Birkenstock Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
February 29, 2024

There are 19 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Birkenstock's First Quarter Fiscal 20 24 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. The company allocated 60 minutes in total to this conference call.

Operator

I would like to I will now turn the call over to Alexander Hoff, Vice President of Global Finance.

Speaker 1

Hello, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. On the call are Oliver Reichert, Director of Bergensdock Holding Plc and Chief Executive Officer of the Bergensdock Group and Erik Massmann, Chief Financial Officer of the Bergensdock Group. David Carhan, President of Americas Niko Bujav, President Europe and Klaus Baumann, Chief Sales Officer, will join us today on the Q and A section to answer your questions with regards to the information we are sharing this morning. Please keep in mind that our fiscal year end September 30, thus our Q1 of fiscal year 2020 4 ended on December 31, 2023. You may find the press release and the supplemental presentation connected to today's discussion on our Investor Relations website, bergenstock holding.com.

Speaker 1

We would like to remind you that some of the information provided during this call is forward looking and accordingly is subject to the Safe Harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to various risks, uncertainties and assumptions, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from these statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions are detailed in the morning's press release as well as our filings with the SEC, which can be found on our website at bkkenstockholing.com. We undertake no obligation to revise or update any forward looking statements or information, except as required by law. During the call, all revenue growth rates will be cited on a constant currency basis, unless otherwise stated.

Speaker 1

We will also reference certain non IFRS financial information. We use non IFRS measures as we believe they represent the operational performance and underlying results of our business more accurately. The presentation of this non IFRS financial information is not intended to be considered by itself or as a substitute for the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with IFRS. Reconciliations of IFRS to non IFRS measures can be found on the Morning's press release and in our SEC filings. With that, I'll turn the call over to Oliver.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Alexander. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining today's call. It's great to be here with you to discuss another exceptional quarter. We achieved the highest revenue level for the Q1 in our company's history, driven by growing demand for our products across all regions, channels and categories. Accordingly, revenue grew by 26 percent versus our Q1 last year.

Speaker 2

We also successfully increased our production capacity as planned, penetrated our largely untapped white space areas and maintained our strong profit formula. Our revenue growth was driven by an increase in both ASP and units. ASP benefited from the continued shift to premium products, a favorable channel mix towards D2C and sales price increases. Additionally, units sold also increased as additional production capacity became available in Germany and Portugal to fuel our supply capabilities to meet the growing demand in our products. The strength of the Birkenstock brand is evidenced by continued high levels of full price realization across all points of distribution.

Speaker 2

We have observed that general consumer shopping has transitioned from shopping arbitrarily to intentional purchasing where consumers are seeking the key brand and products they love. Accordingly, we remain highly confident in our ability to continue our strong performance through fiscal 2024 and beyond. Our DTC channel was once again our fastest growing channel in the Q1 of fiscal 2024, resulting in a 53% share of revenue. Members of our fast growing membership program are highly engaged and most apt to expand the purchases of our brands. As the average U.

Speaker 2

S. Bittingstock consumer owns 3.6 pairs, this growing membership base of loyal fans is proving to be fertile ground for our expansion and is a key focus for us in fiscal year 2024. Despite a challenging backdrop in the wholesale market, our B2B business achieved healthy revenue growth of 22% against the same period last year. As a must have brand for all leading retail partners, we expect our penetration to expand in fiscal 2024. In our Q1, which marks winter in the Northern Hemisphere, we have seen a significant continuous shift towards closed toe silhouettes, including clocks, exceeding for the first time the share of XENONCE, as well as a sustained move towards premium products.

Speaker 2

This is clearly demonstrated by strong sell through in premium products, such as clogs, boots, shearling products and closed toe sneakers. We are particularly excited to see our higher priced new boots silhouettes, the Highwood and the Prescott, outperforming our sellout expectations in D2C since their launch in October 23. While we have generated significant momentum and compelling sales results from our new styles, our momentum with our core styles remains unbroken. This highlights the commercial relevance of our iconic models and the continued demand for our most recognizable styles. We have also seen higher sales of the premium leather executions of our classic silhouettes.

Speaker 2

It's great to see these products remain in high demand after the peak holiday season. In a marketplace where inventory excess is a critical concern, our stock to sales ratios at Wholesale Partners proved to be an outlier. Now let's move to our discussion of segment performance. Within our largest region, the Americas, consumer momentum and demand for our brand continued to increase. Revenue in the region was up 19%.

Speaker 2

A larger driver of the growth was once again the DTC channel. As one would expect in a quarter driven more by sell through than sell in, DTC penetration increased even further. Notably, approximately half of our revenues was generated from members of our membership program, which we are working to further expand given the strong brand engagement and fandom of these consumers. For our B2B channel in the Americas, please recall that we had large shipments early in the Q4 of fiscal 2023 to capture the expected increase in demand around the holiday season, for the Q1 of 'twenty four, most of our top line growth was driven by greater penetration within our existing B2B channel. Specifically, with the expansion of categories like closed toe silhouettes with the vast majority of our shipment growth going to existing partners.

Speaker 2

Only a single digit percentage of revenue in the Americas is attributed to new points of distribution. With a heightened focus on specialty retailers, including sports specific running retailers, where the benefits of our footbed as a recovery from sport is finding strong end use demand. In Europe, we delivered exceptional growth in the Q1 of fiscal 2024. In the macroeconomic environment where consumers remained more subdued in their spending, Wittenstock continued to perform strongly. Our revenue in Europe increased by 33% in the first quarter.

Speaker 2

As a reminder, the reported revenue level in the Q4 of fiscal 2023 was still impacted by our sales transformation initiatives, which have started to pay off in the Q1 of fiscal 2024. Our growth in Europe was broad based across all our channels and geographies, underpinned by very strong sell out performance during the holiday season. Notably, the sell out of fitness shock products with some key partners was up high double digits versus Q1 fiscal 2023. In D2C, revenue also increased significantly and supported our strong overall growth. The Q1 of fiscal 2024 also marked the start of our ambitious store opening plan in which we aim to double our fleet in Europe over the coming 3 years.

Speaker 2

After closing many legacy stores over the past 2 years, we are pleased to see the recently opened Cologne pop up is among our top performing European stores, delivering the highest ASP from day 1. In B2B, we are increasing our shelf space and continue to be one of the top performing brands for our wholesale partners in Europe. Key retailers are increasing their purchases and shifting their volumes towards earlier delivery dates. This is resulting in an even higher revenue growth for the B2B, with nearly all of this growth coming from existing distribution partners. Lastly, we successfully launched new products in our expansionary categories.

Speaker 2

We presented our new and fully certified professional line at A plus A fair, the world's largest workwear trade fair, and received great response from more than 3,000 industry visitors at our booth. This quarter, our professional product category delivered the 2nd highest growth rate, both in terms of value and units. It is indicative of the strength of our brand that we have fully implemented our springsummer 2024 price increases with no adverse impact on demand and our full price realization in Europe remains very strong. Atma was our fastest growing segment in the Q1 of fiscal 2024 with revenue growth of 51%. Growth in the region was largely driven by our DTC channel, with the digital portion of the channel nearly doubling versus last year.

Speaker 2

We also saw a healthy increase in B2B in the Q1 of fiscal 2024, which was driven by an expansion of our mono brand partner store environment with 10 newly opened stores. Similar to the other regions, closed toe silhouettes including clocks played a decisive role in our success, contributing more than half of total revenue in the region. I will now turn it over to Erik to discuss our financial results in more detail. Thanks, Oliver, and good morning, everyone.

Speaker 3

We are pleased with Bergelstok's performance in the Q1 of fiscal 2024. While the broader consumer environment continued to be challenging, our brand once again proved to be extremely healthy and our growth algorithm to be firmly intact. Bergstock is one of the few must carry brands in the wholesale channel that also drives shoppers to retail stores and our B2C channels, particularly as consumers become more intentional in their purchases. This trend is reflected in our Q1 fiscal 2024 results, which includes the holiday season. Let's have a look into the details of Q1 results.

Speaker 3

Revenue was €303,000,000 representing an increase of 26% versus prior year. BURKENSTOCK generated double digit growth across all segments and channels, demonstrating the desirability and resilience of our brand. We are particularly excited by our D2C performance, which was up by 30% versus prior year, driving D2C penetration to 53% share of our revenue. At the same time, we increased B2B revenue by 22%. Gross profit margin for Q1 fiscal 2024 was 61%, down 70 basis points compared to prior year.

Speaker 3

While we successfully recovered inflation by increasing sales prices and optimizing our channel and product mix, a slight margin compression was mainly caused by our ongoing capacity expansion and an unfavorable currency translation. Adjusted selling and distribution expenditures were €103,000,000 representing 34% of revenue in the Q1 of fiscal 2024, generally in line with the Q1 of fiscal 2023. As a reminder, our Q1 is typically the quarter with the highest DTC share and therefore, generally shows the highest selling distribution spend as a percentage of revenue. Adjusted general and administration expenses were €24,000,000 7.9 percent of revenue, up 110 basis points compared to Q1 of last year. This increase is largely driven by public company costs, which we did not incur before our IPO.

Speaker 3

1st quarter adjusted EBITDA of €81,000,000 was up 12% versus last year, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.9%. The decrease versus prior year margin was largely driven by the before mentioned effects of ongoing capacity expansion, incremental SG and A expenses, and an unfavorable currency translation. Our first quarter effective tax rate was elevated due to increased tax expenses versus the Q1 of fiscal 2023 related to one time share based compensation expenses and certain other non deductible expenses. These results cumulated in fully diluted adjusted earnings per share of EUR0.09 compared to EUR0.15 in the Q1 of fiscal 2023. Let's now have a closer look at our balance sheet as of December 31, 2023.

Speaker 3

Cash and cash equivalents were €169,000,000 The decrease compared to year end fiscal 2023 is fully in line with our expectations and is a result of the typical seasonality of our business and our deleveraging progress. In the Q1 of fiscal 2024, we build up inventory to prepare for the upcoming springsummer 2024 wholesale shipments, while improving our inventory to sales ratio compared to Q1 fiscal 2023. This build up is a regular pattern we generally observe in the Q1 of each fiscal year. Additionally, we continue to deleverage using our IPO net proceeds and excess cash on hand. We made early repayments on existing debt of EUR 525,000,000 which reduced net leverage to EUR2.6 million as of December 31, 2023.

Speaker 3

Further, we continue to invest for future growth. Capital expenditures were €80,000,000 and mainly related to our production capacity expansion. With that, I'll hand over back to Oliver.

Speaker 2

Thank you very much, Erik. Let me summarize our discussion. We are very pleased with the strong start to fiscal 2024. With continued strong consumer demand for our products, both classic and new emerging products, We are executing on our proven engineered distribution strategy, ensuring high levels of full price realization across all segments and channels. We remain committed to building on our foundation for success and driving long term sustainable growth guided by our principles of function, quality and tradition.

Speaker 2

The exceptional first quarter results demonstrates the resilience of our business. In the Americas, we gained further growth momentum by deepening our DTC footprint, while building on a loyal and steadily growing following. In Europe, our transformation plan is now paying off. At the same time, we are entering the next chapter of our growth trajectory as we tap into our largest white space market, via our region, increasing brand awareness and taking market share, while following our playbook of disciplined engineered distribution. We believe this will catapult us on a new growth trajectory in the future.

Speaker 2

As demand continues to outpace supply in all segments and channels. Given our continued momentum, we are even more confident in the guidance we provided you just last month. While our strategic investment in sustainable growth temporarily impacts our profitability mid term, we are fully committed to steering our business in line with a gross profit margin over 60% and an adjusted EBITDA margin in the low 30s percent mid term. We are carefully tracking costs on the sourcing and production side as our capacity expansion is proceeding as expected. We continue to recover the impact of inflation through selective price increase.

Speaker 2

So in short, we are very pleased to report that we have never been in a better position to grow our business. Wittgenstock is 250 years strong, and we have a long runway for growth ahead. I would now kindly ask the operator to open our Q and A session. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. And the first question today is coming from Dana Telsey from Telsey Group. Dana, your line is live.

Speaker 4

Hi. Congratulations on the nice results today. Last quarter, you had mentioned some of the impacts of inflation and the AUR increases that you were taking. What are you seeing on those inflationary impacts? And it sounds like the new manufacturing facility, how is what's happening with capacity utilization?

Speaker 4

What are you seeing there? And how do you think about leverage? Thank you.

Speaker 5

Hi, Dana. Thanks for the question.

Speaker 6

This is Alexander. I will take that over. So first of all, for the cadence of our earnings, we aren't going to guide on quarterly margins. But what I can tell you is that we are very pleased with our margins, especially in a situation where we took the strategic decision to substantially increase production capacity. And please be reminded that it's not only Parzival, we opened in September, it is also our expansion in Gorlitz and our expansion in Portugal.

Speaker 6

And they're very happy to see that expansion because it gives us possibility to meet future demand. We already touched on that, that those effects will slightly impact our margins in 2024. This is clearly a temporary effect. We fully accounted in our guidance and our plans for and on the inflation side. Yes, Oliver mentioned, we are carefully tracking the cost of sourcing and production.

Speaker 6

We see for this year a low to mid single digit COGS inflation, mainly labor and raw material, which we expect to mitigate through our selected price increases. Again, all those are reflected in our guidance. And to sum it up, we are fully committed to steer our business in line with the gross profit margin over 60% and then adjusted EBITDA margin in

Speaker 3

the low 30s in the mid term.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Ed Alban from Morgan Stanley. Ed, your line is live.

Speaker 7

Yes. Good afternoon. Good morning, guys. So just on the mix, the close to I think you said that it's the sales now exceeded the sales of sandals. Are you talking about more than 50% of sales?

Speaker 7

Just to clarify because my recollection, but maybe I'm wrong, was that close to penetration was about 30% of sales last year. So that would be quite a steep increase. And then just related to that, Oliver, you mentioned that a number of products did well in close toe. But could you provide a little bit more color between the sneakers, slippers, boots and the Boston? Is the Boston now exceeding 20% of your sales or not?

Speaker 7

That would be very helpful.

Speaker 8

Edward, this is David. I'll take this. Yes, I mean, during the holiday season, which is more of a sell through than a sell in season, results for closed toe footwear in general were quite significant. D2C, 53% were non sandals. That's across all closed toe categories from sneakers to slippers to clogs.

Speaker 8

Some of the sell throughs on our new boots like the Highwood and the Prescott were exceeding all expectations. And just to give you a little bit more color, absolutely, the Boston is what you would call the hot clog, but within the clog category, sales of everything other than Boston, including the Tokyo, which is basically a back strap clog, the Newser Mot 360, the Buckley, all exceeded expectations. Sales in clogs other than Boston were 75% higher. So it's a broadly based closed toe business right now. And I think that's quite significant to say that this was the first time that non sandals were the larger percentage of our business.

Operator

Thank you. And the next question is coming from Mark Altschwager from Baird. Mark, your line is live. Great.

Speaker 9

Thank you for taking my question and congratulations on the strong results here. So the sustained shift to premium products is nice to hear. How should we be thinking about ASP growth both this year and longer term? Is mid single digits still the right expectation? Or are you gaining some confidence that it could be higher than this given the success you're seeing in the premium price points?

Speaker 6

Thanks for the question, Mark. That's a great view. You are absolutely right, and you saw that also in the Q4 numbers. We reported just a month ago that we're seeing a great shift towards premium products. Boston is helping clearly, but also other products.

Speaker 6

Colleagues already mentioned that. Overall, it's a fair assumption to be in the mid to high single digit ASP growth. And we already mentioned that we allocate roughly onethree to the product side, to the channel side and to the pricing side. Between the quarter and between the years, there can be some little shift. And yes, maybe this year, there's a little shift towards the product side.

Speaker 6

But overall, on the long run, you should be good with the 3rd number.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Matthew Boss from JPMorgan. Matthew, your line is live.

Speaker 10

Great. Thanks and congrats on another nice quarter. So, Oliver, could you elaborate on your increased confidence in this year's guide? Or have you seen any change in top line momentum post holiday relative to the more than 20% constant currency growth that we saw last quarter, just as you think about demand exceeding supply?

Speaker 2

As you know, Matt, demand of our product has exceeded our supply for years. We have had to invest in our growth capacity, which will lead to a planned moderate margin compression, as we said and as we showed in our model in the short to midterm. However, this would be more than compensated for in the mid term by further qualitatively growth in all regions and channels and a higher overall efficiency in production. So for the moment, we stay with our outlook and our guidance. We just gave you a month ago.

Speaker 2

Just keep in mind, Matt, that the first quarter is our weakest quarter normally, and it's pretty strong already. So, yes, you can see us smiling and very confident. Thank

Operator

The next question is coming from Louise Singlehurst from Goldman Sachs. Louise, your line is live.

Speaker 11

Hi, Oliver, Eric and Alexander. Thanks for taking my question. Just on that point, the greater confidence in particular region, which has made you feel a little bit warmer about life as we look at the year ahead since January. And particularly on Europe,

Speaker 6

Hey, Louise. This is Nico speaking heading up Europe. So first of all, we are very, very delighted to see Europe completing the transformation plan. We shared the details with you during the IPO and shared more details with you in the last quarter's call. Q4 fiscal 'twenty three was impacted by transformational efforts.

Speaker 6

Now as we almost completed our transformational plan, these impacts become smaller, almost minimal, and we are very, very confident with our current position in the European market. The overall market is soft, as we know, but we are very, very strongly positioned, and 3 years of hard work and our transformation plan are now paying off. So Q1 is another quarter. We substantially increased our ASP. It's another quarter where revenues significantly outgrow units, and it's another quarter where our close to show business is growing faster than our Sandoz business.

Speaker 6

As Oliver mentioned, in this quarter that is bridging 2 seasons, we had 2 consecutive price adjustments, no signs of rejection, and our full price realization is superior to the market. So that shows you that we have done our homework in Europe and we are very, very confident about how we look into the future.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Sam Poser from Williams Trading. Sam, your line?

Speaker 12

Open. Thank you. Good morning, everybody.

Speaker 2

I've got

Speaker 12

2 questions. Sorry, I didn't break the rule. The first question is that about your inventory levels that at the end of the year at the end of last year, represented about 7 the sales that followed in Q2 and Q3 last year represented around 73% of the inventory you had at the end of Q1, your cost of goods. Is that was that accurate because or should we expect that same kind of thing this year? Or are you expecting to slow down the turn a little bit?

Speaker 12

I mean, because if I'm looking at it from an inventory productivity

Speaker 3

That's a little late for the answer. No. As you see, as you saw, we that changes certainly in the inventory level, but you're always aware that 20 percent of the inventory would be raw materials and work in progress. And the vast majority of the carryover carryover products and already contracted value and the healthy inventory is shown by the pool price more than 90%, especially due to the classic styles and so on. The ratio actually came down if you compare to Q1 last year, 42% inventory to sales ratio, that was 35% last year, but it's higher than end of Q4.

Speaker 3

Now this is obviously due to the fact that in Q2, we do the wholesale shipment and we pre produce to be ready and prepared for the big shipments, which we do in Q2. So it's, A, in line with the development in the past and, B, getting better year over year because we work hard on this. And as you see successfully, it was a 3% downturn already in Q1 this year.

Speaker 12

And then secondly, the average selling price increase, how much can you break that down, the mid to high singles, whatever it's going to be, by pricing by the actual taking of price, and then channel product and geographic mix that may be helping or hurting in either place in all those places?

Speaker 6

Yes, Tim, this is Alexander. I will take that over. We saw just a little effect in channel mix. Last year's quarter was even that strong than this year's quarter. So that's a slightly positive effect, but you can reject that.

Speaker 6

The other 2 are more relevant, which is the pricing point. Nico touched on that, especially in the Europe and APA region with price increases. And let's say, the other 50% is related to the product piece.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Sharon Zackfia from William Blair. Sharon, your line is live.

Speaker 13

Hi. Thanks for taking the question. I just wanted to come back to the full year guide. I mean, you've obviously started with a really strong December. And I think the implication would be growth would moderate to 15% to 17% top line for the rest of the year, which is very, very healthy, but obviously below the trend you've been at.

Speaker 13

Is there any particular part of the world or wholesaler DTC where we would expect to see some deceleration because of what's happening with capacity expansion or anything else as we think about the rest of the year? Or is it more a reflection of it's still early in the year there's inherent uncertainty just generally in the environment?

Speaker 2

Thank you for your question. It's really about having just assuring the guidance 4 weeks ago. And on the other hand, it's just the Q1, we see a lot of demand in the markets, all channels, all geographics. And so honestly, we will just feel much better if you stay with our guidance for the moment. As you know, we already have some information about Q2, of course.

Speaker 2

So you may see us changing our position. But for the moment, we are good with the guidance.

Speaker 13

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Sharon. Thanks. Our next

Operator

question is coming from Simeon Siegel from BMO Capital Markets. Simeon, your line is live.

Speaker 14

Thanks. Hey, everyone. Nice job. Hope you all do. Could you elaborate at all on the increased shelf space for the European B2B?

Speaker 14

Is that gaining new partners, deeper with specific existing partners, both? Just any further color there because that was really great to hear. And then if you could quantify the name gross margin drivers this quarter, perhaps just isolating one time ish ramp costs versus the underlying performance and how you're thinking about those within gross margin going forward? Thanks guys.

Speaker 2

Hi, Simeon. Thank you for the question. I'll take the first part. The good news is and that's really something which is really super, super strong message, I would say, that we did this 26% growth more or less with 95 of the existing doors. So you can really imagine that we grab shelf space in the different doors and we really expand their interest in the brand and their sellout and their overall behavior towards the brand is super, super positive.

Speaker 2

And we are very proud that we can generate such a huge growth with existing partners. So you can imagine that once we add other doors and go in different categories because you know that we have a lot of white space categories in our back end, this will deliver a massive future growth. That's why we are so confident about our long term outlook and our profitability. And that's why we're investing that amount of money in doubling the capacity. Again, really keep in mind that this company is doubling their capacity.

Speaker 2

It's not just a slight increase, it's a doubling of the whole thing. So that's heavy lifting, and we're planning to do this within the next 3 years. So yes, we're super confident.

Speaker 6

Hi, Silvian, this is Niko. So to add a bit to what Oliver just shared, yes, B2B was very, very strong in Q1. In fact, it outgrow our DTC business, but yet DTC increased revenues high double digit. So actually, that's the magic thing with us. 1 doesn't go at the expense of the other.

Speaker 6

If I look at the B2B growth, basically, 3 things drove that growth. 1, we had a very, very strong order book for autumnwinter2023. For B2B, our closed store business grew 5x faster than our sandals business. So that shows you that we are also taking the success from DTC with our closed door business into B2B. And then for even for springsummer 2024, we even had a stronger order book.

Speaker 6

So what's currently happening is retailers are not just increasing their orders with us, they're also over proportionately increasing their orders on earlier delivery dates in order to be ready to serve consumers earlier. That's the second thing. And then as Oliver just shared in his intro, we enjoy currently a very high growth rate of our Professionals product. So you saw the product. It's an expansionary category.

Speaker 6

We shared with you the product in Munich, fully certified, presented at the biggest trade fair and are now getting a really strong demand from retailers in which is helping us to push our business again beyond the sandals category.

Operator

Thank you. And the next question is coming from Brian Hutchinson from Bank of America. Brian, your line is live.

Speaker 13

Hi, this is Lorraine Hutchinson from Bank this is Lorraine Hutchinson from Bank of America. I don't know where the Brian came from, but thank you.

Speaker 3

Good morning, Lorraine.

Speaker 2

Give us the brine inside of you, Lorraine.

Speaker 13

I wanted to just ask you to comment a little bit on the Asia growth trajectory. What are you hearing from consumers there? It sounds like the product acceptance of close has been great. Have the price increases been greeted with the same level of success as Europe? And how do you envision that business growing over the next several years?

Speaker 13

Thank you.

Speaker 15

Thank you for the question. Claus here running the Atmar region. First of all, I think it's very important to understand that we are growing everywhere in the upper region. So we are right now setting up Greater China, Japan, Indonesia, Southeast Asia. And we are now opening a lot of partner stores and we see very strong seller growth in existing stores And also we are building now our own fleet and also optimizing our D2C business there.

Speaker 15

So this is a business, for example, we have very strong results on the last 11:11 event. And with this, we can see and we're building a lot of confidence in this sector. So teams are all on ground and we are heading forward. Price increase has no effect at all. Generally, the prices are like 10% to 15% higher in this region already.

Speaker 15

And there is a history on our product in the key markets. So from that side, no negative trend or any rejection from the consumers. I think we are very beginning in this region and there is a huge white space everywhere. So we are looking very confident forward and continuing this growth path.

Speaker 6

Maybe you

Speaker 2

can add something about retail space there. Any more questions?

Operator

Yes, apologies. The next question is coming from Randy Konik from Jefferies. Randy, your line is live.

Speaker 16

Yes. Thanks a lot, guys.

Speaker 17

I just want to talk about elaborate talk more about the closed toe strength. And it appears, David, your comments earlier that there's just a higher acceleration in adoption of this part of the business. So maybe give us some perspective or remind us on where you think closed toe penetration, where you had said it would be previously? And does this kind of make you think that closed toe penetration can become even higher part of the business than you previously might have thought? And remind us maybe what are the differentials in ASPs of closed toe versus sandals, because you might get a benefit there potentially with mix as well?

Speaker 17

Thanks, guys.

Speaker 8

Yes, Randy, hey, great question. Yes, the response to our closed toe products has been even better than I think we expected. And again, you're in a holiday season where we're talking about a quarter that used to be when Birkin stock was pretty dormant as you remember in the market. No longer are we dormant in fallwinter. Right now on our own direct to consumer, to put it in perspective, fallwinter is over 50% of the mix, which is driven by closed toe products.

Speaker 8

I think the beauty of it is closed toe includes everything from clogs to boots and every style that we have put in the market, whether it's direct to consumer or whether it's in our best retail partners has been performing very, very well. Obviously, there is a significant mix impact, which will increase the ASP overall. I just think the consumer adoption has been very, very high. Again, you have to remember our membership represented 49% of our direct to consumer business. And when you start to share things like closed toe products with members who have a 2 time click through rate versus non members, you're starting to see the return on investment be much higher in the higher adoption rate between returning customers.

Speaker 8

So I think what we said originally in our roadshow and pre IPO about the potential of closed toe product, probably might be conservative based on what we're seeing right now.

Speaker 6

That's a good thing. Just to add to this one. Thank you, David. For Europe, what we can see is among the top 10 revenue driving models, 5 are closed toe and 3 are boots. And one of these boots is the boot that we just introduced.

Speaker 6

So the boots are the hybrid, the sell in, the Bryson and these are higher price points, so we can migrate consumers into higher price point product and also into non sandals product. What we are currently seeing is during the autumn winter 'twenty four B2B order intake, retailers are going with us that path. So they are really believing us that we can transition the success from D2C into B2B. So we are very confident about the closed toe business, but also the closed shoe and boots business.

Speaker 2

And this is like, ultimately the answer of, okay, how can you grow 26% on the same amount of stores, how is this possible. So this is really like it shows the strength of the brand. And as we said during the roadshow, and we saw some skeptical faces there, this is a new category for this brand, having disclosed so shoe option. And now in a relatively short term, you see like we're performing super well in this segment.

Speaker 8

And just to add one last point there, because obviously the U. S. Market is fairly developed to grow at the rate that we grew when 90 5% of that revenue growth is coming from not only existing accounts, but existing doors. That really shows the strength of retailers and consumers in expanding our brand way beyond the sandal category.

Operator

Thank

Speaker 2

you. The

Operator

next question is coming from Paul Lejuez from Citi.

Speaker 18

You're 2 months in through the Q2. Just curious if you can share how you're thinking about top line growth in 2Q given what you've seen to date? And how should we be thinking about gross margin, not just in 2Q, but as we move through the year? I think Q1 came in a little bit better than what you were thinking. If you can give us any color there in terms of how gross margin looks relative to last year as we move throughout the year?

Speaker 18

Thanks.

Speaker 6

Yes. Thanks for the question, Paul.

Speaker 16

I think I can reference

Speaker 6

to what I said before. 2024 is a transition year. We in terms of the market, EBITDA and gross margin, clearly, we see the effects from capacity. There are also some other effects which influence or could influence our margins. We saw it in Q1 just with 110 basis points from currency translation just to a weaker U.

Speaker 6

S. Dollar compared to prior year's number. Overall, on the margin side, what we can say, you see also from the silicon of financials, Q2 margin is always gross margins, always a little bit below the other quarters due to the high wholesale share. But on an annual basis, we will stick with the numbers we gave out. And let's see, we are absolutely positive on that, but let's see what will come out.

Operator

Thank you. The next question will be from Michael Binetti from Evercore ISI. Michael, your line is live.

Speaker 16

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking our questions here. Let me just follow that one really quickly with you, Eric. If I just follow the work on the IPO and the consensus numbers here, it does look like a pretty meaningful step down in gross margin in 2Q is expected. Is that it looks like 600, 700 basis points.

Speaker 16

Is the change in B2C versus B2B growth rate that drastic when we look at 2Q versus 1Q or the other quarters in the year to explain that big step down? And then I was just wondering on the gross margin, if you could help us quantify a little bit just how much you thought the mix effects were, but more so do you have any way to quantify the impact of the factory absorption on the gross margin in the Q1 so that we understand that? I'm curious if the unit growth rate in the quarter was maybe above what you planned. If we see that continue, does that does the accounting for that mean that you're pulling forward incremental units that have a higher per cost unit from the new factories? Or do you see better leverage if you pull forward unit growth?

Speaker 16

I'm trying to understand how to model forward the factory absorption component on the grosses.

Speaker 6

Hey, Michael. Thanks for the question. So clearly, Q2 without giving a concrete number, but you're absolutely right. With such a high wholesale share, we will see a lower margin. This is typical seasonality.

Speaker 6

We have it in every year. You thought also in Q1 where you have a generally higher D2C share, which gives you a better gross margin the other way around Q2. On the EBITDA margin level, there's not that much impact from the channel perspective? And on the second one, so do we see or did we already see some absorption from the new capacity in Q1. Actually, these are also products we produced some months ago.

Speaker 6

So this is not a material effect in Q1. As we also parcel valves in September. So we're ramping up currently. We are in the ramp up phase, which will last until 25. So you have not seen it substantially in the numbers going forward on a full year basis.

Speaker 6

This is the main effect on 'twenty four numbers, gross margin and EBITDA margin, so the capacity expansion, but again, a temporary effect.

Operator

Thank you. And the next question is coming from Edward Yruma from Piper Sandler. Edward, your line is live.

Speaker 16

Hey, guys. Thanks very much

Speaker 5

for taking my question. I know one of the big product partners has been EVA and really kind of more water sports. I would love a quick update on performance there, particularly in APMA. And we noted that you're introducing more kind of water sports sandals in the Americas. Curious if you have any early reads this season?

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Speaker 15

Hello, Claus again. I'm not sure if I understood you right, but you're asking performance on EBA in the APMA region. So obviously, the territory of APMA is a very good region for us and we are building on that these non core sandals, especially for the territories with rain times and stuff, this is in the plan, absolutely. At this moment, we are really doing kind of balancing out very well how much product we are putting into this region, also for controlling our ASP and also yes, well, building the qualitative part of the brand on the product side too.

Speaker 8

Ed, I think you asked also about EVA in the Americas. Just as reference and just as a reminder, we've said this before, but that's all incremental product to cork. There is not a pair of EVA that takes away a pair of cork. We've seen absolutely the opposite. We see this demand flywheel where every product that we continue to expand in the market drives more and more demand across the line.

Speaker 8

So whether it's water sports, whether it's after performance sport use, it's purely incremental and it's additional use occasions. And any time we can open up our brand to additional use occasions, it's more pairs in somebody's wardrobe and it's more top line revenue. And just to remember also regardless of the ASP on EVA, it may carry potentially a higher EBITDA margin. So, it's not directly related to ASP when it comes to that product.

Operator

Thank you. And that does conclude today's Q and A section. And also this concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.

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Earnings Conference Call
Birkenstock Q1 2024
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