AdaptHealth Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
May 7, 2024

There are 8 speakers on the call.

Operator

Today's speakers will be Richard Barish, Chairman and Interim CEO of Adapt Health and Jason Clemens, Chief Financial Officer of Adapt Health. Josh Parnes, President of Adapt Health will join Richard and Jason for the question and answer portion of today's call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that statements included in this conference call and the press release issued today may constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act.

Operator

These statements include, but are not limited to, comments regarding financial results for 2024 and beyond. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in forward looking statements because of a number of risk factors and uncertainties, which are discussed at length in the company's annual and quarterly SEC filings. Adapt Health Corp. Should have no obligation to update the information provided on this call to reflect such subsequent events. Additionally, on this morning's call, the company will reference certain financial measures such as EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, all of which are non GAAP financial measures.

Operator

This morning's call is being recorded and a replay of the call will be available later today. I am now pleased to turn the floor to Chairman and Interim CEO of Adapt Health, Mr. Richard Barish. Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Good morning and thank you all for joining Adapt Health's Q1 2024 Earnings Call. Simply stated, we had a terrific first quarter highlighted by 6.2% non acquired revenue growth and an 18% increase in adjusted EBITDA over last year's Q1. Our sleep and respiratory product lines continue to deliver strong results we are pleased to see our diabetes business start to improve as well. We continue to delever and are on target to hit our cash flow targets for the year.

Speaker 1

Jason will go through the numbers and details. So I'd like to discuss some of the underlying improvements that give us confidence that our performance is sustainable. During the past year Adapt Health faced several internal and external challenges and the company has addressed each one in a constructive way. This isn't a victory lap and our new CEO have a plan to do and the opportunity to put her own mark on the strategic future of the company. However, I'd like to highlight some of the more impactful improvements that have occurred, which have served the company well going forward.

Speaker 1

Adapt Health originally built its business on M and A, which was facilitated by attractively priced capital. Opportunistically, we took on mostly long term debt at very attractive rates, but our overall leverage was more than desired, especially in the newer higher interest rate environment. As a result, the entire company successfully galvanized around generation of cash flow, which has allowed us to reduce our leverage ratios and our absolute level of debt. Even with the difficulty of the change healthcare issues, we yet again paid down debt in excess of required payments and expect to have meaningful additional cash to deploy through the year for further delevering. I'm quite confident that we'll meet our 2024 goal of less than 3 times leverage in short order.

Speaker 1

Over the past year, we've discussed the challenges in our diabetes business. We still have a way to go, but the improvements have been tangible. We have strong new leadership and are building an efficient operating platform that will support our growth ambitions. We have more than doubled our sales force and can finally state that we are activating the pharmacy channel to supplement our growth. Our sleep business continues to perform well, but we're mindful of the challenges that may arise from GLP-1s.

Speaker 1

We are now actively surveying our more than 1,500,000 sleep patients for evidence of change in behavior. So far, we have not seen any material changes, but we'll be vigilant to address any issues should they occur. We note the real world study described by ResMed that shows a positive correlation between GLP-one usage and CPAP compliance. I was also delighted to see the recent Lilly announcement that described the enormous size of the addressable OSA market more than double the already large estimates of undiagnosed OSA patients provided by the American Academy of Sleep Medicine. Our underlying thesis is that increased awareness of OSA is going to more than offset any potential impact to our sleep business.

Speaker 1

After a slow start, the Humana contract is performing both operationally and financially as we had originally projected. We are pleased to report that the patient transition is essentially complete. This experience gives us confidence to actively market to potential payers as an important component of our growth plans. I would expect to see additional contract wins in the near term. Payers and providers want to see that the therapies we provide are having a positive impact on their members and patients.

Speaker 1

We have nearly 1,000 professionals who work with our patients every day to improve their experience with the equipment and devices we provide. We are highly focused on adherence to therapy as the essential first step to better outcomes and we believe that our adherence statistics for sleep are the best in our industry. We are especially proud of the work that our advanced respiratory therapists do to reduce avoidable hospitalizations and we are developing the tools and data to show that we are positively affecting outcome. Finally, we have put to bed the lingering concerns about permanent leadership. The long and diligent search for a new CEO was well worth it since we found the ideal candidate.

Speaker 1

Suzanne Foster joins us from Danaher Corporation where she served as President of Beckman Coulter Life Sciences. She has over 25 years of healthcare experience, including experience in the HME business and has a strong track record of leading growth businesses in the healthcare market. Our Board made a very wise choice and the management team is looking forward to welcoming Suzanne to Adapt Health. I will be around to help Suzanne have a smooth transition to her new role. Now I'm going to turn it over to Jason.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Richard, and thanks to all for joining our call. In the Q1 of 2024, we built on momentum from last year across a few key areas that we'll review today. First, we'll cover some details regarding the changed healthcare situation that Richard touched on. Starting at the end of February, we began holding claims for certain payers where one of our 3rd party software providers utilized Change Healthcare to process claims. Health claims peaked at approximately $150,000,000 a few weeks later.

Speaker 2

As related cash flows decreased, we drew $75,000,000 on our revolver and carried that balance as we ended the Q1. Our revenue cycle team has acted swiftly and decisively to mitigate that impact. Since the end of the quarter, our Harold claims for this matter have compressed to approximately $30,000,000 As a result, cash inflows have started to normalize and we paid off the balance on the revolver near the end of April. With delayed payments largely caught up, we are reiterating our free cash flow guidance for the first half of twenty twenty four and for the full year. Now turning to our results.

Speaker 2

Net revenue of $792,500,000 increased 6.4% compared to the Q1 of 2023. Sleep revenue of $306,200,000 grew 4.0% compared to a year ago. Sleep sales revenue was up 5.6 percent driven by our resupply census which reached a new record of 1,580,000 patients. Sleep rental revenue was flat over the prior year and we were pleased with that result following the record setups from late 2022 through mid-twenty 23. Diabetes revenue of $149,300,000 was up 2.0% against the Q1 of 2023, outperforming our expectations and resulting in our 1st year over year increase since the Q2 of 2023.

Speaker 2

CGM performed significantly better than expected, driven by increased patient census. We are making steady progress, ramping up our new sales force team members and new technology deployed in our resupply operations is resolving in more touchless reorders. As expected, we absorbed 4,300,000 in our pump and pump supply categories as the market shifts towards tubeless pumps. Encouragingly, we again delivered more revenue from tubeless pump starts than from tube based pump starts. Oxygen and non invasive ventilation new starts continued to be very strong, building on the momentum from the end of 2023.

Speaker 2

As Richard mentioned, the transition of Humana patients is substantially complete. Starting this quarter, we are now reporting revenue from capitated arrangements in a separate revenue category. This includes Humana as well as several other existing capitated arrangements. Turning to profitability. 1st quarter adjusted EBITDA of $158,500,000 reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.0 percent, a 200 basis point improvement over Q1 of 2023.

Speaker 2

This improvement was driven by 3 things. Number 1, improved cost of products and supplies as a percentage of revenue, resulting from continued efforts to drive efficiencies in our supply chain. Number 2, improved salary, labor and benefits as a percentage of revenue, reflecting the flow through of our 2023 cost management program. And number 3, expected increases to other operating expenses related to continuing infrastructure investments in fleet and warehouse operations. Cash flow from operations of $49,000,000 was impacted by the change healthcare matter covered earlier.

Speaker 2

CapEx of $87,900,000 representing 11.1 percent of revenue was almost a full point better than the Q1 of 2023. Although free cash flow for the Q1 was negative $38,900,000 we are reiterating our full year free cash flow guidance of $150,000,000 to $180,000,000 and we are reiterating our expectation to deliver at least $55,000,000 of that in the first half of twenty twenty four. We continue making progress towards our plan to get leverage below 3 times before the end of 2024. In fact, even with the change healthcare impacts, we compressed net leverage from 3.16 times at the end of 2023 to 3.12 times at the end of Q1 2024. During the quarter, we paid $25,000,000 towards our $15,000,000 towards the TLA balance and we expect to make our $10,000,000 required payment before the end of next quarter.

Speaker 2

We expect the TLA balance to be $670,000,000 at the end of Q2, down to $80,000,000 from the balance at the end of Q2 2023. For Q2 2024, we expect revenue growth of about 1% over the prior year, surpassing very tough 2023 comparables. Additionally, we're keeping a close eye on extended shipping lead times for certain sleep resupply products, which could impact growth for the quarter, so we're accounting for that risk in these numbers. Adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 20.5%, up from Q1 twenty twenty four margin, but pressured by added expense associated with recovering from the change healthcare situation discussed earlier. These expenses should dissipate in the coming months, but we do expect an impact in Q2.

Speaker 2

Free cash flow to be at least 94,000,000 dollars which meets our expectations for the first half. For the full year, we are maintaining our original guidance and expect revenue to be in the range of $3,250,000,000 to $3,350,000,000 adjusted

Speaker 3

EBITDA to be

Speaker 2

in the range of 650,000,000 dollars to $710,000,000 and free cash flow to be in the range of $150,000,000 to $180,000,000 With that, I'll turn it back to Richard for closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Jason. When I took the job as a Chairman CEO approximately a year ago, it was intended as a short term role while we installed a new CEO. As things have developed, it has turned into one of the most impactful and rewarding years I've experienced in my career. I've been able to observe firsthand the professionalism and dedication of our nearly 11,000 team members as they deliver high quality care to the 4,000,000 people we serve. As we compliantly generate more actionable data from our patients, I'm even more convinced that Adapt Health will have an increasingly important role in the health outcomes of our patients.

Speaker 1

After another clean quarter of continued growth, I'll be leaving the CEO job with a great deal of optimism for the company. The future is bright for AdaptHealth and look forward to watching and helping Suzanne and our talented team deliver on the opportunities ahead. We'll now open the call to questions. Operator?

Operator

Gentlemen, thank We'll take our first question today from Brian Tanquilut at Jefferies.

Speaker 3

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question. It's Jack Sullivan on for Brian. Congrats on the strong results. Maybe to kick it off, I wanted to touch on the margin piece because it was particularly impressive.

Speaker 3

Are you able to give any color on what sort of driving that improvement in cost of products by category? I'm wondering here if it's sort of diabetes margins leveling out with payer mix. Any color there would be great.

Speaker 2

Sure. This is Jason. I'd be glad to add some color. So as you pointed out, we referenced cost of products and supplies as frankly significantly better than the Q1 of last year as well as salary, labor and benefits, which was part of our 2023 management cost management program that we were able to deliver on. I mean within cost of products and supplies, a couple of things going on there of notes within our supply chain operations.

Speaker 2

So that includes certainly specific supplier negotiations that we won't offer a lot of detail on and product mix that you alluded to either from diabetes or other areas growing faster versus slower. Overall, we're very pleased with the 2024 contracting cycle. The contracting cycle is largely complete, so we do expect to continue to deliver improved cost of products and supplies throughout the course of the year.

Speaker 3

Got it. That's helpful. And then maybe on the capitated piece, commentary around Humana ramped now is really helpful. Can you give a sense of what that move in capitated revenue was quarter over quarter or I guess like versus the benchmark at the back half of the year that looked particularly strong on the quarter?

Speaker 2

Sure. Well, it's not perfect math because what I'm about to say, because capitated revenue was in fact reported in various categories in the first half of twenty twenty three. So that includes sleep, respiratory, HME and others. Starting in the second half, we did report our Humana per member per month revenue in the other category. So if you take note of the sequential step up from Q2 to Q3 last year and then Q3 to Q4, pretty significant step ups and that is showing you the ramp up period of the Humana contract and the transition of Humana patients.

Speaker 2

So in the Q1, we're reporting the entire Humana PMPM revenue in capitated. So we reported $32,000,000 in Q1. And additionally, we have several other capitated arrangements that we've been operating and frankly growing that portfolio for a number of years now. So that's where you see the revenue reporting now in terms of comparable against Q1 of last year. It's just going to be tough until we get enough quarters behind us to so we're able to see that trend in capitate it.

Speaker 2

Hope that helps.

Speaker 3

Yes, very helpful. And last one for me. Maybe looking forward, there's a lot of moving pieces and appreciate all the commentary around change on the cash flow side of things. But as you think about the full year guide, does this feel like the right level of sort of free cash conversion or sort of a normalized stabilized version of what we should expect from the business in terms of how much cash generation you can get relative to how the P and L is

Speaker 2

growing? Without question, it is we are confident in that free cash flow guidance for the year. Now to the second part of your question on how much we could get or what's the kind of cash generation power of the business, we continue to believe that it's quite a bit more than what we expect to deliver in 2024. I mean, after all, interest is running almost 4% of revenue. And as we continue to delever, as we continue to drive down interest expense, which we're very focused on, that will add an added benefit.

Speaker 2

It's important to note that our CapEx as a percent of revenue was down 90 bps over the Q1 of last year. We committed to about 0.5 point of improvement year over year as the Oracle perpetual inventory deployment continues to roll out aggressively across the country. That should give us just added confidence in hitting that CapEx number. And again, we feel very, very confident about the free cash flow expectations for the full year.

Speaker 3

Got it. Appreciate all the color and congrats again.

Operator

Our next question comes from Pito Chickering at Deutsche Bank.

Speaker 4

Hey, good morning guys. Thanks for taking

Speaker 3

the questions. Nice job on the quarter. Diabetes, we've been modeling diabetes for down year over year for the first half of the year and then up in back half of the year to get basically flat growth year over year. 1Q was definitely way above our expectations. Should we be thinking about the cadence differently for the year or what changed versus your original thoughts around diabetes?

Speaker 3

And is this just the split between pharmacy growing faster than DME? Thanks.

Speaker 2

Yes, Pito, good question. I'd start with just a review of the comparable periods in the prior year. It's important to note that Q1 of 2023 and the sequential step up into Q2 2023, I mean, you see that huge step up in diabetes revenue year over year going from 146 up to 169. We did not expect such a pronounced step up in the Q2. So although we're very pleased with the diabetes beat in Q1, pump and pump supplies came right down the middle of the fairway of what we expected and CGM did outperform our expectations.

Speaker 2

I mean we had diabetes down for Q1, but we're making some progress on sales. We're starting to take more orders in pharmacies. So things are going according to plan. But it's really that tough comparable in the prior year. There were some system conversion activities and other items that affected just such a large sequential step up that we don't expect to repeat.

Speaker 2

So that's really the only change to think about the full year quarterly numbers.

Speaker 3

Okay, great. And then for 2Q, you talked about some margin pressures from change and from investments. Can you give us any color on how 2Q consensus looks versus expectations? And a quick one on organic growth. How does capitated debt calculated as convert from fee for service into capitated for organic growth?

Speaker 2

Sure, Pito. In terms of organic growth, the capitated arrangements are 100% organic or non acquired because we did acquire some of these capitated arrangements, but we've anniversaried the years of those acquisitions. So it's 100% organic. In terms of how the Street is thinking about the full year, I guess I'd just summarize it by saying, look, we did better in Q1. We're pleased with it.

Speaker 2

We think that Q2 is going to be a little softer than what we expected 2 months ago when we guided. But zooming out, Q3, Q4, we feel very good about. The full year guide, we feel very good about. And so I think it's really a bit of a swap between Q1 and Q2 would be my observation of where the Street's at, as well as what we were thinking a couple of months ago.

Speaker 3

I mean, just should we take the beat from 1Q and to crack that from the 2Q consensus just from ballpark?

Speaker 2

I mean, generally, it's a fair way to think about it. Practically, obviously, it doesn't work exactly like that.

Speaker 3

Great. Thanks so much, guys. Nice job of the quarter.

Operator

Our next question today comes from Eric Coldwell at Baird.

Speaker 5

Thanks very much. I want to start off with making sure we understand the growth comps in the product categories here in Q1 'twenty four versus Q1 'twenty three because I think you've suggested that some of the Humana work was in those categories in the Q1 of last year, but now it's in the capitated line. So is there any additional detail you could give to quantify as we look at the segment growth rates ex capitated compared to what was reported last year, is there any way you could quantify that impact?

Speaker 2

Great question, Eric. It's going to be tough to quantify it since we're not breaking it out specifically in our filings or our reporting. However, the way that we're thinking about it and attempting to message things is thinking about sleep as a revenue category, diabetes as a revenue category and then everything else, which includes capitated and includes HME and respiratory and the other revenue categories. It's not perfectly precise to think of it that way, but it does help simplify. And so what we've said is, we expected sleep to grow about mid single digits over the prior year.

Speaker 2

We saw that in Q1 at 4%. We also said that we expected rental to have a tough comparable year. And if we ended flat, we'd be thrilled for the full year, might be down a touch, might be up a touch, but we'd be pleased with flat. We've said in diabetes, as someone mentioned earlier, that we had expected to be down to potentially flat in the first half of this year and then adding maybe a point and hopefully another 2 or 3 points of growth in the 3rd Q4 of this year. And then for the rest of the revenue categories, the average growth makes up the full year guide number at a little over 3%.

Speaker 2

So hope that helps, Eric.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then on 2Q, I know during the I think during some of this Humana transition, I know you won't quantify, can't do that perhaps, but is there still a comp issue on a year over year basis in Q2 in the product categories? Or is that fully worked through as Q1 as Q2 'twenty three began?

Speaker 2

Yes. It won't be a material difference in Q2, Eric. I mean, we did we committed to substantially transitioning all patients by the end of the Q1. We executed on that. I mean, as we stand here today, I think we're down to about 130 or so patients left.

Speaker 2

So we're down to the nitty gritty. We did transition within the quarter faster than we had anticipated. And so what that means is you've got nearly a full clean quarter for Q1. So we don't expect that capitated number to really move too much as we're looking to Q2 as it relates to transition.

Speaker 5

And then in terms of the capitated payments across Humana and your other existing accounts, is there any kind of an outlook you could give us for and maybe you didn't, I missed it, but is there a revenue target for 2Q or the year? Is there seasonality in these payments? Just it's a new line we're trying to figure out how to model.

Speaker 2

Yes, good question, Eric. I mean, I think the right way to think about it is generally flat revenue. The reason for that is that the PMPM is set at the beginning of the calendar year and the membership is generally set at the beginning of the calendar year. And so utilization will shift. So utilization we expect would pick up seasonally just like the rest of our business.

Speaker 2

So that could be a bottom line impact. But top line, that's how we'd expect to think about it. Now Richard mentioned an expectation for more growth in capitated wins. We have not accounted for any of that in guidance. We don't expect at any time to include any potential wins in the guidance, but we are deploying resources against pursuing those arrangements.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then on the revenue outlook for so obviously Q1 was very strong, better than expected and 2Q margin looks good, overall commentary for the year sounds good, 2Q doesn't sound so good. What's going on this quarter?

Speaker 2

Yes, it's really comparably. I mean, that's really what's driving Q2. So comparably, on the revenue side, I mean, look, the comps are just significantly tougher in Q2 versus Q1, specifically around the diabetes step up, as well as sleep. I mean, if you look prior year, that sleep rental number was up $7,000,000 against the Q1 of 2023. I mean, we expect sequentially from Q1 to be generally flat.

Speaker 2

I mean, we would be pleased with flat performance in Q2 at a sleep rental. I mean, that would mean that we're starting more patients than we are trading from the 13 month rental cycle from a year ago where we have record set up. So that's one key call out on revenue. 2nd, we are keeping an eye on some supply chain slowdowns in sleep resupply. I can't say anyone's getting too worked up about it impacting a full year number, but within the quarter more from a timing perspective, it's just something we're keeping an eye on and we thought it made sense to account for it in the Q2 number.

Speaker 2

Finally, as thrilled as we are with the performance of our revenue cycle team on this change healthcare matter, it is very costly. On the back end, I mean, now that payments are inflows are normalizing, the challenge is now you have to apply that payment in your systems, right? You got an which is now manual as opposed to electronic. You got an EOB. You got to produce the patient accountability, right?

Speaker 2

I mean, you have to go through all those procedures. And in many cases, we've got labor, approaching these 1 by 1, like logging into portals, pulling things down manually. I mean, it's very costly and obviously wasn't planned as we started the year. That said, with an outperforming Q1 and our just firm views on the rest of the year, we think we'll over comment for the rest of the year. So some of this is largely timing as opposed to something structural that's changing inside the business.

Speaker 5

All right. Last one for me. It's I know it's

Speaker 2

a lot. Just

Speaker 5

again coming back to 2Q, it does I don't want to put words in your mouth, but it doesn't sound like you have or at least you're not calling out a change in market demand, customer losses, sales force issues. I'm just wanting to hear you say that or say no, in fact, there's some other stuff on the 1% revenue growth outlook. I mean, I think we can all look at the year over year comps and understand that, but I very understandable, but I just want to make sure there's nothing structural, secular, more fundamental here that you would call out as something worrisome?

Speaker 1

There's nothing structural or fundamental that we would call out. These are just a couple of short term issues that we're going to overcome in the Q2. And I think we're being appropriately conservative about how we're looking at it. And I just want to be clear that there's no change in customer demand. So for an example, any potential slowdown in sleep resupply has nothing to do with demand, it has to do with supply.

Speaker 1

So we're just being mindful of things that are possible and trying to be I hate to use the word conservative, but smart about how we think about the Q2.

Speaker 5

Very good. Thank you very much.

Operator

Richard Close with Canaccord Genuity. Your line is open for our next question.

Speaker 4

Yes, congratulations on the quarter. Just maybe on the sleep resupply supply chain issues or what you're seeing there. Can you go into any more details specifically on what's occurring and the confidence that maybe it's short term in nature versus longer term?

Speaker 2

Sure, Richard. This is Jason. So without getting into specific commercial arrangements or naming names, this is firstly not related to raw materials supply. It's not related to manufacturing capacity of the suppliers that we purchase product from. This is related to a slowdown in distribution.

Speaker 2

Some of these suppliers have called out publicly, particularly like Red Sea impact and just dragging out some distribution. Now there's things we can do with those suppliers to get around some of that by air freighting and the such, which obviously increases cost. So it's a kind of a supply versus cost question. But at the end of the day, we're doing everything we can to get the product that our patients are asking for and to get that out on patients.

Speaker 4

Okay. That's helpful. And then with respect to diabetes, maybe just an update there. You talked a little bit about the pumps. Maybe if you refresh our memory on exactly how you're thinking about the impact in terms of revenues and pumps as you progress through the year?

Speaker 4

And then commentary on doubling the sales force in diabetes, just the I mean, a current update in terms of where that stands and productivity expectations?

Speaker 2

Sure. Richard, I'll speak a little bit on the pump dynamic and then pass it to Richard for some comments on CGM and sales force. Pump and pump supplies, I mean, we had expected that to be down $15,000,000 to $20,000,000 for the full year as part of our guide at the beginning of the year. We also message an expectation for that to ramp sequentially down from Q1 until the end of the year as we're working to set up and start more tubeless pumps versus tube based pumps, we did a little better than we thought for Q1 than we would do. So look, it's 1 quarter, we're not getting too excited about it, but we do intend to continue that trend.

Speaker 2

So it's the 2nd quarter in a row that we put out more tube less pumps and earn more revenue from tube less pumps than we did from tube based pumps. So it will take time for that to continue to cycle through the overall patient portfolio, but we're very focused on it. Richard?

Speaker 1

Yes, we had just to comment on the increase in our distribution. We've done 2 things. We've added 40 ish new reps. They've all been trained around in the field and we're actually seeing results that we're quite pleased with from the majority of the new hires. You're not going to get 100% and we're doing very well.

Speaker 1

We've been very well trained. But very importantly, we're also deploying them in places that are target rich. For example, we deployed new sales reps in New York City, where there's a huge prevalence of diabetes and some other large cities. So it's not just the increase in the sales group, it's also the targeting of markets that we think are going to be particularly fruitful.

Speaker 4

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Kevin Caliendo over at UBS. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 6

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I find it interesting that one of your public peers is investing in their sales force and you guys have as well. I'm just wondering, given sort of the comments today, is there any underlying business that's intensifying? Or are you seeing an opportunity in the marketplace for growth that's new that's out there that you're trying to capitalize upon?

Speaker 1

Or are you just trying to

Speaker 6

get out ahead of the sleep data on the GLP-1s? Just trying to it just seemed interesting to me, especially given the sort of comments around 2Q and everything. If you could talk maybe about the competitive dynamics and the strategy in Sleep?

Speaker 1

Look, we're in a competitive business, let's start with that. But we're the number 1 in Sleep by good margin and our market share is increasing each year, each quarter. So starting from very, very good place. We are adding sleep breaths again in target rich places where we think we have an opportunity to grow. So we're we believe that we can grow, continue to grow very, very nicely.

Speaker 1

No one disputes the fact that there's a huge number of undiagnosed OSA folks out there. As I said, when Lillian made their announcement a couple of weeks ago, they talked about a number that was even startling to us in its size of the number of potential OSA patients. So we're we think that there's it's a very, very there's still nice tailwinds to the sleep business. And given our market leadership and our strength in the market, we're going to make the best use we can.

Speaker 6

That's helpful. I appreciate that. And just one quick question on diabetes. You discussed the pharmacy channel shift in that marketplace. Was there any contribution there at all?

Speaker 6

Like how should we think about that? Did it contribute in the quarter in any way, shape or form?

Speaker 2

It did not incrementally contribute in Q1, Kevin. We do expect a very modest contribution in Q2 as we have opened up 4 key markets on pharmacy that we that team we're very proud of and they delivered on that near the end of Q1. So, look, it won't be material, but the team is focused on it. We intend to open up more markets as we go throughout the year.

Speaker 6

Thanks. Listen, I appreciate all the color this morning.

Operator

And our next question will come from I do apologize if I mispronounce your name. It's from Jonna Gajuk at Bank of America.

Speaker 7

Hi. Thank you. That was pretty good. Joanna, I guess, but thanks. So yes, thanks for taking the question here.

Speaker 7

A couple of follow on change and the impact in Q2. So just want to clarify, so you said it's pretty much just the cost and I understand just processing things manually versus automated systems that you normally use that's very costly. But I just want to clarify and make sure are there any impact to admission process in terms of just having more patients and I guess processing the existing patients on resupply because of change outage?

Speaker 2

No. We or and our third party suppliers do not rely on change for either of those areas of patient accounting.

Speaker 7

Okay. Good. And when it comes to diabetes, you just mentioned the pharmacy rollout. And also on the last quarter, you talked about looking for a partner to ramp up your participation in this channel. So it sounds like things are happening there.

Speaker 7

So any update there in terms of finding a partner? Or are you doing it yourself?

Speaker 2

Well, we are continuing to do it ourselves. We are exploring partnership as an outsourcing opportunity to compress costs on the back end. So we haven't yet made a determination on that, but we are still evaluating. But the 4 markets I mentioned that have been opened up, that's entirely organic and done with our own internal capabilities.

Speaker 7

Okay, great. And as the life to diabetes and the pharmacy channel, so let me maybe an update on any additional payers. Is there still anybody left that could still shift? When talking about managed Medicaid or Medicare Advantage that maybe are using the medical benefit that could shift to pharmacy benefit if they're still out there or are you pretty much done with those?

Speaker 2

Sure. I mean, it is still potential. I would say that our percent of government business is up to 81% within diabetes for the quarter. And so we continue to drive more and more new start activity towards that channel, if you will, which we believe is better insulated from pharmacy shift risk. We'd say within the quarter, we detected 3 payer changes moving from commercial and making more medical benefit to a pharmacy benefit.

Speaker 2

One of them was an upper Midwest regional Medicare company. The other 2 were state Medicaid offices. The 4 markets I mentioned where we've opened pharmacy operations is in one of those state Medicaid offices. So we're working to continue to get after that business. So we didn't see a material impact of pharmacy shift to our business in the Q1 of 'twenty four.

Speaker 7

So would you say you are in the aggregate, I guess, in your business when it comes to pharmacy versus the benefit?

Speaker 2

You're asking what percent of our business is pharmacy versus the benefit? It's very small. It's still in the 5% or so range for pharmacy and then the vast majority in medical benefit distribution.

Speaker 7

Okay. And if I may, just 2 more. So I don't know the CapEx. So you reaffirmed your free cash flow guidance, understandably some impact from change, but CapEx, right? So is 11% of revenue down from a year ago, but I guess above the full year guidance of more like a 10% rate.

Speaker 7

So is it just timing and CapEx sort of still expected to be in the same interest you discussed previously?

Speaker 2

Yes, you got it.

Speaker 7

Okay. And last one, so you keep paying down debt, so that's great and reducing your interest expense, so that's great. That helps the cash flow. And I guess you have and you're targeting to even reduce further. And I guess that term loan matures in January 26.

Speaker 7

So any initial indication of how you plan to go about it? It sounds like you would have to address it later this year.

Speaker 2

Yes, good questions. So for Q1, we exited at 3.12 times levered. We've said that we expect to be below 3 times, which is our stated leverage target before the end of 2024, and we do think we'll deliver on that sooner versus later. You're correct, the PLA is it will come current in Jan of 'twenty five and it comes due in Jan of 'twenty six. As you'd expect, our bank group has been activated.

Speaker 2

We're working closely to start considering options. So we'll do something this year. But we're continuing to pay it down in the meantime. And as we message for Q2, we're going to continue to do that.

Speaker 7

Great. It makes sense. Thank you so much for taking the questions.

Operator

And at this time, we have no further questions from our audience. I'll turn it back to our management team for any additional or closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thanks everyone for joining our Q1 conference call. Jason and the team will be available as myself as well to answer any questions that you've got. Thank you.

Operator

This does conclude today's teleconference and we do thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.

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Earnings Conference Call
AdaptHealth Q1 2024
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