Occidental Petroleum Q1 2025 Earnings Report

Occidental Petroleum EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $0.87
• Consensus EPS: $0.74
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$0.13
• One Year Ago EPS: $0.63

Occidental Petroleum Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: $6.80 billion
• Expected Revenue: $6.97 billion
• Beat/Miss: Missed by -$170.95 million
• YoY Revenue Growth: +13.90%

Occidental Petroleum Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q1 2025
• Date: 5/7/2025
• Time: After Market Closes
• Conference Call Date: Thursday, May 8, 2025
• Conference Call Time: 1:00PM ET

Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) is an international oil and gas giant founded in 1920 to explore for oil in California. The company made its name in the early 1960s after discovering the Lathrop Gas Field in Lathrop, California. The company expanded into chemicals manufacturing in 1968 and then in 1972 it became a pioneer in the quest to extract oil from shale. In 1993, the company made a historic move by exiting its coal operations, and then it did so again when it embraced a lower carbon future.

The company worked to realign its goals with a carbon-free future in 2021. After extensive review, new carbon emission targets were laid out along with a plan that the Transition Pathway Initiative recognized as being 1 of 3 coming from major oil companies that could realistically result in net-zero emissions by 2050. Since then the company has laid interim goals that include net zero from operations and energy by 2040 and no routine flaring by 2030.

Today, Occidental Petroleum is an integrated energy company with operations in the US, the Middle East, Africa, and Columbia, along with some other smaller operations. The company operates a network of best-in-class production, delivery, and storage facilities with operations centered in the US. On a net basis, the company’s US operations accounted for more than 75% of the total in 2022 with 19% from Middle East operations and the remainder from Columbia and elsewhere.

The company engages in the oil & gas business as an explorer, producer, and mid-stream infrastructure operator. The company operates through three segments that include Oil and Gas, Chemicals, and Midstream & Marketing.

The oil and gas segment explores for oil, develops new fields, and produces hydrocarbon liquids, gasses, and condensates. The chemicals segment manufactures a range of chemicals including chlorine, potassium chemicals, and vinyl. The midstream segment transports, stores, and markets hydrocarbons. It is the 6th largest oil and gas producer in the US by market cap. The company attained the position after its acquisition of Anadarko Petroleum in 2019, the 4th largest oil and gas acquisition at the time.

Berkshire Hathaway became Occidental Petroleum’s largest shareholder in mid-2022. The firm had purchased more than 26% of the shares as of 10/14/2022 and had regulatory approval to purchase up to 50% of the company in total.

Occidental Petroleum Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• Occidental generated $3 billion of operating cash flow before working capital in Q1, delivered 1.39 million BOE/d production at midpoint guidance, and achieved $9.50/BOE domestic operating costs well below initial targets.
• In the Permian, enhanced well designs and execution drove a 15% reduction in drilling duration and over 10% decrease in unconventional well costs versus last year, enabling the release of two rigs without sacrificing net production growth.
• Advanced negotiations to extend Oman’s Block 53 contract by 15 years aim to unlock more than 800 million barrels of additional resources, while a North Oman gas and condensate discovery adds over 250 million BOE near existing infrastructure—together expected to boost cash flow from 2025.
• OxyChem outperformed expectations with $215 million of adjusted EBITDA, the midstream segment beat guidance and raised its full‐year outlook by $40 million, and the company signed a 25-year, 2.3 MM tpa carbon-offtake deal with CF Industries for its low-carbon portfolio at Pelican Hub at no near-term CapEx.
• Occidental retired $2.3 billion of debt year-to-date (and $6.8 billion over 10 months), eliminated all 2025 maturities reducing annual interest by $370 million, and cut 2025 CapEx by $200 million plus OpEx by $150 million to strengthen free cash flow amid market volatility.

Presentation

[Operator]

Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jordan Tanner, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Jordan Tanner, VP - Investor Relations at Occidental Petroleum]

Thank you, MJ. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in Occidental's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. On the call with us today are Vicki Hollub, President and Chief Executive Officer Sunil Mathew, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Richard Jackson, President Operations, U. S. Onshore Resources and Carbon Management and Ken Dillon, Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations.

[Jordan Tanner, VP - Investor Relations at Occidental Petroleum]

This afternoon, we will refer to slides available on the Investors section of our website. The presentation includes a cautionary statement on slide two regarding forward looking statements that will be made on the call this afternoon. We'll also reference a few non GAAP financial measures today. Reconciliations to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure can be found in the schedules to our earnings release and on our website. I'll now turn the call over to Vicki.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Thank you, Jordan, and good afternoon everyone. I'll begin today by highlighting our first quarter performance in which all three segments delivered strong results. Then I'll detail some promising new developments taking shape in Oman, recent debt reduction progress and how we are approaching activity levels in a macro environment with heightened volatility and uncertainty. Our teams once again delivered outstanding performance across the portfolio, generating $3,000,000,000 in operating cash flow before working capital in the first quarter, while handling challenges from weather and seasonality. Our oil and gas business produced at just over 1,390,000 BOE per day.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

That's at the midpoint of our production guidance. Our domestic oil and gas operating costs of $9.5 per BOE came in substantially below our initial expectations. These results reflect the team's relentless pursuit of efficiency, cost management and safe operations. Our 2025 development activities are progressing well alongside the operational excellence and innovation initiatives we discussed last quarter. Already we are seeing meaningful advancements in one of our key focus areas.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

That's efficiency driven well cost reductions. In the Permian, enhanced well designs and strong execution have resulted in a 15% improvement in drilling duration per well versus last year with particularly notable performance in the Delaware Basin. These achievements along with more efficient completions and pad utilization have reduced our Permian Unconventional well cost by more than 10% compared to last year, already surpassing the 5% to 7% target we outlined just a few months ago. The drilling efficiency gains give us the confidence to drop two drilling rigs from our Delaware Basin program this year. Thanks to accelerated cycle times and improved time to market, we expect to bring more wells online and with slightly increased production even with this reduced rig count.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

As outlined during our last call, we expect company wide production to grow from the first quarter through to the second half of the year. Growth will primarily be driven by the completion of turnarounds in The Middle East as well as a variety of activities planned in The Gulf Of America. Steady onshore development should also be a significant driver and will more than offset volumes associated with recent divestitures. Turning to Oman, I'm pleased to share that we are in advanced negotiations with the Oman government to extend the current Block 53 contract by fifteen years to 02/1950. This agreement is aimed to deliver significant value to all stakeholders while closely supporting Oman's national objectives.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Block 53 includes the Makaizna Field already recognized as a world class steam flood. The proposed expansion would cover all reservoirs including both low decline enhanced oil recovery and primary production across stacked pay formations. We see the potential to unlock more than 800,000,000 gross barrels of additional resources that offer competitive returns. While final negotiations and a formal agreement are still pending, we believe this extension will enhance Oxy's cash flow beginning in 2025. We're proud of the deep roots, strong relationships and mutually beneficial partnerships we've built in Oman over the past several decades.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

These partnerships have been central to our shared success, including recent exploration achievements and that momentum continues to build. In North Oman, we recently made a significant gas and condensate discovery with estimated resources in place exceeding two fifty million barrels of oil equivalent. While it is still early days with appraisal and development plans under evaluation, the resources advantageously located near existing infrastructure. OxyChem's performance also exceeded expectations delivering $215,000,000 on an adjusted basis. The business overcame several operational challenges associated with winter weather, which impacted production and increased raw material costs for ethylene and power.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Looking ahead, we expect OxyChem to continue extending its market leadership as a low cost operator. Our midstream and marketing business significantly outperformed the high end of our guidance range for the first quarter. Results were driven by strong gas marketing optimization in the Permian, where our teams captured value during a period in March of heightened third party midstream maintenance and regional pricing disparities. In addition, the midstream business benefited from a healthy market for sulfur produced at Alhosan contributing further to our strong quarter. While Stratus continues to advance toward commissioning a startup in West Texas, we are pleased to be making commercial advancements in other parts of our low carbon portfolio.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

In April, '1 point '5 signed a landmark twenty five year carbon offtake agreement with CF Industries and its partners for their planned low carbon ammonia facility in Louisiana. This agreement supports the transportation and geologic storage of approximately 2,300,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide annually at our Pelican hub. Agreements like this highlight Oxy's unique capabilities and demonstrate the growing demand for large scale carbon management solutions to support major investments in American manufacturing and creation of jobs. Importantly, this contract does not require near term capital expenditures and fits squarely within our disciplined growth strategy and low carbon ventures. Our first quarter results continue to demonstrate how the quality of assets, the talent of our teams and our culture of innovation serve as catalysts for strong financial results and provide a solid foundation for free cash flow generation.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Turning now to our deleveraging progress. Our cash flow priorities aim to position the company for long term success. Debt reduction remains a key focus and we are committed to strengthening our financial position to support a more meaningful return of capital to common shareholders across the commodity cycles. In the meantime, we believe equity holders will benefit from the rebalancing of enterprise value into common equity through steady debt reduction. And we're making significant and steady progress.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Year to date, we've retired $2,300,000,000 in debt with cash sourced from non core oil and gas divestitures, common warrant proceeds and organic cash flow. Over the past ten months, we've repaid a total of $6,800,000,000 reducing annual interest expense by $370,000,000 All twenty twenty five maturities have been retired, providing us with a more comfortable runway over the next fourteen months. As we evaluate options to further accelerate deleveraging, including potential divestitures, we will remain dedicated to disciplined execution and long term value creation. Now I'd like to briefly address the current market environment. Uncertainty around demand, policy and supply is creating headwinds for the sector and increasing commodity price volatility.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

From tech trade and tariffs to the return of OPEC plus volumes, oil markets are under pressure from multiple fronts. As operators, we cannot control the macro, but we can control how we respond. We're taking proactive steps in response to the current environment to enhance this year's program. The Permian rig reductions are complemented by project scope and timing optimizations across the portfolio, including the Gulf Of America. Together, these actions have enabled us to lower capital guidance for the year by $200,000,000 We're also executing significant cost actions with $150,000,000 in estimated 2025 OpEx savings.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

These steps will strengthen margins and enhance financial resilience with minimal impact on this year's production. We are closely monitoring the evolving macro backdrop and remain ready to take additional action if needed. We believe the diversity of our portfolio and flexibility of our development programs position us well to respond quickly to changing conditions. If commodity prices weaken meaningfully, we are prepared to scale back activity and manage costs prudently preserving value through the cycle just as we did in 2020. We are measured in making large scale adjustments to activity levels for two key reasons.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

First, our high quality, low breakeven inventory in our current development programs and second, the proven benefits of sustaining long term operational efficiencies. Many of the significant capital efficiency gains achieved in recent years stemmed from maintaining steady development programs with consistent rig lines and frac crews. Disruptions to that continuity can take months and in some cases longer to fully recover. As I highlighted today, maintaining steady operations continues to drive material capital efficiency improvements, which remain the most durable and impactful form of CapEx reduction. Our focus is not solely on maximizing free cash flow in 2025, but on sustaining strong cash flow generation potential over the next several years and preserving value.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

At Oxy, we are approaching this environment with discernment and discipline. Our focus remains on protecting and compounding value across cycles, not overreacting to volatility, but positioning through it. I'll now hand the call over to Sunil to review our financial performance and discuss the enhanced guidance in more detail.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

Thank you, Vicki. In the first quarter of twenty twenty five, we generated an adjusted profit of $0.87 per diluted share and a reported profit of $0.77 per diluted share. The difference between adjusted and reported profit was largely driven by the mark to market impact of derivatives in our marketing business. During the first quarter, strong operational execution enabled us to generate approximately $1,200,000,000 of free cash flow before working capital, and we exited the first quarter with $2,600,000,000 of unrestricted cash. We had a negative working capital change, which is typical for the first quarter as a result of semi annual interest payments on our debt, annual property tax payments and payments under our compensation plans.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

Additionally, the first quarter included $350,000,000 of 2024 tax payment as part of the federal disaster relief program following Hurricane Bill. Though we expect the working capital change to partially reverse over the remainder of this year, the second quarter will also include another $110,000,000 tax payment associated with the same program. As Vicki highlighted, all three segments delivered strong results and exceeded our original expectations. The outlook for the remainder of the year as a positive trajectory and the operational strength demonstrated this quarter provides a solid foundation for the improved corporate guidance, which I will turn to now. Looking ahead to the second quarter, the midpoint of total company production is expected to modestly increase compared to the first quarter annual low of 1,390,000 BOE per day.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

The production increase is driven from several sources, including Permian activity levels, the completion of annual plant maintenance at Dolphin and the return of Gulf Of America production following seasonal maintenance projects. This growth more than offsets a turnaround in Allison currently planned in the second quarter and the impact from first quarter divestitures, which included a reduction of over 15,000 BOE per day in The Rockies. Though we revised Culea Gulf Of America production guidance down due to some discretionary capital optimization, including deferring one development well into 2026, it is fully offset by Permian time to market driven acceleration from realized efficiencies. We are maintaining our total company production guidance for the year, though the modified production mix is expected to slightly reduce annual total company oil cut. The shift in production mix resulting from the previously referenced divestitures, along with maintenance activities in the Gulf Of America, are key factors behind the elevated domestic operating expense per BOE guidance for the second quarter.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

That said, as Vicki noted earlier, we are reducing our full year operating cost guidance from $9 to $8.65 per BOE, reflecting our commitment to driving operational efficiency. We had a strong start to 2025 in our Chemical business and overcame some short term operational impacts limited to the first quarter. While uncertainty remains around global trade, we anticipate modest domestic demand growth in the caustic and PVC markets through the second and third quarters. We also expect some rationalization of domestic capacity in the second half of the year that should help rebalance some of the recent supply growth in the domestic market. As Vicki highlighted, our midstream teams are well positioned to capitalize on gas marketing opportunities.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

Strong execution and outperformance enabled us to raise Midstream's full year guidance range by $40,000,000 While we do not expect these market conditions to persist, the results underscore the strength and reliability of our capabilities during periods of volatility. Looking ahead to the second quarter, we expect midstream earnings to decrease as a result of declining commodity prices and the associated timing of delivery and cargo sales. However, this will be offset by mark to market adjustments, which is a byproduct of our strategy to preserve margins in oil marketing. In terms of capital spending, our first quarter results were in alignment with the 2025 business plan and a capital program that is weighted towards the first half of the year at approximately 55. Driven by our confidence in maintaining realized efficiency gains, we elected to release a Delaware Basin rig in April and plan to release another in early Q3.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

Through continued optimization of infrastructure and operational spending across our domestic assets, we have reduced our capital guidance range by 200,000,000 without impacting total company production. Combined with the $150,000,000 in projected operating cost reductions, this is expected to deliver a positive cash impact of $350,000,000 in 2025. Before I close, I would like to expand briefly on Vicki's comments regarding how we are positioning the company financially. Debt reduction remains a core priority, as demonstrated by a consistent pace of repayments and the diversified sources of capital contributing to that progress. We were pleased with the results of our March program to temporarily reduce the common warrant exercise price, an initiative that allowed us to retire $900,000,000 of debt in April.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

With all common warrants expiring in 2027, this modest acceleration meaningfully enhanced our deleveraging trajectory. As Vicky mentioned, we continue to actively evaluate divestiture opportunities that align with our strategic priorities and enhance long term value while maintaining a disciplined approach to execution. We have successfully navigated through prior cycles of volatility, and we are prepared to do so again. All 2025 maturities have been retired, leaving us well positioned with minimal debt obligations over the next fourteen months. Our short cycle U.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

S. Onshore portfolio gives us tremendous capital flexibility, and our detailed scenario planning will enable us to act decisively while preserving long term value. Importantly, we continue to be excited about the strong rate of change story unfolding across our midstream and chemical segments, which are less exposed to commodity price risk. In midstream, starting this quarter, we will begin to see the benefits of our revised crude transportation contracts at lower rates, which will deliver a pretax cash flow uplift of approximately $200,000,000 in 2025 and $400,000,000 annually beginning in 2026. In the chemical business, the battleground modernization and expansion project will provide a significant uplift in earnings over the next several years.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

When combined with the anticipated roll off of this capital investment, the completion of Stratos, and the reduction in interest expense as we pay down debt, we are expecting approximately $1,000,000,000 in incremental pretax free cash flow from non oil and gas sources in 2026, with even further expansion in 2027. As we have outlined on today's call, we are entering the remainder of the year with strong operational momentum, a strengthened financial position and a flexible operating framework. These advantages give us confidence in our ability to deliver consistent results, preserve value through commodity cycles and drive long term shareholder returns. I will now turn the call back over to Vicki.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Thank you, Sunil. As we move forward, we remain focused on strengthening the balance sheet, increasing returns to shareholders and contributing our significant resource base to advancing U. S. Energy leadership. Above all, we're building a high performing resilient business to deliver strong results across commodity cycles through disciplined capital allocation, operational excellence, and an unrelenting focus on value creation.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

With that, we'll now open the call for questions. As Jordan mentioned, Richard Jackson and Ken Dillon are here with us today for the Q and A session.

[Operator]

We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit questions to one primary question and one follow-up. If you have further questions, you may reenter the question queue. Today's first question comes from Devin McDermott with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

[Devin Mcdermott, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley]

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to start on the CapEx and OpEx reductions for this year. It seems like a mix of efficiency gains and then some shuffling around of timelines. You did a good job describing the Permian rig cuts, but you talk a little bit more about the other buckets, infrastructure, Gulf Of America and then OpEx, I think is in reference to enhanced oil recovery.

[Devin Mcdermott, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley]

And as part of that, are there any impacts on 2026 production or capital from these changes that we should be thinking about?

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, there's a mix of both of those. And we'll start with you, Richard, for the Permian.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, great. Thanks, Devin. Appreciate the opportunity to talk through this. Teams have spent a lot of time and continue to do so really every year thinking through our programs and the different scenarios, like Vicki said, focused on, of course, near term free cash flow, but important to us is maintaining these cost efficiencies or these operational efficiencies for longer term cash flow. So as we look through that, just kind of a decision framework from a U.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

S. Onshore perspective that may be helpful, continue to add cost efficiency. I think we shared certainly at the end of last year and then now in the first quarter continued year on year performance improvement across well cost and operating expense. We look at our cost structure opportunities with supply chain and continue to look for opportunities there, and I'm sure Ken and I can provide more color there if interested. We look at infrastructure, like you mentioned, in terms of capital facilities often, and as we think about the Permian in particular, we're able to optimize that.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

These are multi year projects that support our development and we can optimize that, but we've also been able to find synergies even in the Midland Basin with our OxyRock assets. And then we get the OpEx and like you mentioned OpEx for us, especially with our enhanced oil recovery business provides a lever for us to continue to work with when we're looking at maximizing cash flow. So for us, from an OpEx perspective, we look at things like direct costs, like CO2 volumes and price, and our teams do a great job of optimizing around that. Then downhole maintenance is a big one for us. This is really doing well service work and it really starts from our operating teams having a great approach to really that operating production system.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

The thing we wanted to point out, we've had a great failure reduction, so when you think about beam pumps in our operations, if we go back to 2023, we've had a 20% reduction in the failure of beam pumps. What that means is you don't have to deploy rigs and services to repair down wells, and so our downhole maintenance rigs, we've dropped over 30 over the last two years, and so as we think about both the capital and the OpEx, we do see these as sustainable as we go into next year and it's just really great work over the last few years from our teams to help deliver that capability.

[Devin Mcdermott, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley]

Okay, great. And then sticking with free cash flow and capital, I like the updated guidance on the free cash flow inflection over the next few years. I was hoping you could break it apart a little bit further and talk about how much of that is coming from the incremental operating cash flow versus reductions in capital spending. Just trying to think through the evolution of non oil and gas capital in both chemicals and low carbon embedded in those numbers?

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Great. Before we go to Sunil to answer that, I forgot Devin to hand it over to Ken who has some information he can share with you about the Gulf America projects that we have.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

Morning, Ben. As Sunil mentioned, we rescheduled some of our activities associated with the medium term projects, spending $100,000,000 less this year. No funds have been diverted from drilling and completion. So this gives us a chance to further optimize the design of the waterfloods and maybe also benefit from deflation that we're starting to see. Given it's a waterflood mainly, we have some potential to play catch up later without impacting the overall project.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

We also deferred the platform well from this year into next year that will give us a chance to optimize the whole platform program next year and also benefit from depletions too.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

Hi, Devin. So regarding your question around the cash flow inflection, so if you refer to slide number 14, so I'll start with the chemical segment first. So as we have said, the peak spending for the battleground project is 2025. It's around 600,000,000. Next year, it's expected to come down to 300,000,000.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

So as you look at 2026, that is a 300,000,000 saving on the CapEx side. And the project is expected to start up mid next year. So it's an incremental operating cash flow of around 160,000,000 once the project starts up. So that gets you to the $460,000,000. And on the midstream side, like we said, there are two oil transportation contracts at lower rates that are expiring this year.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

So one happens in end of Q1, the next one is end of Q3. So for this year, we get a benefit of around 200,000,000, and we get the full benefit of 400,000,000 next year. And then with the roll off of Strato spending, that's another $250,000,000. So next year, within the midstream segment, you're looking at $450,000,000 of cash flow improvement. And the last one is on the interest reductions as we pay down debt.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

So what we have assumed is all debt that is maturing in 'twenty six and 'twenty seven, we just pay down as it matures. Now, that was just the assumption that we used to come up with this estimate. That is not the plan, but that's how we came up with the 135,000,000 improvement in cash flow from interest expenses. So that gets you to the 1,000,000,000. And for 2027, you get the benefit of the full $600,000,000 CapEx reduction from the battleground project.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

You get the uplift on operating cash flow once the project is fully online, and you have the interest payment reductions for both '26 and '27.

[Devin Mcdermott, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley]

Great. Thanks so much. Appreciate all the detail.

[Operator]

The next question comes from Doug Leggate with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

[Doug Leggate, MD & Senior Research Analyst at Wolfe Research]

Thanks everybody, and thanks for all the information today. Vicki, I wanted to come back on my first question on one of the comments you made, and I want to make sure I'm not misquoting here, but you said we're going to accelerate deleveraging and look at all the options including potential disposals. Obviously, debt maturity profile, as Sunil has pointed out, is relatively shallow now over the next couple of years. So the implication is that you would put cash on the balance sheet, which obviously reduces net debt. I'm just curious if you can elaborate on what you're thinking in terms of disposals and whether with the midstream ramp up WES might make it onto that list?

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

We can't really say exactly what we're going to do, but we can say with confidence that we will achieve the debt reduction that we have maturing 2026, we would like to get that at least partially paid off this year. But we know we can achieve that certainly by the maturity. And as we've done with all the other debt that we've paid off thus far, accelerating it would be better for us in our view. But we still do want to keep a healthy balance of cash on the balance sheet, but pay the maturities as we can. So growing cash on the balance sheet isn't in the near term plan, but after we pay off 2026 maturity, that could be a possibility.

[Doug Leggate, MD & Senior Research Analyst at Wolfe Research]

That's really helpful. My follow-up is again related to free cash flow, but it really kicks off with the level of spending you have currently. A lot of the projects, as Sunil pointed out, particularly Battleground and but also DAC is rolling down next year. And I guess my question is, would you anticipate replacing that capital with other projects such as Mahysna, for example, or do you envisage the absolute level of spending moving to a lower normalized level once these major projects are done?

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, we expect that the capital will be lower next year. At what level? We haven't determined that yet, but we wouldn't replace that all of those, the cost of those projects that we're completing with additional capital.

[Doug Leggate, MD & Senior Research Analyst at Wolfe Research]

That's very clear. Thanks very much. The answers.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Thank you, Doug.

[Operator]

The next question is from Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

[Arun Jayaram, Analyst at JPMorgan Chase]

Yes. Good afternoon. I wanted to get your thoughts, maybe a follow-up to Doug's question on divestitures. Vicki, at this point in the cycle, do you think it would be a better time to sell, call it, short cycle assets in this type of environment? Or would you lean towards thinking about more long cycle assets within the portfolio?

[Arun Jayaram, Analyst at JPMorgan Chase]

Just trying to get a sense of how you would evaluate divestitures at this point in the cycle.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Well, the good thing is we have several options. And so we always it's always value based for us. There are still companies wanting to get into the Permian no matter what the cycle because most of us have a long term view that oil prices over time are going to recover probably not at the level we want this year or next year, but there's going to come a time when prices, especially given the lack of exploration success around the world and the fact that the largest 20 reservoirs in the world were discovered before February. So we think that there's going to come a time when oil resources are not going to be easily found or replaced. And so with that in mind, we do believe that companies realize that and so whether it's oil assets or otherwise, we'll get the best value that we can and make the decision on that basis.

[Arun Jayaram, Analyst at JPMorgan Chase]

Great. And maybe just a follow-up, shifting gears, you highlighted some new value enhancement opportunities in Oman, as maybe you could kind of unpack kind of the opportunity set in Block 53 and your North Oman discovery announced.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, I'd say we're very excited about that. And Ken, was you or Sunil? Who's going take that? Sunil's going to take that. Good deal.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, so maybe I'll start and then hand it over to Ken. No, definitely we are very excited about these opportunities, and Vicki did mention about cash flow improvement. Now, at this point, although we cannot provide any guidance on any specific operational financial metric, mean, all we can say is that we expect an uplift in cash flow compared to where we are today, while also being resilient at lower oil price, being a PSC. So we are excited about that. And the other thing is we disclosed the production by country and on total international operating costs.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

And so you should see it flow through once we sign the contract in terms of what the uplift is. So definitely very excited about the extension, the Block 53 extension and Oman North Gas discovery. So now I'll let Ken talk about why we

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

are so excited about this.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

Thanks, Sunil. As you can see, we're having a great year at Oman. The vision of the Minister of Energy is to unshackle the resources of the country, and we're delighted to play our part in this vision. Block 53 has very large inventory potential as you can see from the slide, and we know it well.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

To date, we've produced over six forty million barrels and currently operate 3,500 wells in the block with an incredibly strong operational team. As Vicki said, we see opportunities in all aspects, low decline, EUR projects, as well as conventional and exploration. These are projects that are competitive with any other Oxy investment. Like Richard said, we're focused on improving efficiency and Oman, that's no exception. We've had reductions in drilling cost per foot in Block 53 by 50% over the last three years.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

On expense, the same story as resources, our artificial lift performance has improved so significantly that our workover rig cost per barrel was reduced by 50% over the same period. Again, we'd like to thank the government of Oman, the Energy Minister and his team for all their efforts in making this happen. On Baqiyya, it's really great news, our exploration team as well has been really skillful, they're also very persistent, and they've been rewarded with success here. Vicky described the discovery, we're now exporting and selling and getting early reservoir data. Exploration also had another small discovery on the same block, which is also on stream and being assessed.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

Both were brought online in less than thirteen weeks. In Block 9, where we had record production last year after forty years, we continue with our CO2 EOR pilot. We're getting very encouraging results with no breakthrough, so we continue to be very positive about the project. So overall, a great quarter for Oman.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Oman is the country that keeps giving.

[Arun Jayaram, Analyst at JPMorgan Chase]

Right. Thanks, Vicki and team.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Thank you.

[Operator]

The next question comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

[Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs]

Yes. Vicky, team, thanks so much for taking the time. Just want to get your perspective on the Low Carbon Ventures business. You got some important milestones coming up as it relates to Stratos here. And just so help us unpack how you're thinking about derisking those and how the changing policy environment could affect the potential returns associated with at least phase one of the project.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, think it's very exciting and Richard can give more detail. With respect to the policy, there's such a strong voluntary compliance market and so many corporations that have committed to become carbon neutral that in the interim as we're building our DAC business toward a business that will use CO2 for enhanced oil recovery to get more oil out of the existing reservoirs that we have here in The United States to help extend our energy independence here. As we're building toward that, the voluntary compliance market for carbon reduction credits will continue, I believe, help us build the bridge between now and making the EOR realizations happen over time. And Richard, do you have more details?

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, just maybe a couple of points to add to Vicki's. I think sort of trajectory, a couple of things that we are excited about. One is our R and D progress, so I think specific with direct air capture, continue to see accelerated just exciting cost down vision coming out of our team from carbon engineering. When we look at that, we disclosed as we went from phase one to phase two, some of the changes in the reduction of process components and savings associated with that, that continues. So we're excited about that piece of it.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

The other component as we think about schedules is the returns have to be competitive. So we've looked at that and how to do that. De risking through R and D is one important component of that, but the operations with Stratus coming online in the second half of this year and then the market support that Vicki describes are all important decision criteria for us to FID going forward. I would say partnerships, the other piece of that. So we look forward to as we create the market and the cost down and the development opportunity to have those development partners with us.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

That really goes across all of our low carbon efforts. The final thing I would say, just, as Vicki mentioned with the OR continue to see all of these technology choices were to fit our integrated value. And so, we see it not just in the tech development, but also our cost as a core part of our Oxy business.

[Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs]

Thanks, Richard. Thanks, Vicki. And then, Vicki, the follow-up is, I always value your thoughts on the oil macro and you're always willing to talk about how you think about using moving pieces, including U. S. Oil supply.

[Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs]

So just get your latest thoughts. A couple of years ago, I know you guys were pretty constructive on the long term for oil because of the underinvestment in exploration, but obviously a lot of moving pieces here now as we think about this year. So near term, long term and thoughts on U. S. Supply?

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, as you know, most of the shale basins now have either plateaued or starting to decline except for the Permian. The Permian was really making up for the decline of the other basins, but the Permian I believe is if companies continue to talk about dropping activity levels, I think the Permian could plateau sooner than we expected. We had expected the Permian to continue growth through 2027 and we had expected that US production overall would peak between 2027 and 02/1930. It's looking like with the current headwinds or at least volatility and uncertainty around pricing and the economy and recessions and all of that, it's looking like peak could come sooner. So, I'm thinking right now the Permian is, if it grows at all through the rest of the year, it's going to be very little.

[Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs]

Thank you, Vicki.

[Operator]

The next question is from Jean Ann Salisbury with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

[Jean Ann Salisbury, Managing Director at Bank of America]

Hi, thank you for the walk through the free cash flow inflection in response to an earlier question. Can you just clarify if there's been any additional midstream recontracting or chemical project benefits added or if it was more of a reframing of the overall picture, but those specific components are unchanged?

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

That's right, nothing has changed. These were the two oil transportation contracts that were expiring in Q1 and Q3, which we had outlined earlier, and the other benefit was on the battleground expansion project. So there's nothing new.

[Jean Ann Salisbury, Managing Director at Bank of America]

Okay, great. Thank you. And then I believe you kind of talked about one component of the lower operating costs coming from EOR.

[Jean Ann Salisbury, Managing Director at Bank of America]

Can you

[Jean Ann Salisbury, Managing Director at Bank of America]

give any more color around how you expect this to change the relative mix of EOR in the portfolio going forward, if at all?

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, perfect. Yeah, again, these sort of efficiencies we expect to really carry through more from a cost structure basis. Again, we didn't change production as part of this and so it's things like continuing to work on operations efficiency, really optimizing CO2 through our reservoirs and how we do that and so if anything, expanding margins and continuing to improve the competitiveness of EOR in our portfolio.

[Jean Ann Salisbury, Managing Director at Bank of America]

Okay, great. Thank you.

[Operator]

The next question is from Paul Cheng with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

[Paul Cheng, Analyst at Scotiabank]

Hi, good morning. Vicky, just curious that if we're looking out into 2026 and 2027, on your momentum of this year cost saving, what's the potential that we could expect for those two years? And how big are the opportunity set that we may be talking where that you see the most opportunity set? The second question is that, I mean, maybe with your comment earlier, talking about you think The US could see production maybe pick out, say, somewhere between 02/1927 to 02/1930 or maybe even a bit earlier, if people continue to cut back. From a portfolio standpoint, should we assume that HOXI at some point over the next several years would like to substantially increase your activity level outside The US then?

[Paul Cheng, Analyst at Scotiabank]

And if that's the case, where you see the most opportunities? Thank you.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Okay,

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

I'll answer the second question first, and that is that I just want to go back and share with you some of what we've done to get our portfolio to where it is today. Going way back in time, about ten years ago, we were only producing about 650,000 BOE per day. Now our production is 1,390,000 barrels per day. In 2015, '50 percent of our production was from international locations. Today, 83% is in The United States.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

We exited several countries, but stayed only in the countries that are business focused and where we can see significant upside. In 2015, our oil and gas resources totaled $8,000,000,000 with $2,200,000,000 of that improved, but today we have $14,000,000,000 of total resources, with $4,600,000,000 proved reserves. And in 2015, only 16% of our proved reserves and 25% of our total resources were shell, the rest was conventional. Today 60% of our proved reserves and 55% of our total resources are shell. So what we've done over the past ten years is we've taken our portfolio and expanded significantly in the shale so that we have more than a decade, maybe up to fifteen years of development in the shale.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

But what people don't usually get is that we also have, in addition to the shell, we have about 6,000,000,000 identified today of resources in conventional areas around our company. So right now, and I believe that $6,000,000,000 of additional resources is light when you consider the fact that we're doing AI work in the Gulf Of Mexico or Gulf Of America. We're also doing some work around water flooding, doing additional enhanced oil recovery there, production optimizations. So, the Gulf Of America is going to add to the $6,000,000,000 of conventional that we have. Also, in Algeria, having just obtained the largest onshore three d seismic survey, we expect that we'll get out of that upside that we can continue to add to the $6,000,000,000 And then in Oman, as Ken mentioned, where he was talking about the gas block and what we discovered there, that could be bigger.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

There could be where you find gas and you see structures around it, that means those other structures could have gas, same with the old discovery, and we're continuing to make progress in the Block nine and twenty seven where we have previously been working. So, we have growth there. So, when you look at those three areas and the growth potential that we could have, we just haven't done the appraisal work yet that we need to do, but we are almost going to be equivalent from a conventional resource perspective as we are from a shale perspective. And so, that's going to extend our development potential well beyond the fifteen years because you layer on top of that the fact that this direct air capture technology that we're developing is going to help us extract CO2 that could then enable us to do enhanced oil recovery in not only the reservoirs in The US, but the reservoirs in Oman, Algeria, and potentially Abu Dhabi as well. So, we have, as you were alluding to, we do have a lot of additional resources.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

So, we've made the transformation from an asset standpoint and we're getting close to rounding the corner with our debt reduction. I believe that is going to unlock a lot more value for our shareholders than most people have anticipated. So we're pretty excited about that and ready to keep going with it.

[Operator]

Thank you. The next question comes from Leo Mariani with ROTH. Please go ahead.

[Leo Mariani, Managing Director, Senior Research Analyst at Roth Capital Partners, LLC]

Hi, thanks. Just wanted to follow-up on some of the CapEx and OpEx reductions here in 2025. So I know you guys are dropping a couple of rigs and sounds like cutting some EOR CapEx in the Permian. Totally understand there's not really a near term production impact. But if you look out over the next year or two, do you see some modest production impact from some of those cuts at this point?

[Leo Mariani, Managing Director, Senior Research Analyst at Roth Capital Partners, LLC]

Or do you think you can kind of make that up with further efficiencies over time?

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Yeah, we made the decisions that we made because we absolutely did not want to sacrifice production in the outer years, '26 and '27, basically because that's cash flow that could be used to create additional value. So we're looking for high return cash flow and so the decisions that were made can support that. And so we can first, don't let me get off track here, but let me go to Richard on some of the OpEx specifics and then I want to go to Ken after that with supply chain who can address some of the cost reductions that certainly are going to help us without any impact on production.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

Thanks, Vicki. Yes, I'll just add quickly. I mean, again, I mentioned more on the OpEx, but on capital again efficiency related, this two rig drop was really an acceleration. So if you think about our program during the year, were able to compress that drilling efficiencies. We noted, I think in the highlight slide that added 15 net wells online for the year and over 30 rig releases.

[Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management at Occidental Petroleum]

And so that enabled us to do more with less, we're able to drop the rigs. The other part of the CapEx was really this facilities and infrastructure, Again, optimizing that over multi years, way we have scale in our operations provides that capability and then the one tidbit on that, great opportunity came out of the Crown Rock in our legacy Midland development where we were able to utilize one of their existing central facilities without building a new one for that operation. So that was several million dollars. So it's all things like that that are really optimizing without that production or cash flow degradation, but definitely want to the other important piece of this is supply chain. So I want to let Ken discuss that.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

Thanks, Richard. We've been through the cycles many times over the years, so we understand the process. In terms of supply chain, it's about continuing to get best in class performance while trying to accelerate deflation of goods and services on both the CapEx and the expense side. We're working with our tier one relationship companies who have scale and who also understand the market. 15 companies make up 40% of our spend domestically.

[Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations at Occidental Petroleum]

At the same time as we're doing that, we're also receiving offers of reductions from viable vendors, both domestically and internationally, and something we've not heard for quite a few years is a lot of people are talking about market share rather than margin in this environment and the benefits of it. So we see benefits going forward into next year related to deflation and managing services going forward.

[Leo Mariani, Managing Director, Senior Research Analyst at Roth Capital Partners, LLC]

Appreciate that. Why don't you switch gears to the chemicals business a bit here. Just kind of looking at your first half outlook for 2025, you guys are expecting around $435,000,000 or so of operating income there. Your full year guide is 900,000,000 to $1,000,000,000 Just wanted to kind of square the circle there. Should we be thinking that maybe chems is going to be a little bit towards the lower end, kind of based on where we are in some of the economic uncertainty at this point?

[Leo Mariani, Managing Director, Senior Research Analyst at Roth Capital Partners, LLC]

And maybe you can just provide a little bit more kind of color on how you're thinking about chemicals and the outlook going forward.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

So maybe I'll first start with market dynamics and then get to your question. So in terms of demand, starting with PVC, we expect the domestic PVC demand to grow by around 4% to 5%. Internationally, economic conditions in China is still challenging, and the oversupply in China is weighing on the export market. And if you look at China's PVC exports, it has grown significantly over the last few years. The export market share has grown from almost zero in 2020 to around 30% in 2024.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

So these lower export prices also put downward pressure on domestic prices. And now shifting to the caustic side, domestic demand is expected to be quite similar to last year. And on the pricing side, the recent Gulf Coast expansions that came online in late twenty twenty four is expected to maintain the pricing pressure, but the rationalization of domestic capacity, which is targeted for the second half, should help rebalance the market and improve pricing. So if this rationalization happens earlier than what we have forecasted, or the Chinese economy does better than market expectations, that will definitely help with the pricing. Now, coming to your question around the second half versus first half.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

In Q1, we were impacted by several short term events, the winter storm, unplanned outage at our Ingleside facility, and also increased raw material costs, mainly ethylene and natural gas. So in later part of Q2 and as we move into Q3, we expect to see improvements in demand and pricing as domestic and foreign producers continue to rationalize supply. Also, the recent drop in ethylene and natural gas price should also help with the earnings in the second half. So there is still quite a bit of uncertainty around how the demand and pricing will play out for the rest of the year, but there's also potential tailwinds from lower cost. So currently, we expect the full year income to be within the guidance range, but we should have more clarity after the second quarter.

[Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO at Occidental Petroleum]

So we decided to wait for another quarter before making any adjustments to the full year guidance.

[Operator]

Thank you. In the interest of time, this concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Vicki Hollub for any closing remarks.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental Petroleum]

Thank you all for your questions and for joining our call today. Have a great rest of your day. Thanks. Bye.

[Operator]

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.

Participants

Executives

• Jordan Tanner, VP - Investor Relations
• Vicki Hollub, President and CEO
• Sunil Mathew, Senior VP & CFO
• Richard Jackson, President, Operations, U.S. Onshore Resources & Carbon Management
• Kenneth Dillon, Senior VP and President of International Oil & Gas Operations

Analysts

• Devin Mcdermott, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley
• Doug Leggate, MD & Senior Research Analyst at Wolfe Research
• Arun Jayaram, Analyst at JPMorgan Chase
• Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs
• Jean Ann Salisbury, Managing Director at Bank of America
• Paul Cheng, Analyst at Scotiabank
• Leo Mariani, Managing Director, Senior Research Analyst at Roth Capital Partners, LLC