Hilton Grand Vacations Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
November 7, 2024

There are 9 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Hilton Grand Vacations Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. A telephone replay will be available for 7 days following the call. The dial in number for that is 844-512-2921 and enter pin 10,139,342. At this time, all participants have placed in a listen only mode and the floor will be open for your questions following this presentation. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up to allow the opportunity for everyone to ask questions and you may reenter the queue to ask additional questions if need be.

Operator

I would now like to turn the call over to Mark Melnyk, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 1

Thank you, operator, and welcome to the Hilton Grand Vacations' Q3 2024 earnings call. As a reminder, our discussions this morning will include forward looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those indicated by these forward looking statements. And these statements are effective only as of today. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise these statements.

Speaker 1

For a discussion of some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ, please see the Risk Factors section of our SEC filings. We'll also be referring to certain non GAAP financial measures. You can find definitions of components of such non GAAP measures as well as reconciliations of non GAAP and GAAP financial measures discussed today in our earnings press release and on our website at investors. Hgv.com. Our reported results for all periods reflect accounting rules under ASC 606, which we adopted in 2018.

Speaker 1

Under ASC 606, we're required to defer certain revenues and expenses related to sales made in the period when a project is under construction and then hold off on recognizing those revenues and expenses until the period when the project is completed. For ease of comparability and to simplify our discussion today, our comments on adjusted EBITDA and our real estate results will refer to results excluding the net impact of construction related deferrals and recognitions for all reporting periods. To help you make more meaningful period to period comparisons, you can find details of our current and historical deferrals and recognitions in Table T1 of our earnings release and a complete accounting of our historical deferral and recognition activity can also be found in Excel format on the Financial Reporting section of our Investor Relations website. In a moment, our Chief Executive Officer, Mark Wang will provide highlights from the quarter in addition to an update of our current operations and company strategy. After Mark's comments, our President and Chief Financial Officer, Dan Matthews, will go through the financial details for the quarter.

Speaker 1

Mark and Dan will then make themselves available for your questions. With that, let me turn the call over to our CEO, Mark Wang. Mark?

Speaker 2

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our Q3 earnings call. Before we begin, I want to give a special thank you to our team members in recognition of their efforts during this hurricane season. With 2 major hurricanes back to back causing tremendous damage across multiple states, I'm extremely proud of how our field and corporate teams responded in the midst of these natural disasters to provide continued service to our guests as well as to support our impacted team members. We're committed to providing relief to all of those affected by the storms through our contribution to the Red Cross along with additional support for our team members in their time of need. Turning to the Q3 results.

Speaker 2

We're encouraged by our progress on our strategic initiatives this quarter. We continue to execute against the cost synergies we identified as part of our Bluegreen acquisition and are tracking ahead of our assumptions. We're also seeing some positive signs following the organization changes we discussed with you last quarter. As a reminder, those changes were focused on 2 key areas, regionalization and staffing, with a goal of driving increased consistency in our sales and marketing execution. We made solid progress on both fronts, which I'll cover further in a moment.

Speaker 2

Importantly, those changes have begun to produce some early positive outcomes. We've started to see better results in our new buyer business. Our overall VPGs in October improved despite the terrible storm activity. We're also looking forward to introducing HEV MAX to our Bluegreen members, which we expect will appeal to both new buyers as well as owners who have been eagerly awaiting the program. And based on our trends and initiatives, we're optimistic about our momentum when we look at our close rates and VPGs.

Speaker 2

Now while the disruption from the reorganization is behind us, there are still some challenges that remain. It will take some time for us to reach optimum staffing levels in our sales and marketing teams. The macro environment still presents headwinds for some of our consumers. And in the very near term, we did experience some tour volume impacts related to the storms. Looking beyond these near term challenges, we're pleased with our execution and are expecting further operational improvements in the quarter ahead.

Speaker 2

I'm confident with our strategy and that we have the right scale, structure and leadership in place to create long term value for our shareholders. Turning to our results for the quarter. Reported contract sales were $777,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA was $276,000,000 with margins at 22%, which were in line with our expectations. Contract sales in the quarter were driven by lower tours and VPG. Looking at tours, our owner business showed steady growth during the quarter and we expect the upcoming launch of HEV Max and the Bluegreen system will attract more of our owners to tour and explore the new options available to them.

Speaker 2

Tour trends in our new buyer business showed a decline that was in line with what we saw in the Q2. However, we're continuing to make adjustments to our channels to improve our efficiency and we also lost several 1,000 tours to Hurricane Debbie and Helene during the period. Staying on the topic of hurricanes, while we believe the storm impact was minimal in the Q3, we expect more impact to our Q4 and Dan will get more into those details shortly. VPG for the quarter was $3,392 demonstrating sequential growth in the period that historically dipped slightly from the 2nd quarter levels. Our new buyer segment in particular improved to the best close rate of the year and within our legacy HCV DRI business, our new buyer close rates returned to growth against the prior year's quarter.

Speaker 2

And as I mentioned, we're encouraged that VPG performance improved further in October despite the impacts from the back to back hurricanes we experienced. Looking at our demand indicators, occupancy in the quarter was up about 2 points to 83%, reflecting gains in some of our mainland markets as well as lapping the occupancy reductions from last year's Maui wildfires. Consolidated arrivals for the Q4 are ahead of last year with particularly strong rental demand and our marketing package pipeline added 15,000 packages from the 2nd quarter growing to over 720,000 packages. Turning to the non real estate segments. We ended the quarter with 722,000 members and NOG of 1.2%, which aided the performance of our recurring club and resort business.

Speaker 2

We're up to 181,000 HGV MAX members today, which is 40% higher than it was at the same time period last year. We've had great success since launching the program and we expect to keep that momentum going as we roll out MAX to the Bluegreen system. Our financing business continues to manage well through the environment and execute on additional well subscribed ABS offerings to provide cash flow to our business including a deal we just priced last week. And our rental business continued to benefit from solid traveler demand. Turning to our cash flow.

Speaker 2

We're on track to produce a record amount of cash flow this year and we're also on track to return a record amount of cash to our shareholders through repurchases. This quarter, we repurchased 2,800,000 shares of stock for $108,000,000 Now let me provide an update on our strategic initiatives. As I mentioned, we continue to track ahead of our cost synergies. In addition, I'm also glad to say that the bulk of the disruption from the reorganization is now behind us. Over the course of the quarter, we finalized the deployment of our new regional sales and marketing structure, including the appointments of key leadership positions in each of those regions.

Speaker 2

The new structure aligns our support across our wider geographic portfolio and moves key decision makers closer to our frontline teams. We've also provided our teams with additional tools to enhance their flexibility in the form of non cash incentives, promotions and options to enable them to tailor the tour experience to the customers' needs, making it easier for new buyers to enter the system and provide further value for our owners as they upgrade into the higher tiers of HGV MAX. The second area of focus we discussed in our last call was staffing, and I'm pleased to report that here too we've made solid progress. Our teams have taken action to fill staffing gaps in markets where we needed to improve our sales efficiency metrics, particularly on our new buyer sales teams. And I'm happy to say that our staffing levels are in the best position they've been all year with a plan for further improvement, which will aid our tour efficiency and close rates.

Speaker 2

In addition to those areas, we continue to make progress with our partnership programs. This includes our Great Wolf partnership, which is advancing at full speed and bringing in new young families into the HGV system. In Q3, we opened 4 new retail outlets in Great Wolf locations to offer packages and are working on 4 additional openings within the year. We continue to receive positive feedback from our owners using their points for additional and shorter getaways at Great Wolf locations and the VPG across direct marketing channels confirm the high level of customer affinity between the two brands. Turning to our rebranding efforts, we remain on track to have 80% of Diamond's targeted keys rebranded by year end.

Speaker 2

And we're making good progress on our plans for rebranding Bluegreen assets as well. The majority of the assets will become Hilton Vacation Club properties, although there are a handful of unique properties that will become part of the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. As was the case with Diamond, we'll stage the rebranding of the Bluegreen Properties over the next few years with the majority of the units slated to be rebranded by the end of 2026. As I mentioned earlier, we're looking forward to introducing HEV MAX to the Bluegreen system. We think that the addition of MAX will provide new buyers with a compelling offering and motivate existing owners to upgrade their membership with us, providing Bvlgari members access to the world renowned Hilton ecosystem for the first time.

Speaker 2

I'm also excited to announce that we acquired a property in Kyoto, which will be converting to become our 3rd property within Japan. If you recall, we were the 1st international timeshare company to introduce its brand in Japan. And our Sissoko property has been so successful that we're rapidly approaching sellout ahead of schedule. As a leading destination in Japan with 75,000,000 visitors a year comparable to Orlando, we know Kyoto is popular with the Japanese and we believe the property will be very well received. We expect to start selling the project in the middle of next year and we think it's another great example of our ability to leverage our broad geographic reach including 12 sales centers in Japan to attract significant numbers of Japanese travelers who prefer domestic stays.

Speaker 2

So in summary, we continue to make solid strategic progress. And looking at the results of the quarter, I come away optimistic. While there's still some challenges ahead of us, we're actively adjusting to the environment and have initiatives in place to improve our overall execution in the quarters ahead. We remain confident with our strategy around our recent acquisition. We have the right scale, the right inventory and the right product.

Speaker 2

And with our structure in place, we're focused on execution in the coming quarters to maximize those assets and deliver value for our shareholders. With that, I'll turn it over to Dan to talk you through the numbers. Dan?

Speaker 3

Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Before we start, note that our reported results for this quarter included $49,000,000 of sales recognitions, which increased reported GAAP revenue and were related to the opening of our newest phases of Maui Bay Villas and Ocean Tower projects. We also recorded $22,000,000 of associated direct expense recognitions. Adjusting for these two items would decrease the EBITDA reported in our press release by net $27,000,000 to $276,000,000 In my prepared remarks, I'll only refer to metrics excluding net deferrals, which more accurately reflects the cash dynamics of our financial performance during the period. Turning to our results for the quarter.

Speaker 3

Total revenue excluding cost reimbursements in the quarter was $1,130,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA was $276,000,000 with margins excluding reimbursements of 25%. EBITDA included $18,000,000 of Bluegreen cost synergies recognized during the quarter or a run rate of $72,000,000 annualized on target with our plan for $100,000,000 of cost synergies within 24 months. Turning to our segments. Within real estate, contract sales were $777,000,000 for the quarter with Bluegreen contributing $195,000,000 of sales in the quarter. New buyers comprised 31% of contract sales in the quarter.

Speaker 3

Tours for the quarter were nearly 228,000 down approximately 2% from last year's pro form a level and Bluegreen contributed just under 66,000 tours for the quarter. Pro form a year over year growth trends for our owner and new buyer channels remained fairly consistent with what we saw in the Q2, although with slightly lower growth from our owner channel. On a positive note, we saw some improvements in trends as we move through the quarter and tours in September were 101% of pro form a 2019 levels, the highest achieved all year. But as Mark mentioned earlier, we still have some work ahead of us to get our channel efficiency where we'd like it to be and return to tour growth. VPG for the quarter was $3,392 which was 9% ahead of 2019 levels.

Speaker 3

Year over year growth trends in both of our channels improved over what we saw in the Q2, particularly in the new buyer channel. In fact, pro form a new buyer VPG was ahead of 2019 level for the first time since the third quarter of last year. So while it will take some time for our organizational changes to crystallize, we're optimistic given some of the early signs that we've seen. Cost of product was 12% of net BOI sales for the quarter and our provision for bad debt as a percentage of owned contract sales was 17.7% in the quarter. Real estate sales and marketing expense was $384,000,000 for the quarter or 49% of contract sales.

Speaker 3

Real estate profit for the quarter was $140,000,000 with margins of 24%. In our financing business, revenue was $105,000,000 and segment profit was $60,000,000 with margins of 57%. Financing revenue and segment profit for the quarter were impacted by the amortization of the non cash premium associated with the portfolio of receivables that we acquired from the Bluegreen acquisition coupled with the non cash premium still being amortized for the Diamond transaction, which are detailed in the tables in our earnings release. Excluding the temporary impact of these adjustments, the core underwriting business had interest income of $118,000,000 and margins of 65%. Our originated weighted average interest rate of 15.2% was slightly ahead of the 2nd quarter.

Speaker 3

Additionally, the recent easing of benchmark rates should help reduce some of the interest cost pressures on new ABS issuances. Combined gross receivables for the quarter were $3,900,000,000 or $3,010,000,000 net of allowance. Our total allowance for bad debt was $1,100,000,000 on that $3,900,000,000 receivable balance or 26 percent of the portfolio. Our annualized default rates for our consolidated portfolios inclusive of Bluegreen stood at 10.4% for the quarter. Our provision was 17 point 7% of contract sales in the quarter.

Speaker 3

This is consistent with expectations of a steady state provision level in the range of mid teens with a typical seasonal uptick in the 3rd quarter followed by sequentially lower 4th quarter. While up approximately 2 30 basis points quarter over quarter, about half of that was purely driven by higher sales mix and financing propensity on our trust product. While that product carries a higher provision rate versus deed, it also is a generally higher margin product with higher interest rates, which accretes to the bottom line over time. While we continue to expect provision in the mid teens area, this does assume consistent product and owner mix. Digging deeper into the drivers of our provision, generally the books are holding steady versus the prior quarter with 31 to 90 day delinquency ratio as a percent of current portfolio declining 12 basis points quarter over quarter.

Speaker 3

While delinquency does not drive the front end of our loss models, they are a good proxy for future trends and early indications of credit deterioration, so we monitor them closely. We continue to think the incremental value proposition, launch of HCV Max and consolidation of credit underwriting will ultimately benefit the performance of this portfolio. In our resort and club business, our consolidated member count was approximately 722,000 and NOG was 1.2% at the end of the quarter. Revenue was $179,000,000 for the quarter and segment profit was $129,000,000 with margins of 72%. Rental and ancillary revenues were $183,000,000 in the quarter with segment profit of $5,000,000 and margins of 3%.

Speaker 3

Revenue growth was driven by the addition of Bluegreen along with higher available room nights and occupancy offset by slightly lower ADR. Expenses on our legacy business continued to be elevated due to the impact of additional inventory on developer maintenance fee expenses along with the addition of Bluegreen's rental business which carried lower margins. Bridging the gap between segment adjusted EBITDA and total adjusted EBITDA, JV EBITDA was $3,000,000 corporate G and A was $36,000,000 license fees were $49,000,000 and EBITDA attributable to non controlling interest was $4,000,000 Our adjusted free cash flow in the quarter was a use of $42,000,000 which included inventory spending of $94,000,000 We have been in the market with a $500,000,000 ABF securitization and anticipate those funds hitting in the 4th quarter. For the full year, this should put us in line with our expectations for a conversion rate of adjusted EBITDA into adjusted free cash flow in the low 50% range. During the quarter, the company repurchased 2,800,000 shares of common stock for $108,000,000 and through October 31, we repurchased an additional 1,400,000 shares for $50,000,000 leaving us with $503,000,000 of remaining availability under our share repurchase plans.

Speaker 3

We remain committed to capital returns as our primary use of excess free cash flow and we'll maintain our existing pace of approximately $100,000,000 per quarter in share repurchases. Turning to our outlook. While the hurricane related impact was relatively small in the 3rd quarter, we estimated approximately $3,000,000 of EBITDA. We are expecting a larger impact to our Q4 due to tour cancellations and physical damage at several of our properties. Based on our current expectations of the storm impacts, we are now comfortable at the low end of our existing guidance range of $1,075,000,000 to $1,135,000,000 for the year.

Speaker 3

As of September 30, our liquidity position consisted of $297,000,000 of unrestricted cash and $308,000,000 of availability under our revolving credit facility. Our debt balance at quarter end was comprised of corporate debt of $5,000,000,000 and non recourse debt balance of approximately $1,600,000,000 At quarter end, we had $750,000,000 of the remaining capacity in our warehouse facility. We also had $1,700,000,000 of notes that were current on payments but unsecuritized. Of that figure, approximately $1,300,000,000 monetized through either warehouse borrowings or securitizations while another $294,000,000 of mortgage notes we anticipate being eligible following certain customary milestones such as first payment, deeding and recording. I'd also like to note that of the $1,300,000,000 at quarter end, just over $500,000,000 was securitized after the quarter in our recent ABS financing that I mentioned.

Speaker 3

Following the quarter, we also successfully closed on a $400,000,000 Term Loan A, which was used to prepay Term Loan B with pricing 50 basis points cheaper at SOFR plus 1.75, saving us approximately $3,000,000 per year in interest. Turning to our credit metrics. At the end of the Q3 and inclusive of all anticipated cost synergies, the company's total net leverage on a TTM basis was 4 times. We will now turn the call over to the operator and look forward to your questions. Operator?

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. And our first question here will come from Patrick Scholes with Tudor Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 4

Great. Thank you. A number of questions here. Good morning, Mark and Dan. On the issue that especially plagued you last quarter with the BVH sales integration, would you say that's fully resolved at this point?

Speaker 4

Or is it still a work in progress?

Speaker 2

Yes. So, first of all, I think the integration is we're really pleased with the progress around the integration. And as you know, with the main elements around cost savings, it's gone very well. I think we're we put out a number of $100,000,000 and we're probably at a run rate of right around $70,000,000 at this point. As far as the management structure, the reorg goes, that has gone extremely well.

Speaker 2

It's in place and we're starting to see traction there. And really the purpose of that rework was we are much bigger company geographically than we were before. We went from 5 core markets and 5 regional markets to now 5 core markets and 45 regional markets. And just to give you kind of a sense of scale, those 5 core markets averaged $360,000,000 in contract sales and then we have the 45 markets that averaged $27,000,000 So quite different in the makeup of the business pre acquisitions to today. And so we have reorganized the business around 5 regions instead of the 2 regions we had before.

Speaker 2

That structure is in place. It's enabling us to make faster decisions around and getting our decision makers closer to the field. So and it's really allowing us to empower those regional markets, sales and marketing teams to improve around recruiting and training. So we feel really good about the progress we've made and we're starting to see the benefits of that and especially with the results we saw in October, some very positive results on the VPG side despite the impact from the hurricane.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. And then just a follow-up question here and perhaps a clarification. I'm taking the full year guided range down to the lower end. Just to be clear here, is that solely because of the hurricane impact only or is there anything else in there?

Speaker 3

The vast majority of that is associated with the hurricanes, Patrick. There's a couple other items that obviously as you're aware the hotel workers strike in Hawaii had an impact on us. And we're launching HGV MAX for Bluegreen next week and that's a little behind where we originally anticipated launching it. So the combination of those factors are what's really driving, saying the lower end of that range.

Speaker 4

Okay. And then just one more question if

Operator

I

Speaker 4

may. Last quarter really called out as an issue softer local market trends. Anything

Operator

you'd like to

Speaker 4

update on that or how that stands? Thank you. And that's it for me.

Speaker 2

Patrick, I'm not sure, I remember talking about slower market trends. Are you talking about the consumer? What's happening with the consumer? Or is that what you're asking?

Speaker 4

Yes. I remember and this was a question I had asked. In some of your local markets, you have cited softer trends. But maybe if that wasn't the case, just give us a

Speaker 2

No. Okay. I know what you're asking. Yes. So the local marketing, right.

Speaker 2

Yes. So yes, we had a drop off in local marketing and part of that was really driven around staffing as we were prioritizing our direct marketing tours who are traveling to the property. Since we were low on staffing, we were prioritizing our direct marketing tours over our local marketing tours. So we reduced the slots available for our local marketing, which impacted our tour flow. That has improved.

Speaker 2

We continue to work really hard on the staffing and recruiting. I'd say we've added 10 new recruiters into the system. We really got behind in 2023 and it's been catch up. And we're anticipating by the end of this year, we should be fully staffed. So we're making great progress, which will improve our ability to take more local marketing tours.

Operator

And our next question will come from Brandt Montour with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my question. So just to sort of maybe paraphrase or summarize some of your comments, Mark, on the KPIs within timeshare in the quarter. It sounds like Q3 overall was in line with what you guys were expecting to do, but then owner tour flow was maybe a little bit softer and it looks like it was offset by newer new buyer tour flow. Please correct me if that's wrong.

Speaker 5

And then the follow on is sort of where you if you could just walk through legacy HTV, Diamond and BVH and sort of across the good guys and the bad guys where you saw positive or negative sort of versus your expectations?

Speaker 2

Yes. Actually, owner business is very stable, especially from a tour flow perspective. We did have some impact on new buyer tours and that was partially related to the hurricanes, right? Now it was less impactful in the Q3 than it will be in the Q4. I would say from a macro environment standpoint and how the consumer is performing, very consistent across all of our businesses.

Speaker 2

I think if you want to get into any specifics around one particular brand or legacy brand, I would say the dynamics around Bluegreen has been a bit more impacted and it really was partially they're disproportionately impacted by the hurricanes more. But second, it was really around cleaning up some of the new buyer channels. And also, we eliminated a 3rd party vendor, which we historically don't work with that Bluegreen was working with. And also we had some hesitancy as we pointed out around the launch of MAX. And it's we're excited.

Speaker 2

We're launching next week. It's coming on board a little later. But as you can imagine those Bluegreen owners who have known for close to a year now that Hilton acquired them that they've been waiting anxiously to find out what that means and they're going to be able to understand what that means next week when we launch. I know our teams are super excited about it. They've been waiting on pins and needles for this launch and we think it's going to be a strong benefit for us in the Q4 and moving into next year.

Speaker 5

Okay. That's helpful. Thanks for that. And then maybe just double clicking on new buyer close rates, which you made it sound like it was getting better and into the Q4 as well. Some of your peers sort of have talked about tweaks and promotional strategies and other initiatives that they've taken that's helped improve their new buyer close rates.

Speaker 5

I know everyone sort of beats to their own drum. But did you make tweaks to any of your strategies? Or is it really just about that blocking and tackling of the reorg from a sales perspective, a sales personnel perspective and then now that's in place and you're starting to see people actually be aligned and working together?

Speaker 2

Yes. No, alignment is a great word to use there. And definitely the staffing and I think the better organizational alignment to increase the speed and efficiency in our regional markets is helping us a lot. We did roll out some non cash incentives of a wider range of financing options and promotions that better align with the customers that we were seeing coming through the door. I'd say additionally we've gotten some enhancements from our drive to options through Great Wolf.

Speaker 2

And looking forward again going back to Max, I think that's going to be a real benefit. But also expanding our ultimate access, our experiential platform to the Bluegreen membership base should be great. So yes, we're always working on how we can enhance our value proposition and those are other initiatives that we have in place that we're going to be rolling out soon. So all in all, we're making adjustments. We're pivoting to what the market is bringing to us and the teams are doing a really good job in executing.

Operator

And our next question will come from Chris Woronka with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hey, good morning guys. Thanks for all the details so far. I was hoping you could maybe and I realize now with Diamond and BXG, you're a much larger, more diverse company than you were many years ago. But I was hoping you could maybe kind of think about your 3 large markets still, right? And just classify those as Hawaii broadly and Las Vegas and Orlando.

Speaker 6

And I think those markets had some kind of unique challenges in Q3. I was just hoping you could maybe give us a little bit of perspective as to how you see those, how you see kind of core flow or sales or whatever metric you might want to look at going forward? Thanks.

Speaker 2

Yes. No, a great question. So Las Vegas is our largest market and Vegas continues to perform at a very high level. So we continue to see strong demand there. So pleased with that.

Speaker 2

Orlando, we have seen softening as it relates to arrivals and we've seen softening on the rental side around rate. We've got a pretty big footprint in Orlando. I think there's anticipation of Universal opening up here next year. So I think people are excited about that and we hope that's going to drive some more demand in that market. Now Hawaii has been impacted by a couple of things.

Speaker 2

We're still waiting for the Japanese, the Japanese FIT traveler to come back. And at this point, it's really back at about 50%. The good news is our Japanese owners are back at almost 90% level. So we've seen a good recovery there. We also had to deal with a strike.

Speaker 2

And I think it's pretty well known there was a pretty extended strike that occurred at the Hilton Hawaiian Village. The good news is that was settled earlier this week and team members came back to work, but our teams did a great job. We had marketing reps cleaning rooms. We had salespeople handling baggage for people. So the teams did a great job chipping in, providing as good experience as we could, but it did create some disruption, but that's behind us now.

Speaker 6

Okay. Thanks, Mark. And then Hilton has picked up a couple of new brands this year, right, Graduate and I guess I should call the SLH more of an affiliation. Do those transactions over to Hilton, do those provide you guys with any more lean capability? Or do you I'm not sure how the SLH thing really works as it pertains to you guys in marketing?

Speaker 2

Yes. No, look, we're very fortunate to be partners with Hilton. And as you've heard from Chris and KJ, they continue to expand their loyalty member base, the Graduate brand acquisition, it was a great acquisition for them. It's a high quality brand and we will have access like we do to the data that's provided from those guests staying at those properties. So it's all positive.

Speaker 2

When Hilton is growing, it's a positive trend for HGV.

Operator

And our next question will come from David Katz with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for all the details so far and for taking my question.

Speaker 2

I wanted to just get

Speaker 7

a little more detail, a little more insight on new owners. And anything you're sort of hearing from them that it seems a little stronger for yourselves and peers as well. Where do you think that is coming from? And do you have any expectation that maybe post election there may be more comfort or less for that matter?

Speaker 2

Yes. So I would say post election, we're I think there was a lot of uncertainty out there around the election and I'm just glad we're past that. And I think that will benefit not only us, but it will benefit the country, right? So excited we've got past that. Look, I'd say with new buyers, number 1, consumers are still spending on travel, right?

Speaker 2

And while there appears to be some softening in the broader demand for leisure out there, our indicators are still remain strong. Our arrivals on the books, our occupancy rates, our package pipeline are all solid. So we're seeing year over year growth there. So from a travel backdrop standpoint that is all very positive for new buyers. That said, I talked about last quarter, there's some hesitancy in the consumer in the lower net worth segment and nothing has really changed in that regard.

Speaker 2

But what's changed for us is our focus on what we can control. And I've talked about the staffing levels. We've talked about the additional sales tools. But importantly, we've been focusing our attention more on the higher net worth customers and pushing away from some of the lower net worth customers. And so while that may have an impact in overall tour flow growth, we're starting to see the benefit in our VPG in particular what we saw throughout October.

Speaker 7

Got it. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from Ben Chacon with Mizuho. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hey, how's it going? Just circling back to the sales force again, I know it's been talked about, but clearly some volatility year to date for reasons that were flushed out last quarter. I just want to be clear. Is the leadership that you want in place? And then is there any type of ramp up for the salespeople integrating into the new product?

Speaker 8

And just what other steps do you need to take? I just want to get kind of like a clear picture of where we stand today and then what needs to be done going forward? Thanks.

Speaker 2

Yes. So the leadership is in place and we have new leaders in place and heading up all of our regions. We have a new leader heading up overall sales and marketing for the company and I talked about that gentleman last quarter. From a sales staffing standpoint, we're making good progress. I think I talked about it just a few minutes ago.

Speaker 2

We've hired 10 additional recruiters. We've hired 1200 new sales reps since the last quarter. We've increased our training classes. And we expect by the end of the year, we should be fully staffed to about 95%. There's some smaller markets out there that are a bit more challenging that may take a little longer, but got to give credit to our sales leadership and our HR leadership and our recruiting teams.

Speaker 2

They've done a good job. We got behind. We identified the issue and they've attacked it head on.

Speaker 8

Got you. That's very helpful. And then just high level, do you feel like from a sales and marketing and staffing perspective, do you feel like you took a step down between 2Q and 3Q? And then now we're kind of building? Or do you think it improved from 2Q to 3Q?

Speaker 8

Just your high level kind of broad stroke view on the sales force overall?

Speaker 2

No. I think it stepped up and I think it's already going to get better. When you're bringing a lot of new first of all, you put a lot of new leaders in the system. It takes a while for them to get acclimated and get acclimated to the market to their teams. And you're bringing a lot of new staff into the system.

Speaker 2

It takes them time to get trained up. And you have a certain level of turnover that's going to be occurring. That's natural in this business. And so all in all, my view on this is we move into this quarter and into the Q1, Q2, we're going to continue getting better and better on the execution side. So, are we there today?

Speaker 2

No, we're not where we want to be. But, my expectations with the momentum, everything we've done, all the investments we're making right now, our execution on the sales and marketing side will continue to improve as we move into 2025.

Operator

And this concludes our question and answer session. Before we end, I'll turn the call back over to Mark Wang for any closing remarks. Mr. Wang?

Speaker 2

All right. Well, thank you for joining us today. Before we wrap up, I'd like to reiterate that our thoughts are with all of those who were affected by the storms and are recovering from them. We really appreciate the hard work and dedication of our team members during those trying times and we know that our members do as well. So we look forward to speaking with you soon.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

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Key Takeaways

  • Hilton Grand Vacations delivered Q3 contract sales of $777 million and adjusted EBITDA of $276 million (22% margin), in line with expectations despite hurricane-related tour disruptions.
  • Integration of the Bluegreen acquisition is ahead of schedule, with $18 million of cost synergies recognized this quarter (a $72 million annualized run rate) and a new regionalized sales and marketing structure improving efficiency.
  • Sales productivity improved as average VPG rose to $3,392 (9% above 2019 levels) and new buyer close rates reached their highest level of the year, supported by 181,000 HGV MAX members (+40% year-over-year).
  • Hilton Grand Vacations repurchased $108 million of its stock in Q3 and retains $503 million of remaining share-repurchase capacity, targeting roughly $100 million per quarter as its primary use of excess free cash flow.
  • Strong travel demand continues—with Q4 arrivals and occupancy outpacing last year—though the company expects a larger hurricane impact in Q4 and remains at the low end of its full-year EBITDA guidance.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Hilton Grand Vacations Q3 2024
00:00 / 00:00