Parex Resources Q2 2024 Earnings Report

Parex Resources EPS Results

• Actual EPS: C$0.05
• Consensus EPS: N/A
• Beat/Miss: N/A
• One Year Ago EPS: N/A

Parex Resources Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: $499.23 million
• Expected Revenue: N/A
• Beat/Miss: N/A
• YoY Revenue Growth: N/A

Parex Resources Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q2 2024
• Date: 7/31/2024
• Time: N/A
• Conference Call Date: Thursday, August 1, 2024
• Conference Call Time: 11:30AM ET

Parex Resources (TSE:PXT) Inc engages in exploration, development, and production of crude oil. The company brings technology utilized in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin to South American basins with large oil-in-place potential. Majority of the company's properties are focused in Colombia, where it pays a royalty or tax to the government for its operations. Parex depends on a team of geologists and geophysicists, in partnership with technologies such as 3D seismic surveying, to help exploration efforts. Oil production is sold to a small basket of participants in South and North America.

Parex Resources Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• In Q2 2024, Parex delivered a 80% year-over-year increase in free funds flow driven by strong pricing realizations and reduced capital expenditures.
• Water flooding at Caño Limón and Block 34 maintained flat production profiles and reduced capital needs, with a polymer injection pilot at Caño Limón showing encouraging results and plans to expand and replicate at Block 34.
• Arauca underperformed expectations due to reservoir complexities (water intrusion, asphaltenes, and tighter rock), pausing the drilling campaign and reallocating capital to Capachos and Block 32, with Arauca development deferred to 2025.
• Production averaged 53,568 BOE per day in Q2, with Q3 expected to remain flat and growth targeted in Q4, supported by disciplined capital allocation and a plan to return 33% of FFO via dividends and buybacks.
• Production expenses are forecast at $12–$13 per barrel for 2024, elevated by a strong Colombian peso and one-time maintenance costs but partially offset by pricing gains and a $21 million foreign exchange gain.

Presentation

[Operator]

I will now turn the call over to Mike Kruchten, Senior Vice President of Capital Planning. You may begin.

[Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning at Parex Resources]

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Parex's second quarter 2024 conference call and webcast. My name is Mike Kruchten, Senior Vice President at Parex, and on the call with me today are our President and Chief Executive Officer, Imad Mohsen, our Chief Financial Officer, Sanjay Bishnoi, and our Chief Operating Officer, Eric Ferland. Please note that at any time, telephone participants on the call can press star one to submit a question. As a reminder, this conference call includes forward-looking statements, as well as non-GAAP and other financial measures, with the associated risks outlined in our news release and MD&A, which can be found on our website or at www.sedarplus.ca. Note that all amounts discussed today are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated. I'll turn the call over to Imad. Please go ahead.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. The second quarter highlighted our portfolio's ability to deliver strong financial results and return of capital for shareholders. I'm pleased to say that in 2024, we have delivered an 80% increase year-on-year in free funds flow on strong pricing realizations as well as reduced capital. Part of what's driving our strong financial results is the excellent performance from our base assets at Cabrestero and Block 34. To date, results from waterflooding have been encouraging, with generally flat production profiles and reduced capital requirements going forward. We are generating significant free funds flow from these core areas. This can be attributed not only to asset quality, but to the benefits derived from our pre-investment activity on drilling patterns and facility investments.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

At Cabrestero, we are seeing encouraging results from our polymer injection pilot and are now in the process of designing a full field expansion and formalizing our plan. Building off Cabrestero enhanced oil recovery success, we are replicating this approach at Block 34. The initial waterflood patterns are demonstrating strong performance and post-waterflooding implementation, we expect polymer injection to be a viable option. Turning now to Northern Llanos, I'd like to provide some high-level comments on our performance and then hand it over to Eric to provide more specifics on our operational results and plans for the second half of the year. So Arauca. At Arauca to date, results have underperformed compared to our initial expectations. While we are optimistic... We were optimistic at the onset, we have since encountered operational and reservoir challenges as activity has progressed at the block.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

As a result, we have paused our in-year drilling campaign to provide the team and our partner with time to reassess our results and develop a plan to optimize the field's potential over the longer term. With activity in Arauca paused, we have shifted capital to our Capachos block, where we are now drilling a follow-up well to Andina Norte-1, and at Block 32, where we have successfully drilled an extension to the field. These two areas combined are positioning us to partially offset Arauca volumes and drill lower risk appraisal and development wells to add production and potential reserves in second half of 2024.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

While the third half of the year has certainly presented its challenges, we are targeting to grow production into year-end, look forward to initial results from our 2024 high-impact Big E wells, and we'll continue to use our free funds flow to deliver share buybacks and regular dividends. I'll now ask Eric to provide additional details on our operational performance.

[Eric Furlan, COO at Parex Resources]

Thanks, Imad. In Q2 2024, production averaged 53,568 BOE per day, which was relatively flat when compared to Q1 2024. At Arauca, we saw strong, we saw strong initial performance from Arauca-8, with extremely high natural flow rates that made us excited about the field's potential. Since this strong initial performance, the block has performed below our expectations due to a multitude of factors, including wellbore conditions, water intrusion, asphaltenes, and tighter rock than anticipated. It is our view that these complexities can be worked through over time. We're going to complete workovers on the wells we see potential and are assessing the next steps to best restore and optimize production from the field in the short and long term.

[Eric Furlan, COO at Parex Resources]

As Imad mentioned, in the interim, we have reallocated one of the rigs to Capachos, and once we finish the necessary completions and workovers in Arauca, we plan to release the second rig. It is important to note that while we have resized Arauca, we still see long-term potential from the field. With development opportunities identified, we currently plan to return in 2025 following analysis and recalibration of the initial program's results. With Arauca capital paused, we have reallocated capital to Block 32, where, as Imad mentioned, we successfully drilled an extension to the field. This is supporting a multi-well appraisal and development campaign, and is expected to add barrels to our second half production profile for 2024.

[Eric Furlan, COO at Parex Resources]

The decision to go back to Block 32 was largely driven by the anticipated mapping size being larger than what was originally thought, which has since proven out by the first successful step-out well, as well as our logging on the follow-up well. Turning to our 2024 Big E exploration plan, we continue to progress, including our near-term prospect, Orontes, at Block 122. To provide an update, the timing for this well has been extended due to previous mechanical issues, as well as a revised target depth based on recalibrated seismic analysis. We are currently at roughly 16,500 feet and plan to reach total depth in late Q3 2024.... Aligning our Big E strategy, we are planning to spud two further exploration wells in the second half of the year at VIM-1, as well as Capachos.

[Eric Furlan, COO at Parex Resources]

With that, I'd invite Sanjay to please go ahead.

[Sanjay Bishnoi, CFO at Parex Resources]

Thanks, Eric. Overall, despite production shortfalls, we had a strong quarter financially. Funds flow provided by operations was $181 million, supported by strong realizations, as well as a positive $21 million one-time foreign exchange gain related to the settlement of the company's 2023 Colombian tax payable. This one-time gain flowed through FFO and positively benefited netbacks during the quarter by over $4 per barrel. The company's net income was reduced due to the increase in deferred tax expense, which was also caused by movement in the exchange rate. Currently, we continue to see elevated production expenses related to a strong Colombian peso—excuse me, increased well service costs, and one-time maintenance and facility costs. Despite electricity costs trending downward, our view today is that our production expense will remain elevated and be between $12-$13 per barrel for 2024.

[Sanjay Bishnoi, CFO at Parex Resources]

Offsetting this is strong pricing realizations and lower estimated tax, even at the top surtax band, leading us to a $31-$33 per barrel FFO net back at $85 per barrel Brent, as per our previously guided numbers. Quarterly capital expenditures were $98 million. This was lower than our forecast due to the pause of drilling and facility work in Arauca, as well as smaller adjustments such as seismic and contract amendments. Given the lower production profile that we see for 2024, management is hyper-focused on capital discipline to drive the company's free funds flow profile. With the reallocation of capital that we are doing in year, the timing of production growth has been extended into the back half of 2024.

[Sanjay Bishnoi, CFO at Parex Resources]

As such, we are forecasting that our third quarter production volumes will remain generally in line with what we saw this quarter, with growth in the fourth quarter and into year-end. At our current forecasting and today's commodity prices, we anticipate meeting our long-term capital allocation framework to return 33% of total FFO through the regular dividend and share buybacks, while spending at or below the 66% threshold that we have set. During the quarter, we repaid another $10 million of bank debt, so at quarter end, we had a working capital surplus of $34 million and cash of $119 million. With that, I will pass it over to Imad for some final remarks.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

Thank you, Sanjay. While we have faced challenges and some disappointing subsurface results during the first half of the year, we have a portfolio that allows for flexibility when it comes to capital allocation. With stable reservoir performance from Cabrestero and Block 34, and the ability to quickly pivot to development opportunities at Block 32 and Capachos, we are optimistic on our production forecast for the back half of 2024, and believe we have made the current correct shift to deliver to the lower end of our annual production guidance. As we have adjusted our production outlook, we are also having capital match that trend, as Sanjay mentioned. Even at a lower production profile at today's commodity prices, we can generate significant free funds flow to support future investment and shareholder returns.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

I want to take a second to thank you, thank all of our, our employees for the commitment for the past few months. Their ability to be adaptable and resilient as we adjust plans in support of our strategy is a reflection of the strong and dedicated team we have at Parex. To end, I also want to thank our shareholders and partners for their ongoing support. This concludes our formal remarks. I would now like to turn the call back to the operator to start the Q&A session for the investment community. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. Please ensure that your phone is not on mute when called upon. Your first question comes from the line of Alejandro Demichelis of Jefferies. Your line is open.

[Alejandro Demichelis, Managing Director at Jefferies]

Yes, good morning. Thank you very much for taking my question. Just one question, please. Given the situation that you're mentioning in Arauca and production for this year, how should we think, or how are you thinking about production growth for 2025 and 2026? Because previously you told us you could be growing at about 5% per annum over there. Good morning. Thanks for your question. As we think about the long-term plan, I'm gonna pass this to Imad, how he sees the company evolving over the next couple of years.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

So, so the way I look at this, Alejandro, is we will put the money where it makes sense, where it makes money. I, I'm not pursuing, growth at any cost, and, and that's part of why we reallocated capital to where places where it made sense this year. That would mean that our, our exit rate for this year will be lower, than, what it was planned in initially, I mean, when we, we issued the initial guidance. If I look at 2025, 2026, and beyond, I, I have confidence in the portfolio capability to withstand a long-term growth.... But we didn't do the work yet. We are now, the budget for next year will start in, in early, by the end of this year.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

We'll announce it early 2025, and that will be driven by the where we would allocate capital to bring the more benefits for shareholders. And that's where you get your number. I don't—I think the fact that we could reallocate capital and stay within guidance and still reduce the capital overall is a tribute to the diversity of the portfolio and the optionality we have, but to put exact numbers on it is hard at this stage. It's not. The idea is still to try to have a thriving, growing company going forward.

[Alejandro Demichelis, Managing Director at Jefferies]

That's very clear. Thank you very much.

[Operator]

Once again, ladies, and gentlemen, if you have a question, it is star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Daria Lima with Bloomberg. Your line is open.

[Daria Lima, Financial Journalist at Bloomberg]

Hi, thank you for taking my questions. I have a couple on the production. I wanted to know, were there any protests noted in Block 34 in Q2?

[Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning at Parex Resources]

Sure. I'll pass that to Eric.

[Eric Furlan, COO at Parex Resources]

No, as far as I think the question is regarding protests or social disruptions. Most of our disruptions, we did have disruptions in Block 34, but that was mainly associated with power disruptions and a flooding event, which can happen in that area, but the social disruptions have not been material, thus far.

[Daria Lima, Financial Journalist at Bloomberg]

Thank you. Very clear. And also, on the production cost, I've noticed they have grown in Q2 versus Q1. Could you shed some light on that?

[Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning at Parex Resources]

Sure. Sanjay?

[Sanjay Bishnoi, CFO at Parex Resources]

Yeah, sure. Yeah, we did see some one-time facility and road maintenance costs that were passed through our operating expenses in Q2, and I'd say that was the primary driver of the increase. You know, I would say that in previous discussions, we've talked about power prices being elevated. We've now seen power prices in the country normalize. So that's, you know, that's a positive indication for the business. And as I mentioned in prepared comments, we would expect that for the year, our production cost will be between $12-$13 per barrel.

[Daria Lima, Financial Journalist at Bloomberg]

Thank you. Just one last one for me. On the CapEx side, due to the pause of Arauca and focus on Llanos, do you see any increase in capital expenditures in the second half of the year?

[Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning at Parex Resources]

I'm gonna pass that to Imad.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

I mean, if you look at our expectation to be on the lower side of the overall year guidance, you can do the math in terms of how much burn rate that will bring you. I don't know exactly the dollar amount. Mike, is that-

[Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning at Parex Resources]

Yeah

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

... higher or lower than first half?

[Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning at Parex Resources]

I think we spent roughly $183 million in the first half of the year, and you know, a midpoint of our guidance was around $410 million. So we expect to be, you know, less than $410. So, you know, if you just do the math on that, we'll have slightly more CapEx in the second half of the year, but relatively it'll be pretty close.

[Imad Mohsen, President and CEO at Parex Resources]

Yeah. So, I don't see a huge jump in CapEx in the second half, if that's the question. We are trying to be careful with how we deploy capital. It's not a knee-jerk reaction.

[Daria Lima, Financial Journalist at Bloomberg]

Got it. Thank you. That is all for me.

[Operator]

Once again, ladies, and gentlemen, if you have a question, it is star one on your telephone keypad. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call to Mike Kruchten for closing remarks.

[Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning at Parex Resources]

Thank you very much for joining our second quarter conference call. Please feel free to reach out to Parex, and we can take any additional questions that you may have about Parex. Have a great day.

Participants

Executives

• Eric Furlan, COO
• Imad Mohsen, President and CEO
• Mike Kruchten, SVP of Capital Planning
• Sanjay Bishnoi, CFO

Analysts

• Alejandro Demichelis, Managing Director at Jefferies
• Daria Lima, Financial Journalist at Bloomberg