Free Trial

Markets Love Old Dominion Freight Line Stock: How You Can Benefit

Old Dominion sign: Lean more about Old Dominion Freight Line stock now

Key Points

  • Old Dominion Freight Line stock is the favorite child in the sector.
  • Technical and fundamental metrics will clarify why investors should consider exposure in Old Dominion stock.
  • With analyst earnings expectations, insiders buying the stock and industry dynamics, investors are in for what seems to be the perfect storm for a bull run.
  • Looking to export and analyze Saia data? Unlock 5 Weeks of MarketBeat All Access for Just $5. Claim Your Limited-Time Discount.

The market has favored the transportation and warehousing industry, vastly assigning resources to companies operating within it.

Three names stand out within the market's favorite industry: Old Dominion Freight Line NASDAQ: ODFLSaia NASDAQ: SAIA and RXO NYSE: RXO are at the top of the "popular" list based on market sentiment and other metrics.

Old Dominion is the clear pick within this small group of sector favorites. Those looking to squeeze the next move in this stock can break down sensible reasons, justifications and convictions behind the bullishness in this stock.

Gaining Perspective

Considering that Saia has been the only stock in the sector to outperform Old Dominion by as much as 29.83% during the past 12 months, investors need to find a good reason to differentiate the two, primarily through the lens of finding an adequate investment with potential upside. Analyst ratings point to a significant downside in Old Dominion and Saia, suggesting a 10.3% and a 12.3% consensus downside, respectively. 

When looking at price action, there is a direct connection between what analysts see and what market prices reflect. The two stocks are related by an over 80% correlation in prices. This relationship is reiterated by the lockstep price movement between the two.

Both stocks trade near all-time high prices, with the most recent weekly performance bringing them together to a solid historical resistance level. Old Dominion struggles to break past the $375 per share wall; that is at least the current state of affairs, which may soon change as investors digest the newest votes cast by broader markets. The difference maker between these two peers is all the more critical, considering that chart patterns and price action aren't a clear comparison. Look to the forward price-to-earnings ratio, which differs from the conventional P/E in that the next 12 months expected earnings are considered rather than the past 12 months. 

Saia stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25.7x, which will become inferior to Old Dominion's 30.4x. 

Analyst earnings expectations for Saia point to a $13.92 2024 earnings per share, equating to a 13.95% year-over-year growth rate. Conversely, Old Dominion's expectations lie at $12.38 EPS for 2024, assimilating a superior 16.32% annual growth rate. This may be the reason behind the markets rewarding a higher valuation multiple to Old Dominion over Saia, a dynamic which investors should welcome rather than initially react as thinking of Old Dominion as more "expensive."

Closing the Loop

The key to closing the gap lies in the top-line revenue figures. Another conventional valuation metric investors can look at as a comparison lies in the price-to-sales ratio, which may provide another angle upon which to value the underlying operations of each business. Saia stock sells for a 3.3x multiple, significantly lower than Old Dominion's 6.6x. Old Dominion's segment provides consulting services for supply chain solutions. Considering the challenging supply chain environments and disruptions experienced throughout 2020 to 2023, this consulting segment keeps paying dividends.

Within Old Dominion's investor presentation, management lays out the business's capital allocation strategies, indicating that most allocations go into share repurchases. Five thousand shares were repurchased during the twelve months leading to the first quarter 2023 earnings results, a reaffirming action by insiders suggesting that the stock may have additional upside potential.  

Should You Invest $1,000 in Saia Right Now?

Before you consider Saia, you'll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Saia wasn't on the list.

While Saia currently has a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.

View The Five Stocks Here

7 Stocks to Ride The A.I. Megaboom Cover


We are about to experience the greatest A.I. boom in stock market history...

Thanks to a pivotal economic catalyst, specific tech stocks will skyrocket just like they did during the "dot com" boom in the 1990s.

That’s why, we’ve hand-selected 7 tiny tech disruptor stocks positioned to surge.

  1. The first pick is a tiny under-the-radar A.I. stock that's trading for just $3.00. This company already has 98 registered patents for cutting-edge voice and sound recognition technology... And has lined up major partnerships with some of the biggest names in the auto, tech, and music industry... plus many more.
  2. The second pick presents an affordable avenue to bolster EVs and AI development…. Analysts are calling this stock a “buy” right now and predict a high price target of $19.20, substantially more than its current $6 trading price.
  3. Our final and favorite pick is generating a brand-new kind of AI. It's believed this tech will be bigger than the current well-known leader in this industry… Analysts predict this innovative tech is gearing up to create a tidal wave of new wealth, fueling a $15.7 TRILLION market boom.

Right now, we’re staring down the barrel of a true once-in-a-lifetime moment. As an investment opportunity, this kind of breakthrough doesn't come along every day.

And the window to get in on the ground-floor — maximizing profit potential from this expected market surge — is closing quickly...

Simply enter your email below to get the names and tickers of the 7 small stocks with potential to make investors very, very happy.

Get This Free Report
Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli
About The Author

Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli

Contributing Author

Equity Research, Dividend Investing, ETFs, Global Markets

Like this article? Share it with a colleague.

Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)
4.3786 of 5 stars
$150.970.8%0.74%29.49Hold$167.62
RXO (RXO)
2.7154 of 5 stars
$16.33-0.1%N/A-7.56Hold$17.93
Saia (SAIA)
2.9574 of 5 stars
$296.461.4%N/A27.37Moderate Buy$347.16
Compare These Stocks  Add These Stocks to My Watchlist 

Featured Articles and Offers

Recent Videos

$15 Billion for Cybersecurity: The Government’s Next Big Push
Tesla’s Future Unleashed: Elon’s Robotics Move Changes Everything
Top Trades: Massive Gains and Costly Mistakes to Avoid

Stock Lists

All Stock Lists

Investing Tools

Calendars and Tools

Search Headlines