Northwest Natural Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Operator

Thank you all for standing by for the North West Natural Holdings Company's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Call. Today's call will be starting in around four minutes' time. Thank you for standing by. And if you do wish to remove it, you can press 2.

Nikki Sparley
Nikki Sparley
Director of Investor Relations at Northwest Natural Company

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you all for attending. I would like to welcome you all to today's call, the North West Natural Holdings Company's Q1 twenty twenty five Earnings Call. My name is Breeka, and I will be your moderator for today. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. I would now like to pass you over to our host, Nikki Sparley, Head of Investor Relations to begin. Thank you. You may proceed.

Nikki Sparley
Nikki Sparley
Director of Investor Relations at Northwest Natural Company

Thank you. Good morning and welcome to our first quarter twenty twenty five earnings call. A presentation for today's call is available on our Investor Relations website at irnwnaturalholdings.com. And following this call, a recording will be available on our website. Turning to Slide two.

Nikki Sparley
Nikki Sparley
Director of Investor Relations at Northwest Natural Company

As a reminder, some things that will be said this morning contain forward looking statements. They are based on management's assumptions, which may or may not occur. For a complete list of cautionary statements, refer to the language at the end of our press release. Additionally, our risk factors are provided in our 10 Q and 10 ks filings. We will also refer to certain non GAAP financial measures.

Nikki Sparley
Nikki Sparley
Director of Investor Relations at Northwest Natural Company

For additional disclosures about these non GAAP measures, including reconciliations to comparable GAAP measures, please see the slides that accompany today's call, which are available on the Investor Relations page of our website. Please note, our guidance assumes continued customer growth, average weather conditions and no significant changes in prevailing regulatory policies, mechanisms or outcomes or significant changes in laws, legislation or regulations. For context, our segment reporting includes our Northwest Natural Gas Utility, which was previously referred to as the Northwest Natural Gas Distribution or NGD segment. Beginning with first quarter twenty twenty five results, we are providing information on two additional segments, our Sea Energy Gas Utility segment and our Northwest Natural Water Utility segment. Finally, the other category includes our interstate storage services and asset management services, Northwest Natural Renewables and holding company expenses.

Nikki Sparley
Nikki Sparley
Director of Investor Relations at Northwest Natural Company

We expect to file our 10 Q later today. Please note these calls are designed for the financial community. If you are an investor and have additional questions after the call, please contact me directly at (503) 721-2530. may contact David Roy at (503) 610-7157. Moving to slide three.

Nikki Sparley
Nikki Sparley
Director of Investor Relations at Northwest Natural Company

With us today are Justin Palferman, President and Chief Executive Officer and Ray Kusuba, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Justin will provide an update on each of our businesses, and Ray will walk through financial results, liquidity and financing and guidance. After Justin and Ray's prepared remarks, they will be available along with other members of our executive team to answer your questions. With that, I will turn it over to Justin on Slide four.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Thanks, Nikki. Good morning, and welcome, everyone. It is an honor to be speaking to you this morning, and I am pleased to report that Northwest Natural Holdings had a solid first quarter. Before getting into the business highlights, I'd like to take a moment to thank David Anderson for his over twenty years of service at Northwest Natural. Our employees, customers and communities have benefited greatly from David's dedication.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Under his leadership, our company has expanded into new areas and evolved significantly. David led initiatives that improved employee and customer safety, maintained low customer rates and extended our tradition of excellent customer service and community engagement. We wish David all the best in retirement. He has left the company well positioned for future growth and importantly with an excellent team that is focused on delivering long term value to our shareholders. Part of David's legacy is the company's long standing commitment to leadership and business integrity.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

I am proud to say that Northwest Natural Holdings was named one of the twenty twenty five World's Most Ethical Companies by Ethisphere for the fourth year running. Turning now to Q1 results. We have executed well across all of our businesses. Our financial results are on track for the year and in line with our full year guidance issued in February. We reported adjusted net income of $2.28 per share in the first quarter of twenty twenty five compared to net income of $1.69 per share for the same period last year.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Our combined utility customer growth rate was 9.6% for the twelve months ended 03/31/2025. The main driver was the acquisition of Sea Energy, which added about 73,000 gas meters in Texas. Northwest Natural Water is contributing strong incremental meter growth as well, posting a 5.9% increase. Our financial results reflect the strength of our business plan and collective utilities. Moving to Slide five.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Our key initiatives for 2025 are underway and we are well positioned to meet our annual goals. Let me provide an update on each of our businesses. Turning to our Northwest Natural Gas Utility. Our overall earnings per share improvement year over year is predominantly driven by the Northwest Natural Gas Utility, which benefited from new rates that went into effect on 11/01/2024. After careful consideration, at the December 2024, Northwest Natural filed an Oregon general rate case to recover our critical investments in gas infrastructure and expenses related to providing safe and reliable service to customers.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

The request included a revenue requirement increase of $59,400,000 or 5.8% over current rates. The case is made up of a few key components. First, it includes an increase in average rate base of $2.00 $4,000,000 since the last rate case. This is mainly related to investments in our critical infrastructure, including capital expenditures to ensure reliability during the coldest winter days at our Mist storage facility. Second, the case includes a capital structure of 52% equity and 48% long term debt, a return on equity of 10.4% and a cost of capital of approximately 7.7%.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Finally, it includes an updated depreciation study. Oregon rate cases are adjudicated over a ten month period, so we are still in the early months of the process. Right now, we are working through applied testimony to staff and interveners with settlement conferences scheduled in June. We look forward to continued collaboration with parties and expect new rates to be effective starting November 1. I want to emphasize that we carefully considered this rate case filing and the effect on customer bills and broader affordability concerns.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

It is important to note that today, our Northwest Natural Gas customers are paying less for their natural gas service than they did twenty years ago. This past winter, I'm pleased to report that once again, we were able to provide credits on our Oregon customers' bills as a result of savings we generated from efficient gas supply management. Over the last twenty years, we have been able to provide more than two eighty million dollars in bill credits to Northwest Natural Gas customers. Moving to our Sea Energy Gas utility in Texas. We were thrilled to close the Sea Energy acquisition on January 7 and add this rapidly growing business to our portfolio.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Out of the gate, Sea Energy has produced strong customer growth in line with our expectations and is hitting its meter set targets. We believe Sea Energy is on track to meet its operational and financial targets for the year. Further supporting Sea Energy, we recently signed an agreement to purchase Hughes Gas Resources from EPCOR for $60,000,000 Hughes is expected to have approximately $46,000,000 of rate base at the end of twenty twenty five and is a logical bolt on acquisition for us in Texas. With a similar business model as C Energy, Hughes has grown organically by providing infrastructure to residential and commercial developments in the high growth areas surrounding Houston. C Energy's overlapping footprint with Hughes allows for operational synergies in addition to incremental future customer growth.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

I am excited about our continued expansion in the Texas market. We expect the transaction to close in the second quarter of this year and expect that it will be accretive in 2026. On a combined basis, C Energy and Hughes served approximately 80,000 customers at 03/31/2025 with an impressive contracted customer backlog of over 200,000. Turning now to Northwest Natural Water. Collectively, our water and wastewater utility customer base grew 5.9% over the last twelve months, including three acquisitions.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

While we continue to manage a robust acquisition pipeline, we are staying focused and disciplined as we seek the right opportunities to create value. In 2025, we expect to refresh rates at multiple water utilities, including in Idaho, Washington and Oregon. These requests are primarily related to recovery of critical infrastructure investments as we continue to find these systems need substantial improvements. During 2025, we expect to invest approximately $60,000,000 in our water utilities to replace end of life infrastructure, improve our water and wastewater treatment facilities and support continued growth in our communities. We are enthusiastic about the long term earnings power of Northwest Natural Water and believe they are on track for the year.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Now a brief update on Northwest Natural Renewables. Both of our renewable natural gas projects with EDL began operations last year. Production levels have been meeting our expectations and operations are running smoothly. These facilities and our related offtake contracts provided a full quarter of steady cash flows and earnings during the first quarter of twenty twenty five and we expect this to continue going forward. I'd like to turn to Slide six and highlight a few items on the Pacific Northwest energy system.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Northwest Natural's gas system today is perhaps more essential to the region than ever, and we expect that to continue given the heightened focus on reliability and affordability. Our system delivers about 50% more energy than any other Oregon utility, gas or electric over the course of a year and reliably serves peak heating loads throughout the winter. The fact that we are delivering more energy than any other utility is even more remarkable when you consider that electric utilities in Oregon consume more natural gas for power generation than all the state's gas utilities combined. And as you can see from this chart of IEA data, natural gas usage for power production has been increasing significantly in recent years as they shift away from coal and bring on more intermittent renewables. With these grid dynamics as a backdrop, recent analysis shows under a variety of operating conditions, gas furnaces are not only more cost effective for customers, but they are also resulting in lower emissions over electric heat pumps for most of the people we serve.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

These findings are consistent with analysis recently conducted for other regions, which evaluated marginal emissions for the grid and the massive electric build out that would be required to serve gas heating loads. This clearly highlights the value and efficiency of our gas distribution and storage infrastructure in the Northwest. And this is why we will continue to work closely with other utilities, with policymakers and with stakeholders to emphasize these important facts in support of energy policy that is focused on the most reliable and cost effective ways to meet our climate goals. In conclusion, I am happy to report that all of our businesses are in a strong financial position and we are well poised for future growth. With that, let me turn it over to Ray to cover the financials in more detail.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

Thank you, Justin, and good morning, everyone. Turning to Slide seven. As you've seen in the earnings release and as we mentioned on our last call, we have begun providing financial data for our Sea Energy Gas Utility and Northwest Natural Water Utility segments. You can find additional information by segment in the 10 Q we expect to file later today. We reported adjusted net income of $91,800,000 or $2.28 per share for the first quarter of twenty twenty five compared to net income of $63,800,000 or $1.69 per share for the same period in 2024.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

The increase reflected strong results across all our business segments. We saw new rates for our gas utility in Oregon, contributions from Sea Energy, higher income from Northwest Natural Water related to new rates and acquisitions and a full quarter of revenues from our Renewables business. These items were partially offset by higher depreciation and interest expense. For our Northwest Natural Gas segment, net income increased $21,500,000 or $0.42 per share. Margin increased $38,700,000 mainly due to new rates in Oregon effective 11/01/2024.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

O and M increased $2,200,000 reflecting higher payroll and benefit expense. Depreciation and general taxes increased $4,800,000 due to continued investment in our system. Other expense increased $1,400,000 mainly driven by higher pension costs. Sea Energy provided net income of $5,500,000 or $0.14 per share for the first quarter of twenty twenty five. Margin and net income results met our expectations for the quarter.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

Historically, roughly 30% of margin for Sea Energy is earned in the first quarter. Our Water segment net income increased $2,400,000 or $06 per share. The key drivers were new rates at our largest water and wastewater utility in Arizona and additional revenues from the Putman utilities after the acquisition in September 2024. Finally, moving to our other businesses, the other category included our Interstate Storage Services and Asset Management Services, Northwest Natural Renewables and holding company expenses. Collectively, the other businesses provided an adjusted net loss of $2,600,000 which was an increase of $1,400,000 or zero six dollars per share compared to the same period last year.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

This was primarily due to higher interest expense at the holding company, partially offset by higher revenues from the Renewables business as it completed its first full quarter of operations. Turning to our growth outlook and guidance on slide eight. The company reaffirmed annual 2025 adjusted earnings guidance today in the range of $2.75 per share and $2.95 per share. First quarter results were in line with our expectations and we remain confident in our full year guidance. As a reminder, our Gas Utility earnings are seasonal with the majority of revenues and earnings generated in the first and fourth quarters during the winter heating months.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

We expect the quarterly profile for 2025 for the consolidated company to be roughly similar to the past couple of years. We continue to expect Sea Energy and Water to each provide approximately $0.25 to $0.30 of earnings per share this year. Regarding tariffs, we have analyzed and are actively monitoring the new tariff regulations, negotiations, impact on our supply chain and the effect on our businesses. At this time, we do not expect a material effect on 2025 financial results from tariffs. Related to organic customer growth, collectively our utilities grew 2.2% during the first quarter on an annualized basis.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

For 2025, we continue to project two expected to contribute an impressive 20% or more. I am happy to report we are on track based on first quarter results. Turning to our capital expenditures. For 2025, consolidated capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $450,000,000 to $500,000,000 anchored by significant projects at our Northwest natural gas utility related to modernizing end of life meters, system reinforcement and gas storage upgrades. Our CapEx projections only include line of sight projects that have been specifically identified and estimated.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

It doesn't include any pending or future acquisitions, including the Hughes transaction. Longer term, we continue to expect an earnings per share growth rate of 4% to 6% compounded annually from 2025 adjusted EPS. Moving to slide nine. Our objective remains to keep our balance sheet strong with ample liquidity. At 03/31/2025, we had liquidity of more than $600,000,000 with significant availability on our lines of credit and cash on hand.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

We continue to see modest regular common equity financing needs in 2025 with equity issuances expected to be in the range of $65,000,000 to $75,000,000 Even with the Hughes acquisition, we expect to be within our original financing range. In March, we completed a $325,000,000 junior subordinated debenture issuance successfully securing permanent financing for the Sea Energy transaction. In 2025, we have no material debt maturities, but do expect to refinance existing debt of approximately $150,000,000 currently at Sea Energy. In summary, we are off to a strong start in 2025. Our expectations for the full year remain in line with our guidance and we continue to expect to maintain a strong balance sheet.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

Thanks for joining us this morning. With that, I'll open it up for questions.

Operator

Thank you, A. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. And if for any reason you would like to remove that question, you can do so by pressing star followed by two. And we'll now and

Operator

And we have the first question from Atul with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Analyst

Hey, this is Tyler on for Selman. I wanted to ask about the pickup in 2025 on the water side. Obviously, '25 looks pretty favorable. And I'm just wondering, as you may go into these rate cases, again for safety investments, just sort of what you all's outlook looks like in Arizona and your other geographies for water?

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Well, good morning, Tyler. Thank you for the question. The water utilities, the increase in Q1, the results that you're seeing is largely driven by rate case activity from last year, the largest of which was the Foothills rate case with new rates in effect late last year. We continue to file rate cases across our water service territories. Most of these are small on an individual basis.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

But you'll see that over time as we continue to file rate cases and recover the investments in rates, that growth will continue and earnings contribution will continue from Northwest Natural Water. We anticipate about $0.25 to $0.30 earnings contribution in 2025.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

And Tyler just put some additional numbers around it. That $0.25 to $0.30 that translates to about 10,000,000 to $15,000,000 in net income on top of the $5.5 that you saw in Q1 and then over the next couple of years an EPS growth rate of 10% to 15%.

Analyst

Got that. Appreciate the color on that. Also if I could ask on the Hughes acquisition, the backlog for that, is that sort of similar to that of C in that it's primarily residential and commercial as opposed to any like industrial customers in that?

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Yes, that's right. It's primarily residential and commercial customers. There's no transmission business within the Hughes Gas entity. So it's very similar to C Energy. And in fact, there's a lot of geographic overlap surrounding Houston with these assets.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

So it's a very logical acquisition for Sea Energy. It adds a little more scale and growth for us in the Texas jurisdiction.

Analyst

All right. Thank you guys for the time.

Raymond Kaszuba
Raymond Kaszuba
SVP & CFO at Northwest Natural Company

Thanks, Tyler. Thanks, Tyler.

Operator

I can confirm. We will conclude the question and answer session now. And I'd like to hand it back to Justin for some final closing comments.

Justin Palfreyman
Justin Palfreyman
President & CEO at Northwest Natural Company

Great. Well, thanks everybody for participating and listening in on the call this morning. 2025 is off to a great start. Wishing everybody a safe day today, and we'll talk to you soon.

Operator

Thank you all for dialing in for the North West Natural Holdings Company's Q1 twenty twenty five earnings call. Today's call has concluded. Thank you all for your participation and you may now disconnect.

Executives
    • Nikki Sparley
      Nikki Sparley
      Director of Investor Relations
    • Justin Palfreyman
      Justin Palfreyman
      President & CEO
    • Raymond Kaszuba
      Raymond Kaszuba
      SVP & CFO
Analysts
    • Analyst

Key Takeaways

  • Northwest Natural reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.28, up from $1.69 year-over-year, with 9.6% combined utility customer growth driven by the Sea Energy acquisition and Northwest Natural Water expansion.
  • The Oregon gas utility filed a rate case seeking a $59.4 million (5.8%) revenue increase to fund $240 million of new infrastructure, proposing a 10.4% return on equity and aiming for new rates effective November 1.
  • The Sea Energy acquisition closed January 7, adding about 73,000 Texas meters and meeting growth targets, while a $60 million Hughes Gas Resources bolt-on deal is expected to close in Q2 2025 and be accretive in 2026.
  • Northwest Natural Water grew 5.9% over the past 12 months, plans approximately $60 million of 2025 capital investments to replace aging infrastructure, and has multiple rate cases pending in Idaho, Washington and Oregon.
  • The company reaffirmed 2025 EPS guidance of $2.75–$2.95 per share, expects $0.25–$0.30 of EPS contribution each from Sea Energy and Water, plans $450–$500 million of capital expenditures, and maintains over $600 million of liquidity.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Northwest Natural Q1 2025
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