Grab Holdings: Get a Grip Now—Explosive Upside Brewing

Key Points

• Grab Holdings is a super APP poised for explosive stock price action due to its growth trajectory and market dynamics.
• Institutions and short-sellers underpin increased trading activity, sustaining higher support levels in Q3 2025.
• The upcoming earnings release will catalyze a double-digit upside this year and triple-digit gains in the long term.

Grab Holdings' NASDAQ: GRAB stock price is setting up an explosive upside due to numerous factors, including its business model, position, growth, profitability, and market dynamics. The market dynamics include bullish analysts, institutional buying, and rising short interest that set the market up for a short-covering rally, provided a catalyst emerges.

The catalyst is likely the upcoming Q3 earnings report, in which another 20% growth pace is expected. The critical factors will be performance relative to the consensus, which is likely to be strong, and the profitability, which has been improving steadily. 

Grab Holding's stock price action is promising. The market made a solid move to higher levels in late 2024 and has sustained them since. The price action in 2025 shows support at the critical level, followed by a robust rebound and Golden Crossover in the moving averages.

The Golden Crossover is when the 30-day EMA moves above the longer-term 150-day EMA and reflects a shift in market dynamics. 

Grab Holdings Is a Super Buy for EM and High-Growth Exposure

What is Grab Holdings? It calls itself a super APP with technology servicing Southeast Asia. Its business revolves around ride-sharing/ride-hailing but extends to delivery, grocery, and financial services. The critical takeaways are that it is the leading app for regions outpacing global GDP growth in 2025 and is expected to remain strong in the upcoming years.

Southeast Asia is expected to grow at roughly 4.7% this year, with variance by country as macroeconomic headwinds are offset by domestic demand and tourism. 

The long-term outlook is for the region to sustain a mid-single-digit pace for the next few years, driven by supply-chain shifts, industrialization, and a growing middle class. Southeast Asia’s middle class, the driving force for consumption, is expected to triple by the decade's end.

That outlook is affirmed by the institutional activity, which has been buying this stock robustly since last year. The institutional activity conspicuously spiked in Q4 2024 following a better-than-expected release and guidance increase and has remained robust.

The activity in 2025 has been bullish on balance each quarter, bringing the total institutional exposure to over 55%. 

Analysts and short-selling trends also align with an explosive upside. This year’s analyst activity includes steady coverage with eleven ratings tracked by MarketBeat, sufficient to assume broad-based support, a Moderate Buy rating, and price target increases.

The consensus assumes only a low-double-digit upside as of mid-August, but the high-end range adds 40% to it and will likely be increased later this year. Regarding the short-sellers, they’ve been selling into strength in 2025, lifting their interest to a historically high 7.5%, capping action while laying the foundation for a short-covering rally likely to be catalyzed in Q4.

GRAB’s Dilution Threat Passes: Balance Sheet Is Healthy

GRAB’s market action has been impacted by dilutive activity, including share sales and debt offerings. However, the 2025 activity has put the balance sheet in a healthy position, capable of sustaining operations and growth.

Highlights include increased cash, current, and total assets offset by increased debt and liabilities. The net result is $3.9 billion in cash, equity was flat at the quarter’s end, and leverage was very low.

The company’s total liability is less than 1.25x its cash position and about 0.65x its equity, allowing it ample flexibility for future needs. 

Results will drive future balance sheet health. The latest report shows revenue growing by 24%, accelerating sequentially and compared to the same quarter last year, driven by a 13% increase in user count and 5% increase in revenue per user.

Strength was seen in all segments, with delivery up 22%, mobility up 16%, and financial services up 41%. The guidance was also strong, forecasting another year-over-year acceleration to sustain the mid-20% pace and produce profitability growth. The analysts estimate a mid-teens revenue CAGR for the next seven to ten years, compounded by improving profitability and accelerated earnings growth at the consensus.