TPG Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
May 8, 2024

There are 10 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the TPG's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Currently, all callers have been placed in a listen only mode. And following management's prepared remarks, the call will be opened up for your questions. Please be advised that today's call is being recorded. Please go to TPG's IR website to obtain the earnings materials.

Operator

I'll now turn the call over to Gary Stein, Head of Investor Relations at TPG. Thank you. You may begin.

Speaker 1

Great. Thanks, operator, and welcome, everyone. Joining me this morning are John Winkelried, Chief Executive Officer and Jack Weingart, Chief Financial Officer. In addition, our President, Todd Cisitsky, is also here and will be available for the Q and A portion of this morning's call. I'd like to remind you this call may include forward looking statements that do not guarantee future events or performance.

Speaker 1

Please refer to TPG's earnings release and SEC filings for factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. EPG undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward looking statements except as required by law. Within our discussion and earnings release, we're presenting GAAP and GAAP measures. We believe certain non GAAP measures that we discuss on this call are relevant in assessing the financial performance of the business. These non GAAP measures are reconciled to the nearest GAAP figures in TPG's earnings release, which is available on our website.

Speaker 1

Please note that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer of purchase and interest in any TPG fund. Looking briefly at our results for the Q1, we report a GAAP net income attributable to TPG Inc. Of $16,000,000 and after tax distributable earnings of $181,000,000 or $0.49 per share of Class A common stock. We declared a dividend of $0.41 per share of Class A common stock, which will be paid on June 3rd to holders of record as of May 20th. With that, I'll turn the call over to John.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Gary. Good morning, everyone.

Speaker 2

TPG entered 2024 with significant momentum as a result of the step function change in scale, diversification and earnings power we experienced last year. This was driven by 3 primary factors: One, our successful fundraises for existing PPG strategies with vintage over vintage growth for our funds in PPG Capital, Healthcare Partners, Asia and RISE. Since going public, we have completed 6 successor fundraises in our private equity and real estate strategies and increased fund sizes by 27% on average. I'm pleased with the strong results our teams have achieved, particularly in the face of a difficult fundraising environment. 2, our continued ability to innovate and grow organically into new areas such as GP led secondaries and real estate credit and 3, most notably, our acquisition of Angelo Gordon, where we expanded into credit investing at scale and doubled the size of our real estate platform.

Speaker 2

To frame the breadth of our transformation, at the end of the Q1 compared to a year ago, we grew our team over 60% to approximately 1800 professionals. Our number of strategies increased from 18 to 30. Our fee paying AUM grew 74% from $79,000,000,000 to $137,000,000,000 And importantly, we are now more diversified with scaled platforms across private equity, credit and real estate. The latter two asset classes currently represent 44% of our total AUM. I'd like to take a moment to highlight our business in Asia where we are celebrating our 30th anniversary.

Speaker 2

Since we first started investing in Asia in 1994, we've built a multi strategy growth and impact funds, and we've been particularly focused on markets such as India, which is one of the fastest growing economies in the world. Over the last 5 years, more than 40% of the capital we've deployed in Asia has been in India, and we've taken 8 portfolio companies public there since late 2021. In the Asia region broadly, we currently have over 250 colleagues working across 9 cities, and we recently completed several important fundraising campaigns that reflect our momentum and scale. Within our private equity platform, we held a final close for TPG Asia 8 last month. We raised approximately $600,000,000 in the Q1 and over $345,000,000 in early April, bringing the total fund size to approximately 5 $300,000,000 14 percent larger than its predecessor.

Speaker 2

In addition to the strong result in private equity, we also held final closes for 2 TPG AG real estate funds, Asia Realty V and our First Japan Realty Value Fund. We raised more than $2,500,000,000 of capital in aggregate and both funds exceeded their respective fundraising targets. Looking ahead, we plan to extend our leadership position in Asia with near term plans for further organic growth. Our credit platform is also experiencing strong momentum. In 2024, we're raising capital across credit solutions, middle market direct lending, and structured credit.

Speaker 2

Since closing the Angela Gordon acquisition in November, we've made meaningful progress introducing our respective TPG and AG clients to one another and delivering the combined platform with a particular focus on credit. We raised more than $2,000,000,000 in credit in the first and over $800,000,000 since quarter end, driven by closes in middle market direct lending and credit solutions. Notably through April, we've closed on approximately $1,000,000,000 for our 3rd essential housing fund within Credit Solutions. Essential housing was built to address the growing demand from residential homebuilders for bespoke land financing solutions. It's a great example of a scalable origination platform we created organically to provide our clients with a differentiated strategy and risk return profile.

Speaker 2

We've also been making good progress on organic growth initiatives and scaling new businesses. We expect our climate franchise to drive meaningful growth throughout 2024 2025 as we build on our market leadership position in impact investing. Are currently in a market with 3 climate strategies. The first is Rise Climate, our dedicated climate private equity strategy, which we launched in early 2021. The enormous capital needs for energy transition, combined with our focused investment strategy and distinctive sourcing capabilities, have generated robust pipelines and highly attractive investment opportunities over the last 3 years.

Speaker 2

Our inaugural fund, which is approximately 85 percent invested and reserved, had value creation of 21% over the last 12 months. We are currently in the market with our 2nd RISE Climate Fund and are seeing strong interest from both existing and new clients ahead of an expected first close in the Q3. Secondly, we continue to innovate our climate private equity strategy through our recently launched Global South initiative. This is a new frontier for us, focused on driving much needed capital to tackle the de carbonization challenge across the Global South. We announced an anchor commitment from Alterra at the end of last year and expect to raise additional capital this year.

Speaker 2

And our third strategy is climate infrastructure, which we are building organically within our RISE platform. The energy transition will require a complete reconfiguration of global infrastructure and we are well positioned to become a leading provider of climate related infrastructure capital. We continue to anticipate a successful first close for this strategy later this year. Our largest and most important clients are highly supportive of our efforts in climate and in the near term we expect to announce additional strategic initiatives with partners that will continue to help us scale We managed $19,000,000,000 of AUM across our market leading impact platform today and expect to grow to more than 35 $1,000,000,000 of AUM within 2 years. PPG GP Solutions, our inaugural European and North American GP led secondaries fund, has completed 5 investments to date.

Speaker 2

And in every transaction, we're engaging in meaningful bilateral dialogue between the sponsor to directly negotiate the transaction ahead of a broader syndication. Over the last several months, I've met with dozens of our largest clients around the world and the topic of secondaries, especially GP led secondaries, has been consistently top of mind given the liquidity pressures across private equity today. We expect to scale this strategy meaningfully over time. Finally, I'd like to highlight our focus on Private Wealth, where we are expanding our global distribution capabilities and developing products specifically tailored for this channel. We have historically raised $1,000,000,000 to $2,000,000,000 of capital annually from the wealth channel and we're focused on growing that figure by several multiples over the coming years.

Speaker 3

During 2024, we've

Speaker 2

including climate, growth, credit solutions, direct lending and structured credit. Looking forward, we plan to further expand our product set through the launch of semi liquid funds beginning with private equity. We believe we are well positioned to offer retail investors differentiated products given our strong track record, distinct investment style, well established global brand and existing relationships with key distribution partners. The addition of TPG AG credit, especially TCAP, our non traded BDC managed by Twinbrook has accelerated our growing presence in the channel. Turning to deployment, you might recall from our last several earnings calls that we have been accelerating the pace of deployment across our platform, particularly in private equity and real estate for much of the past year.

Speaker 2

That trend has continued. And in 2023, our deployment pace more than doubled in the second half of the year compared to the first half and has remained strong through the Q1 of 2024. We believe our robust investment activity relative to the broader alternative space has been driven by our distinctive sector based sourcing approach and patient targeted strategy of developing our own proprietary opportunities, including corporate carve outs and structured partnerships. With over $51,000,000,000 of dry powder in an increasingly active market, we are well positioned to capitalize on the differentiated opportunities that our global investment teams are sourcing. We invested over $6,000,000,000 of capital in the Q1, and I'll highlight some notable recent activity.

Speaker 2

Starting with our private equity strategies, our funds are on track for a 3 to 4 year deployment cycle. We continue to expect structured partnerships and carve outs to be an important source of proprietary deal flow and are also beginning to see more sponsor to sponsor activity. To highlight an interesting example of a corporate partnership, after quarter end our RISE and RISE Climate Funds invested in Siroc, a company founded to decarbonize and de waste the textile industry through recycling at hyperscale, starting with polyester. We are making this investment together with several key partners, including H and M, which entered into a multiyear offtake agreement for a significant share of their recycled polyester demand in connection with this transaction. Next, our real estate platforms ended the quarter with nearly $15,000,000,000 of dry powder on a combined basis.

Speaker 2

Our diversified capabilities dedicated pools of both equity and debt capital enable us to provide solutions across capital structures globally. Within our equity strategies, the higher for longer rate environment is continuing to create a wide range of investment opportunities that we are pursuing on a very selective basis. Last month, Kikuchi Real Estate completed the acquisition of a large office building in downtown Manhattan that will be converted into an approximately 800 unit multifamily rental property. This was a result of our broader thesis on secular headwinds within the office market and the opportunity to pursue office to residential conversions as multifamily fundamentals in New York City have been historically resilient. Within TBG AG Real Estate, our net lease business is seeing a significant increase in activity from corporate owner occupiers looking for sale leaseback transactions.

Speaker 2

Given the cost and challenges within the traditional financing markets, many companies are seeking alternative forms of balance sheet financing. As a result, we are seeing entry cap rates at their 15 year highs. During the Q1, we entered into 3 separate sale leaseback transactions in highly attractive sectors, which are insulated from typical economic cycles. Our real estate credit strategy, Treco, is purpose built to leverage our leading real estate platform and capitalize on what we see as the most attractive investing environment in the last 2 decades to provide capital solutions across the real estate credit market. We activated our inaugural fund in the Q1 and have already closed 3 investments which underwrite mid teens returns.

Speaker 2

The first investments are concentrated in the multifamily housing sector and are represented of the opportunities we are seeing as a result of elevated borrowing costs and reduced lending appetite from banks. Finally, within credit, we deployed over $3,000,000,000 across our strategies in the Q1. During what is normally a seasonally slower quarter, Twinbrook, our lower middle market direct lending business, had its busiest first quarter ever with approximately $1,700,000,000 of net originations. Most of this volume was driven by M and A activity from sponsors seeking liquidity within their portfolios given the improved valuation environment. The pace of deployment within our asset based lending and specialty finance strategy remains very strong as clients continue to diversify a portion of their fixed income allocations to private structured credit opportunities.

Speaker 2

During the quarter, TPG AG's 1st asset based private credit fund ABC, together with Barclays Bank, announced a new lending partnership with Funding Circle to provide up to £300,000,000 of small loans for businesses in the UK. ABC is already more than 75% deployed and we are in the market with our new evergreen vehicle and our second ABC fund with anticipated closes in the second half of the year. Our corporate credit strategy, Credit Solutions, continued to rotate its portfolio in response to changing market conditions. In 2022, we took advantage of higher yields and lower dollar prices to deploy capital opportunistically into the public debt markets. As spreads have tightened over the last year, recently touching near 5 year lows, we've shifted our focus to private opportunities where we control the economic, legal and structuring terms.

Speaker 2

Across our credit solutions funds, we generated more than 2 point $5,000,000,000 of gross sales over the past 12 months, achieving strong returns and are recycling the proceeds into bespoke private financing transactions on what we believe are highly attractive terms. PPG AG Credit Solutions is well positioned as one of the few lenders of scale and our pipeline for deployment is robust as corporate borrowers and sponsors seek sizable creative privately structured financing transactions. Moving to realizations, as we've mentioned before, we aggressively monetized our portfolio during the period of peak valuations a few years ago. Since mid-twenty 22, we've been net buyers given the investment opportunities arising from the market dislocation. But now as we enter a relatively more stable environment with improving valuations, we are beginning to see selective monetization opportunities.

Speaker 2

We are cautiously optimistic regarding the outlook for potential realizations as our pipeline gradually builds. In the Q1, we sold approximately half of RISE Climate's remaining position in NEXTracker following its successful IPO just over a year ago. And last month, KPG Growth exited its investment in Onfido, a global leader in identity verification through a sale of NTrust. Capital Asia closed the sale of Singh Life to Sumitomo Life during the quarter, bringing to conclusion a distinctive deal for our Asia franchise, representing the first ever private equity insurance transaction of scale in Southeast Asia. And just last week, we successfully took Viking Cruises public and a $1,800,000,000 offering, the largest U.

Speaker 2

S. IPO so far this year. We priced near the top end of the initial range and were able to upsize the offering by over 45% from launch due to strong investor demand. The book was multiple times oversubscribed from high quality blue chip accounts. We originally invested in Viking in 2016, providing the company with its first institutional equity capital investment.

Speaker 2

We subsequently leaned in during the height of COVID in 2020 with a significant follow on preferred investment. This was driven by our confidence in the company's long term differentiated positioning. And post pandemic, Viking continues to achieve record booking levels. We're incredibly proud of the partnership we have built together. Taking a step back, we've successfully executed across a number of growth opportunities and our platform is substantially more scaled and diversified today.

Speaker 2

Since our last earnings call, we've hosted advisory committee meetings for 6 of our strategies attended by nearly 150 of our LPs, and I've met with some of our largest clients around the world, including a visit to the Middle East a couple of weeks ago. Given the depth of our relationships, the focus of our conversations has evolved from single strategies to engaging on cross platform solutions and meaningful strategic partnerships. Our largest clients want to do more with us and we believe we are well positioned as the partner of choice given our track record of delivering strong investment performance and differentiated deal flow. This is one of many clear levers we see to drive continued growth, and we look forward to executing on these opportunities over time. Now I'll turn it over to Jack to review our financial results.

Speaker 3

Thanks, John, and thank you all for joining us today. We ended the Q1 with $224,000,000,000 of total assets under management, up 63% year over year. This was driven by $75,000,000,000 of acquired AUM from Angela Gordon, dollars 18,000,000,000 of capital raised and $7,000,000,000 of value creation, partially offset by $13,000,000,000 of realizations over the last 12 months. Fee earning AUM increased 74 percent year over year to $137,000,000,000 and we ended the quarter with more than $51,000,000,000 of dry powder, representing 37% of fee earning AUM. We also had AUM subject to fee earning growth of $25,000,000,000 at the end of the quarter, of which $14,000,000,000 was not yet earning fees.

Speaker 3

Our fee related revenue in the Q1 was $451,000,000 up 70% year over year, primarily driven by the acquisition of Angelo Gordon. It's important to point out though that in addition to the growth attributed to AG, TPG on a standalone basis grew fee related revenue 20% organically year over year. Our Q1 FRR included management fees of 403,000,000 dollars and transaction fees of $34,000,000 The Q1 is typically seasonally light for new deal closings, but our transaction fees were strong, due in part to a number of opportunistic refinancings for our existing portfolio companies, taking advantage of improving credit market conditions. Looking forward, we expect to drive further growth in transaction fees as we expand our capital markets team and integrate our broker dealer capabilities into the TPG AG platform. We reported fee related earnings of $182,000,000 for the 1st up 84% year over year.

Speaker 3

And our FRE margin was 40%. As we noted on our last call, our normalized margin has blended down through the inclusion of TPG AG and we now have an opportunity to drive profitable growth through margin expansion. Although our FRE margin will fluctuate quarter to quarter due to items such as catch up fees and transaction fees, we expect our margin to exceed 40 percent for the full year in 2024 as we realize operating leverage from the integration and scaling of our businesses while also investing in growth initiatives. Moving below FRE, we had $32,000,000 of realized performance allocations in the quarter. While we've been net buyers over the last couple of years, we are gradually building our realization pipeline as the exit environment improves.

Speaker 3

As John mentioned, just last week, our portfolio company, Viking Cruises, executed a highly successful IPO, the largest U. S. IPO so far this year. This is the largest remaining position in TPG 7, a 2015 vintage fund, and we sold approximately $675,000,000 of equity in the offer. We continue to differentiate ourselves with our fund investors through our consistent return of capital.

Speaker 3

While TPG 7 is a strong promote paying fund, this particular monetization will not generate promote due to the fund waterfall mechanics. We currently expect PRE to begin picking up in the back half of this year. Our realized investment income and other line item in the Q1 included $8,000,000 of non core expenses related to the acquisition and ongoing integration of Angelo Gordon, a step down from $18,000,000 last quarter. We expect to incur a similar level of quarterly non core expenses through the end of this year, primarily focused on IT investments to integrate our operating platforms. After tax distributable earnings for the Q1 totaled $181,000,000 or $0.49 per share of Class A common stock.

Speaker 3

Our effective corporate tax rate was lower than usual in the quarter due to the tax benefits of the 1st annual vesting in January of our ad IPO and ordinary service RSUs. We expect this will be a recurring seasonal factor in the Q1 of each year going forward. Turning to our GAAP balance sheet. During the quarter, we issued long term bonds for the first time, benefiting from the strong investment grade credit ratings we obtained in connection with our IPO. We raised $1,000,000,000 through the highly successful issuance of 10 year senior notes and 40 year subordinated notes.

Speaker 3

We used the proceeds to fully repay our revolver, which we had drawn in the Q4 in connection with the AG transaction, to fully repay our term loan and to replenish additional cash on our balance sheet. Following these transactions, our balance sheet remains conservatively capitalized with moderate leverage and ample liquidity. We ended the Q1 with more than $290,000,000 of cash and cash equivalents and $1,200,000,000 of undrawn capacity on our revolver, providing us us the end of the Q1 was $915,000,000 compared to $891,000,000 in the 4th quarter. This 3% increase was driven by $56,000,000 of value creation in our investments, partially offset by the $32,000,000 in realized gains. At the end of the Q1, our performance eligible AUM totaled $193,000,000,000 or 86% of our total AUM, of which $153,000,000,000 is currently generating performance fees.

Speaker 3

Our investment portfolios continue to perform well. We generated positive value creation across all of our platforms for the Q1 last 12 months. Our private equity portfolio, which includes capital, growth and impact platforms, appreciated approximately 2% in the Q1 and 7% over the last 12 months. In aggregate, our portfolio grew revenue by 19% over the last 12 months and margins have remained stable. Our credit portfolio appreciated 3% in the quarter and 15% over the last 12 months.

Speaker 3

This performance was consistent across our credit strategies and was driven by continued strong credit selection and low annualized loss ratios. EPG's real estate portfolio appreciated approximately 4% in the Q1 and 1% over the last 12 months. And TPG AG's real estate portfolio appreciated 40 basis points in the Q1 and 1% over the last 12 months. This positive value creation in a challenging commercial real estate market is attributable to the quality of our portfolio construction in our core thematic areas. These defensive sectors such as light industrial and student housing continue to see strong secular demand growth, limited supply, and rental rate improvements.

Speaker 3

Turning to fundraising. We raised $4,700,000,000 during the quarter. Approximately $2,100,000,000 of this capital was raised across TPG AG Credit with nearly $1,000,000,000 in credit solutions and approximately $600,000,000 in middle market direct lending. In addition, our private equity strategies raised $1,800,000,000 with incremental closings across Asia 8 and Growth 6. Looking forward, consistent with our prior guidance on fundraising, we continue to expect total private equity and infrastructure capital raised in 2024 to grow compared to 2023, driven by the fundraisers for growth and rise climate as well as the launch of our climate infrastructure strategy.

Speaker 3

More than 200 LPs in our growth, rise and rise climate funds are actually here with us in San Francisco today and tomorrow for their respective annual meetings, providing us with a great opportunity to connect in person and discuss our strategies in-depth. Notably, fundraising for our 2nd RISE Climate Fund, which is our largest active campaign, is off to a very strong start with high levels of investor interest and engagement. We expect a substantial re up rate among our current clients as well as new strategic partnerships, driving us toward a sizable first close in the Q3. Additionally, in 2024, we expect fundraising for TPG AG Credit to exceed $10,000,000,000 more than doubling the capital raised by the platform last year. As John mentioned, we're seeing strong interest from some of our largest LPs in engaging with us about our credit strategies, and we're excited to share more with you in the coming quarters.

Speaker 3

To wrap up, we have significant growth opportunity ahead of us across all of our businesses. Our existing portfolio continues to deliver strong performance and we're well positioned with substantial dry powder to deploy into an increasingly active market. We've been successfully scaling our existing businesses and investing into a number of growth initiatives that will contribute meaningfully to our business and build shareholder value over time. Now I'll turn the call back to the operator to take your questions.

Operator

Thank you, We'll take our first question from Craig Siegenthaler with Bank of America.

Speaker 4

Good morning, John, Jack. Hope everyone's

Speaker 1

doing well. Great. So our

Speaker 4

question is a big picture on the investing side of the businesses and we're focusing on the 3 large legacy PPG businesses, capital impacting growth. So if you strip out Angela Gordon, the contribution was 55% of deployments. Investing activity was somewhat muted in the capital business. So how are your investment pipelines tracking in the legacy TPG businesses? Are you expecting a significant ramp in capital and growth deployments later this year?

Speaker 4

And we track a lot of the activity. I think Classic Collisions and Olympus terminals were the only recent announcements that could close in 2Q. I think Olympus was an impact investment too.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Craig.

Speaker 2

I'm going to let Todd start on that.

Speaker 5

Yes. I'll start. Greg, thanks for the question. I don't want to repeat too much of what John said, but just from a framing standpoint relative to the legacy businesses, we actually have felt very good about the deployment pace and probably as a forward indicator, the pipeline over the past almost a year now. I think we were earlier than some in terms of saying that we're seeing a significant pickup.

Speaker 5

And as John had mentioned, our legacy TPG deployment pace sort of more than doubled in the second half of twenty twenty three versus the first half of twenty twenty three. When I look at the pipelines across our businesses, particularly on the legacy side, I continue to feel like the deployment pace is going to be strong going forward. From a qualitative standpoint, I think there are two reasons for that. There are sort of 2 drivers. One is more the macro where in private equity you see bid ask spreads narrowing.

Speaker 5

There's, I think, more of a need for Creative Capital Solutions that applies certainly to PE Credit Solutions and TTAD and other businesses, need for liquidity and recapitalizations in real estate and elsewhere. I also feel like the stuff the second driver is more related to our particular approach to private equity, which is that our pipelines and our portfolios have a large number of often proprietary carve outs, structured relationships with strategics that's really across Growth, Capital, Asia, Real Estate. And that side of the business has been is a little less cyclical, I think, than the maybe the first side of the business is why I think we saw the pace increase as much as we did. On your specific comment about TPG Capital, that's our largest pool of capital as a firm. And we just finished fundraising for TPG 9 and TPG Healthcare Partners 2.

Speaker 5

And in TPG 9, we're about 50 percent invested and signed, and so very much on pace for the 3 to 4 year investment period that we think is prudent and the one that we have articulated to our LPs. You mentioned Classic Collision, which was announced we did close G and A Partners. So, you know, a steady pace, on that side. On GP Solutions, which is the other business John highlighted, that's been we just had a pricing call, investment committee call earlier this morning before I got on this call. We closed Yellow Hive in April, so subsequent to the end of the quarter.

Speaker 5

TPG growth, we had 2 deals that closed in the quarter, 1 in March, 1 in January, Compass Surgical Partners and Syari Labs, a deal in TCAD at EZCADR. So I think that the overall picture for us on the legacy businesses has been a strong pace and a sense of not only a strong pipeline, but a differentiated pipeline. So we've been excited about the investments we've been able to execute on. And I think the broader market is coming back as well, but we felt at a steady pace through the 1st part of the year.

Speaker 2

Craig, the only thing I would add and then we can move on is that just having come back from 2 days down at Milken and seeing a lot of our LPs, a lot of clients. To Todd's point, we feel like our pipeline, just deal flow around our firm is generally really strong. I think that one of the interesting, I think, questions going on in the market right is the importance of and I think we're very focused on this is the importance of selectivity. And we definitely see an uptick in terms of overall kind of deal flow. I think the questions also relate to pricing in a number of cases as well because with financing having gotten much more fluid and available and we're relative to last year, I think we see an increase in sponsor to sponsor level activity given the pressures on sponsors to try to return capital.

Speaker 2

And I think also, again, as Todd said, we felt we were a little earlier in terms of some deal activity in the 3rd and 4th quarters of last year. We liked the prices a lot and we liked our deal flow a lot. I think that we're now seeing signs of, in some cases, what look like people sort of jumping over one another a little bit in terms of pricing and valuation. So I think there's some I think just continuing to keep our eyes on being selective and being focused on performance is something that's front and center for us.

Operator

Our next question comes from Ken Worthington with JPMorgan.

Speaker 6

Hi, good morning and thanks for taking the question. I was hoping to get more color on your prepared remarks on the integration of Angelo Gordon. You mentioned cross marketing is well underway. What sort of reception are you getting given you have a number of Angelo Gordon funds in market this year? And as you think bigger picture about Angelo Gordon and next steps for growth, what are the priorities, say, over the next 12 months and then over the next 3 years as you build out the business?

Speaker 2

Good morning. Good question. I mean, I think that if you were a fly on the wall inside of this organization, you wouldn't be able to miss the level of focus and intensity around the engagement between kind of PPG AG. And as I say that too, I just think that the other sort of the other dynamic that I guess I would point to is that the integration of our 2 firms has gone extremely well. And again, every day, I think we don't think of ourselves as 2 firms.

Speaker 2

We think of ourselves as 1 firm. And we've spent a lot of time using resources across both organizations to systematically deploy into our LP bases. And so all of us that do this for do this very routinely in terms of meeting with our most significant relationships around the world are organizing and deploying together to make sure that it's clear that we are one firm now and that the strategies that are represented under the what was the AG umbrella are core parts of our strategy here as a firm. So if you were with me on my trip to the Middle East 2 weeks ago, you wouldn't be able to differentiate between me talking about our private equity strategies or our real estate strategies or our credit strategies. In other words, it's a core part of what we're talking about.

Speaker 2

And I think that as we do that, we're also having many, many meetings and discussions like down at Milken over the last 2 days. Most of our meetings were some combination of our private equity team and our credit teams together, because one of the things that we feel is a differentiated part of our business now and our model is that we have the ability, just like we've always collaborated between our strategies here at the firm, we have the ability to collaborate now between our PE and our credit businesses in terms of sourcing opportunities, valuing opportunities and creating sort of value add solutions that create really interesting investing opportunities. The thing that you're hearing around the world right now when you talk to LPs is this concept of solutions capital is becoming more and more prominent because of interest rates being higher for longer, because of valuation dislocation, because of There's more and more focus on how do large institutional LPs use their capital to partner with us to create really interesting investment opportunities and return opportunities. And we just feel like we're incredibly well positioned with our clients to do that because if you look at the orientation that we've always gone to market with, we have our core strategies across the various asset classes.

Speaker 2

We have horizontal step out strategies that provide solutions based capital like our TGS business that Todd was talking about or our tech adjacencies fund. And now within our credit strategy, things like credit solutions, given the leverage, the number of levered capital that need to be worked through or essential housing as an example, which is a kind of a purpose built creative approach to financing the major homebuilders that are all ramping their production. And so we honestly feel great about it so far in terms of how we're delivering the firm holistically to our clients. So more to come on that. We'll keep you apprised, but we feel like we're really well positioned.

Speaker 2

Ken, it's Jack. I would just add, you asked kind of

Speaker 3

what we're focused on going forward. As I think about it, it's scaling the existing TPG AG Credit Businesses, which we've talked about. It's innovating new products together and penetrating new channels together, including insurance. It opens up the obviously, the addition of the TBG AG Credit Businesses opens up the insurance channel like we've never had access to before and we're very focused on that. On scaling their existing businesses, as I mentioned in my comments, we are making very good progress with TPG's historically larger LPs in introducing the credit platforms to them.

Speaker 3

John talked about his shift to the Middle East, the meetings at Nokia. And the fact is that we just launched most of those campaigns this year. And creating a new LP relationship in a new asset class is a multi meeting cycle. So we're halfway through those meetings with some of our largest LPs. As I mentioned in my remarks, we will be sharing more about that in the coming quarters as we complete that multi meeting cycle and bring in new clients to that platform.

Operator

Our next question comes from Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 1

Hi, good morning guys. Hi, good morning.

Speaker 7

Thank you for the question. So one of the key elements of growth strategy for the firm has been expansion to wealth. You highlighted a couple of things on this

Speaker 2

as well. But can you speak a little

Speaker 7

more to the sort of product development you expect to have over the next kind of 12 to 18 months when it comes to the wealth channel, both in terms of maybe the semi liquid products and any other sources of capital raising you see there? Thanks.

Speaker 3

Sure. Thanks, Alex. I'll start on that. It's Jack. Look, we're very focused, as we've been saying, expanding our presence in the wealth platform and that's got multiple dimensions to it.

Speaker 3

We're internally, we're significantly building our own resources in that area, building out our distribution team focused on wealth. On the new product side, we definitely see significant movement of client demand into permanent capital open ended structures. We've obviously got TCAP, the direct lending vehicle in the market. We've got a couple of other vehicles already focused on that. We don't yet have a private equity semi liquid product, but we're actively working on that and expect to launch it early next year at the latest.

Speaker 3

And we expect that to be as you know, our performance across our private equity products around the world has been differentiated. And I would just say that all of our conversations with our partners on the bank channel side, They are very eager to have a differentiated TPG semi liquid private equity product in their channel. So we intend to keep pursuing that and other ways to access, which obviously is where client demand is flowing. It's also beneficial to us to have more stable and growing sources of capital that don't rely upon starting from scratch each fundraising cycle.

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Cyprys with Morgan Stanley.

Speaker 6

Great. Thank you. Good morning. Just hoping to circle back to credit for a moment. Understand you have all I believe all your credit strategies in the market capital raising this year.

Speaker 6

I think you reiterated your expectations to raise over $10,000,000,000 in credit. But question, how should we think about the growth profile of the credit business on a multiyear basis? Would you anticipate any sort of slowdown in 2025 or 2026 as some of those strategies won't be in the market raising? Or do you think you can maintain or even grow that $10,000,000,000 pace on a multiyear basis? Just curious how you're thinking about that and what some of the biggest contributors might be within

Speaker 2

credit. Hey, Mike. Well, I think with respect to sort of the long term growth profile, I think that and this is something that we talked about just after having completed the acquisition. If you look at the platforms within the credit business, all of them continue to outsource and out originate the underlying capital base. So we have a factory and a team and a capability that's been built that I think I would describe as undercapitalized and that's obviously a clear opportunity for us.

Speaker 2

So the focus on raising over $10,000,000,000 of capital this year is the beginning of rightsizing the capital base associated with that business. I think that we have many opportunities as we digging into the business. If you look across our platform and we have and you look at, for instance, our direct lending business, our credit solutions business and our structured credit business, I think we're in the right neighborhood in all three of those businesses in terms of what's coming and what's happening just in terms of the flows. If you look at our direct lending business where we're currently focused on the lower middle market, we had our largest sourcing and origination quarter in the history of the business. And so the ability to continue to scale that business within the lower middle market and our differentiated position there is I think provides continued upside and growth within that platform.

Speaker 2

And just to give you an idea, right, we had new loan deployment in the Q1 of $1,700,000,000 just to give you a relative framework. The previous high quarter the previous high watermark for another quarter was the Q1 of 2021 where we originated 1,000,000,000 dollars So with the level of activity stepping up, add ons to the portfolio, this continues to represent a growth opportunity in the core part of our business there. And as we've talked about before, as companies grow and move out of the lower middle market into their next stage of life and their next and to their next owner, we have the ability to move with them in terms of what we think of as kind of companies that are graduating out of our portfolio. So I think that business has a lot of scale in front of it, both sourcing from institutional sources as well as from sourcing on the channel. The other piece of our business is on the structure flipping to the structured credit side.

Speaker 2

When you go around and you talk to sources of capital in credit right now, there is a lot of focus on how to continue to diversify exposures away from EBITDA based credit. How do we think about our fixed income allocations and our private credit allocations moving from exposure to EBITDA based credit, where naturally at some point there will be some kind of a credit cycle to non EBITDA based credit, particularly given the constraints that we're seeing in the regional banking system and the lack of liquidity there. So I mentioned that in my prepared remarks in terms of some of the flow arrangements and the joint venture arrangements that we're creating. If you look at what's happening in the regional banking system, what we're seeing right now is we're at the stage in the market development where people are trying to sell their highest priced assets, better assets, to continue to work on capital levels within their businesses. We expect that to continue systemically.

Speaker 2

And so the opportunity to finance, do asset based financing, to finance nonbank lenders and having the factory that we built over time positions us to, I think, really continue to scale that business. So and again, we're out originating our capability there in terms of our embedded capital base. So we expect that we'll continue to grow both through asset based through commingled funds, SMAs and structured arrangements with clients as well as the opportunity potentially to take that to the wealth channel as well. And we're seeing people obviously think now evolve semi liquid structures and permanent capital structures around non EBITDA based credit opportunities. And then in Credit Solutions, looking at the opportunity in front of us there in terms of private market solutions, just to give you an idea of the flow that we're seeing in that business, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we're shifting toward private market solutions and the from kind of public opportunities just because of the compression in spreads.

Speaker 2

If you look at the number of levered capital structures and the compression in things like interest coverages, the significant backlog of companies trying to be sold or refinanced, this is going to be a really interesting source of bespoke return opportunities. And to give you an idea, in the first quarter, I think we signed something like between 60 to 70 NDAs with sponsors and companies to work on bespoke capital structures. And what we're doing is we're basically, where appropriate, we're bringing together our private equity expertise where we've seen these companies before or we have industry expertise or sector knowledge with the tactical knowledge that we have on the credit solutions side and working on essentially these bespoke capital structure solutions. And they're as you would imagine, given the the size of some of the companies that are sponsor controlled now, these opportunities are very large. So, you know, we're looking basically to raise more capital in the wake of those opportunities, partner with LPs in terms of co invest opportunities.

Speaker 2

And we think that that will continue to require more capital, and it's a big opportunity to grow into. And And then we also have the essential housing business where we originated that business and started that business with Lennar First as our first partner. And we've now added 11 other homebuilders to the strategy. So that has the ability to continue to scale in a pretty major way. So that all you should put all that in the context of at some point, we'll probably flow into a credit cycle.

Speaker 2

Managing through that credit cycle and being smart about deployment and how we deploy capital will be important not only to us but everyone in the market. So but anyway, that's the frame of reference that we have on the growth of the business going forward.

Operator

Our next question comes from Dan Fannon with Jefferies.

Speaker 8

Thanks. Good morning. Jack, I wanted to follow-up on your comments around transaction fees and maybe separate the near term based upon activity levels and then the longer term opportunity as you get the benefit fully from Angelo Gordon? And then also maybe if there was a split between the revenue contribution of the 2 businesses in this quarter to maybe get a sense of how that's tracking?

Speaker 3

Sure. Let me start with the last question because it kind of frames the rest of it. The transaction fees in Q1 were almost entirely associated with legacy TPG businesses. Think about almost nothing coming from AG because that requires a little bit of work. We're in the process of integrating the broker dealer into their businesses.

Speaker 3

It requires a little bit of new hires. It requires a little bit of work on their fund documents to allow for more capital markets business. So that will be a growth driver going forward. The baseline in Q1 was a little higher than we indicated on our last call we thought it would be because we didn't see a big enough new deal closing pipeline to get to the kind of levels we got to. As I mentioned in my remarks, that ended up being amplified by some opportunistic refinancing as credit spreads tightened and we were able to improve the capital structures of many of our private equity portfolio companies.

Speaker 3

As I think about it, the current quarter represents a decent kind of average run rate for TPG's existing business in Capital Markets. We're expanding our and then from there, the growth will come from a couple of things. Number 1, expanding that capability across more of TPG's business. As we grow in climate, as we grow in climate infrastructure, there are a lot of ancillary capital markets needs around those businesses and we intend to build a capital markets business to service those needs more broadly than just our private equity focus today. And then secondly, the AG opportunity, which I think you should expect to kick in really late this year and into next year as we keep doing the work that I outlined.

Speaker 3

So, that those two elements on top of the current quarter, of course, you're going to see fluctuations quarter to quarter. But as you think about kind of the baseline for that business, over the coming couple of years, those two opportunities will create kind of 2 steps up in the average opportunity in that business.

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian McKenna with Citizens JMP.

Speaker 9

Thanks. Good morning all. So a follow-up on AG credit. How should we think about the cadence of fundraising and how that flows through into fee earning AUM? I'm assuming this will be more driven by deployment activity, but is there a way to think about the ramp of fee earning AUM inflows throughout 2024 for the segment specifically?

Speaker 9

And then I know there can be some noise quarter to quarter on fee rates, but are the Q1 fee rates for AG Credit and AG Real Estate good starting points for Q2 and beyond?

Speaker 3

I'll start on that, I guess. I think the way I think about kind of the credit business flowing into FAUM is 1st and foremost deployment, because almost all of the capital in that business pays fees on deployed capital only. I think all the fundraising you see us talking about and doing this year, the more than 10,000,000,000 dollars is really setting us up for the 2nd leg of growth next year. Most of the funds we're raising this year, some will be deployed this year. But it's hard to in your modeling, it's hard to draw a direct connection between this year's fundraising and 20 24 FAUM and FRR.

Speaker 3

That's more driven by deployment pace in the near term. And I think on the average fee rate question, there's nothing abnormal in the Q1 there. As we talked about at the Analyst Day, I guess the only thing I'd say is that there are obviously 3 or 4 different very different businesses within AG Credit And the average fee rate will be driven more by the deployment mix across those businesses than it will be by some kind of macro some kind of macro factor.

Operator

Our next question comes from Adam Beattie with UBS.

Speaker 8

Thank you and good morning. I want to follow-up on the wealth management channel focusing on your existing product set and your existing distribution relationships. I know there's a lot more to come on both those dimensions. But just trying to get a sense of among your distribution partners in wealth right now, how many of the products John mentioned several products out there targeting wealth. How many of those are on a given platform?

Speaker 8

What's kind of the average or what have you? What I'm trying to get at is maybe the near term, maybe next 12 months opportunity where you have a distribution relationship in wealth, you already have 1 or 2 products on there, but maybe not all of them, so how you could maybe roll more of those into those relationships in the near term? Thank you.

Speaker 2

I think as I mentioned in my comments, I think that what we've we have progressively over the last several years, it's not this is not a new phenomenon this year, continue to be disciplined about establishing distribution arrangements and wealth arrangements for essentially every strategy we bring to market through various value. And those products, in some cases, are being distributed through, in some cases, one partner and, in some cases, a particular strategy is being distributed actually through multiple partners depending on the sequencing of when we're launching and then, frankly, the calendar schedule that our partners have as well in terms of kind of queuing up various strategies. And those are for sort of the traditional fund structures that we've historically brought to market. And we're continuing to do that, and we've ramped that over the last year and now into this year. So to the extent that you see products of ours that are in the market that we're fundraising for, there will be a private wealth strategy around essentially all of them.

Speaker 2

We are, as we said before, and obviously, all of the important partners in the all of the important partners in the market are partners of ours as a

Speaker 6

result of our brand and our

Speaker 2

performance and the relationship that we've established with those partners over time through multiple interactions at different levels of these organizations. And I spend time, Jack spends time, Todd spends time, Jim spends time with meeting with these partners, both in terms of the strategic relationship at the top of the house as well as on the key people that are driving those distribution relationships into private wealth and marketing our brand, marketing our strategies, meeting with advisors, etcetera. So we're well into that process in terms of how we're approaching it. So you should expect, I think, that we'll continue to kind of up ramp the overall level of distribution, the amount of capital we're raising, and that over time, the pie chart of distribution for our capital will continue to inflect more and more toward wealth as we do that. We're obviously now focused on the next stage of that, which is these continuously offered products, which are very important.

Speaker 2

Jack mentioned that and emphasized that in the channel now, the ability for advisors to recommend to their clients to allocate it to various strategies is requiring alternative products to be available on a continuous basis. So, just like mutual funds are or other products are in the market. And so, we're actively working on structuring and preparing our semi liquid private wealth product that Jack already talked about, and we will be launching that into the channel. We have our BDC from our Twinbrook business that's actively being marketed in the channel. Over time, I think what you should expect to see from us is other continuously offered product, maybe in the form of non traded REITs for parts of our business as well.

Speaker 2

So, I think that's what you should expect. And we know that it is a significant source of capital on a go forward basis. And the relative allocation in that channel is certainly less than what we see on the institutional side. So the ability to kind of have a multiplier effect in terms of growth is clearly present.

Operator

Our final question comes from Bill Katz with TD Cowen.

Speaker 6

Hey, thank you for taking the question. So maybe a question on your longer term FRE margins or heard the affirmation of sort of getting to that 40% plus margin for this year. But as you think about the step step function of scaling of the credit platforms, scaling of your capital solutions footprint, I was just sort of wondering as we look beyond 24% to 25, maybe 26, how you sort of see the profile of the company? Can you realign with some of the bigger peers? Or is there a different sort of glide path from here?

Speaker 6

Thank you.

Speaker 3

Yes. Good question, Bill. We have not provided any longer term FRE margin guidance other than to say that we do believe we'll be expanding back to 45% and eventually higher, which was our initial TPG target margin. As you think about our margin profile and the reason we reiterated 40% for this year, think about a lot of the FRR contributors and the fundraising activity we have this year. Our current assumption is that the biggest fundraisers we're in the market with right now that have fees on committed capital, that being across all the climate strategies, we're assuming those probably turn on in the 3rd Q4 of this year.

Speaker 3

That means that FRR from those businesses doesn't really pick up meaningfully until, call it, the Q4. We could be wrong about that. We could accelerate the activation earlier, but that's our assumption. But during the course of the year, the investment we're making in raising those funds, which will become more and more visible in the coming quarters, will plus accelerated credit deployment. So as we're thinking about the FRE plus accelerated credit deployment.

Speaker 3

So as we're thinking about the FRE margin trajectory, we do believe that the guidance toward exceeding 40% this year is the right guidance. And then we'll begin to see an acceleration of FRE margin expansion next year as some of those FRR drivers kick in next year. And there's no reason we shouldn't get back to 45% and eventually, higher than that as we keep scaling our business.

Operator

This concludes the Q and A portion of today's call. I'd now like to turn the call back over to Gary Stein for closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Great. Thank you. Thank you all for joining us today. We look forward to speaking to you again next quarter. And in the meantime, if you have any questions, feel free to follow-up with the IR team.

Speaker 1

Thanks, everyone.

Operator

This concludes today's TPG's first quarter 2024 earnings call and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.

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Key Takeaways

  • Scale and diversification accelerated as total AUM rose 63% YoY to $224 billion and fee-paying AUM grew 74% to $137 billion, supported by 30 strategies and ~1,800 professionals.
  • Q1 fundraising reached $4.7 billion, including ~$600 million for Asia 8, >$2.5 billion across Asia real estate, and over $2 billion in credit, with an additional $800 million raised post-quarter.
  • Organic growth initiatives gained momentum with 5 GP-led secondary investments, a high-performing Rise Climate fund (21% value creation), a Global South climate strategy, and a target of $35 billion impact AUM within two years.
  • Deployment remained robust, with over $6 billion invested in Q1 from a $51 billion dry-powder war chest, highlighted by Siroc textile recycling, a Manhattan office-to-residential conversion, three real estate credit closings, and record lower middle-market lending originations ($1.7 billion).
  • Financial performance was strong: GAAP net income of $16 million, $0.49 distributable earnings per share, a $0.41 dividend, fee-related revenue up 70% to $451 million, and a 40% fee-related earnings margin, with further margin expansion expected.
A.I. generated. May contain errors.
Earnings Conference Call
TPG Q1 2024
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