Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) Updates Q3 2025 Earnings Guidance

Key Points

• Geo Group has updated its Q3 2025 earnings guidance, projecting earnings per share between $0.200 and $0.230, which is lower than the consensus estimate of $0.267.
• Research analysts have mixed opinions on Geo Group, with some downgrading their price objectives while others have upgraded ratings; the stock currently holds a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy".
• During trading hours, Geo Group's stock price fell by 2.1% to $22.40, with a market cap of $3.17 billion and strong institutional interest, as 76.10% of shares are held by institutional investors.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) issued an update on its third quarter 2025 earnings guidance on Thursday morning. The company provided EPS guidance of 0.200-0.230 for the period, compared to the consensus EPS estimate of 0.267. The company issued revenue guidance of $650.0 million-$660.0 million, compared to the consensus revenue estimate of $658.6 million. Geo Group also updated its FY 2025 guidance to 0.840-0.940 EPS.

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

Several analysts recently commented on GEO shares. Wedbush restated an "outperform" rating and set a $36.00 price target on shares of Geo Group in a report on Monday, June 23rd. Jones Trading decreased their target price on shares of Geo Group from $50.00 to $45.00 and set a "buy" rating for the company in a research note on Thursday. Finally, Wall Street Zen raised Geo Group from a "sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Friday, May 9th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and four have issued a buy rating to the company's stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $37.00.

Geo Group Stock Down 0.8%

Shares of NYSE:GEO traded down $0.18 on Friday, reaching $21.32. The company had a trading volume of 5,013,659 shares, compared to its average volume of 3,461,559. Geo Group has a twelve month low of $11.75 and a twelve month high of $36.46. The stock has a 50-day moving average price of $25.04 and a 200 day moving average price of $27.07. The stock has a market capitalization of $3.02 billion, a P/E ratio of 32.80, a P/E/G ratio of 2.42 and a beta of 0.75. The company has a quick ratio of 1.29, a current ratio of 0.90 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, August 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.22 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts' consensus estimates of $0.16 by $0.06. The firm had revenue of $636.17 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $621.55 million. Geo Group had a net margin of 3.69% and a return on equity of 7.26%. The business's revenue was up 4.8% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business earned $0.23 EPS. On average, equities analysts expect that Geo Group will post 0.83 EPS for the current year.

Geo Group declared that its Board of Directors has approved a share buyback plan on Wednesday, August 6th that authorizes the company to buyback $300.00 million in shares. This buyback authorization authorizes the real estate investment trust to reacquire up to 8.2% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares buyback plans are typically a sign that the company's board believes its shares are undervalued.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Geo Group

Several large investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in GEO. UBS AM A Distinct Business Unit of UBS Asset Management Americas LLC raised its position in Geo Group by 168.0% in the first quarter. UBS AM A Distinct Business Unit of UBS Asset Management Americas LLC now owns 284,975 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock worth $8,324,000 after purchasing an additional 178,622 shares in the last quarter. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. raised its holdings in shares of Geo Group by 4.6% in the 1st quarter. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. now owns 75,766 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock worth $2,213,000 after buying an additional 3,309 shares in the last quarter. United Services Automobile Association acquired a new position in shares of Geo Group in the 1st quarter worth approximately $260,000. Finally, NewEdge Advisors LLC raised its holdings in shares of Geo Group by 81.9% in the 1st quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 1,864 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock worth $54,000 after buying an additional 839 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 76.10% of the company's stock.

Geo Group Company Profile

The GEO Group, Inc NYSE: GEO engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.