M/I Homes Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: MI Homes posted record second quarter revenue of $1.2 billion and a record 2,348 home deliveries, driving a 25% gross margin, 14% pretax return, and 17% return on equity.
  • Neutral Sentiment: New contracts declined 8% year-over-year but showed sequential improvement from May to June, as the company deployed mortgage rate buy-downs to maintain an average sales pace of three homes per community in challenging rate conditions.
  • Positive Sentiment: The company ended the quarter with a record 234 communities and controls 50,500 lots (owned and optioned), equating to a five-to-six year supply, with plans to grow community count by about 5% in 2025.
  • Positive Sentiment: MI Homes strengthened its balance sheet, finishing the quarter with $3.1 billion in equity, $800 million in cash, zero borrowings under its revolver, an 18% debt-to-capital ratio, and a negative 3% net debt ratio.
  • Negative Sentiment: Pretax income fell 18% to $160.1 million and diluted EPS declined 14% to $4.42, primarily due to margin pressures and increased incentives to offset higher interest rates.
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Earnings Conference Call
M/I Homes Q2 2025
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Morning, ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the MI Homes Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in a listen only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. This call is being recorded on Wednesday, twenty three, twenty twenty five. I would now like to turn the conference over to Phil Creek. Please go ahead.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

Thank you. Joining me on the call today is Bob Schottenstein, our CEO and President and Derek Klutch, President of our mortgage company. First, to address Regulation Fair Disclosure, we encourage you to ask any questions regarding issues that you consider material during this call because we are prohibited from discussing significant nonpublic items with you directly. And as to forward looking statements, I want to remind everyone that the cautionary language about forward looking statements contained in today's press release also applies to any comments made during this call. Also be advised that the company undertakes no obligation to update any forward looking statements made during this call. With that, I'll turn it over to Bob.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Thanks, Phil. Good morning and thank you for joining us. As outlined in today's release, MI Homes had a very solid second quarter, highlighted by record second quarter revenue, record second quarter homes delivered and continued strong returns, including 25% gross margins, 14% pretax income, and a 17% return on equity. We were very pleased to post these results given the challenging macroeconomic backdrop. When we last spoke on our first quarter earnings call, we commented on the demand challenges we faced during the last half of twenty twenty four, as well as during the first quarter of this year.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Little has changed as we continue to face challenging and choppy conditions, primarily due to higher interest rates, which has contributed to uncertainty and impacted consumer confidence. Throughout this year, we have strategically and effectively used mortgage rate buy downs to drive traffic and incent sales. Though such buy downs have impacted profitability and margins, they have been most successful as we strive to balance price and pace across our two thirty four communities. Though our second quarter new contracts were down 8% from a year ago, we were pleased to record a monthly sale pace of three homes per community. And moreover, we were pleased to see a sequential improvement new contracts from May to June.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

We have repeatedly said that long term fundamentals of our industry are sound and that housing will benefit greatly from the current undersupply of homes and growing household formations, particularly in our markets. There's little doubt that many potential buyers are sitting on the sidelines waiting for a better rate environment and an improvement in consumer sentiment. As we go forward, we will continue to use rate buy downs to drive traffic as we manage our operations to meet the demands of the current environment. We feel very good about our business and believe that we can continue to drive performance and produce solid returns and profitability. In the second quarter, we closed a record 2,348 homes, a 6% increase compared to a year ago.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Our second quarter total revenue, also a record, increased by 5% to 1,200,000,000 and pre tax income decreased 18% to $160,100,000 largely due to the decline in gross margins to 25%, but still a very good 14% pretax income return. We continue to see quality buyers in terms of creditiness, credit worthiness with strong average credit scores of 746 and an average down payment of 17%. We ended the second quarter with a record two thirty four communities and remain on track to grow our community count in the balance of 2025. We believe our 2025 average community count will increase by about 5% from 2024. Our division income contributions in the second quarter were led by Columbus, Dallas, Orlando, Chicago, Minneapolis, and Charlotte.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

New contracts for the second quarter in our Northern Region decreased by 13%, while new contracts in our Southern Region decreased 4%. Our deliveries in the Southern Region increased by 8%. Deliveries in the Northern Region increased 2% from a year ago. 59% of our deliveries come out of the Southern Region, the other 41% out of the Northern Region. We have an excellent land position.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Our owned and controlled lot position in the Southern Region increased by 7% compared to a year ago and decreased by 7% versus last year in the Northern Region. 31% of our owned and controlled lots are in the North, the other 69% in the South. Company wide, we own approximately 24,500 lots, which is slightly less than a three year supply. In addition, we control via option contracts approximately 26,000 additional lots, resulting in a total of 50,500 owned and controlled lots, equating to about a five to six year supply. Our balance sheet is the strongest in company history.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

We ended the second quarter with an all time record $3,100,000,000 of equity, equating to book value per share of a 117 which is up 17% from a year ago. We also ended the quarter with zero borrowings under our $650,000,000 unsecured revolving credit facility and $800,000,000 of cash. This resulted in a debt to capital ratio of 18%, down from 20% a year ago and a net debt to capital ratio of negative 3%. So I conclude, let me just state that we remain very optimistic about our business. Given the strength of our balance sheet, the quality of our communities, and the tremendous land position that we have, we are well positioned as we begin the third quarter of twenty twenty five. And with that, I'll turn it over to Phil.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

Thanks, Bob. Our new contracts were down 8% for the quarter when compared to last year. They were down 12% in April, down 12% in May, and up 1% in June, and our cancellation rate for the quarter was 13%. 51% of our second quarter sales were to first time buyers and 73% were inventory homes. Our community count was two thirty four at the end of the second quarter compared to two eleven a year ago and the breakdown by region is 99 in the Northern Region and 135 in the Southern Region.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

During the quarter, we opened 23 new communities while closing 15. We currently estimate that our average twenty twenty five community count will be about 5% higher than last year. We delivered 2,348 homes in the second quarter, delivering 82% of our backlog, and 36% of our second quarter deliveries came from inventory homes that were sold and delivered in the quarter. As of June 30, we had 5,100 homes in the field versus 5,000 homes in the field a year ago. Our revenue increased 5% in the second quarter.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

Our average closing price for the second quarter was 479,000 a 1% decrease when compared to last year's average closing price of $482,000 Our second quarter gross margin was 24.7, down three twenty basis points year over year and down 120 points from our first quarter of twenty twenty five. Our cycle time slightly improved in the second quarter compared to last year and our second quarter SG and A expenses were 11.3% of revenue compared to 11 a year ago. Our second quarter expenses increased 7% versus a year ago, and these increased costs were primarily due to our increased community count and additional headcount. Interest income, net of interest expense for the quarter was $4,400,000 Our interest incurred was $8,700,000 We are pleased with our returns for the second quarter given the challenges facing our industry. Our pretax income was 14% and our return on equity was 17%.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

During the quarter, we generated $169,000,000 of EBITDA compared to $200,000,000 in last year's second quarter and our effective tax rate was 24.3% in the second quarter compared to 24.4% a year ago. Our earnings per diluted share for the quarter decreased to $4.42 per share from $5.12 per share last year, down 14% and our book value per share is now $117 a $17 per share increase from a year ago. Now Derek Klutch will address our mortgage company results.

Derek Klutch
President & CEO at M/I Financial

Thanks Phil. Our mortgage and title operations achieved pre tax income of $14,500,000 a slight increase from $14,400,000 in twenty twenty four's second quarter. Revenue increased 2% from last year to a second quarter record $31,500,000 due to higher margins on loans sold, a higher average loan amount, and an increase in loans originated. The average loan to value on our first mortgages for the second quarter was 83%, compared to 81% in twenty twenty four's second quarter. We continue to see an increase in the use of government financing, as 51% of the loans closed in the quarter were conventional and 49% FHA or VA, compared to 6931% respectively for twenty twenty four's second quarter.

Derek Klutch
President & CEO at M/I Financial

Our average mortgage amount increased to $403,000 in twenty twenty five's second quarter, compared to 395,000 last year. Loans originated increased to $18.65, which was up 15% from last year, while the volume of loans sold increased by 10%. Finally, our mortgage operation captured 92% of our business in the second quarter, up from 87% last year. Now I will turn the call back over

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

to Phil. Thanks Derek. As to the balance sheet, we ended the second quarter with a cash balance of $800,000,000 and no borrowings under our unsecured revolving credit facility. We continue to have one of the lowest debt levels of the public homebuilders and are well positioned with our maturities. Our bank line matures in late twenty twenty six and our public debt matures in 2830 and has interest rates below 5%.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

Our unsold land investment at 06/30/2025 is $1,700,000,000 compared to $1.1500000000.0 dollars a year ago. And at June 30, had $894,000,000 of raw land and land under development and $803,000,000 of finished unsold lots. During twenty twenty five's second quarter, we spent $102,000,000 on land purchases and $139,000,000 on land development for a total of $241,000,000 June 30, we owned 24,500 lots and controlled 50,500 lots. And at the end of the quarter, we had five eighty six completed inventory homes and 2,726 total inventory homes. And of the total inventory, ten eleven are in the Northern Region and seventeen fifteen are in the Southern Region.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

06/30/2024, we had three seventy two completed inventory homes and 2,150 total inventory homes. We spent $50,000,000 in the second quarter repurchasing our stock and have $150,000,000 remaining under our current board authorization. Since the start of 2022, we have repurchased 14% of our outstanding shares. This completes our presentation. We'll now open the call for any questions or comments.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. The first question comes from Alan Ratner at Zelman and Associates. Please go ahead.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Hey, Bob. Hey, Bill. Good morning. Nice job in a tough environment. Congratulations.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Alan, good to hear from you. Thank you.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Nice to hear from you guys as well. Bob, I guess first question, just kind of more bigger picture. I was hoping you could just provide a little bit more commentary across your footprint and kind of differentiation and trends you're seeing by price point, by geography, which ones are the relative winners and losers in the current market?

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

You know, yeah, I'll try to do that. I think that, there's just a lot of volatility week to week within inside the months. I think I saw another builder make a comment that, you know, one week is good and the next week is actually not so good. It's it's you know, it almost looks like a heart rate monitor. And that's what we've experienced.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Having said that, I think in balance, our Midwest markets have outperformed the Carolinas slightly. Although I think the Carolinas are still quite good. We're sort of still just getting started in Nashville, so I'm not gonna make any comments about that because I don't feel that they're meaningful enough in terms of our performance. Florida's a bit of a mixed bag. Orlando for us has held up significantly better than Tampa.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Sarasota and Tampa are both a little soft. Although I think as the quarter progressed, conditions in Tampa got a little bit better and we were very pleased to see that. We've had a lot of delays in bringing communities online in Sarasota And those delays have been more of an impact, I think, on our performance in that particular market than maybe the macro environment. And then Fort Myers Naples, we're off to a really good start, it's still just in its very, very early stages. Texas, know, Dallas is clearly softer than it was a year ago, when it was one of the strongest, if not the strongest housing markets in the country.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

So Dallas has softened a bit. It's by no means horrible, but it's not nearly what it once was. Houston is a little softer too, maybe not quite as soft as Dallas. And I think Austin is crawling its way back. San Antonio is sort of somewhere in the middle there, you know, with very, very sensitive to interest rates in terms of the buyer profile there.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

So in balance, you know, I'd say across all 17 of our markets, I'm glad we're in every single one of them. You know, Columbus, Indianapolis, Chicago, Minneapolis, you know, I think are performing at a pretty good level right now. So is Charlotte, Raleigh, we're in a bit of a transition with communities coming on. Very, very bullish about all these places. Glad that if we weren't in these markets, we would go to them.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

And I think, know, Florida's in bit of a reset on particularly the West Coast from our point of view. But, I'm really bullish about Florida. I'm not ready to move there personally, but I'm very bullish because I think a whole lot of people are. And I think, I don't think Florida's going anywhere. I know the weather and hurricanes and those sort of things cause issues from time to time.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

But, and I remain very bullish about Texas too. I think there, you know, some of the margins that we were posting, and I suspect others were as well, in Dallas and Houston, not sure how sustainable they were long term, but they're still excellent, excellent housing markets. What 15% of the new homes sold in The United States, I think are sold in the state of Texas. I suspect that'll continue. So we love where we are.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

We think we've got a lot of opportunity. I'm glad that we're not just one place or the other. We still have no interest in going any further west than we are. You didn't ask that, but I'll offer that up. Because we think we can grow a whole lot within the markets that we're in.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

And we have a leadership position in over half of our markets. By that I mean we're either the first, second, third, or fourth largest builder. So lots of good things. Clearly a challenging market as you know. You know as well as anyone.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

But it's not horrible. I think conditions are about a c to c plus, and they've been that way really for quite some time. But, those of us that have been around, and MI Homes will be celebrating its fiftieth year next year, we know what d's and f's look like, and we're by no means close to that. So, I mean, the fact that we can post 14% income in this environment, I think is extraordinary. I think any double digit pre tax.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I remember when Ivy years ago thought any builder that can get double digit pre tax income was hitting on all cylinders. The fact that we can do it right now in 2025, I think is, we're very proud of that. We've improved our cycle time. Our customer service and home readiness scores are the highest in company history and they were always high. We hold ourselves to a very high standard when it comes to that.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

And those are all third party tabulated scores. So as we look at the business, and think about where we are, We love our land position. I saw a report that you put out that thought we had too many tertiary communities. I'm not sure I know which ones you're talking about. I'm winking a little as I'm saying that to you.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I think our land position is exceptionally well located. Really excited about that. And we have a lot of communities, notwithstanding the current conditions, that performing at a very high level.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Well, I appreciate that big rundown. I think the tertiary community is more a function of the markets you're in as opposed to the submarkets within those markets. I would agree with you on the land position quality for sure. I guess you kind of brought up some of the normalization in margins in Texas and just kind of curious, I know you don't guide on margin, still generating a pretty healthy overall margin, but it is down a couple of 100 basis points year on year. I'm just curious as you think about the normalization on margin, what are the headwinds and tailwinds that are you're facing today as you look at over the next year or so?

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I didn't pick up the first the last part of that question. What are the what that we're facing?

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

The headwinds to margins. So going forward, what could pressure margin lower? And then what, if anything, could be a tailwind to improve margins?

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Yeah. What a great question. I don't know that anybody really knows the answer to that. I think margins are starting to level off for us. They may get a little bit lower.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I don't see another 100, 200, 300 basis point drop. Could happen. I think higher rates are gonna be here for a little while. So we're gonna continue to cut into margins by buying down, you know, mortgages. I think that, you know, were in the upper twenties.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Now we're in the mid twenties. I don't think we're gonna see them get a whole lot lower. I don't they may get down to, you know, 24, 23 or something like that. But by the same token, they may level off where they are now. I I sort of feel like we've sort of found a space, a place.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I don't see rates getting higher over the next number of quarters anytime soon. In fact, I think at some point we'll likely to see them start to drop. That'll help margins a lot. But, you know, there's there's there's I think there's some concern about impact of tariffs. That's a hard one to get your head around.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I think we thought it'd be worse than it is. So far, there's been little if any impact. We get about 20 to 30% of our lumber from Canada. Sort of depends. And it's not the full package.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

So how that all plays out there, you know, I I don't think It'll be what it'll be and we'll figure it out. We'll navigate through it. But I think we're really close to about where we're likely to be here over the next number of quarters.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Great. That's good to hear, encouraging. And if I could just sneak in one last one. Just on the order, the comps by month, I thought it was interesting that your orders were down 12% in April and May and actually up 1% in June. I know there's a lot that can go into that with comps and everything.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

So just curious if you could expand on that for a minute. Did you guys do anything It on pricing interesting.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

There was a noticeable uptick in traffic in June. But it didn't last the whole month. But there was. And there was that period where we all sort of thought rates were starting to drop. And it was interesting how that seemed to impact traffic and buyer sentiment for a few hours.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I think I saw where someone else commented on that in the last day or so, I can't remember. But we saw that. And, you know, we don't really comment on current conditions, but, you know, I think things are settling in a little bit here. And I think it's going to continue to be a fight one buyer at a time. But that's what we've been doing all year.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Hell, we've been doing that since last year at this time almost. And I think that sometimes comps can be impacted when you open a brand new series of communities all in one month and all of a sudden it shoots that month up. But period to period, I think our sales I think our sales have held up well, and I believe they'll continue to relative to, you know, market conditions.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Appreciate all the color, guys. Good luck and talk soon.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Talk to you soon. Football season's on us, Alan. Get start getting excited.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Ken Senner at Seaport Research Partners. Please go ahead.

Kenneth Zener
Senior Analyst - Housing Sector at Seaport Research Partners

Good morning, Bob, Phil, everybody.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Good morning.

Kenneth Zener
Senior Analyst - Housing Sector at Seaport Research Partners

Your the margin stability you're talking about, the interest rates, I notch I don't think I'd be disagreeing with you. But if you could operationally comment on the South, which for you guys includes Texas, Florida, a little more Texas than Florida, I think you said before. But the segment margins were gross margins were 24% in 1Q. Can you kind of and those have fallen sequentially from 4Q, but can you kind of talk about you know, the spread there between the Florida and Texas margins? Give us a little better sense of the business composition.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Well, just a little. Look, a year ago, our margins in Texas were let's leave Austin out because it was in a bit of a reset and has been for over a year. But certainly Dallas and Houston where we have big operations, they were some of the best margins in the company, better than Florida. They're coming down slightly now, but quite honestly, they're still very good. Otherwise, we wouldn't on average be running nearly 25%.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Right now, across the board, margins in Texas are a little better than Florida.

Kenneth Zener
Senior Analyst - Housing Sector at Seaport Research Partners

And one of the things that I've been focusing on which surprises me is do you have a census data saying there's all this new home inventory for sale? You can exclude homes for sale must started, but like to make it comparable to public. Are you seeing in your markets the new home inventory as high as the census is suggesting, which is 30 plus percent above long term averages? Or is it not necessarily, the case where you see such nominally high inventory units? It's just more demand that's affecting you guys.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I'll take a crack at I'll take a crack at that. I'm not sure that I, that I'm I'm looking at the same number that that you are. But, as it relates to the to the large public builders, all of us are producing a lot more spec homes, which go into that inventory number than we were two years ago. And that maybe even we were a year ago. So that's certainly in there.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

But because of the rate environment we're in, it's the the the decision to do more spec homes, at least for us, has been critically important to our performance. Because the rate buy downs, which are so important in order to get people to buy a home and to get to the closing table, it's very difficult to produce if not ridiculously expensive, a very long term rate lock. So the most attractive rate buy downs, the ones that most buyers are taking, are available on homes that can close within sixty days. So if we don't have the inventory, we don't have that to offer. On the other hand, the listings, which are up in almost every market that we're in, in some cases considerably, that includes existing homes too.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

And the one tremendous advantage financially that we have and the other builders, new home builders have over existing homes, is our ability to offer rate buy downs which the average seller of an existing home is somewhat powerless to do. They could do it, but it's not as it's just not as they don't have the agility or the or the internal operation to be able to generate that as quickly as we do. So I don't know if that really answers your question.

Kenneth Zener
Senior Analyst - Housing Sector at Seaport Research Partners

No. It does. I guess, I asked different builders this, but do you guys respond to the census data requests? Because I know many of the other public builders actually don't respond to those. Do you guys I don't know the census.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I don't know that we do. If we do, I'm not aware of it. I'll have to check that. I I actually don't pay that much attention to a lot of that data because it's so dated. And I'm not sure how reliable it is.

Kenneth Zener
Senior Analyst - Housing Sector at Seaport Research Partners

Thank you very much.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Thanks a lot for your question.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Buck Horne at Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Buck Horne
Buck Horne
Managing Director at Raymond James Financial

Hey, thanks. Good morning. Congrats on a great quarter in a difficult environment. I wanted to just go back to kind of the monthly progression of the order trends you guys were highlighting. Others have kind of commented that incentives increased as the quarter progressed or there was a need to kind of accelerate some incentives, which is kind of going to lead to a little bit of further margin erosion into the third quarter.

Buck Horne
Buck Horne
Managing Director at Raymond James Financial

I just kind of wondering, as you guys saw an uptick in your orders in June, was that due to a more heavy decision on incentives? Or was that more of an organically driven demand lift?

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

I think the latter. I don't look, for all intents we're not really doing much with incentives, if at all, other than rate buy downs. That's our primarily incentive. And there have been periods week to week, you know, or every several weeks where the cost to buy the rate down to what we think we need to be on both the government and conventional side, where it costs a little more, it costs a little less. You know, that may be a 100 basis points or 50 plus or minus from time to time.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

But, we didn't, you know, we, you know, some builders are maybe more aggressive with their incentives other than rate buy downs. I think most haven't been, which has been good to see, at least from my point of view. You know, there's always someone that may be doing something that maybe we don't think it makes that much sense because you can only sell the house one time. You know, lots are precious commodity if they're well located. But, I don't know if you have anything to add to

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

hard to project what margins are. One of the things I mentioned was that in the second quarter, we had about 36% of our closings that were spec sales that were sold and closed in the quarter. We also have opened in the first half 50 new stores. So that impacts, you know, what we're doing. You only get a chance to open one time the right way and gotta be very careful as far as pricing and incentives, especially with new communities.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

You know, in general, our more expensive houses, higher priced, you know, tend to hold up a little better these days as far as price and margin. Specs, there's an art to selling specs. You know, today, we're selling about 70% specs. And although in general, specs are lower margins than to be built, Again, there is an art to, you know, what house you're specking on which lot and how do you manage the incentive on specs. As Bob said, a big part of that is, you know, there's a lot more efficiency in buying down rates in a shorter period of time.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

So it's just very hard to predict what margins are. But, you know, overall, we feel really pretty good about, you know, where we are.

Buck Horne
Buck Horne
Managing Director at Raymond James Financial

Sounds good. I appreciate the color. And I guess, thinking about the specs and kind of your projected community count growth in the back half on top of the new openings you've already achieved here. So I'm just wondering how you're thinking about the start pace through through year end. Do you need to do you need to accelerate more specs to hit your delivery goals, or do you have enough product in in in process right now?

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

You know, we're trying to manage a lot of things. I did mention that at midyear, we had 5,100 homes in the field versus 5,000 a year ago. Our store count is up about 10%. So, you know, we do have more stores. We do have more people.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

We do have higher SG and A. So obviously, we need a certain amount of volume. But having said that, we're not trying to force it. Land is a very important commodity to us. It it takes a long time to get a locations and get those zoned, approved, get the specs and the models built.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

So, again, we're trying to drive a certain amount of volume, but we're not trying to force volume like certain other builders are.

Buck Horne
Buck Horne
Managing Director at Raymond James Financial

That's perfect.

Buck Horne
Buck Horne
Managing Director at Raymond James Financial

Thanks for the color, guys. And and, Bob, I really appreciate the bullishness on Florida in particular. So, it's good to hear that Tampa's finally things to have turned the corner as well.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Yeah. I mean, I look. I I don't know that I'd say it's completely turned the corner, but, you know, I think the steering wheel's heading in the right direction.

Buck Horne
Buck Horne
Managing Director at Raymond James Financial

Good good news. Appreciate the color.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Thanks, Bob.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Jay McCanless at Wedbush. Please go ahead.

Jay McCanless
MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Hey, good morning, everyone.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Hey, Jay.

Jay McCanless
MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Hey, Jay. Hey, guys. Good to talk to you. So I think, Bob, you talked about it in one of in answering Allen's question. But at roughly 25% to 30% lumber coming from Canada, Have you all tried to plan out or map out what type of gross margin impact that might have if they do knock that tariff rate up to 34%?

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Yeah, I think I said 20% to 30%. But Phil, think

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

it's too early to know right now because I don't think we have any division, that gets the entire lumber. It's pieces and parts of certain kind of wood that come out of Canada. And also certain pieces and parts can be substituted in different ways. So we have not seen anything yet that makes us think there's gonna be a significant increase. You know, overall, our construction costs the last couple of quarters have pretty much been flat.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

And also, though land costs in general have continued to go up, land development cost has really kinda leveled off some. So from what we're seeing, we're not anticipating any type of significant increase, you know, the second half of of this year. And if anything does start changing like that, we think there's a couple levers we can pull.

Jay McCanless
MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

K. Alright. That's good to know. Because I just kind of the second part of that question is what you talked about, Bob, was margins trying to level out. And we've been worried that if lumber prices move up along with what sounds like a more aggressive promotional environment, at least for the next few months, builder gross margin could come under pressure.

Jay McCanless
MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

So just trying to get a sense of where that's going. Second question I had is if you look at the North and Pulte called it out yesterday, you guys called out the Northern market's doing better. Is there any thought to maybe starting to expand again at North, whether through M and A or through adding some communities? How are you guys thinking about that, especially with some of the affordability really good affordability in some of those Northern markets?

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Well, we're glad that we're in really three distinct geographies. Maybe four, to count Carolinas and Nashville as sort of somewhere mid mid. But Midwest, Florida, Texas, I'm like very bullish about all. Right now, I think the Midwest is holding up a little better candidly. We've got very big operation in Columbus, and in Chicago, and in Minneapolis, and a rapidly growing, been there a long time, but a rapidly growing operation as well in Indianapolis.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

Our Cincinnati operation is probably as strong as it's ever been, and we've been there since 1990. We a lot invested in our Midwest markets. And we're prepared to invest more. Every single one of those markets has a plan to grow over the next one, two, three, four years. And we don't think it's irrational.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

We think it's doable. At varying degrees, every one of the cities has projected household formation growth. And right now, I think no different than the rest of the country, a shortage of homes and a lot of buyers on the sidelines. I don't want to overstate our perceived bullishness. We just think it's a really good area.

Robert Schottenstein
Robert Schottenstein
Chairman, President & CEO at M/I Homes

And we're gonna you know, we do a lot of volume in the aggregate in the Midwest, and we expect that volume to grow.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

You know, if you look at it in Jay overall, you know, in the 17 markets we're in, we do not have a single division today, doing a thousand units. And we think that we can do that in a few of our divisions. As we look out the next couple years, again, assuming that things do get a little bit better, which we think they will, worst case next year, we think we can do twelve, thirteen, 14,000 houses in our 17 markets. But, again, we want profitable growth. We like to control our most risky asset land.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

You know, we like to stay within that two to three year range of what we own. And today, we own about 25,000 lots. If we continue to conservatively, cautiously grow the business, we think we have the leadership teams, and we think we're pretty good at land and product and those type of things. So, you know, we are getting to the point where we're starting to get to the scale we need in Fort Myers and Nashville, which we just opened a couple of years ago. But, again, there's a number, you know, of builders doing 2,000, 3,000 units even in some markets.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

And, again, we're not doing a thousand in any market yet. So we think we're really positioned to to grow a lot, but we wanna grow smart, grow profitably, and also, you know, provide good returns.

Jay McCanless
MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Great. Thank you. And then on SG and I know you guys said that that SG and A dollars were up because of headcount increases and community count. I guess, are are you getting close to maybe maybe what the run rate is gonna be at this higher level of operations? Or do you think there might be some more increases in SG and A dollars going forward on a quarterly basis?

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

I think there'll be some continued increase, Jay. I mean, we opened 50 new stores the first half. Last year, all year, we opened 72. We expect in the second half to open a similar number as the first half. We talked about having you know, community count growth on average up, like, 5%.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

So we're probably gonna continue to have higher headcount. You know, there are certain costs associated, you know, with more stores. So, realistically, we do think SG and A dollars will probably continue to grow up go up. As far as volume, again, we do have a few more houses in the field than we had a year ago. Hopefully, you know, our our closings will continue to be, pretty strong, but that is based on, you know, us having to continue selling a lot of specs at reasonable profit levels. So that's kind of what we're focused on.

Jay McCanless
MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Okay. Got it. And then the the last question I have, I don't know if you guys have looked at this, but couple builders have actually disclosed where their average mortgage rate is in the backlog at this point. Could you talk about that and maybe what your gross margin backlogs or the gross margin and backlog looks like?

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

I mean, the margin in the backlog, you know, today, isn't a whole lot different than it was at the end of the first quarter, maybe down 50 or 100 basis points. As Bob said, there continues to be margin pressure. There could be some more downward margins. You know, I don't think anything significant. That just kinda depends.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

As far as the the the mortgage rates and those type of things, that that's not something that we've, you know, disclosed in the past. I don't think incentives have changed a whole lot. You know, most builders these days with the thirty year rate around seven, you know, most people are 150, 250 basis point below that generate the traffic and the sales we want. So I don't think that's changed a whole lot.

Jay McCanless
MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Okay. Great. That's all I had. Thanks, guys.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

Thanks, Jay. Thanks, Jay.

Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions. I will turn the call back over to Phil Creek for closing comments.

Phillip Creek
EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes

Thank you for joining us. Look forward to talking to you next quarter.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and we ask that you please disconnect your lines.

Executives
Analysts
    • Phillip Creek
      EVP, CFO & Director at M/I Homes
    • Derek Klutch
      President & CEO at M/I Financial
    • Alan Ratner
      Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC
    • Kenneth Zener
      Senior Analyst - Housing Sector at Seaport Research Partners
    • Buck Horne
      Managing Director at Raymond James Financial
    • Jay McCanless
      MD - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities