Northland Capmk Predicts Geo Group FY2026 Earnings

Key Points

• Northland Capital Markets predicts that Geo Group will post earnings of $1.41 per share for FY2026, significantly higher than the current consensus estimate of $0.83 per share.
• The company's board has initiated a $300 million stock repurchase program, indicating confidence in the company's share valuation.
• Geo Group's recent quarterly earnings report revealed a profit of $0.22 per share, surpassing expectations and showcasing a 4.8% year-over-year revenue increase.

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO - Free Report) - Analysts at Northland Capmk issued their FY2026 earnings estimates for shares of Geo Group in a research note issued on Thursday, August 7th. Northland Capmk analyst G. Gibas forecasts that the real estate investment trust will post earnings of $1.41 per share for the year. The consensus estimate for Geo Group's current full-year earnings is $0.83 per share.

Several other equities analysts have also weighed in on GEO. Wedbush restated an "outperform" rating and issued a $36.00 price target on shares of Geo Group in a research note on Monday, June 23rd. Wall Street Zen upgraded Geo Group from a "sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Friday, May 9th. Finally, Jones Trading lowered their target price on Geo Group from $50.00 to $45.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a report on Thursday. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and four have issued a buy rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $37.00.

Geo Group Stock Performance

Shares of NYSE GEO traded up $0.03 during trading on Friday, reaching $21.53. 1,278,333 shares of the company traded hands, compared to its average volume of 3,066,222. The company has a current ratio of 0.90, a quick ratio of 1.29 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07. Geo Group has a 12-month low of $11.75 and a 12-month high of $36.46. The firm's fifty day simple moving average is $25.16 and its 200 day simple moving average is $27.16. The stock has a market cap of $3.04 billion, a P/E ratio of 33.27, a PEG ratio of 2.51 and a beta of 0.75.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, August 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.22 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of $0.16 by $0.06. The business had revenue of $636.17 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $621.55 million. Geo Group had a return on equity of 7.26% and a net margin of 3.69%. The company's revenue was up 4.8% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter last year, the business posted $0.23 EPS.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of large investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. NewEdge Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Geo Group during the fourth quarter worth $29,000. Twin Tree Management LP acquired a new stake in shares of Geo Group during the first quarter worth about $39,000. NBC Securities Inc. acquired a new stake in Geo Group in the first quarter valued at about $58,000. Covestor Ltd lifted its position in Geo Group by 19.8% in the first quarter. Covestor Ltd now owns 2,653 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $77,000 after purchasing an additional 438 shares during the period. Finally, Militia Capital Partners LP acquired a new stake in Geo Group in the first quarter valued at about $91,000. 76.10% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Geo Group announced that its board has initiated a stock repurchase program on Wednesday, August 6th that allows the company to buyback $300.00 million in outstanding shares. This buyback authorization allows the real estate investment trust to buy up to 8.2% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock buyback programs are typically a sign that the company's leadership believes its shares are undervalued.

About Geo Group

The GEO Group, Inc NYSE: GEO engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.

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