HC Wainwright Predicts BigBear.ai's Q3 Earnings (NYSE:BBAI)

Key Points

• HC Wainwright has revised its Q3 2025 earnings estimate for BigBear.ai, forecasting a loss of ($0.07) per share, down from a previous estimate of ($0.05), while maintaining a "Buy" rating with a $8.00 price target.
• BigBear.ai recently reported a $32.47 million revenue for the quarter, falling short of analysts' expectations, and demonstrated a negative net margin of 269.28%.
• Institutional investors have shown increased interest in BigBear.ai, with Nisa Investment Advisors raising its stake by 68.4% in the second quarter.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Free Report) - HC Wainwright dropped their Q3 2025 earnings estimates for shares of BigBear.ai in a report released on Tuesday, August 12th. HC Wainwright analyst S. Buck now expects that the company will post earnings of ($0.07) per share for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of ($0.05). HC Wainwright currently has a "Buy" rating and a $8.00 price target on the stock. The consensus estimate for BigBear.ai's current full-year earnings is ($0.28) per share. HC Wainwright also issued estimates for BigBear.ai's Q4 2025 earnings at ($0.06) EPS, FY2025 earnings at ($0.94) EPS and FY2026 earnings at ($0.22) EPS.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Monday, August 11th. The company reported ($0.06) earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.07) by $0.01. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 269.28% and a negative return on equity of 48.11%. The company had revenue of $32.47 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $41.18 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.06) EPS. The firm's quarterly revenue was down 18.3% on a year-over-year basis.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

BBAI stock opened at $5.83 on Thursday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42, a current ratio of 1.91 and a quick ratio of 1.66. BigBear.ai has a 1 year low of $1.21 and a 1 year high of $10.36. The company has a 50 day simple moving average of $6.14 and a 200 day simple moving average of $4.86. The stock has a market cap of $1.70 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -4.05 and a beta of 3.44.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in BBAI. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC raised its position in shares of BigBear.ai by 68.4% in the second quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 6,222 shares of the company's stock valued at $42,000 after purchasing an additional 2,527 shares during the period. Flaharty Asset Management LLC bought a new position in shares of BigBear.ai during the 1st quarter valued at $26,000. Allworth Financial LP boosted its position in BigBear.ai by 36.6% during the 2nd quarter. Allworth Financial LP now owns 9,765 shares of the company's stock valued at $66,000 after buying an additional 2,615 shares during the period. City State Bank purchased a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai in the 1st quarter worth about $29,000. Finally, Cornerstone Wealth Management LLC bought a new position in shares of BigBear.ai in the 1st quarter worth about $29,000. 7.55% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In other news, CFO Julie Peffer sold 50,000 shares of BigBear.ai stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, May 27th. The shares were sold at an average price of $4.40, for a total transaction of $220,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief financial officer directly owned 634,153 shares in the company, valued at $2,790,273.20. This trade represents a 7.31% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Company insiders own 1.10% of the company's stock.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. It offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. The company also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services.

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