Murphy Oil Q4 EPS Estimate Reduced by Capital One Financial

Key Points

• Capital One Financial has lowered its earnings estimates for Murphy Oil's Q4 2025 EPS from $0.51 to $0.40, reflecting a more conservative outlook for the oil and gas producer.
• Despite the earnings cut, Murphy Oil reported a Q2 profit of $0.27 per share, exceeding expectations, with revenue of $695.57 million, which was higher than analysts had predicted.
• The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.325, translating to an annualized yield of 5.3%, which demonstrates its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Murphy Oil Corporation (NYSE:MUR - Free Report) - Analysts at Capital One Financial lowered their Q4 2025 EPS estimates for shares of Murphy Oil in a research note issued on Wednesday, August 27th. Capital One Financial analyst B. Velie now expects that the oil and gas producer will post earnings per share of $0.40 for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of $0.51. The consensus estimate for Murphy Oil's current full-year earnings is $2.94 per share. Capital One Financial also issued estimates for Murphy Oil's Q1 2026 earnings at $0.40 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $0.44 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $0.42 EPS and Q4 2026 earnings at $0.38 EPS.

MUR has been the subject of several other research reports. Roth Capital cut Murphy Oil from a "buy" rating to a "neutral" rating and decreased their target price for the stock from $27.00 to $25.00 in a research note on Thursday, May 15th. Wells Fargo & Company set a $24.00 target price on Murphy Oil and gave the company an "equal weight" rating in a research note on Thursday, June 26th. Johnson Rice lowered Murphy Oil from an "accumulate" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Wednesday, May 21st. Mizuho lowered Murphy Oil from an "outperform" rating to a "neutral" rating and cut their price target for the stock from $32.00 to $31.00 in a report on Tuesday, May 13th. Finally, Barclays raised their price objective on Murphy Oil from $22.00 to $23.00 and gave the company an "underweight" rating in a research note on Monday, July 7th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, eleven have issued a Hold rating and two have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, Murphy Oil currently has an average rating of "Reduce" and a consensus price target of $29.69.

Murphy Oil Trading Up 0.7%

MUR traded up $0.18 during trading on Friday, reaching $24.93. 1,395,750 shares of the stock traded hands, compared to its average volume of 2,286,989. The company has a quick ratio of 0.77, a current ratio of 0.84 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28. The stock's 50-day moving average is $24.21 and its 200 day moving average is $23.93. Murphy Oil has a 12 month low of $18.94 and a 12 month high of $38.08. The stock has a market capitalization of $3.56 billion, a PE ratio of 12.92 and a beta of 1.15.

Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, August 6th. The oil and gas producer reported $0.27 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.21 by $0.06. The company had revenue of $695.57 million during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $632.51 million. Murphy Oil had a net margin of 10.20% and a return on equity of 5.25%. Murphy Oil's revenue for the quarter was down 13.4% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period in the prior year, the company posted $0.81 earnings per share.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in MUR. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP increased its stake in Murphy Oil by 0.5% in the 1st quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP now owns 7,974,008 shares of the oil and gas producer's stock valued at $226,461,000 after buying an additional 35,826 shares during the last quarter. Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. grew its holdings in shares of Murphy Oil by 1.6% in the second quarter. Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. now owns 5,700,148 shares of the oil and gas producer's stock valued at $128,253,000 after acquiring an additional 89,382 shares in the last quarter. Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC increased its position in shares of Murphy Oil by 72.9% during the first quarter. Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC now owns 4,812,267 shares of the oil and gas producer's stock valued at $136,668,000 after acquiring an additional 2,029,685 shares during the last quarter. Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership increased its position in shares of Murphy Oil by 7.0% during the second quarter. Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership now owns 4,766,534 shares of the oil and gas producer's stock valued at $107,247,000 after acquiring an additional 312,904 shares during the last quarter. Finally, LSV Asset Management lifted its holdings in Murphy Oil by 3.3% during the second quarter. LSV Asset Management now owns 3,751,712 shares of the oil and gas producer's stock worth $84,414,000 after acquiring an additional 118,689 shares during the period. 78.31% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Murphy Oil Announces Dividend

The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, September 2nd. Investors of record on Monday, August 18th will be given a $0.325 dividend. This represents a $1.30 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 5.2%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Monday, August 18th. Murphy Oil's dividend payout ratio is presently 67.36%.

About Murphy Oil

Murphy Oil Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company was formerly known as Murphy Corporation and changed its name to Murphy Oil Corporation in 1964.