NYSE:MUSA Murphy USA Q3 2024 Earnings Report $505.22 +2.61 (+0.52%) Closing price 03:59 PM EasternExtended Trading$479.09 -26.13 (-5.17%) As of 08:00 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast Murphy USA EPS ResultsActual EPS$7.20Consensus EPS $6.64Beat/MissBeat by +$0.56One Year Ago EPS$7.69Murphy USA Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$5.24 billionExpected Revenue$5.54 billionBeat/MissMissed by -$297.35 millionYoY Revenue Growth-9.60%Murphy USA Announcement DetailsQuarterQ3 2024Date10/30/2024TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateThursday, October 31, 2024Conference Call Time11:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsMurphy USA's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Wednesday, May 7, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Thursday, May 8, 2025 at 11:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)SEC FilingEarnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by Murphy USA Q3 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrOctober 31, 2024 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 8 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00you for standing by. I would like to welcome everyone to the Murphy USA Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. All participants are in a listen only mode. We will also conduct a question and answer session and instructions will be given later. Would now like to turn the call over to Christian Pico, Vice President of Investor Relations. Operator00:00:23Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:25Hey, thank you, Dustin. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining us. With me today are Andrew Clyde, Chief Executive Officer Mindy West, Chief Operating Officer Gallagher Jeff, Chief Financial Officer and Donnie Smith, Chief Accounting Officer. After some opening comments from Andrew, Gallagher will provide an overview of the financial results and then we will open up the call to Q and A. Speaker 100:00:46Please keep in mind that some of the comments made during this call, including the Q and A portion will be considered forward looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As such, no assurances can be given that these events will occur or that the projections will be attained. A variety of factors exist that may cause actual results to differ. For further discussion of risk factors, please see the latest Murphy USA Forms 10 ks, 10 Q, 8 ks and other recent SEC filings. Murphy USA takes no duty to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements. Speaker 100:01:19During today's call, we may also provide certain performance measures that do not conform to generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP. We have provided schedules to reconcile these non GAAP measures with the reported results on a GAAP basis as part of our earnings press release, which can be found on the Investors section of our website. With that, I will turn the call over to Andrew. Speaker 200:01:39Thank you, Christian, and good morning, everyone. Murphy USA continued to demonstrate the benefits of its advantaged business model as we delivered strong Q3 results from our core categories, once again benefiting from our distinctive everyday low price positioning with the growing segment of value focused consumers. In addition to our strong current period results, I'm very excited about the acceleration in organic growth as current construction projects underway put us in a great place for Q4 openings and sets the foundation for more new stores and earnings growth in 2025 and beyond. Our efforts to frontload our real estate pipeline have paid off as we've seen more stores exit the permitting process than expected. As such, we are updating our CapEx projections for the year as we take advantage of this beneficial timing. Speaker 200:02:30I want to acknowledge our asset development team who worked hard to build this high quality pipeline and implement process improvements to ensure we would hit our goals this year and put us in a better position for ratable store growth going forward. Gallagher will provide some more details on our CapEx and growth programs later in the call. Unpacking third quarter results, we see continued outperformance in our core non discretionary categories, including fuel and nicotine. We grew both fuel volumes and retail margins with total and APSM volumes up 2% and 1.1% respectively. Retail margins were up a little over $0.03 versus the prior year largely due to a modest falling price environment. Speaker 200:03:12All in fuel margins were about $0.02 lower when combined with PS and W results which behaved as we expected in a period of falling wholesale prices. In fact, the entire $0.05 per gallon difference versus the prior year quarter is attributable to the accounting and timing variance associated with our internal supply transactions and inventory positions impacted by the year over year difference in price movement. For the full year, we expect PS and W contribution to land closer to the low end of the $0.02 to $0.03 per gallon range we have told investors to expect over the long term as we continue to see a long supply market with lower volatility. Looking at our merchandise results, notably across the Murphy geographies, we are seeing the incremental benefit in basket building categories from the customer trade down in our traffic driving categories. In turn, we are leveraging the strengths of these core categories, including fuel, nicotine, beer and lottery to drive transactions and other more discretionary categories across the center of the store. Speaker 200:04:16Performance within the nicotine ecosystem specifically remains exceptionally strong. We are continuing to grow our market share in combustible products, eclipsing 20% share in Murphy Markets. Similarly, we are taking share in driving sales and margin growth in traditional smokeless products and the fast growing oral nicotine category where collectively we are seeing double digit growth in sales and margin further differentiating our performance versus peers. Under the Murphy banner stores, we saw total package beverage sales and margin growth of 2.9% and 6.2% respectively. Further, we saw mid high single digit strength in general merchandise, candy and salty snacks, each of which grew share in our markets versus broader declines registered in the Nielsen data. Speaker 200:05:05In total, Murphy stores grew non nicotine total sales and margin 2.7% and 4.8% respectively, underscoring both the strength of our core customers in our core geographies and the relative attractiveness of our offer. These results reflect the value of 2024 initiatives, including personalization of MDR offers to encourage customers to experience different elements of the Murphy USA offer as well as analytics driven pricing and assortment strategies to optimize our offer and leverage price elasticities at the SKU level. On the Quick Check side, competition from QSR value pricing continued in Q3 continuing to pressure food and beverage traffic and margins and center store baskets. Nevertheless, fuel had a great quarter in the Northeast where total volumes were up 2.9% and fuel margin dollars were up 9.2%. Coffee sales were a bright spot, up 4.3% on a per store basis with made to order specialty drinks up 14% on a per store basis as Quick Check placed 2nd nationally in CSP's annual survey of coffee programs. Speaker 200:06:14Overall food and beverage sales per store were essentially flat with center store sales down 1.2%. Recognizing the inside traffic headwinds will likely persist into 2025, we are taking intentional action to drive QuickCheck traffic and further increase the competitiveness of our value offer. In fact, inside transactions at QuickCheck have improved throughout the 3rd quarter from a 6% year over year decline in July to a 1% decline in September. We kicked off the 4th quarter with new value offers and promotions in the breakfast and lunch dayparts featuring a $3.99 6 inches Italian spicy chicken or chicken tender sub sandwich. Additionally, we expanded our value offer in breakfast with a $5 breakfast bundle including a breakfast sandwich, spuds and any size coffee. Speaker 200:07:05And while it's early in the sandwich promotion, we are seeing significant customer uptake in the 6 inches sub offer where volumes were up 63% and perhaps more encouragingly, we are seeing a 16% increase in total sandwich units, meaning we are seeing cross pollination across the category. Coupled with the higher traction in the New York Giants premium subs versus their inaugural launch last year, we are very encouraged by the trips and transactions we are seeing attached to this core traffic driving category. Further capitalized on this momentum, we expect the newly designed and relaunched Quick Check Rewards program, which went live earlier this week to offer additional opportunities to engage with our customers and drive sales in 2025. The new app will feature mobile ordering and delivery, in app payment options, the ability to earn points on fuel transactions and extends deeper into more center store categories. This is another great example of a cross functional capability we are bringing to QuickCheck based on the huge success and impact of our own Murphy Drive Rewards program. Speaker 200:08:15Taking these initiatives together, we expect to show incremental improvement in transactions into the Q4 at QuickCheck setting the stage for a more robust recovery in 2025. Turning to operating expense, average per store month OpEx was up 4% in the 3rd quarter, a sequential improvement versus the first half of twenty twenty four as we start to lap some wage increases and other investments we made in the stores in the second half of twenty twenty three. Importantly, only half of this increase is attributable to same store increases, meaning the other half of the growth reflects the impact of a higher mix of larger new stores and raised and rebuilt stores in the network. Given that we will be adding more new stores this year, next year and beyond, we expect this trend to continue and would therefore expect same store cost to increase at about a 3% clip, which would translate into network wide per store cost growth in the 5% to 6% range going forward. The team has done a great job this year making QuickCheck stores more efficient through demand planning and implementing a more sophisticated and efficient store labor model, a process we also expect to roll out at Murphy stores next year. Speaker 200:09:31Before I turn the call over to Gallagher to provide more color on our store growth and capital allocation, I just want to reiterate we are very pleased with 3rd quarter results. We have a lot of irons in the fire to further optimize and grow the business in the 4th quarter and the team is engaged and excited all of which suggests 2025 will be another rewarding year for our team members and our shareholders. Speaker 300:09:54Hello everyone and thank you Andrew. As Andrew mentioned, our asset development team is firing on all cylinders and on track to deliver our strategy of strong organic growth in 2024 2025. We opened 4 new stores in the 3rd quarter, bringing our year to date openings to 10, including 1 Quick Check store. We also reopened 16 raze and rebuild stores, our ongoing program to transform small kiosk into 1400 square foot stores in Q3, which brings us to 27 raze and rebuild projects open year to date. Since quarter end, there are additional 2 new stores and 4 raze and rebuild stores that have opened. Speaker 300:10:34We've also accelerated our construction activity to its highest level in the past 10 years with 29 new stores and 15 raze and rebuilds currently under construction. We've already started construction on some of our 2025 new builds. So when you add all that up, we are looking at up to 40 new stores and 47 raze and rebuilds scheduled for completion in 2024. However, some of these projects could potentially slip into early 2025, so our new store and raze and rebuild guidance remains unchanged at this time at 30 to 35 new stores and more than 40 raze and rebuilds. I want to again recognize our asset development team for finding efficiencies in the store development program and better managing risk, which has allowed us to not only achieve our 2024 new store guidance, but also deliver more raze and rebuilds than we had planned. Speaker 300:11:25Additionally, the team has moved forward more projects into the Q4 to provide a meaningful head start to the 2025 new store class, where we will get more stores open earlier in the year, helping to grow our EBITDA in 2025 and going forward. As such, we are increasing our capital expenditure guidance to a range of $500,000,000 to $525,000,000 in 2024. Importantly, all of this increase is attributable to the stronger than expected organic growth, including the high level of raze and rebuild activities, more new stores under construction for 2024 and a head start on our 2025 new store program. We are moving toward our objective of sustainable run rate for the organization of about 50 new stores per year. And with that, we expect a similar level of capital spend in 2025. Speaker 300:12:15To wrap up our newbuild program discussion, we're very pleased with both the quality of the pipeline and the performance of our new stores to provide predictable and consistent incremental EBITDA for the next several years as the stores begin their 3 year ramp to maturity. New Murphy USA stores are generating attractive returns with key performance metrics well above the network average. For the 2022 2023 build classes, those 56 stores are averaging 292,000 gallons per store month and 43,000 merchandising contribution dollars per store month, which is 18% 27% higher than the network averages respectively. So we're building more new stores and these stores are delivering more and outperforming our existing stores, which demonstrates why we are excited to accelerate this growth and that will be highly impactful to our company performance going forward. Turning to share repurchase, we bought back 244,000 shares in the 2nd quarter and remain committed to ongoing share repurchases. Speaker 300:13:14We continue to execute against the existing Board authorization to repurchase up to $1,500,000,000 of our stock, which extends through 2028. Through the Q3, we have bought back nearly 700,000 shares for $320,000,000 leaving about $1,100,000,000 remaining under our Board authorization. You may have noticed we ended the quarter with a $41,000,000 balance on our revolver. As we continue to allocate cash toward growth, share repurchases and operations from time to time we will access our revolver to manage our daily liquidity needs. As a reminder, we typically see $400,000,000 moving in and out of the business in any given week. Speaker 300:13:52And depending on the timing of receipts, tender payments, tax payments and the day of the week the period ends, managing liquidity with the revolver becomes a more common place as we efficiently allocate funds for both growth and share repurchase. One last guidance measure to address before I turn the call back over to Andrew. In addition to increasing our capital expenditure guidance, we're also tightly managing our expenses and investments. With our ongoing cost control efforts and more targeted investments, we're reducing our SG and A guidance to a range of $240,000,000 to $250,000,000 versus the prior range of $255,000,000 to 265,000,000 Speaker 400:14:28dollars Thank you. And with that, I Speaker 300:14:29will turn the call back over to Andrew. Speaker 200:14:31Thanks Gallagher. As usual, I'll close with a preliminary view of October performance. Per store fuel volumes are flat to prior year at retail only margins of about $0.27 October merchandise trends are showing performance broadly in line with the 3rd quarter with total sales and margin up 2% to 3%. As mentioned, between our promotional activities at QuickCheck and the relaunch of QC Rewards, we are looking to build momentum in Q4 as we head into 2025. Looking at year to date performance, average per store month volumes are flat with retail margins about 0 point 0 $5.5 higher than last year or about $0.28 versus $0.265 while all in fuel margins are about $0.01 lower or just a little under $0.30 per gallon year to date in 2024 versus $0.31 per gallon in 2023. Speaker 200:15:26Couple of thoughts to share as we put this into the context of the broader $0.30 to $0.34 per gallon fuel margin range we use for our modeling purposes. As we noted previously, the upper end of the range requires 1 or both of 2 market dynamics to occur. 1st, a steeply falling price environment like the one we witnessed in Q3 of 2022, where retail margins are elevated more than offsetting the timing variance in PS and W. This has occurred about once every 6 to 8 years and you can certainly see this coming as prices run up. We expect volume to supply market where wholesale prices are well above our OPUS low transfer price. Speaker 200:16:08This contrast with a long oversupplied market where refiners discounted the RAC. And again, there are indicators like an increase in colonial line space values, more significant prolonged refinery outages and the like. In 2024, we have seen neither of these conditions despite the geopolitical headlines. As such, we would expect margins to remain in a tighter $0.30 to $0.32 per gallon range in a more normal somewhat benign environment. And within this framework, we do continue to believe challenged in store performance declining fuel volumes and higher costs for marginal retailers will continue to result in higher equilibrium margins and as such we expect to see structural upward pressure on margins over time. Speaker 200:16:56As we put this in the context of a walk forward to our 2028 goal of $1,300,000,000 in EBITDA, we don't require this upward pressure that creates higher industry margins to achieve our goal as new and rebuilt stores and capability investments at scale fully paved the way. Rather, it's an upside case and we continue to believe there is significantly more upside on fuel margins than downside. And with that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for Q and A. Operator00:17:31Thank you. Your first question comes from the line of Anthony Bonadio from Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Speaker 400:18:00Hey, good morning guys. Nice quarter. So I want to start off with NTI stores. I think Gallagher, you mentioned as many as 40 NTI stores this year now versus that initial 30 to 35 number, which is not something we've been used to hearing from you guys. So can you maybe just talk about what went right this year that allowed you to contemplate beating your target? Speaker 400:18:21And then any early thoughts on how you're planning NTIs for 2025 as we think about both magnitude and guidance and cadence? Yes, this is Andrew. Speaker 200:18:32Look, the first thing is we have been working on building up the pipeline. We've made the point on several calls that we've been a little disappointed in not hitting the number. Part of it was a function of the pipeline, part of it was a process of stores moving to the pipeline especially tied up in the permitting part of the process. So we've built up a pipeline that gives us confidence of a 50 store per year build class in the future. And we are seeing some breaks in the permitting process and we just had more become as we use the term shovel ready in the Q4 that we move forward and that really front loads Q1. Speaker 200:19:17And the benefit of running front loading Q1 is you get that earnings for the entire 12 month period versus having your entire portfolio back end loaded. So confidence around the pipeline, a little more certainty around the permitting process and importantly a more ratable build throughout the year are things that we should look forward to. And on top of that the increased performance of those per store metrics that Gallagher went over all of which continue to get amplified with the improvement initiatives that we have underway. Speaker 300:19:55Thanks, Anthony. The only thing I would add to that is, as Andrew mentioned, we are the cadence is very important. Getting more open earlier in the year gives us confidence that we can deliver the number. We're not ready to give guidance for 2025 yet, but we are moving closer to our objective of 50 NTIs a year. So we'll move toward that in 2025 and you should see that soon. Speaker 400:20:17Got it. That's helpful. And then just on inside contribution, if I take the low end of your contribution guidance for the year, that now implies something like 3% to 4% growth in Q4, which does represent an acceleration from Operator00:20:30what you just mentioned. Speaker 400:20:33So can you just talk about the drivers of that acceleration a little bit more? And then how to think about underlying contributions from same store sales and margins? Speaker 200:20:41Yes. Well, I think again, let's separate the Murphy banner from the Quick Check banner. I mean, the Murphy banner and even lottery, even with the online gaming, etcetera, going on. That's helping center of the store on the Murphy side, which is really important. And we read the headlines around packaged beverage and salty snacks and what's happening there. Speaker 200:21:10We're not seeing that on the Murphy side. We're seeing the opposite because we're getting the flow through into the stores. And with more raze and rebuild stores with a bigger center of store with the new 2,800 center of the store, we feel really good about that. The Quick Check business is food and beverage led and as we've talked and again we read about in the news constantly, a lot of value wars going on in that space, breakfast daypart, coffee daypart, lunch sandwiches, etcetera. And so having food and beverage sales flat essentially on a per store basis, I guess feels good in this environment, but certainly didn't meet our expectation and our plan going into the year where we just didn't anticipate the persistent inflation and the level of kind of price wars, some of which we're reading about are alleviating. Speaker 200:22:09And I think as you see our coffee program and some of the numbers we talked about there by being a value brand to start with, we didn't have to take some of the same steps to maintain traction in that environment. Center of Store has been an area at QC that with the lighter traffic on the food and beverage side has been down and you see some of the more industry type numbers on packaged beverage, salty snacks, etcetera. I think our promotional activity and the results we're seeing there coupled with the launch of Quick Check Rewards, which we think is going to be as impactful in its categories as Murphy Drop Awards was within its core categories is going to really allow us to build that momentum. So as we go into 2025, we're going to have a real clear picture and so we'll have a higher level of confidence and certainty around the guidance we give in February knowing that we missed our guidance that we gave in February this year. Speaker 400:23:14Got it. Appreciate it, guys. Thank you. Operator00:23:20Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bonnie Herzog from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Speaker 500:23:28All right. Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to ask about your fuel volumes, which were up, I guess, a modest 50 bps on a same store basis in the quarter. This is despite an easy year over year compare. Speaker 500:23:42So could you talk through the drivers of a bit of the slowdown that you're seeing? And really, Andrew, your outlook for industry fuel volumes over the next few years? Also, could you maybe talk about any benefit you might have seen in the quarter and possibly in October from the hurricanes, I guess, Helene and Milton? Thanks. Speaker 200:24:05Yes. So look, I think if you go back on a 3 year stack, I mean, you look at 1 year numbers, 2 year numbers, 3 years numbers, in the period where we gained the most significant market share, we're still holding on to close to 5% on a 3 year stack basis. So we know in high prices and falling price environments, that's ultimately when we take the most share. And as we said before, in low price like we're seeing now, we give a little bit of that back and Murphy Drive Rewards has been a significant contributor into not giving as much back as we would have given back and say 2015 after the price fall off in 2014. So we're actually view this as positive, especially given kind of the macro trends around relatively flat fuel gallons. Speaker 200:25:01With respect to the 2 hurricanes, first of all, our team did an incredible job keeping stores open to the last possible safe moment for our teams and getting them opened very quickly. And we saw the typical pre storm by followed by a dip in the days where maybe some stores couldn't reopen due to power being out, but with generators getting to the stores quickly, getting those volumes back up. So no real appreciable impact from the stores and minimum damage thankfully to the stores and no impact materially to our team members. Our Tampa terminal also the team did an incredible job of preparing it. It was the last to close and the first to reopen and our fuel transport providers which we use third parties for did a great job reallocating trucks. Speaker 200:26:08So despite all the headline news, there is really no material impact to us from a fuel gallons standpoint from the 2 storms. Speaker 500:26:19Okay. That's helpful and good to hear. And then, I wanted to make a comment and share that I absolutely love that you're rebranding your tobacco business to nicotine. So hoping to hear a little more color on some of the strength you're seeing there. And if you have plans, I guess, to change your back bar either this year still or early next year to add essentially more space for smoke free nicotine products. Speaker 500:26:46And in the context of that, ultimately, do you see further upside to your nicotine margins over the next few years? Thank you. Speaker 200:26:55Sure. I mean, when we talk to investors, many have taken the position that nicotine broadly or the tobacco category, as we called it previously, is a growing category and certainly oral nicotine, non combustible products are a significant portion of that growth. So it's just changing the times. It's interesting when we acquired QuickCheck, they had already named the category nicotine on their side. So in terms of color, we'll continue to provide the same color that we have in the past, right? Speaker 200:27:33We're growing share across the categories. We're constantly making updates to our back bar optimizing space. They're working closely with the manufacturers on that. So in terms of a complete revamp of our back bar, I don't see that coming. It will just be the continued evolution as we've been a leader on a lot of the products. Speaker 200:27:57With respect to upside, I think there's going to be upside in at least three areas. 1, as other retailers kind of deemphasize the traditional products and with the price increases that you see from the manufacturers, our everyday low price becomes more and more and more relevant. And so we will continue to pick up share and grow contribution margin dollars in the traditional products. 2, especially with the oral nicotine products and their higher contribution margin per use equivalent, that change in from growth associated with that will be positive. And it may show up in a higher unit margin or it may not depending on how much the traditional products grow in relation to that, but it will absolutely grow more contribution margin dollars. Speaker 200:29:02And the 3rd area of possible tailwinds for us would be if other retailers, manufacturers and distributors and the FDA and the DOJ would take a more responsible approach towards the illicit and illegal products in the marketplace. And as we mentioned, the state took and we saw a significant uplift across the tobacco, nicotine categories in that state. And so we see that as an opportunity down the road as some have projected almost 80% of vapor products are considered illicit or illegal products. Speaker 500:29:57Yes. Very much agreed. Thank you, Andrew. I'll pass it on. Speaker 400:30:01Thanks. Operator00:30:04Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bobby Griffin from Raymond James. Your line is open. Speaker 600:30:12Good morning, everybody. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my questions. Congrats on a good quarter. Thanks, Bobby. Speaker 600:30:19Andrew, I want to first circle back just on the consumer behavior. Clearly, a lot of different moving parts in today's economy. We've talked past calls about the QSR promotional pressure and things like that. But on a high level, how would you characterize it all versus 2Q or 1Q? Is it starting to get stable when you look at the consumer pressure? Speaker 600:30:38Just curious kind of what you would characterize it on a sequential basis to help us frame it up as we're heading into 2025? Speaker 200:30:49On a sequential basis, it does feel like it's stabilizing somewhat. Certainly, the promotional deals have been out there. So sequentially, as we see some of the retailers announcing whether it's a coffee program or sandwich program backing away from some of those, that's going to be positive. We're having to make a trade off with the 3.99, 6 inch promotional subs. So we're seeing a shift in mix from 12 inches to 6 inches but the uplift we're seeing on that is more than breakeven to positive. Speaker 200:31:35So the customer is definitely value focused. We see some of that play off in the center of the store with the basket not being maybe as complete. But I think with some uncertainty in the economy, we'll continue to see the value customer behaving as we've seen over the last couple of quarters. I think it's going to be some of the competitive relief that we certainly expect to see later in 2025. But Q1, Q2, we probably expect to continue to see competitive value offers from a broader set of QSRs. Operator00:32:19Okay. Speaker 200:32:19Certainly on the yes, I was going to say on the Murphy side, we continue to see the core fuel nicotine, beer lottery categories driving consumers and we're continuing to see the trade down to Murphy from other retailers as evidenced in our share growth there. And so the good news is it represents a higher proportion of our total network and higher proportion of our future growth as well. So while we're doing concrete steps to intentionally address some of the traffic headwinds at QuickJack, those same types of steps at Murphy are having even more compounding benefit. Speaker 600:33:09Okay. I appreciate that. And then maybe talk about something we first talked about in March. I think you guys identified some opportunities. I believe you phrased it like pulling up the bottom quartile of each quartile of your stores and EBITDA. Speaker 600:33:23And just curious where we are in that journey. Are we still kind of in the identified stage of finding the stores and finding the opportunities? Or are we moving towards more into the execution side of that, where that starts to flow through in 2025? Just anything there on one of those initiatives that we were talking about? Speaker 700:33:41Hey, good morning, Bobby. This is Mindy. I'm happy to take that question. Thanks for remembering and asking. Actually, we have made progress on that initiative. Speaker 700:33:51We've done the work to really separate our stores into groups based on those structural factors that we can look at stores on a like for like basis and assess the variability and performance. The good news is we do see variability. We have 30 clusters of similar stores. And because we now see variability in like for like stores that says that the variance should be controllable at least to some degree. And we're also now able to attribute most of that addressable variability to some 11 different performance drivers. Speaker 700:34:25And of those drivers, fuel sales, influenced by the Spencer Health represents our largest theoretical upside. So what we're going to be doing next is do a proof of concept test beginning as early as actually next week to a small set of stores with a plan to roll out to a larger set. And that proof of concept really will let us assess what is really feasible at the store, what gaps do we have in getting that benefit both at the store and at the home office and will help to inform a larger rollout. So we're still in the testing and learning phases and we're in the early days of that, but we will continue to be able to refine what's really possible for upside capture, what investments also are we going to have to put against that in order to get that benefit capture and also how do we make that benefit sustaining as we go forward. So yes, we should see some benefit for that in the next year. Speaker 700:35:25But again, we're trying to keep our expectations conservative at this point because there is no perfect store. And even though you might find some theoretical opportunity, trying to figure out what is actually realistic to expect and what gaps do we have at the store and in home office to actually get that potential. We're still trying to figure that out. But I think as we come into next year after having done this pilot, we will be a lot more informed about what the actual potential is and we will be able to start really putting some numbers behind this and giving you some more concrete guidance of what we can expect and when we can expect to get the benefit. Speaker 200:36:02Yes, Bobby, one thing I'll add to that, those inherent structural uncontrollable factors absolutely make up the top half of that range that we presented in our investor deck. So we're working on the bottom half of that range and as Mindy said proving that out. The other thing is there's one thing this incredible team of people does is they're always looking for the next opportunity and pushing it forward. But we also have a few things that we want to complete with excellence like our digital transformation initiative that continues to roll into Q1 of next year, our in store experience initiative where we've remodeled stores and taken the learnings of that into our store of tomorrow and then some other common systems work that we're doing across the enterprise. And so there's a pacing mechanism there also reflecting things that we've started that are delivering real tangible benefits to the bottom line that we want to finish with excellence. Speaker 200:37:09And Mindy leading the initiative with Gallagher rightly focusing on the biggest upside opportunity on fuel can make a huge difference because that is one of our traffic driving categories that impacts the entire store and Murphy. So more to come on that in February, but it's really something that we're not going to probably see fully baked in until 2026. Speaker 600:37:39Thank you. I appreciate the details. Best of luck here in the Q4. Speaker 200:37:44Great. Thank you. Operator00:37:48Thank you. Seeing as there are no more questions in the queue, that concludes our question and answer session. I'll now turn the call back over to Andrew Clyde for closing remarks. Speaker 200:38:00Great. Well, thanks everyone for joining. It's great to see a quarter come together despite all the noise and uncertainty out there in the marketplace and with consumers. And I think it's just evidence that our brands are delivering on a value offer that just continues to resonate. Our capability investments are continuing to translate into real results that are meaningful to the business and the consumers. Speaker 200:38:27And our teams across the enterprise are doing a great job in terms of preparing us for future growth in that walk to $1,300,000,000 in 2028. So big thanks to all the teams out there that have went through a lot in Q3 with the hurricanes and the initiatives and everything that's going on. So congratulations to them and we'll look forward to speaking with investors soon. Thank you.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallMurphy USA Q3 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Murphy USA Earnings HeadlinesMurphy USA Inc. Reports First Quarter 2025 ResultsMay 7 at 4:31 PM | businesswire.comMurphy USA Inc. (NYSE:MUSA) Delivered A Better ROE Than Its IndustryMay 7 at 11:50 AM | uk.finance.yahoo.comBuffett’s favorite chart just hit 209% – here’s what that means for goldA Historic Gold Announcement Is About to Rock Wall Street For months, sharp-eyed analysts have watched the quiet buildup behind the scenes. Now, in just days, the floodgates are set to open. The greatest investor of all time is about to validate what Garrett Goggin has been saying for months: Gold is entering a once-in-a-generation mania. Front-running Buffett has never been more urgent — and four tiny miners could be your ticket to 100X gains.May 7, 2025 | Golden Portfolio (Ad)$1000 Invested In Murphy USA 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much TodayMay 6 at 2:04 AM | benzinga.comMurphy USA Raises Dividend 2% for Second Increase This YearMay 3, 2025 | marketwatch.comMurphy USA Welcomes David C. Haley to Board of DirectorsMay 1, 2025 | businesswire.comSee More Murphy USA Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Murphy USA? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Murphy USA and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Murphy USAMurphy USA (NYSE:MUSA) engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company operates retail stores under the Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands, as well as operates non-fuel convenience stores. It operates retail gasoline stores principally in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest United States. Murphy USA Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.View Murphy USA ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Disney Stock Jumps on Earnings—Is the Magic Sustainable?Archer Stock Eyes Q1 Earnings After UAE UpdatesFord Motor Stock Rises After Earnings, But Momentum May Not Last Broadcom Stock Gets a Lift on Hyperscaler Earnings & CapEx BoostPalantir Stock Drops Despite Stellar Earnings: What's Next?Is Eli Lilly a Buy After Weak Earnings and CVS-Novo Partnership?Is Reddit Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold After Earnings Release? 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There are 8 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00you for standing by. I would like to welcome everyone to the Murphy USA Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. All participants are in a listen only mode. We will also conduct a question and answer session and instructions will be given later. Would now like to turn the call over to Christian Pico, Vice President of Investor Relations. Operator00:00:23Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:25Hey, thank you, Dustin. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining us. With me today are Andrew Clyde, Chief Executive Officer Mindy West, Chief Operating Officer Gallagher Jeff, Chief Financial Officer and Donnie Smith, Chief Accounting Officer. After some opening comments from Andrew, Gallagher will provide an overview of the financial results and then we will open up the call to Q and A. Speaker 100:00:46Please keep in mind that some of the comments made during this call, including the Q and A portion will be considered forward looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As such, no assurances can be given that these events will occur or that the projections will be attained. A variety of factors exist that may cause actual results to differ. For further discussion of risk factors, please see the latest Murphy USA Forms 10 ks, 10 Q, 8 ks and other recent SEC filings. Murphy USA takes no duty to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements. Speaker 100:01:19During today's call, we may also provide certain performance measures that do not conform to generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP. We have provided schedules to reconcile these non GAAP measures with the reported results on a GAAP basis as part of our earnings press release, which can be found on the Investors section of our website. With that, I will turn the call over to Andrew. Speaker 200:01:39Thank you, Christian, and good morning, everyone. Murphy USA continued to demonstrate the benefits of its advantaged business model as we delivered strong Q3 results from our core categories, once again benefiting from our distinctive everyday low price positioning with the growing segment of value focused consumers. In addition to our strong current period results, I'm very excited about the acceleration in organic growth as current construction projects underway put us in a great place for Q4 openings and sets the foundation for more new stores and earnings growth in 2025 and beyond. Our efforts to frontload our real estate pipeline have paid off as we've seen more stores exit the permitting process than expected. As such, we are updating our CapEx projections for the year as we take advantage of this beneficial timing. Speaker 200:02:30I want to acknowledge our asset development team who worked hard to build this high quality pipeline and implement process improvements to ensure we would hit our goals this year and put us in a better position for ratable store growth going forward. Gallagher will provide some more details on our CapEx and growth programs later in the call. Unpacking third quarter results, we see continued outperformance in our core non discretionary categories, including fuel and nicotine. We grew both fuel volumes and retail margins with total and APSM volumes up 2% and 1.1% respectively. Retail margins were up a little over $0.03 versus the prior year largely due to a modest falling price environment. Speaker 200:03:12All in fuel margins were about $0.02 lower when combined with PS and W results which behaved as we expected in a period of falling wholesale prices. In fact, the entire $0.05 per gallon difference versus the prior year quarter is attributable to the accounting and timing variance associated with our internal supply transactions and inventory positions impacted by the year over year difference in price movement. For the full year, we expect PS and W contribution to land closer to the low end of the $0.02 to $0.03 per gallon range we have told investors to expect over the long term as we continue to see a long supply market with lower volatility. Looking at our merchandise results, notably across the Murphy geographies, we are seeing the incremental benefit in basket building categories from the customer trade down in our traffic driving categories. In turn, we are leveraging the strengths of these core categories, including fuel, nicotine, beer and lottery to drive transactions and other more discretionary categories across the center of the store. Speaker 200:04:16Performance within the nicotine ecosystem specifically remains exceptionally strong. We are continuing to grow our market share in combustible products, eclipsing 20% share in Murphy Markets. Similarly, we are taking share in driving sales and margin growth in traditional smokeless products and the fast growing oral nicotine category where collectively we are seeing double digit growth in sales and margin further differentiating our performance versus peers. Under the Murphy banner stores, we saw total package beverage sales and margin growth of 2.9% and 6.2% respectively. Further, we saw mid high single digit strength in general merchandise, candy and salty snacks, each of which grew share in our markets versus broader declines registered in the Nielsen data. Speaker 200:05:05In total, Murphy stores grew non nicotine total sales and margin 2.7% and 4.8% respectively, underscoring both the strength of our core customers in our core geographies and the relative attractiveness of our offer. These results reflect the value of 2024 initiatives, including personalization of MDR offers to encourage customers to experience different elements of the Murphy USA offer as well as analytics driven pricing and assortment strategies to optimize our offer and leverage price elasticities at the SKU level. On the Quick Check side, competition from QSR value pricing continued in Q3 continuing to pressure food and beverage traffic and margins and center store baskets. Nevertheless, fuel had a great quarter in the Northeast where total volumes were up 2.9% and fuel margin dollars were up 9.2%. Coffee sales were a bright spot, up 4.3% on a per store basis with made to order specialty drinks up 14% on a per store basis as Quick Check placed 2nd nationally in CSP's annual survey of coffee programs. Speaker 200:06:14Overall food and beverage sales per store were essentially flat with center store sales down 1.2%. Recognizing the inside traffic headwinds will likely persist into 2025, we are taking intentional action to drive QuickCheck traffic and further increase the competitiveness of our value offer. In fact, inside transactions at QuickCheck have improved throughout the 3rd quarter from a 6% year over year decline in July to a 1% decline in September. We kicked off the 4th quarter with new value offers and promotions in the breakfast and lunch dayparts featuring a $3.99 6 inches Italian spicy chicken or chicken tender sub sandwich. Additionally, we expanded our value offer in breakfast with a $5 breakfast bundle including a breakfast sandwich, spuds and any size coffee. Speaker 200:07:05And while it's early in the sandwich promotion, we are seeing significant customer uptake in the 6 inches sub offer where volumes were up 63% and perhaps more encouragingly, we are seeing a 16% increase in total sandwich units, meaning we are seeing cross pollination across the category. Coupled with the higher traction in the New York Giants premium subs versus their inaugural launch last year, we are very encouraged by the trips and transactions we are seeing attached to this core traffic driving category. Further capitalized on this momentum, we expect the newly designed and relaunched Quick Check Rewards program, which went live earlier this week to offer additional opportunities to engage with our customers and drive sales in 2025. The new app will feature mobile ordering and delivery, in app payment options, the ability to earn points on fuel transactions and extends deeper into more center store categories. This is another great example of a cross functional capability we are bringing to QuickCheck based on the huge success and impact of our own Murphy Drive Rewards program. Speaker 200:08:15Taking these initiatives together, we expect to show incremental improvement in transactions into the Q4 at QuickCheck setting the stage for a more robust recovery in 2025. Turning to operating expense, average per store month OpEx was up 4% in the 3rd quarter, a sequential improvement versus the first half of twenty twenty four as we start to lap some wage increases and other investments we made in the stores in the second half of twenty twenty three. Importantly, only half of this increase is attributable to same store increases, meaning the other half of the growth reflects the impact of a higher mix of larger new stores and raised and rebuilt stores in the network. Given that we will be adding more new stores this year, next year and beyond, we expect this trend to continue and would therefore expect same store cost to increase at about a 3% clip, which would translate into network wide per store cost growth in the 5% to 6% range going forward. The team has done a great job this year making QuickCheck stores more efficient through demand planning and implementing a more sophisticated and efficient store labor model, a process we also expect to roll out at Murphy stores next year. Speaker 200:09:31Before I turn the call over to Gallagher to provide more color on our store growth and capital allocation, I just want to reiterate we are very pleased with 3rd quarter results. We have a lot of irons in the fire to further optimize and grow the business in the 4th quarter and the team is engaged and excited all of which suggests 2025 will be another rewarding year for our team members and our shareholders. Speaker 300:09:54Hello everyone and thank you Andrew. As Andrew mentioned, our asset development team is firing on all cylinders and on track to deliver our strategy of strong organic growth in 2024 2025. We opened 4 new stores in the 3rd quarter, bringing our year to date openings to 10, including 1 Quick Check store. We also reopened 16 raze and rebuild stores, our ongoing program to transform small kiosk into 1400 square foot stores in Q3, which brings us to 27 raze and rebuild projects open year to date. Since quarter end, there are additional 2 new stores and 4 raze and rebuild stores that have opened. Speaker 300:10:34We've also accelerated our construction activity to its highest level in the past 10 years with 29 new stores and 15 raze and rebuilds currently under construction. We've already started construction on some of our 2025 new builds. So when you add all that up, we are looking at up to 40 new stores and 47 raze and rebuilds scheduled for completion in 2024. However, some of these projects could potentially slip into early 2025, so our new store and raze and rebuild guidance remains unchanged at this time at 30 to 35 new stores and more than 40 raze and rebuilds. I want to again recognize our asset development team for finding efficiencies in the store development program and better managing risk, which has allowed us to not only achieve our 2024 new store guidance, but also deliver more raze and rebuilds than we had planned. Speaker 300:11:25Additionally, the team has moved forward more projects into the Q4 to provide a meaningful head start to the 2025 new store class, where we will get more stores open earlier in the year, helping to grow our EBITDA in 2025 and going forward. As such, we are increasing our capital expenditure guidance to a range of $500,000,000 to $525,000,000 in 2024. Importantly, all of this increase is attributable to the stronger than expected organic growth, including the high level of raze and rebuild activities, more new stores under construction for 2024 and a head start on our 2025 new store program. We are moving toward our objective of sustainable run rate for the organization of about 50 new stores per year. And with that, we expect a similar level of capital spend in 2025. Speaker 300:12:15To wrap up our newbuild program discussion, we're very pleased with both the quality of the pipeline and the performance of our new stores to provide predictable and consistent incremental EBITDA for the next several years as the stores begin their 3 year ramp to maturity. New Murphy USA stores are generating attractive returns with key performance metrics well above the network average. For the 2022 2023 build classes, those 56 stores are averaging 292,000 gallons per store month and 43,000 merchandising contribution dollars per store month, which is 18% 27% higher than the network averages respectively. So we're building more new stores and these stores are delivering more and outperforming our existing stores, which demonstrates why we are excited to accelerate this growth and that will be highly impactful to our company performance going forward. Turning to share repurchase, we bought back 244,000 shares in the 2nd quarter and remain committed to ongoing share repurchases. Speaker 300:13:14We continue to execute against the existing Board authorization to repurchase up to $1,500,000,000 of our stock, which extends through 2028. Through the Q3, we have bought back nearly 700,000 shares for $320,000,000 leaving about $1,100,000,000 remaining under our Board authorization. You may have noticed we ended the quarter with a $41,000,000 balance on our revolver. As we continue to allocate cash toward growth, share repurchases and operations from time to time we will access our revolver to manage our daily liquidity needs. As a reminder, we typically see $400,000,000 moving in and out of the business in any given week. Speaker 300:13:52And depending on the timing of receipts, tender payments, tax payments and the day of the week the period ends, managing liquidity with the revolver becomes a more common place as we efficiently allocate funds for both growth and share repurchase. One last guidance measure to address before I turn the call back over to Andrew. In addition to increasing our capital expenditure guidance, we're also tightly managing our expenses and investments. With our ongoing cost control efforts and more targeted investments, we're reducing our SG and A guidance to a range of $240,000,000 to $250,000,000 versus the prior range of $255,000,000 to 265,000,000 Speaker 400:14:28dollars Thank you. And with that, I Speaker 300:14:29will turn the call back over to Andrew. Speaker 200:14:31Thanks Gallagher. As usual, I'll close with a preliminary view of October performance. Per store fuel volumes are flat to prior year at retail only margins of about $0.27 October merchandise trends are showing performance broadly in line with the 3rd quarter with total sales and margin up 2% to 3%. As mentioned, between our promotional activities at QuickCheck and the relaunch of QC Rewards, we are looking to build momentum in Q4 as we head into 2025. Looking at year to date performance, average per store month volumes are flat with retail margins about 0 point 0 $5.5 higher than last year or about $0.28 versus $0.265 while all in fuel margins are about $0.01 lower or just a little under $0.30 per gallon year to date in 2024 versus $0.31 per gallon in 2023. Speaker 200:15:26Couple of thoughts to share as we put this into the context of the broader $0.30 to $0.34 per gallon fuel margin range we use for our modeling purposes. As we noted previously, the upper end of the range requires 1 or both of 2 market dynamics to occur. 1st, a steeply falling price environment like the one we witnessed in Q3 of 2022, where retail margins are elevated more than offsetting the timing variance in PS and W. This has occurred about once every 6 to 8 years and you can certainly see this coming as prices run up. We expect volume to supply market where wholesale prices are well above our OPUS low transfer price. Speaker 200:16:08This contrast with a long oversupplied market where refiners discounted the RAC. And again, there are indicators like an increase in colonial line space values, more significant prolonged refinery outages and the like. In 2024, we have seen neither of these conditions despite the geopolitical headlines. As such, we would expect margins to remain in a tighter $0.30 to $0.32 per gallon range in a more normal somewhat benign environment. And within this framework, we do continue to believe challenged in store performance declining fuel volumes and higher costs for marginal retailers will continue to result in higher equilibrium margins and as such we expect to see structural upward pressure on margins over time. Speaker 200:16:56As we put this in the context of a walk forward to our 2028 goal of $1,300,000,000 in EBITDA, we don't require this upward pressure that creates higher industry margins to achieve our goal as new and rebuilt stores and capability investments at scale fully paved the way. Rather, it's an upside case and we continue to believe there is significantly more upside on fuel margins than downside. And with that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for Q and A. Operator00:17:31Thank you. Your first question comes from the line of Anthony Bonadio from Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Speaker 400:18:00Hey, good morning guys. Nice quarter. So I want to start off with NTI stores. I think Gallagher, you mentioned as many as 40 NTI stores this year now versus that initial 30 to 35 number, which is not something we've been used to hearing from you guys. So can you maybe just talk about what went right this year that allowed you to contemplate beating your target? Speaker 400:18:21And then any early thoughts on how you're planning NTIs for 2025 as we think about both magnitude and guidance and cadence? Yes, this is Andrew. Speaker 200:18:32Look, the first thing is we have been working on building up the pipeline. We've made the point on several calls that we've been a little disappointed in not hitting the number. Part of it was a function of the pipeline, part of it was a process of stores moving to the pipeline especially tied up in the permitting part of the process. So we've built up a pipeline that gives us confidence of a 50 store per year build class in the future. And we are seeing some breaks in the permitting process and we just had more become as we use the term shovel ready in the Q4 that we move forward and that really front loads Q1. Speaker 200:19:17And the benefit of running front loading Q1 is you get that earnings for the entire 12 month period versus having your entire portfolio back end loaded. So confidence around the pipeline, a little more certainty around the permitting process and importantly a more ratable build throughout the year are things that we should look forward to. And on top of that the increased performance of those per store metrics that Gallagher went over all of which continue to get amplified with the improvement initiatives that we have underway. Speaker 300:19:55Thanks, Anthony. The only thing I would add to that is, as Andrew mentioned, we are the cadence is very important. Getting more open earlier in the year gives us confidence that we can deliver the number. We're not ready to give guidance for 2025 yet, but we are moving closer to our objective of 50 NTIs a year. So we'll move toward that in 2025 and you should see that soon. Speaker 400:20:17Got it. That's helpful. And then just on inside contribution, if I take the low end of your contribution guidance for the year, that now implies something like 3% to 4% growth in Q4, which does represent an acceleration from Operator00:20:30what you just mentioned. Speaker 400:20:33So can you just talk about the drivers of that acceleration a little bit more? And then how to think about underlying contributions from same store sales and margins? Speaker 200:20:41Yes. Well, I think again, let's separate the Murphy banner from the Quick Check banner. I mean, the Murphy banner and even lottery, even with the online gaming, etcetera, going on. That's helping center of the store on the Murphy side, which is really important. And we read the headlines around packaged beverage and salty snacks and what's happening there. Speaker 200:21:10We're not seeing that on the Murphy side. We're seeing the opposite because we're getting the flow through into the stores. And with more raze and rebuild stores with a bigger center of store with the new 2,800 center of the store, we feel really good about that. The Quick Check business is food and beverage led and as we've talked and again we read about in the news constantly, a lot of value wars going on in that space, breakfast daypart, coffee daypart, lunch sandwiches, etcetera. And so having food and beverage sales flat essentially on a per store basis, I guess feels good in this environment, but certainly didn't meet our expectation and our plan going into the year where we just didn't anticipate the persistent inflation and the level of kind of price wars, some of which we're reading about are alleviating. Speaker 200:22:09And I think as you see our coffee program and some of the numbers we talked about there by being a value brand to start with, we didn't have to take some of the same steps to maintain traction in that environment. Center of Store has been an area at QC that with the lighter traffic on the food and beverage side has been down and you see some of the more industry type numbers on packaged beverage, salty snacks, etcetera. I think our promotional activity and the results we're seeing there coupled with the launch of Quick Check Rewards, which we think is going to be as impactful in its categories as Murphy Drop Awards was within its core categories is going to really allow us to build that momentum. So as we go into 2025, we're going to have a real clear picture and so we'll have a higher level of confidence and certainty around the guidance we give in February knowing that we missed our guidance that we gave in February this year. Speaker 400:23:14Got it. Appreciate it, guys. Thank you. Operator00:23:20Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bonnie Herzog from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Speaker 500:23:28All right. Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to ask about your fuel volumes, which were up, I guess, a modest 50 bps on a same store basis in the quarter. This is despite an easy year over year compare. Speaker 500:23:42So could you talk through the drivers of a bit of the slowdown that you're seeing? And really, Andrew, your outlook for industry fuel volumes over the next few years? Also, could you maybe talk about any benefit you might have seen in the quarter and possibly in October from the hurricanes, I guess, Helene and Milton? Thanks. Speaker 200:24:05Yes. So look, I think if you go back on a 3 year stack, I mean, you look at 1 year numbers, 2 year numbers, 3 years numbers, in the period where we gained the most significant market share, we're still holding on to close to 5% on a 3 year stack basis. So we know in high prices and falling price environments, that's ultimately when we take the most share. And as we said before, in low price like we're seeing now, we give a little bit of that back and Murphy Drive Rewards has been a significant contributor into not giving as much back as we would have given back and say 2015 after the price fall off in 2014. So we're actually view this as positive, especially given kind of the macro trends around relatively flat fuel gallons. Speaker 200:25:01With respect to the 2 hurricanes, first of all, our team did an incredible job keeping stores open to the last possible safe moment for our teams and getting them opened very quickly. And we saw the typical pre storm by followed by a dip in the days where maybe some stores couldn't reopen due to power being out, but with generators getting to the stores quickly, getting those volumes back up. So no real appreciable impact from the stores and minimum damage thankfully to the stores and no impact materially to our team members. Our Tampa terminal also the team did an incredible job of preparing it. It was the last to close and the first to reopen and our fuel transport providers which we use third parties for did a great job reallocating trucks. Speaker 200:26:08So despite all the headline news, there is really no material impact to us from a fuel gallons standpoint from the 2 storms. Speaker 500:26:19Okay. That's helpful and good to hear. And then, I wanted to make a comment and share that I absolutely love that you're rebranding your tobacco business to nicotine. So hoping to hear a little more color on some of the strength you're seeing there. And if you have plans, I guess, to change your back bar either this year still or early next year to add essentially more space for smoke free nicotine products. Speaker 500:26:46And in the context of that, ultimately, do you see further upside to your nicotine margins over the next few years? Thank you. Speaker 200:26:55Sure. I mean, when we talk to investors, many have taken the position that nicotine broadly or the tobacco category, as we called it previously, is a growing category and certainly oral nicotine, non combustible products are a significant portion of that growth. So it's just changing the times. It's interesting when we acquired QuickCheck, they had already named the category nicotine on their side. So in terms of color, we'll continue to provide the same color that we have in the past, right? Speaker 200:27:33We're growing share across the categories. We're constantly making updates to our back bar optimizing space. They're working closely with the manufacturers on that. So in terms of a complete revamp of our back bar, I don't see that coming. It will just be the continued evolution as we've been a leader on a lot of the products. Speaker 200:27:57With respect to upside, I think there's going to be upside in at least three areas. 1, as other retailers kind of deemphasize the traditional products and with the price increases that you see from the manufacturers, our everyday low price becomes more and more and more relevant. And so we will continue to pick up share and grow contribution margin dollars in the traditional products. 2, especially with the oral nicotine products and their higher contribution margin per use equivalent, that change in from growth associated with that will be positive. And it may show up in a higher unit margin or it may not depending on how much the traditional products grow in relation to that, but it will absolutely grow more contribution margin dollars. Speaker 200:29:02And the 3rd area of possible tailwinds for us would be if other retailers, manufacturers and distributors and the FDA and the DOJ would take a more responsible approach towards the illicit and illegal products in the marketplace. And as we mentioned, the state took and we saw a significant uplift across the tobacco, nicotine categories in that state. And so we see that as an opportunity down the road as some have projected almost 80% of vapor products are considered illicit or illegal products. Speaker 500:29:57Yes. Very much agreed. Thank you, Andrew. I'll pass it on. Speaker 400:30:01Thanks. Operator00:30:04Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bobby Griffin from Raymond James. Your line is open. Speaker 600:30:12Good morning, everybody. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my questions. Congrats on a good quarter. Thanks, Bobby. Speaker 600:30:19Andrew, I want to first circle back just on the consumer behavior. Clearly, a lot of different moving parts in today's economy. We've talked past calls about the QSR promotional pressure and things like that. But on a high level, how would you characterize it all versus 2Q or 1Q? Is it starting to get stable when you look at the consumer pressure? Speaker 600:30:38Just curious kind of what you would characterize it on a sequential basis to help us frame it up as we're heading into 2025? Speaker 200:30:49On a sequential basis, it does feel like it's stabilizing somewhat. Certainly, the promotional deals have been out there. So sequentially, as we see some of the retailers announcing whether it's a coffee program or sandwich program backing away from some of those, that's going to be positive. We're having to make a trade off with the 3.99, 6 inch promotional subs. So we're seeing a shift in mix from 12 inches to 6 inches but the uplift we're seeing on that is more than breakeven to positive. Speaker 200:31:35So the customer is definitely value focused. We see some of that play off in the center of the store with the basket not being maybe as complete. But I think with some uncertainty in the economy, we'll continue to see the value customer behaving as we've seen over the last couple of quarters. I think it's going to be some of the competitive relief that we certainly expect to see later in 2025. But Q1, Q2, we probably expect to continue to see competitive value offers from a broader set of QSRs. Operator00:32:19Okay. Speaker 200:32:19Certainly on the yes, I was going to say on the Murphy side, we continue to see the core fuel nicotine, beer lottery categories driving consumers and we're continuing to see the trade down to Murphy from other retailers as evidenced in our share growth there. And so the good news is it represents a higher proportion of our total network and higher proportion of our future growth as well. So while we're doing concrete steps to intentionally address some of the traffic headwinds at QuickJack, those same types of steps at Murphy are having even more compounding benefit. Speaker 600:33:09Okay. I appreciate that. And then maybe talk about something we first talked about in March. I think you guys identified some opportunities. I believe you phrased it like pulling up the bottom quartile of each quartile of your stores and EBITDA. Speaker 600:33:23And just curious where we are in that journey. Are we still kind of in the identified stage of finding the stores and finding the opportunities? Or are we moving towards more into the execution side of that, where that starts to flow through in 2025? Just anything there on one of those initiatives that we were talking about? Speaker 700:33:41Hey, good morning, Bobby. This is Mindy. I'm happy to take that question. Thanks for remembering and asking. Actually, we have made progress on that initiative. Speaker 700:33:51We've done the work to really separate our stores into groups based on those structural factors that we can look at stores on a like for like basis and assess the variability and performance. The good news is we do see variability. We have 30 clusters of similar stores. And because we now see variability in like for like stores that says that the variance should be controllable at least to some degree. And we're also now able to attribute most of that addressable variability to some 11 different performance drivers. Speaker 700:34:25And of those drivers, fuel sales, influenced by the Spencer Health represents our largest theoretical upside. So what we're going to be doing next is do a proof of concept test beginning as early as actually next week to a small set of stores with a plan to roll out to a larger set. And that proof of concept really will let us assess what is really feasible at the store, what gaps do we have in getting that benefit both at the store and at the home office and will help to inform a larger rollout. So we're still in the testing and learning phases and we're in the early days of that, but we will continue to be able to refine what's really possible for upside capture, what investments also are we going to have to put against that in order to get that benefit capture and also how do we make that benefit sustaining as we go forward. So yes, we should see some benefit for that in the next year. Speaker 700:35:25But again, we're trying to keep our expectations conservative at this point because there is no perfect store. And even though you might find some theoretical opportunity, trying to figure out what is actually realistic to expect and what gaps do we have at the store and in home office to actually get that potential. We're still trying to figure that out. But I think as we come into next year after having done this pilot, we will be a lot more informed about what the actual potential is and we will be able to start really putting some numbers behind this and giving you some more concrete guidance of what we can expect and when we can expect to get the benefit. Speaker 200:36:02Yes, Bobby, one thing I'll add to that, those inherent structural uncontrollable factors absolutely make up the top half of that range that we presented in our investor deck. So we're working on the bottom half of that range and as Mindy said proving that out. The other thing is there's one thing this incredible team of people does is they're always looking for the next opportunity and pushing it forward. But we also have a few things that we want to complete with excellence like our digital transformation initiative that continues to roll into Q1 of next year, our in store experience initiative where we've remodeled stores and taken the learnings of that into our store of tomorrow and then some other common systems work that we're doing across the enterprise. And so there's a pacing mechanism there also reflecting things that we've started that are delivering real tangible benefits to the bottom line that we want to finish with excellence. Speaker 200:37:09And Mindy leading the initiative with Gallagher rightly focusing on the biggest upside opportunity on fuel can make a huge difference because that is one of our traffic driving categories that impacts the entire store and Murphy. So more to come on that in February, but it's really something that we're not going to probably see fully baked in until 2026. Speaker 600:37:39Thank you. I appreciate the details. Best of luck here in the Q4. Speaker 200:37:44Great. Thank you. Operator00:37:48Thank you. Seeing as there are no more questions in the queue, that concludes our question and answer session. I'll now turn the call back over to Andrew Clyde for closing remarks. Speaker 200:38:00Great. Well, thanks everyone for joining. It's great to see a quarter come together despite all the noise and uncertainty out there in the marketplace and with consumers. And I think it's just evidence that our brands are delivering on a value offer that just continues to resonate. Our capability investments are continuing to translate into real results that are meaningful to the business and the consumers. Speaker 200:38:27And our teams across the enterprise are doing a great job in terms of preparing us for future growth in that walk to $1,300,000,000 in 2028. So big thanks to all the teams out there that have went through a lot in Q3 with the hurricanes and the initiatives and everything that's going on. So congratulations to them and we'll look forward to speaking with investors soon. Thank you.Read morePowered by