure

Operator

Your next question comes from Brian Morrison from TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Speaker 15

Hey, good morning. Thanks for all the clarification comments. I have one Further question to clarify though. So you mentioned in Slide 18 in your prepared comments that you're lapping H2 fiscal 'twenty three, there's $1,000,000,000 of inventory replenishment. How much of that how much was Inventory replenishment revenues in fiscal 'twenty three, how much do you estimate will be in fiscal 2024?

Speaker 15

And how much is there to go in the second half? I understand that retail unit sales are well accessed still of the increase in inventory at retail.

Speaker 3

As of today, Brian, I'd say we're pretty much done on the inventory replenishment. Obviously, there's going to be some seasonal elements where we might find, okay, there's That's going to be there at Q3 more than last year. But from an overall business point of view there, inventory replenishment is not a tailwind for us. Growth in inventory will come with growth in market share or growth in industry, but not from Putting more units at the dealership.

Speaker 15

Okay. And how much replenishment was there this year and last?

Speaker 3

Well, last year was $1,000,000,000 We probably did $250,000,000 at the beginning of this year. And in fiscal year 2023, I'd have to check, but not that significant. Probably same in this year. Probably same in this year, yeah. But obviously, the bulk was in the second half of last year.

Speaker 3

Right.

Speaker 15

And then on Slide 17, you said there's lower shipments of primarily due to Sidu Pontoon. Can you just reconcile that with the strength of the switch? Was it just a pre build because the product was in its infancy last year?

Speaker 3

Well, last year, as you know, we under delivered in terms of, as you see, do switch pontoons. And so dealers we under delivered units, We delivered dealers had ordered the parts and accessories, so they had quite a bit of inventory on hand. And So this year, they were able to cycle through their inventory, get it to the dealers, but they still have a bit more inventory. And so dealer levels are higher from a P and A Slide. And so they will be adjusting their dealer inventory and therefore ordering less from us.

Speaker 15

Okay. Simply timing. Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Justin Thomas Martin from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Speaker 16

Good morning. Just one question for me. How are dealers

Speaker 2

It's a bit funny. If you talk I was again with Power Sport Dealers and Marine Dealer 2 weeks ago. And if you talk to dealer, like I said in the question before, They don't like the inventory in dollars and the interest, but at the same time, When we take an order, it's like a discussion between your growth and what you're planning and the basically orders In line with our expectation. That's why we said the volume is in line with our expectation, but with a richer mix. Then

Speaker 8

it's a

Speaker 2

bit funny. The powersport dealer right now, most of them complain about the interest bill at the end of the month, But they still understand that to support the growth, they need to invest in working cap.

Speaker 3

Yes. And the other thing is that dealers do trust That's that we'll make the right decisions. And one thing is important is that we do support the inventory in the 1st 60, 90 days When the unit is shipped. So obviously, that is a burden that they do not have and we have and we accept it. And the other thing is, in the past, if we've ended a season with too much inventory, we've always been there to step in and support the dealers with their floor plan financing.

Speaker 3

And that's something that we've done and that's something that we will continue to do if a season would end up to be not as good as expected And they'd have more inventory. So there's a level of trust there that exists between us and the dealers on that side.

Speaker 16

Okay. Well, they're complaining more, but they're not changing their habits. Got it. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Well, for sure, I mean, they've lived the perfect world for 2 years. They had no floor plan financing costs, So they forgot what it was. And now they have inventory, which they're happy because they are that allows them to sell. But there is a obviously higher interest rates and higher floor plan that comes with it. And so there is a sticker shock, but it's a cost of doing business.

Speaker 3

It's like meals at the restaurant, more expensive, but you still go.

Speaker 16

Sounds good. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Michael Kaperios from Desjardins. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Good morning and congrats on the Strong results. Just one quick one for me, maybe on the snowmobile front. I think you mentioned 50% had been pre sold, the same figure that you had mentioned last quarter. Have you seen like any early signs of cancellation or is everything setting up well from a strong season in your point of view, especially with of your competitors saying that they're going to exit the

Speaker 2

market? No, no sign of every year you have some fallout and Some cancellation, but I didn't heard any dealers saying that this year was worse than previous year. Snowmobile customer are Different than the others. Some will save money and that's the last thing they will cut in their budget because it's a passion And we believe we are in good shape for the snowmobile season.

Speaker 4

Appreciate the color. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jonathan Goldman from Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Speaker 17

Hi, good morning guys and thanks for taking my questions. Most of them have been answered, just 2 heist keeping ones. Jose, you talked about possibly exceeding the 30 Market share in side by side next year. I just wanted to if you can revisit the capacity that you have, in side by side currently and coming online, what Market share could that support over the next 2 years or year and a half?

Speaker 2

That's a good one. First, we have Plenty of capacity for next year season. We will not reach the maximum of our capacity. As you remember, we build UALES 2, sorry, in 2 phase and UALES 3 in 2 phase. Then we have plenty of capacity For next year, for sure.

Speaker 2

And now we even looking how we could tweak and maybe optimize the capacity between Within those two factories, I think there is ways where with small investment, you can even increase the capacity above what we had planned 2 years ago.

Speaker 17

Perfect. That's helpful. And then just, I guess one for you, Sebastien. The reduced CapEx guide by $100,000,000 does that change your thinking around capital allocation for this year at all?

Speaker 3

No, we're still going to be generating strong free cash flow even before the reduction of CapEx. And obviously, we've been active with buybacks. We still have about 900,000 shares to buyback under the NCIB. But the priority, as we've always said, is investing in growth and any excess free cash flow will be used to obviously return it to shareholders,

Operator

Your next question comes from Brandon Rowley from D. A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Speaker 18

Good morning. Thank you for taking my quick question. Just Circling back to the fiscal year 2025 earnings targets and revenue guidance, could you just speak to your level of confidence to hit those targets? I feel as though there's a view out there, it's going to be impossible for you to hit even the low end of that earnings range. I know you talked about the market share gains, but just overall, Where could there be some downside to the current guidance?

Speaker 18

And are you still comfortable hitting those earnings targets? Thanks.

Speaker 3

Well, as I said to Martin's question, when we look at all the positives that's been happening, there's been a lot. We're ahead of plan on a lot of the elements. And again, if the consumer Sentiment is to remain as it is today. We strongly believe that the M25 target is achievable. Now If there was going to be a soft landing in everybody's calls or a recession, obviously, we'd revisit our plan.

Speaker 3

But I mean, we can't manage the business, 1 foot on the gas and 1 foot on the brake. And today, when we look at the great momentum we have, There's no reasons why we could not achieve the target next year.

Speaker 17

Great. Thank you.

Operator

And there are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call to Mr. Deschenes to close the meeting.

Speaker 1

Thanks, everyone, for joining us this morning and for your interest in BRT. We look forward to speaking with you again for our Q3 conference call on November 30.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for joining and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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Earnings Conference Call
BRP Q2 2024
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