Q3 Earnings Forecast for Geo Group Issued By Noble Financial

Key Points

• Noble Financial raised its Q3 2025 earnings estimate for Geo Group to $0.22 per share, up from a previous forecast of $0.20.
• The company recently authorized a $300 million stock repurchase plan, indicating that the board believes the shares are undervalued.
• Geo Group's stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" with a target price of $37.00 based on various analysts' reports.

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO - Free Report) - Stock analysts at Noble Financial lifted their Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Geo Group in a report issued on Thursday, August 7th. Noble Financial analyst J. Gomes now forecasts that the real estate investment trust will post earnings of $0.22 per share for the quarter, up from their prior estimate of $0.20. The consensus estimate for Geo Group's current full-year earnings is $0.83 per share. Noble Financial also issued estimates for Geo Group's Q4 2025 earnings at $0.29 EPS, FY2025 earnings at $0.88 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $1.85 EPS.

Other equities research analysts have also recently issued research reports about the company. Wall Street Zen raised Geo Group from a "sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Friday, May 9th. Wedbush reissued an "outperform" rating and set a $36.00 target price on shares of Geo Group in a report on Monday, June 23rd. Finally, Jones Trading dropped their target price on Geo Group from $50.00 to $45.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, August 7th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and four have assigned a buy rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, Geo Group currently has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus target price of $37.00.

Geo Group Price Performance

NYSE:GEO traded up $0.35 during midday trading on Monday, hitting $20.99. 1,364,781 shares of the stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 3,103,258. Geo Group has a one year low of $11.75 and a one year high of $36.46. The company has a market capitalization of $2.97 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.12, a P/E/G ratio of 2.26 and a beta of 0.75. The business has a 50-day moving average price of $24.66 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $26.80. The company has a current ratio of 0.90, a quick ratio of 0.90 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, August 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.22 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of $0.16 by $0.06. Geo Group had a return on equity of 7.26% and a net margin of 3.69%. The company had revenue of $636.17 million for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $621.55 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company posted $0.23 earnings per share. The business's revenue for the quarter was up 4.8% compared to the same quarter last year.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of GEO. Continental General Insurance Co. increased its holdings in shares of Geo Group by 919.8% in the second quarter. Continental General Insurance Co. now owns 3,904,474 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $93,512,000 after buying an additional 3,521,589 shares in the last quarter. Wellington Management Group LLP increased its holdings in shares of Geo Group by 312.7% in the first quarter. Wellington Management Group LLP now owns 2,608,619 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $76,198,000 after buying an additional 1,976,544 shares in the last quarter. Point72 Asset Management L.P. increased its holdings in shares of Geo Group by 202.6% in the fourth quarter. Point72 Asset Management L.P. now owns 2,124,783 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $59,451,000 after buying an additional 1,422,676 shares in the last quarter. Newbrook Capital Advisors LP bought a new position in shares of Geo Group in the fourth quarter valued at $35,738,000. Finally, BlueCrest Capital Management Ltd bought a new position in shares of Geo Group in the fourth quarter valued at $34,456,000. Institutional investors own 76.10% of the company's stock.

Geo Group declared that its board has initiated a stock buyback plan on Wednesday, August 6th that authorizes the company to repurchase $300.00 million in outstanding shares. This repurchase authorization authorizes the real estate investment trust to reacquire up to 8.2% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares repurchase plans are usually a sign that the company's board believes its shares are undervalued.

Geo Group Company Profile

The GEO Group, Inc NYSE: GEO engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.