Analysts Set Expectations for Alcoa's Q3 Earnings (NYSE:AA)

Key Points

• B. Riley has significantly reduced its Q3 2025 earnings per share estimate for Alcoa from $0.70 to $0.04, while maintaining a "Buy" rating and a price target of $40.00.
• Alcoa recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share, which equates to an annualized dividend of $0.40 and a yield of 1.3%.
• Despite recent downgrades from various analysts, Alcoa still holds an average rating of "Hold" with a target price around $42.27, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Alcoa (NYSE:AA - Free Report) - Equities research analysts at B. Riley dropped their Q3 2025 earnings per share estimates for shares of Alcoa in a research note issued on Tuesday, September 23rd. B. Riley analyst N. Giles now anticipates that the industrial products company will post earnings of $0.04 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $0.70. B. Riley has a "Buy" rating and a $40.00 price target on the stock. The consensus estimate for Alcoa's current full-year earnings is $4.43 per share. B. Riley also issued estimates for Alcoa's Q4 2025 earnings at $0.52 EPS, FY2025 earnings at $3.11 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $2.62 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $2.89 EPS.

Alcoa (NYSE:AA - Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 16th. The industrial products company reported $0.39 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts' consensus estimates of $0.29 by $0.10. The business had revenue of $3.02 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $2.96 billion. Alcoa had a return on equity of 19.18% and a net margin of 7.86%.Alcoa's quarterly revenue was up 3.9% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company posted $0.16 EPS.

A number of other equities research analysts have also weighed in on AA. Morgan Stanley reduced their target price on shares of Alcoa from $40.00 to $38.00 and set an "overweight" rating on the stock in a report on Friday, July 18th. Citigroup upgraded shares of Alcoa to a "buy" rating and set a $42.00 price target on the stock in a report on Tuesday, July 8th. Wall Street Zen cut shares of Alcoa from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a research note on Sunday, June 22nd. Bank of America boosted their price objective on shares of Alcoa from $26.00 to $27.00 and gave the stock an "underperform" rating in a research note on Thursday, July 17th. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. reduced their price objective on shares of Alcoa from $28.00 to $27.00 and set a "neutral" rating on the stock in a research note on Thursday, July 17th. Six investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, four have given a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company has an average rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $42.27.

Alcoa Stock Performance

NYSE:AA opened at $31.23 on Thursday. The stock has a market cap of $8.08 billion, a P/E ratio of 8.15, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.18 and a beta of 2.26. The company has a current ratio of 1.65, a quick ratio of 0.97 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41. The stock's 50-day moving average is $31.16 and its 200-day moving average is $29.34. Alcoa has a 1-year low of $21.53 and a 1-year high of $47.77.

Alcoa Announces Dividend

The company also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, August 28th. Shareholders of record on Tuesday, August 12th were given a dividend of $0.10 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, August 12th. This represents a $0.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 1.3%. Alcoa's dividend payout ratio is 10.44%.

Institutional Trading of Alcoa

A number of institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the company. IFP Advisors Inc boosted its position in shares of Alcoa by 1,096.0% during the 2nd quarter. IFP Advisors Inc now owns 897 shares of the industrial products company's stock valued at $26,000 after purchasing an additional 822 shares in the last quarter. Versant Capital Management Inc boosted its holdings in shares of Alcoa by 134.7% during the 1st quarter. Versant Capital Management Inc now owns 906 shares of the industrial products company's stock worth $28,000 after buying an additional 520 shares in the last quarter. Horrell Capital Management Inc. bought a new position in shares of Alcoa during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $30,000. Montag A & Associates Inc. bought a new position in shares of Alcoa during the 1st quarter worth approximately $40,000. Finally, Quarry LP bought a new position in shares of Alcoa during the 1st quarter worth approximately $57,000.

About Alcoa

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It engages in bauxite mining operations; and processes bauxite into alumina and sells it to customers who process it into industrial chemical products, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses.

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