Townsquare Media Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
May 9, 2024

Key Takeaways

  • Townsquare Media’s Q1 2024 results met guidance for net revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and management anticipates building momentum each quarter toward a strong 2025.
  • Digital solutions now drive 53% of total net revenue and adjusted operating income—more than double the industry average—highlighting Townsquare’s transformation into a digital‐first local media company.
  • Townsquare Ignite digital advertising returned to year-over-year growth in Q1 (+0.3%), led by programmatic (≈60% of segment) and stable local digital, with national declines expected to moderate in the back half of 2024.
  • Townsquare Interactive reversed 17 months of subscriber losses in March and April, delivering month-over-month revenue growth, cutting Q1 subscriber losses by 60%, and targeting sequential revenue growth in Q2 with profit growth by Q4.
  • The company generated strong cash flow—ending Q1 with $57 M in cash—retired $46 M of debt, repurchased 16.2 M shares at an average $7.19, and raised its dividend by 5%, supporting financial flexibility and shareholder returns.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Townsquare Media Q1 2024
00:00 / 00:00

There are 6 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Townsquare Media's First Quarter 2024 Conference Call. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded and your participation implies consent to such recording. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. With that, I would like to introduce

Speaker 1

Thank you, operator, and good morning to everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Townsquare's Q1 financial update. With me on the call today are Bill Wilson, our CEO and Stuart Rosenstein, our CFO and Executive Vice President. Please note that during this call, we may make statements that provide information other than historical information, including statements relating to the company's future expectations, plans and prospects. These statements are considered forward looking statements under the Safe Harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are subject to risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements.

Speaker 1

These statements reflect the company's beliefs based on current conditions that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, including those that are detailed in the company's annual report on Form 10 ks filed with the SEC. We may also discuss certain non GAAP financial measures, including adjusted EBITDA and adjusted operating income, which we may refer to as profit in our remarks. Such non GAAP financial measures should be used in conjunction with all the information contained in the quarterly, year end and current reports available on our website. I would also encourage all participants to go to our corporate website and download our investor presentation as Bill will reference some of the slides during our discussion this morning. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Bill Wilson.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Claire, and thank you all for joining us this morning. It's great to reconnect with everyone. We're very pleased to share with you that Townsquare's Q1 results met our previously issued guidance for both net revenue and adjusted EBITDA. We are building momentum throughout the year and anticipate delivering stronger financial results each quarter in 2024, ultimately setting us up for a strong 2025. In the Q1, we again outperformed our competitors and gained market share, primarily due to our local focus and our differentiated digital platform.

Speaker 2

Additionally, we continue to generate strong cash flow, granting us the ability to invest in our digital growth engine and affording us financial flexibility. By now, I believe that our investors recognize that our digital business is a true differentiator for Townsquare. As highlighted on Slide 12, in Q1, 2024, approximately 53% of our company's total net revenue came from our digital solutions, more than double the industry average and 53% of our total adjusted operating income also came from our digital solutions. This highlights a point we often make and can't state enough. Townsquare is no longer the radio broadcast company was when it was founded in 2010.

Speaker 2

Townsquare has evolved and transformed into a digital first local media company that is truly distinguished from our local media peers, validating our focus on markets outside the top 50 U. S. Cities with a world class team and a unique and differentiated strategy, assets, platforms and solutions. This critical point of differentiation has fortified my confidence in our business model and our path forward over the next number of years. But it's not me just saying that.

Speaker 2

I am very pleased to share that Voya Research, founded in 1975 and now a leading firm providing in-depth independent research on publicly traded U. S. Companies highlighted Townsquare as their opportunity pick last month, publishing a comprehensive and very favorable report on Townsquare. I would encourage all of our current and prospective investors to read this report, which can be found via link in the News section of our company website as well as in our updated investor presentation. It is worth noting that the report derives an intrinsic value for Townsquare of $25.30 per share.

Speaker 2

Additionally, Jonathan Boyer asked me to be a guest on his podcast, The World According to Boyer, which was a lot of fun to do and can also be accessed on our website or on Boyer's research website or on your favorite podcasting platform. I'm very pleased to share that in each of our main businesses, Ignite, Townsquare Interactive and Broadcast Advertising, Q1 performed better than Q4 as momentum continued to build for us, which we expect will continue for the remainder of 2024 and into 2025. As I stated what happened on our last call in March, our digital advertising net revenue returned to growth in Q1 with revenue increasing plus 1% over the prior year period. As also noted on our last call, our growth was driven by strength in our digital programmatic advertising revenue as well as stability in our local digital advertising revenue base, which was partially offset by steep national digital advertising declines. We are really quite proud of our digital advertising business, which when excluding national advertising revenue would have grown at a mid single digit growth rate in the Q1.

Speaker 2

Our local digital audience on our owned and operated websites has continued to grow and that is due to the important role we play in our mid and small sized cities. Because of the dwindling availability of local news sources in small and midsized markets across the country, there is an expanding void of local information available in our communities both online and on air. We have stepped in at Townsquare to fill that void. Our local websites are in essence what people would have think or thought of a newspaper 10 years ago. This has led to our local digital audience to consistently grow.

Speaker 2

And in fact, we reached an all time high 70,000,000 unique visitors to our local websites in March, up plus 16% year over year. Local audience growth combined with strong engagements metrics has enabled strong local digital revenue performance. However, we are most excited about our digital programmatic business, where we have unlimited growth potential and extreme confidence and which will be the largest growth driver of our digital advertising business going forward. Programmatic make up about 60% of our digital advertising segment today and is the fastest growing revenue stream in our company. All in all, we are digital advertising success to our sophisticated digital products and solutions, which are entirely in house, giving us 100% control of the client relationship, starting with the client pitch, then campaign design, media buying and optimization and ongoing reporting and insights, which we believe translates to a better customer experience, higher average spend and higher client retention rates.

Speaker 2

In addition, we have the unique ability to collect and analyze first party data from our audience of over 75,000,000 unique visitors to our portfolio of over 400 local news and entertainment websites, 400 mobile apps and 10 leading national music and entertainment websites. This very large first party data set allows us to provide detailed and unique insights about consumer behaviors, audience interest and importantly purchase intent that drive real results with strong ROI for our clients, giving us a true strategic advantage over our local competition. We are very confident in our ability to continue to grow this business and capitalize on our competitive advantage in our cities. Owning our tech platforms in house combined with the breadth of our digital solutions and quality of our first party data is a competitive advantage in any size market. Yet in cities outside the top fifty, it is a significant difference maker, driving our digital advertising to be the strongest growth engine in the company.

Speaker 2

Our Q1 digital advertising revenue performance improved from Q4, and we expect to have similar growth trends in Q2 as Q1 before improving more strongly in the second half of twenty twenty four. This is tied to ongoing national digital advertising revenue weakness, which we outlined in detail on our last call, which declined negative 29% year over year in the Q1 and is pacing even worse in Q2 with an expected year over year revenue decline of over 30% in Q2, which is over $1,000,000 These revenue declines are in large part due to significant changes to algorithms for Google and social media referrals that have negatively impacted our national audience. And as you have probably seen, we are not alone in feeling that impact. Fortunately, just as with our broadcast advertising, national is only a small portion of our digital advertising revenue business and we anticipate that national digital revenue declines will begin to moderate meaningfully in the 3rd and 4th quarters, leading to stronger results for this segment as a whole in the back half of twenty twenty four. Overall, we are confident that favorable industry trends together with our in house full suite of marketing solutions, our investment in our original content strategy and our 1st party data advantage will continue to drive strong digital advertising growth for Townsquare.

Speaker 2

As I shared on our last call, we have been asked if we still believe in the growth strategy and addressable market of Townsquare Interactive given last year's challenges. And the answer is, yes, without a doubt unquestionably so. To that point, I am very pleased, so pleased this morning to share with you today that Townsquare Interactive, our subscription digital marketing solutions business is firmly on the path to recovery and growth after attacking our 2023 challenges head on. As I shared the last time we were together, the first sign of the rebound at Townsquare Interactive is the return to subscriber growth. The second sign of the rebound is month over month revenue growth.

Speaker 2

And given our continued ongoing aggressive investment in Townsquare Interactive, the third sign of returning to strength is month over month profit growth. Therefore, I'm pleased to share with you that ahead of my own expectation in March Townsquare Interactive grew net subscribers for the first time in 17 months and generated month over month revenue growth as well. This very positive trend continued in April and we expect this momentum to not only continue, but to grow in Q2 and onward. I am very proud of our Townsquare Interactive team. It is also worth noting that net subscriber losses were better than I laid out on our last call, which was when I was expecting subscriber losses in Q1 to be roughly 50% of Q4's losses.

Speaker 2

Yet subscriber losses actually declined 60% in Q1 2024 as compared to Q4. And as I just shared, we added net subscribers in March earlier than we originally expected and again, we did that in April. It is also good to note that ARPU for new sales is increasing. In the Q1, Townsquare Interactive's net revenue declined negative 15% year over year, exactly in line with the expectations that I shared with you on our last call. The positive development is that on a quarter over quarter basis, net revenue declined less than 5% because we returned to month over month revenue growth in March.

Speaker 2

Townsquare Interactive's 1st quarter profit declined negative 10% year over year, also in line exactly with the expectations we outlined on our last call, and we managed expenses very well such that we grew our profit margin from 26% in Q1 of 2023 to 28% in Q1 of 2024. Looking ahead to Q2, we expect to see net subscriber growth for the quarter, which will drive continued month over month revenue growth trends. Month over month profit growth will be dependent on how aggressive we can continue to invest in the businesses in Charlotte and Phoenix, yet we still anticipate a return to month over month profit growth in Q4 of 2024. Also as I detailed on the last call, even though we are now back on a positive path of consistent growth at Townsquare Interactive, Given the loss of over 7,000 subscribers from Q1 2023 through Q1 of 20 24, as you would expect, year over year revenue and profit comparisons will still look very negative. With that context provided, we expect Townsquare Interactive's 2nd quarter net revenue to decline approximately 13%, which reflects last year's challenges, not the subscriber and month over month revenue growth we are currently delivering.

Speaker 2

In the long term, we are confident that we have a long sustainable runway ahead of us. With over 23,000 subscribers at the end of Q1, approximately 58% of which are outside of our local media footprint and addressable market of nearly 9,000,000 target customers, we are only scratching the surface. With our existing subscriber base, superior product offering and a huge market opportunity with nearly 9,000,000 target customers as outlined on Slide 15, I am confident that Townsquare Interactive is on track and set up for long term profitable growth and success. I am also very pleased to share with you that our broadcast advertising revenue declines have stabilized and 1st quarter revenue declined just 1%, an improvement from Q4's negative 2.5% decline. Similar to last year's trends, local outperformed national in the 1st quarter as national declined negative 9% year over year.

Speaker 2

Thankfully, just like our digital business, our national broadcast exposure is limited with less than 10% of our total revenue coming from Broadcast National Marketplace. Overall, we outperformed the industry in the Q1, gaining local and national broadcast market share according to Miller Kaplan. I am very proud of our team in achieving this market share growth as it demonstrates the benefits and importance of differentiated local content on our local radio broadcast. No better team of content contributors and our sales teams. Political is off to a slow start for us and the industry overall due to the lackluster primary season.

Speaker 2

Our first quarter political revenue of $1,100,000 is only 80% of our political revenue in Q1 of 2020. However, we remain very optimistic on our full year estimation of $14,000,000 to $16,000,000 of political revenue as compared to the all time high of $16,000,000 recorded in the 2020 political season. Industry specialists are predicting record political expenditures in 2024, benefiting Townsquare, especially in our Michigan, Montana, Arizona, New Jersey and New Hampshire markets, where they expect close races for governorship, House and Senate seats. We believe Townsquare's ability to drive profitable, sustainable digital growth is a key differentiator for our company. Digital is and will continue to be our growth engine and we will continue to invest in our digital business to fuel further profitable reach and an important local connection to our audience.

Speaker 2

In fact, we would have never achieved the success we've had in building an at scale differentiated digital audience and resulting digital advertising and digital marketing solutions businesses if it wasn't for a continued strong local radio presence and performance. Our traditional AMFM over the air broadcast continues to reach on average 1 out of every 2 adults in our markets, very, very powerful and very, very important. And because of the powerful combination of Townsquare's digital plus radio plus live events plus local investment, we believe that our flywheel will continue to blaze forward and gain momentum. I would also like to shine a bright, bright spotlight on a very important aspect of our business model, our significant cash flow generation. Due to our strong cash flow characteristics, we are afforded financial flexibility to build shareholder value.

Speaker 2

Over the past several years, we have retired $46,000,000 of debt. We have repurchased over 16,000,000 shares and we also initiated a dividend and then raised it by 5% after the 1st year, all while continuing invest in our digital growth engine. In April, using cash on hand, we were able to execute a very accretive share repurchase from MSG and an 11% discount to the preannouncement share price and execute an option buyback in an attractive price point, thereby avoiding shareholder dilution. Stu will discuss both of these attractive transactions shortly in more detail. With $28,000,000 of cash on hand at the end of April and net leverage of 4.6x 6 times as of March 31, we remain very confident in our current capitalization and the strength of our balance sheet.

Speaker 2

And we are pleased that we can continue to deliver attractive current cash returns for our equity shareholders, as we say internally, how high is high. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to Stu who will go through our results in even more detail as well as provide you with our Q2 guidance. Stu, take it away.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Bill, and good morning, everyone. It's great to speak to you all today. We're pleased to report that our first quarter results met our revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance. 1st quarter net revenue declined 3.4% year over year to $99,600,000 within our guidance range of $98,500,000 to $100,000,000 Political, which is off to somewhat of a slower start in 2024 than in 2020 presidential cycle came in at $1,100,000 20 percent below Q1 20 twenty's $1,300,000 Excluding political, 1st quarter net revenue declined 4.2%. 1st quarter adjusted EBITDA declined 9.9% year over year to $17,500,000 also within our guidance range of $17,500,000 to $18,500,000 1st quarter broadcast advertising net revenue decreased just 1%, which was a sequential improvement from 4th quarter declines.

Speaker 3

1st quarter broadcast profit margins meaningfully expanded on a year over year basis from 19% in Q1 2023 to 22% in Q1 2024 due to cost reductions we made in 2023. As a reminder, broadcast profit margins tend to be lowest in the Q1 of each year due to revenue cyclicality. Broadcast profit margins are expected to expand to the high 20s in the Q2 like in previous years. As we have outlined on previous calls, we anticipate that at Townsquare Interactive, which is our subscription digital marketing solutions segment, net revenue and direct profit will decline on a year over year basis due to the loss of subscribers in 2023 and Q1 2024, even though we have returned to subscriber growth and month over month revenue growth sooner than we anticipated, as Bill mentioned earlier. In the Q1, net revenue decreased 15.3 percent as compared to the prior year and profit decreased 9.7% year over year.

Speaker 3

Margins were strong at approximately 28% in Q1, an improvement from Q1 2023's 26% profit margin despite our continued investment in the business, including the ongoing ramp of our newly opened Phoenix location. Townsquare Ignite, our digital advertising segment, returned to growth in the Q1 as strength in programmatic advertising offset ongoing weakness in national digital advertising, which declined 29% in the Q1 as Bill detailed earlier. In total, 1st quarter digital advertising net revenue increased 1 0.3% year over year. We are experiencing similar trends in Q2 twenty twenty four with solid programmatic growth offsetting steep national digital advertising declines of over 30%. As we look out to Q3 and Q4, our current forecast while early indicates steady improvement as declines in national digital advertising begin to moderate.

Speaker 3

Importantly, we expect digital advertising margins to return to mid to high 20s in the second quarter. Our other category, which is comprised of live events activity, generated $1,800,000 of revenue in the Q1, a decline of 7.8% year over year and a small profit of $441,000 representing a strong first quarter profit margin of 25%. In 2024, we are focusing on a refined live event schedule that eliminates unprofitable or barely profitable events. So we expect to see a small full year revenue decline in 2024, but with profit and margin expansion. As a reminder, our live events activity should not be viewed as a growth driver or revenue center for Townsquare, but rather a marketing arm of the company.

Speaker 3

Our Q1 net income improved by $3,500,000 year over year from a loss of $1,900,000 in Q1 2023 to net income of $1,600,000 or $0.06 per diluted share. We'd like to remind you that any benefit or provision for income taxes included on the face of the income statement is for GAAP financial statement purposes only. We maintain significant tax attributes, including more than $100,000,000 of federal NOL carry forwards and other substantial tax shields related to the tax amortization of our intangible assets. We continue to believe that we will not be a material cash taxpayer until approximately 2026. As Bill highlighted, and I would again like to emphasize, we consistently have strong cash flow generation.

Speaker 3

We generated $1,700,000 of cash flow from operations in Q1 2024, ending the quarter with $57,000,000 of cash, down only $4,000,000 from year end despite making our $18,000,000 interest payment and paying $3,000,000 of dividends. During the Q1, we also repurchased approximately $4,000,000 worth of shares at an average price of $10.80 per share through our ongoing share buyback program. On April 1, we repurchased and subsequently retired 1,500,000 shares of Madison Square Garden's Class A shares or just under 10% of our shares outstanding at a price of $9.76 per share, representing 11% discount to the pre announced share price. This transaction followed the June 23 repurchase of another 1,500,000 shares from MSG at $9.70 per share. This share buyback was immediately accretive to our shareholders and we were able to use cash on hand to satisfy the $15,000,000 purchase price.

Speaker 3

Since 2021, we have repurchased 16,200,000 shares at an average price of $7.19 while simultaneously reducing leverage over that period of time. At the end of the Q1, our net leverage was 4.56 times and 4.7 times pro form a for the April 1 MSG share repurchase. In an effort to build shareholder value by limiting shareholder dilution, last month we repurchased 3,200,000 These in the money options were granted at the company's 2014 IPO, demonstrating that our long term incentive plan was and continues to be effective in retaining top talent and were set to expire this July. Our repurchase of these options eliminated the overhang and shareholder dilution that would have occurred when these options were exercised in the open market. Our strong cash flow generation has and will continue to provide us with financial flexibility, giving us opportunity to advantageously buy our stock when it's trading below value, which we and as Bill highlighted earlier from firms like Boyer Research also believe it is today.

Speaker 3

As always, our number one priority is to invest in our local business through organic, internal investments that support our revenue and profit growth, particularly our digital growth engine. We plan to continue to invest in our digital product technology, sales, content and support teams, specifically in our Townsquare Interactive and Townsquare Ignite businesses in order to maintain our strong competitive advantage in markets outside the top 50 cities. In addition, we are highly focused on our balance sheet. We feel extremely confident that we are well positioned to refinance our February 2026 notes before they come due. Our Board has approved our next quarterly dividend payable on August 1 to shareholders of record as of July 15.

Speaker 3

The dividend of $0.195 per share, which we just raised by 5% last quarter equates to $0.79 per share on an annualized basis, which implies an annual payment of approximately $13,000,000 on our current share count and a dividend yield of approximately 6% based on our current share price. We believe our strong cash flow characteristics will allow us to continue to invest in our business, support our dividend and give us flexibility to opportunistically pursue debt and share repurchases as circumstances allow. Turning to our Q2 outlook, we expect 2nd quarter net revenue to be between $117,500,000 $119,000,000 As Bill already detailed, baked into our revenue guide is a year over year decline of close to $3,000,000 at Townsquare Interactive and over $1,000,000 in our national digital business. We expect 2nd quarter adjusted EBITDA to be between $26,000,000 $27,000,000 For the full year, we are reaffirming our expectations that revenue will be between $440,000,000 $460,000,000 We are also reaffirming our expectations that our 2024 adjusted EBITDA will be between $100,000,000 $110,000,000 And with that, I will now turn the call back over to Bill.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Stu. Great job as always. And thanks to everyone who dialed in this morning to be updated on Townsquare's results. We greatly appreciate it. Again, I would encourage everyone to download the updated investor presentation and to review the Boyer research piece on Townsquare.

Speaker 2

It was quite favorable. In closing, I want to state again that we are building momentum and anticipate strengthening our performance throughout the year as national advertising pressures moderate and Townsquare Interactive returns to growth. Our differentiated digital advertising platform has already returned to growth and our mature cash cow broadcasting platform has and continues to generate a solid profit contributing to our strong cash generation. Due to our cash position and strong cash generation, we retain financial flexibility moving forward and we are confident in our ability to build shareholder value for our investors through long term net revenue, profit and cash flow growth as well as net leverage reduction, future dividend payments and potential future share repurchases. With that, operator, at this time, please open the line for any and all questions.

Operator

Thank Your first question comes from Michael Kupinski with Noble Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Speaker 4

Thank you for taking the questions and good morning everyone. Couple of questions here. Obviously, it's great to see that you turned the corner towards subscriber growth in Townsquare Interactive. Just a couple of questions here. Are the increases in the subscribers being delivered by your Phoenix office or was that across the board?

Speaker 4

And then if you can just provide a little color on the types of subscribers you're gaining. Are they new? Are you gaining from competitors and that sort of thing? And then I would imagine that it would take some time before that shows up in quarterly revenue growth. Do you think that the business is on track to swing positive in Q4 or could it happen in Q3?

Speaker 2

Thank you, Michael. Appreciate the question. It's Bill. As you noted, we returned to growth. We have tremendous confidence and optimism in our Townsquare Interactive business, which we've been sharing all along the way.

Speaker 2

I couldn't be more pleased that we returned some month over month subscriber growth in March, a little bit ahead of my expectation that I laid out on the last call and that continued in April. And that resulted also in month over month revenue growth in March and then again in April. So, just couldn't be more pleased. Obviously, we've been transparent that we took a big hit, kind of fell down, got back up and not only got back up, but got up stronger and put in the work to become, I think, a better organization as a result of it. As it relates to your specific question, it's not just Phoenix.

Speaker 2

A couple of things are happening. Our sales velocity is increasing across Charlotte and Phoenix, which is wonderful. And our churn continues to drop down. It's still above historical levels, so I expect it to continue to drop down. I think part of that is interest rates have stayed elevated probably a little bit longer than most anticipated 6 or 9 months ago.

Speaker 2

And inflation is obviously stubborn and that's why interest rates are high. And that impacts these types of businesses. That's why I'm even more pleased with the performance of the Townsquare Interactive team. Businesses. That's why I'm even more pleased with the performance of the Townsquare Interactive team in growing revenue and subscribers this early.

Speaker 2

We are definitely getting business from competitors. So it is not like it's a new business who just opened and they need a web presence. One of the biggest changes, there's been a couple of major significant changes at Townsquare Interactive in the last 18 months. We've outlined in great detail the service model change. So I don't think I need to detail that, but that has definitely improved our customer service.

Speaker 2

I think I talked on the last couple of calls about improved answer rates, turnaround times for requests, all of those things, couldn't be more pleased. We still have more work to do. We're always attacking ourselves and evolving. So I think we'll continue to improve on that front. I think what we haven't talked a lot about is we now have incorporated into Townsquare Interactive.

Speaker 2

And I'd say pivot is too strong a word, but we added on a business management platform. So we used to really appeal to businesses that needed a website and SEO and we still have that. But what we're now doing is appealing to businesses that maybe have a great website, are doing great with SEO, but they need a strong customer relationship management, which is CRM. And they may need invoicing and payment platforms integrated into QuickBooks, so they can operate their business more effectively. So Townsquare Interactive has really become a SaaS business, software as a service, and that's very powerful.

Speaker 2

And I think a difference maker as we go forward over the next few years. So back to your question, Phoenix and Charlotte contributing to this growth, not only sales, but reducing churn and then really taking share shift from competitors because of this new business management platform. So I'll pause there for any follow ups on Townsquare Interactive, Michael.

Speaker 4

And then the other part of that question was, do you when do you think that the business will turn to quarterly revenue growth? Would that be in the 4th quarter? Or do you think it could happen in the Q3 given the trajectory you're seeing?

Speaker 2

Yes. I couldn't be more pleased with the trajectory. So I actually expect us potentially to get to quarter over quarter revenue growth in Q2. It may be slight, but I think we have turned the corner. We're getting month over month revenue growth now.

Speaker 2

So I expect that we will return to quarter over quarter revenue growth in Q2. When we're looking at an annual perspective, I think that doesn't happen till Q1 of 'twenty five because obviously we've lost 7,350 subscribers before returning to growth in March. And if somebody doesn't kind of take a look underneath the covers, they're just going to see a year over year decline because it takes a little while to dig out of that hole that we created for ourselves. So in terms of year over year revenue growth, I expect that in Q1 of 2025. But going to your specific question, I expect quarter over quarter revenue growth in Q2.

Speaker 4

Yes, sequential quarter over quarter. In terms of the core broadcasting, a little bit better than I was thinking in the quarter. Can you talk

Speaker 2

a little bit about the

Speaker 4

tone of that business and what you're hearing from advertisers? And I know some broadcasters have indicated that national advertising has stabilized and in some cases actually improved year over year. I was wondering if you can give us your thoughts on national as well.

Speaker 2

Of course. Thank you, Michael. So yes, on the broadcast business, to your point, quite pleased with where we are. I'm really proud of the team. As I think people know, my perspective on broadcast, it's a traditional cash cow business.

Speaker 2

So I think it's plateaued in terms of where it is and it will be a slow decline or maybe flat over time, but we treat it as a traditional cash cow business. So one of the things I'm most proud of the Townsquare team is market share shift. So even in a market that may not be growing, we continually year after year share shift broadcast dollars to Townsquare. And I think that's really a testament to our local content on air and online and the teams that are doing that each and every day. And particularly with other broadcasters who don't have the wherewithal of the digital profit of over 50% and the digital revenue over 50%.

Speaker 2

To be able to continue to invest in local content, that's one of our core competitive advantage. And the fact that we're outside of the top 50 markets and really the only company in local media to specialize in markets outside the top 50. So broadcast declining just 1% in Q1 is obviously a sequential improvement from Q4. National, as I believe we noted on the call, continued to be a drag in Q1. It was down 9%.

Speaker 2

So definitely better than I think it was roughly 20% decline last year. So we've halved that to roughly 9%. I think the tone overall has improved though, as you noted, because obviously local way outperformed national. And as we look to Q2, I think broadcast is roughly in the same space, call it flat to down 1. And I think national starts to improve.

Speaker 2

Our pacing for national definitely is seeing improvement in Q2 and onward. Part of that is how far down it was last year and got worse as the year in Q2 and Q3. So going back to your question, the sentiment out there we think is improving. I think that will actually pick up and we'll have a tailwind in broadcast as interest rates and inflation comes down. I think that's true across all of our businesses.

Speaker 2

But in the meantime, we expect Q2 in broadcast

Speaker 4

to be better than Q1 and Q1 was obviously better than Q4. So quite optimistic about the broadcast side. Final question, capital allocation from here. I know you've been buying back stock, paying dividends and so forth and investing in your businesses. I was just wondering if you could just talk a little bit about that.

Speaker 4

And obviously, there are some broadcasters out there struggling and I was wondering if M and A becomes a prospect.

Speaker 2

Yes. I think M and A becomes a prospect once we do our refinancing, Stu described in great detail. We're very pleased with the Cherry Creek acquisition that's coming up on 2 years ago. Our profit in that business has grown quite nicely. The whole Trojan horse of using radio to build a digital business has, again proven itself quite nicely, which Harry Reid, with significant digital revenue and profit growth.

Speaker 2

So I think, Michael, the opportunity for M and A, as you noted, the others in the industry are in a different position just because I think they have exposure to more national business, obviously in the top 50 markets and didn't have the blessing that we started this company with the mindset of building a digital company from day 1. So we're really focused on obviously continuing to highlight our cash flow from operations. I think that's a clear differentiator. That's why we encourage everybody to read the Voya research piece. It really speaks to quite nicely details the business, a great understanding of the business and puts a real emphasis on the cash flow and why they believe the intrinsic value of the company is $25 and change versus the current $12.5 and change.

Speaker 2

So obviously, the Board just approved the increase in the dividend on our last call. I could see us potentially doing that on a more on a regular basis. But right now, we continue to be focused on delevering. I think we've done a great job over the last 3 or 4 years to delever. We'll continue that emphasis.

Speaker 2

But at the same time, with the our stock price is undervalued greatly and that's why we're buying back stock in the open marketplace as well as opportunities when they come up with shareholders like MSG. So I think from a capital allocation standpoint, A, we'll continue to invest in our local businesses and our local teams. I think as you probably see across the board, others may be trimming some of their headcount. It gives us a great opportunity to add to our headcount. We'll obviously continue to support the dividend.

Speaker 2

We'll continue to delever. And if there's opportunities in the marketplace to buy more stock, we'll do so. So it's multifaceted, but one of the key focuses is to delever, refinance as Stu outlined before we do future M and A in radio space.

Speaker 4

Great. Thank you. That's all I have for now.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Michael.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jim Goss with Barrington Research.

Speaker 5

I'd like to start with going back to Townsquare Interactive. In past calls, you've talked about the process of creating a sales staff that takes a little bit of time to get to sort of the maturity stage. And I was just wondering if you might comment on the stage of development because it's obviously working in a period where the overall potential has been a little more depressed than it's been, but it seems like it's on the upturn right now. Are things getting to the stage you think you'd need to be having them run full bore at this stage?

Speaker 2

Yes. Hey, Jim, great to hear from you. Thank you for the questions as always. Yes, I think full bore is a great way to put it where we've got Phoenix now humming nicely. We continue to add talent out there.

Speaker 2

We started with sales talent. They are the original ones we hired back in Q1 of 2023 are at that maturity stage. We continue to hire aggressively. You can go to job listing sites and you'll see listings for Townsquare Interactive in Phoenix as well as Charlotte. And that's one of the reasons we have the tremendous confidence and optimism.

Speaker 2

And I just think the team there of Tim and Kate and Josh and Justin and Jay Jones, they're just doing a great job. And I think we're really hitting our stride. As I shared in the prepared remarks, we definitely took a hit. I think we actually got to be a better company as a result of attacking ourselves and really questioning why we lost these subscribers and how do we come out of this as a stronger company. Part of that is that business management platform and SaaS business that I just described in answering to Michael.

Speaker 2

But I think the sales staff is really humming now. I think these additional platforms of invoicing and payments and CRMs is a difference maker, particularly at our price point. We're bringing very sophisticated national scale to smaller markets and smaller businesses, and that's one of the reasons we're so confident. And we're so pleased to be back in growth mode and I never expect us to go backwards again.

Speaker 5

Can you talk about some of those SaaS model type services you're offering? Can enlighten us a little bit more on just what they are? And also talk about the decisions you make in terms of trying to target some new markets within the area now that you do have that West Coast presence?

Speaker 2

That's a great point because we're actually before we would really focus on businesses that needed a website, needed help in SEO. And while we continue to do that, we now have a whole another target market of customers who have a great website, have great SEO, but they need a let's start with the CRM. So customer relationship management, they have customers either coming to their website and we can demonstrate to them how working with Townsquare Interactive can convert more of their website traffic to customers. And we've created a dashboard in real time where they can go in and see the traffic coming in and then how much of that traffic is actually converting to a lead. So somebody providing their name, their phone number or email address and then actually providing the software to contact that customer on their clients' behalf.

Speaker 2

So we're now offering email marketing and text marketing directly into that CRM, for these customers. So this SaaS pivot is early, very, very early. We're months into it, but we're incredibly encouraged. And I think that's one of the reasons we're seeing increased sales velocity. And we also believe and time will tell, but we also believe this SaaS model and this business management platform will help us reduce churn.

Speaker 2

We believe it's stickier because of these CRM and the invoicing and the payments and integration into QuickBooks and appointment scheduling and all of those things. So, it's a meaningful pivot for the company. So I think the difference in the service model is meaningful. And I think this new SaaS pivot to the business management platform, particularly over the next 3 to 5 years is going to be extremely meaningful. And going back to your question, it allows us to broaden the target audience of customers for Townsquare Interactive moving

Speaker 5

forward. Can you talk about the profitability measures that those new services provide relative to the core service?

Speaker 2

Yes. So the great news is the profitability for these services is roughly in line with our traditional services. So we've been operating Townsquare Interactive in the mid to high 20% margins for the last, call it, 5 to 8 years. And that's very similar to our digital advertising platform, Ignite, where we're operating that at 20, call it, mid-20s to high-20s on an annual basis. So that's the way we've been fortunate.

Speaker 2

One of the things where I think we've done quite well is that as we've built and transformed from a traditional legacy radio company in 2010 to a digital first company today, a lot of other companies have a much less digital margin profile from a profit perspective because they don't have the teams in house, right? That's been a real core advantage. We talked on other earnings call just about the personnel we have is a difference maker for us. And the fact that we can build these solutions at scale in house versus going to 3rd parties provides many, many, many benefits. And one of those is the profit margin.

Speaker 2

So the business management platform in the SaaS part of CSI is same profit margin as we've traditionally held.

Speaker 5

Okay. And maybe one other around the radio side. You've talked about that business being a cash cow, so to speak. And I'm wondering if you have any concern that it might erode to be maybe even a little less than that, as especially as a lot of the new cars where a lot of the listening takes place have higher levels of technology that make it easier to get a lot of other competing content under the cars and could erode your position. And also maybe talk in terms of appeal to demographic groups and whether you think some of the younger listeners are going to be fewer than the traditional older listeners?

Speaker 2

Great question. Very astute. Is the possibility that erode greater than it has over the last 5 years over the next 5 years? That's definitely a possibility. I think it really puts a great spotlight on the fact that Townsquare is literally the only local media company focused on markets outside the top fifty.

Speaker 2

So as you know, Jim, the radio broadcast traditionally, the great news is more people listen to AM FM today than 10 years ago. That's an astounding statistic and it actually ends up being true. It's the number one reach medium today where television used to be the number one reach medium just 5 years ago. I think the challenge for the broadcast industry overall from a radio perspective is time spent listening. And thankfully at Townsquare, because we're filling this, I call it news deserts, not only online, but on air, we're providing local information from trusted journalists.

Speaker 2

We're entertaining people and newspapers that for all intents and purposes have exited our size markets. People we have our time spent listening the same now as 5 years ago, which is very different than the industry at large. Could that change? That definitely could change. I don't expect it to change because I think newspapers, even television stations in our size markets have cut back local coverage And we continue to hire local, local, local, local content.

Speaker 2

So I think that's one of the reasons we're taking share in broadcast. We've talked about it every quarter from a Miller Kaplan perspective. We are able to measure that we're taking broadcast share from our competitors in the markets that we compete. So that is tremendously powerful. The yes, I mean, obviously, a lot of time spent listening in cars, but the flip side of that is almost over 15% of people are now listening to our broadcast through a stream, which is tremendous.

Speaker 2

And I think that increases to 20%, 25%, 30% over time. That actually affords us a lot more opportunity from a digital perspective because you're able to target and do other things that you can't just do over a traditional AMFM broadcast. We have so many people now listening through our app, but also in home devices, obviously, Google Home, Amazon, Alexa, connected TVs. These to me are opportunities for distribution back into the home where there are obviously not as many radio players as there was a decade ago or even 2 decades. But now with all of these technology devices, radio is redistributed back into the home.

Speaker 2

So I think the opportunity actually there is a possibility erosion. The flip side is with that distribution and particularly for us in our size markets, there's an opportunity for growth too. And I think the fact that our audience has been stable and our time spent listening has been stable even with all these spaces of TikTok, Netflix, whatever your choice of consumption is, speaks to the power of local radio with a commitment to entertaining and informing local communities. And let's just take your question one step further. If it does erode faster than we anticipate or others anticipate, we've got a digital platform, not only in Townsquare Interactive that we just spent a lot of time talking about.

Speaker 2

But as you know, Jim, our Ignite business has been the fastest growing business in the company for the last 5 years. Our programmatic business was up in Q1 high single digits. It's currently pacing up low double digits in Q2. Part of that is masked because of the national decline that we talked about. And I think we've got a team in Jared and Jackie and Rabob that they'll solve for that.

Speaker 2

Just like we took a hit in Townsquare Interactive, I'm very confident the team is going to figure out a way to stabilize and then return to growth on our national advertising business on the digital side. But in the meantime, we've got strength in our local. We talked about on the call, our local audience to our local websites and mobile apps is up 16% year over year in March. That's really, really a significant increase in audience. Again, I think that speaks to the news deserts and us filling a void on online as well as on air for our communities.

Speaker 2

That also affords us the ability for the 1st party data to grow. We've detailed in great lengths the competitive advantage of being a large at scale publisher of original local content. So if radio were to decline faster than we anticipate, in some I don't want to be flipping and say it doesn't matter, but we're prepared for anything because of our growth of our digital. The fact that we've got 50 plus percent of our revenue and 50% of our profit in digital and we've returned to growth in Townsquare Interactive and Ignite has been the fastest growing part of the company for the last 5 years. Programmatic 60% of Ignite and it's growing in Q1 high single digits and in Q2 low double digits.

Speaker 2

We feel very well situated moving forward regardless of what happens in terms of consumption of broadcast radio. So thank you, Jim.

Speaker 5

Very complete answer. Thank you very much.

Speaker 2

Appreciate the questions. It's always good to hear from you. Thanks.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call over to Bill Wilson for closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you, operator. I want to thank everybody who dialed in this morning to get the update on Townsquare. Obviously, you can hear our confidence and enthusiasm moving forward, particularly as we go through the back half of the year in 2025. I think all of the things that we've been working on are becoming to be more in line. I do want to take the opportunity to thank the Townsquare team who puts in the effort with great passion to serve our local communities, the work we do with charities, the work we do for our local communities, not only informing them and educating them and being trustworthy, but what we do for the local communities on a daily basis, could be more proud of the team.

Speaker 2

Again, I would encourage you to read the Board of Research Report. I just think it's incredibly well done. Obviously, they picked Townsquare as the opportunity pick last month. If you're so inclined, I would encourage you to listen to the podcast as well, The World According to Boyer. And probably most importantly, we look forward to reconnecting with you in a few months.

Speaker 2

Until then, if you have any questions about Townsquare, as always, you can reach me through my email at billtownsquaremedia.com. And I wish you all a great day. Thank you, operator.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.

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