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Canadian Natural Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

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Key Points

  • Record production and earnings: Canadian Natural Resources’ second-quarter production rose 18% year over year to approximately 1.677 million BOE per day, while adjusted net earnings reached C$4.6 billion and adjusted funds flow hit a record C$6.9 billion.
  • Higher guidance and shareholder returns: The company raised its 2026 production guidance midpoint by 20,000 BOE per day, returned C$2.4 billion directly to shareholders in the quarter, and reduced net debt by C$1.6 billion.
  • Expansion projects remain paused: Medium- and long-term growth projects, including Jackfish, Pike 2 and additional mining developments, will remain on hold until definitive regulatory and fiscal agreements are completed, targeted for this fall.
  • MarketBeat previews top five stocks to own in September.

Canadian Natural Resources NYSE: CNQ reported record second-quarter production, adjusted earnings and adjusted funds flow, supported by strong oil sands performance, higher output from acquired assets and favorable pricing for synthetic crude oil.

President Scott Stauth said the company set eight operational and financial records during the quarter, citing operational execution, capital efficiency and continuous-improvement initiatives across its asset base. Total corporate production reached approximately 1.677 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 18% from the same period a year earlier.

Oil Sands Output Reaches Record Level

Oil sands mining and upgrading production averaged about 625,000 barrels per day in the second quarter, the highest quarterly level in the company’s history. The result came despite challenging spring weather, including snowmelt and heavy rain, according to Stauth.

Production from the oil sands mining and upgrading business increased approximately 161,000 barrels per day, or 35%, from the second quarter of 2025. Canadian Natural attributed the increase to operating performance, its additional working interest in the AOSP mines acquired during the fourth quarter of 2025, and the completion of the AOSP turnaround last year.

Upgrader utilization averaged 106% in the quarter. Stauth said the company remains focused on optimizing capacity and obtaining incremental “creep” production from its upgrading facilities, though he said it was premature to formally reassess facility capacity ratings.

Synthetic crude oil, or SCO, captured an average premium of $8.37 per barrel to WTI during the quarter. Combined with oil sands mining and upgrading operating costs of C$22.19 per barrel, that produced a record per-barrel netback of about C$78, Stauth said.

During the question-and-answer session, Stauth said SCO pricing is dependent in part on demand for diesel production. He said he expects SCO pricing to remain at parity with, or modestly above, WTI through the remainder of the year, while noting the uncertainty around commodity pricing.

Broader Production Growth and Higher Guidance

Total liquids production reached a record approximately 1.249 million barrels per day, an increase of 23% from a year earlier. Canadian Natural said roughly two-thirds of its liquids output consisted of high-value SCO, light crude oil and natural gas liquids.

  • North American conventional E&P liquids production reached approximately 338,000 barrels per day, up 25% year over year.
  • North American light crude oil and NGL production totaled approximately 205,000 barrels per day, up 45% from the second quarter of 2025.
  • Jackfish thermal in-situ production reached a record approximately 136,000 barrels per day, exceeding its 120,000-barrel-per-day nameplate capacity.
  • Two new SAGD pads at Pike 1 averaged about 46,000 barrels per day, with a steam-to-oil ratio of 1.8.

The company increased its 2026 annual production guidance range for the second time this year. Canadian Natural now expects production of 1.637 million to 1.682 million BOE per day, representing a 20,000-BOE-per-day increase at the midpoint of its prior range. Its operating capital program remains unchanged at about C$6 billion before net acquisition costs.

Stauth also said sulfur production generated net revenue of approximately C$450 million during the first half of 2026. The company produces about 30% of Canada’s sulfur supply, he said.

Record Cash Flow Supports Returns and Debt Reduction

Chief Financial Officer Victor Darel said adjusted net earnings were C$4.6 billion, or C$2.20 per share, while adjusted funds flow totaled C$6.9 billion, or about C$3.30 per share. Both figures were records for the company, according to Darel.

Canadian Natural returned approximately C$4 billion to shareholders and through debt reduction in the second quarter. Direct shareholder returns totaled C$2.4 billion, including C$1.3 billion in dividends and C$1.1 billion in share repurchases. The company also reduced net debt by C$1.6 billion during the quarter.

Year-to-date direct shareholder returns exceeded C$5.7 billion. The board approved a quarterly dividend of C$0.525 per common share, payable Oct. 2 to shareholders of record as of Sept. 11. Darel said 2026 marks the company’s 26th consecutive year of dividend increases.

The company’s buyback program currently targets 75% of free cash flow, calculated as funds flow after dividends, capital and abandonment expenditures. Darel said liquidity stood at approximately C$8 billion, supported by cash flow and undrawn credit facilities.

Responding to an analyst’s question on leverage, Darel said he was targeting the company’s C$13 billion net-debt objective in early 2027 based on prevailing pricing, while noting that commodity prices can fluctuate. Reaching that target would enable the company to direct 100% of free cash flow to its share buyback program, he said. Stauth added that the company has a turnaround planned for the third quarter and into early fourth quarter.

Growth Projects Remain on Hold Pending Agreements

Stauth discussed a recent trilateral memorandum of understanding among the Oil Sands Alliance, the Alberta government and the federal government. He described the MoU as a positive first step toward a regulatory and fiscal framework intended to support the long-term competitiveness of Canada’s energy sector, additional export capacity and a pathway for reducing greenhouse-gas emissions.

However, Canadian Natural said medium- and long-term development projects remain on hold until definitive agreements are completed, which are targeted for this fall. Projects affected include a 30,000-barrel-per-day Jackfish project, the 70,000-barrel-per-day Pike 2 project, and longer-term mining growth projects at Albian and Horizon.

Stauth said future capital deployment would be subject to the company’s broader capital-allocation approach and would not come at the expense of shareholder returns. He said any growth projects that proceed would need to generate strong returns at mid-cycle pricing.

About Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:CNQ)

Canadian Natural Resources Limited NYSE: CNQ is a Calgary-based independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company. Established in the early 1970s and publicly listed in Canada and the United States, the company is principally engaged in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. Its asset base spans conventional and unconventional reservoirs and includes oil sands mining and in-situ thermal projects, midstream processing and upgrading capacity, and related field operations.

The company's operations are concentrated in Western Canada, where it develops heavy crude, bitumen from oil sands and conventional light crude and natural gas resources.

This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to contact@marketbeat.com.

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