Barrington Research Has Negative Outlook of NCMI Q3 Earnings

Key Points

• Barrington Research has downgraded its Q3 2025 earnings per share estimate for National CineMedia to (-$0.04), down from a previous estimate of (–$0.02), signaling a negative outlook on the company’s performance.
• National CineMedia's stock currently holds an average rating of "Hold" with a target price of $6.90, according to recent assessments from various equity research analysts.
• Institutional investors significantly invested in National CineMedia recently, with GAMMA Investing LLC increasing its position by 502% in the first quarter, indicating growing institutional interest in the company.

National CineMedia, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCMI - Free Report) - Stock analysts at Barrington Research reduced their Q3 2025 earnings per share estimates for National CineMedia in a report issued on Thursday, October 16th. Barrington Research analyst P. Sholl now expects that the business services provider will earn ($0.04) per share for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of ($0.02). The consensus estimate for National CineMedia's current full-year earnings is ($0.12) per share. Barrington Research also issued estimates for National CineMedia's Q4 2026 earnings at $0.23 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $0.09 EPS.

A number of other equities research analysts have also weighed in on the stock. Wedbush set a $7.00 price objective on shares of National CineMedia and gave the stock an "outperform" rating in a report on Monday, August 4th. Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell (d+)" rating on shares of National CineMedia in a research note on Wednesday, October 8th. Benchmark reduced their price target on National CineMedia from $8.00 to $7.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, June 25th. Finally, Zacks Research raised National CineMedia from a "strong sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a research note on Wednesday, September 3rd. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, three have assigned a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $6.90.

National CineMedia Price Performance

NCMI stock opened at $4.25 on Monday. The firm has a 50 day simple moving average of $4.49 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $4.96. The stock has a market cap of $398.31 million, a PE ratio of -20.24 and a beta of 1.90. National CineMedia has a one year low of $4.03 and a one year high of $7.60.

National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI - Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Tuesday, August 5th. The business services provider reported ($0.11) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, hitting the consensus estimate of ($0.11). The firm had revenue of $51.80 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $59.45 million. National CineMedia had a negative return on equity of 3.51% and a negative net margin of 8.62%. National CineMedia has set its Q3 2025 guidance at EPS.

Institutional Trading of National CineMedia

Institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in the business. GAMMA Investing LLC lifted its position in shares of National CineMedia by 502.0% in the first quarter. GAMMA Investing LLC now owns 5,081 shares of the business services provider's stock worth $30,000 after buying an additional 4,237 shares in the last quarter. Oppenheimer Asset Management Inc. lifted its holdings in National CineMedia by 12.4% during the 1st quarter. Oppenheimer Asset Management Inc. now owns 73,528 shares of the business services provider's stock valued at $429,000 after buying an additional 8,104 shares in the last quarter. CWM LLC boosted its holdings in shares of National CineMedia by 66.9% in the first quarter. CWM LLC now owns 14,873 shares of the business services provider's stock valued at $87,000 after purchasing an additional 5,961 shares during the period. Victory Capital Management Inc. grew its holdings in National CineMedia by 64.1% during the 1st quarter. Victory Capital Management Inc. now owns 165,237 shares of the business services provider's stock worth $965,000 after acquiring an additional 64,538 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda purchased a new position in National CineMedia during the first quarter valued at approximately $63,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 69.49% of the company's stock.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In related news, EVP Maria Vg Woods sold 9,039 shares of the company's stock in a transaction on Tuesday, September 30th. The stock was sold at an average price of $4.44, for a total transaction of $40,133.16. Following the completion of the sale, the executive vice president owned 118,998 shares in the company, valued at approximately $528,351.12. This represents a 7.06% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. 1.40% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.

National CineMedia Announces Dividend

The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, August 29th. Stockholders of record on Friday, August 15th were paid a $0.03 dividend. The ex-dividend date was Friday, August 15th. This represents a $0.12 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 2.8%. National CineMedia's payout ratio is currently -57.14%.

About National CineMedia

National CineMedia, Inc, through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies.

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