Northland Capmk Forecasts BigBear.ai Q1 Earnings

Key Points

• Analysts from Northland Capital Markets predict that BigBear.ai will report a Q1 2026 earnings per share of ($0.05), consistent with their estimates for Q2, Q3, and Q4 of the same year.
• BigBear.ai's recent earnings report showed a loss of ($0.06) EPS, which surpassed analysts' expectations, but revenue of $32.47 million was significantly below the forecast of $41.18 million.
• HC Wainwright has downgraded BigBear.ai's stock price target from $9.00 to $8.00 while maintaining a "buy" rating.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Free Report) - Northland Capmk issued their Q1 2026 EPS estimates for BigBear.ai in a research note issued to investors on Monday, August 11th. Northland Capmk analyst M. Latimore expects that the company will post earnings of ($0.05) per share for the quarter. The consensus estimate for BigBear.ai's current full-year earnings is ($0.28) per share. Northland Capmk also issued estimates for BigBear.ai's Q2 2026 earnings at ($0.05) EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at ($0.04) EPS and Q4 2026 earnings at ($0.04) EPS.

Separately, HC Wainwright lowered their price objective on BigBear.ai from $9.00 to $8.00 and set a "buy" rating for the company in a research report on Tuesday.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

Shares of BigBear.ai stock traded up $0.31 during trading on Wednesday, reaching $6.15. The company's stock had a trading volume of 71,589,947 shares, compared to its average volume of 88,592,256. The stock has a 50-day moving average price of $6.23 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $4.89. The company has a current ratio of 1.91, a quick ratio of 1.66 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42. BigBear.ai has a one year low of $1.24 and a one year high of $10.36. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.79 billion, a P/E ratio of -4.27 and a beta of 3.44.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Monday, August 11th. The company reported ($0.06) EPS for the quarter, topping analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.07) by $0.01. The firm had revenue of $32.47 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $41.18 million. BigBear.ai had a negative return on equity of 48.11% and a negative net margin of 269.28%. The firm's revenue was down 18.3% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the prior year, the company posted ($0.06) earnings per share.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On BigBear.ai

Hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC raised its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 68.4% during the 2nd quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 6,222 shares of the company's stock valued at $42,000 after purchasing an additional 2,527 shares during the period. Flaharty Asset Management LLC purchased a new stake in BigBear.ai during the 1st quarter valued at about $26,000. Allworth Financial LP boosted its holdings in BigBear.ai by 36.6% during the 2nd quarter. Allworth Financial LP now owns 9,765 shares of the company's stock valued at $66,000 after acquiring an additional 2,615 shares during the period. City State Bank purchased a new stake in BigBear.ai during the 1st quarter valued at about $29,000. Finally, Cornerstone Wealth Management LLC purchased a new stake in BigBear.ai in the 1st quarter worth approximately $29,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 7.55% of the company's stock.

Insider Activity

In related news, CFO Julie Peffer sold 50,000 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, May 27th. The stock was sold at an average price of $4.40, for a total value of $220,000.00. Following the sale, the chief financial officer directly owned 634,153 shares of the company's stock, valued at $2,790,273.20. This trade represents a 7.31% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Company insiders own 1.10% of the company's stock.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. It offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. The company also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services.