Roth Capital Has Pessimistic Outlook of Mattel Q3 Earnings

Key Points

• Roth Capital downgraded its Q3 2025 EPS estimate for Mattel from $1.15 to $1.06, maintaining a "Neutral" rating with a price target of $22.00.
• Mattel reported Q2 earnings of $0.19 per share, exceeding estimates, but saw a 5.7% decline in revenue year-over-year, totaling $1.02 billion.
• Institutional investors show strong interest, with hedge funds and other institutions holding 97.15% of Mattel's stock, reflecting significant confidence in the company.

Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT - Free Report) - Analysts at Roth Capital reduced their Q3 2025 EPS estimates for shares of Mattel in a research note issued to investors on Thursday, July 24th. Roth Capital analyst E. Handler now anticipates that the company will earn $1.06 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $1.15. Roth Capital has a "Neutral" rating and a $22.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for Mattel's current full-year earnings is $1.70 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Mattel's Q4 2025 earnings at $0.41 EPS, FY2025 earnings at $1.63 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $1.90 EPS.

Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, July 23rd. The company reported $0.19 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.16 by $0.03. The firm had revenue of $1.02 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $1.09 billion. Mattel had a net margin of 9.87% and a return on equity of 25.19%. Mattel's quarterly revenue was down 5.7% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business earned $0.19 earnings per share.

Other research analysts have also recently issued reports about the stock. Wall Street Zen cut shares of Mattel from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Friday, June 27th. Morgan Stanley raised their target price on shares of Mattel from $16.00 to $17.00 and gave the stock an "equal weight" rating in a report on Tuesday, May 6th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised their target price on shares of Mattel from $23.00 to $25.00 and gave the stock a "neutral" rating in a report on Thursday. The Goldman Sachs Group decreased their price objective on shares of Mattel from $24.00 to $21.00 and set a "buy" rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday, May 7th. Finally, Citigroup raised their price objective on shares of Mattel from $22.00 to $24.00 and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a research note on Monday, June 16th. Four equities research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating and five have issued a buy rating to the company's stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $24.38.

Mattel Stock Performance

MAT traded up $0.36 on Friday, hitting $17.80. 1,841,953 shares of the company's stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 4,115,258. The stock has a fifty day moving average of $19.37 and a two-hundred day moving average of $18.88. Mattel has a twelve month low of $13.94 and a twelve month high of $22.07. The firm has a market cap of $5.75 billion, a PE ratio of 11.49, a P/E/G ratio of 2.14 and a beta of 0.66. The company has a current ratio of 1.62, a quick ratio of 1.12 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the company. Trust Co. of Vermont grew its holdings in Mattel by 995.8% during the first quarter. Trust Co. of Vermont now owns 1,315 shares of the company's stock valued at $26,000 after purchasing an additional 1,195 shares during the period. Parallel Advisors LLC boosted its holdings in shares of Mattel by 189.9% in the second quarter. Parallel Advisors LLC now owns 1,609 shares of the company's stock valued at $32,000 after buying an additional 1,054 shares during the period. IFP Advisors Inc boosted its holdings in shares of Mattel by 90.6% in the second quarter. IFP Advisors Inc now owns 2,215 shares of the company's stock valued at $44,000 after buying an additional 1,053 shares during the period. Fifth Third Bancorp boosted its holdings in shares of Mattel by 52.9% in the first quarter. Fifth Third Bancorp now owns 2,780 shares of the company's stock valued at $54,000 after buying an additional 962 shares during the period. Finally, Quarry LP boosted its holdings in shares of Mattel by 130.3% in the fourth quarter. Quarry LP now owns 3,148 shares of the company's stock valued at $56,000 after buying an additional 1,781 shares during the period. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 97.15% of the company's stock.

About Mattel

Mattel, Inc, a toy and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, and markets toys and consumer products in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through North America, International, and American Girl segments. It offers dolls and accessories, as well as books, content, gaming, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess and Disney Frozen, Monster High, and Polly Pocket brands; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids, adults, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks, Hot Wheels Mario Kart, Matchbox, and Cars brand names; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising content, toys, live events, and other consumer products under the Fisher-Price, Little People and Imaginext, and Thomas & Friends, and Power wheels brands.