Aspen Technology Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
November 6, 2023

There are 12 speakers on the call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the AspenTech 2023 Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press Star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

Operator

I would now to turn the conference over to Brian DeNeuw from ICR. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us to discuss our financial results for the Q1 of fiscal 2020 Call ending September 30, 2023. With me on the call today are Antonio Pietri, AspenTech's President and CEO and Chantal Breitup, AspenTech's CFO. Please note, we have posted an earnings presentation on our IR website and we ask that the investors refer to this presentation in conjunction with today's call. Starting on Slide 2, I would like to take this opportunity to remind you that our remarks today will include forward looking statements.

Speaker 1

Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward looking statements. Factors that could cause these results to differ materially are set forth in today's press release and in our annual report on Form 10 ks and other subsequent filings made with the SEC. Any forward looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. During this presentation, we present both GAAP and certain non GAAP measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non GAAP measures is included in today's earnings press release and investor presentation, both of which are available on our Investor Relations website.

Speaker 1

With that, let me turn the call over to Antonio. Antonio?

Speaker 2

Thanks, Brian, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. Beginning on Slide 3, These are the 4 key takeaways for today's call. First, Q1 was a solid quarter, which once again delivered double digit ACV growth. We have hit the ground running to start the new fiscal year, shifting our focus from integration and transformation to execution and expansion. 2nd, demand remains strong in most end markets.

Speaker 2

More than ever, our products and solutions are mission critical and uniquely positioned to help customers meet their profitability and sustainability objectives. 3rd, We continue to see promising signs of growth across many different sustainability pathways that are expanding our market opportunity. We are highly encouraged about the potential to help new and existing customers achieve their sustainability objectives through partnership, collaboration and co innovation in different use cases. And 4th, we remain confident in our ability to deliver against our guidance target for the full fiscal year. Our ability to generate double digit ACV growth and expand free cash flow margins while also making strategic investments for growth is a great example of the scalability of our business model.

Speaker 2

Looking at our quarterly results in more detail, annual contract value or ACV was $898,000,000 increasing 10.9% year over year and free cash flow was $16,000,000

Speaker 3

As I

Speaker 2

stated last quarter, Our cash flow is generally lowest in Q1 due to the seasonality of cash collections in our business. Turning to Slide 4, I will now provide an update on the dynamics we're seeing in our end markets, where demand remains strong excluding chemicals. In upstream and midstream energy, Customers are experiencing favorable market conditions and healthy demand growth with recent acquisition announcements by U. S. Oil majors Demonstrating their confidence in the industry's long term prospects.

Speaker 2

The strong demand combined with a persistently tight supply environment has led to higher oil prices and increased upstream CapEx investments, especially from national oil companies. CapEx investment is not only targeted at increasing oil supply, but also at sustaining existing production rates as the depletion rate of oil fields is a major area of focus. With the addition of the SCC suite, We can now offer an even more compelling lifecycle solution to manage and optimize the entire value chain, and we expect demand in these markets to remain positive for AspenTech going forward. In refining, while margins have fluctuated over the last 3 months, They remain strong as industry players benefit from a combination of increasing demand for fuels and capacity rationalization in Europe and North America. The same owner operators remain focused on extending asset lifespans and reducing emissions through CapEx and OpEx investments, targeting improvements in operational efficiencies where digitalization plays a fundamental role.

Speaker 2

We remain well positioned to for refiners with their initiatives through our ability to drive higher efficiency and therefore improve sustainability. E and C customers are benefiting from positive CapEx trends in both traditional energy and energy transition projects, driving higher pipeline and industry optimism. As we have mentioned in the past, we believe that sustainability initiatives will ultimately for faster and less cyclical growth than we have seen historically in this end market. We're encouraged by the trends we see with with the E and C customers and expect they will continue. The environment for chemicals remains consistent with the first half of this calendar year as industry players manage operating costs to support margins in response to weaker demand.

Speaker 2

While this is impacting our growth in the chemicals market, Chemicals customers remain interested in AspenTech solutions to help drive efficiencies, reduce emissions and plastic waste and accelerate the development of the circular economy. This gives us confidence that we will deliver faster growth from this vertical as market conditions improve. Finally, demand in the power T and D industry remains robust as the industry benefits from an immense and ongoing investment cycle to expand, modernize and strengthen the grid. This is being driven by increasing consumer and industrial demand for electricity, rapid adoption of renewables and significant government funding. For example, the International Energy Agency's or IEA's most recent update to its net zero roadmap for 2,050 predicts that $680,000,000,000 in global annual grid investment is needed by 2,030 to meet the expected increase in electricity demand.

Speaker 2

The IEA also predicts that nearly 70% of this investment will be used for distribution grids with the aim of expanding, strengthening and digitalizing networks, all of which were well prepared to help support through our DGM suite. We're bullish on the long term growth potential of this market and it remains a key strategic area for investment going forward. Turning to Slide 5, I'd like to provide an update on our sales efforts as we kicked off the year. As I highlighted on slide 3, we are making investments to increase sales capacity in both new and existing markets. We believe this investment combined with our Emerson commercial relationship will enable us to capitalize on the numerous growth opportunities we see across our business in the years ahead.

Speaker 2

We begin this process in the Q4 of fiscal 2023 and have made significant progress in these efforts since then. We expect to start benefiting from this capacity towards the end of fiscal 2024 and realize its full impact in fiscal 2025 and beyond. I'd now like to provide some additional color around software transactions closed in the quarter. Our customers continue to recognize The exceptional value and breadth of our innovation for their businesses, both to meet their needs today and their long term development objectives. As a result, We have continued to win new business while also deepening our relationships with existing customers.

Speaker 2

The first customer reference is a world leader in industrial gases that is in the process of expanding from its traditional role in the production of industrial gases to become a leader in the production of green hydrogen. As part of this journey, this customer is using our software to design next generation process technology and estimate investment cost for Green Hydrogen, Green Ammonia and Renewables. This customer doubled their engineering suite token entitlement as foundational technology for their ambitious growth objectives with plans to explore further standardization on our offerings going forward. The second customer is a leading refiner that decided to more than double their business with us, citing its condition in the capabilities of our engineering suite and intention to explore additional use cases in alternative field development. This latest transaction builds on our long standing relationship with the customer and we're excited to continue partnering with them going forward.

Speaker 2

3rd, for DGM, we secured A large scale perpetual license transaction with a U. S. Power utility. This utility was in search of a better way to manage its transmission network and recognizing the strength of our Monarch platform chose us over the incumbent following a competitive process. This customer is interested in additional DGM suite products and we plan to continue working with them to expand the relationship going forward.

Speaker 2

The 4th and final reference is from our collaboration with Emerson where we displaced an incumbent in the pulp and paper business of a leading global manufacturing. Emerson's existing relationship with this customer through its Delta V installed base provided valuable insights into its evaluation process and helped us identify that the value of our adaptive process control technology for more efficient and sustainable plant operations would be a key differentiator. We see room for expansion across this customer's asset base and remain confident in our ability to continue partnering with Emerson in pursuits going forward. Moving to Slide 6, I would like to provide an update on the sustainability opportunities we're seeing. The global megatrends of the energy transition and net zero targets continue to drive significant investment into the development of existing and novel technologies that can scale to achieve customers' net zero ambitions.

Speaker 2

As a result, Customers' interest in our solution to support this type of sustainability projects is growing. This is manifested through ongoing CapEx spend, which drives increased interest and use in our engineering suite and represents most of our growth in this market today, as these assets are still in their initial design phase. However, over time, we expect to see a benefit from sustainability related projects our manufacturing and supply chain and asset performance management suites as well, since we provide customer value across the entire asset lifecycle from the basic design phase to asset operation and maintenance. The customer reference mentioned a moment ago around green hydrogen is an excellent example of these land and expand opportunities and we continue to see many other compelling projects in different areas of sustainability. We also won in the quarter several sustainability related opportunities through our high velocity sales team.

Speaker 2

These wins included companies still in their initial start up journeys and later stage companies that have advanced into the testing and development stages of a specific Sustainability Use Cases. By leveraging our technology, these companies are developing solutions in areas such as carbon capture, plastics recycling, green hydrogen, renewable fuels and batteries. We're excited about the potential to help them scale up their digitalization initiatives going forward. Turning to Slide 7, I will now provide an update on our innovation initiatives. In Q1, we continued to drive innovation across our portfolio to help customers run their assets safer, greener, longer and faster, resulting in the planned release of enhancements to our current Version 14 software and a new Version 14.2 update later this month.

Speaker 2

These upgrades will include new machine learning and neural net capabilities across many of our products to enhance their hybrid modeling functionality. Expansion of our sustainability application library and product integration for Emerson's Ovation power generation control system among other areas. We also remain focused on helping our partners reach their sustainability goals through co innovation in the quarter. For example, we have completed the productization of the technology license to Maramco, Architect 3, to be released as Aspen Strategic Planning for Sustainability Pathways. This product holds significant potential to help our customers Make more informed decisions in their carbon management strategy and over time, it should also incorporate capabilities to help customers Better navigate multiple other sustainability pathways.

Speaker 2

In its initial release, the product will simultaneously consider economics, process design and operating constraints to help customers optimize their carbon management strategies. Additionally, as announced this afternoon, We're expanding our relationship with OMV Group, a multinational integrated energy company based in Austria to accelerate the company's energy transition initiatives. As a first step in this partnership, we will focus on the renewable fuels optimization strategy by helping them better leverage their industrial data and develop a simplified integrated supply chain model across OMV's fuels and chemical supply chain. Now turning to Slide 8, I will discuss our outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2024. We remain confident in our ability to deliver ACV growth of at least 11.5% and free cash flow of at least $360,000,000 Industry demand for greater operational efficiency coupled with higher investment levels to support sustainability goals and Energy Transition Initiatives is driving a strong demand for our innovation.

Speaker 2

Macro trains remain consistent with our expectations at the beginning of the year and we're closely monitoring the ongoing conflict in the Middle East for any potential impact on market dynamics, which so far has been minimal. I would also like to give an update on the AspenTech team in Israel. Our priority has been the physical and mental safety of our team members there. We remain focused on these We will continue to make sure we're doing all that we can to support our affected employees. We also want to extend our heartfelt condolences to all those directly and indirectly impacted by this event in Israel and throughout the region.

Speaker 2

Lastly, as announced a few weeks ago, Chantel will be stepping down from her role here as CFO at the end of December. Chantel has been a great partner to me and a leader for the organization. On behalf of the entire team here at AspenTech, I'd like to thank her for her many contributions and wish her all the best in the next chapter of her career. We have full confidence in Chris Stagno, SVP and Chief Accounting Officer, to step into the interim CFO role With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Chantel for a discussion of our Q1 financial results. Chantel?

Speaker 4

Thank you for the kind words, Antonio. It has been a privilege to serve as CFO for the past two and a half years at AspenTech. I'm highly appreciative of your leadership, vision and commitment to the company. I'm proud of what we have accomplished and I'm very confident in AspenTech's ability continue delivering strong top and bottom line growth going forward. I remain committed to working with Antonio, Chris and the entire team to ensure a successful transition.

Speaker 4

Turning to our Q1 performance, I'd like to start out by highlighting that our earnings presentation includes explanations regarding the impact of ASC Topic 606 on our financial results. We have also included definitions of annual contract value or ACV bookings and free cash flow among other metrics in our earnings presentation now available on our IR website. We ask that investors refer to these definitions together with today's call. Starting on Slide 9, annual contract value was $898,000,000 in the Q1 of fiscal 2024, up 10.9% year over year and 1.4% quarter over quarter. As a reminder, Q1 typically sees the lowest number of transactions closed given our historical sales cadence.

Speaker 4

In addition, ACV performance in the Q1 of fiscal 2023 included one time transformation and integration benefits from SSE and our acquisition of Inmation, which together represented approximately $10,000,000 of net new ACV or 1.3 points growth in Q1 of fiscal 2023. Total bookings were $212,000,000 in the 1st quarter, decreasing 5.4% year over year. As a reminder, bookings are impacted by the timing of renewals, which were down year over year consistent with expectations. We expect $131,000,000 in bookings up for renewal in the Q2 of fiscal 2024. Total revenue was $249,000,000 for the Q1, which was approximately flat on a year over year basis.

Speaker 4

Please note that revenue in our model is heavily impacted by contract renewal timing and variability under ASC Topic 606. Now turning to profitability. On a non GAAP basis, which excludes the impact of stock based compensation expense, amortization of intangibles and acquisition and integration planning related fees, we reported operating income of $78,000,000 in Q1, representing a 31% non GAAP operating margin compared to a non GAAP operating income of $93,000,000 for 37% non GAAP operating margin a year ago. As a reminder, margins will fluctuate period to period due to the timing of customer renewals and the resulting impact on license revenue recognition in the given quarter. Additionally, on expenses, Please note that the increase was driven by increased headcount and compensation costs, in line with Antonio's commentary around our expansion initiatives in fiscal 2024.

Speaker 4

This increase in expenses was expected and is consistent with our fiscal year 2024 guidance. Non GAAP net income was $75,000,000 in the quarter or $1.16 per share compared to non GAAP net income of $142,000,000 or $2.20 per share a year ago. Please note that the difference in non GAAP net income between periods was mainly due to a lower benefit from income taxes in the Q1 compared to a year ago, driven by the change in our approach to computing our tax provision, which originally occurred in the Q2 of fiscal 2023. Turning to our balance sheet, we ended the quarter with approximately $121,000,000 cash and cash equivalents, reflecting the impact of share repurchase under our $300,000,000 share repurchase program. In addition, we had $198,000,000 available on our revolving credit facility.

Speaker 4

During the quarter, we purchased approximately 580,000 shares or $114,000,000 under our $300,000,000 share repurchase authorization announced in fiscal year 2024. We also settled our $100,000,000 accelerated share repurchase program in the quarter to receive an additional 107,000 shares. Please note that the $100,000,000 ASR program was paid for in full in fiscal 2023. For cash flow, we generated $17,000,000 of cash from operations and $16,000,000 of free cash flow in the quarter, compared to $5,000,000 in cash from operations and $4,000,000 in free cash flow a year ago. As Antonio noted, this was in line with our expectations.

Speaker 4

As Q1 has historically been our lowest cash flow quarter due to the amount of cash available for collection in the period. Turning to Slide 10, I would now like to close with guidance. For the full year of fiscal 2024, we are reiterating our outlook across all metrics. This includes at least 11.5 percent of ACD growth and a free cash flow target of at least $360,000,000 for the period. We continue to expect total bookings of at least $1,040,000,000 with $580,000,000 of bookings up for renewal in fiscal 2024.

Speaker 4

Our non GAAP EPS range has increased by $0.06 from our prior guide to reflect the impact of our share repurchase activity in the Q1 on shares outstanding. There was no impact to GAAP EPS. For a complete overview of our fiscal 2024 guidance, please refer to our earnings press release and presentation available on our IR website. As investors think about linearity for the remainder of the year, We continue to expect a cadence consistent with our historical performance. This includes fiscal 2023 when adjusting for the one time contributions from FSC the animation Q1 that I discussed earlier.

Speaker 4

We expect to generate net new ACV in the low 60% range in the second half of fiscal twenty twenty four. In addition, we expect that we will begin to see the impact from our sales investments in the second half of fiscal twenty twenty four, consistent with the assumptions we provided around our fiscal year 2024 guidance on our last quarterly earnings call. Please refer to Slide 13 of our earnings presentation for a detailed overview of our linearity expectations. To wrap up, we delivered a solid start to fiscal year 2024. We remain on track to meet our full year targets, while also strategically investing in different areas that are supportive of our long term growth objectives.

Speaker 4

We believe AspenTech is in a great position to benefit from many of the largest and most important investment trends impacting asset intensive industries today, which should support our ability to generate attractive levels of growth and profitability for the foreseeable future. With that, I will turn it back over to Antonio for closing comments.

Speaker 5

Thank you,

Speaker 2

Chantel. Q1 was a solid quarter where we once again delivered double digit ACV growth. Following our initial foundation building year, We have shifted focus to execution and expansion in fiscal year 2024. We're investing in areas that can drive our growth, while also managing our expenses for our return to best in class profitability over time. We're pleased to report that demand remains resilient for our mission critical solutions across most end markets.

Speaker 2

We also continue to see encouraging signs of growth in different areas of sustainability as I have touched on today. Our team is clearly energized to continue helping our customers with their sustainability initiatives going forward, and we remain confident in our fiscal year 'twenty four guidance targets. With that, we will open it up for Q and A. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. To withdraw your question. The first question comes from Matthew Fow with William Blair. Your line is open.

Speaker 3

Hi, Matt. Hi, Matt.

Speaker 6

Hey, Antonio and Chantal. Thanks for taking my questions. First, I wanted to ask on some of the momentum you're seeing with sustainability CapEx and investments. Is there any way to size how much new business is being driven by these initiatives? And how does that compare to perhaps a year ago?

Speaker 5

Yes, Matt, let me address that and then Chantelle can add her thoughts as well. So We have an initiative internally to certainly, first of all, size the opportunity, the total addressable market that we believe will come to us from sustainability CapEx investments and eventually OpEx as well as these plants are built, Our manufacturing supply chain and APM solutions will play a role in all of that. Now in the near term, What we're seeing is opportunities in sustainability and different use cases flowing through our inside sales organization and the benefit that we're seeing is from CapEx investments and the initial front end engineering design for those assets. We're also seeing a little bit of MSC opportunities customers that already have facilities that are running, our advanced control technology again seems to be a target some of these customers. But in general, we do have a sense today for the amount of business that sustainability is generating.

Speaker 5

And this is the reason for the investments that we're targeting in our high velocity sales organization, which are specifically to really position us better to capture that opportunity in that market and eventually over the throughout the broader market that we have.

Speaker 4

Yes. I think the only thing I would add, Antonio, to your point is, yes, definitely in specifics, Matt, such as the high velocity sales that Antonio referred to, those are specific measures and that have more macro level for us, the engineering suites where we look first And then that eventually falls into MSC as we build out land and expand. And our engineering suite saw the strongest growth it has out of 13 quarters. Last We said engineering was the strongest out of 12. This is even stronger and of 13.

Speaker 4

So that's where we see it at a macro suite level and then Antonio had some specifics there That kind of bolster it together.

Speaker 6

Great. Very helpful. And then wanted to just perhaps get an update on How you're thinking about acquisitions now that it seems like the Emerson integration is going well and also the MicroMine acquisition has gone away?

Speaker 5

Go ahead Chantal.

Speaker 4

Yes. We're still committed to M and A in the sense of it's Still a part of what we're looking for and focused on. I think that we have everything from tuck ins to larger pieces from that perspective, Matt. We remain committed to pursuing them as primary use of our capital. And I think that we're waiting to see we can always time the market, but we have we definitely have a list of things from tuck ins to larger that we're looking at.

Speaker 4

So it's still a good part of our capital allocation strategy.

Speaker 6

Great. Appreciate you taking my questions. Thank you.

Speaker 5

Thanks.

Operator

Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from Rob Oliver with Baird. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hi, Rob. Hi, Antonio. Hi, Chantal. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 7

I had 2. 1, I was Wondering if you could provide an update for us that you guys obviously got through a big period last fiscal year in the SSC business with the contract timings and now you're moving into that conversion from legacy perpetual term and I know that is expected to be a contributor to ACV growth this year. So I know we're only 1 quarter in, but just wanted to see if I can get an update on How that is progressing so far? And then I had a quick follow-up.

Speaker 5

Yes, let me take that. So look, the way the year flowed last year with SSE, certainly An important transformation benefit in the Q1 fiscal 2023 quarter as we cleaned up Dis and Cs And we aligned the recognition of the spend in those contracts to our ACV policy. A lot of the renewals happened in the Q3 fiscal 2023 quarter. So we expect the Q3 fiscal twenty twenty four quarter to be a big quarter for SSE and a quarter where we've been focused We hope to see the result from our focus on growing and expanding the SSE business. Of course, the growth It will have an impact on ACV, but we're also targeting to expand the term length, which would have a benefit on the revenue side of the equation.

Speaker 5

But look, we're excited about SSE, especially with National Oil Companies, we're seeing a lot of investment, CapEx investment flowing for oil and gas. And it's not only as I said on the call, it's not only to increase production, but to replace the production that is naturally lost as oil fields deplete and then is the use of SSE around carbon capture and sequestration, Also geothermal energies, we're engaged with a couple of customers as well, studying the possibility using SSE to also store hydrogen in the subsurface as a storage resource. So we're optimistic about SSE and the potential that we see. But all the work that we're doing right now, We expect to see it. It's in the Q3 and Q4 quarters as we focus on most of the renewals that we have for SSD.

Speaker 4

Yes. And I think that the other one other thing I would add too is that from a model perspective, Rob, we're seeing we're pleased with the initial kind of conversations on tokenization. So you mentioned PERP to term and then SSE is now doing term to token and we're pleased with how those tokenization conversations are going. That's the only thing I would add as well as far as progressing the transformation agenda.

Speaker 7

Great. Helpful. That's really helpful color from both. Thank you. And then, Antonio, just one follow-up for you.

Speaker 7

Appreciated your comments, not seeing any impact from what's going on in the Middle East. And I know last quarter you had made some comments relative to China and Russia. And I think Russia you guys kind of moved to renewals only and China was slow. I just would be curious to hear an update on those 2 geographies from you. Thank you very much.

Speaker 5

Yes. Look, on Roche, as you said, last quarter we announced that we're going to move to a renewals only business And that is the case. And we're working renewals. Some renewals already happened in Q1 Will continue to happen. And look, we also continue to monitor sanctions there just to make sure that we comply Any requirements from the U.

Speaker 5

S. Government. On China, look, China is interesting in that our business continues to grow in China. Certainly, the Chinese government is driving an emphasis on local sourcing for technologies, meaning by local companies, Chinese companies. But we also see Chinese customers continue to buy our technology, which I believe it speaks to the innovation and differentiation that still exists between what we do and our products and any native locally developed capabilities in the country there.

Speaker 5

So

Speaker 7

Appreciate that. Thank you very much.

Speaker 5

Yes.

Operator

Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from David Ridley Lane with Bank of America. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi, David.

Speaker 8

Hi, David. Hi, this is David Ridley Lane on for Andrew Obin.

Speaker 3

Just Kind of wondering

Speaker 8

a little bit more about the competitive displacement you had at that Delta V customer. Is there understood that you're sort of saying expect the ACV contributions from the Emerson channel to ramp more in the back half, But is there a way of helping put sort of the number of Emerson driven opportunities that are in the pipeline today in context? How is that versus a year ago? Just help us and investors better understand how that opportunity is building.

Speaker 5

Yes, sure. I mean, look, let me first state that a lot of work and a lot of goodness happened in fiscal 2023. What I would say is we synchronized the 2 organizations on what was possible considering the trajectories of the 2 companies in their own markets. We now in fiscal 2024 expect to They start seeing some of that benefit and the reference that you mentioned is an example. What excites me and excites all of us is a huge installed base of systems that Emerson has in the market, not only in our core market, but in other markets.

Speaker 5

As you That was a pulp and paper reference, which is typically not a market that AspenTech Pursuit. So huge installed base of Delta V systems, huge installed base of Ovation Systems in power, huge installed base of maintenance systems, Emerson maintenance technology capabilities that we believe are also opportunities for our asset performance management solution and especially the Amtel solution. Our the AspenTech organization now has access to all that installed base, is engaged with the Emerson sales organization and the different account teams. And as from a standpoint of Estimating the opportunity, you need to look at the Emerson installed base And then you would have to determine what is the possibility there for AspenTech. But we also know that Customers are very excited about what's possible between AspenTech and Emerson.

Speaker 5

And this is something that we'll be talking about during our global conference coming up at the end of April next year. So more to come, but it's about their installed base and then how AspenTech be accelerated into that installed base.

Speaker 8

Thank you. And then, were there any sort of meaningful levels of digital grid management perpetual license bookings this quarter. And just an update on the pipeline how the customer The receptivity is for term license proposals that you're putting across the table.

Speaker 5

Yes. Look, the fact is that we exceeded our expectations for the quarter around perpetual licenses for the GM. That continues to be a play for us. This is a transition that will happen over many years. Some customers Are more willing to go to term than others.

Speaker 5

But what I would I want to emphasize is that certainly a perpetual license contributes to revenue, contributes to upfront free cash flow, but it also generates GACV from the maintenance support that is in those agreements and that's normally somewhere around 19 Sign of the licenses, the perpetual licenses. So while of course eventually we would prefer to have all that business B term. There is an important benefit from perpetual licenses that is reflected in the growth expectations for DGM in the year. But look, our pipeline is supporting both perpetual licenses and term. What I'll say about term, it's a new licensing model for customers.

Speaker 5

There's like it happened with Hat, it was beginning in 2009, 14 years ago. Customers have to get familiar with the model, have to get familiar with the terms and conditions. And therefore, that aspect of the negotiations takes a little longer. We saw good business in the quarter and we have good engagement around term deals as well. So look, this is a transition that will happen over many years, but good benefits overall.

Speaker 8

Thank you. And if I could squeeze one more in. So if I understood your sustainability comments around the high velocity sales force, You're starting to sign up engineering and construction firms for incremental tokens around these projects today and you expect that to build as you go through the year?

Speaker 5

Yes. We find TCs to be very bullish about the how sustainability CapEx is flowing to them And therefore is driving more use of tokens. One of the customer references that we talked about, while that customer is not an EPC, They've made a very strategic decision to focus on growing green hydrogen and they doubled their entitlement with AspenTech. This is a 7 figure doubling of entitlement. So that benefit is absolutely now flowing through our growth, and we expect it to continue to be more and more so going forward.

Speaker 3

All

Speaker 8

right. Thank you very much.

Operator

Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from Jason Celino with KeyBanc. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi, Jason.

Speaker 9

Hey, Antonio. Hey, Santel. It's actually Devin on for Jason tonight. Thanks for taking our questions. Just want to start off, just want to give a little more detail on the ACV growth in the quarter.

Speaker 9

I mean, it accelerated a little bit on a year over year basis. And when I look at kind of the balance of the year, I think you mentioned expecting SSE to have a pretty big second half, but Any other commentary you can share on just what's giving you the confidence that ACV growth is really going to accelerate in the back half here?

Speaker 5

Yes. Go ahead, Antelope.

Speaker 4

Yes. I think to the point of adding the additional color, when you take the current Q1 period year over year, If you look at if you remove the one time benefits of the SSC commercial transformation, I mean, Mason, we actually had a 1% growth Q1 last year versus the 1.4. So if you look at organic growth, it's actually expansion of 1 to 1.4, which I think is really critical from a run the business operational perspective and we're pleased with that underlying growth. If you look at the remainder of the year, there are Several things we're confident in and I'm sure Antonio will add some color, but everything from the SSE terminals in Q3, the sales productivity ramping that we talked about the in Q4 last year, Q1 this year, the benefit of the DGM pipeline growing in the sense of both the pipeline term and aftermarket sales. And then traditionally has had stronger linearity in the second half.

Speaker 4

So we see quite a few factors. And Antonio, if you want to add any color to those five things.

Speaker 5

Yes. I mean Chantal is right. Look, we're excited. I'm very excited about what's happening here. Of course, there's a lot of foundation building and now expansion because in a way AspenTech accelerated from $700,000,000 to $1,100,000,000 In revenue and the related ACV in overnight.

Speaker 5

So now it's expansion. If you look at Q1, as Chantal said, In Q1 2023, there were benefits from transformation, Novesha's significant benefits and then the emission inorganic benefit. On an apples to apples basis, it's a 40% improvement in the performance in the Q1 quarter versus last year. But look, what excites me is, okay, we're starting to see the flow of sustainability benefit through our high velocity sales organization. But if you go to Europe, for example, Our installed base of customers there are incredibly focused on sustainability.

Speaker 5

Today, we announced That press release related to our partnership with OMV in Austria and where they're doing around biofuels and synthetic fuels, But you also have many other customers working on this type of use cases. So there will be an important benefit Not only in engineering, but MSC as well and I believe also in APM. SSE significant sustainability benefits. If you look at DPM and as I Travel around the world and I have over the last 18 months talking to DGM customers, the opportunity is incredible. Look, we manage our technology, manages the largest transportation grid in Latin America.

Speaker 5

We our technology is responsible for managing the entire gas distribution network of Spain. The entire India grid is managed by Monarch The Monarch technology, the entire India grid. This is the largest synchronous electrical network in the world in one country. And the opportunity in India. As I meet with customers and the successes that we've had over the last 12 months in Europe around transportation, but also distribution.

Speaker 5

The 40% plus market share that we have for DGM in North America as well. And we're only getting started outside of North America. We're doubling our sales organization in the field outside of North America to pursue opportunities and that will continue to happen in future years indicators, the quality of the technology that we have and the opportunity and the CapEx that are starting to flow around Global Electrification and Sustainability is very exciting. So the point that Chantal made, Look, this is a year is 12 months and 4 quarters. We just completed our Q1 and now we're excited about Q2, Q3 and Q4.

Speaker 9

Got it. Got it. No, really appreciate the clarity here. Just one quick follow-up. I think last quarter you also mentioned Seeing some good cross sell interest from your chemicals and refining customers and looking into some of your micro grid management capabilities.

Speaker 9

I'm just kind of curious if those cross sell interest crystallized in the quarter or showing up more in the pipeline in the near term here? Thanks.

Speaker 5

Yes. No, look, it is showing up in the pipeline and it will be down the road because the conversations started to happen really in the last 6 to 9 months Around microgrid,

Speaker 9

I had

Speaker 5

a meeting with a customer in India last week that has been a customer of Hat for 30 years. And when they found out that our capabilities around microgrids, but more I think more importantly, the fact that we are now our technology is responsible for maintaining the India electrical grid imbalance. And in operations, I mean, our technology keeps the light on in India. It was very exciting for that customer. Also the fact that we actually manage the transmission the distribution of electricity in some of the major cities in India.

Speaker 5

And therefore, that gives credence, gives credibility to them the capabilities that we can bring to bear around their own microgrid and their own utilities as they start incorporating renewables, as they start generating power from renewables because this customer is making a huge investment in solar power as well even though There have historically been chemicals, a petrochemical company. So this is also going to be an opportunity. But again, Customers are only starting to learn about all of these and those opportunities will be in the pipeline down the road.

Speaker 9

Great. That's great to hear. Thanks for taking my question.

Speaker 5

Yes. You're welcome.

Operator

The next question comes from Josh Tilton with Wolfe Research. Your line is open.

Speaker 3

Hi, Josh. Hi,

Speaker 10

Antonio and Chantal. This is Arsenio on for Josh. Thanks for taking my question. Looking at seasonality reiterated with the 60% range of net new ACV in the second half, that implies a significant step up in 2Q. Can you elaborate on what provides confidence in that outlook, especially as a higher concentration of attrition is expected?

Speaker 10

Because I think it would be the largest 2Q quarterly Net new ACV step up and the 2nd largest quarterly increase ever realized? And then just a brief follow-up. Thanks.

Speaker 5

All right. Well, look, I think Chantal reiterated some of the reasons why we think Not only Q2 and by the way, yes, I know we talked about the linearity of the year and what it means for Q2, but there's also Q3 and Q4 here. Look, I think more immediately is starting to see the impact from the hiring, The incremental headcount that we've been putting into sales since the beginning of Q4. We made also significant progress in that area in Q1. And then our pipeline of business, this This is something that is our pipeline is continuing to grow across all three sort of historical businesses had OSI and SSE.

Speaker 5

And then, Okay. Q3, we've talked about the SCC renewals and in general. But look, historically, Q2 is the end of fiscal year for most of our customers in HAD, also customers in SSE. DGM, frankly, we haven't seen any seasonality to DGM because of the way those opportunities flow, mostly RFPs in the initial projects and then aftermarket sales. And by the way, something that I want to say about the DGM business.

Speaker 5

The sales cycle for new customers in DGM is very long. We talked about it 12, 24 months. But there is a business, once you're installed, that is much more accelerated. The name of that sales team inside AspenTech is aftermarket. I'm sure we'll change that name at some point.

Speaker 5

But that business is a shorter sales cycle It's add ons to once you're installed, it's adding new applications or new capabilities to what's already installed. And that's an area where we're significantly increasing headcount. Sales cycle there, It can even be 3 months, but more normally 6 to 12 months. So this is an area where We see the opportunity to accelerate growth because of the cyclicality and then the focus and the incremental headcount that And we expect to see some of that benefit in Q2 as well. But I don't linearity is important, of course, you have to be building the business in the year to eventually deliver a final outcome.

Speaker 5

But we still have 3 quarters. And Q2 is an important one, but both Q3 and Q4 are also very important.

Speaker 10

Got it. Thanks for that. And on DGM, you mentioned strength in perpetual license. Also I think last year It was still bundled. You mentioned there would have been $16,900,000 in DGMA CV in fiscal 2023 Q1.

Speaker 10

When I'm thinking about kind of The strength of the perpetual license this quarter, could you provide color into how strong DGMA CV was this quarter assuming that there was probably some perpetual SMS tailwind given that strength of perpetual license? Thank you.

Speaker 5

Yes. Look, I mean, normally we don't like to disclose outcomes in quarters because Quarter performance can be given by many reasons. We had a solid quarter in some areas of DGM and we're tracking in other areas. We still believe that that will meet or exceed our number for the fiscal year for DGM and that's what we're focused on. But the business continues to be very successful.

Speaker 5

And And as I said, from my interactions with customers, I think this is a business that as we expand globally through Headcount and engagement with customers, engagement with our own historical customers in Hat, this is going to be very exciting and interesting.

Speaker 10

Thank you, Antonio.

Speaker 5

Yes, you're welcome.

Operator

Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from Mark Schappel with Loop Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi, Mark.

Speaker 11

Hi, Antonio. Hey, Chantal. Hi. Antonio, I wanted to turn to your chemical business, I wonder if you Talk or speak to the parts of the overall chemical market that you're seeing in the most pressure like say bulk chemicals, ag chemicals, specialty chemicals. Then also maybe if you could also address what you're hearing from your chemical customers with respect to the potential likelihood of their businesses snapping back next year?

Speaker 5

Yes. Look, I do think if you listen to the earnings calls from chemical customers over the last couple of weeks, 2, 3 weeks. There's a little bit of a more positive narrative from these customers. If I think back over the last 12 months, There's no doubt that spec chem remain sort of a positive area for chemical customers, bulk chemicals, less so. And that's where I think a lot of the herd was depending on the region.

Speaker 5

It was destocking or demand in Europe had to do with cost and the implications of the Russia Ukraine war and so on. Now What we're starting to see and hear from customers is improving demand, sort of The green shoots of improving demand around bulk chemicals. I think spec chem has continued to remain solid. And they've also differentiated between their commitment and ability to again Sustain their CapEx investments even through this down cycle because that's a longer term investment versus OpEx. And that's what we benefit from.

Speaker 5

So I know that's been a question for investors between Emerson and AspenTech. I believe Emerson benefits tremendously from CapEx. We benefit from OpEx. Now We're here in budgeting season, and I'm not so sure that the outlook for these chemical companies will change dramatically. Therefore, their budgets might be equally subdued for next The calendar year, the next fiscal year, but we'll see.

Speaker 5

But clearly, there's you're starting to hear a little bit of more positive remarks around their macro demand environment than we've heard over the last 6, 9 months.

Speaker 11

That's helpful. Thank you. And then Chantal, real quick, last quarter, I think it was noted that there were a few customers, particularly in Latin America and Asia that were just taking a little bit longer to pay. And I was just wondering if it's fair to assume based from the good cash flow credit this quarter, whether that trend has kind of corrected itself this quarter?

Speaker 4

Yes, I think that we've seen the amount we expected to see in Q1. If you remember, I said it would kind of come in over Q1 met what we expected from the Q4 from those countries that paid late. So I think it was absolutely in line and we're Definitely pleased with our Q1 free cash flow performance.

Speaker 11

Thank you. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from Naso Nain with Berenberg. Your line is open.

Speaker 3

Hi, both. Hi, hello. Thank you for taking the questions. I've got 2, if I may. If I could Start with the strategic investments that you mentioned, please.

Speaker 3

I was wondering if you could share a bit more color on Which parts of the business that you're investing into and also the high velocity sales force? Are there any particular opportunities that The sales organization pursuing. And then my second question is on the divisional or segmental performance of business. I think if I heard you correctly, I think you mentioned that engineering was had a really strong quarter, up about 13% year on year. So So, if I could get some high level segmental update for the rest of the business for please.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 5

Go ahead, Chantal. Do you want to elaborate? Sure.

Speaker 4

Yes, I just didn't want it. So I think from an investment perspective, we're pleased with a few very specific areas of The first one you mentioned is the high velocity sales and there as we ramp that headcount through the year, we're very much seeing those kind of new logos that we mentioned some of the startups, new ventures, which are very exciting for us as new growth and the land and expand opportunities for some of the other plays that we're seeing. So Definitely high velocity sales for those two factors. The other investment area that we continue to ever since Q4 is the DGM business, mostly rest of world with an intent on Europe. So we're pleased on the sense of the investments we've made for sales going into Europe and the team that's been built out there and continues to work in close pipeline.

Speaker 4

And then the 3rd investment that's related to sales is setting up the services ecosystem for DGM. And so that's related to sales to delivering the sales and those are the 3 specific ones and we're pleased with the growth we can get with those things being enabled. I think from the segment perspective, I understood your question correctly. So we commented that this quarter was the highest growth for engineering over the last 13, not specifically giving the amount that you quoted, but generally the concept there is we're very pleased with the engineering growth. We don't usually disclose segments on a quarterly basis, but Antonio maybe you could provide some anecdotal commentary.

Speaker 5

Yes. Well, I mean, look, I'll just stay at a high level. But certainly, significant increasing headcount is going into DGM, both field sales as we expand internationally into Europe, but we're also adding some headcount in other parts as well, Latin America, the Middle East, South Asia. Aftermarket sales, which in a way it's mostly an inside sales organization as Well, for the GM, we're making a significant investment in that area. Look, we're increasing the number of enterprise sales consultants for Hat because we believe there's a bigger opportunity that We'll start flowing through for HAD as a result of also sustainability and the combination of sustainability use cases with our traditional technology.

Speaker 5

And then a material increase in the overall number of headcount in the company. And it takes a while to make all these people productive, but that's also something that we focused on, the sales enablement and how do we Accelerate that. And as a matter of fact, I'll also say that we've learned from Emerson since they have a much bigger sales organization, how they've scaled sales enablement and That's sort of a best practice that we've been able to take from our relationship with Emerson. So I'm very encouraged and it's an exciting time in AspenTech at the moment.

Speaker 3

Understood. Thank you very much both. Thank you.

Operator

I show no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Antonio for closing remarks.

Speaker 5

Thank you, operator. Look, what I would like to highlight here to close, again, We believe in our ability to deliver on our guidance for the year, our ability to grow double digit ACV growth and at least 11 point percent. We're very encouraged by the macro indicators across most of our industries. And as I said, Chemicals looks like it's improving the macro demand for bulk chemical producers, so that's good. As I travel around the world to talk to DGM customers, so I say customers, I just marvel at how now relevant Aspen Technologies for global electrification and the role we are playing and we will be increasingly playing in that area.

Speaker 5

I think sustainability is real. Certainly, some regions of the world are making bigger investments at this moment than others. But overall, the sustainability CapEx is starting to flow and eventually there will be OpEx with that, which will benefit our business, our MSC APM suite. And then overall, look, very confident. There's a lot of work happening here.

Speaker 5

Now it's about execution and expansion and then focusing in the remaining time that we have in fiscal year to exceed our your expectations. So with that, I want to thank you all and look forward to talking at some point in the future.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now

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Key Takeaways

  • Solid Q1 performance: Delivered 10.9% year-over-year ACV growth to $898 M and $16 M free cash flow, marking a shift from integration to execution and expansion.
  • Broad-based demand: Customer spend remains robust across upstream/midstream energy, refining, E&C and power T&D, driven by favorable market conditions and ongoing CapEx investments.
  • Sustainability as a growth driver: Rising CapEx in carbon capture, green hydrogen, plastics recycling and renewables is feeding engineering suite bookings and laying the groundwork for future MSC/APM sales.
  • Sales investments & Emerson partnership: Expanding sales capacity, including a “high velocity” team and deeper collaboration with Emerson, is expected to unlock new opportunities in H2 FY24 via Emerson’s global installed base.
  • Confident full-year outlook: Reaffirmed guidance of at least 11.5% ACV growth and $360 M free cash flow for FY24, backed by SSE renewals in Q3 and sales capacity ramp.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Aspen Technology Q1 2024
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