Q3 Earnings Forecast for Geo Group Issued By Noble Financial

Key Points

• Noble Financial raised its Q3 2025 earnings estimate for Geo Group to $0.22 per share, up from a previous forecast of $0.20.
• The company recently authorized a $300 million stock repurchase plan, indicating that the board believes the shares are undervalued.
• Geo Group's stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" with a target price of $37.00 based on various analysts' reports.

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO - Free Report) - Investment analysts at Noble Financial boosted their Q3 2025 earnings per share estimates for shares of Geo Group in a report released on Thursday, August 7th. Noble Financial analyst J. Gomes now expects that the real estate investment trust will post earnings per share of $0.22 for the quarter, up from their prior estimate of $0.20. The consensus estimate for Geo Group's current full-year earnings is $0.83 per share. Noble Financial also issued estimates for Geo Group's Q4 2025 earnings at $0.29 EPS, FY2025 earnings at $0.88 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $1.85 EPS.

GEO has been the topic of several other reports. Jones Trading lowered their target price on Geo Group from $50.00 to $45.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a research report on Thursday, August 7th. Wedbush restated an "outperform" rating and set a $36.00 price objective on shares of Geo Group in a report on Monday, June 23rd. Finally, Wall Street Zen upgraded Geo Group from a "sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Friday, May 9th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and four have given a buy rating to the company's stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average target price of $37.00.

Geo Group Stock Performance

Shares of GEO traded down $0.25 during trading hours on Monday, hitting $20.57. The stock had a trading volume of 1,578,880 shares, compared to its average volume of 3,107,527. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, a current ratio of 0.90 and a quick ratio of 0.90. Geo Group has a 12 month low of $11.75 and a 12 month high of $36.46. The firm has a market capitalization of $2.91 billion, a PE ratio of 31.61, a PEG ratio of 2.20 and a beta of 0.75. The stock has a fifty day moving average price of $24.78 and a 200 day moving average price of $26.84.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Wednesday, August 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.22 EPS for the quarter, topping analysts' consensus estimates of $0.16 by $0.06. Geo Group had a return on equity of 7.26% and a net margin of 3.69%. The business had revenue of $636.17 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $621.55 million. During the same quarter last year, the company earned $0.23 EPS. The company's quarterly revenue was up 4.8% compared to the same quarter last year.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Geo Group

Large investors have recently bought and sold shares of the company. NewEdge Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in Geo Group during the 4th quarter worth approximately $29,000. Twin Tree Management LP purchased a new stake in Geo Group during the 1st quarter worth approximately $39,000. NBC Securities Inc. purchased a new stake in Geo Group during the 1st quarter worth approximately $58,000. Covestor Ltd grew its position in shares of Geo Group by 19.8% in the first quarter. Covestor Ltd now owns 2,653 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $77,000 after purchasing an additional 438 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Militia Capital Partners LP purchased a new stake in shares of Geo Group in the first quarter valued at approximately $91,000. 76.10% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Geo Group announced that its board has initiated a share repurchase plan on Wednesday, August 6th that authorizes the company to repurchase $300.00 million in shares. This repurchase authorization authorizes the real estate investment trust to purchase up to 8.2% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock repurchase plans are typically a sign that the company's board of directors believes its shares are undervalued.

About Geo Group

The GEO Group, Inc NYSE: GEO engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.