William Blair Has Negative Outlook for MNR Q3 Earnings

Key Points

• William Blair has lowered its Q3 2025 EPS estimate for Mach Natural Resources to $0.31 per share, down from $0.32, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating on the stock.
• Despite the lowered estimate, Mach Natural Resources reported a strong Q2 performance with earnings of $0.76 per share, exceeding analyst expectations significantly.
• The company recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.38 per share, yielding approximately 11.1% annually, reflecting strong investor returns amidst fluctuating earnings forecasts.

Mach Natural Resources LP (NYSE:MNR - Free Report) - Investment analysts at William Blair reduced their Q3 2025 earnings estimates for Mach Natural Resources in a note issued to investors on Wednesday, September 17th. William Blair analyst N. Dingmann now forecasts that the company will post earnings of $0.31 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $0.32. William Blair has a "Outperform" rating on the stock. The consensus estimate for Mach Natural Resources' current full-year earnings is $1.95 per share. William Blair also issued estimates for Mach Natural Resources' Q4 2025 earnings at $0.32 EPS.

Mach Natural Resources (NYSE:MNR - Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, August 7th. The company reported $0.76 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.53 by $0.23. Mach Natural Resources had a net margin of 20.83% and a return on equity of 23.23%. The business had revenue of $288.52 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $237.56 million.

Several other equities research analysts have also weighed in on the stock. Zacks Research upgraded shares of Mach Natural Resources from a "strong sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Friday, September 12th. Raymond James Financial reiterated a "strong-buy" rating on shares of Mach Natural Resources in a report on Monday, July 14th. KeyCorp initiated coverage on shares of Mach Natural Resources in a report on Wednesday, August 27th. They issued an "overweight" rating on the stock. Finally, Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Mach Natural Resources from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Saturday, July 26th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have assigned a Buy rating and one has given a Hold rating to the company's stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $23.00.

Mach Natural Resources Trading Down 0.8%

NYSE MNR traded down $0.10 during trading hours on Thursday, hitting $12.99. The company's stock had a trading volume of 245,310 shares, compared to its average volume of 216,775. The stock has a fifty day moving average of $14.29 and a 200 day moving average of $14.21. Mach Natural Resources has a twelve month low of $12.40 and a twelve month high of $19.00. The firm has a market capitalization of $1.54 billion, a P/E ratio of 6.70 and a beta of -0.07. The company has a quick ratio of 0.69, a current ratio of 0.79 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Mach Natural Resources

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in the stock. Parallel Advisors LLC raised its holdings in shares of Mach Natural Resources by 100.0% during the first quarter. Parallel Advisors LLC now owns 2,000 shares of the company's stock worth $31,000 after acquiring an additional 1,000 shares during the period. Chung Wu Investment Group LLC acquired a new stake in Mach Natural Resources in the 2nd quarter valued at $38,000. Cooksen Wealth LLC increased its stake in Mach Natural Resources by 87.5% in the 2nd quarter. Cooksen Wealth LLC now owns 2,635 shares of the company's stock valued at $38,000 after buying an additional 1,230 shares during the last quarter. State of Wyoming acquired a new stake in Mach Natural Resources in the 1st quarter valued at $108,000. Finally, Osaic Holdings Inc. increased its stake in Mach Natural Resources by 208.5% in the 2nd quarter. Osaic Holdings Inc. now owns 8,302 shares of the company's stock valued at $120,000 after buying an additional 5,611 shares during the last quarter. 78.36% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Insider Activity at Mach Natural Resources

In related news, Director William Wallace Mcmullen acquired 3,085 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, August 11th. The shares were acquired at an average cost of $14.39 per share, for a total transaction of $44,393.15. Following the completion of the acquisition, the director directly owned 74,816,024 shares in the company, valued at approximately $1,076,602,585.36. The trade was a 0.00% increase in their position. The purchase was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. 87.80% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.

Mach Natural Resources Announces Dividend

The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, September 4th. Investors of record on Thursday, August 21st were issued a dividend of $0.38 per share. This represents a $1.52 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 11.7%. The ex-dividend date was Thursday, August 21st. Mach Natural Resources's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 78.35%.

Mach Natural Resources Company Profile

Mach Natural Resources LP, an independent upstream oil and gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Anadarko Basin region of Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas, and the panhandle of Texas. It also owns a portfolio of midstream assets, as well as owns plants and water infrastructure.