Capital Southwest Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Operator

Thank you for joining today's Capital Southwest Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year twenty twenty five Earnings Call. Participating on the call today are Michael Sarner, Chief Executive Officer Chris Reberger, Chief Financial Officer Josh Weinstein, Chief Investment Officer and Amy Baker, Executive Vice President Accounting. I will now turn the call over to Amy Baker.

Amy Baker
Amy Baker
EVP - Accounting at Capital Southwest

Thank you. I would like to remind everyone that in the course of this call, we will be making certain forward looking statements. These statements are based on current conditions, currently available information, and management's expectations, assumptions, and beliefs. They are not guarantees of future results and are subject to numerous risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. For information concerning these risks and uncertainties, see Capital Southwest's publicly available filings with the SEC.

Amy Baker
Amy Baker
EVP - Accounting at Capital Southwest

The company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changing circumstances, or any other reason after the date of this press release, except as required by law. I will now hand the call over to our President and Chief Executive Officer, Michael Sarner.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Thanks, Amy, and thank you, everyone, for joining us for our fourth quarter fiscal year twenty twenty five earnings call. We're pleased to be with you today to discuss our fourth fiscal quarter to 2025 fiscal year as a whole, as well as share our observations on the market in a rapidly changing environment. Overall, 2025 was a very productive year for Capital Southwest, as we were able to make significant strides in strengthening both sides of our balance sheet. On the left side of the balance sheet, during the year, we grew our investment portfolio by approximately $300,000,000 or 21% from $1,500,000,000 to $1,800,000,000 The quality of our debt portfolio continued to improve as we further reduced our weighted average leverage in the investment portfolio to 3.5 times, maintained a solid 94% cash income as a percentage of total investment income, while decreasing our non accruals at fair value from 2.3% to 1.7%. Additionally, our equity portfolio performed exceptionally well this year, as we grew unrealized appreciation from $38,500,000 or $0.85 per share at the end of fiscal year twenty twenty four to $53,200,000 or $1 per share as of the end of fiscal year twenty twenty five.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

This is an important metric as we anticipate that a portion of this appreciation will be harvested as realized gains in fiscal year twenty twenty six, and thus will be available in our UTI bucket to support future dividend distributions. In fact, subsequent to quarter end, we have harvested realized gains of approximately $20,000,000 on our equity investments in two portfolio companies, which will further grow our UTI balance. On the right side of the balance sheet, we were extremely active during the year in diversifying our sources of capital. We raised over $300,000,000 in new debt capital commitments this year in the form of a $230,000,000 fixed 5.125% convertible bond issuance and an additional $75,000,000 in new secured debt commitments on our two credit facilities. We utilized $140,000,000 of the proceeds received from the convertible issuance to retire our January 2026 bonds, which we felt was prudent at the time to stay well ahead of our 2026 unsecured debt maturities in an uncertain economic environment.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Post quarter end, we received approval from the SBA for our second FDIC license, which allows for an additional $175,000,000 in debt capital to support our direct lower middle market platform. Additionally, we raised over $180,000,000 in gross equity proceeds on our ATM program during the year. Having continual access to the public equity market through the ATM program is a tremendous tool which we can use in all market environments. Finally, we recently had our BBB minus corporate ratings from both Moody's and Fitch affirmed, as well as our secure debt rating from Fitch upgraded from BBB minus to BBB flat. This year, we continued our long track record of producing steady dividend growth, consistent dividend coverage, and solid value creation.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Despite a year in which our base rate, SOFR, shrunk by over 1%, we grew our regular dividend from $2.24 per share in fiscal year twenty twenty four to $2.31 per share in fiscal year twenty twenty five, while paying an additional $0.23 per share in supplemental dividends. Since the launch of our credit strategy, we have increased our quarterly regular dividend 29 times and have never cut the regular dividend, all while maintaining strong coverage for our regular dividend with pre tax net investment income. In addition, over the same period, we have paid or declared 28 special or supplemental dividends totaling $4.18 per share, all generated from excess earnings and realized gains from our investment portfolio. Dividend sustainability, strong credit performance, and continued access to capital from multiple capital sources are all core to our overall business strategy. Our track record in all these areas demonstrates consistent performance, as well as the absolute alignment of all of our decisions with the interest of our fellow shareholders.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Turning to the quarterly results. During the fourth fiscal quarter, we generated pre tax net investment income of $0.56 per share. However, our adjusted pretax net investment income was $0.61 per share after excluding one time expenses related to the departure of our former Chief Executive Officer. Additionally, as a result of gains realized in two equity investments during the quarter, we're able to increase our undistributed taxable income balance to $0.79 per share from $0.68 per share as of the end of the prior quarter. As mentioned earlier, this balance will grow meaningfully in the June with our most recent exits.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Deal flow in the low rental market was solid this quarter, with $150,000,000 in total new commitments to four new portfolio companies and 15 existing portfolio companies. Add on financings continue to be an important source of originations for us, as approximately 22% of total capital commitments during the quarter were follow on financings in performing portfolio companies. Over the last twelve months, add ons as a percentage of total new commitments has been 38%. So clearly, a strong source of origination volume in deals we know well and have experience with the management team and sponsor. As previously announced, our Board of Directors has declared a regular dividend of $0.58 per share for the quarter ending 06/30/2025.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Additionally, our Board has declared supplemental dividends of $06 per share, bringing total dividends declared for the June to $0.64 per share. From a market perspective, it is impossible to ignore what has transpired in the broader geopolitical arena over the past month and a half. The recent trade policy changes, as well as government cost reductions, have created uncertainty, which has impacted the lower middle market in the short term. This uncertainty has temporarily impacted the volume of underwriteable opportunities. Industries such as manufacturing, building products, and consumer discretionary products, all are experiencing increased costs for parts and products from China, Mexico, and Canada, as well as other countries impacted by the trade war.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Recent budget cuts within the government sector have created uncertainty in the healthcare space in terms of Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement, as well as medical research. The net result of this uncertainty is the potential for slower M and A, and thus lower deal volume, offset by lower prepayments in 2025. Additionally, if these conditions persist, we may experience continued spread compression in the lower middle market as lenders will compete harder for deals which fall outside the directly impacted industries. The recent announcement of a ninety day agreement between China and The United States, whereby tariffs on Chinese goods will come down to 30%, and China's tariff on American goods will likewise decline to 10%, has created some optimism that we'll see a soft landing relative to the previous rhetoric. However, the announced agreement is temporary, and thus we will remain vigilant in our underwriting standards until such time as we have a more permanent solution in place.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

In terms of potential direct impacts to our existing portfolio, we have undertaken an in-depth review of our portfolio and the risks associated with these policy uncertainties. We have identified 7% of the debt portfolio at fair value, which we would characterize as moderate risk, which means there's some exposure to tariffs such as sourcing of components or inventory, generally from China, or customers of the portfolio company have some level of exposure to these same risks. However, only 1% of the debt portfolio at fair value has both moderate risk tariff exposure and a current loan to value above 50%. In summary, our portfolio has limited direct exposure to tariffs, and those companies where the exposure is greatest are well positioned from a capital structure perspective. As a company, we will continually monitor any current or prospective policy changes as they develop, and on a real time basis, analyze any impact on both our existing portfolio, as well as the lower middle market in general.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Overall, as a predominantly first lien portfolio with a weighted average debt to EBITDA of 3.5 times and a balance sheet levered at 0.89 to one with significant liquidity and no maturities until October 2026, we feel confident that our balance sheet is well positioned to endure this market volatility. Further proof of our market positioning. Since the onset of the tariff related volatility in the public equity markets, we are one of only five BDCs which has continued to trade above book at all times. From a historical perspective, Capital Southwest has only traded below book once since 2018, and that was for a few weeks during the COVID outbreak. Consistently trading above book allows us to continue to raise equity capital in uncertain times to deleverage the balance sheet, invest in new platform companies, and provide financing for add on acquisitions for our existing portfolio companies.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Our investment strategy and performance have earned us this flexibility, which we believe is a key differentiator for many other BDCs. I will now hand the call over to Josh to review more specifics of our investment activity and the market environment.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

Thanks, Michael. This quarter, we deployed a total of $150,000,000 of new committed capital, including $113,000,000 of first lien senior secured debt and $3,000,000 of equity across four new portfolio companies. In addition, we closed add on financings for 15 existing portfolio companies consisting of $33,000,000 in first lien senior secured debt and $1,000,000 in equity. Our on balance sheet credit portfolio ended the quarter at $1,600,000,000 representing year over year growth of 19% from $1,300,000,000 as of March 2024. For the current quarter, 100% of our new portfolio company debt originations were first lien senior secured.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

And as of the end of the quarter, 99% of the credit portfolio was first lien senior secured with a weighted average exposure per company of only 0.9%. We believe our portfolio granularity speaks to our continued investment discipline of maintaining a conservative posture to overall risk management as we grow our balance sheet. The vast majority of our portfolio and deal activity is in first lien senior secured loans to companies backed by private equity firms. Currently, approximately 93% of our credit portfolio is backed by private equity firms, which provide important guidance and leadership to the portfolio companies, as well as the potential for junior capital support if needed. In the lower middle market, we often have the opportunity to invest on a minority basis in the equity of our portfolio companies pari pursue with the private equity firm when we believe the equity thesis is compelling.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

As of the end of the quarter, our equity co investment portfolio consisted of 79 investments with a total fair value of $179,000,000 representing 10% of our total portfolio at fair value. Our equity portfolio was marked at 142% of our cost, representing $53,200,000 in embedded unrealized appreciation or $1 per share. Our equity portfolio continues to provide our shareholders participation in the attractive upside potential of these growing lower middle market businesses, often resulting from the institutionalization of the businesses by experienced private equity firms, as well as a significant value accretion potential from strategic add on acquisitions. Equity co investments across our portfolio provide our shareholders with the potential for asset value appreciation, as well as equity distributions to Capital Southwest over time. This is playing out in real time as we have harvested four sizable exits in the past four months that produced significant UTI, which is now available for distribution to our shareholders.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

Consistent with previous quarters, the lower middle market continues to be quite competitive as this segment of the market is highly attractive to both bank and non bank lenders. While this has resulted in tight loan pricing for high quality opportunities that are not exposed to the macroeconomic uncertainty, the depth and strength of our relationships our team has cultivated over the years has continued to result in our sourcing and winning opportunities with attractive risk return profiles. As a point of reference, currently there are 79 unique private equity firms represented across our investment portfolio. Additionally, in the last year, we closed 14 new platforms with financial sponsors with which we had not previously closed a deal, demonstrating our continued penetration in the market. Since the launch of our credit strategy, we have completed transactions with over 117 different private equity firms across the country, including over 20% with which we have completed multiple transactions.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

Our portfolio currently consists of 121 different companies weighted 89% to first lien senior secured debt, 1% to second lien senior secured debt, and 10% to equity co investments. The credit portfolio had a weighted average yield of 11.7% and a weighted average leverage through our security of 3.5 times EBITDA. We continue to be pleased with the operating performance across our loan portfolio. All our loans upon origination are initially assigned an investment rating of two on a four point scale, with one being the highest rating and four being the lowest rating. Overall, the portfolio remains exceedingly healthy with approximately 95% of the portfolio at fair value rated in one of the top two categories, a one or a two, and approximately 5% of the portfolio in the three or four category.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

Cash flow coverage of debt service obligations across the portfolio remains robust at 3.4 times, with our loans across the portfolio averaging approximately 43% of portfolio company enterprise value. We believe these performance metrics are indicative of a well performing and conservatively structured portfolio. Our portfolio continues to be broadly diversified across industries, and our average exposure per company is less than 1% of investment assets, which gives us great comfort in the overall risk profile of our portfolio. As Michael discussed earlier, there is currently heightened macroeconomic volatility, which has impacted our lower middle market sandbox. We began assessing these impacts on our portfolio late last year and continue to monitor the portfolio on an ongoing basis.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

Our monitoring process includes constant communication with our sponsors and portfolio companies to proactively assess any anticipated effects of recent and future policies on tariffs, immigration, healthcare reimbursement, and any other policies which impact the cash flow or long term value of our investment portfolio. To date, we have not seen an increase in revolver draws or amendment requests, which would serve as an early warning of portfolio company stress. While certain credits may experience an impact from these policies in the future, conversations with management teams and sponsors for the companies most at risk believe there are mitigants to navigate the tariff environment, including pivoting to countries with less exposure, price increases to customers, sharing the tariff burden with the suppliers, and the potential for cheaper freight costs on imported items, assuming freight volume slows meaningfully, which we have observed in the past few weeks. Additionally, many of our companies have maintained elevated inventory levels heading into this uncertain time, thus enabling them to defer purchasing goods in the hopes of an improved outcome between The US and China. With the recent news of a temporary agreement, these actions seem to have been prudent.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

For the deals we are currently underwriting, they continue to have loan to value levels ranging from 35 to 50%, resulting in significant equity capital cushion below our debt and reasonable leverage levels of three to four times debt to EBITDA. However, with the market volatility, we and the entire lower middle market are in the process of pricing and leverage discovery for prospective deals. There has been a flight to industries where the tariff risk is less direct and thus the spreads for these deals have continued to remain tight. We have begun to see sale and financing processes for companies with direct exposure to tariffs being delayed or pulled, as well as leverage levels tightening for the companies that do come to market. We would anticipate deal volume to continue to slow down for companies with direct or indirect exposure until the market perceives more certainty in the economic policy.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

We have recently read that banks are beginning to take a risk off stance in the middle market, but this has yet to filter down to the lower middle market as we continue to see them competing for deals, especially those in the service industries. If banks do in fact pull back, this may enhance our competitive position specific to our unitranche product. As Michael mentioned earlier, we believe our balance sheet is well positioned with low leverage and significant liquidity, which should allow us to be opportunistic should the market become less competitive, resulting in more attractive risk return profile deals. I will now hand the call over to Chris to review the specifics of our financial performance for the quarter.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

Thanks, Josh. Specific to our performance for the quarter, pretax net investment income was $28,500,000 or $0.56 per share. Adjusted pretax NII, which excludes one time expenses related to the departure of our former president and CEO, was $31,300,000 or $0.61 per share. For the quarter, total investment income increased to $52,400,000 from $52,000,000 in the prior quarter. The increase was driven by a 2,800,000 increase in interest and dividend income, offset by a decrease of $2,400,000 in fees and other income compared to the prior quarter.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

As of the end of the quarter, our loans on non accrual represented 1.7% of our investment portfolio at fair value, a decrease from 2.7% as of the end of the prior quarter. The reduction this quarter was a result of two portfolio companies being restructured and one portfolio company being sold. We placed one new company on non accrual, which post quarter end completed a bankruptcy process and will likely be removed from non accrual in the June. During the quarter, we paid out a $0.58 per share regular dividend and a $06 per share supplemental dividend. As mentioned earlier, our Board has declared a regular dividend of $0.58 per share, while also maintaining the supplemental dividend at $06 per share for the June.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

We continued our strong track record of regular dividend coverage, with a 10% coverage for the twelve months ended 03/31/2025 and a 10% cumulative coverage since the launch of our credit strategy. We are confident in our ability to continue to distribute quarterly supplemental dividends based upon our current UTI balance of $0.79 per share, the recent exits in the June, which will further increase this balance, and the expectation that we will continue to harvest gains over time from our sizable unrealized appreciation balance on the equity portfolio. LTM operating leverage ended the quarter at 1.7%. Excluding the one time expenses discussed earlier, our adjusted LTM operating leverage ended the quarter at 1.6%. Looking ahead, we anticipate our run rate operating leverage to be in the 1.4% to 1.5% range by the end of our next fiscal year.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

Our operating leverage is significantly better than the BDC industry average of approximately 2.8%. We believe this metric speaks to the benefits of the internally managed BDC model and our absolute alignment with shareholders. The internally managed model has and will continue to produce real fixed cost leverage while also allowing for significant resources to be invested in people and infrastructure as we continue to grow and manage a best in class BDC. The company's NAV per share at the end of the quarter was $16.70 per share, an increase from $16.59 per share in the prior quarter. The primary drivers of NAV per share growth for the quarter were accretion from the issuance of common stock at a premium to NAV per share, offset by net realized and unrealized depreciation on our investment portfolio.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

We are pleased to report that our balance sheet liquidity is robust, with approximately $384,000,000 in cash and undrawn leverage commitments on our two credit facilities, which represents 1.9 times the 197,000,000 of unfunded commitments we had across our portfolio as of the end of the quarter. Subsequent to quarter end, we increased our corporate credit facility by 25,000,000, bringing the total debt commitments on the facility to 510,000,000. Additionally, as of the end of the March, '40 '7 percent of our capital structure liabilities were in unsecured covenant free bonds with our earliest debt maturity in October 2026. Turning to our SBIC program. Subsequent to quarter end, we received final approval from the SBA for a second SBIC license.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

This license allows us to access up to $175,000,000 in additional SBA debentures over time, which is a cost effective way to finance our lower middle market investment strategy. Our regulatory leverage ended the quarter at a debt to equity ratio of point eight nine to one, down slightly from point nine to one as of the prior quarter. While our optimal target leverage continues to be in the 0.8 to 0.95 range, we are weighing the impacts of the current macroeconomic landscape and intend to maintain a regulatory leverage cushion, which will mitigate capital markets volatility. We will continue to methodically and opportunistically raise secured and unsecured debt capital, as well as equity capital through our ATM program to ensure we maintain significant liquidity and conservative balance sheet construction with adequate covenant cushion. I will now hand the call back to Michael for some final comments.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Thank you, Chris, Josh, and Amy, and all the employees who help us tell the story on a quarterly basis. And thank you, everyone, for joining us today. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, we are ready to open the lines up for Q and A.

Operator

Certainly. And our first question for today comes from the line of Mickey Schleien from Ladenburg. Your question please.

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

Yes, good morning everyone. Michael, at a

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

very high

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

level, notwithstanding your great insight into the backdrop for the market, how attractive do you think the current vintage of investments is in the lower middle of the market relative to the history of Capital Southwest?

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Well, it feels at the moment that it's somewhat binary. The deals that are coming to market today are deals in spaces and industries that we're actually interested in being in. Service industries like accounting, finance, HVAC plumbing type of industries, marketing services, data center. Those are quality deals that don't have a lot of the issues that are from the policy changes that we're thinking that are kind of uncertain. Deals that are more cyclical or have the issues that we've noted earlier, really are either being pulled from the market or they're being delayed.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

And so I think the deals that we are going to underwrite here, still feel very good about. Our originations this quarter, we're probably still going to see somewhere between 125,000,000 and $150,000,000 in originations, add on acquisitions for quality companies, for existing portfolio and new platform companies. So I think there's going to be less of them is what I would say to you right now. But the quality of the ones we're going to underwrite and close are going to be consistent on part of what we've done historically. Josh, I don't know if have a different opinion or thought.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

I mean, we continue to tackle the private equity market and cultivate the relationships so that we don't have to be the best term sheet to win the deal because it's relationship lending at the end of the day. And so we're trying our best to find good risk return profile deals and continue to find them in opportunities that are not exposed to the macroeconomic environment right now.

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

Okay. Noted. Thanks for that. At a high level, again, could you just break out what were the main drivers of the net realized loss and the markdown in the credit portfolio?

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

Yeah. So the couple of companies that really drove the realized and unrealized losses this quarter were related to the restructurings. And we noted in our remarks, two of those were on non accrual that were restructured during the quarter. And so it's really those two companies that drove most of the depreciation, net depreciation for the quarter. It wasn't really across the broad credit portfolio.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Yeah. And I would tell you, so the appreciation in the quarter was very granular. You can see it in the strength of our weighted average debt to EBITDA dropping to 3.5. We saw solid performance. To Chris's point, there were a few companies that sort of that were on our watch list that had restructurings where we had to take write downs that from an accounting perspective are realized losses.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

And so, that's the net impact of the quarter.

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

Terrific. I'm glad to hear that. And lastly, tapping into the SBA debentures is a process. It's great that you got the second license. When do

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

you

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

actually expect to start to inject capital into the new SBIC subsidiary? And when will you be allowed to start to issue some debentures?

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

Yeah. So I think that will probably start over the next three months or so. So certainly in the ninethirty quarter, probably not in the June. The way that works is you've got to bed the second SBIC too with some equity capital with new deals, which we expected to be doing shortly. And thereafter, we'll start to draw on the debentures.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

So I'd say the first draws will be sort of three months from now or so.

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

And that new SBIC will ultimately have access to another $175,000,000 Is that right?

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

That's right. So, the family of funds for SBIC is going to have up to $350,000,000 So, we do have full access to that, obviously, subject to SBA approval along the way. But yes, we would expect that we'll be able to draw the full 175,000,000 on the second license.

Mickey Schleien
Mickey Schleien
MD - Equity Research at Ladenburg Thalmann

Sounds good. Those are all my questions. Thanks for your time this morning.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Doug Harter from UBS. Your question, please.

Cory Johnson
Associate Analyst at UBS Securities LLC

Hi, this is actually Corey Johnson on for Doug. So I just wanted to make sure that I'm understanding this correctly. So, know, we've heard from some companies about how, you know, the lack of exit opportunities for companies, you know, just less capital markets activity in general, has sort of led to companies running to be able to get a lending, direct lending. So if I understand correctly, you guys are actually seeing and in context, talked about that as a possibility of some spread widening. I think in the comments you mentioned possibility of some spread compression and that's just because you're seeing even though there might be more deals out there, the quality ones are ones that they're being competitively bid.

Cory Johnson
Associate Analyst at UBS Securities LLC

And thus, you're seeing some possible or thinking there might be some possible spread compression from that.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Yeah. Mean, I think what we're trying to say is that because there's

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

so many deals that are deemed sort of non under writable at the moment because of what we've seen, I mean, some of those industries, health care services with Medicaid reimbursement, manufacturing companies that get their supplier inventory from China, some government services from Doge, any companies tied, honestly, farming industry, recessionary industries, which be the byproduct of some of the policies. All of those deals are sort of risk off for a lot of companies. And so now you're narrowing the amount of industries that you can focus on. And there's still a deep bench of capital chasing deals. And from that perspective, we expect, and hopefully we'll be proven wrong, that the spreads on those are going to tighten because people are going to want to deploy capital.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

And those are the deals they're going to feel safest to invest in.

Cory Johnson
Associate Analyst at UBS Securities LLC

Got it. And then I think you mentioned the possibility of there being some exits and realizations of this upcoming quarter. Can you maybe just like size that or let us kind of know are there any other opportunities that you see the coming quarters? Do have a lot of side effects to that?

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Yeah, I think we said in the prepared remarks, we had two exits already subsequent to quarter end for proceeds a little more than $20,000,000 in realized gains. And so obviously that's a sizable amount for for our UTI bucket. There are some other portfolio companies with size that are starting to enter the market. But that's a little bit further down the road. I think we provide updates in the next few quarters.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

So, I think that those two are sort of what we might've been hinting at in previous quarters. So, we're pleased at execution on both.

Cory Johnson
Associate Analyst at UBS Securities LLC

Got it. Thanks. And just my last question. I've seen that the PIK income has increased a bit over the last few quarters. Is there any trends that you're seeing there?

Cory Johnson
Associate Analyst at UBS Securities LLC

Any particular type of companies? Or what are your thoughts in regards to how that may trend in regards to credit quality over the next few quarters?

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Sure. Sure. So we saw a few companies that had a pick toggle that elected in this quarter that they hadn't in previous quarters. And those honestly, those are short lived in nature. So they'll come back off in time.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

We do know that for the June that we expect to see a few companies that their tick toggle expired and they are able to pay cash pay. So, at the moment, could probably say we expect that PICC percentage to come down in the 5% to 6% range for reoccurring PICC.

Cory Johnson
Associate Analyst at UBS Securities LLC

Got it. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Eric Zwick from Lucid Capital Markets. Your question please.

Erik Zwick
Managing Director, Equity Research at Lucid Capital Markets LLC

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Wanted to start with a question on the pipeline just given you had pretty nice funding activity in the most recent quarter. So curious if you could, one, maybe kind of size up what the pipeline looks like today. Also curious about what that mix looks like in terms of new and add ons and also potentially what might be eligible to to be funded by, you know, SBIC two.

Erik Zwick
Managing Director, Equity Research at Lucid Capital Markets LLC

And I know you said, you know, may not kind of be active on that more until the September.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

So if you're referring to the June,

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

is that correct?

Erik Zwick
Managing Director, Equity Research at Lucid Capital Markets LLC

Yes. Yes. Kinda curious, you know, how how pipeline is shaping up so

Erik Zwick
Managing Director, Equity Research at Lucid Capital Markets LLC

far.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Yeah. I I mean, honestly, it's still a little early, obviously, but I think we would tell you that we're looking at somewhere between probably in in the running three to five new platform companies that, let's say, somewhere in the 75 to a hundred million in new capital. And then we expect to see around 50,000,000 on add on activity because it's already been pretty active through today's date.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

Yeah. And I'll just add to your second question. Some of these new prospective deals will certainly be eligible for the SBIC. One thing I would remind everyone of is we're still reinvesting out of SBIC one as well to the extent that we have repayments there. So these deals are generally maybe 50% are eligible for the SBIC.

Chris Rehberger
Chris Rehberger
CFO, Treasure & Secretary at Capital Southwest

We're funding SBIC one and we're going to begin to fund SBIC two certainly this quarter, but the debentures probably come in the next quarter.

Erik Zwick
Managing Director, Equity Research at Lucid Capital Markets LLC

Thank you. That's helpful. And then two, just kind of looking at the industry diversification of your portfolio, your second largest concentration based on your pie chart is 9% in consumer products. And given that there is some concern in the market today regarding the lower end consumer, wondering if you could just kind of remind me kind of the companies that you have in there that you qualify or characterize as consumer. What segment of the consumer market are they delivering their product to?

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

I mean, honestly, it's kind of a tough question to ask because it's very granular and diversified. I don't think there's any one industry within consumer products. We just did a deep dive as part of the tariff exposure. We also did a deep dive just on the whole portfolio. And we really identified very few, if any sub industries that we feel like we're overweighted towards in which we have a concern on from a recessionary perspective.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Now, that doesn't say that in a recession, in a deep recession, that all companies will struggle to some point. But I don't believe it's anything that will be lumpy and therefore kind of be moving in the same direction.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

One of the things we've done since the inception of our credit platform is downside case modeling on all of our deals as it relates to the Great Recession. So we've taken the posturing of being a little bit less aggressive on deals that cycled really hard or industry cycled really hard in the Great Recession. So generally speaking, at a very high level, I think a lot of our consumer products businesses would be focused more on lower end with more value end of the spectrum. So give us some insulation to that.

Erik Zwick
Managing Director, Equity Research at Lucid Capital Markets LLC

Thanks. And last one for me. Just curious if there's any new updates to communicate on the potential sidecar fund.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

No, I don't think there's anything explicit to communicate there. And I would say even more so that there's a little delay there based on what's happened. I think a lot of the funds we've been looking at are some are domestic and some are international. And there's definitely a pause from our perspective on the international end as to capital being deployed in The US market. So still something that we feel very confident and aggressive towards achieving.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

But I would just say, from the last time we've spoken to today, I don't think there's much more progress and just a little bit more of a pause.

Erik Zwick
Managing Director, Equity Research at Lucid Capital Markets LLC

Makes sense. Thanks for taking my questions today. Appreciate it.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question for today comes from the line of Robert Dodd from Raymond James. Your question, please.

Robert Dodd
Robert Dodd
Director - Finance at Raymond James Financial

Hi, guys, and and congrats on the quarter. Oh, one two questions for me. First, going back to your prepared remarks, I I think you you said there could be some spread impact, given, increased competition for the non tariff impacted industries. I mean, how would you what what potential scale do you think you could see there in terms of incremental spread compression? And and then also, like, tied to that, it's like, how much is that is is is also what we might see in, like, weighted average spreads on originations because, obviously, I'd expect non non tariff impacted businesses to be lower spreads already.

Robert Dodd
Robert Dodd
Director - Finance at Raymond James Financial

And if you do a more more share of those kind of businesses, I mean, you see what I mean? How much of it's like like for like with competition and you're seeing, you know, bigger players move down market versus how much of it is is is just is is potentially a mixed thing?

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

I

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

wouldn't think that it would be a material spread compression. I think the point would be more, we certainly wouldn't see widening. We've got a lot of questions or had a lot of conversations as to whether or not we'd see widening in spreads given the macro environment. And I think that the counter to that is still a lot of dollars chasing potentially fewer deals. So, wouldn't expect widening for sure.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

But if there were some spread compression, I wouldn't expect it to be material.

Josh Weinstein
Josh Weinstein
Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer at Capital Southwest

We've

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

seen I think everyone's seen that the BSL market blew out in the last two months. The lower middle market is slower to react, and it's just a little more insular than the BSL. And so, we haven't seen that. I mean, what we would tell you specific to Capital Southwest is, we're averaging around, six seventy five to 7% on the new deals we're seeing. But having said that, the ranges are as low as 5.5% and as high as 7.5%.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

And we would tell you some of those 5.5%, think Josh and I would say that was probably 100 basis points wider, certainly in 2023. And the other part of our aspect of it is we're also seeing the DDTLs that get funded are from older vintages, generally speaking, prior to 2025, and those are usually 7% plus. So, we've seen only limited amount of compression in our portfolio. I think this quarter we had 10 basis points of spread compression and then the other reduction had to do so for coming down by 25 basis points. So, I think that kind of frames what Josh's comments and us on a specific basis, I think that kind of frames where we think we are kind of around that 7% range.

Robert Dodd
Robert Dodd
Director - Finance at Raymond James Financial

Got it. Got it. No, I appreciate that. Thank you. Then on on, UTI, you you spillover balance.

Robert Dodd
Robert Dodd
Director - Finance at Raymond James Financial

I mean, 80¢, at the end of this quarter, you know, 20,000,000. I mean, that that's adding, you know, in in the ballpark of 50¢. So you you could be coming out of q two with almost two full quarters at the increased dividend including the the supplementals. They're almost two quarters of of of of dividend and spillover and and potentially growing further. I mean, what's your comfort level on on how high you would want that balance to potentially go?

Robert Dodd
Robert Dodd
Director - Finance at Raymond James Financial

I mean, in the past, you have distributed specials sometimes to to to to work it down when you've when you've had a period of material gains. I mean, kind of can can you give us your thoughts on on how much that could go up before you'd you'd want to deal deal with it with maybe some kind of one time distribution?

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Yeah, mean, that's a great question. It's one we think about a lot around here. I would tell you, I don't know, our approach might be different, somewhat different than others. I mean, our intent here is to create realized gains, as well as having stocked away some pennies when SOFR was extremely high, and we knew that was coming back to build up a UTI balance, but we want to distribute to our shareholders. So, you rightfully identified the fact that we'll likely have a dollar balance ish coming out of the June.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

And we do have some anticipation of that balance going sizably higher. I don't believe that unless that we exceed our UTI maximum that we'll do a special dividend. What I would say is that UTI balance is there to support our regular dividend. It's also there to support that supplemental. If we do play out a scenario where we're pushing, you know, a dollar $52, we would see that 6¢ up little dividend increase.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

And, you know, I don't think that we have a, you know, don't think we have a number in mind on how big, you know, we want it. I think I could tell you, we probably don't want it any less than $0.50 But, you know, our intent at the end of the day is to return capital to shareholders. And we believe the most beneficial way from a shareholder value is to do it in a programmatic basis, which is to pay it out in a supplemental. I don't think we've seen the value for our shareholders in doing specials. It quickly reduces liquidity, it quickly increases leverage by reducing NAV.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

And it doesn't have a long term impact from a trading perspective of distributing 50¢ at a time. So, I think you should expect to see the supplemental be where it is or stronger in the coming quarters.

Robert Dodd
Robert Dodd
Director - Finance at Raymond James Financial

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question and answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Michael Cerner for any further remarks.

Michael Sarner
Michael Sarner
President & CEO at Capital Southwest

Thanks again to everyone for joining today. We look forward to speaking to you guys next quarter. Take care and goodbye.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.

Executives
    • Amy Baker
      Amy Baker
      EVP - Accounting
    • Michael Sarner
      Michael Sarner
      President & CEO
    • Josh Weinstein
      Josh Weinstein
      Senior MD & Chief Investment Officer
    • Chris Rehberger
      Chris Rehberger
      CFO, Treasure & Secretary
Analysts

Key Takeaways

  • Investment portfolio grew 21% to $1.8 billion, with weighted average debt leverage reduced to 3.5x, non-accruals down to 1.7%, and equity unrealized appreciation rising to $53.2 million.
  • Diversified capital base by raising over $300 million in new debt—including a $230 million 5.125% convertible bond and $75 million in secured facilities—plus $180 million via ATM equity, and secured SBA approval for an additional $175 million SBIC license.
  • Delivered steady dividend growth, increasing the regular dividend to $2.31 per share in FY25 (up from $2.24) and paying $0.23 in supplemental dividends, marking 29 consecutive raises without cuts and 28 special dividends totaling $4.18 per share.
  • Generated pretax net investment income of $0.56 per share ($0.61 adjusted) in Q4, and boosted undistributed taxable income to $0.79 per share with over $20 million in realized gains harvested post-quarter end.
  • Maintained a high-quality credit profile with 99% first-lien senior secured debt at a weighted average yield of 11.7%, limited tariff exposure (<1% high risk), $384 million of liquidity, and no debt maturities until October 2026.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Capital Southwest Q4 2025
00:00 / 00:00

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