NASDAQ:BLMN Bloomin' Brands Q2 2024 Earnings Report $8.01 -0.39 (-4.64%) As of 05/20/2025 04:00 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast Bloomin' Brands EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.51Consensus EPS $0.58Beat/MissMissed by -$0.07One Year Ago EPS$0.74Bloomin' Brands Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$1.12 billionExpected Revenue$1.13 billionBeat/MissMissed by -$7.10 millionYoY Revenue Growth-2.90%Bloomin' Brands Announcement DetailsQuarterQ2 2024Date8/6/2024TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateTuesday, August 6, 2024Conference Call Time8:15AM ETUpcoming EarningsBloomin' Brands' Q2 2025 earnings is scheduled for Tuesday, August 5, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 8:15 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by Bloomin' Brands Q2 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrAugust 6, 2024 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Greetings, and welcome to the Blumen Brands Fiscal Second Quarter 20 24 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow management's prepared remarks. Please note this event is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Tara Curian, Vice President, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations. Operator00:00:25You may begin. Speaker 100:00:29Thank you, and good morning, everyone. With me on today's call are David Deno, our Chief Executive Officer and Michael Healy, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President. By now, you should have access to our fiscal Q2 2024 earnings release. It can also be found on our website at www.bloominbrands.com in the Investors section. Throughout this conference call, we will be presenting results on an adjusted basis. Speaker 100:00:57An explanation of our use of non GAAP financial measures and reconciliations to most directly comparable GAAP measures appear in our earnings release on our website as previously described. Before we begin formal remarks, I'd like to remind everyone that part of our discussion today will include forward looking statements, including a discussion of recent trends. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ in a material way from our forward looking statements. Some of these risks are mentioned in our earnings release. Others are discussed in our SEC filings, which are available at www.sec.gov. Speaker 100:01:39During today's call, we'll provide a brief recap of our financial performance for the fiscal Q2 2024, an overview of company highlights and current thoughts on fiscal 2024 guidance. Once we've completed these remarks, we'll open the call up for With that, I would like to now turn the call over to David Deno. Speaker 200:02:00Well, thank you, Tara, and welcome to everyone listening today. As noted in this morning's earnings release, adjusted Q2 twenty twenty four diluted earnings per share was 0 point 5 was 20 basis points better than industry sales during the quarter as measured by Black Box. The casual dining industry was softer than anticipated in the 2nd quarter. While our comparable sales growth outpaced the industry, we did not meet our expectations. We are focused on navigating the difficult near term industry headwinds as well as setting up Outback for long term success. Speaker 200:02:33These near term challenges coupled with our Q2 results are leading us to update our full year guidance. Michael will go into more detail in a few minutes. On a positive note, we are seeing signs of inflation returning to normal, which creates some immediate opportunities for us. Additionally, interest rates may decline in the near future. Both of these factors will create a more favorable environment for the industry and our company. Speaker 200:02:55The key is to recognize that we have a strong business as we navigate the coming months. We are confident in our ability to manage the industry trends and take share in the second half and beyond. This thinking has been included in our updated guidance. As mentioned on prior calls, driving same store sales growth and improving traffic and improving traffic at Outback remains our number one priority. Outback is a power brand and we are working to strengthen the business across many areas. Speaker 200:03:19We've done a significant amount of work on deepening the understanding of our customers, their business motivations and how we can further differentiate Outback within the casual dining landscape. We have put some of these learnings into action and we expect much more progress through the end of the year. There are 3 primary areas we are focused on. Number 1, consistently delivering great experiences. Number 2, improving the menu to offer abundance and value. Speaker 200:03:45Number 3, building consumer decision making capabilities and digital marketing into a competitive advantage. Starting with delivering great experiences. We know that consistently delivering great food and service is the key to driving same store sales growth. And at Outback, that is exactly our goal. We are enhancing our service model to provide even better, more memorable and welcoming service to our guests. Speaker 200:04:07All of our technology and equipment investments such as new grills and server handhelds have been rolled out and we are building on these investments. We've shared in recent quarters that we are seeing significant improvements in our customer satisfaction metrics with regard to execution and that continues. Over the last year, steak accuracy is up 500 basis points and consistency of experience is up 500 basis points. This progress is further validated by casual dining industry metrics, which have continued to improve. Friendly service and food quality are now 2.90 40 basis points ahead of our casual dining peers respectively. Speaker 200:04:44We know that over time these level of improvements will help drive same store sales growth. Moving on to our 2nd area of focus, improving our menu to focus on abundance and value. We are looking at the Outback menu to simplify offerings, reduce the number of items and target higher satisfaction menu items that resonate with our guests. At the same time, we are looking at selectively adding new differentiated items that provide abundant value. Taken together, this will likely result in a more simplified menu at Outback with fewer items and higher value. Speaker 200:05:17We do not want to share too much detail for competitive purposes, but work is underway and we'll be able to share more in the upcoming quarters. Speaking of value, our current LTO offering has an entry price point of $14.99 the lowest offering of the year. Three courses for $14.99 is an exceptional offer. We are not adjusting our strategy to go after deep discounting, rather we feel this is the best for the strength and the health of the brand long term. We are focused on delivering offerings that are only available at Outback. Speaker 200:05:48Importantly, they provide an attractive value to our customers. They are promotions that we can own that connect with our guests and drive traffic in difficult times. We anticipate LTOs that have similar price points in the near term and we know we must continue to spend on marketing to maintain our share of voice. Our last area of focus is building consumer decision making capabilities and digital marketing into a competitive advantage. Our multi channel advertising strategy currently leverages analytics to ensure strong returns and maximizes our reach. Speaker 200:06:18We want to continue to improve this capability and develop a robust way to communicate, engage and motivate our guests. We start building the foundation in both our team and our tools to further improve our decision making and resource allocation. We are establishing the framework for long term success of the Outback brand that will be grounded in our no rules just right philosophy and will stay true to the irreverent and adventurous spirit of Outback. A great deal of work is underway and we will discuss our progress in the coming quarters. Now on to some of our other priorities. Speaker 200:06:50During 2024, we will continue to make investments to upgrade our assets through new openings, relocating and remodeling restaurants. We expect to remodel 60 to 65 restaurants and open 40 to 45 new restaurants system wide this year. 15 are new Outback Steakhouse Restaurants and one is a new Fleming's that will open in the U. S. In addition, we will open 20 high returning restaurants in Brazil this year. Speaker 200:07:13The balance of the openings will come from our franchise partners. We know that upgrading our assets is a big part of improving traffic trends, especially at Outback. In addition, we are achieving good returns from our new restaurants and relocations. We have a strong pipeline, but we are also seeing increasing costs. As such, we are committed to delivering a great return and will adjust the future pipeline is needed to maintain the returns we are currently seeing. Speaker 200:07:36The last priority I'll discuss today is our leading off premises business, which is 24% of our U. S. Sales. We are pioneers in the to go space and we continue to see strong demand in this highly incremental occasion. This business has more than doubled since 2019 and is an important sales channel. Speaker 200:07:52We need to continue to pursue our off premises business and grow in restaurant sales. Additionally, our catering business is expanding at all of our brands, but particularly at Carrabba's. Their Q2 catering business has increased approximately 180% over the last 2 years and clearly demonstrates a runway for future growth. Importantly, the sales initiatives I described are supported by strong cash flow and a solid balance sheet. This gives us the ability to invest in our marketing and operations initiatives, our technology plans and asset improvements. Speaker 200:08:20These efforts are helping us build a strong business that will thrive for many years to come. I want to thank the great teams in our restaurants and restaurant support center. The progress we are making would not be possible without all of your hard work. Thank you for delivering outstanding hospitality and service to our guests. Before I turn it over to Michael, I would like to provide updates on 2 previously announced matters. Speaker 200:08:42The first is on the potential refranchising in Brazil. We are encouraged with the level of interest in the business. We are making progress on a possible transaction. Or provide an update as events warrant. This is a fantastic business with great long term value. Speaker 200:08:56And the second matter is CEO succession. The Board has formed a committee and the process is underway with a leading executive search firm. Importantly, I remain fully committed to leading the company and supporting a transition to the new CEO when they are selected. And with that, over to you, Michael, to discuss our Q2 financial performance and updated 2024 guidance. Speaker 300:09:16Thank you, Dave, and hello, everyone. I would like to start by providing a recap of our financial performance for the fiscal Q2 of 2024. Total revenues in Q2 were $1,100,000,000 which is down 3% from 2023. This was primarily driven by a decline in comparable restaurant sales, the net impact of restaurant closures and openings and the loss of the Brazil value added tax exemption benefit that ended in 2023. U. Speaker 300:09:44S. Comparable restaurant sales were negative 10 basis points and traffic was negative 380 basis points. We were ahead of the casual dining industry on sales by 20 basis points, though we were behind the industry on traffic by 70 basis points. We know our LTOs must be more value focused to take share in this environment and our second half promotional calendar reflects that. Average check was up 3.7% in Q2 versus 2023. Speaker 300:10:12We are appropriately balancing delivering value to our customers, while continuing to support the business in a period of higher inflation. Dave walked you through some exciting LTOs that bring great value to our guests with very accessible entry price points. Q2 off premises was approximately 24% of total U. S. Sales. Speaker 300:10:32We have seen an increase in the highly incremental third party delivery business, now 14% of total U. S. Sales, which was up from 12% in Q2 2023, driven by our growth in catering. Our Q2 GAAP diluted earnings per share for the quarter was $0.32 versus $0.70 in 2023. Our Q2 adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.51 versus $0.70 in 2023. Speaker 300:11:00The primary difference between GAAP and adjusted diluted earnings per share is due to the asset impairment and closure related charges associated with the decision we made in Q4 last year to close 36 primarily older underperforming restaurants in the U. S. And the decision this quarter to close 9 restaurants in Hong Kong. I would like to comment on our adjusted share count that has been changed as a result of some SEC comments. The shares outstanding for GAAP purposes hedge transaction. Speaker 300:11:37In our prior presentation of adjusted share count, we had added back the benefit of the hedge to match the economic effect of the underlying instruments. Starting this quarter, we will no longer be making this adjustment and have updated the share count to remove the benefit from the hedge associated with our convertible notes. This change negatively impacted our Q1 results by approximately $0.03 and it will impact our total year by approximately $0.05 We have also recast the adjusted share count from Q2 last year, which reflects an increase of approximately 5,000,000 shares or from 92,400,000 shares to 97,400,000 shares. This reduced Q2 2023 adjusted EPS by $0.04 compared to what we previously reported. Q2 adjusted operating margins were 5.7% versus 7 0.8% last year. Speaker 300:12:32There are a number of factors contributing to the margin decline this quarter. First, we are lapping the Brazil value added tax benefit, which cost us 40 basis points of margin versus last year. We had an impact in labor, driven primarily from inflation, which drove an additional year over year margin unfavorability. Labor cost was up in Q2, primarily driven by wage inflation of 4.4%. Other restaurant operating expenses were also up year over year, partially due to inflation and partially due to spending $4,000,000 more in advertising this year. Speaker 300:13:05Depreciation was higher in Q2 consistent with our increased levels of capital spending and our investments in infrastructure to support growth. This was offset by a reduction in G and A. The margin decline was offset by favorability in food and beverage costs from pricing benefits and supply chain productivity initiatives. Commodities costs were better in Q2, driven by more modest expectations across dairy, oil and seafood. We continue to see positive signs within our beef program, but this category remains inflationary. Speaker 300:13:36This is a challenging market environment and we are focused on the costs that are in our control. Turning to our capital structure. Total debt net of cash was $884,000,000 at the end of Q2. The higher balance is driven by the convertible note and accelerated share repurchase activity earlier this year. We are satisfied with our leverage metrics and levels of liquidity. Speaker 300:13:57Importantly, we remain committed to being at or below our lease adjusted leverage ratio target of 3 times. Year to date through August 2, we have repurchased a total of 9,900,000 shares of stock for approximately $263,000,000 This included shares associated with the convertible notes that we repurchased. We have $99,000,000 remaining under our share authorization program. The Board also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.24 a share that is payable on September 4. Before I get into full year guidance, I wanted to provide an update on 3 external factors impacting our full year guidance. Speaker 300:14:35First, at the end of May, Brazil passed a new value added tax exemption into law. This will be a positive benefit for our company and is expected to be a $0.15 benefit on the year, almost entirely in the second half. As a reminder, the benefit recognized in 2023 was $0.25 2nd, the recast share count, as previously discussed, negatively impacts our full year adjusted earnings by $0.05 with almost all of that impact in the first half. 3rd, we are seeing 4 exchange headwinds in Brazil that will negatively impact our second half by approximately $0.04 Collectively, these factors are a $0.06 benefit on the full year and a $0.07 benefit in the second half. Now turning to our full year 2024 guidance. Speaker 300:15:25We are updating our full year guidance to reflect the softer industry environment, which has continued in the start of Q3. As a result, we are updating our comp guidance range to be flat to down 100 basis points. We are being very pricing and have not contemplated pricing actions above prior guidance. Given the volatility the industry is seeing in traffic trends, we are updating our adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to be between $2.10 $2.30 The wider range is a reflection of this volatility. We are updating our adjusted tax rate to be between 8% 10%. Speaker 300:16:04As we mentioned on the last call, the negative calendar shift experienced in Q1 of $0.05 is recaptured in Q4. And from a marketing dollar standpoint, we will begin to lap the marketing increase we started a year ago. Therefore, marketing dollars will be relatively flat in Q3 and Q4. We are also lowering our capital expenditures guidance to be between $260,000,000 $270,000,000 We are appropriately managing our capital dollars given the current environment. We will continue to balance investing in our restaurants and returning dollars to shareholders. Speaker 300:16:39As it relates to the Q3 of 2024, we expect U. S. Comparable restaurant sales to be flat to down 2% on a comparable calendar basis. This reflects the current environment and what we are seeing in the restaurant industry. We expect Q3 adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $0.17 $0.25 Importantly, this guidance includes the revised Brazil value added tax exemption benefit of $0.06 compared to a $0.04 benefit last year. Speaker 300:17:08Share count is approximately 87,000,000 shares and FX is expected to be a $0.02 headwind on the quarter. In summary, we are operating in a challenging environment, but we have great brands and a strong balance sheet. Outback is a power brand and we are fully committed to not only navigating these near term headwinds, but also completing all of the necessary work at Outback to drive long term success. And with that, we will now open up the call for questions. Operator00:18:15The first question today comes from Jeffrey Bernstein with Barclays. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:18:22Thank you very much. Two questions. The first one just on the broader industry and seemingly value focus. Just wondering Dave, if you could offer your thoughts in terms of how the current environment compares to past challenging periods in terms of the industry being more aggressive on value? And maybe if you could just offer some color in terms of your specific plans. Speaker 400:18:45I know you said more value in the second half, but any concern of driving more unprofitable traffic in response to that? And then I had one follow-up. Speaker 200:18:54Yes, sure, Jeff. Good morning. Yes, as we mentioned, Q2 and starting into Q3, I think the industry trends to look at overall softer than expected. We certainly have adjusted to that. We have tried to provide guidance that incorporates But I think you have to take a look at navigating a challenging near term environment and looking at the overall health of the business and overall health of the which we think is very strong. Speaker 200:19:22So what we have here is a more softer environment than say a year ago. And what we're trying to do is appropriately build some value into the menu especially at Outback that is still a good return for the shareholder. And we think we've landed on that with the $14.99 3 course meal at Outback. And it's too early to comment on trends, but we're happy with what we're seeing so far. So you'll see more of that at the balance of the year. Speaker 200:19:49And that's how we're trying to address some of the value and industry issues right now. Yes. And Dave, I'd Speaker 300:19:55jump in real quick. The one thing we're able to do is engineer these offers. So at $14.99 we're going to engineer it. So the economics of it are still very strong. So it's a great value for our guests really motivates them to visit, but at the same time is good from a flow through perspective. Speaker 400:20:12Encouraging. And I had one follow-up just on the cost side of things. You made a couple of comments in the prepared remarks. 1, on the cost to build with increases presumably and 2, on beef. So I'm wondering if you could just provide outlook on each in terms of the cost to build, how much that's up over whatever period of time you want to offer and maybe the returns you're still achieving. Speaker 400:20:34And on beef, I think you said it's still inflationary, but made it sound like it was perhaps more manageable than you were thinking. So just wondering any color you could provide in terms of your outlook for beef. Thank you. Speaker 200:20:43Yes, sure. I'll talk about some of the construction stuff. Yes, construction costs for our industry and for America overall up significantly. I don't have the number off the top of my head, but it's large. The and we always look at the cost and our sales for those particular restaurants. Speaker 200:21:00And what we have right now are very high return new restaurants, Speaker 300:21:04but we're always looking at the cost to make sure what we're building still makes sense. So we actively manage our pipeline, Jeff, and we'll continue to manage. We'll look at that. Any particular forecast on the cost of construction, I think would be premature. Hopefully, it will come down some, but we're managing our portfolio accordingly. Speaker 300:21:23And then Michael, maybe a little bit on beef. Yes, just one thing on the pipeline too is we built a pipeline, so we are able to cherry pick those deals that where the economics continue to be fantastic and we're going to walk away from deals that don't hit the returns that we require. So that's focused. As far as beef, I mean, beef is still expected to be highly inflationary for us. What we are seeing is some favorability versus how we began the year. Speaker 300:21:49And as we've shared before, the way that we contract our beef, we're able to share in any market favorability and we're seeing signs of that and able to take advantage of some of those dollars. But we're still actively watching it to see where we think we'll end the year. But still highly inflationary, but more favorable than we thought we'd be at the start of the year. Speaker 500:22:12Great. Thank you. Speaker 200:22:13Thank you, Jeff. Operator00:22:16The next question comes from Alex Slagle with Jefferies. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:22:22Hey, good morning. Speaker 200:22:24Good morning. Speaker 600:22:25Just want to follow-up on Jeff's question and just kind of get your view a little bit more on what you think is going on with the consumer? I mean, you did kind of expect it to be softer and it has been probably a bit tougher than you expected. But was there something you saw in the consumer in terms of what's changed or in a notable way or just really a broader step down in traffic across the board? Speaker 200:22:51Yes. I think what we're seeing is the consumer is being pretty choosy on where they spend their dollars. There's been a lot of speculations, is it the lowering consumer or who exactly is it? But we believe that all the choices out there, people are being more choosy. Once they choose to come in our restaurants, we're not seeing a large trade down or mix change or anything like that. Speaker 200:23:14But the important thing is to get the people in our restaurants and fight for that market share, which is what we're trying to do. Speaker 600:23:23Got it. Thanks. And Michael, you mentioned an opportunity to engineer some of the promotions to get good economics. And I'm just trying to think through some of the dynamics of your broader mix of proteins there. And I think historically it was somewhere around half of the orders were steak and there was some good variety with the ribs and seafood and maybe some more thoughts on things you could do on the menu from that perspective to keep the cost of goods where you're hoping to be? Speaker 300:23:59Yes. I mean, you're roughly directly correct on the beef basket. But we have great other proteins. And what we're able to do when we create these LTOs is you're able to create tiers. And so you're able to create entry level price points that are other proteins besides beef to help us achieve those price points. Speaker 300:24:19We're able to create bountiful. We have a great R and D team. We're able to create bountiful dishes. So we're able to have abundance. So when you're looking at value, you come and you get a full plate and you're very happy. Speaker 300:24:29And so a lot of it comes down to what are the great flavors, what can we execute high level, but at the same time from the math perspective, how do we hit these entry level price points like sometimes using alternative proteins or sometimes using byproducts of beef to have something that really resonates with our guests. At the same time allow our guests to opt up into something that's larger and more indulgent. And so that's how we'll construct the LTOs going forward. But we know having that opening price point at the $14.99 is critical as Dave said from a value standpoint. They're being choosy and so we have to we had to have to add a price point that's meaningful and that's where the team is focused. Speaker 200:25:12And the other thing it enables to do as it's built is you start with an opening price point, there's another tier at a higher price point and another tier at a high the customer can choose once they come in the door. So we offer that opportunity for our customers. Speaker 600:25:26Thank you. Operator00:25:30The next question comes from Jeff Farmer from Gordon Haskett. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:25:35Great, thanks. Appreciate it. Just following up on the line of questioning as it relates to the new 3 course meal at $14.99 So I think historically you guys touched on this, it was $16.99 but is that $2 spread? Is that enough to I know it's only been out there a couple of weeks, but is that enough to drive traffic for you guys that $2 Speaker 200:25:59I can't get into details Jeff, but yes, we think it is. Speaker 700:26:03Okay. And then just along those lines before I move on, the promotion of the $14.99 offer, I can see stuff out there on social media, but beyond that, is there traditional media involved? How are you getting your customers to have knowledge of this pretty good deal? Speaker 200:26:21All funnels of the advertising channel, TV, social media, electronic, digital, everything that we can offer. And we have a very good understanding of what those returns look like and we're spending appropriately. Speaker 300:26:38And anything I'd jump in and say, I mean the one great thing about the Allstate III courses not only does it hit a price point that's meaningful at 14.99 dollars but it's also a lot of food, right? So when you think about value, we're hitting both sides of the equation and that's what the team is focused on. Speaker 700:26:53Okay. And then final question for me. As it relates to the Q3 same store sales guidance, the down 2% to flat, just curious if you could sort of give us some of the components of that meaning expectation that casual dining sector traffic remains weak, Bloomin's combined menu pricing or any mix shifts that might come with the lower price point LTL? So anything you can provide on just flushing out the components of the Q3 same store sales guide would be helpful. Speaker 200:27:24Yes, sure. I'll answer the broad question first, Jeff, and then turn over to Michael. It incorporates what we are seeing in the industry in our own situation. So we're trying to incorporate current trends into that guide. So sales, traffic, pricing, etcetera, that's all part of the guide. Speaker 300:27:41Yes. Our guide is flat to negative too. And for us, it all comes down to traffic. We've seen a lot of volatility in the industry. And so we're trying to be appropriate in providing guidance and account for that volatility. Speaker 300:27:55From a traffic standpoint, we would expect traffic to be similar to what we saw in Q2. Our average check is holding. And I think one thing we are very confident is that we will continue to take share. We're encouraged with Outback's promotion. We're encouraged with their promotional calendar for the rest of the year. Speaker 300:28:14Obviously, the thing we don't have perfect clarity on is where that tide line is. But we're focused on the things that we can control and that's what the team is working on. Speaker 700:28:25Thank Operator00:28:30you. The next question comes from Brian Mullen with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:28:42Thank you. Just a question on Fleming's. The components of the comp were a little different than the other brands with traffic down a bit more of a checkup. So could you just speak to the dynamics there? Was there additional price recently? Speaker 500:28:54And then, just your outlook on fine dining for the rest of the year, if it's much different than casual dining? Speaker 200:29:01Yes. Fine dining has been a bit more challenged than casual dining, I think because partly because of some of the significant gains in prior years. But importantly, Fleming's has been taking share versus the fine dining industry, if you look across how things are going. And we just and we continue to offer the guest an exceptional experience. And our goal at Fleming's is to elevate the food, the beverage and the service at Fleming's and it continues to perform very well. Speaker 200:29:31So there have been some traffic challenges, but they are taking share in fine dining and fine dining has been a little bit weaker than casual dining, but we still remain very, very bullish on the business and what the team is doing. Speaker 500:29:45Okay. Thank you. And then question on Brazil. Thank you for the update on the review process. Just on the underlying on the business, can you just talk about the outlook over the balance of the year? Speaker 500:29:56Anything you could offer on the current operating environment or the consumer in Brazil as you see it now, that would be great. Speaker 200:30:03Yes, sure. No, we've got a remarkable business down there, number 1 restaurant company by far. The economy there has been a little softer with higher interest rates. And in the quarter, there was I don't know if you follow the news, but there was very, very significant flooding the South that impacted our sales. But we will see probably some choppiness and softness to balance of the year in Brazil because of the interest rate environment, what they're going through. Speaker 200:30:30But most importantly is the quality of our business and how they come to market and what they look like. For instance, we just remodeled our first restaurant, the total remodel, our first restaurant in Rio and the reception has been unbelievable. And the sales are way, way, way up. And that's an indication we can roll that remodel going forward. And that's an indication of what it means in that marketplace and how that brand looks. Speaker 200:30:56So extremely strong brand, a choppy environment, maybe the balance of the year, but something that the team is trying to address to the best of their ability. Yes. Speaker 300:31:06And the only thing I'd jump in is, we're they're trying to take as little price. They have their challenges macro perspective from a value perspective. So intentionally taking as little price as possible in that market to continue to support the business. But we're also opening 20 restaurants, right, continuing to grow rapidly. It remains one of the strongest brands even outside of casual dining or dining in general in the country. Speaker 300:31:30And so obviously, we're very excited about that brand, but certainly there's some macro things that the team is working through. Operator00:31:45The next question comes from Andrew Strelzik with BMO. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:31:52Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. My first one, as you thought about communicating value to consumers, I'm just curious about your confidence in holding the marketing flat in the back half of the year. It seems like the industry is getting louder from a promotional perspective. So just curious about your thought process there. Speaker 800:32:09Does that hold your share of voice? You losing share of voice? Just any color on how you Speaker 400:32:14thought about marketing in the back half of Speaker 800:32:15the year? Speaker 200:32:16Yes, a couple of things. Yes, we want to hold our share of voice. Also, we can toggle advertising up, if we want to. We've got the current outlook. But most importantly is the quality of the offering. Speaker 200:32:29And we're pretty pleased with what we've got going on right now at Outback. So the quality offering is strong. And if we decide to toggle up advertising because it looks that way, we'll do that, but we'll also look at the sales and the returns we're getting on that investment. And we have robust analytics around the returns in our marketing spend. And as those ROIs tick up, we're always willing to invest dollars to drive traffic and connect with our guests. Speaker 200:32:57But as Dave said, the most important thing is what's how compelling is the offer and we think we'll have Speaker 300:33:03a strong promotional calendar in the second half. Speaker 800:33:07Okay. That's helpful. And then just secondly on the G and A side, you mentioned it coming up in lower for the quarter. Can you just talk about the dynamics there and how to think about it for the rest of the year? Thanks. Speaker 300:33:18Yes. For Q2, it came in a little lower, just a few puts and takes here, nothing overly meaningful, but I think we'll be relatively flat on the year. Speaker 400:33:28Great. Thank you very much. Operator00:33:32This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to David Deno for any closing remarks. Speaker 200:33:40Well, thank you everybody for listening today. We appreciate your time and we look forward to updating you later in the fall when we talk about Q3. Have a great day everybody. Operator00:33:51The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by Key Takeaways Bloomin’ Brands reported Q2 revenue of $1.1 billion, with U.S. same-restaurant sales down 0.1% (traffic down 3.8%) and adjusted EPS of $0.51 versus $0.70 last year, reflecting closures, impairments and lapping prior tax benefits. The company updated full-year guidance to flat to –1.0% comparable sales and adjusted EPS of $2.10–$2.30 (versus prior expectations), while cutting capex to $260–$270 million as it navigates softer casual-dining trends. Management is prioritizing traffic growth through service upgrades (new grills and server handhelds), menu simplification and value with a $14.99 three-course LTO, plus enhanced digital marketing analytics to sharpen consumer targeting. Asset investments continue with 60–65 restaurant remodels and 40–45 new openings (including 15 Outback Steakhouses and 20 company-run units in Brazil), while actively managing deal economics amid higher construction costs. Off-premises remains a growth engine—24% of U.S. sales—with third-party delivery climbing to 14% and catering up ~180% at Carrabba’s, underscoring diversified revenue channels. A.I. generated. May contain errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallBloomin' Brands Q2 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Bloomin' Brands Earnings HeadlinesQ1 Earnings Outperformers: Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) And The Rest Of The Sit-Down Dining StocksMay 16, 2025 | msn.comBloomin' Brands' (NASDAQ:BLMN) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The EyeMay 16, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comWashington Is Broke—and Eyeing Your Savings NextWashington is running out of money…And guess where they'll look next? When governments go broke, they take from the people. It's happened before, and it's happening again. The Department of Justice just admitted that cash isn't legally YOUR property.May 21, 2025 | Priority Gold (Ad)Bloomin' Brands Invests For Longer-Term Growth, Will Do 'Fewer Things Better'May 12, 2025 | benzinga.comBloomin' Brands: Weakness Baked In After 15% Slide (Rating Upgrade)May 12, 2025 | seekingalpha.comBloomin' Brands Stock Drops on Weak Guidance and Demand ConcernsMay 9, 2025 | msn.comSee More Bloomin' Brands Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Bloomin' Brands? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Bloomin' Brands and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Bloomin' BrandsBloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) engages in the acquisition, operation, design, and development of restaurant concepts. It operates through the U.S. and International geographical segments. The U.S. segment operates in the USA and Puerto Rico. The International segment operates in Brazil, South Korea, Hong Kong, and China. Its brands include Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse and Wine Bar. The company was founded by Chris Thomas Sullivan, Robert Danker Basham and John Timothy Gannon in March 1988 and is headquartered in Tampa, FL.View Bloomin' Brands ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Alibaba's Earnings Just Changed Everything for the StockCisco Stock Eyes New Highs in 2025 on AI, Earnings, UpgradesSymbotic Gets Big Earnings Lift: Is the Stock Investable Again?D-Wave Pushes Back on Short Seller Case With Strong EarningsAppLovin Surges on Earnings: What's Next for This Tech Standout?Can Shopify Stock Make a Comeback After an Earnings Sell-Off?Rocket Lab: Earnings Miss But Neutron Momentum Holds Upcoming Earnings Copart (5/22/2025)Ross Stores (5/22/2025)Analog Devices (5/22/2025)Workday (5/22/2025)Autodesk (5/22/2025)Intuit (5/22/2025)Toronto-Dominion Bank (5/22/2025)Bank of Nova Scotia (5/27/2025)AutoZone (5/27/2025)PDD (5/28/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. Start Your 30-Day Trial MarketBeat All Access Features Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring Get personalized stock ideas. Compare portfolio to indices. Check stock news, ratings, SEC filings, and more. Stock Ideas and Recommendations See daily stock ideas from top analysts. Receive short-term trading ideas from MarketBeat. Identify trending stocks on social media. Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools Use our seven stock screeners to find suitable stocks. Stay informed with MarketBeat's real-time news. Export data to Excel for personal analysis. Sign in to your free account to enjoy these benefits In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies. Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more. Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter. Sign in to your free account to enjoy all that MarketBeat has to offer. Sign In Create Account Your Email Address: Email Address Required Your Password: Password Required Log In or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google Forgot your password? Your Email Address: Please enter your email address. Please enter a valid email address Choose a Password: Please enter your password. Your password must be at least 8 characters long and contain at least 1 number, 1 letter, and 1 special character. Create My Account (Free) or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Greetings, and welcome to the Blumen Brands Fiscal Second Quarter 20 24 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow management's prepared remarks. Please note this event is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Tara Curian, Vice President, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations. Operator00:00:25You may begin. Speaker 100:00:29Thank you, and good morning, everyone. With me on today's call are David Deno, our Chief Executive Officer and Michael Healy, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President. By now, you should have access to our fiscal Q2 2024 earnings release. It can also be found on our website at www.bloominbrands.com in the Investors section. Throughout this conference call, we will be presenting results on an adjusted basis. Speaker 100:00:57An explanation of our use of non GAAP financial measures and reconciliations to most directly comparable GAAP measures appear in our earnings release on our website as previously described. Before we begin formal remarks, I'd like to remind everyone that part of our discussion today will include forward looking statements, including a discussion of recent trends. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ in a material way from our forward looking statements. Some of these risks are mentioned in our earnings release. Others are discussed in our SEC filings, which are available at www.sec.gov. Speaker 100:01:39During today's call, we'll provide a brief recap of our financial performance for the fiscal Q2 2024, an overview of company highlights and current thoughts on fiscal 2024 guidance. Once we've completed these remarks, we'll open the call up for With that, I would like to now turn the call over to David Deno. Speaker 200:02:00Well, thank you, Tara, and welcome to everyone listening today. As noted in this morning's earnings release, adjusted Q2 twenty twenty four diluted earnings per share was 0 point 5 was 20 basis points better than industry sales during the quarter as measured by Black Box. The casual dining industry was softer than anticipated in the 2nd quarter. While our comparable sales growth outpaced the industry, we did not meet our expectations. We are focused on navigating the difficult near term industry headwinds as well as setting up Outback for long term success. Speaker 200:02:33These near term challenges coupled with our Q2 results are leading us to update our full year guidance. Michael will go into more detail in a few minutes. On a positive note, we are seeing signs of inflation returning to normal, which creates some immediate opportunities for us. Additionally, interest rates may decline in the near future. Both of these factors will create a more favorable environment for the industry and our company. Speaker 200:02:55The key is to recognize that we have a strong business as we navigate the coming months. We are confident in our ability to manage the industry trends and take share in the second half and beyond. This thinking has been included in our updated guidance. As mentioned on prior calls, driving same store sales growth and improving traffic and improving traffic at Outback remains our number one priority. Outback is a power brand and we are working to strengthen the business across many areas. Speaker 200:03:19We've done a significant amount of work on deepening the understanding of our customers, their business motivations and how we can further differentiate Outback within the casual dining landscape. We have put some of these learnings into action and we expect much more progress through the end of the year. There are 3 primary areas we are focused on. Number 1, consistently delivering great experiences. Number 2, improving the menu to offer abundance and value. Speaker 200:03:45Number 3, building consumer decision making capabilities and digital marketing into a competitive advantage. Starting with delivering great experiences. We know that consistently delivering great food and service is the key to driving same store sales growth. And at Outback, that is exactly our goal. We are enhancing our service model to provide even better, more memorable and welcoming service to our guests. Speaker 200:04:07All of our technology and equipment investments such as new grills and server handhelds have been rolled out and we are building on these investments. We've shared in recent quarters that we are seeing significant improvements in our customer satisfaction metrics with regard to execution and that continues. Over the last year, steak accuracy is up 500 basis points and consistency of experience is up 500 basis points. This progress is further validated by casual dining industry metrics, which have continued to improve. Friendly service and food quality are now 2.90 40 basis points ahead of our casual dining peers respectively. Speaker 200:04:44We know that over time these level of improvements will help drive same store sales growth. Moving on to our 2nd area of focus, improving our menu to focus on abundance and value. We are looking at the Outback menu to simplify offerings, reduce the number of items and target higher satisfaction menu items that resonate with our guests. At the same time, we are looking at selectively adding new differentiated items that provide abundant value. Taken together, this will likely result in a more simplified menu at Outback with fewer items and higher value. Speaker 200:05:17We do not want to share too much detail for competitive purposes, but work is underway and we'll be able to share more in the upcoming quarters. Speaking of value, our current LTO offering has an entry price point of $14.99 the lowest offering of the year. Three courses for $14.99 is an exceptional offer. We are not adjusting our strategy to go after deep discounting, rather we feel this is the best for the strength and the health of the brand long term. We are focused on delivering offerings that are only available at Outback. Speaker 200:05:48Importantly, they provide an attractive value to our customers. They are promotions that we can own that connect with our guests and drive traffic in difficult times. We anticipate LTOs that have similar price points in the near term and we know we must continue to spend on marketing to maintain our share of voice. Our last area of focus is building consumer decision making capabilities and digital marketing into a competitive advantage. Our multi channel advertising strategy currently leverages analytics to ensure strong returns and maximizes our reach. Speaker 200:06:18We want to continue to improve this capability and develop a robust way to communicate, engage and motivate our guests. We start building the foundation in both our team and our tools to further improve our decision making and resource allocation. We are establishing the framework for long term success of the Outback brand that will be grounded in our no rules just right philosophy and will stay true to the irreverent and adventurous spirit of Outback. A great deal of work is underway and we will discuss our progress in the coming quarters. Now on to some of our other priorities. Speaker 200:06:50During 2024, we will continue to make investments to upgrade our assets through new openings, relocating and remodeling restaurants. We expect to remodel 60 to 65 restaurants and open 40 to 45 new restaurants system wide this year. 15 are new Outback Steakhouse Restaurants and one is a new Fleming's that will open in the U. S. In addition, we will open 20 high returning restaurants in Brazil this year. Speaker 200:07:13The balance of the openings will come from our franchise partners. We know that upgrading our assets is a big part of improving traffic trends, especially at Outback. In addition, we are achieving good returns from our new restaurants and relocations. We have a strong pipeline, but we are also seeing increasing costs. As such, we are committed to delivering a great return and will adjust the future pipeline is needed to maintain the returns we are currently seeing. Speaker 200:07:36The last priority I'll discuss today is our leading off premises business, which is 24% of our U. S. Sales. We are pioneers in the to go space and we continue to see strong demand in this highly incremental occasion. This business has more than doubled since 2019 and is an important sales channel. Speaker 200:07:52We need to continue to pursue our off premises business and grow in restaurant sales. Additionally, our catering business is expanding at all of our brands, but particularly at Carrabba's. Their Q2 catering business has increased approximately 180% over the last 2 years and clearly demonstrates a runway for future growth. Importantly, the sales initiatives I described are supported by strong cash flow and a solid balance sheet. This gives us the ability to invest in our marketing and operations initiatives, our technology plans and asset improvements. Speaker 200:08:20These efforts are helping us build a strong business that will thrive for many years to come. I want to thank the great teams in our restaurants and restaurant support center. The progress we are making would not be possible without all of your hard work. Thank you for delivering outstanding hospitality and service to our guests. Before I turn it over to Michael, I would like to provide updates on 2 previously announced matters. Speaker 200:08:42The first is on the potential refranchising in Brazil. We are encouraged with the level of interest in the business. We are making progress on a possible transaction. Or provide an update as events warrant. This is a fantastic business with great long term value. Speaker 200:08:56And the second matter is CEO succession. The Board has formed a committee and the process is underway with a leading executive search firm. Importantly, I remain fully committed to leading the company and supporting a transition to the new CEO when they are selected. And with that, over to you, Michael, to discuss our Q2 financial performance and updated 2024 guidance. Speaker 300:09:16Thank you, Dave, and hello, everyone. I would like to start by providing a recap of our financial performance for the fiscal Q2 of 2024. Total revenues in Q2 were $1,100,000,000 which is down 3% from 2023. This was primarily driven by a decline in comparable restaurant sales, the net impact of restaurant closures and openings and the loss of the Brazil value added tax exemption benefit that ended in 2023. U. Speaker 300:09:44S. Comparable restaurant sales were negative 10 basis points and traffic was negative 380 basis points. We were ahead of the casual dining industry on sales by 20 basis points, though we were behind the industry on traffic by 70 basis points. We know our LTOs must be more value focused to take share in this environment and our second half promotional calendar reflects that. Average check was up 3.7% in Q2 versus 2023. Speaker 300:10:12We are appropriately balancing delivering value to our customers, while continuing to support the business in a period of higher inflation. Dave walked you through some exciting LTOs that bring great value to our guests with very accessible entry price points. Q2 off premises was approximately 24% of total U. S. Sales. Speaker 300:10:32We have seen an increase in the highly incremental third party delivery business, now 14% of total U. S. Sales, which was up from 12% in Q2 2023, driven by our growth in catering. Our Q2 GAAP diluted earnings per share for the quarter was $0.32 versus $0.70 in 2023. Our Q2 adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.51 versus $0.70 in 2023. Speaker 300:11:00The primary difference between GAAP and adjusted diluted earnings per share is due to the asset impairment and closure related charges associated with the decision we made in Q4 last year to close 36 primarily older underperforming restaurants in the U. S. And the decision this quarter to close 9 restaurants in Hong Kong. I would like to comment on our adjusted share count that has been changed as a result of some SEC comments. The shares outstanding for GAAP purposes hedge transaction. Speaker 300:11:37In our prior presentation of adjusted share count, we had added back the benefit of the hedge to match the economic effect of the underlying instruments. Starting this quarter, we will no longer be making this adjustment and have updated the share count to remove the benefit from the hedge associated with our convertible notes. This change negatively impacted our Q1 results by approximately $0.03 and it will impact our total year by approximately $0.05 We have also recast the adjusted share count from Q2 last year, which reflects an increase of approximately 5,000,000 shares or from 92,400,000 shares to 97,400,000 shares. This reduced Q2 2023 adjusted EPS by $0.04 compared to what we previously reported. Q2 adjusted operating margins were 5.7% versus 7 0.8% last year. Speaker 300:12:32There are a number of factors contributing to the margin decline this quarter. First, we are lapping the Brazil value added tax benefit, which cost us 40 basis points of margin versus last year. We had an impact in labor, driven primarily from inflation, which drove an additional year over year margin unfavorability. Labor cost was up in Q2, primarily driven by wage inflation of 4.4%. Other restaurant operating expenses were also up year over year, partially due to inflation and partially due to spending $4,000,000 more in advertising this year. Speaker 300:13:05Depreciation was higher in Q2 consistent with our increased levels of capital spending and our investments in infrastructure to support growth. This was offset by a reduction in G and A. The margin decline was offset by favorability in food and beverage costs from pricing benefits and supply chain productivity initiatives. Commodities costs were better in Q2, driven by more modest expectations across dairy, oil and seafood. We continue to see positive signs within our beef program, but this category remains inflationary. Speaker 300:13:36This is a challenging market environment and we are focused on the costs that are in our control. Turning to our capital structure. Total debt net of cash was $884,000,000 at the end of Q2. The higher balance is driven by the convertible note and accelerated share repurchase activity earlier this year. We are satisfied with our leverage metrics and levels of liquidity. Speaker 300:13:57Importantly, we remain committed to being at or below our lease adjusted leverage ratio target of 3 times. Year to date through August 2, we have repurchased a total of 9,900,000 shares of stock for approximately $263,000,000 This included shares associated with the convertible notes that we repurchased. We have $99,000,000 remaining under our share authorization program. The Board also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.24 a share that is payable on September 4. Before I get into full year guidance, I wanted to provide an update on 3 external factors impacting our full year guidance. Speaker 300:14:35First, at the end of May, Brazil passed a new value added tax exemption into law. This will be a positive benefit for our company and is expected to be a $0.15 benefit on the year, almost entirely in the second half. As a reminder, the benefit recognized in 2023 was $0.25 2nd, the recast share count, as previously discussed, negatively impacts our full year adjusted earnings by $0.05 with almost all of that impact in the first half. 3rd, we are seeing 4 exchange headwinds in Brazil that will negatively impact our second half by approximately $0.04 Collectively, these factors are a $0.06 benefit on the full year and a $0.07 benefit in the second half. Now turning to our full year 2024 guidance. Speaker 300:15:25We are updating our full year guidance to reflect the softer industry environment, which has continued in the start of Q3. As a result, we are updating our comp guidance range to be flat to down 100 basis points. We are being very pricing and have not contemplated pricing actions above prior guidance. Given the volatility the industry is seeing in traffic trends, we are updating our adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to be between $2.10 $2.30 The wider range is a reflection of this volatility. We are updating our adjusted tax rate to be between 8% 10%. Speaker 300:16:04As we mentioned on the last call, the negative calendar shift experienced in Q1 of $0.05 is recaptured in Q4. And from a marketing dollar standpoint, we will begin to lap the marketing increase we started a year ago. Therefore, marketing dollars will be relatively flat in Q3 and Q4. We are also lowering our capital expenditures guidance to be between $260,000,000 $270,000,000 We are appropriately managing our capital dollars given the current environment. We will continue to balance investing in our restaurants and returning dollars to shareholders. Speaker 300:16:39As it relates to the Q3 of 2024, we expect U. S. Comparable restaurant sales to be flat to down 2% on a comparable calendar basis. This reflects the current environment and what we are seeing in the restaurant industry. We expect Q3 adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $0.17 $0.25 Importantly, this guidance includes the revised Brazil value added tax exemption benefit of $0.06 compared to a $0.04 benefit last year. Speaker 300:17:08Share count is approximately 87,000,000 shares and FX is expected to be a $0.02 headwind on the quarter. In summary, we are operating in a challenging environment, but we have great brands and a strong balance sheet. Outback is a power brand and we are fully committed to not only navigating these near term headwinds, but also completing all of the necessary work at Outback to drive long term success. And with that, we will now open up the call for questions. Operator00:18:15The first question today comes from Jeffrey Bernstein with Barclays. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:18:22Thank you very much. Two questions. The first one just on the broader industry and seemingly value focus. Just wondering Dave, if you could offer your thoughts in terms of how the current environment compares to past challenging periods in terms of the industry being more aggressive on value? And maybe if you could just offer some color in terms of your specific plans. Speaker 400:18:45I know you said more value in the second half, but any concern of driving more unprofitable traffic in response to that? And then I had one follow-up. Speaker 200:18:54Yes, sure, Jeff. Good morning. Yes, as we mentioned, Q2 and starting into Q3, I think the industry trends to look at overall softer than expected. We certainly have adjusted to that. We have tried to provide guidance that incorporates But I think you have to take a look at navigating a challenging near term environment and looking at the overall health of the business and overall health of the which we think is very strong. Speaker 200:19:22So what we have here is a more softer environment than say a year ago. And what we're trying to do is appropriately build some value into the menu especially at Outback that is still a good return for the shareholder. And we think we've landed on that with the $14.99 3 course meal at Outback. And it's too early to comment on trends, but we're happy with what we're seeing so far. So you'll see more of that at the balance of the year. Speaker 200:19:49And that's how we're trying to address some of the value and industry issues right now. Yes. And Dave, I'd Speaker 300:19:55jump in real quick. The one thing we're able to do is engineer these offers. So at $14.99 we're going to engineer it. So the economics of it are still very strong. So it's a great value for our guests really motivates them to visit, but at the same time is good from a flow through perspective. Speaker 400:20:12Encouraging. And I had one follow-up just on the cost side of things. You made a couple of comments in the prepared remarks. 1, on the cost to build with increases presumably and 2, on beef. So I'm wondering if you could just provide outlook on each in terms of the cost to build, how much that's up over whatever period of time you want to offer and maybe the returns you're still achieving. Speaker 400:20:34And on beef, I think you said it's still inflationary, but made it sound like it was perhaps more manageable than you were thinking. So just wondering any color you could provide in terms of your outlook for beef. Thank you. Speaker 200:20:43Yes, sure. I'll talk about some of the construction stuff. Yes, construction costs for our industry and for America overall up significantly. I don't have the number off the top of my head, but it's large. The and we always look at the cost and our sales for those particular restaurants. Speaker 200:21:00And what we have right now are very high return new restaurants, Speaker 300:21:04but we're always looking at the cost to make sure what we're building still makes sense. So we actively manage our pipeline, Jeff, and we'll continue to manage. We'll look at that. Any particular forecast on the cost of construction, I think would be premature. Hopefully, it will come down some, but we're managing our portfolio accordingly. Speaker 300:21:23And then Michael, maybe a little bit on beef. Yes, just one thing on the pipeline too is we built a pipeline, so we are able to cherry pick those deals that where the economics continue to be fantastic and we're going to walk away from deals that don't hit the returns that we require. So that's focused. As far as beef, I mean, beef is still expected to be highly inflationary for us. What we are seeing is some favorability versus how we began the year. Speaker 300:21:49And as we've shared before, the way that we contract our beef, we're able to share in any market favorability and we're seeing signs of that and able to take advantage of some of those dollars. But we're still actively watching it to see where we think we'll end the year. But still highly inflationary, but more favorable than we thought we'd be at the start of the year. Speaker 500:22:12Great. Thank you. Speaker 200:22:13Thank you, Jeff. Operator00:22:16The next question comes from Alex Slagle with Jefferies. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:22:22Hey, good morning. Speaker 200:22:24Good morning. Speaker 600:22:25Just want to follow-up on Jeff's question and just kind of get your view a little bit more on what you think is going on with the consumer? I mean, you did kind of expect it to be softer and it has been probably a bit tougher than you expected. But was there something you saw in the consumer in terms of what's changed or in a notable way or just really a broader step down in traffic across the board? Speaker 200:22:51Yes. I think what we're seeing is the consumer is being pretty choosy on where they spend their dollars. There's been a lot of speculations, is it the lowering consumer or who exactly is it? But we believe that all the choices out there, people are being more choosy. Once they choose to come in our restaurants, we're not seeing a large trade down or mix change or anything like that. Speaker 200:23:14But the important thing is to get the people in our restaurants and fight for that market share, which is what we're trying to do. Speaker 600:23:23Got it. Thanks. And Michael, you mentioned an opportunity to engineer some of the promotions to get good economics. And I'm just trying to think through some of the dynamics of your broader mix of proteins there. And I think historically it was somewhere around half of the orders were steak and there was some good variety with the ribs and seafood and maybe some more thoughts on things you could do on the menu from that perspective to keep the cost of goods where you're hoping to be? Speaker 300:23:59Yes. I mean, you're roughly directly correct on the beef basket. But we have great other proteins. And what we're able to do when we create these LTOs is you're able to create tiers. And so you're able to create entry level price points that are other proteins besides beef to help us achieve those price points. Speaker 300:24:19We're able to create bountiful. We have a great R and D team. We're able to create bountiful dishes. So we're able to have abundance. So when you're looking at value, you come and you get a full plate and you're very happy. Speaker 300:24:29And so a lot of it comes down to what are the great flavors, what can we execute high level, but at the same time from the math perspective, how do we hit these entry level price points like sometimes using alternative proteins or sometimes using byproducts of beef to have something that really resonates with our guests. At the same time allow our guests to opt up into something that's larger and more indulgent. And so that's how we'll construct the LTOs going forward. But we know having that opening price point at the $14.99 is critical as Dave said from a value standpoint. They're being choosy and so we have to we had to have to add a price point that's meaningful and that's where the team is focused. Speaker 200:25:12And the other thing it enables to do as it's built is you start with an opening price point, there's another tier at a higher price point and another tier at a high the customer can choose once they come in the door. So we offer that opportunity for our customers. Speaker 600:25:26Thank you. Operator00:25:30The next question comes from Jeff Farmer from Gordon Haskett. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:25:35Great, thanks. Appreciate it. Just following up on the line of questioning as it relates to the new 3 course meal at $14.99 So I think historically you guys touched on this, it was $16.99 but is that $2 spread? Is that enough to I know it's only been out there a couple of weeks, but is that enough to drive traffic for you guys that $2 Speaker 200:25:59I can't get into details Jeff, but yes, we think it is. Speaker 700:26:03Okay. And then just along those lines before I move on, the promotion of the $14.99 offer, I can see stuff out there on social media, but beyond that, is there traditional media involved? How are you getting your customers to have knowledge of this pretty good deal? Speaker 200:26:21All funnels of the advertising channel, TV, social media, electronic, digital, everything that we can offer. And we have a very good understanding of what those returns look like and we're spending appropriately. Speaker 300:26:38And anything I'd jump in and say, I mean the one great thing about the Allstate III courses not only does it hit a price point that's meaningful at 14.99 dollars but it's also a lot of food, right? So when you think about value, we're hitting both sides of the equation and that's what the team is focused on. Speaker 700:26:53Okay. And then final question for me. As it relates to the Q3 same store sales guidance, the down 2% to flat, just curious if you could sort of give us some of the components of that meaning expectation that casual dining sector traffic remains weak, Bloomin's combined menu pricing or any mix shifts that might come with the lower price point LTL? So anything you can provide on just flushing out the components of the Q3 same store sales guide would be helpful. Speaker 200:27:24Yes, sure. I'll answer the broad question first, Jeff, and then turn over to Michael. It incorporates what we are seeing in the industry in our own situation. So we're trying to incorporate current trends into that guide. So sales, traffic, pricing, etcetera, that's all part of the guide. Speaker 300:27:41Yes. Our guide is flat to negative too. And for us, it all comes down to traffic. We've seen a lot of volatility in the industry. And so we're trying to be appropriate in providing guidance and account for that volatility. Speaker 300:27:55From a traffic standpoint, we would expect traffic to be similar to what we saw in Q2. Our average check is holding. And I think one thing we are very confident is that we will continue to take share. We're encouraged with Outback's promotion. We're encouraged with their promotional calendar for the rest of the year. Speaker 300:28:14Obviously, the thing we don't have perfect clarity on is where that tide line is. But we're focused on the things that we can control and that's what the team is working on. Speaker 700:28:25Thank Operator00:28:30you. The next question comes from Brian Mullen with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:28:42Thank you. Just a question on Fleming's. The components of the comp were a little different than the other brands with traffic down a bit more of a checkup. So could you just speak to the dynamics there? Was there additional price recently? Speaker 500:28:54And then, just your outlook on fine dining for the rest of the year, if it's much different than casual dining? Speaker 200:29:01Yes. Fine dining has been a bit more challenged than casual dining, I think because partly because of some of the significant gains in prior years. But importantly, Fleming's has been taking share versus the fine dining industry, if you look across how things are going. And we just and we continue to offer the guest an exceptional experience. And our goal at Fleming's is to elevate the food, the beverage and the service at Fleming's and it continues to perform very well. Speaker 200:29:31So there have been some traffic challenges, but they are taking share in fine dining and fine dining has been a little bit weaker than casual dining, but we still remain very, very bullish on the business and what the team is doing. Speaker 500:29:45Okay. Thank you. And then question on Brazil. Thank you for the update on the review process. Just on the underlying on the business, can you just talk about the outlook over the balance of the year? Speaker 500:29:56Anything you could offer on the current operating environment or the consumer in Brazil as you see it now, that would be great. Speaker 200:30:03Yes, sure. No, we've got a remarkable business down there, number 1 restaurant company by far. The economy there has been a little softer with higher interest rates. And in the quarter, there was I don't know if you follow the news, but there was very, very significant flooding the South that impacted our sales. But we will see probably some choppiness and softness to balance of the year in Brazil because of the interest rate environment, what they're going through. Speaker 200:30:30But most importantly is the quality of our business and how they come to market and what they look like. For instance, we just remodeled our first restaurant, the total remodel, our first restaurant in Rio and the reception has been unbelievable. And the sales are way, way, way up. And that's an indication we can roll that remodel going forward. And that's an indication of what it means in that marketplace and how that brand looks. Speaker 200:30:56So extremely strong brand, a choppy environment, maybe the balance of the year, but something that the team is trying to address to the best of their ability. Yes. Speaker 300:31:06And the only thing I'd jump in is, we're they're trying to take as little price. They have their challenges macro perspective from a value perspective. So intentionally taking as little price as possible in that market to continue to support the business. But we're also opening 20 restaurants, right, continuing to grow rapidly. It remains one of the strongest brands even outside of casual dining or dining in general in the country. Speaker 300:31:30And so obviously, we're very excited about that brand, but certainly there's some macro things that the team is working through. Operator00:31:45The next question comes from Andrew Strelzik with BMO. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:31:52Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. My first one, as you thought about communicating value to consumers, I'm just curious about your confidence in holding the marketing flat in the back half of the year. It seems like the industry is getting louder from a promotional perspective. So just curious about your thought process there. Speaker 800:32:09Does that hold your share of voice? You losing share of voice? Just any color on how you Speaker 400:32:14thought about marketing in the back half of Speaker 800:32:15the year? Speaker 200:32:16Yes, a couple of things. Yes, we want to hold our share of voice. Also, we can toggle advertising up, if we want to. We've got the current outlook. But most importantly is the quality of the offering. Speaker 200:32:29And we're pretty pleased with what we've got going on right now at Outback. So the quality offering is strong. And if we decide to toggle up advertising because it looks that way, we'll do that, but we'll also look at the sales and the returns we're getting on that investment. And we have robust analytics around the returns in our marketing spend. And as those ROIs tick up, we're always willing to invest dollars to drive traffic and connect with our guests. Speaker 200:32:57But as Dave said, the most important thing is what's how compelling is the offer and we think we'll have Speaker 300:33:03a strong promotional calendar in the second half. Speaker 800:33:07Okay. That's helpful. And then just secondly on the G and A side, you mentioned it coming up in lower for the quarter. Can you just talk about the dynamics there and how to think about it for the rest of the year? Thanks. Speaker 300:33:18Yes. For Q2, it came in a little lower, just a few puts and takes here, nothing overly meaningful, but I think we'll be relatively flat on the year. Speaker 400:33:28Great. Thank you very much. Operator00:33:32This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to David Deno for any closing remarks. Speaker 200:33:40Well, thank you everybody for listening today. We appreciate your time and we look forward to updating you later in the fall when we talk about Q3. Have a great day everybody. Operator00:33:51The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by