CECO Environmental Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
March 5, 2024

There are 9 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the CECO Environmental Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask a question. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Steven Hooser, Investor Relations.

Operator

Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Kevin, and thank you all for joining us on the CECO Environmental 4th quarter 2023 earnings call. On the call with me today is Todd Gleason, Chief Executive Officer and Peter Johansen, Chief Financial and Strategy Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to note that we have provided a slide presentation to help guide our discussion. The call will be webcast along with our earnings presentation, which is on our website atsecoenviro.com. The presentation materials can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of the website.

Speaker 1

I'd also like to caution investors regarding forward looking statements. Any statements made in today's presentation that are not based on historical fact are forward looking statements. Such statements are based on certain estimates and expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual future results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. We encourage you to read the risks described in our SEC filings included on Form 10 ks and the end of year December 31, 2023.

Speaker 1

Except to the extent required by applicable securities laws, we undertake no obligation to update or publicly revise any of the forward looking statements that we make here today, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Today's presentation will also include references to certain non GAAP financial measures. We provide the comparable GAAP and non GAAP numbers in today's press release and provide non GAAP reconciliations in the supplemental tables in the back of the slide presentation.

Speaker 2

And with that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Chief Executive Officer, Todd Gleason. Todd? Thanks, Stephen. And to our audience, thank you for your interest and continued support. If you would, please turn to slide number 3, which is entitled Q4 and Full Year 2023 Earnings Highlights.

Speaker 2

I'm going to start with an overarching comment that we delivered an outstanding quarter and a tremendous full year. We are proud of the financial records in 2023, of course, and even more excited to advance our leadership positions in Industrial Air, Industrial Water and the Energy Transition. With that, let's review the slide. On the left side of the slide, we list a number of key accomplishments that I will quickly review. The right side of the slide compares our full year results against our most recent full year guidance, which we provided in November 2023.

Speaker 2

As the green check marks indicate, we achieved or exceeded each of our key financial targets as we closed the year. As we outlined in today's press release, CECL delivered multiple financial records during the Q4. Our quarterly and full year financial performance showcased strong continued growth, which is a result of our world class teams delivering for our global customers every day. We continue to invest in our people, our processes and our solutions to ensure we meet or exceed customer requirements with respect to their needs. Thank you, team CECO for your customer first focus and accountability for performance.

Speaker 2

Now let's review some of our Q4 and full year highlights. The section on the left of the slide captures some of those achievements that we delivered this year. I am pleased to share that our 4th quarter revenues represent the highest quarterly sales in the company's history. The prior company record for sales was last quarter in Q3 2023, so we continue to maintain steady sales growth. We also delivered the highest gross profit and adjusted EBITDA dollar levels in our history.

Speaker 2

Backlog as of December 31 was $371,000,000 up 19% when compared to the same period last year and is the highest year end backlog in our company's history. Even as we continue to transition our portfolio to more short and mid cycle sales, orders for the year yielded a book to bill of approximately 1.1. So in short, it has been a solid performance from our businesses, ensuring that we continue to drive great growth. And with our sales pipeline of over $3,500,000,000 we expect to maintain our solid bookings trajectory. The combination of our record year end backlog as well as the very strong sales pipeline and our overall execution gives us the confidence and visibility to raise our previously announced full year 2024 guidance, which I will cover in more detail soon.

Speaker 2

Switching gears to our investment strategy, 2023 was another year of significant steps being taken in CECO's transformational journey. We deployed approximately $60,000,000 in growth capital with much of it targeted towards the completion of 3 acquisitions. We are pleased with the transactions we completed in 2023 as they continue to deliver outstanding financial performance while also adding top notch talent, new technologies and further round out our very well positioned market leadership. And given the strong free cash flow we delivered, we maintain a very healthy balance sheet. Now please turn to slide 4 and let's review a snapshot of CECO's Q4 and full year 2023 financial results.

Speaker 2

Peter will cover many of these financial figures and metrics in more detail in a few minutes. However, let me highlight a few areas. I will mostly stick to the right of the slide, which covers full year 2023 as Peter will spend a little bit more time on the 4th quarter results. The panel on the left side of the slide provides a snapshot of CECO's 4th quarter financials, all of which are very strong. CECO's full year orders of $583,000,000 represent the highest annual bookings level in our company's history, continuing the trend of outstanding orders growth, which drove year over year growth of 11%.

Speaker 2

As a reminder to our audience, we have been growing orders steadily since the second half of twenty twenty. So this is definitely not just a 12 month phenomenon, but rather a continuation of positive change to deliberately convert global customer and market demand into CECO bookings. And as always, I caution against focusing on quarterly bookings because there are many factors that influence the timing of an order, including the mix shift of our long, mid and short cycle sales. Internally, we focus on full year outlook and results. Sales of $545,000,000 was also the highest annualized levels for CECO producing a year over year growth rate 29%, which follows full year 2022 sales of over 30%.

Speaker 2

Additionally, as I mentioned previously, 4th quarter sales were a record level for any quarter in the company's history. For the full year 2023, organic sales growth was approximately 22%. Full year adjusted EBITDA of approximately $58,000,000 was up 37% year over year. This result produced adjusted EBITDA margins for the year of 10.6%, an increase of approximately 60 basis points year over year. As a reminder, full year margins would have expanded 110 basis points if not for a favorable insurance item in 2022.

Speaker 2

Additionally, we expect our annual G and A investments to level off a bit, which we expect will deliver higher conversion on future top line growth. Adjusted EPS in the year of $0.75 was up modestly versus full year 2022 as our 2023 EPS overcame approximately $0.20 of higher interest expense. Finally, we generated $36,200,000 of free cash flow in the year. We overcame a slow start to 2023 that if you recall saw negative cash in Q1. In the second half, we delivered about $40,000,000 of free cash flow as we managed working capital very well.

Speaker 2

Our businesses are doing a great job driving that working capital, which allows us to maintain our disciplined capital allocation strategy focused on organic growth and programmatic M and A. So to conclude this slide, just tremendous records and outstanding results. Now please turn to slide number 5. In previous earnings and investor presentations, we have articulated how we have transformed our portfolio over the past several years. We introduced this new slide to help capture that ongoing transformation.

Speaker 2

In 2021, shortly after I joined CECO, we outlined a high level strategy to transition from a portfolio, which had been heavily dependent on long cycle and very cyclical legacy energy markets. Our goal was to increase our percentage of shorter cycle sales mix as well as reduce our percentage of business mix that was tied to cyclical long cycle business. As the slide shows, our core portfolio is exceptionally balanced. Industrial Air currently accounts for approximately 40%, while Industrial Water and Energy Transition are each around 30%. We have also increased our short cycle sales to approximately 30%.

Speaker 2

This transition has occurred while we have delivered tremendous growth and performance. Our full year sales are 72% higher in 2023 when compared to 2020 levels. And our backlog is up an eye popping 103% over that same period. Importantly, we have delivered outstanding shareholder value. Since mid-twenty 20, which is when I joined the company, CECO has delivered over 2 50% of shareholder value in both stock price and market capitalization growth.

Speaker 2

I can assure you that management is very aligned with shareholders. We take this very seriously. It is also rewarding to be recognized by Fortune Magazine as one of America's most successful public companies as noted on the top right corner of the slide. Our employees and global partners are proud of our success, so this recognition is appreciated. We expect it to continue to deliver outstanding growth while we advance our portfolio through deliberate investments in organic and programmatic M and A.

Speaker 2

I'm not going to read all the comments on slide number 6, but let's go there. I'll make a few points. First, we introduced a very similar slide a few years ago. We articulated that we would drive both tactical and strategic actions to deliver consistent growth and shareholder returns while we steadily transform our portfolio. We believe we have been very transparent with our goals and objectives and also feel we have delivered on our commitments.

Speaker 2

While you have to constantly adjust to market trends, headwinds and other challenges, we did what we said we would do. And this updated slide represents a similar high level summary of our ongoing goals and intentions. From left to right, we expect to build off our foundational accomplishments as we turn our attention to the key actions we expect to drive in 2024 to maintain our strong growth and long term shareholder value creation. Our commitment to high performance requires a real balance of initiatives to drive that short to medium term result as well as longer term capital allocation programs to ensure we are positioning CECO for sustainable future performance. Each of these investments, for lack of a better word, ensures we continue to build commercial excellence, operational excellence and also we utilize our capital to maximize returns.

Speaker 2

These initiatives along with ongoing investments in culture and talent are the heartbeat of our operating model. As we position for future years, we will provide updates on our progress against these programs and commitments as well as other details on more granular initiatives. Now please turn to Slide number 7 and let's review guidance. As I mentioned in my earlier remarks and as you saw in our press release that we issued earlier today, we are pleased to share an update to our full year 2024 guidance. While we understand there are always unknowns and market dynamics to create pause with respect to forecasting in this environment, we believe CECO is in a unique position with better than average visibility to maintain growth.

Speaker 2

CECO's leadership in industrial air, industrial water and energy transition will continue to benefit from investments in reshoring industrial production, sustainable infrastructure growth, global energy transition to new and renewable sources and specific governmental investments governmental investment programs such as the CHIP DAC and others. The combination of these positive market dynamics coupled with our record backlog and great sales pipeline gives us the confidence to raise full year 2024 guidance at this time. With respect to full year 2024 orders, we maintain a consistent outlook for a book to bill greater than 1. With our robust sales pipeline being fueled by the mega themes I just articulated, we expect very strong bookings. As we always remind the investment community, our quarterly bookings levels might ebb and flow a bit, but for the full year we expect to drive a positive book to bill.

Speaker 2

We are increasing our full year revenue guidance to between $590,000,000 $610,000,000 representing about 10% growth year over year at the midpoint. The updated 2024 full year guidance is compared to previously communicated outlook of between $575,000,000 $600,000,000 an improvement to both the low and the high end of the range. For adjusted EBITDA, we are updating the range to be between $67,000,000 to $70,000,000 for the full year 2024. This outlook would be up over 20% versus 2023 at the midpoint, representing further margin expansion for the year of about 75 basis points to 100 basis points. The current guidance is compared to the previously communicated outlook of between $65,000,000 to $70,000,000 On free cash flow, we reaffirm our expectation to maintain between 50% to 70% of EBITDA as our free cash flow target.

Speaker 2

So to conclude, we raised our full year 2024 outlook to reflect our expectations given our tremendous backlog coupled with our commercial and operational excellence programs, which will drive robust growth and further operating margin expansion. We also entered the New Year with a very healthy balance sheet, which gives us added optionality as we execute on our programmatic M and A capabilities. I will now hand it over to Peter and he will walk you through more detail on our financials as well as some additional color on our capital deployment in camp and cash management in the quarter and upcoming periods. Peter?

Speaker 3

Thank you, Todd. I'm very pleased today to be able to present to all in attendance another set of solid financial results for Q4 and full year 2023, results that continue to demonstrate the strength of our performance and conviction in our strategy and operating model. As we exit 2023 on a high note, we are entering 2024 with confidence that CECO is in a stronger position and poised to deliver another year of excellent performance. Now please turn with me to slide number 9, where I'll present a more detailed picture of CECO's Q4 2023 results. Orders for the quarter of $128,300,000 were the 6th highest for any quarter in company history and concluded a year in which CECO booked orders of $583,000,000 dollars an all time high.

Speaker 3

We continue to execute against a sales pursuit pipeline at all time high levels with strong conversion of the opportunities that reach the bid for order phase. When compared to the same period last year, orders in the quarter were down 15%, and this was mostly driven by a significant individual order booked in the individual Energy Transition segment that raised Q4 2022 significantly. And approximately $30,000,000 worth of orders that were expected in Q4 that have moved into Q1 2024. Part of the ebb and flow in our orders that Todd referred to previously. Revenues for the quarter of $153,700,000 a 32% increase over Q4 2022 were the highest for any quarter in company history, continuing a 4 quarter trend of record setting revenues, benefiting from continued strong conversion of CECO's growing backlog and the positive impact of the Wakefield, Transcend and Chemo acquisitions.

Speaker 3

Organic growth in the quarter was approximately 25%. Gross profit was $53,000,000 in the quarter, a 41% increase over the prior year period and a record level resulting from higher shipments and higher margins. Margins were higher year over year by over 220 basis points and 5.70 basis points sequentially, driven by favorable mix and steady and improving execution. Full year gross profit of 171,000,000 dollars delivered a margin of 31.4 percent, a 105 basis point improvement for the full year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was up 49% year over year to $19,400,000 a margin of 12.6 percent and a 140 basis points improvement from Q4 2022, reflecting strong conversion on incremental revenue of approximately 17%, both GAAP and non GAAP operating income were up over 48% over prior year period.

Speaker 3

Adjusted EPS was up year over year as operational performance overcame the headwinds from higher interest expense. A quick comment on the year over year decline in GAAP EPS in the quarter. This decline was mostly driven by one time items booked in the quarter related to tax allowances for select international legal entities. We do not anticipate this to recur. Now let's turn to Slide 10 for more details on CECO's order progression.

Speaker 3

With Q4 and full year 2023 results complete, CECO has continued our track record of double digit growth and the run of 8 consecutive quarters with orders greater than 100,000,000 dollars delivering a record year end backlog of $371,000,000 For the full year 2023, the order intake was balanced across air, water and energy transition and averaged $146,000,000 per quarter. Orders for the second half of twenty twenty three of $275,000,000 dollars were essentially equal to the total for all of 2020. And for the 2020 to 2023 period, CECO's orders CAGR is a very healthy 28%. And with the $3,500,000,000 opportunity pipeline our teams are actioning, this gives us confidence the trend will continue through 2024. Now moving to Slide 11 for a more detailed review of revenue.

Speaker 3

We finished 2023 with record revenues of $545,000,000 following a record breaking sales quarter of approximately $154,000,000 representing the 7th consecutive quarter with revenues above 100,000,000 dollars and a level over 2 times that of the COVID era bottom, which occurred in the Q1 of 2021. The 3 year revenue CAGR is a strong 20%, and yet this figure trails the orders CAGR for the same period, further underpinning our 2024 growth outlook. Whilst our M and A activity has been a tailwind to revenue, with all three businesses acquired in 2023 growing at or above their respective deal models. It is important to note that the year over year organic growth for the company has been 22%. Now please turn to Slide 12 for a quick review of backlog and backlog trends.

Speaker 3

CECO finished Q4 2023 with a backlog of $371,000,000 representing a 19% increase year over year, of which we expect at least 70% to convert to revenue in 2024. The sequential decline in backlog of $23,000,000 resulted from the combination of record sales in the quarter and lower than expecting booking levels in the quarter given the previously mentioned delay in some bookings that moved to Q1 of 2024. On the bar chart showing backlog development, I would like to highlight that CECO's average quarter end backlog balance for 2023 was $378,000,000 This represents a 30% increase year over year for another year with annualized book to bill revenue ratio of 1.1 in line with prior years. Let's move to Slide 13 and we'll discuss gross profit and EBITDA. Starting on the left side of the page, gross profit delivery for the 4th quarter was a record $53,200,000 a 41% increase over Q4 of 2022 continuing a trend of 30% or greater year over year increases.

Speaker 3

Gross profit margin in the quarter was 34.6 percent, up 5 70 basis points from the prior quarter and 220 basis points from Q4 2022. Year over year margin expansion was driven by strong project execution and favorable mix, and sequential improvement was supported by the completion of a handful of low margin projects and progress against supply chain challenges, both items which we highlighted in our Q3 2023 earnings call. Full year gross profit of $171,000,000 represented a 33% increase over full year 2020 2, a 105 basis point margin expansion. The results in the quarter and for the full year give us confidence that the path we have charted for a return to the historical gross profit margin of 33% is well within our reach. Moving to the right hand side of the page, let's quickly cover adjusted EBITDA.

Speaker 3

In Q4 2023, CECO delivered a company record $19,400,000 of EBITDA. This result is a 49% year over year improvement, representing a 12.6 percent margin, a 140 basis point improvement over the prior quarter on higher volumes and favorable mix. On a trailing 12 month basis, adjusted EBITDA was nearly 58,000,000 dollars a 30% increase over the prior 12 month period for a margin of 10.6%, up approximately 60 basis points. Excluding a one time benefit from an insurance settlement in Q1 2022, year over year margin expansion will be closer to 110 basis points for a 2nd consecutive year. I am pleased by the margin expansion we have delivered in the quarter, the full year and since 2021, as we are balancing our investments in growth, building our organization for the long run and driving margin improvement simultaneously.

Speaker 3

We expect to continue to realize the benefits of earlier investments in our platform and functional resources, our operating model and our supporting business systems, which will enable continued growth and profitability improvements. I'm also seeing the benefits from our Global Corporate Services teams and the acquisitions which we have completed and are expected to continue further margin expansion in 2024 and beyond. Let's head to Slide 14 now for a quick review of our cash position and liquidity. As a result of our extremely strong cash generation, after a slow start to the year, CECO finished Q4 2023 with $55,400,000 in cash, an increase of $9,000,000 from year end 2022. This is after funding 3 acquisitions, increasing CapEx by $5,000,000 and incurring $7,000,000 higher interest payment expense in the year.

Speaker 3

Cash from operations was up 51% or $15,000,000 year over year and net borrowings were lower by $21,000,000 from a year ago. For the full year, CECO deployed $60,000,000 in growth capital for M and A and CapEx, $51,500,000 $8,400,000 respectively, and still we ended the year with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of a very healthy 1.4 times, a figure well below our max allowable levels. Net debt on December 31 was approximately $78,000,000 which although was an increase of $20,000,000 over year end 2022, we still have increased our liquidity and available investment capacity by over $42,000,000 and we now sit with availability of capital of $116,000,000 Now please turn to Slide 15 and I'll briefly review capital deployment in the year. On the left hand side of the page is a brief overview of the 2 acquisitions we closed in the first half of twenty twenty three. Wakefield Acoustics in the UK and Transcend Solutions in Texas.

Speaker 3

The integration of both companies is well underway with the prior management teams fully intact and fully engaged. We remain very bullish on the growth prospects for both businesses, and we are already seeing strong evidence of their abilities to double in size in the next 2 plus years. In fact, Wakefield will achieve this milestone in only the 1st year. Each company is a niche specialist with unique technical and applications differentiation that yields a strong margin profile and a defensible competitive position. After 3 plus quarters within CECO, each both companies are already realizing the benefits of being part of a larger organization with greater resources and a global reach.

Speaker 3

In the Q4, we completed the acquisition and initiated the build out of a new production facility that will enable Wakefield Acoustics to double its capacity and capitalize on a new growth opportunity in the data center backup power segment. We identified this opportunity during our due diligence and it has materialized even faster than expected. The expected commercial synergies across our Peerless business and the Transcend acquisition are starting now to be realized, as we are winning new opportunities across our full range of the gas and liquid separation portfolio. The investment in expanding the Transcend rental vessel fleet is proceeding with expected returns in 2024. Our most recent acquisition, Kemco Systems, a leading industrial water solutions provider to the food processing and industrial laundry end markets closed in mid August.

Speaker 3

The integration is moving along nicely and our early post closing impressions are very positive and highly supportive of our investment thesis. And I look forward to sharing more about this acquisition in the coming quarters. Turning to a few highlights from CapEx spend for the year. In 2023, our spend was $8,400,000 which is elevated compared to prior years as we continue to make select investments in growth and productivity in the USA and Korea to expand our India organization, which has doubled in headcount in 2023, and in IT, primarily in cyber and data security infrastructure and ERP migrations. That concludes my summary of CECO's 4th quarter and full year 2023 financial results.

Speaker 3

A quarter a year in which the company and our team has delivered a series of record after record results. Before I turn the microphone back over to Todd, let me reiterate how pleased I am with these results. We have delivered record breaking orders, revenues and profits in the year and still maintained our backlog at record levels. As we look forward, with a robust opportunity pipeline of approximately $3,500,000,000 and continued strong quotation activity, We feel very confident in the outlook for 2024 and for future growth. And now back over to Todd who will take you through some additional commentary on our outlook and his concluding remarks.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Peter.

Speaker 2

And a lot of good detail with respect to our financials and various insights into our performance. We're going to go to the final section and then our summary slide. Please turn to number 17. As we enter 2024 I now have had a few months to really assess the current operating environment, I would say that many of the headwinds and tailwinds that we expected remain much the same. We have strong momentum from our acquisitions in many areas associated with industrial expansion.

Speaker 2

We remain bullish with respect to our growth prospects in high growth markets and our global pipeline is at an all time high. Conversely, we continue to see more delays in customer project startups, but they do seem to be moving forward once our overall project is organized. We have been dealing with higher interest rates for over a year and of course we all have been overcoming challenges in supply chains for several years. These challenges continue but are less disruptive. We are monitoring various geopolitical items as well because those can have a variety of impacts.

Speaker 2

And finally, we are attracting incredible talent, but the labor market remains tough in certain areas. Now please turn to slide number 18. We already walked through this slide, but we felt it was good just to reiterate our guidance for the full year. We are committed to double digit sales growth and adjusted EBITDA growth of approximately 20%. We have good visibility into our current backlog and expect our sales pipeline will yield solid bookings growth in the year.

Speaker 2

Now let's quickly advance to Slide number 19. This is a little bit of a new analysis with respect to our targeted margin goals. We felt it was important to outline our plans to achieve 15% adjusted EBITDA margins over the next few years. We start with the reference on the left side of the slide that historically CECO had sales of between 325 $1,000,000 to $350,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA margins of around 9%. We have grown to our current level of 545,000,000 dollars in revenue and 10.6 percent adjusted EBITDA margins in the most previous year.

Speaker 2

Over the next few years, we aim to grow sales to over $700,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA margins of over 15%. As the margin walk demonstrates, we expect 150 basis points of margin expansion will be driven by gross margin expansion to between 33% 34% or higher. This will be driven by better portfolio mix via organic and inorganic investments. Additionally, another 150 basis points is expected to be driven by our ongoing investments in lean deployment and supply chain excellence. We have a large opportunity across our enterprise in these areas.

Speaker 2

And finally, another 150 basis points of margin expansion is expected to come via strong G and A leverage. As we draw our top line, we will simply excuse me, we expect to simply expend fewer relative dollars in G and A. This conversion will add nice EBITDA margin expansion. We believe this balanced approach to driving higher margins is important. And as our margins expand, we continue to execute on our growth strategy and we believe CECO will obtain a higher valuation, which will further reward our shareholders.

Speaker 2

Now please turn to Slide 21 which is our summary slide. I would like to again thank our global teams for their commitment to customer first. Our results have been outstanding and we are proud of our record growth and profitability. We remain committed to our strategic and accretive M and A program and we are pleased to share our raised guidance outlook. In summary, we have been and will continue to transform CECO.

Speaker 2

Our leadership positions in industrial air, industrial water and the energy transition are very well positioned. And we are proud that our critical applications and solutions are protecting people, protecting the environment and protecting our customers' investment in their industrial equipment. We're now happy to open it up for questions. So with that, I'll hand it back over to the operator.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Our first question comes from Rob Brown with Lake Street Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Speaker 4

Good morning and congratulations on all the progress.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Rob.

Speaker 4

Just wanted to get a little

Speaker 5

bit into the business pipeline and what you're seeing there and what areas are sort of stronger or weaker maybe some color on the order that shifted into this year?

Speaker 2

Yes. I'll start. This is Todd and good question. So we're very fortunate. We feel that number 1, it's balanced across our portfolio.

Speaker 2

We would say the themes that we talked about Rob with respect to continued reshoring of industrial production that remains healthy. There's some industrial markets that are stronger and some that have sort of kind of leveled off a bit. But overall, and you can see this in a lot of public reports that the investment in manufacturing in North America, even in Europe and other places continues. So industrial air, industrial water continue to look really, really strong with respect to just those spaces. I would also say that the investments we've made in the programmatic M and A really have opened up a lot of geographies for us, which again tie into our pipeline expanding.

Speaker 2

So those are for sure in our pipeline. And look, there's probably no better time to be in position for the continued investment that must occur in areas like natural gas, global oil and gas management of the infrastructure that exists, while the energy does the energy investments do start to transition to new gases, to new areas of carbon capture. And obviously, there's a lot of just increased focus on renewable energy, which again goes back to that industrial production because if you're in wind or you're in solar, the sources of those are heavy industry. So we continue to sort of feel that those areas just are still strong. We're not seeing any decrease I think in those critical programs for us.

Speaker 5

Okay, great. Thank you. And then you talked a little bit about Wakefield doubling since you bought it and a big data center kind of opportunity there. Maybe you could just give us more color on what that data center opportunity is and how you see

Speaker 3

playing out? Yes. So for Wakefield, the data opportunity is packaging of backup power gensets. We build custom acoustic enclosures with the associated control systems for the genset packages and we deploy them to data centers in Ireland, the U. K.

Speaker 3

With the opportunities now in Mainland Europe. We're seeing that business grow substantially and that's the reason for the acquisition of the second facility. We're moving our the core industrial products product lines of Wakefield into a site within walking distance of the current facility, so we can dedicate one location to the acoustic enclosures. And with the demand for AI computing, cloud computing and data storage, the data center market in Europe is very, very strong.

Speaker 5

Okay, great. Thank you. I'll turn it over.

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Aaron Spachal with Craig Hallum Capital Group. Your line is

Speaker 6

open. Yes, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. First on margins, anything in particular driving the strong Q4? I know you kind of talked about mix.

Speaker 6

And appreciate the slide on the margin progression in the deck. But can you just talk about some of the confidence in those drivers, maybe where you're at with some of those programs on lean and supply chain excellence and just how you're thinking of the margin cadence for 2024?

Speaker 2

Yes. I'll hand it over to Peter here in a second. But so just as a reminder, our 4th quarter margins are especially on the gross margin level are typically our it is typically our strongest quarter. Some of that has to do with the dynamics associated with the projects at the end of the year. And just as we close out a number of programs to round out the year, it allows our teams and our processes to sort of ensure that the true up that exists throughout the year gets captured in the Q4.

Speaker 2

So there's generally just a little bit of lift from that. Probably a process opportunity for us as we look at going forward in sort of quarterly management of some of those processes, Aaron. The other thing I'd say is, yes, we continue to make really good progress on our operating excellence. We're constantly working on small and medium programs to make ourselves more efficient. I think also things have stabilized a bit.

Speaker 2

Like I said, there's still challenges in supply chains and there's shipping lanes that continue to be impacted by geopolitical strife and other disruptions around the world. But those have been a little less impactful as we exited the year. So for us at least I think we've seen material costs have stabilized a bit, our pricing remains strong. So again we have good visibility to our margins in the backlog as we enter 2024 and gives us the confidence to believe that we're well on our way to get 100 basis points, 150 basis points of expansion across the combination of gross margins and EBITDA margins as we head into 2024. And Aaron, we had some good delivery of aftermarket orders in the quarter, which have

Speaker 3

a higher gross margin than original equipment or project revenues. We also had a very strong quarter from our Fluids business that also has relative to the portfolio higher gross margin and the addition of ChemCo. Chembco had a very solid 4th quarter. Chembco gross margins are well above company average. So those 3 components in addition to the execution items Todd mentioned contributed.

Speaker 3

As we move through the year, our focus on driving recurring revenue and aftermarket and the benefits of acquisitions should provide an overall lift. But that 4th quarter true up does exist within many of the projects that we operated. It's customer driven as well as internally driven. Many customers want to accelerate closeouts at year end and we resolve open issues with them, which can have a beneficial impact.

Speaker 6

Understood. Thanks for the color. And then maybe second, just on the energy platform. Can you you talked a little bit about it, but can you expand on just the growth you're seeing there? What's driving that between kind of legacy and the energy transition?

Speaker 6

And maybe just touch on the pause on LNG exports. It sounds like that might push out some potential orders, but maybe the greater focus on emissions, just talk about if that could help other areas of your business?

Speaker 2

Yes. Look, it's energy writ large has some cyclicality to it. There's things get going really fast for a 3, 6, 9 month period and then they do slow down. LNG is an example of that where there's still good investment, but it does ebb and flow quite a bit. There's going to consistently be those things.

Speaker 2

We believe that the key for us is to continue to just diversify and control a little bit more of our destiny with respect to that aftermarket that Peter mentioned. So, us adding our largest aftermarket order in the Q3 of last year of $9,000,000 which is a 2 year order, so it will turn to $4,500,000 of revenue, obviously, give or take each of those 2 years. That's we believe that's a multi decade renewed aftermarket order. So we continue to just move into those spaces and where we the acquisition of Transcend, we believe also gives us a lot more consistent aftermarket application with respect to separation media. And so again, it's really just continuing to diversify.

Speaker 2

We have done a really nice job of moving into areas like carbon capture and other we would say sort of newer investments in energy infrastructure and energy solutions. So and frankly, our teams continue to do a great job of positioning for what we think are some continued themes that we serve from our energy businesses, but are maybe even outside of the traditional energy like as we provide solutions for naval destroyers with respect to separation and filtration on air intake and other solutions for their turbine powered propulsion. And there's also areas like nuclear that are starting to see a little bit more investment and that could have a very positive impact on 2024 2025. So again, our key theme and we just probably are it's like a broken record for us is diversification globally, diversification across end markets. We're just far less reliant on 2 or 3 or 4 themes like we were 3 or 4 years ago where we would say just you wait for refining to come back and our fluid bed cyclone business will bounce back.

Speaker 2

That's been steady. Or when we used to say just you wait for the power gen market to come back and our emissions will come back, that's been steady. Or we would say just you wait for natural gas infrastructure and that has been steady. So we like steady and we still like legacy energy, but now we're just so much more diverse across that energy to go after the new sort of global emerging themes that we believe that there's still a lot of growth.

Speaker 6

Great. And you

Speaker 2

know what, like I'll say, that said, energy in the year, that energy businesses was our weakest performing if you were to break down water, energy and air was our weakest performing orders segment of the 3, but or market collection of the 3. But again, we feel that the $3,500,000,000 in opportunity, it looks very balanced for energy for 2024.

Speaker 6

Great. Appreciate that color. Thanks for taking the questions and congrats on the progress.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Sharon.

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Bobby Brooks with Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hey, good morning guys. Thank you for taking my question. So I think the growth in the pipeline has been a really key factor and it showed just the growth that the business has experienced. I think that it's increased the $3,500,000,000 number that you guys gave was about a $5,000,000 increase from the number that you gave on the Q3 call. I know on a virtual fireside chat, Peter, you mentioned that CECO hasn't necessarily CECO's customers haven't necessarily seen those dollars flow from government stimulus programs such as the CHIPS Act or the Investment and Infrastructure Act and that's so that has led to CECO not seeing those tailwinds from that government stimulus yet.

Speaker 7

So am I right in assuming that that $500,000,000 increase in the pipeline over the quarter is partially a result of those dollars starting to flow through to customers and projects beginning to move through the pipeline? And if not, what was that major driver?

Speaker 3

Yes. So that's one factor contributing to additional opportunities entering the funnel. We're starting to see dollars being released, both ChipSX programs being announced and dollars flowing, but also on the infrastructure side. But a majority of it is actually international. We continue to see very strong opportunities in the Middle East, India, Southeast Asia, Korea and in China.

Speaker 3

China slowdown has been principally affecting residential and consumer spending, but industrial spending has continued to pace and they're at a point where they do have to make investments in some renewal, asset renewals and we're seeing that benefit today. Our DS-twenty one business in Korea is seeing outstanding order inquiries with both domestic and international Korean customers. And we're seeing U. S. Investment in energy beginning to accelerate as the coal phase out has found itself now really taking shape.

Speaker 3

It was about years ago, we knew the coal phase out was coming. It's quickened and now it's accelerating.

Speaker 7

Got it. That's really good color. And then on the Wakefield data center opportunity, is that so my understanding that's really focused on just selling into European markets. I would guess it's not

Speaker 3

It's only the European market. And in fact, it's only the UK and Ireland today. We have an opportunity and are working on expanding that into the areas around Paris, Frankfurt, Amsterdam, Madrid and Milan.

Speaker 2

There's a unique dynamic. When I say unique, it's because it's different than the North America data center power supply and backup power, which is much can be well positioned in more rural areas versus in Europe. These are in urban centers and the noise attenuation or the has to be in a very different is managed differently. And so look, as we've excuse me, Wakefield is a great example of an acquisition where we feel by us deploying capital into the business and international resources into the business, we can at least double if not more their top line and we've proven that in 1 year of ownership of Wakefield. And to remind the audience that of the 8 acquisitions we've done, 9 since 2020, but 8 over the last few years, we expect that at least half of those acquisitions will double the top line of those businesses, if we haven't already within 18 months of purchase.

Speaker 2

So we've been deploying growth capital into these businesses. They're not for cost synergies and nor necessarily, necessarily growth synergies. Yes, we do utilize growth synergies across our platforms to leverage resources and market and global expansion and customer relationships. But we are finding businesses that we feel have an opportunity with just the right amount of capital to radically grow their portfolio and that's what we're seeing with Wakefield. Because it is geographically been very limited in the past.

Speaker 2

We want to and we have been opening that up.

Speaker 7

Got it. So not necessarily the it wouldn't be you wouldn't necessarily try to start to bring over the Wakefield solutions to the North American data center opportunity or to the North American data center market because we're more

Speaker 2

And Bobby, if they call us, we'll be happy to and if there's opportunities, but I would say Peter's answer will be because I'm already anticipating it. We have a lot of opportunity in markets that we have a strong reputation across all of Europe. And for right now, I think we have a really good and smart focus on that region.

Speaker 7

Okay, got it. That makes sense. And just one last one for me. You mentioned the strong pipeline in the backlog drove increasing guidance, but adjusted increase in sales guidance, but adjusted EBITDA was just narrowed, still implies about 75 bps to 100 bps of margin improvement year over year. But maybe could you just discuss what drove the difference what drove that raising of the revenue outlook, but just a narrowing of EBITDA and not a raise in the EBITDA outlook?

Speaker 2

Yes, I think it's just it's early in the year and we like the visibility we have. We believe that our goal for the full year is to balance our thoughts on investments that we want to make to continue to position for continued growth. Frankly, again, I always I've been saying for the last few years, I'm the luckiest CEO in the world because I've got a great team globally. We have a great culture that we continue to invest in and add. I believe we're well positioned in critical areas that customers care about with respect to air, water and energy transition and they consistently come to us to help protect their people, protect the environment and protect their investment in capital equipment.

Speaker 2

But at the end of the day, we are investing to really maintain good growth, while we get smart consistent margin expansion. I feel like we're optimistic that we can achieve these numbers. It's early in the year and I think we'll continue to revisit these as we execute through the quarter.

Speaker 7

Got it. Thanks for the color Todd and Peter. I really appreciate it. I'll go back to the queue.

Speaker 2

Thanks Bobby.

Speaker 4

Yes, appreciate it.

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Jim Ricchiuti with Needham and Company. Your line is open.

Speaker 4

Hi, thanks. So just relative to the outlook, the preliminary outlook you gave back in November, is this simply having a better line of sight? You're a little further into 2024? Or are there some areas of the business that maybe are trending a little stronger than you expected back in November just in terms of the outlook for 2024?

Speaker 2

Yes. It's I mean look, we're 90 days or more removed from our initial guidance. We have a we certainly have 90 days more visibility, Jim, obviously. We're into the year. We're 2 thirds of the way through the Q1.

Speaker 2

We have, we believe, a lot more visibility to our pipeline than we did back in November for 2024. We executed nicely, I think at the end of the Q4. I feel like we're not grasping for ways to find a performance. I think we feel like continuing to invest, maybe even appropriately invest in growth. Certainly, there's no corner of our business that's being starved for capital.

Speaker 2

We're really driving a good playbook of top line and now operating excellence. So I think Jim we're just we're a couple of months into the year. We like what we're seeing and it gives us the confidence to edge it up a little bit here, which we think is the right thing to do considering we haven't even announced Q1 results. And we just again, our goal is to continue to provide the investment community with our best view of that balanced investment in growth, results that we expect given those investments and ability to just continue to drive that same operating playbook. And also look, we're starting to kind of put together our pipeline also on M and A for the year and that while that's not included in our guidance, it certainly goes into our thinking of the types of opportunities that we could be looking at that we're really could be excited about and we believe the investment community, it will resonate with them given our track record that if we decide to make those types of investments as well with our balance sheet that they're going to areas coupled with the fact that challenges and hurdles remain, but they don't seem different than the challenges and hurdles that we've been overcoming for the last number of quarters.

Speaker 4

Got it. And yes, just I know you recommend investors look at the annual results, but you mentioned Q1 in previous years. You've seen some seasonal weakness in Q1 and somewhat higher percentage of revenues coming in the second half. Is there any reason to think 2024 doesn't follow similar trends that we've seen in past years?

Speaker 2

So there are some things that occur in the first quarter that are somewhat unique. There's a bit of a reset of various things, including usually on a cash, that's the easiest one to sort of predict that free cash flow, there's outflows of incentives, there's outflows of tax payments. It's also a time where you sort of start the year a little bit slower, not us, but customers global, people coming back from various holidays, whether it's in North America, Asia, etcetera, there's mega holidays that occur and that's just sort of a restart to the year, which is a little bit slower. But we like the trajectory as we exit the Q4. We certainly believe that year over year, we have a good visibility to pockets of opportunities that we didn't have a year ago.

Speaker 2

And so look, I think at the end of the day, the Q1 has some unique aspects to it that I would call less seasonal, just more structural. And look, the 4th quarter orders, which again, a top 6th quarter in our company history, so no one's here to apologize for $128,000,000 of orders. But as Peter mentioned, the timing of some of those orders got pushed into the Q1. So we feel like we kind of entered the Q1 with a decent amount of visibility to a good potentially a good bookings quarter. So we're hopeful that things don't push out into the second quarter as well.

Speaker 2

That will help us as we have even more visibility to the second half of the year from a top line performance.

Speaker 4

Got it. Final question for me is and Peter, you may have alluded to this, but I wanted to just ask about the step up in SG and A expense that we saw in Q4, but I thought I heard you talk about some leveling off of some of the G and A expense. I don't know if that's what you're referring to.

Speaker 3

Yes. G and A spend will level up. The big step up in the Q4 was the acquired business.

Speaker 5

Okay.

Speaker 3

Was the addition of Camco. Okay. There were some organic investments, but they were modest and they're leveling up. It was the acquired business that drove them a large portion of that increase.

Speaker 4

Thank you. Congrats on the year.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Bill Delzon with Tieton Capital Management. Your line is open.

Speaker 1

Thank you. I have a couple of questions. The first one is in your slide deck you referenced an improving macro environment. Would you talk in more detail to that? And then secondarily share with us your perspective on your M and A pipeline and how you're envisioning pricing today versus what you've seen in the past?

Speaker 3

The improving macro environment principally is related to what's happening in Europe. Europe is an improving situation. European economies are experiencing much lower inflation. They may even be the first to experience a rate cut. We're seeing demand return in a number of markets that was slower at the end of the year.

Speaker 3

So that's related to macro. Macro in the U. S. And Asia has continued steady and strong. We have experienced relative to the M

Speaker 2

and A

Speaker 3

pipeline a pause. Q4 was for us was a conscious pause. We were working on opportunities, but had nothing teed up to close. We have had work to do with Kemco on the integration. We wanted to reset and improve the balance sheet and we've done so and we put ourselves squarely in a position with that and liquidity and a very modest 1.4x leverage to be ready to deploy capital.

Speaker 3

We began to accelerate our development opportunities with ideas that are in the pipeline in the Q1, and we would suggest you're going to begin to see that capital deployment begin in earnest in the Q2 of the year.

Speaker 1

And how about pricing? What are you seeing there relative to past levels?

Speaker 3

Same or lower.

Speaker 1

Thank you and congratulations on a great

Speaker 2

quarter. Thanks Bill. We appreciate your continued support and all of our investors, of course. Last thing, I wanted to just add to the M and A comment, just because I think it's important that if the our investors understand, we've walked away from twice as many deals as we've done. Done.

Speaker 2

And we're not alone in that. Companies do that. You build the pipeline, you start to do analysis, build relationships and you realize that their expectations on pricing or maybe the cultural alignment or maybe the product category wasn't as strong or there's a variety of reasons that companies start to do an assessment and then decide that it's not the deal for them. And we've done that each of the years that we've done M and A. And so with respect to pricing, if it doesn't have the right economic returns for us and our shareholders, then it's just not something we're going to do.

Speaker 2

So if we're paying a little bit higher or lower multiple, it's because it's the right fit for our portfolio.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Amit Dayal with H. C. Wainwright.

Operator

Your line is open.

Speaker 8

Hey, good morning guys. Just going back to the international revenue. Hey, good morning. Hey, good morning. How much of 2024 outlook is going to be international revenues?

Speaker 8

And is this going to be supportive to margins? Do you think you can get better pricing on offerings in most markets versus the U. S?

Speaker 3

I'll start. International markets are going to be in the neighborhood of a third to 40% of the business. With respect to margins, margins are really driven by the end market and the application. We find we get superior margins in very challenging applications in any of our brands regardless of where the opportunity lies. U.

Speaker 3

S, Asia, Middle East, Europe, it's not one we don't have a low margin region. We don't have a low margin, so I'd say, business. What we have are brands in our company where they have different degrees of leadership and competitive advantage where margins are either under pressure or to some degree under pressure or not. So in that with that context, if we think about what's happening internationally, big investments in in India, in Southeast Asia and in the Middle East as they begin to diversify their economies. And they're looking at best in class technologies first and only defaulting to something less than best in class if it is something that can't be achieved.

Speaker 3

And best in class technology comes with a global price. And that's our starting point. Now that's not for every customer, but that's for the majority of the customers that we serve.

Speaker 8

Understood. Thank you. And just one last one. With respect to the sales and backlog and pipeline, are you seeing synergies for the different product segments within the customers? Basically what I'm trying to ask is like now you have a broader offering or product portfolio.

Speaker 8

Are you seeing the same customers buying more of your products versus previously?

Speaker 3

We don't consciously seek to cross sell. We have organized our business in a way that ensures that we have end market and application focus. We may use select customer relationships in one business to open doors for another business, but we don't have an incentive built into our comp system or our management model to drive a cross sell, and that's on purpose. Now there are certain and select customers that approach us and ask to do business with more than one brand or one business. And we accommodate that and we support that completely.

Speaker 3

And we see that in a very few, but important end markets, one being semiconductor and another being automotive production or automotive and component production, where across brands we see a need and we have had the opportunity to combine multiple brands in front of a customer. But we've not organized the sales force to do that and we've certainly not deployed a strategy to do that.

Speaker 8

Understood. That's all I have guys. Thank you so much.

Speaker 2

Thanks Amit.

Operator

This concludes the Q and A portion of today's conference. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Todd Gleeson for any closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Yes. Thanks for all the good questions. Appreciate everyone interest and we went all over today. So we're happy to always try to be available, which of course will continue to be as we go forward. Really pleased with our performance, look forward to meeting and seeing a lot of you.

Speaker 2

If you're at the upcoming TD Securities Conference as well as the ROTH Conference, both of which are in California in the next handful of weeks. So we hope that you reach out to your representatives and we have a chance to sit down and catch up. We look forward to speaking with everyone again when we release our first quarter results in May. So with that, I'll just thank everybody for their time and their interest and we look forward to speaking with you soon. Take care.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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Key Takeaways

  • CECO delivered record Q4 and full‐year 2023 results with revenues of $545 million (up 29% YoY), orders of $583 million (+11%), backlog of $371 million (+19%), and adjusted EBITDA of $58 million (+37%).
  • The company raised its 2024 guidance to $590–610 million in revenue (≈10% growth) and $67–70 million in adjusted EBITDA, while reaffirming a free cash flow target of 50–70% of EBITDA.
  • CECO’s portfolio transformation is now balanced across Industrial Air (≈40%), Industrial Water (≈30%) and Energy Transition (≈30%), with short-cycle sales at ≈30% and sales up 72% since 2020.
  • In 2023, CECO deployed ~$60 million in growth capital to complete three acquisitions (Wakefield Acoustics, Transcend Solutions, Kemco Systems), strengthening its technology base, global footprint and aftermarket capabilities.
  • The company generated $36 million of free cash flow for the year, ended December with net debt/EBITDA of 1.4× and ~$116 million of available liquidity to fund further programmatic M&A.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
CECO Environmental Q4 2023
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