Boot Barn Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
October 28, 2024

There are 15 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Boot Barn Holdings Incorporated Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Now, I'd like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Mark Dedovish, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Finance. Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss Boot Barn's 2nd quarter fiscal 2025 earnings results. With me on today's call are Jim Conroy, President and Chief Executive Officer John Hazen, Chief Digital Officer and Jim Watkins, Chief Financial Officer. A copy of today's press release along with a supplemental financial presentation is available on the Investor Relations section of Boot Barn's website at bootbarn.com.

Speaker 1

Shortly after we end this call, a recording of the call will be available as a replay for 30 days on the Investor Relations section of the company's website. I would like to remind you that certain statements we will make during this call are forward looking statements. These forward looking statements reflect Boot Barn's judgment and analysis only as of today, and actual results may differ materially from current expectations based on a number of factors affecting Boot Barn's business. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward looking statements. For a more thorough discussion of the risks and uncertainties associated with the forward looking statements to be made during this conference call and webcast, we refer you to the disclaimer regarding forward looking statements that is included in our Q2 fiscal 2025 earnings release as well as our filings with the SEC referenced in that disclaimer.

Speaker 1

We do not undertake any obligation to update or alter any forward looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. I will now turn the call over to Jim Connery, Boot Barn's President and Chief Executive Officer. Jim?

Speaker 2

Thank you, Mark, and good afternoon. Thank you, everyone, for joining us. As we announced in today's press release, I have made the decision to step down as President and CEO of Boot Barn to pursue an opportunity as CEO of Ross Stores. I am extremely proud of the accomplishments of the Boot Barn organization during my tenure and will be forever grateful to the team with whom I've shared this amazing journey. John Haven, our Chief Digital Officer will assume the role of Interim CEO after my departure on November 22, while the company conducts both an internal and external search before making a permanent decision.

Speaker 2

John is currently responsible for e commerce, marketing and the customer experience. He has led many of our innovations over recent years and has partnered very closely with both merchandising and store operations as we've built out the brand and our omni channel experience. John's prior experience includes running both the stores and e commerce businesses at True Religion. Prior to that role, John ran the digital business at Fox Racing, a leading lifestyle action sports brand. John is a very collaborative leader, a solid contributor to the strong culture at Boot Barn and is highly regarded within the organization.

Speaker 2

Additionally, Pete Sarat, the Chairman of the Board for the past 12 years will transition into the role of Executive Chairman. Pete knows the company extremely well and is committed to working through an orderly transition. John will be well supported by the senior management team that includes Jim Watkins, our CFO Lori Grijalva, our Chief Merchandising Officer and Mike Love, our Chief Retail Officer. This group has worked together for over a decade and I have a great deal of confidence that the company will operate smoothly going forward despite my absence. I am confident in John's ability to lead as Interim CEO and I'm pleased to now turn the call over to him.

Speaker 2

John?

Speaker 3

Thank you, Jim. I appreciate

Speaker 4

the vote of confidence from you and the Board and I'm excited to take on this new role. I feel fortunate that the company is healthy, has strong momentum and has a solid team in place that has been working together for a long time. At this point, I would like to turn our attention to our Q2 fiscal 2025 results, discuss the progress we have made across each of our 4 strategic initiatives and provide an update on current business. Following my remarks, Jim Watkins will review our financial performance in more detail and then we will open the call for questions. We are very pleased with our Q2 results, which reflect broad based strength across all major merchandise categories in stores and online and across all geographies.

Speaker 4

During the quarter, revenue increased by 14% including consolidated same store sales growth of 4.9%. Same store sales in both the stores and e commerce channels were positive and sequentially improved in the quarter with stores increasing 4.3% and e commerce increasing 10.1%. We believe both our revenue growth and new store expansion have significantly outperformed the industry resulting in substantial market share gains. Earnings per diluted share were $0.95 during the quarter compared to the high end of our guidance range of $0.87 and versus the prior year earnings per diluted share of $0.90 I'm extremely pleased with our 2nd quarter results and believe that our team's year to date execution will continue into the second half of the fiscal year. I will now spend some time discussing each of our 4 strategic initiatives.

Speaker 4

Let's begin with expanding our store base. We opened 15 stores in the Q2, ending the period with 4 25 stores across 46 states. Our new store engine continues to meet our sales, earnings and payback expectations. As a reminder, we model new store performance at $3,000,000 of revenue with a cash on cash return on capital of approximately 60% in the 1st year of operation. Our new store pipeline remains healthy and we expect to open 16 new units this year meeting our commitment of 15% new store growth annually.

Speaker 4

Given the ongoing success of our new store openings, we believe that we have the market potential to open an additional 500 stores in the U. S. Alone, more than doubling our current store count. Moving to our 2nd initiative, driving same store sales growth. 2nd quarter consolidated same store sales grew 4.9% with brick and mortar same store sales increasing 4.3%.

Speaker 4

Store comp growth was driven by an increase in transactions plus an increase in AUR and UPT which drove a larger average transaction. From a merchandise category perspective, we experienced broad based growth during the quarter as all major merchandise categories comp positive led by the combined men's western boots and apparel business, which comp positive high single digits. The largest sequential improvement was ladies western boots and apparel, which collectively comp positive mid single digits in the second quarter, approximately 500 basis points better than the Q1. Included in the men's and ladies comps is our denim business, which together comped nearly double digit positive in the quarter. Our combined work boots and apparel business also comped low single digit positive in the quarter.

Speaker 4

Moving to our 3rd initiative, strengthening our omnichannel leadership. E commerce comp sales grew 10% in the 2nd quarter led by our bootbarn.com site, which posted sales growth of approximately 15%. We are very pleased with the momentum of our online business and the innovation from the omnichannel team, which continues to make progress on several fronts. The Boot Barn app that we launched 2 years ago has experienced solid growth and now comprises approximately 10% of Boot Barn's online sales. Additionally, we are beginning to test an in store consumer driven AI solution named Cassidy, which we believe has the potential to help build transaction size, improve sales conversion and train new store associates.

Speaker 4

The Cassidy experience is tailored to each unique customer in the specific store they visit. Now to our 4th strategic initiative, merchandise margin expansion and exclusive brands. During the Q2, merchandise margin increased by 70 basis points compared to the prior year period, driven by supply chain efficiencies. Exclusive brand penetration decreased by 50 basis points, which was in line with guidance as it wrapped over 600 basis points of growth in the prior year period. Looking at the second half of the year, we expect to grow exclusive brand penetration at a normal pace approximately 200 basis points over the prior year period contributing to substantial merchandise margin growth.

Speaker 4

We continue to believe we can achieve merchandise margin expansion through a combination of supply chain efficiencies, better buying economies of scale and growth in exclusive brand penetration. Turning to current business. Through October, we have continued to generate broad based growth in same store sales. On a consolidated basis, October's same store sales were 5.1% with our store comp increasing 4.3% and our e commerce business increasing 12.5%. While we are pleased with the start to our Q3, October historically represents 25% of the quarter's revenue with December alone representing half of the third quarter's business and even more disproportionate share of the quarter's earnings.

Speaker 4

We feel very good about the current tone of the business and believe we are well prepared for a successful holiday season with exciting marketing campaigns, fresh inventory and a well prepared field organization ready to provide best in class customer service. I'd like to now turn the call over to Jim Watkins.

Speaker 3

Thank you, John. In the Q2, net sales increased 13.7 percent to $426,000,000 The increase in net sales was the result of the incremental sales from new stores and the increase in consolidated same store sales. The 4.9% increase in same store sales is comprised of an increase in retail store same store sales of 4.3% and an increase in e commerce same store sales of 10.1%. Gross profit increased 14% to $153,000,000 compared to gross profit of $134,000,000 in the prior year period. Gross profit rate increased 10 basis points to 35.9 percent when compared to the prior year period as the result of a 70 basis point increase in merchandise margin rate, partially offset by 60 basis points of deleverage in buying occupancy and distribution center costs.

Speaker 3

The increase in merchandise margin rate was primarily the result of supply chain efficiencies, while the deleverage in buying occupancy and distribution center costs was driven by the occupancy costs of new stores. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $113,000,000 or 26.5 percent of sales compared to $95,000,000 or 25.5 percent of sales in the prior year period. SG and A as a percentage of net sales increased by 100 basis points, primarily as a result of higher incentive based compensation, legal expenses and marketing expenses in the current year, partially offset by lower store payroll expenses. Income from operations was $40,000,000 or 9.4 percent of sales in the quarter compared to $39,000,000 or 10.3 percent of sales in the prior year period. Net income was $29,000,000 or 0 point 95 dollars per diluted share compared to $28,000,000 of net income or $0.90 per diluted share in the prior year period.

Speaker 3

Turning to the balance sheet. On a consolidated basis, inventory increased 22% over the prior year period to 713 approximately 10% on a same store basis. We finished the quarter with $37,000,000 in cash and 0 drawn on our $250,000,000 revolving line of credit. Turning to our raised outlook for fiscal 2025. The supplemental financial presentation that we released today lays out the low and high end of our guidance range for both the full year and Q3.

Speaker 3

I will be speaking to the high end of the range for both periods in my following remarks. Please note that our guidance excludes any benefits and costs related to the CEO transition. As we look to the 3rd quarter, we expect total sales at the high end of our guidance range to be $595,000,000 We expect consolidated same store sales to increase 6% with the retail store same store sales increase of 5% and an e commerce same store sales increase of 10%. We expect gross profit to be $232,000,000 or approximately 38.9 percent of sales. Gross profit reflects an estimated 100 basis point increase in merchandise margin, partially offset by 30 basis points of deleverage in buying occupancy and distribution center costs.

Speaker 3

Our income from operations is expected to be $87,000,000 or 14.7 percent of sales. We expect earnings per diluted share to be $2.07 As a result of our Q2 performance and our updated outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year, we are raising our full year guidance. For the full fiscal year, we now expect total sales at the high end of our guidance range to be $1,910,000,000 representing growth of 14% over fiscal 2024. This is a $57,000,000 increase over our previous sales guide of 1.8 $5,000,000,000 We now expect same store sales to increase 5% with the retail store same store sales increase of 4.5% and e commerce same store sales growth of 9.5%. This is an increase from our previous guidance of consolidated same store sales growth of 1.2%.

Speaker 3

We now expect the gross profit to be $713,000,000 or approximately 37.4 percent of sales. Gross profit continues to reflect an estimated 110 basis point increase in merchandise margins driven by supply chain efficiencies, better buying economies of scale and growth and exclusive brand penetration of 110 basis points. Our income from operations is expected to be $233,000,000 or 12.2 percent of sales. We expect net income for fiscal 2025 to be $174,000,000 and earnings per diluted share to be 5 point $6.0 a $0.25 increase from our prior guidance of $5.35 We continue to expect our capital expenditures to be $120,000,000 and for the remaining 6 months of the fiscal year, our effective tax rate is estimated to be 26.6%. We remain committed to our plan to grow new units by 15%, adding a total of 60 new stores during the year.

Speaker 3

We anticipate opening 14 stores in the 3rd quarter and 21 stores in the 4th quarter. I'd like to now take a moment to thank Jim for his contributions to Boot Barn and to all of us who have worked with him during the past 12 years. Jim's vision, passion, hard work and leadership style have not only grown Boot Barn into the company it is today, but have made Boot Barn a truly special place to work. From a personal standpoint, I can't say enough about what he has done for me. Jim has been an incredible mentor, partner and friend.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Jim. I've had the pleasure of working with John for the last 6 years. He is an incredible leader with tremendous vision and I'm looking forward to working with him in his new role. Now, I would like to turn the call back to John for some closing remarks.

Speaker 4

Thank you, Jim. We are very pleased with our year to date performance and the continued momentum of the business and we believe we are well prepared for a successful holiday season. I would also like to extend my gratitude to the team across our stores, distribution centers, call centers and corporate offices for their hard work and dedication. Now I would like to open the call for questions. Operator?

Operator

The first question comes from Matthew Boss from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Great. Thanks and congrats on the news, Jim.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Speaker 5

So, Jim or John, could you elaborate on the material inflection in comps that you saw as the Q2 progressed? And maybe if you could just walk through trends that you've seen in October as we look across categories or just any notable outliers by region?

Speaker 2

Very good. Matt, I'm not sure if Jim or John met me, but I'm this is Jim Conroy, I'll take that one. As you know, the story has been unfolding over the last several quarters where we've had broad based sequential improvement across categories and channels and regions within the stores organization. And as we guide from the Q1 into the Q2, we just continue to see that sequential improvement carry forward. Essentially every single department got better between Q1 and Q2.

Speaker 2

The other really nice fact for the Q2 was every major merchandise department that we track had positive same store sales growth and every region of the country had positive same store sales growth. So we feel very good about that improvement. And October is very much in line with the Q2.

Speaker 3

There is

Speaker 2

most of the quarter is still ahead of us of course with December, but we think we're off to a very solid start with a +5 October. We feel great about the way the inventory is positioned and looking forward to a strong Q3 for us.

Speaker 5

Great. And then maybe just a follow-up on the margin side. Could you elaborate on the drivers of merchandise margin expansion that you've embedded in the 3Q gross margin outlook and just runway you see remaining for gross margin multiyear?

Speaker 3

Sure. So we expect merchandise margin to improve 100 basis points in the Q3, a little more of half of that coming from supply chain efficiencies that we've been seeing for the last couple of quarters and then about, call it, 40 basis points coming from better buying economies of scale including expectations of exclusive brand penetration improving to 200 basis points. And then as we get into the Q4, things will look pretty similar to that as well as we look at the merchandise margin seeing continued expansion from supply chain efficiencies as well as better economies, buying economies of scale and exclusive brand penetration that should be in the similar ballpark of 200 basis points in Q4.

Operator

The next question comes from Peter Keith from Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hey, thanks everyone. Jim, it's been great working with you. And I know you guys are coming right up on 10 years as a public company. So you've done a great job under your tenure. We'll miss you.

Speaker 6

One thing that we noticed with the last quarter, the categories or the sort of the farm and ranch sector sells a lot of the same products you do, not getting better with apparel and footwear. You guys are getting better, so it suggests some market share acceleration. Do you have opinions on where what categories your market share might be picking up the strongest and what might be the drivers to that?

Speaker 2

Sure. Yes, that report that you put out, I think had footwear and apparel at minus 9% in the most recent quarter for Farm and Ranch. I think there is a couple of things that may benefit us a little bit more than them because that group is a pretty formidable group of companies. We have seen some very nice sequential improvement in the ladies businesses particularly ladies Western cowboy boots, which were better than company average, not wildly better, but better than company average. So we skew a little bit more balanced where they tend to be extremely focused on functional product only.

Speaker 2

So I think that coupled with the fact that I do think our brand is resonating more. We've been very actively connecting with country music stars and feel like we're benefiting from that. So yes, I think the setup for the question was spot on, which is I do think we're taking market share based on the fact that we're outcomping many of the other competitors in our space. And if we were to add the additional sales that we're getting from new stores on top of the outperformance in comp, we're clearly taking share. So we feel great about that.

Speaker 2

And I think we're well positioned going forward.

Speaker 6

Okay, great. And then you did reference the country music stars. I know we've talked in the past around the Morgan Wall and towards sponsorship. And it looks like there's been a few others that have been added. Maybe could you highlight what other stars you've added?

Speaker 6

Are there sort of demographic audiences that you're targeting with those? And how might those relationships evolve?

Speaker 2

Sure. Sure. Well, we've had long standing relationships on the product side with both Brad Paisley and Miranda Lambert, and they have been just fabulous partners for us. You're right to call out the more recent sponsorship for Morgan Wallen. But now we're doing a bit more with artists that are rifle shots for specific target customer segments.

Speaker 2

So we've done some work with Corinne Leon. We over index with a Mexican American customer and leaning into Hispanic music, we believe is a good place for us to prospect for a larger customer base. We're doing some exciting things over the next month or so with an artist that's a bit of a bridge to Country Music called Jelly Roll. And that is part and parcel with our strategy to continue to try to expand our customer demographic in concentric circles around sort of a pure Western customer. And that strategy has been serving us well.

Speaker 6

Very good. Thanks so much, Jim.

Speaker 2

Of course.

Operator

The next question comes from Steven Zaccone from Citi. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Great. Thanks very much for taking my question. Jim, sad to see you go. Congrats on the success here and best wishes in the next step. I wanted to ask around the comps inflection and to follow-up on Matt's question.

Speaker 7

When you look at the business, what's been the biggest driver of upside? Clearly, you've beaten expectations in the first half of the year here. Is it better transactions? Is it basket size? Like what are you seeing from the customer?

Speaker 7

And as you think about what's the incremental upside, where are there areas in the assortment that are still a drag or where can business get a little bit better?

Speaker 2

Sure. From that perspective, the biggest change has been in transactions. So in the Q1, transactions on an average basis was down very slightly, but in the Q2 that turned positive. And that was the first time transactions were positive for us in 8 quarters. The other thing that was great, so transactions were up about 2% and the basket size was up about 2%.

Speaker 2

You put those 2 together and you get to the because this is a stores number, you get to that 4.3% same store sales in the stores. The other really great thing is both AUR and UPT were up. So sort of all four components of the store transaction were up in the quarter. I think from a merchandise category standpoint, again, we saw sequential improvement in virtually every part of the business. A couple of the businesses that had been slight drags on our same store sales, meaning they were negative, have turned positive.

Speaker 2

So it's nice to see the Work Apparel business turn positive. The Work Boot business turned slightly positive. We talked about that on the last call being slightly negative. Ladies Western Apparel turned slightly positive, low single digits and was slightly negative in the last quarter. So a few of the drags on our business turned to the positive side and we just feel great about how that whole quarter came together.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thanks for that. The follow-up I had is just as you've seen the category or maybe your own business start to do better, are there differences in performance, some of the newer stores versus some of your legacy boxes? Like is there anything to call out there? Because some of the newer stores have been opening much larger sizes and more in the Mid Atlantic and Northeast.

Speaker 7

Anything to call out there in differences in performance?

Speaker 3

Steve, this is Jim Watkins.

Speaker 8

The new stores continue to

Speaker 3

perform extremely well across the country, whether that's in the West, the South, the East, the North. And so I wouldn't say that between geographies there's much of a difference. I think your question was more around versus legacy stores. And again, the new stores open at a lower volume than the legacy stores, as you know. And we continue to see we talked about this a little bit last quarter.

Speaker 3

We continue to see that as we get to the 2nd year of comp that we are seeing a little bit more of an outperformance in same store sales when compared to the mature stores. And I would say that that's not necessarily tied to a geography, but more just the class. And so year 1, the stores are year 1 of comp, the stores have opened so big in their 1st year that they're, kind of in line with the chain average comp, but then kind of in line with the chain average comp, but then that second comp year is when we're seeing that outperformance against the more mature stores.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thanks for that detail.

Operator

No problem. The next question comes from Max Ratlanko from TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Great. Thanks a lot for taking my questions. And Jim, congratulations. It's been a pleasure working with you.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Likewise. I appreciate that.

Speaker 9

So first question, maybe just actually following up on the last one. But as we think about the new store waterfall over the course, say, comps year 1, year 2, year 3, how should we think about the lift to the overall business that you're seeing now as trends appear to be stabilizing? And then just bigger picture, historically, you've always historically for a while, you've been able to outperform what the algo is. So how do you think about that moving ahead?

Speaker 3

Sure. So it's still a little bit early to say what the year 3 comp is going to be with the new stores picking up volume over the last couple of years and how they're opening. What I would say is the 2nd year comp or that store that is starting to get the outsized lift that I was just talking about, we're talking about 3, 4, 5 basis points of outperformance on the chain average, not 10 points of comp. And so again, it's still early to call that a tailwind and to include that in our out years model with any specificity. But as we get through the next couple of quarters, Max, I imagine as we outline next year's sales guidance that we'll have some more detail around how those new stores are opening and water falling and providing a little bit of a lift to the comp.

Speaker 3

As far as the long term algorithm, again, it's nice to see the comp sales for the year get to that 5% comp that has been kind of the high end of our long term sales target and see the earnings per share growth get pretty close to the 20%. And so I think as we look forward into next year, again, we'll give you next year's guidance in a couple of quarters. But I think the components of what we've laid out over the years are coming back and are still intact and we see no meaningful changes to that at this time.

Speaker 9

Got it. Okay. And then earlier this year, I think that you made a change to the Ladies merchant team. So how would you assess how the assortment has evolved, if any or if it's too soon? And then just how are you thinking about the right balance of fashion versus function and whether we should expect any changes ahead?

Speaker 3

Sure. Yes, I wouldn't try to tie it back to

Speaker 2

a specific person, but we did make some changes to the ladies' western boot assortment mostly. And we had leaned a little bit too heavily into the fashion side of the business. We were looking at price points in terms of good, better, best and felt like because we had a couple of years of inflation year over year, we had eroded sort of the good, better, best. We had probably vacated some of the good price points. So we took another hard look at it and sort of reset the assortment, leaning more into more functional and performance based ladies western boots.

Speaker 2

And that's probably the or is the strongest part of our ladies Western boots business now. And we were also able to bring in some lower price points between call it $149 $179 that have done quite well for us. So I think it was just getting that assortment right sized. On the apparel side, the apparel business has also turned positive. That's really been driven by denim.

Speaker 2

Our denim business is quite strong on the ladies side and the men's side for that matter.

Speaker 9

Great. Thanks a lot and best regards.

Speaker 2

Of course. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Jeanine Stichter from BTIG. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Hi, thanks for taking my question and Jim will miss you.

Speaker 2

Thanks Janine.

Speaker 10

So just wanted to ask about the inventory down 10.5% on a same store basis. It seems like might be running a little bit lean. Just wanted to hear how you think about it, if there's any areas where you feel like maybe you're missing some sales or if that has anything to do with the mix of private brands versus third party brands? Thank you.

Speaker 3

Yes, Jeanine. If I said it was down 10.5%, I misspoke and I apologize that the inventory on a same store basis

Speaker 10

I think my mistake.

Speaker 3

Yes, up 10.5%. So since we're on the topic, we do feel great about the inventory heading into the holiday shopping period. We've grown our inventory very intentionally and we believe we're bought into the right categories. Markdowns as a percentage of inventory are down from a year ago, weeks of supply is down year over year. So we really feel like we're in a great spot as we head into these couple of busy months.

Speaker 10

Perfect. And then just as we're heading into the election, can you remind us of your exposure to China on both the 3rd party brand side and on the exclusive brands? I mean just how you're thinking about additional tariff risk potential?

Speaker 3

Sure. So we used to be north of about 50% on our exclusive brand product coming out of China. I think we said on the last call that this last fiscal year, we were about 37% of our product comes out of China or came out last year. And what we have on order is approximately 30% coming out of China. So we have derisked our exposure to China.

Speaker 3

And again, there are a lot of benefits to staying in China. I don't think that we'll move completely out of China regardless of what tariff situation happens, but I feel like we've done a nice job of balancing our exposure while limiting the risk to product and quality and deliverability of product.

Speaker 10

Great. Thanks so much.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Jay Sole from UBS. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Great. Thank you so much. Jim, just love to just dig into the change. Just talk about why now? What was it?

Speaker 8

Is this single any change in strategy at Boot Barn? Any insight you can elaborate on to give us a sense of why you made this choice would be helpful. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Sure. No, this was more of a personal decision for me and the family. In terms of Boot Barn's strategy going forward, well, we've had the same four strategies for 12 years. We've had the same senior team working on them, and I think have performed pretty well. So I would yes, as we've discussed this transition, I think I can safely say it's going to be a lot of continuity from what we've been doing for the last decade and John will hopefully take us forward for the next decade.

Speaker 2

So I wouldn't expect any significant changes in the strategy. I mean, we are stamping out a working model. We have 425 ish stores. We can more than double the store count. We've been able to find opportunities for same store sales growth on a consistent basis.

Speaker 2

So I think you can expect more of the same. I will certainly miss this place and be able to speak more to potential opportunities at my next role, but I don't think this is the proper forum for that.

Speaker 8

Okay, understood. Thank you. If I can just add in one more. Just any updates on how the Cody James Blagg 1978 rollout is going? I think last quarter, you think you said it was 100 stores.

Speaker 8

Just talk about where it is today and how did that brand perform in the quarter relative to the full assortment?

Speaker 2

It's performing quite well. It's now in 300 stores. It is the highest price point in the store and one of the questions that we often get is, are we seeing a difference in spend by customer income or price point? And we haven't seen that. And part of that on the boot side is because the Cody James Black brand is outperforming and it's one of the more expensive products in the store, partly because it's an elevated brand and partly because it tends to skew more towards exotic skin versus plain leather.

Speaker 2

That said, sort of hearkening back to the last call, we're excited about it. It adds some real excitement in the business. Hopefully, it will be a great part of our gift giving for holiday. But just in terms of quantifying it, it's not multiple points of same store sales. It's a relatively small piece of our overall business.

Speaker 2

And I don't want to diminish the excitement of it or the work that's gone into it, but it's not comprising 4 or 5 points of comp.

Speaker 8

Okay. Jim, that's helpful. Thank you so much.

Operator

The next question comes from Jonathan Komp from Baird. Please go ahead.

Speaker 11

Hi, this is Alex Conway on for John. Jim Watkins, just looking at the comp guidance for FQ2, there seems to be a bit of range if you just take October, some to the upside, some to the downside. Could you just walk through maybe a bit of some of the assumptions you have on either side of that and what really you think the swing factors could be for holiday?

Speaker 3

Sure. Yes. So on the Q3 guidance, really what we did is a similar approach that we've taken the last few quarters where we looked at the July, August September sales and we rolled that forward applying historical seasonality across several years to see how that would play out in November, December and then through the balance of the year and set our guide accordingly. As we rolled up those numbers, we then took a haircut for Q3, really all month, October, election and that shortened holiday period. And then we also took a little bit of a haircut in Q4 around some macro uncertainty.

Speaker 3

And so as far as the different ranges and how those can play out, October is behind us, our fiscal October is behind us as we look at November. We've got a nice range in there for those exact reasons, depending on how the holiday shopping season plays out, the election and how big of a distraction that is for our customers. And sometimes weather can play into things as you get into November and December January especially. And so I think there are a range of outcomes depending on how the our consumer is feeling financially and also the amount of time they have to shop. What we've seen over the last couple of quarters is really encouraging and how resilient our customer is.

Speaker 3

Again, we have a needs based product that our customer is visiting our stores to shop for and they continue to need that product. And so we're very optimistic and confident in the guidance that we put out there. While considering that there are a few distractions and a few nuances coming our way over

Speaker 4

the next couple of months.

Speaker 11

That's helpful. And then maybe a bit longer term, as you go through this leadership transition, can you share maybe it's a little early, but at least any qualities that you might be looking for in the permanent CEO?

Speaker 2

Well, this is Jim Conroy and I don't want to speak for the Board, but I can give you a couple of pieces having spoken with them through over the last few years over just our normal succession planning process. John was the number one choice a couple of years ago as the person that would succeed me. We didn't know the timing would be this quarter. So he certainly has all of the qualities that we would want in a go forward leader. I think the Board given changes like this happen in a very short order, they want to do their due diligence, make a considered choice and potentially look outside for other candidates.

Speaker 2

But I think John is extremely well positioned to potentially just take the company going forward. So while I don't want to speak for the Board, I think I am accurately conveying their thought process to the investment community. And in terms of qualities and traits, I mean, we have a very, very strong and defined culture here Of all of the 6 core values that we have, the one that always rises to the top is one of collaboration. So one of the reasons I feel very strongly that the company will continue forward successfully when I step away is that we already operate as a very solid team. And I'm just one member of that team and as I step away the other 10,000 people on the team will move forward without me at the helm and do quite well.

Speaker 2

So I think that's how I the best I can answer the question.

Speaker 11

Yes. Thanks again and best of luck in your new role, Jim.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Sam Poser from Williams. Please go ahead.

Speaker 12

Thank you for taking my questions. Congratulations, Jim. I guess my question is what like within the stronger transactions and everything, do you have one well, what was your penetration on exclusive brands this year versus last year? Number 2, can you track sort of your return customers versus new customers within can you give us some breakdown on what you're seeing there with that drove these strong comps and appear to be continuing to drive them?

Speaker 2

Sure. Sure. So, Exclusive Brands is up about you want to take that? Yes.

Speaker 7

Yes, I'll

Speaker 3

take it. For the quarter, Sam, I'm not sure if that was what you're asking about. We were down 50 basis points. That was up against 6 20 basis points of growth last year. And for the year, we're expecting that to be up 110 basis points.

Speaker 3

So the next two quarters up about 200 basis points for each quarter.

Speaker 12

So, a lot of that coming out of this big strength in denim that you're seeing, which is probably more branded than not?

Speaker 3

We are seeing some nice growth from our exclusive brand denim. We're in stock on that and I think as we get through the next couple of quarters that will be a driver on the exclusive brand growth. Also the ladies business in general has seen a nice improvement and that tends to penetrate a little more heavily on exclusive brands. So that's also a driver. But I think that as we look at the last couple of quarters just being up against some really big numbers last year and taking some time to adjust through our assortment with the 3rd party vendors that have had some nice product improvements across categories and getting those in the store.

Speaker 3

I think we're at a spot now where we've got a great assortment from our 3rd party vendors. We've got some really nice product coming in from our exclusive brand team and we'll be back to kind of our long term target of growing exclusive brands in that 200 to 300 basis point of penetration range, not like the outsized growth that we've seen over the last few years that was much higher than that.

Speaker 12

Got you. And then on customers?

Speaker 2

Sure. The customer count is up again year over year. We reached about 8,900,000 customers, up 14% versus last year. We feel really good about the retention of customers and the addition of new customers. As new customers get introduced to the brand, as you know Sam, our average number of transactions per customer is really only about twice a year do they shop with us.

Speaker 2

And we're seeing that behavior pretty similar being pretty similar for legacy customers and for newly added customers. Their basket size is pretty similar. We feel really good. You've asked in the past about our ladies business. We feel really good about the ladies customer really reengaging with us and seeing growth in both ladies boots and ladies apparel as that part of our business is now when I put those together almost 23% of total sales and prior to the pandemic it was 18% of total sales.

Speaker 2

So we feel really good about how we've been able to add more female customers, younger female customers that hold on to them.

Speaker 3

Thank you and congratulations again.

Speaker 2

Thanks Sam.

Operator

The next question comes from Jeremy Hamblin from Craig Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Speaker 13

Thanks. And I'll add my congratulations on a fantastic tenure. I wanted to come back to just some questions around the election potential implications. Just to get a sense for as you look back 2016, 2020, kind of the time period, you've noted before that there's some distraction that happens and a bit of disruption on the typical trends. Want to understand, A, the magnitude of that, B, the length of period where you think there might be some distraction?

Speaker 13

And then also, just related to the potential tariff stuff, what portion of your business or your products are produced in Mexico?

Speaker 3

Sure.

Speaker 8

So the last election in 2020 is

Speaker 3

a little bit difficult to gain a lot of information from given that we're coming out of COVID. And so to quantify that was a little tricky. In 2016, we had called out in a slide in our January, I think it was Jim's presentation in January of that following year that we had a negative impact. We didn't quantify it. It was probably a couple of points of comp.

Speaker 3

If you look at the chart on the quarter, probably not 10 points of comp, maybe closer to 3 to 5 points of comp, but there's also some weather noise that was hurting us that quarter. So long winded answer there. I think the time period that does tend to impact us is really now and until the election. So I think we'll see over the next couple of weeks how big of a distraction that ends up being for us. And then as far as the Mexico question, about 25% of our exclusive brands comes out of Mexico.

Speaker 13

Got it. And then just one other follow-up here on I want to come back to you had really strong comps in the quarter and a strong start to current quarter. In terms of just thinking about, you noted buying occupancy costs, some deleverage there in the quarter, I think, maybe about 60 basis points. And just wanted to get a sense in terms of that drag on a plus 5 comp quarter. Is that just the real estate costs in some of the markets that you're getting into or a bit higher on a relative basis or just additional color you might be able to share on that?

Speaker 3

Sure. Really it's not so much that we're seeing more expensive real estate, but just that we're having new stores that we're opening and new stores even at a similar real estate cost as existing stores or more mature stores, they have a lower sales volume. And so you have a higher rate of occupancy or occupancy as a rate of sales. Also, it's a small Q2 is a smaller quarter than what we see in Q3 and even Q4. And so when we talk about deleverage, we like to look at it more on a full year basis when we provide leverage points.

Speaker 3

But I think your question was really around Q2 and why that was deleveraged. There is also a little bit of utilities. I think I talked about that on the last call that we tend to see higher utilities in the Q2 that hits that occupancy in line.

Speaker 13

Got it. Thanks for taking the questions and best wishes on continued success.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Dylan Carden from William Blair. Please go ahead.

Speaker 14

Hi, guys. This is Alex on for Dylan. Jim, congrats on the news and good luck with your move and thanks for taking our questions here. So just one on the macro, in light of the current macro and early start to the holiday season, what have you observed of your competitors? Is promotional activity tracking to similar levels relative to historicals?

Speaker 14

Are your expectations heading into the holidays? What do those look like? And what are your thoughts for projections on promotional activity in the Q3? Thanks.

Speaker 2

I think it's been much of the same across the competitive set, maybe a slight increase in promotional activity, but certainly nothing we would react to. We have our strategy. We are an everyday low price model and we'll continue to follow a very similar cadence for the very few and pretty light promotions that we will do during the holiday season. Yes, they'll be pretty similar to last year. I don't expect anything we haven't planned any increases in terms of leaning into deeper discounts or more promotions.

Speaker 14

Got it. That's helpful. And then just one on margin. Higher level, can you speak to your longer term margin recovery efforts? Specifically, what initiatives have you prioritized of late?

Speaker 14

And how are those trending to drive the business back towards your prior targets of EBIT margin in the mid teens? I know a few on the gross margin side, you've spoken to supply chain efficiencies, buying economies of scale, that stuff. Is there anything else you would call out on that front?

Speaker 3

Yes. I think you called those out in the merchandise margin arena. Really, we've worked hard to renegotiate contracts with suppliers, more than one supplier driving that improvement and we're seeing that come to fruition now. We've also We also continue to ramp up our activity in our Kansas City distribution center and that's helping us get some efficiencies in the quarter and we'll continue to drive more and more of those efficiencies as we get through this year. And having 2 distribution centers that are up and running really allows us a lot of flexibility in how we support the stores and support the e commerce business.

Speaker 3

And as we get into the out years, a couple of years down the road, we'll or several years down the road, we'll likely open up a third facility and that will drive continued long term efficiencies. We also on the SG and A side of things, we're constantly negotiating with our vendors and our providers recently saw some nice improvement in our corporate and general liability and property insurance and as we came up on renewals. And so that's something that we're looking at and are expecting to see some improvement on as we get through the balance of this year and is included in our guidance, but we'll carry on with this as we get into next year. So it's really at every turn that we can try to renegotiate and drive the cost down. Last call, we talked about something we've been doing for years that continues to grow and scale and that's the taking possession of full container loads of product from our 3rd party vendors and getting a discount there and distributing that ourselves where we're able to pick up some additional margin.

Speaker 3

So we're not out of ideas. The team has done a fantastic job of working with our suppliers and our vendors to get the cost down as we move forward and march back towards that 15% EBIT margin.

Speaker 14

Got it. Super helpful. I'll pass it on. Thanks.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Operator

And we have a follow-up question from Sam Poser. Please go ahead.

Speaker 12

Yes. There's just a follow-up on the margins. On the SG and A, you had said in the past that if you run a 6 comp that that should be a leverage point. Why see us at the high end, why see as much deleverage in the Q3 as we're seeing or thinking about the full year the same way?

Speaker 3

Yes. No, it's a great it's a fair question, Sam. We had a couple we did say that our just backing up. We did say that our at a 2% comp, we would get SG and A leverage on the year and we're about in flat on a 5% comp guide. And I think a couple of things happened.

Speaker 3

1, we saw in the 2nd quarter and it will be with us the rest of the year, the incentive based compensation was higher than anticipated. And that was really the result of accelerated sales last two quarters and adjustments that were required to make and primarily relating to performance based stock compensation, which would base it off of a 3 year EPS projection, some from the annual bonus calculation as well. And then we had some elevated legal expenses during the quarter that were unforeseen related to primarily to a settled dispute we had with one of our properties. And so there are a couple of things that we probably could have modeled a little bit better, but we also weren't anticipating the sales guide that we had at the beginning of the year being a minus 1.6% comp at the high end of the range, accelerating as quickly to a 5% comp and that creates some additional expense that proved to make our leverage points not exactly accurate.

Speaker 12

And in the Q3 though, you're talking about deleverage again on a stronger comp?

Speaker 3

Yes. Again, like my previous comment, we tend to look at the leverage points on a full year basis. And so there's some timing that's in there and it's again, we'll focus on the full year and what we're guiding there. All right. Thank you very much.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to John Hazen for closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you everyone for joining

Speaker 4

the call today. I would like to give Jim Conroy an opportunity to make some closing remarks before we wrap up.

Speaker 2

Thank you, John. After 12 incredible years at Boot Barn, I'm filled with immense gratitude for this company and the extraordinary partners who have been by my side throughout this journey. Together, we've built something truly special and I will forever cherish the shared successes, challenges and memories that we created. I will step away from Boot Barn knowing that the company is incredibly healthy, in very good hands and poised for future growth. I would like to wish the entire Boot Barn family a heartfelt thank you.

Speaker 2

And with that, we will conclude today's call. Thank you and take care.

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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Key Takeaways

  • Jim Conroy announced he will step down as President and CEO on November 22, with Chief Digital Officer John Hazen named Interim CEO and the Board conducting an internal and external search for a permanent successor.
  • Boot Barn reported Q2 revenue up 14% to $426 million, with consolidated same-store sales +4.9% (stores +4.3%, e-commerce +10.1%) and EPS of $0.95 versus $0.90 a year ago.
  • The company opened 15 new stores in Q2, ending the quarter with 425 locations across 46 states, and maintains a 15% annual new-store growth target with a pipeline to add as many as 500 more U.S. stores over time.
  • E-commerce momentum remains strong, with online comps up 10% and the Boot Barn app now representing ~10% of digital sales, while the omnichannel team is piloting “Cassidy,” an in-store AI tool to boost conversion and transaction size.
  • Boot Barn raised full-year guidance, now projecting 14% sales growth to $1.91 billion, 5% same-store sales growth, and EPS of $5.60, up from prior guidance of $5.35 per share.
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Earnings Conference Call
Boot Barn Q2 2025
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