Roth Capital Predicts Reduced Earnings for Matador Resources

Key Points

• Roth Capital has downgraded its earnings per share (EPS) forecast for Matador Resources for Q3 2025 to $1.15, down from a prior estimate of $1.49.
• Matador Resources will distribute a quarterly dividend of $0.375 per share, an increase from previous dividends, with a dividend yield of 3.5%.
• The stock currently maintains a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" with a target price of $66.36, despite recent price target adjustments from various analysts.

Matador Resources Company (NYSE:MTDR - Free Report) - Stock analysts at Roth Capital reduced their Q3 2025 EPS estimates for Matador Resources in a research note issued on Tuesday, October 14th. Roth Capital analyst L. Mariani now forecasts that the energy company will earn $1.15 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $1.49. The consensus estimate for Matador Resources' current full-year earnings is $8.53 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Matador Resources' Q4 2025 earnings at $0.91 EPS, FY2025 earnings at $5.59 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at $0.83 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $0.57 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $1.00 EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at $1.50 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $3.88 EPS.

Matador Resources (NYSE:MTDR - Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, July 22nd. The energy company reported $1.53 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of $1.29 by $0.24. The firm had revenue of $895.31 million during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $892.86 million. Matador Resources had a net margin of 22.57% and a return on equity of 16.53%. The business's quarterly revenue was up 8.2% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business posted $2.05 earnings per share.

A number of other research firms have also issued reports on MTDR. William Blair began coverage on Matador Resources in a report on Monday, August 25th. They issued an "outperform" rating for the company. Bank of America decreased their price objective on Matador Resources from $56.00 to $55.00 and set a "buy" rating for the company in a research note on Thursday. UBS Group cut their target price on shares of Matador Resources from $49.00 to $48.00 and set a "neutral" rating on the stock in a research note on Wednesday, August 20th. Royal Bank Of Canada lifted their price target on shares of Matador Resources from $60.00 to $62.00 and gave the stock an "outperform" rating in a research note on Wednesday, October 8th. Finally, Morgan Stanley dropped their price objective on shares of Matador Resources from $62.00 to $61.00 and set an "equal weight" rating on the stock in a research report on Tuesday. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twelve have issued a Buy rating and three have assigned a Hold rating to the company's stock. According to MarketBeat, the company presently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus price target of $66.36.

Matador Resources Stock Performance

Shares of MTDR stock opened at $42.95 on Friday. Matador Resources has a 52 week low of $35.19 and a 52 week high of $64.04. The firm has a 50 day moving average of $46.87 and a two-hundred day moving average of $46.24. The company has a quick ratio of 0.81, a current ratio of 0.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57. The stock has a market capitalization of $5.35 billion, a PE ratio of 6.29 and a beta of 1.41.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Matador Resources

A number of institutional investors and hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in MTDR. Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. boosted its stake in Matador Resources by 298.5% during the 2nd quarter. Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co. Ltd. now owns 534 shares of the energy company's stock worth $25,000 after purchasing an additional 400 shares during the period. Kestra Investment Management LLC increased its stake in Matador Resources by 225.2% in the second quarter. Kestra Investment Management LLC now owns 517 shares of the energy company's stock valued at $25,000 after purchasing an additional 358 shares during the period. MCF Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Matador Resources in the first quarter valued at about $26,000. MassMutual Private Wealth & Trust FSB boosted its stake in shares of Matador Resources by 93.0% during the second quarter. MassMutual Private Wealth & Trust FSB now owns 554 shares of the energy company's stock worth $26,000 after buying an additional 267 shares during the period. Finally, Allworth Financial LP increased its position in Matador Resources by 182.0% in the 2nd quarter. Allworth Financial LP now owns 564 shares of the energy company's stock valued at $27,000 after acquiring an additional 364 shares during the period. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 91.98% of the company's stock.

Insider Activity

In related news, EVP William Thomas Elsener bought 600 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, September 11th. The shares were purchased at an average cost of $48.46 per share, with a total value of $29,076.00. Following the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 112,069 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $5,430,863.74. This represents a 0.54% increase in their position. The purchase was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Also, CEO Joseph Wm Foran purchased 5,000 shares of Matador Resources stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, August 1st. The stock was bought at an average cost of $49.17 per share, with a total value of $245,850.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 6,606 shares of the company's stock, valued at $324,817.02. The trade was a 311.33% increase in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this purchase can be found here. In the last quarter, insiders purchased 11,380 shares of company stock worth $549,188. Corporate insiders own 5.80% of the company's stock.

Matador Resources Increases Dividend

The business also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, December 5th. Stockholders of record on Monday, November 10th will be issued a $0.375 dividend. This represents a $1.50 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 3.5%. The ex-dividend date is Monday, November 10th. This is a positive change from Matador Resources's previous quarterly dividend of $0.31. Matador Resources's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 18.30%.

Matador Resources Company Profile

Matador Resources Company, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. It operates through two segments, Exploration and Production; and Midstream. The company primarily holds interests in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas.

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