J.B. Hunt Falls Hard After Mixed Quarter
Shares of J.B. Hunt (NASDAQ:JBHT) made a strong bounce the first two weeks of October. The stock rose 13% in two weeks and came close to setting a new all-time high because of a bullish outlook driven by rising tailwinds. The company just reported for the calendar 3rd quarter and shares fell more than 7.0% because of it. The company beat on the top line and missed on the bottom line, a mixed report to be sure, but those very same tailwinds are still in place. If there is a question to be answered now it’s what went wrong and what does this mean for investors now?
The tailwinds I speak of are the combination of rising demand within the freight industry and tight conditions within the freight market. The industry has been consolidating over the past few years, driven in part by overcapacity, and along with it is a reduction in capacity. Now, with the economic rebound underway and eCommerce a driving force of that rebound, the need for shipping solutions is on the rise, and capacity is having a hard time catching up. The need for drivers is dragging on business while rising wages and recruitment efforts cut into profits.
J.B. Hunt Beats On The Top Line, Earnings Fall Short
J.B. Hunt’s 3rd quarter results underscore trends within the industry. The company’s revenue grew by 4.7% to top consensus by 4.7% evidence of underlying strength and growth within the industry. J.B. Hunt is an integrated shipper so it is important to break out the segments and it is nearly all good. The top-line results were positively impacted by a 25% increase in revenue per load in Integrated Solutions; a 35% increase in the number of stops in the final mile segment (read more delivers, more business); and a 9% increase in the number of dedicated loads. Revenue was partially offset by a -5% decline in Intermodal and -32% decline in fuel surcharges.
The bottom line is where things get sticky. The company was expected to post earnings close to $1.30 but fell short by $0.12. EPS is up more than 7% from the previous year but severely impacted by rising costs. Among them are higher rail costs which impacted margins in the ICS segment, rising wages for drivers, higher recruitment costs, and spending on technology. The company cut back on other spending, however, such as the buyback program and was able to increase its cash position by 16% to $319 million while maintaining stable debt levels. The buy-back program is still worth $520 million
Looking forward we can expect for J.B. Hunt’s revenue to continue to rise in the mid-single digits for the next couple of quarters at least. Earnings will also continue to grow but be impacted by rising costs. The company’s ability to manage those costs will be important because it doesn’t look like any of those costs are going away anytime soon.
J.B. Hunts Dividend Is In No Danger
J.B. Hunts is a very reliable dividend payer and dividend grower although the yield is not enough on its own to keep the market interested. Even with today’s plunge in prices the stock is still only paying about 0.75% but there is a high expectation for future growth. The company has been increasing the payout for 16 years with the 17th expected during the 4th quarter reporting cycle. The payout ratio is a cool 22% so no worry there. The balance sheet hs some debt but it is under control with ample cash, coverage, and free-cash-flow.
J.B. Hunt Delivers Another Buying Opportunity, or Not
Shares of J.B. Hunt are down hard in the early premarket session but I think this is just another buying opportunity in the trucking industry. The tailwinds are in place to drive the sector and this stock higher albeit there are some headwinds to battle as well. The good news is that the tailwinds are stronger than the headwinds, and some of the headwinds should abate with time (recruiting and tech-spend). As for the technical outlook,it really depends on what the market does with this stock now. If price action finds support at this level and moves higher J.B. Hunt will probably retest the recent high and set new highs very soon. If the stock falls from here we may see a retest of $125.
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7 Tech Stocks To Buy On Sale
This too shall pass. Those four words should be taped to the computer screen of every investor. If you own shares of the tech sector, you’ve seen your portfolio take quite a hit. Tech stocks were largely immune from the effects of the pandemic.
However, as investors are looking to rebalance their portfolios, tech stocks were obvious targets for some profit-taking. And at the end of the day, that’s what I believe the latest tech selloff amounts to. Stocks don’t move in one direction all the time. Sure, there may be some saber-rattling about breaking up big tech. But with an election in less than two months, nobody will have the political will to do anything.
That doesn’t mean that it’s all going to be smooth sailing. Sure, the Federal Reserve did its part by promising low-interest rates until the end of time (or at least through 2023 whatever comes first). But the rest of 2020 is likely to be volatile for stocks.
First, there’s still the novel coronavirus hanging around. It’s not going to simply disappear after election day. That will take some combination of a vaccine and/or therapeutic. And all the likely candidates seem to be getting farther away the deeper into clinical trials they get.
And we have an election. But we are not likely to know the winner of the election on election night. In fact, for those who remember the spectacle of “hanging chads”, this election could make that one look like amateur hour.
The bottom line is there will be uncertainty. But there are always gains to be found, particularly now that their stock price has come down a little bit. Here are seven tech stocks that you can look to add or increase a position in now that they’re trading at a discount.
View the "7 Tech Stocks To Buy On Sale".