Douglas Emmett Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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August 9, 2024

There are 12 speakers on the call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Douglas Summit's Quarterly Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Stuart McElhinney, Vice President of Investor Relations for Douglas Emmett. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Joining us today on the call are Jordan Kaplan, our President and CEO Kevin Crummy, our CIO and Peter Seymour, our CFO. This call is being webcast live from our website and will be available for replay during the next 90 days. You can also find our earnings package at the Investor Relations section of our website. You can find reconciliations of non GAAP financial measures discussed during today's call in the earnings package.

Speaker 1

During the course of this call, we will make forward looking statements. These forward looking statements are based on the beliefs of, assumptions made by and information currently available to us. Our actual results will be affected by known and unknown risks, trends, uncertainties and factors that are beyond our control or ability to predict. Although we believe that our assumptions are reasonable, they are not guarantees of future performance and some will prove to be incorrect. Therefore, our actual future results can be expected to differ from our expectations and those differences may be material.

Speaker 1

For a more detailed description of some potential risks, please refer to our SEC filings, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website. When we reach the question and answer portion, in consideration of others, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. I will now turn the call over to Jordan.

Speaker 2

Good morning and thank you for joining us. Many of our most important operating metrics are comparable to or even better than levels before the pandemic. Rental rates have held and continue to show strength. We are achieving significant lease transaction volume. Our retention rate continues to be high.

Speaker 2

Our leasing concessions have remained minimal. Tenant defaults are back to our historic low. We continue to experience positive straight line rent roll up and our tenant improvements and leasing commissions per square foot remain below our 2016 to 2019 average. Nevertheless, the most important metric at this time, new office leasing was not sufficient to drive positive absorption. The shortfall again came largely from new leases over 10,000 square feet.

Speaker 2

My confidence in the long term outperformance of our portfolio is validated by the continued strength and diversity of our tenant base and the severely restricted new office supply in our markets. We are seeing some signs of increased activity from larger tenants, and I firmly believe that as they abandon their defensive posture, our portfolio will be among the strongest in the country. With that, I'll turn the call over to Kevin.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Jordan, and good morning, everyone. Sales transaction volume remains depressed, although we are beginning to see some trades in multifamily properties. The sellers consist of core funds looking to raise liquidity and owners of floating rate financing. While cap rates have risen slightly, they remain at fairly low levels. There have been fewer office purchases, mostly by owner users and high net worth individuals.

Speaker 3

The pricing for these trades has been quite high on a per square foot basis, reflecting the scarcity premium for quality West LA real estate. With that, I will turn the call over to Stuart.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Kevin. Good morning, everyone. During the Q2, we signed 222 office leases covering 793,000 square feet, including 205,000 square feet of new leases and 588,000 square feet of renewal leases. The overall value of new leases we signed in the quarter increased by 1.1% with cash spreads down 12.4%. Of course, in any quarter, the specific leases rolling off and on can cause those numbers to vary substantially.

Speaker 1

Our total leasing costs during the Q2 averaged $5.62 per square foot per year, below our pre pandemic long term average and well below the average for other office REITs. This success reflects several key advantages of our operating platform. 1st, with our dominant market share and standardized build outs, we have finished suites that can accommodate most tenant requirements without expensive modifications. In other words, we often already have a suite that fits the tenant compared to other landlords who must incur significant TI cost to accommodate new tenants. 2nd, our upgraded customized website and search technology allows tenants to quickly find and virtually tour potential suites.

Speaker 1

Finally, by doing space planning, design and construction work ourselves, we control costs, design standardized build outs that are reusable, accelerate move in times and improve tenant satisfaction. Our residential portfolio remains essentially fully leased at 99% and continues to generate healthy rent roll ups. With that, I'll turn the call over to Peter to discuss our results.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Stuart. Good morning, everyone. Reviewing our results compared to the Q2 of 2023, revenue decreased by 3% as higher parking and residential revenue was more than offset by vacancy at Barrington Plaza and lower office occupancy. FFO decreased by 4.5 percent to $0.46 per share, primarily as a result of higher interest expense and lower revenues, partially offset by higher interest income and lower operating expenses. AFFO decreased slightly to $74,200,000 and same property cash NOI was essentially flat with multifamily growth offset by lower office NOI.

Speaker 4

Our G and A remains very low relative to our benchmark group at only 4.7% of revenue. Turning to guidance, our 2nd quarter FFO benefited from anticipated property tax refunds and the timing of operating expenses. In determining our guidance for the rest of the year, we have not included similar benefits, but have factored in the usual seasonal increase in our utility costs in the Q3, the move out of Warner Brothers and Burbank and higher interest expense. As a result, we are keeping the midpoint of our FFO guidance unchanged and narrowing the range to between $1.65 $1.69 per share. For information on assumptions underlying our guidance, please refer to the schedule in the earnings package.

Speaker 4

As usual, our guidance does not assume the impact of future property acquisitions or dispositions, common stock sales or repurchases, financings, property damage insurance recoveries, impairment charges or other possible capital markets activities. I will now turn the call over to the operator, so we can take your questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. And today's first question comes from Blaine Heck with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Great, thanks. Jordan, I think in your prepared remarks, you mentioned rental rates that have held and continue to show strength. Can you just give a little bit more color on recent rental rate trends you've seen, whether that comment is based on asking rents or net effective rents and maybe which submarkets are showing the best resiliency or even growth?

Speaker 2

Yes. So I'm saying rental rates have held for a couple of reasons. First of all, there's the fact and we report this to you guys. We've had a number of years and continue to have quarters of positive straight line roll up, which considering the strength of the markets from the previous period 2019 and earlier, that's I think pretty impressive. We're also seeing the only way to do like year to year is to look at asking rates, which you get out of CoStar or one of those places and we're seeing that strength and we're seeing that strength not being offset by concessions, but actually existing in the net effectives of the deals.

Speaker 2

We're seeing that ourselves. So as I said, we feel pretty good about where that rental rates haven't fallen off. We saw them like after the 2,008 recession, we saw them really fall off. We have not experienced that this time.

Speaker 5

Great. And any specific submarkets that you'd call out as being a little bit better or worse position within your portfolio?

Speaker 2

Well, I mean, I have to say that I spent so many years making excuses for why and why it's just like a colossally strong market now because we took some of the product out of the market. So it's very strong. But I think beyond that, I think most of the Westside is, I don't think you would differentiate anything there. All the way around we're seeing that strength. And Warner Center has a lot of good things happening, but it still has its issues with respect to vacancy.

Speaker 2

But that probably covers the whole gamut.

Speaker 5

All right, great. And then just second question, can you just talk a little bit more about your plans for upcoming debt maturities? Just looking past the swaps, you have a few upcoming maturities later this year and in early 2025. You just talk us through your plans for those? Will you be looking to pay those off at maturity with your cash balance?

Speaker 5

Or is it more likely you look to refinance? And if you're looking into refinancing, can you just talk about the overall financing environment and whether you think you'll need to pay down the loans with cash to reset LTVs or add other assets as collateral?

Speaker 2

So each loan has its own kind of thing that it will be done. We do have a plan for all of the loans and I feel good about it and I'm confident we'll get it all done. There are some times when we'll do, there'll be some cash pay down. I don't think that's as significant. We have a lot of buildings that are unencumbered, so we can actually extend loans by adding collateral and making everybody happy, especially ones that are few years out.

Speaker 2

I'm happy to repeat that I feel confident about our debt, our portfolio. We're giving nothing back. We're all good on that. I mean, I don't like what I mean, no one can like where rates are, although they're coming back our way a little bit. So that's also probably a piece of good news.

Speaker 5

Great. Thanks, Jordan.

Speaker 2

All right.

Operator

And our next question comes from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hey, morning out there. Two questions. First, Jordan, on the national tenants, when you say they're still hesitant, is that like they wake up last Friday, look at the jobs print and go, we're not leasing space? Or is it really the way those outposts are doing in your market, those natural those national tenants don't have the business that warrants them to be doing the leasing. I'm just trying to separate because clearly the local tenants are doing deals and leasing.

Speaker 6

I'm trying to figure out is it the national tenants just aren't doing their business in your markets isn't healthy or it's someone at corporate that's getting scared because of a bad jobs print or something like that?

Speaker 2

Well, that's a very refined question and I don't know a lot of these guys. I don't want to overstate that larger tenants have just sort of dropped out completely. Stuart has some information about it, maybe I should turn the call over to Stuart. But I'm feeling better now. So I'm feeling better about leasing the pipeline and starting to see more we are starting to see more activity from larger tenants.

Speaker 2

So I don't want to paint it as though we're still in the doldrums of a year ago or whenever it was at its worst. We're actually probably feeling a little better now. But Stuart, do you want to add something to that?

Speaker 1

Yes, sure. So we made it, I think a point of telling you last quarter that we only had signed one new lease over 10,000 square feet in the Q1. That was well below trend of what we typically do. So we saw improvement in that. This quarter we did 3 deals over 10,000 feet in the Q2.

Speaker 1

So feeling better to see some momentum there. It's still not back to levels pre pandemic average levels. So we'd like to see that strengthen more, but I'd echo Jordan's comments that we are starting to feel a little bit more optimistic with that segment.

Speaker 6

Okay. And then maybe just as a follow-up there, Stuart. Given that small tenants are active, is there something that impedes your ability to break up those over 10,000 square feet spaces into smaller pre built suites and lease them or it's literally you've maxed out all the demand in the smaller tenants and therefore you're 100% leased effectively on the small tenants and really the only place where you're literally going to get incremental demand is from those larger tenants. So just trying to figure out how much you can feather the cross between the 2. No.

Speaker 1

Yes. No, I understand. I think that no, we still would look to take larger spaces and break them up. That's still an option in our portfolio. By no means have we maxed out our ability to break up larger space in a smaller.

Speaker 1

In fact, we've been vocal about doing that at Studio Plaza as we're looking to release the Warner Bros. Discovery space. We'll break that up into smaller spaces. It's a floor by floor and kind of building by building decision. If we have good product, that smaller spec suite product available at the moment, then we don't need to take larger space and break it up.

Speaker 1

So, we've got a lot of leasing to do across the portfolio. We're very focused on it, large leasing, small leasing. We could get improvement out of all those categories. We could see more we could see better smaller leasing although it's still remaining very active. That could improve.

Speaker 1

So we could get improvement across the board. We're focused on small, large, medium tenants. We can break space up, build more spec suites. We've been very aggressive about doing that and it remains very successful for us.

Speaker 2

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

And our next question today comes from Michael Griffin with Citi. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Great. Thanks. I want to go back just to comments on the leasing environment and I realize kind of quarterly numbers can be choppy there. But how many of these larger tenant deals do you Hey, Michael.

Speaker 6

If we look at the

Speaker 1

Hey, Michael. If we look back over a longer term average, we used to do 5 or 6 5 or 6 deals maybe over 10,000 feet and maybe kind of in a 90,000 foot average range per quarter. We've been below that. We talked about how we've been below that. So we could see that improvement.

Speaker 1

As to when, I have no idea. I hope it's soon. Jordan and I just told you we're feeling a little bit better about what's going on with the larger guys. There's some dialogue and some activity. So that's optimistic, but I can't tell you exactly when we'll see that switch.

Speaker 7

Got you. Appreciate that, Stuart. And then just turning kind of to the transaction market, I think you mentioned distressed opportunities and maybe more coming to the market on the multifamily side relative to office. But as you sit out there today, are there any office properties that kind of meet that category of sort of your bread and butter type properties that you could see maybe these high quality buildings come in at distressed pricing? And if so, would you prefer to execute more on the office side or could we see it more on the multifamily?

Speaker 3

So this is Kevin. The multifamily is still trading at it's not trading at the extremely low cap rates that it was, but it's still very, very low cap rates and fully priced. So there's going to be a better discount on the office side, but the office side is just taking a little longer to work its way through the system. And so, I mentioned that there have been a couple of user trades, couple of little buildings of high net worth, but the multi tenant Class A office on the Westside, we haven't seen as much, although I'm thinking that if there are going to be opportunities, there'll be second half of this year or early part of next year. So we're definitely watching it.

Speaker 7

Great. That's it for me. Thanks for the time.

Operator

Thanks. And our next question comes from Steve Sakwa with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Yes, thanks. Good morning. Jordan, just to kind of follow-up on the leasing. What industries, is it tech, is it media, is it kind of everything, like where do you need to see the biggest, I guess, improvement in order to you feel get a kind of a bigger upturn in the leasing activity overall?

Speaker 2

It's probably not tech and media. We as you know, we don't have big concentration of them, so we've never kind of leaned back on them. But the other industries, the service industries, the other kind of general office and all of those guys, that's stuff we're feeling better about. I have to say, I'm even I feel that it's coming back. So if I was to take a guess about this, I would say that we have a good chance.

Speaker 2

It's horrible to make this prediction. I don't want to do it with you, Steve, because you're going to remember it. But I think once we get past Studio Plaza, we are going to see we have a very good shot at heading back in more of an upward direction. And that's because of what we are seeing in terms of pipeline and activity.

Speaker 8

Just a quick follow-up there. I know big media and tech are not necessarily your tenants, but other companies and other smaller businesses feed off of those. So to the extent that streaming wars, you're laying off people and other businesses. I guess I'm trying to think about the feeder effect of tech and media being down as having like a derivative impact on your customer base. And if they don't come back, can your tenants come back?

Speaker 4

Well,

Speaker 2

I'm not sure that so the direct derivative impact was a very large lease that we had that already renewed and went 10 more years, which is an agency, right. The kind of secondary, tertiary impacts, which is the accountants, the lawyers, they still seem to be going full tilt. I'm just going to tell you. Even though I know many of their clients are entertainers and this, that and directors and producers and all of those people. So they, for us, still seem to be moving along at a good clip.

Speaker 2

We're not the creative side, I would say, the sound stages to studios, that activity doesn't need to be moving in any kind of meaningful way for the people that we're dealing with that are whether they're working on deals good, bad or indifferent to be very active and that is happening.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thanks. Peter, just as a follow-up, I know the last two quarters, you guys have had these tax refunds that have benefited your property operating expenses in the office. So we're just trying to really figure out what is kind of run ratable and would continue and how much of these are truly just one time payments that don't really lower the overall basis Because it feels like you guys have benefited. I'm trying to figure out if that's just a function of COVID problems that have allowed you guys to reduce the property values and it's more of a permanent savings?

Speaker 8

And how much of that savings was really one time in nature?

Speaker 4

Yes, Steve. Yes, it's Peter. The so the tax refunds are generally related they take they're a long lifecycle. These are things that we appeal and start the appeal process years ago. And you don't know for some time when they're going to resolve.

Speaker 4

And we had some of them resolved in the Q1 and Q2. We are expecting a bit more, but it's a multiyear process and we have incorporated what we know into our guidance.

Speaker 8

I'm sorry, Peter. So there are more pending, you just don't know when, so there's no guidance?

Speaker 4

No. What we know we've incorporated in our guidance and and we always every time we buy a building there's an appeal. There's a lot of these in process over a period of years.

Speaker 8

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Steve? Our next question today comes from John Kim at BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Thank you. Jordan, I know we're harping on this a little bit, but we're still interested in your commentary of large tenants coming back or feeling better about national tenants in the market. Is there any way to quantify what's that has been as far as tour activity or what percentage of releasing pipeline that is and what submarkets that may benefit from that?

Speaker 2

There is, but I'm not anxious to do it. But I can tell you that the reason I feel that way is as a result of our activity with larger tenants. So when you look at like who we're talking to as we're approaching deals, what kind of deals we're working on, I go, oh, there's some good big guys coming back.

Speaker 9

And that's expansions in your market or just moving around from downtown to West LA?

Speaker 2

I'm not sure that I would call it moving around. I mean I'd have to look into each one and see where you're asking where that those tenants are coming from. One that's noteworthy for me is an expansion, one that I'm familiar with.

Speaker 9

Okay. On your credit facility a few quarters ago, you let it expire. Now with the rates coming down and stabilizing, are there any signs that the fees have come back so that it would be attractive for you to secure another one?

Speaker 2

I have not seen that. I mean, we can we allowed ourselves to build up a lot of cash. As you know, we let that expire. We cut the dividend and we allowed the cash to build up, which you guys have seen. We did one loan that brought a lot of cash into on the couple apartments.

Speaker 2

I think that trade, that cost of us carrying more cash in an environment today where there's still rates are still pretty good is substantially better than what I would have to pay to create availability through a credit line. So even if rates come down, they'd have to come down even more and costs come down. I mean, there still would be a ways to go. Okay.

Speaker 9

So it's lower on your checklist as far as desire to get another one? Well, if the

Speaker 2

costs were good, I would. But I just don't I don't even think they're close right now.

Speaker 9

Right. Thanks a lot. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Uphol Rana with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Thanks for taking my question. Just maybe regarding Barrington Plaza here, have expectations shifted following the tentative ruling from this past June?

Speaker 2

No. I mean there is a variety of ways we use that way. There is a variety of ways that we always do, we be a while to get there get in a position to do the work. The building is about 90% vacant right now. You know by one way or another I'd always assume there'd be some tenants that we'll have to like figure out how to finish off with.

Speaker 10

Okay. Are they all sort of in one building or is that something you can move into one building so you can start on the other parts of the project or how does that work?

Speaker 2

Well, there's some city programs that depending on which what we use that would leave us in some are better or worse. We'll start with the ones that are better that and the positioning impairment. But I don't think it's very material in any case to our numbers because there's so few people left.

Speaker 10

Okay. Thank you. And then, my second question was just on when you said rent roll up in your prepared remarks, is that because of relatively larger percentage of your portfolio has already rolled since COVID? And you think that rent roll up can continue over the near medium term or even the longer term?

Speaker 2

Well, I don't know about future predictions about where rental rates are going, but if you look at the more what my commentary was revolving around is, we've held rate and actually to some degree rates improved. And so I know we were looking back, how do we roll up stats for the last 4 years average without putting weight to 4 years ago, I mean including recent numbers and we're averaging over 7%. I mean if you would have told me COVID recession doldrums and we were going to average over 7%, I would have said, wow, that's a good time. And that's a basis, a lot of basis for why I say, I feel like rates have held in our markets.

Speaker 10

Great. Thank you. That was helpful.

Operator

And our next question today comes from Peter Abramowitz with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thanks. Yes, I just wanted to go back to the comments that you're feeling better about National tenants. Could you elaborate and possibly quantify what this means in terms of your leasing pipeline, overall leasing activity or tour activity? Any comments to quantify or elaborate again would be helpful.

Speaker 2

The short answer is no, not really. But I mean, I felt like it was I don't want to overdo it, under do it. I just want to get it right. And what I'm telling you guys is we're seeing larger tenants start working their way back and I'm very pleased to see some in the pipeline. We need let's get those deals made and then we'll come back and then we'll really be able to talk about them.

Speaker 2

I'm not ready now and it's still going to be a battle to get back and lease up the properties and that's still in front of us. So don't want to overstate, I'm just saying I'm feeling more positive.

Speaker 1

Okay, that's helpful. That's all for me.

Speaker 9

Thanks. Thanks.

Operator

And our next question today comes from Camille Bunnell with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 11

Hi, there. I wanted to follow-up on an earlier question. Can you quantify the impact of tax refunds that contributed to the Q2? I assume the outcome came in line with your expectations given you didn't adjust guidance or was it more favorable with offsets elsewhere?

Speaker 4

No, it was it's Peter. It was in line with what we expected for the year. And when we take those refunds, they're reflected in office expenses. You can see the big reduction in office expenses versus prior year and most of that is from the tax refunds.

Speaker 11

And can you quantify what that was?

Speaker 2

You can go through it, Peter, later.

Speaker 5

You can

Speaker 2

go into it, but it's you can quantify it. You can look at the expense change.

Speaker 11

Okay. And then just shifting, I noticed your signed lease not commenced GAAP occupancy has been trending lower the past 3 quarters. So I was wondering if you can provide any guidepost on how much of these leases are commencing in the rest of this year versus 2025? Thanks.

Speaker 1

Yes. Generally, our leases commence for the most part over the next three quarters after they have been signed. That's generally the majority of the leases. We were getting a lot of attention when that spread gapped out. A few years ago, we had a pretty widespread, which actually we like, means we're doing a lot of leasing.

Speaker 1

I think long term average for that spread is 180, 170 basis points, something like that. So the more leasing we can do, the wider that spread usually gets. We like that. So we'd like to see that improve in that upward direction. But generally our leases are commencing very quickly with our smaller tenants.

Speaker 1

We get them in that quarter or over the next couple of quarters.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Rich Anderson at Wedbush. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Thanks. So is there another Bishop place in your future do you see in your portfolio anywhere given the success you've had there or is it tough to find an asset that would accommodate a conversion like that?

Speaker 2

I don't it's not we actually have a lot of assets that physically can accommodate the conversion. But financially, to have the conversion make sense, you need a meaningful spread between a very meaningful spread between office rents and residential rents. And if it's not very meaningful since our buildings are all in markets that where you can lease up your buildings and we're confident to get there that we don't we aren't seeing that spread. So in Hawaii office rents were low and had been persistent low as a result of the low of the higher kind of stabilized vacancy of about 85%. But we saw that apartment rents were very strong, which even in the exact same market.

Speaker 2

So when we calculated and added in the cost of doing the conversion, considering the strength of the apartment rents and also the kind of reverb that would happen to the rest of our portfolio, we knew that one would make sense and in fact it more than made sense. It was extremely successful. That's not as easy to achieve in a larger market where like this one, where if you take a building out of the portfolio, it substantially changes if you take a building out of the office stock, it substantially changes the amount of office that's available to be leased. So you don't have that tailwind as part of the process. You have to just do it straight as a result of like this was an office building, now it's an apartment building.

Speaker 2

So you got to really rely on that rent spread. And I don't know that there's anything that we have at this time that's there.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then the second question is, you mentioned and we all know you don't have a whole lot of media exposure. I'm wondering why that's the case. Was that an intentional move on your part or was it kind of lucky? Again, I don't mean to be throwing Hudson Pacific under the bus because I think that they'll ultimately do fine there.

Speaker 5

But is there something about

Speaker 2

strategy that we don't like relying on large tenants. We don't like single tenant buildings and both media and tech tend to be larger tenants. And so we've always we don't we just don't win a lot of bids on buildings even if it's credit. We're more comfortable with small tenant credit. Our small tenant credit profile has been outstanding historically and through this period of time.

Speaker 2

And so we're just built for smaller tenants, which means we don't have buildings, we're not leasing to, we're not focused on a lot of the larger tech and entertainment guys that are looking for big blocks of space. Not that we probably we have that big block coming up in Warner Center, we'd be happy I mean not Warner Center, but in Burbank. But they moved out. So that's the reason we don't have exposure to them. We don't have the types of buildings that they would probably find appealing.

Speaker 9

Yes. Okay.

Speaker 5

Thanks very much.

Speaker 2

All right.

Operator

Thank you. And this concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to the company for any closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Well, thank you all for joining us and we'll be speaking again in another quarter.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.

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Earnings Conference Call
Douglas Emmett Q2 2024
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