LXP Industrial Trust Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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February 13, 2025
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Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the LXP Industrial Trust Fourth Quarter Earnings Call and Webcast. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Heather Gentry, IR.

Operator

Please go ahead, Heather.

Heather Gentry
Heather Gentry
Senior Vice President-Investor Relations at LXP Industrial Trust

Thank you, operator. Welcome to LXC Industrial Trust's fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings conference call and webcast. The earnings release was distributed this morning and both the release and quarterly supplemental are available on our website in the Investors section and will be furnished to the SEC on a Form eight K. Certain statements made during this conference call regarding future events and expected results may constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. LXP believes that these statements are based on reasonable assumptions.

Heather Gentry
Heather Gentry
Senior Vice President-Investor Relations at LXP Industrial Trust

However, certain factors and risks, including those included in today's earnings press release and those described in reports that LXP files with the SEC from time to time, could cause LXP's actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Except as required by law, LXD does not undertake a duty to update any forward looking statements. In the earnings press release and quarterly supplemental disclosure package, Alexey has reconciled all non GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Any references in these documents to adjusted company FFO refer to adjusted company funds from operations available to all equity holders on a fully diluted basis. Operating performance measures of an individual investment are not intended to be viewed as presenting a numerical measure of LXC's historical or future financial performance, financial position or cash flows.

Heather Gentry
Heather Gentry
Senior Vice President-Investor Relations at LXP Industrial Trust

On today's call, Will Eglin, Chairman and CEO Beth Bouliris, CFO Brendan Mullenix, CIO and Executive Vice President, James Dudley, will provide a recent business update and commentary on fourth quarter results. I will now turn the call over to Will.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

Thanks, Heather. Good morning, everyone. Our fourth quarter results were highlighted by continued favorable leasing outcomes and solid same store NOI growth. Leasing volume in the quarter of nearly 1,000,000 square feet produced exceptionally strong base and cash based rental increases of approximately 6643%, respectively, excluding a fixed rate renewal. Our fourth quarter performance capped off a great year of accomplishment in our business.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

On the investment side, we sold our remaining consolidated office assets, opportunistically divested four industrial assets and sold our ground lease property in Phoenix, resulting in considerable value creation. We redeployed most of the proceeds into a build to suit and four Class A properties in our Sunbelt markets at attractive pricing. Moving to leasing, we completed 4,500,000 square feet of volume and continued to post exceptional mark to market outcomes, increasing base and cash base rents approximately 4640%, respectively, excluding TI amortization in one prior lease and one fixed rate renewal. Additionally, our average annual escalators continue to trend higher reaching 2.8% at year end and we achieved strong same store NOI growth of 5% for the year. These results demonstrate the strength of our leasing team and the value of owning high quality assets in our target market.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

On the balance sheet front, in the third quarter, we capitalized on a favorable market window and executed forward interest rate swap agreements on $333,000,000 of floating rate debt. These transactions combined with the repayment of $50,000,000 of floating rate term loan debt after quarter end effectively locked in fixed rates on 97% of our debt through year end 2026. Further, we reduced leverage to 5.9 times net debt to adjusted EBITDA at year end, down from 6.1 times at the end of the third quarter. We are focused on reducing leverage over time by growing EBITDA through the lease up of vacant assets, marking rents to market and increasing rents with annual escalators. Regarding big box development leasing, in early December, we disclosed that our negotiations with a full building user did not result in a lease at our 1,100,000 square foot facility in Ocala, Florida.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

While this area of our business was slow in 2024, tenant interest seems to have picked up recently and we believe some of the uncertainty around space use decisions may be receding. We currently have activity at all three of our large vacancies for both full and partial users. As industrial fundamentals begin to show signs of improvement, our 2025 outlook remains cautiously optimistic. The markets we operate in, primarily the Sunbelt and Lower Midwest, have experienced more resilient industrial fundamentals relative to select coastal markets. We are also encouraged that U.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

S. Manufacturing activity expanded in January after twenty six consecutive months of contraction. While we are still operating in an uncertain environment, our below market rents and predominantly Class A portfolio characteristics are positive factors that we expect will continue to enable us to drive strong mark to market rental increases in a market environment characterized by a slight to quality. Finally, this morning, we announced full year 2025 adjusted company FFO guidance in the range of $0.61 to $0.65 per diluted common share. This guidance, among other factors, is reflective of the disproportionate impact big box leasing has on funds from operation.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

The low end of this guidance assumes we do not lease any of the big boxes in 2025 and the high end represents all three big box leases executed in the second half of the year. Resolving remaining vacancies is a key operational objective for us that will add considerable earnings growth. The building blocks to sustained FFO growth remain intact, including the lease up of 3,700,000 square feet, 2.8 average annual rental escalations, mark to market of in place rents and a core portfolio positioned in markets that stand to benefit from long term demographic trends, advanced manufacturing investment, business friendly regulatory environments and logistics infrastructure. Before I turn the call over to Brendan, I'd like to extend our heartfelt thanks to Beth, who has made immeasurable contributions to our company's success during her tenure as our Chief Financial Officer and in other capacities since joining LXD in 02/2007. As previously announced, Nathan Brunner, who is currently our Executive Vice President of Capital Markets, will assume the CFO role on March one of this year.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

Nathan has already proven himself as a tremendous addition to our team, and we are confident that he will hit the ground running in his new role. With that, Brendan will now discuss investment activity in more detail.

Brendan Mullinix
Brendan Mullinix
Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer at LXP Industrial Trust

Thanks, Will. During the fourth quarter, we acquired four industrial assets for approximately $158,000,000 in Atlanta, Houston and Savannah. The Class A facilities have an average initial yield of 6% with a weighted average lead term of six point three years and three point six percent average annual escalators. The properties were built to modern specs with an average age of two years and a building size of approximately 294,000 square feet. These three markets in the Sunbelt have continued to experience positive net absorption and are benefiting from investment in transportation infrastructure and onshoring trends with significant investment in advanced manufacturing facilities, including several large projects nearing completion and operation.

Brendan Mullinix
Brendan Mullinix
Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer at LXP Industrial Trust

Our 625,000 square foot Class A build to two in the Greenville Spartanburg market substantially completed late in the fourth quarter with an aggregate estimated investment of approximately $74,000,000 and an estimated cash cap rate of a little over 7%. The facility is leased for twelve years with 3% escalations and was built to modern specs, including 40 foot clear height and the capacity to expand by an additional 174,000 square feet. Rent commenced with the substantial completion of the building in December. While we are being selective with respect to new investments, we will evaluate opportunities to unlock value in properties outside of our target markets to make strategic investments in our target markets as we did in 2024. Finally, we sold our interest in the approximately 100 acre Phoenix Ground lease land parcel upon the exercise of the tenant's purchase option late in the fourth quarter.

Brendan Mullinix
Brendan Mullinix
Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer at LXP Industrial Trust

Our share of the sales proceeds was approximately $83,000,000 or $871,000 per acre, representing an approximately $60,000,000 profit over our initial investment in just under three years. As a reminder, we acquired the original four fifteen acre site in the West Valley Of Phoenix in 2021 for $101,000,000 or approximately $243,000 an acre. The recent sale of the 100 acres unlocked considerable value and we believe demonstrates the potential to produce additional value from the site over time. The remaining three fifteen acres can support as much as approximately 5,000,000 square feet of future industrial spec development and build to suit opportunities, with build to suit projects currently our focus. With that, I'll turn the call over to James to discuss leasing.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

Thanks, Brendon.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

We're pleased to

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

see that the overall industrial leasing market is beginning to show signs of improvement post selection. Cushman reported The U. S. Net absorption increased a little over 10% quarter over quarter nationally as construction deliveries continue to decelerate. Our top 12 markets, which comprise less than 30% of the total inventory nationwide, experienced net absorption of approximately 32,000,000 square feet, making up a significant portion of U.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

S. Net absorption in the fourth quarter. National vacancy ticked up slightly in the fourth quarter, but appears to be slowing when compared to the first half of twenty twenty four, potentially indicating vacancy could reach peak levels by midyear twenty twenty five. Average national asking rents ticked slightly higher in the quarter with annual rent growth relatively flat. Rent growth in our top 12 markets grew on average just over 1% in the quarter.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

Pivot activity is increasing across our markets, although final decision making remains slow. During the quarter, we addressed our remaining 2024 lease expiration, except for two small vacancies in DFW and Greenville Spartanburg markets, posting final cash rental growth of approximately 28%, excluding fixed rate renewal on all leases that expired in 2024. With respect to vacancies, we expect both facilities to lease in 2025 as they are well positioned in their respective markets and anticipate the average mark to market on these assets to be approximately 45%. We achieved excellent leasing outcomes during the quarter and subsequently illustrating the portfolio's asset quality and value of owning Class A newer product. On the renewal side, we leased our 150,000 square foot facility in the Chicago market for three years with 4% average annual rental bumps and 118,000 square feet of space at our multi tenanted facility in Nashville for seven years with 3.5% annual escalators, a cash rental increase of approximately 29111% respectively.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

We also had the tenant in our approximately 400,000 square foot facility in Greenville Spartanburg exercise their five year fixed rate renewal, a 2% increase over the prior rent. In Columbus, we signed a new lease at our 320,000 square foot facility for ten years with 3.5% rental bumps, which represents a 29% cash rental increase over the prior rent. Finally, after quarter end, we renewed a twenty twenty six expiring lease at our 540,000 square foot facility in Phoenix for five years with 3.25% annual rental bumps, representing a 59% cash rental increase over the prior rent. We continue to see attractive mark to market opportunities in our portfolio with the current mark to market estimated to be approximately 20% through 02/1930 based on brokers' estimates. And looking more specifically at 2025, we've already addressed about 37% of the rule.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

On the remaining 2025 expirations, which represents a little less than 4% of our ABR, we estimate the current mark to market to be in the range of 30% to 35%. We're in current negotiations on several 2025 expirations, but in an environment of uncertainty and delayed decision making, tenant retention could be lower this year and realizing market rents may involve greater periods of downtime. We're positioned well to benefit from the potentially more stable leasing environment as we move into 2026 and 2027, where we have significantly higher percentage of leases expiring. With that, I'll turn the call over to Beth to discuss financial results.

Beth Boulerice
Beth Boulerice
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer at LXP Industrial Trust

Thanks, James. Total gross revenues in the fourth quarter were approximately $101,000,000 which included $15,000,000 of additional revenue from a sales type lease due to the exercise of the purchase option at our Phoenix ground leased asset. Our fourth quarter property operating expenses were about $15,000,000 of which 89% was attributable to tenant reimbursement. Adjusted company FFO in the fourth quarter was $0.16 per diluted common share or approximately $47,000,000 with full year 2024 adjusted company FFO of $0.64 per diluted common share. As mentioned earlier, our 2025 adjusted company FFO guidance range is $0.61 to $0.65 per diluted common share.

Beth Boulerice
Beth Boulerice
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer at LXP Industrial Trust

In addition to leasing assumptions, this guidance includes the impact of higher interest expense on our term loans with the all in rate increasing from approximately 2.7% to approximately 4.3%, lower interest income on cash on the balance sheet and less benefit from the capitalization of interest given the substantial completion of our development projects in 2024. G and A was approximately $10,000,000 in the quarter with our 2024 G and A coming in within our expected range at $40,000,000 We expect 2025 G and A to be within a range of $39,000,000 to $41,000,000 Our same store portfolio was 99.5% leased at quarter end and same store NOI increased 4.1% in the fourth quarter when compared to the same period in 2023. At quarter end, approximately 98.5% of our portfolio leases had escalations with an average annual rate of 2.8%. With respect to 2025, we are estimating same store NOI growth to be within a range of 3% to 4%, which considers a range of leasing assumptions. At year end, our total consolidated debt outstanding was approximately $1,600,000,000 with a weighted average interest rate of 3.68% and a weighted average term to maturity of five point five years.

Beth Boulerice
Beth Boulerice
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer at LXP Industrial Trust

Subsequent to year end, we repaid $50,000,000 on our term loan and our $600,000,000 unsecured credit facility remains fully available. With that, I'll turn the call back over to the operator who will conduct the question and answer portion of this call.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. And our first question comes from the line of Todd Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Todd, please go ahead.

Todd Thomas
Todd Thomas
Managing Director & Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hi, good morning. I just wanted to touch on some of the larger boxes, the developments. Sounds like there's some additional interest there. Can you just elaborate a little bit further and discuss the environment a little bit and whether the type of users interested has changed? And then also through this cycle, are you seeing any change in the stabilized yield expectations relative to the 6% to 6.5% I think that you were previously that you've been targeting for those projects?

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

Good morning, Todd. This is James. I'll take the first part

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

of that question and let Brendan touch on the yield piece. But we were very excited to see the activity that we've seen in January. Looking back to last year, activity was really slow kind of across the markets through mid February. And for example, in Indy, we had three tours over two days in early January. And it seems like there are a lot more tire kickers.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

We still need to see leases get signed. There was one lease that got signed recently in that market. That submarket in particular, we've seen a couple of transactions in the Greenville market too that give us hope that they're real and that we're going to move some transactions along. As far as the type of tenant, it's still pretty broad. We have some construction based tenants.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

We have some e commerce tenants. We've got 3PLs kicking the tires. So again, kind of a broad range of different types of tenants looking at the space. But it does feel different than last year and the back half of last year as far as activity. And as these deals start to get signed in the markets, hopefully, it pushes some of these tenants that have been waiting to make a decision off the sidelines into making a decision.

Brendan Mullinix
Brendan Mullinix
Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer at LXP Industrial Trust

And then with respect to yield expectations, as was just discussed, the balance of what remains to lease in the development pipeline is really concentrated in these larger buildings, which is remains a more competitive part of the market from a supply standpoint. I would estimate that the this remaining balance to lease these larger buildings stabilize around 6%. And that prior guidance, who I'll note, also included the stabilization of the Aetna project that we recently stabilized at much higher yields too.

Todd Thomas
Todd Thomas
Managing Director & Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay. That's helpful. And then I wanted to just ask about the comments around lower tenant retention. You talked about, I I think previously, a move out early in the year, I think around 125,000 square feet and then another larger July 1. Is that what you're referring to?

Todd Thomas
Todd Thomas
Managing Director & Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Or is there some additional known move out activity non renewals that you're aware of? Or is that just some additional conservatism that's sort of embedded in the guidance? I mean, what kind of renewal rate are you assuming as you work through the balance of the 25 expirations?

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

So a couple of things. One, there is one known move out that we would add to that list. You mentioned the 124 that's in Northwest Atlanta. There's also a 2 40 8 in Houston that's currently leased to a 3PL through April that we know is going to move out. We've had some good activity on that space.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

And then you referred to the contraction option that we have in Richmond with Philip Morris, and we're working through getting that property ready to go back and lease. The good news is on the Houston asset and on the Philip Morris asset, we expect really strong mark to market on both of those. And then the balance of the commentary is just really about being conservative. The majority of what we have is in the back half of the year. And we're not exactly sure how it's going to play out, but we don't have the same certainty that we had on some of the 2024 outcomes going into 2025.

Todd Thomas
Todd Thomas
Managing Director & Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay. All right. Thank you.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Vincent de Paul with Green Street. Vincent, please go ahead.

Vince Tibone
Managing Director and Head of US Industrial & Mall Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC

Hi, good morning. Could you elaborate a little bit further on just the competitive landscape for each of your million square foot development projects? Like specifically, how many buildings are you really competing against for tenants in each market, submarket? Any further color there would be very helpful.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

Sure, Vince. This is James again. So going to Indy First, there are 10 buildings over 500 call it 550,000 square feet in our submarket, four over nine forty four. So it's really if we're competing for a single tenant million square footer, we have four other competitors, so we're one of five. And if we're kind of looking at cutting the building, then it jumps up to being one of 11.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

Greenville, the market's a little bit tighter there from a competitive perspective and we did have a couple of good outcomes there where we had a 3PL lease, one of our million square foot competitors in Gaffney and we had another competitor come off the market that sold to a tenant. So real competition there is only a handful if you're talking about million square foot users call it being one of five. There is some sublease space on the market that would add to that, but it's got some functional obsolescence and we don't really consider it to be competition. And then kind of looking into Central Florida, it really depends on how big of a geography you want to look at there. But it's again, it's a handful of buildings.

James Dudley
James Dudley
Executive VP & Director of Asset Management at LXP Industrial Trust

In our direct market, we really only have one that we compete with. But if you expand it and kind of take in Plant City and the I-four Corridor, the next it grows to be about 5%.

Vince Tibone
Managing Director and Head of US Industrial & Mall Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC

No, that's super helpful color. I appreciate that. Maybe just switching gears, can you just talk about kind of what's the near term capital allocation plan just given the discount NAV currently? Just how are you thinking about buying and selling, capital recycling, any additional development potentially? Yes, I'd just love to get your thoughts there.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

Sure. Last year, we did some sales out of non core markets. There may be a little bit of that going forward. We are focused on the 12 markets that we would expect to put more capital to work in. On with respect to land that we own, we would be interested in build to suit because there's a yield premium there.

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

But beyond that, it's a priority for us to work our leverage down to five times. We think that that's key in terms of improving our valuation.

Vince Tibone
Managing Director and Head of US Industrial & Mall Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC

Thank you.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of James Kammert with Evercore ISI. James, please go ahead.

James Kammert
Managing Director at Evercore ISI

Thank you. Good morning. Will, your comment that obviously the low end of guidance there's no presumed leasing on the recently developed properties. And then are you intimating maybe half sort of lease up to get to the higher end of guidance and then more in the second half of the year? Is that a reasonable assumption?

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

Yes, Jim. That's exactly right.

James Kammert
Managing Director at Evercore ISI

Okay. And then, I was also just trying to think you've got $0.14 0 point 1 6 dollars coming run rate out of the fourth quarter, zero point '6 '4 dollars annualized, I realize they're offsets. But how much, I guess, relating to the earlier question, sort of headwind to get kind of lower end of your guidance, are you what are some of those bigger headwinds? Just remind me, because it seems like a fairly sharp drop off. I'm just trying to make sure I got all the pieces.

Beth Boulerice
Beth Boulerice
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer at LXP Industrial Trust

Hi, Jim, it's Beth. Sure. One of the things is interest expense. So our net interest expense is going up a little over $0.01 relating to the 2024 bond refi and also due to the step up in the swap on our term loan. If you remember, our term loan was at 2.7% and now it's going up to 4.3%.

Beth Boulerice
Beth Boulerice
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer at LXP Industrial Trust

So there's a spread there. And also, capitalized interest of about $0.01 is also being reflected in the guidance that's coming down because we did the substantial completion of our development projects last year. So those are that's the other piece that I think maybe you didn't have.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Mitch Germain with Citizens JMP. Mitch, please go ahead.

Jyoti Yadav
Equity Research Associate at JMP Securities LLC

Hi. This is Jody on for Mitch. Just a quick question here. Now that the Phoenix purchase option is exercised, what are the discussions around the land bank? I think you mentioned there to suit there.

Brendan Mullinix
Brendan Mullinix
Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer at LXP Industrial Trust

Yes, that's correct. As we've said, the focus remains on build to suit. So in Phoenix, we've continued to respond to build to suit inquiries there. And I would say of the entirety of the land bank, there's the most activity has been there in Phoenix and that's where I would anticipate our next build to suit would occur.

Jyoti Yadav
Equity Research Associate at JMP Securities LLC

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

There's no further question at this time. I will now turn the call over to Will Eglin for closing remarks. Will?

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

Well, thanks to all of you for joining us this morning. Please visit our website or contact Heather Gentry if you would like to receive our quarterly materials. And in addition,

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

as

Wilson Eglin
Wilson Eglin
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President at LXP Industrial Trust

always, you may contact me or the other members of our senior management team with any questions. Thanks again and have a great day.

Operator

That concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

Executives
    • Heather Gentry
      Heather Gentry
      Senior Vice President-Investor Relations
    • Wilson Eglin
      Wilson Eglin
      Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President
    • Brendan Mullinix
      Brendan Mullinix
      Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer
    • James Dudley
      James Dudley
      Executive VP & Director of Asset Management
    • Beth Boulerice
      Beth Boulerice
      Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer
Analysts
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LXP Industrial Trust Q4 2024
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