Arlo Technologies Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
May 8, 2025

There are 8 speakers on the call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. I would now like to turn the conference over to Tom Endclark. Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 1

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Arlo Technologies First Quarter twenty twenty five Financial Results Conference Call. Joining us from the company are Mr. Matthew McCray, CEO and Mr. Kurt Binder, COO and CFO.

Speaker 1

If you have not received a copy of today's release, please visit Arlo's Investor Relations website at investor.arlo.com. Before we begin the formal remarks, we advise you that today's conference call contains forward looking statements. Forward looking statements include statements regarding our potential future business, operating results and financial condition, including descriptions of our revenue, gross margins, operating margins, earnings per share, expenses, cash outlook, free cash flow, free cash flow margin, guidance for the second quarter of twenty twenty five, the long range plan targets, the rate and timing of our paid subscriber growth, the transition to a services first business model, the commercial launch and momentum of new products and services, the timing and impact of tariffs, strategic objectives and initiatives, market expansion and future growth, the effect of our brand awareness campaign on future growth, partnerships with various market leaders and strategic collaborators, continued new product and service differentiation and the impact of general macroeconomic conditions on our business, operating results and financial condition. Actual results or trends could differ materially from those contemplated by these forward looking statements. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in Arlo's periodic filings with the SEC, including our annual report on Form 10 ks and our most recent quarterly report on Form 10 Q filed earlier today.

Speaker 1

Any forward looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today, and Arlo undertakes no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. In addition, several non GAAP financial measures will be discussed on this call. A reconciliation of the GAAP to non GAAP measures can be found in today's press release on our Investor Relations website. At this time, I would now like to turn the call over to Matt.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Tom, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today on Arlo's first quarter twenty twenty five earnings call. In Q1, Arlo added 298,000 subscribers in the quarter and ended Q1 with 4,900,000 paid accounts, which is a 51% increase year over year. Average revenue per user, or ARPU, rose to a record $13.48 propelled by the continued success of Arlo Secure V and our new service plan. This resulted in subscriptions and services revenue of $69,000,000 for the quarter, and our annual recurring revenue grew to $276,000,000 both up over 20 year over year and new records for Arlo. This acceleration of Arlo's subscription and services business is the clear driver for our outstanding Q1 financial results.

Speaker 2

Our non GAAP services gross margin of 83% is up 600 basis points from last year and contributed to our record free cash flow of $28,000,000 and earnings per share of $0.15 which is also a record for Arlo. And we expect this strength in our subscriptions and services business will continue in Q2 and throughout 2025. We expect strong growth in subscribers and additional ARPU expansion as the benefits of our new Arlo Secure V plans penetrate our user base and read through in our results. In fact, for the first five weeks of Q2, we have not seen any drop off in demand across our channels and have already hit a key service milestone. Today, we announced we surpassed 5,000,000 subscribers, which is ahead of our 2025 forecast and more than two years early compared to our original long range plan.

Speaker 2

This is a significant milestone for the company and shows the incredible pace of growth for our subscriptions and services business as we execute towards our new long range plan of 10,000,000 subscribers. And we don't believe the current tariff environment will slow down this strong start to the year. First, it is important to remember that Arlo is subscriptions and services company at its core. Less than 25% of our total revenue comes from hardware devices we import into The United States, so there would be minimal impact to our consolidated gross margins. Said another way, the majority of our revenue and nearly all of our profit is not directly impacted by the announced tariffs.

Speaker 2

Second, we assume Arlo will be operating under the 10% blanket tariff regime for the duration of Q2. And given Arlo's subscriptions and services strategy, I view it as a small increase in our customer acquisition cost that we will execute and optimize around to continue our growth of subscribers that generate a lifetime value of nearly $700 We don't have any plans to increase prices at this time and are beginning to see competitors struggle, which may provide incremental opportunities to capture share. And while the second half of the year remains uncertain, we have modeled the effective tariff rate at or near the current 10% rate. And based on this, we are confident in reaffirming our full year guidance. We still expect our 2025 results will make us a rule of 40 company, and Arlo will exit the year with more than $300,000,000 in ARR.

Speaker 2

This places Arlo in a small, elite and shrinking class of public SaaS companies with this level of performance. These are unprecedented times, which could produce additional macroeconomic impacts, but my goal with the preceding commentary is to continue Arlo's tradition of transparent and open communication. Given our track record of success, disciplined execution and strategic agility, I believe the current conditions and volatility favors Arlo and may present the company with new opportunities for growth. As a reminder, Arlo is planning its largest product launch in company history for the twenty twenty five holiday season with over 100 new SKUs launching into our channel. These new products will substantially extend our technology differentiation and achieve a 20% to 35% cost reduction, which puts us in a great position to not only mitigate any tariff impact, but also win incremental opportunities to capture share in Q4 and 2026.

Speaker 2

On the last call, I gave a sneak peek of our plans for Arlo's Tier six, which includes exciting new Arlo Intelligent features that substantially expand the capabilities and user experience of our subscription service. Given the success of our development program, some of these advanced features will be rolled out this month, including advanced AI and audio event descriptions, fire detection, event searching across our expanded sixty days of storage, and new AI audio detection such as glass break, screaming, gunshots, and barking dogs. In addition, Arlo will be rolling out Phase one of our advertising strategy this quarter, which will be focused on using our ad platform to promote Arlo service subscription tiers and device upgrades. Early testing has shown this as a powerful tool to extend the long term value of our users and increase conversion to subscriptions. We believe these launches continue our momentum and set ARLO up for a successful second half of twenty twenty five.

Speaker 2

Arlo is executing extremely well and delivering strong growth across our key metrics as we put the pieces in place for continued success throughout the year. And now, I'll turn it over to Kurt for a more detailed review of our Q1 results.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Matt, and thank you everyone for joining us today. We delivered strong financial results during the quarter, continuing the significant operational momentum that we gained in 2024. I will start by sharing some financial details, then provide an overview of the business for the first quarter and finish by providing our outlook for the second quarter. Entering 2025 as truly a subscriptions and services first business, our installed base of subscribers continued its strong growth trajectory coming in at 4,900,000 paid accounts, which was up 51% year over year. Our Q1 paid account increase still reflects some catch up of the Verisure subscribers, but we were able to generate healthy new paid subscriber growth in the 170,000 to 190,000 range, a trend that we expect to continue in the future.

Speaker 3

The momentum behind our paid subscribers translated into another record quarter of subscriptions and services revenue, which came in at $68,800,000 a 21% increase over the same period last year. The strong services revenue performance was driven in part by growth in the overall paid subscriber base, but was primarily related to higher levels of ARPU, which grew 7% sequentially and 15% year over year to $13.48 We are seeing ARPU accelerate as a result of the momentum from our new customers selecting our premium rate plans as well as the overall simplification of our plan structures. Our annual recurring revenue was $276,000,000 also up more than 20% over the same period last year. The strength of our subscription and services revenue as well as our ARR generated strong top line revenue performance and contributed to Arlo's record profitability, which I will discuss later. Total revenue for the first quarter of twenty twenty five came in at $119,000,000 down slightly from the prior year period.

Speaker 3

Importantly, subscription and services revenue represented about 58% of total revenue, up from 46% in the same period last year. The sizable shift in revenue composition from onetime device revenue to recurring services revenue reflects the momentum that we gained in our transition to a subscription and services driven business, and the results are clearly proving out the long term sustainability of our operating model. Product revenue for the period was $50,200,000 down in comparison to the prior year and resulting principally from the decline in ASPs that had been prevalent across the entire industry. We continue to leverage our products to bring customers into the Arlo ecosystem through point of sale volume, with the success of this approach evidenced by the total number of shipments. In Q1, we shipped a total of 1,100,000 devices worldwide, which was in line with the shipment volume of the prior year period after withstanding a challenging economic environment.

Speaker 3

The more customers that are brought in through our product funnel, the more we can convert into paid subscriptions, which generates significant lifetime value for the company while insulating us from the volatility created by external factors. As our subscriptions and services business scales to become a larger component of our total business, we are seeing the contribution of our international customers slightly decline. As a result, in the first quarter, our international customers generated approximately $51,000,000 or 43% of our total revenue, down from $70,000,000 or 56% of total revenue in the prior year quarter. In the EMEA region, Verisure continues to be the driver of our international revenue and remains an outstanding partner, driving both product sales and supporting investments in innovation. From this point on, my discussion will focus on non GAAP numbers.

Speaker 3

The reconciliation from GAAP to non GAAP figures is detailed in our earnings release, which was distributed earlier today. Our non GAAP subscriptions and services gross margin was 83.1%, a new record and up over 600 basis points year over year, driven by an increasing portion of our subscriptions and services revenue generated from premium plans with higher ARPU as well as a decrease in the cost of serving our subscribers. Product gross margins remained slightly negative in the period as we continued our promotional activity to ensure we remain competitive across all customer price segments, including at the sub-fifty dollars market level. The product margins did rebound from Q4 levels as we were not as aggressive with the promotional activity that we used to support the holiday season. Even with gross product margins at the current level, we were able to expand our total non GAAP gross margins to 46%, up a remarkable 800 basis points sequentially and 600 basis points year over year.

Speaker 3

This result illustrates the impact of our subscription and services strategy on the profitability of our business. Our planned device portfolio refresh in the second half of this year will further enhance our competitive positioning and allow us to continue using our products as a customer acquisition tool even in a declining ASP environment. Total non GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter were $38,300,000 down from $40,300,000 in the same period last year and demonstrating strong cost discipline. The year over year decline is primarily driven by a $3,600,000 reduction in research and development costs as we invested a bit more heavily in our Arlo Secure V last year. We will ramp up additional investment related to Arlo Secure VI later this year, which will result in our operating expense level increasing slightly throughout the year.

Speaker 3

As part of our evolution to a best in class SaaS company, we are now reporting adjusted EBITDA, a financial figure which is consistently disclosed by consumer subscription businesses in our peer group. During the quarter, our adjusted EBITDA was $16,400,000 in the period, up 76% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA was driven by the strong performance of the subscriptions and services business as well as our disciplined focus on cost containment. Further, we posted non GAAP net income of $16,500,000 another record that translates into non GAAP net income per diluted share of $0.15 and thereby exceeding the consensus figure of $0.12 for the quarter. Regarding our balance sheet and liquidity position, we ended the quarter with $153,100,000 in available cash, cash equivalents and short term investments.

Speaker 3

This balance is up $10,000,000 since March of twenty twenty four after considering the $12,500,000 investment in Origin Wireless and the $15,000,000 we invested in our share repurchase program. The leverage in our operating model continues to be evident as we generated record free cash flow of $28,000,000 during the quarter, representing a free cash flow margin of almost 24%. Our free cash flow was up an astounding 45% over the same period last year, driven by increased profitability and strong working capital management. Our Q1 accounts receivable balance was $46,000,000 at quarter end with DSOs at thirty four days, down from forty one days last year. Our Q1 inventory balance was $35,000,000 down from $45,000,000 level last year.

Speaker 3

Inventory turns were 6.3 times, up from 5.7 times last year as we focused on maximizing the use of our inventory on hand to minimize the potential impact of tariffs on our product gross margins. As Matt mentioned, we are refreshing our entire portfolio of devices in the second half of the year, which will result in a 20% to 35% reduction in BOM costs, thereby providing an effective tool to combat both the regulatory and competitive environment. Now turning to our outlook. Looking at our financial results, Arlo continues to perform well despite operating in a volatile macroeconomic environment. We have scaled our subscriptions and services business to a level that dictates the profitability of the entire business, and we are well positioned to compete in a market defined by promotional activity and discounting.

Speaker 3

We expect to deliver these strong operational results throughout 2025, especially as we expand our relationships with strategic partners and extend our technology and platform advantage later this year. As everyone is experiencing, there is uncertainty around the potential impact of tariffs, not only on our business, but in the global economy. We are working closely with our suppliers, customers, and in country trade experts to examine the range of potential outcomes and have developed strategic plans to account for varying scenarios. Our current assumptions include existing tariff rates remaining in place, with the impact being felt in product gross margins for product shift into The United States. As previously discussed, we do expect a 20% to 35% decline in our product cost as we roll out our new device portfolio in the second half of the year.

Speaker 3

More importantly, driven by the resilience of our subscriptions and services business, we expect to achieve the full year financial outlook we gave last quarter, both on subscriptions and services revenue and margins, as well as total revenue and EPS. Further, our outlook for the second quarter assumes a continuation of current market conditions with ASPs across the industry continuing to decline. We are expecting total revenue in the range of $119,000,000 to $129,000,000 and non GAAP net income per diluted share in the range of $0.11 to $0.17 Now I will open it up for questions.

Operator

Our first question comes from the line of Jacob Stevens with Lake Street. Your line is now open.

Speaker 4

Hey guys, appreciate you taking my questions. Congrats on the quarter. Maybe just to start, I'll kind of ask the tariff question in a different way. Are you thinking about any sort of inventory stocking kind of ahead of July 3 from which my perspective is that tariffs will be reinstated on, on Vietnam?

Speaker 3

Well, we've been looking at, our inventory levels for the past several months. If you look at, actually how we ended up the first quarter, I think we did a fantastic job of sort of leveling out our inventory on our balance sheet, but actually pushing some of that inventory in the channel. And so now we're focused on making sure that between now and the July, we capitalize on the available time we have to have sufficient inventory tariff free or at least with the 10% tariff available for us to ship. There's a whole host of different things that are going into that right now. We're monitoring inventory levels almost weekly.

Speaker 3

We're in conversations with our suppliers on a eve every evening, and we feel like we've got a good plan to to attack it. As we've indicated in our our remarks earlier, I mean, we feel great that as a subscription and services business, you know, the majority of our revenue coming from services as well as the revenue that is being generated through product that is shipped to the EMEA are are exempt from the tariffs. So we're in a pretty good position all all in all. So, but, yeah, it's top of mind for us, Jacob. We're constantly looking and working with our supply partners and in in country trade experts to ensure we're optimizing the situation to our to our advantage.

Speaker 4

Awesome. And maybe just to go a little bit deeper on, you know, what that means for kind of the second half, in the in the product refresh. Do do you expect that, you know, the products will be, you know, able to be shipped before kind of that July time frame? Or, obviously, I know that they're they're gonna be a lower, price to you, but, does that give you enough time? Or will you you have to bear some of the tariffs on that?

Speaker 2

Yeah. So so here's what we know. We're under, you know, the 10% regime until, July 8 actually. And then we expect, you know, obviously a lot of discussions to happen. We know as you know, we do a lot of lot of manufacturing in Vietnam and some in Indonesia.

Speaker 2

Vietnam was actually working with the White House administration over the weekend over this past weekend. And so I think what we're gonna see, you know, in similar to what we actually saw announced with The UK this morning, I think the idea and the prevailing thought is that there's gonna be deals done between now and the July time frame. So we really look at it in two different two different buckets. One is we're assuming we're going to stay under this 10% regime until July 8. It could be less than that, but what we've shown is we're able to execute with these tariffs and look at it as a small increase in CAC with a focus on continuing to drive subscription.

Speaker 2

And like I said in the prepared remarks, with LTV of $700 So being a services business insulates us from the tariffs that will happen on our hardware business. And again, like we mentioned, it's less than 20% of our business being affected. Then I look at the second bucket, which is where your question is, which is what happens after July 8? Again, we think it's more likely than not. There will be deals done, with the areas that we do manufacturing.

Speaker 2

Those are underway. We don't know that. But if you couple that with the fact that our launch of these products, which most of them will not be produced before July 8. So most of the production for the holiday period will happen after July 8. Given that those have a 20% to 35% COGS reduction, what it means is maybe some of the ASPs you would see in the second half might not be as low as we were planning, but still pretty aggressive to drive the $300,000,000 of ARR, or service revenue that we wanna hit before the end of the year.

Speaker 2

So I think we're in a really good spot. The the launch of this product is perfectly timed for the holiday, and it can absorb the tariff and or if tariffs deals come in lower than that 10% plus, you know, 20 to 35%, we'll be able to actually drop the ASPs and be be more competitive in the market. So that's how we're looking at the situation today. There's a July 8 and before, and we think we're really well positioned. You saw our guidance on Q2, and we think service will continue to accelerate.

Speaker 2

In fact, we're starting to see some opportunities. As I mentioned in the channel, as some of our competitors who may be hardware only or more hardware focused are struggling, to bring product in. And then there's the post July 8 where it's early, but we're modeling a very similar, tariff regime of what we're doing today, knowing that we've got big cost declines coming, and I think we're gonna be very competitive in the second half.

Speaker 4

Okay. Got it. That's very helpful. Maybe if I could just ask one more quick one on the ad platform. Obviously, it sounds like, you know, that's about to be launched here, but maybe, you know, from my interpretation, it was it was gonna be geared more towards advertisers and, you know, kinda larger brands.

Speaker 4

But it sounds like it's, it's gonna be more promoting, you know, upgrades and subscriptions, upgrade, to products. Can you just kinda walk me through that a little bit?

Speaker 2

Yeah. Yeah. So in our so in our beta testing, and as you know, we talked about it last year when we said we'd into beta testing in in q one. Obviously, we tested third party ads and we actually tested our own, what we call, house ads. So ads for good services and maybe discounts and hardware for Arlo.

Speaker 2

And we actually saw a really strong reaction and conversion and click through on the Arlo ads. So what we're doing in phase one is we're going to roll out and actually started on May 1. So we've already rolled the ad platform out, and we're going to specific cohorts, and we're starting to pitch Arlo services. Phase two could be opened up to the third party, but I think the return on investment and what we saw in the beta testing as far as lift on conversion, was strong enough that we think the right first step for this ad platform is actually to advertise our own our own services and and hardware to the to the, you know, active users that we have across the world.

Speaker 4

Okay. I appreciate it. Good luck going forward here, guys.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Logan Kapsman with Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Speaker 5

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking our question. This is Logan on for Adam. Just want to start on the international side. Europe was a little bit weaker.

Speaker 5

It was down 30% year over year. Just wanted to see if you guys could touch on, a little bit more in a little bit more detail the drivers of that. And then I think you guys said that there was, still some Verisure catch up, in in your subs. Can you size that impact? And then thoughts on when the Verisure catch up, should be done?

Speaker 3

Yeah. Sure. Let me touch on the, the results from Verisure on the revenue. So, we don't with with Verisure, there's a couple things that are in play. First off is we've seen over the five years or so of our relationship that they kinda have a a destocking, stocking, timeline associated with their their their ordering and and supply chain.

Speaker 3

And if you go back, in '20 the previous year, we were in more of a stocking coming into, 2025. So the inventory levels, I think, were a bit higher in 2024 as we came into first quarter of twenty twenty five. So that was the first thing. Second thing is is that Chinese New Year in '20 this early twenty twenty five was pulled forward. And so as a result of that, we were working with their supply chain probably back in, I would say, September, October time frame to make sure that we were able to order the product and deliver it towards the end of q four so that they had enough going into, the first quarter and didn't get jammed up on the, accelerated timeline around Chinese New Year.

Speaker 3

And then the last thing is, there was a a regulatory guidance that came out regarding, USB c requirements in Europe. They required a switchover to make sure that, you know, consumer electronics companies were normalizing the connector points for all of the consumer electronics out there. And as a result of that particular changeover, we work with them to make sure that they had adequate inventory for purposes of their, you know, the retail business, and that was done again in q four, which did impact q one of this year. But I would say to you, the relationship is still very strong. The demand is very strong with them, as it stands right now, and we're looking forward to having another good year with, with Verisure in 02/2025.

Speaker 2

On the catch up, just to answer the second part of your question on the catch up. Kurt mentioned it in the in the prepared remarks. We had nearly 300,000 ads. If you back out the catch up, we believe it was right in that one seventy to one ninety, that we've been guiding the street. We think this is the last quarter of the catch up.

Speaker 2

We don't often know. We haven't seen anything pull through in the first five weeks of the quarter. But what we're seeing so far is batch processing that looks like it's the normal batch processing for ads that are going into their South region, which is the area that had the firmware issue that caused some of the stuff to have the catch up. So we did about $300,000 Normal would have been right between 170,000 and 190,000 right on plan. And we think this is the last quarter that we'll see that catch up effect.

Speaker 5

Great. That's super helpful. And then this is the second quarter that product gross margin was negative. And I understand the new devices are coming in at a lower cost to produce. But at least until those come in, do you expect a negative gross margin for product to hold?

Speaker 5

I understand you guys don't necessarily guide directly to it, but any high level thoughts would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Yeah. Thanks for that question. I I guess what I wanted to do is start with highlighting what happened with our combined gross margins. If you look at our combined gross margins, they actually grew quite nicely, quarter over quarter and year over year. If you look at quarter over quarter, we were up 800 basis points on our combined gross margins.

Speaker 3

And year over year, we were up 600 basis points. Even taking into consideration that q four and this q one, we were slightly negative on the product gross margin. So I just emphasize that point because that is critical to understanding our strategy that we are comfortable using the device and the hardware as our cost of customer acquisition. And when we look at what's happening from whether it's a competitive dynamic or regulatory scenario, we still plan to use hardware as that customer acquisition tool. So, yes, we had negative gross margins in q one.

Speaker 3

We'll evaluate the market conditions to determine how we want to play out Q2 and frankly for the remainder of the year. But we're confident that we will show that our combined gross margins have the potential to continue to grow over time. And we're pretty pleased by that because it shows kind of instantiates the overall effectiveness of our strategy that we're rolling out.

Speaker 5

Understood. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you for your questions. Before our next question, we ask that all participants ask one question and one follow-up question. Our next question comes from the line of Scott Searle with ROTH Capital. Your line is now open.

Speaker 6

Hey, afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. Nice job on the quarter. Hey, Kirk, just quickly to clarify your comments on product gross margins. It sounds like you get the 25% to 30% cost down on the Series six platform as that starts to ramp up.

Speaker 6

So is the plan to continue to push with negative gross margins in the fourth quarter and into 2026 or to be determined on that front? And Matt, just to clarify in terms of some of your comments from the competitive landscape and the impact on tariffs, what percentage of your competitors right now are really in that position of struggling with Chinese manufacturing? And what kind of share shifts are you seeing in the first several impacts first several weeks of impacts with that in line?

Speaker 2

Yes. Maybe I'll go first and then Curt can comment back on the product gross margin. I would say pretty much every competitor you see in our segment is manufacturing in Asia. And the difference is I mean, you put China aside, the differences then country to country are relatively small. So I would say all of those companies that are not in China, they're in other areas of of Asia doing manufacturing, are in a similar boat.

Speaker 2

And I will tell you there are a couple, I won't name them, but there are couple of brands that are that have relatively high volume that are in China and obviously scrambling to get out because the tariff against China is actually so much higher than the others. I think the bigger impact is really is that competitor, do they have a robust and successful services business? To me, that's the bigger difference because even in your question around product gross margin, right, as Arlo, we're really a software and services business, right, subscription revenue business, And we use hardware as part of our cost of acquisition and acquisition of that customer, right? So it insulates us so much from what's happening in tariffs because it's just a little bit more CAC, right? But we're still getting customers that are worth nearly $700 of long term value.

Speaker 2

So when I look at the market, and the competitive set, what I can tell you is nearly 50% of the unit volume is likely to be hardware only or hardware focused competitors, and that's where we're seeing some of them start to falter. You know, we're getting messages from our repo partners like, hey, do you guys have excess inventory? We're we're we're believing we're not gonna get the inventory from some of our other, other vendors that are on the shelf. In fact, we've seen some POs that have come in early as an example. So I think we're seeing the beginning of if you are a hardware company only, the tariffs hit you immediately.

Speaker 2

They go straight to profitability of the company. They hit you completely on gross margin, which is your total gross margin as well. And it's really difficult to bring in product and be able to justify that in any way and still have any profitability of the company. As a software services company, it's a small impact on our business, and we think it's manageable where we're managing it through our strategy and obviously our our services first. We're working very closely with our supply chain partners, you know, to push some of the costs in there.

Speaker 2

We're optimizing in other ways. And for us, again, the way I see it is there may be, we don't know, but there may be a small increase in CAC, our customer acquisition cost. But I believe there's as much opportunity for us to stick the foot on the gas bill, capture share going forward, and actually exit the year on everything that we guided the beginning of the year from. Now you asked about our share. I can tell you that through q one and through the first five weeks of q two, we have captured share nearly every week over week over week in all of our key accounts.

Speaker 2

And so I think some of that was coming out with Arlo Secure five, and some of our pricing in q one, which you can see was relatively aggressive. And then as we get into the the tariff regime, I think we're better situated than most of our competitors, and our expectation is we'll continue to capture share.

Speaker 3

Yes, Scott. Then in terms of the response on the product gross margin, let me just highlight that, as we've mentioned in the past, our approach to the pricing on the product is more around driving POS, point of sale volume. And the whole concept there is is we can continue to grow POS quarter after quarter. It means that we're filling our funnel with plenty of households, active households that we believe we can convert. And our our conversion rates still are are actually trending very favorably, and and that is a great thing.

Speaker 3

So what we're doing is using that pricing on the product and the margins associated with it as that lever or that tool to ensure that the funnel is full and giving us that opportunity to convert households. The great thing is we're proving out to everyone that even in those scenarios where product gross margins may go negative, it's okay. Because when you look at the growing margins on our services at 83% plus, and you combine that with the product gross margin to where they are right now, the combined gross margins are accelerating very nicely. And so we're extremely pleased with the way things have actually rolled out here the last couple quarters, and we tend to be very aggressive, on our promotional planning. And then in parallel with that, we're gonna do everything possible, as Matt mentioned, to roll out this '20 to 35% cost reduction on the firm to help us with these regulatory, matters as well as to be, competitive with with our promotions.

Speaker 3

K. Thank you.

Speaker 6

And and if I could just Matt, on the pricing on SecureSix, I'm not

Speaker 2

sure if we heard it,

Speaker 6

but should we assume premium pricing on that? Or will it just be monetized in other ways like ads and otherwise that you would been addressing? And any thoughts on other strategic partners within insurance or some of the other categories there? What's going on? How do we expect that to roll out over the next couple of quarters?

Speaker 2

Yeah. Yeah. Good question. So so, you know, we made the changes with Arlo Secure five, where we launched the platform in late q three, early q '4, and we started seeing ARPU increase. We saw a mix up to premium plans.

Speaker 2

Then our second step was to change the structure of our plans. Now we did that in January, and most of that fed through in February. So there's a partial impact on the Q1 results. We'll see a bigger impact as we go forward on the business. But that also is growing ARPU and mixing people up the plans.

Speaker 2

The changes we made in January were planned because we knew Arlo Secure six was coming. So the plans that you see today and the pricing you see today, where we've really reduced the plans to just two options and they were the two most premium options that we had prior, is really our Arlo Secure six plans. We just made that plan adjustment a quarter before rolling out. Now normally, Arlo Secure six would roll out in Q3 time frame. That's our normal time frame kind of annualized time frame for rolling out Arlo Secure six.

Speaker 2

The testing and the development has gone so well. And I will tell you the event scene descriptions and some of the more advanced AI capabilities are so strong from a user experience perspective, we decided to actually roll them out early. And so those are starting to roll out throughout May, and we're excited to kind of tell that story and let users actually experience Arlo Secure six early. And then you'll see additional features actually roll out later in the year. But the plans that we had set in January were in anticipation of Arlo Secure six.

Speaker 2

So I think we're in a really good spot there. And then what was the second part of the question?

Speaker 6

Just an update on insurance and strategic partners in that area.

Speaker 2

Partnerships, yes. Yes, sorry. So strategic accounts. Yes. So they're progressing well.

Speaker 2

As you know, said on the last call that I think there's probably one or two that we're really focused on. I think one just missed the finish line, and there's something we'll talk about relatively soon. And then I expect to have another one maybe in the second half. So and I believe these will be sizable, good partnerships that we're very excited about and ones that we've been in work for six months plus. Those will come to fruition this year and have some impact, I believe, this year in the second half and then a material impact as we look at 2026.

Speaker 3

Thanks so much.

Operator

Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Hamed Khorsand with BWS Financial. Your line is now open.

Speaker 1

Hi. So I just wanted to understand, given the dynamics of what's happening on your ARPU line, is that the increase coming because you're selling you raised prices? Or is that coming because of a natural increase from the retail channel?

Speaker 2

Yeah. So if you're looking at ARPU, we're kind of there's think there's a couple of facts. So one, when we launched Arlo Secure five in in late q three or late q four of last year, we saw a mix to the more premium plans. And that started to bring ARPU from roughly 11 and change over 12 and change. And then the plan changes we made in January, where we got rid of our basic plan and really just have plus and premium, additionally is driving up ARPU as well.

Speaker 2

So I think some of it is the feature sets, the rollout of Arlo Secure V, and we're looking to build on that momentum with Arlo Secure VI. And some of that is through all the data that we collected post Arlo Secure V, we've re architected the plans and simplified the plans, and that's also driving ARPU up. Now to give you the latest numbers, we I said, Arlo Secure five took us from roughly $11 to $12 and change as we exited out. We are now above $13 right? And actually, I think, headed towards $14 And I mentioned on the last call, when we look at and just take a snapshot of new subscribers coming in fresh, the ARPU is closer to $17 So that's what gives us the confidence that ARPU will continue to expand through the year as we continue to roll out Arlo Secure six and the new plan structure through 2025 going into 2026.

Speaker 2

So kind of 11 to 12 last year, we're roughly at thirteen fifty around right now, and we think that will continue to expand going forward driving not only service revenue but profitability.

Speaker 1

Great. Thank you.

Speaker 2

You're welcome.

Operator

My goodness. I believe I've lost there we go. Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Bisson with Craig Hallum Capital Group. Your line is now open.

Speaker 7

Hey guys, it's Ryan on for Tony Stoss. Most of my questions have been asked already, but I just wanted to get an update to see what you guys are seeing. It's good that ARPU is going up, service revenues are going up. What are you seeing in terms of churn and conversion rates? Any changes there, maybe even positively?

Speaker 2

Yeah. Great question. So we're seeing basically improvements or in line performance across all metrics. When we make changes in our service plans, now whether that's a structure change or a price increase, right? And our structure change was effectively a price increase, and that's what you're seeing pull through.

Speaker 2

Often, we'll see a spike in churn. And we did see a little spike in churn, very similar to what we saw a year ago when we changed single plan pricing and two years ago when we did a larger plan price increase. What I can tell you now is that, that has actually returned to the norm and is continuing to improve. So the behavior we've seen through the plan changes is exactly as predicted. In fact, we have a churn steering committee and action group here, and we think we can actually improve it even more as we go forward.

Speaker 2

But churn is exactly where we wanted to return right back to baseline is continuing to improve. Conversion looks great across all the different cohorts. Service revenue is going up. ARPU is going up. And you saw us also expand profitability on the service from a service gross margin perspective.

Speaker 2

So I would tell you every metric of our services business has a green light behind it, and we think it will continue to improve through the year.

Speaker 7

All right. Great. Thanks, guys, and congrats on the results.

Speaker 3

Thank you. Thank you

Operator

for your question. That concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your line.

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Key Takeaways

  • Arlo added 298,000 paid subscribers in Q1 to reach 4.9 million accounts (up 51% YoY), driving record ARPU of $13.48, subscriptions & services revenue of $69 million and ARR of $276 million.
  • Non-GAAP services gross margin hit 83% (+600 bps YoY), contributing to a record free cash flow of $28 million (24% margin) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.15.
  • The company says hardware tariffs have a minimal impact (<25% of revenue), assumes a 10% tariff in Q2 with no planned price hikes and reaffirms full-year guidance including rule-of-40 status and >$300 million in ARR exit.
  • Arlo plans its largest product launch ever this holiday with 100+ new SKUs offering 20–35% cost reductions, refreshing its entire device portfolio in H2 to drive share gains and mitigate tariff effects.
  • New Arlo Secure VI features (advanced AI and audio event descriptions, fire detection, 60-day search, glass break and gunshot detection) begin rolling out this month, alongside Phase 1 of an in-app ad platform for service upsells.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Arlo Technologies Q1 2025
00:00 / 00:00