Middleby Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
February 25, 2025
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Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Fourth Quarter twenty twenty four Middleby Corporation Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. On today's call are Mr. Tim Fitzgerald, CEO Mr. Brian Mittelman, CFO Mr. James Poole, CTO and COO and Mr. Steve Spittle, CTO. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tim Fitzgerald, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Good morning. Thank you for joining us today on our fourth quarter earnings call. This morning, we have made several important announcements alongside our twenty twenty four fourth quarter earnings. These announcements include the decision to separate our Middleby Food Processing business into a separate stand alone public company. Additionally, we are pleased to announce the addition of two new board members to our Board of Directors.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Please note there are two separate slide presentations covering our quarterly earnings and the food processing spin transaction on the Investor page of our website. As we've shared over the past several quarters, our Board of Directors and management team have been conducting a comprehensive review of our business portfolio with the goal of realizing Middleby's full value potential. As part of this process, our Board has unanimously approved a plan to separate our food processing business into a standalone separate public company. This action will create two independent innovative industry leaders, the Middleby Corporation, which will be comprised of the commercial and residential kitchen equipment businesses and Middleby food processing. Our team has successfully built a premier food processing business with the necessary scale that now enables us to take this exciting next step in the evolution of the company, which we expect will unlock further value and growth opportunities for both Middleby Food Processing and our remaining Middleby Kitchen equipment businesses.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

As two market leading but separate businesses, the separation will assure greater strategic and operational focus at each stand alone entity, allowing each business to implement and optimize capital structure and capital allocation policy to best support growth opportunities, while greatly enhancing the strategic and financial impact from M and A opportunities for each standalone business and enabling Middleby Food Processing with its best in class growth and margin profile to be valued in line with key food processing peers. Now again, the specifics of each company, I'll first start with what this means for Middleby Food Processing. As highlighted in our investor deck, Middleby Food Processing is well positioned as a best in class equipment provider to the bakery and protein industries. We are posed for organic growth as we continue to execute on our strategy to be the full line solutions provider of choice by enhancing the ROI and value delivered to our customers. We see market expansion opportunities as we extend into attractive adjacent market segments such as poultry, pet and snack food, leveraging our existing competencies.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

And with a strong track record of M and A, we expect to quickly scale the platform through continued strategic acquisition, which on a standalone basis will be more impactful financially and better understood by shareholders. Our Middleby RemainCo commercial and residential kitchen equipment business, we are positioned to capture market opportunities and will continue with an even greater focus executing on our strategic growth initiatives. We are leading in innovation and are positioned to benefit from accelerating demand for automation, ventless kitchens, electrification, digital technologies and IoT connectivity in the kitchen. We have exciting growth opportunities through our expansion into new categories of ice and beverage with recent launches of new innovations highly relevant to our customers and current market trends. We expect to benefit from the differentiated go to market investments we've made over the past several years as we are creating an engine to drive long term organic growth.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

And we are well positioned to benefit from a recovery at our residential business, which has been strengthened during the market downturn through strategic investments in sales and marketing, new product launches and operational initiatives driving profitability and growth opportunities. We intend to execute the separation of the food processing business through a tax free spin off, which is expected to be completed by early twenty twenty six. Separately, I'm very excited to announce the additions of Julie Bowerman and Ed Garten to our Board of Directors. Julie and Ed bring a wealth of relevant operating and directorate experience to Middleby as we implement our forward focus growth strategies, execute on our portfolio evolution with the announced SPIN transaction and drive value for our shareholders. I am confident that Julian Ed will be strong additions to our boardroom as we drive value for shareholders and I could not be more pleased to welcome them to the Middleby Board.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Julie and Ed's appointments are continuation of our board refreshment process, which started last year with the additions of Steve Scherger and Tejas Shah to our Director Group. Throughout this process, we have continued to focus on extending the capabilities of our Board and bringing out fresh perspectives. We also announced that long standing Director, Jack Miller, has elected to retire from our board. Jack has been instrumental to the success of the company, greatly contributing to the growth of Middleby from its small beginnings when the company was only $25,000,000 in revenues and throughout the journey into the global foodservice leader that we have become today. Our management team and board are incredibly grateful to Jack for his service to Middleby and our shareholders.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Lastly, I would like to briefly comment on our fourth quarter results. We closed 2024 by delivering our strongest margins of the year with all three businesses posting strong results given the respective backdrop for each industry. We continue to make progress on our profitability initiatives across the businesses as we execute on supply chain, take action to drive operational efficiencies and strategically reposition sales mix to our latest higher margin product innovations. Macro conditions in the quarter remain challenged for our commercial and residential business, but are showing signs of gradual improvement as we move through the quarters ahead. While the food processing business finished the year exceptionally strong and we look to realize continued growth as we head into 2025 with favorable long term drivers.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

We are navigating near term market conditions, but as we and we continue to execute on our strategic initiatives focused on driving sustainable long term organic growth with recent launches of transformative product innovations across all three businesses and the development of our differentiated go to market capabilities. We're competitively well positioned across all three business to expand and realize growth in each segment as we progress through 2025. Brian, I'll turn it over to you now for further comment on the quarter.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Thanks, Tim. While challenging market conditions persisted throughout 2024, driving margins and cash flow continue to be demonstrated strengths of ours. With free cash flows of $229,000,000 in the fourth quarter, we concluded the year with a new record having delivered over $640,000,000 Revenues in 2024 declined modestly to around $3,900,000,000 Adjusted EBITDA of $866,000,000 at a 22.4% margin, which was slightly ahead of last year, showed the power of our overall system with particularly impressive performance by the Food Processing segment at 25.6%. GAAP earnings per share were $7.9 adjusted EPS, which excludes amortization expense and impairment charges, non operating pension income, as well as other items noted in the reconciliation at the back of our press release was $9.49 Looking at Q4, quarterly revenue returned to a level above $1,000,000,000 Our adjusted EBITDA of over $251,000,000 was a record at a margin of 24.8%. Q4 GAAP earnings per share were $2.07 adjusted EPS was $2.88 Food processing was really cooking.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

4.7% organic revenue growth in the quarter led to revenues of over $219,000,000 The adjusted EBITDA margin was 29.6%, up 200 basis points versus the prior year. With organic growth over the back half of the year, we finished 2024 with $731,000,000 of total revenue and expanded margins by 70 basis points to 25.6%. Now considering the impact of fourth quarter acquisitions, the segment run rate revenues now exceed $800,000,000 with a run rate margin of around 24%. In residential looking at Q4, dollars '1 hundred and '80 '5 million of revenue was a sequential increase from Q3. This was down a modest 2.4% versus 2023 and was the slowest decline of the year.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13, the highest level in one point five years. For 2024 in total, revenues were $725,000,000 at roughly 10% margins. In Commercial, Q4 revenues of over $6.00 $9,000,000 were up sequentially with organic revenues down 2.8% year over year, the slowest decline of the year. Margins remain healthy at over 28%. For 2024, revenues of $2,400,000,000 were supported by strong and fairly consistent margins of 27.4%.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Given our strong cost control, moderated CapEx and focus on reducing inventory levels, which have declined by over $250,000,000 in two years, we delivered record cash flows. Operating cash flows were $687,000,000 for the year with free cash flow conversion of 140%. Our total year end leverage ratio is two times. Our balance sheet is strong. Share repurchases in the fourth quarter were $16,000,000 and we have repurchased an additional $20,000,000 in the open market in the first quarter to date.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

We are planning further buyback activity at this pace for 2025 and thus would potentially utilize around 20% of our free cash flow in this matter. With respect to 2025 cash generation, we expect free cash flow to again exceed operational net income. Capital spending in 2025 will be back up to more typical levels around 2% of revenues. We continue to actively manage overall working capital levels. However, we may have a lower inventory reduction this year.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Nonetheless, cash flow generation will remain a real strength for the business. Taking a look into the Q1 P and L, I will share a few perspectives. On a year over year basis and looking at total company revenue, we expect modest revenue growth benefiting from the impact of acquisitions in food processing along with having slight margin expansion. Shifting to an organic view for Q1 on a year over year basis, revenues in total are likely generally flat. The commercial business will have a slow start to the year with the timing of chain orders, so revenues will be down slightly for the quarter.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

For food processing, the timing of project completion was strong in Q4. Q1 will not be as robust, so organic revenue will be slightly down. In our residential business, we expect to continue to see positive momentum resulting in meaningful year over year growth. Now considering performance on a sequential basis, please recall that seasonality in our business is such that Q1 results across our entire portfolio typically take a modest step down from Q4. Residential however could be a positive exception to that trend this year as they may demonstrate sequential as well as year over year growth.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Now taking a look at '25 for the full year, in Commercial and Residential we are expecting at least low single digit organic revenue growth rates with modest margin expansion. For food processing, organic revenue growth is expected to be in the mid single digits for the year. As I noted earlier, recall that the baseline on food processing margins is now in the 24% range due to recent acquisitions. Margins here will likely fall below last year's strong level as the integration processes are just beginning with two acquisitions having been completed late in 2024. Summing it up for 25 for the total company, we expect to deliver organic revenue growth in the low single digits with profitability growth at rates in excess of our organic revenue growth.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Our view is also that revenues are growing sequentially over the course of the year for all of the segments. Please note that this outlook excludes costs which may be encouraged to support the food processing spin we have announced today. We will provide updates on those activities throughout the year. I will now turn it over to James for a NAFEM overview. If you come and see us there, you might find me serving ice cream and I'm hoping to get adventurous and combine that with soda from our absolutely incredible new beverage dispensing platform by Newton to create ice cream floats.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Innovation tastes great, but maybe isn't less filling, but I like it and hopefully so will you. James?

James K. Pool
James K. Pool
Chief Technology & Operations Officer at The Middleby

Thank you, Brian. Today, I'd like to take a moment to extend a special invitation to our shareholders, analysts and prospective investors to come experience Middle Beach commercial foodservice equipment at the North American Food Equipment Manufacturers Show in Atlanta, Georgia. The show runs tomorrow through Friday. You may refer to the company's earnings presentation for a detailed overview of our NASM setup and insight to what's cooking at Middleby. This year marks our most ambitious presentation for any show.

James K. Pool
James K. Pool
Chief Technology & Operations Officer at The Middleby

We are featuring nine live cooking vignettes, including two fully operational high volume restaurants, one dedicated to Smash Burgers and Fried Chicken and the other to Pizza and Wings. Both concepts will be powered by our cutting edge embedded, digital, robotic automation solutions. Additionally, we will unveil and showcase our latest beverage dispensing technologies from Newton CFV, as Brian mentioned the Newton Gravity and Wild Goose Filling the Cervici, along with a comprehensive lineup of ice solutions from Follett ICE and ICE TRADE. Be sure to also check out our new innovative ICE, which is 1.25 x 1.25 x 1.25 cracked cube solution. Beyond these innovations, our full service coffee cafe will highlight various solutions for Middleby Coffee and MarCO, including the MarCO MilkPal, which I discussed on our last earnings call.

James K. Pool
James K. Pool
Chief Technology & Operations Officer at The Middleby

Our enterprise IoT solution, Open Kitchen will be predominantly featured seamlessly connecting all live equipment at the booth. We invite you to discover how we can quickly transform your kitchen operation from the front of the house with EMS, HVAC and lighting control, the middle of the house with cold chain monitoring, HACCP reporting and labor tracking in the back of the house with equipment connectivity. Open Kitchen is quickly driving to become the IoT standard for the commercial foodservice industry. Within Open Kitchen, we are also introducing a new fryer profitability tool to drive prior connectivity sales and differentiation from Middle Meats. The tool is designed to help restaurant operators understand and optimize their frying processes by providing insights into oil usage per pound of food cooked, oil quality, efficiency and waste through Open Kitchen's real time analytics.

James K. Pool
James K. Pool
Chief Technology & Operations Officer at The Middleby

I'd like to conclude by acknowledging the magnificent seven, seven innovative products selected for the What's Cool innovation section at NAFN. Middleby is honored to have received more selections than any other manufacturer. The Magnificent Seven will be showcased live and will feature the new Pitco Pork Fryer, the first commercialized continuously filtering high efficiency fryer at the bitless nacho bar and the new Invoked Combi, which we preparing some delicious bites within the center of the booth. Thank you. And we look forward to seeing you at the show. We will now open it up for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. And the first question will come from Siri Boroditsky with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Saree Boroditsky
Senior Vice President at Jefferies & Company Inc

Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I mean, I think we have to start with the decision to separate food processing. So could you just walk us through that decision process? What are the benefits of having the segment operate separately?

Saree Boroditsky
Senior Vice President at Jefferies & Company Inc

And then how do you think about the standalone cash generation of food processing and the ability to sustain the acquisition pipeline? Thank you.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes, good morning, Siri. So we've been considering it for a while. I mean, every year, continuously the Board is always redoing the portfolio and what we think makes most sense to maximize shareholder value and really support the growth of all three of those businesses. So I think we've been building, as I said in the comments, the food processing platform for a while now and really over the last decade, that's accelerated. I think if you were to go back five years ago, it was not large enough and I will say it wasn't in the part of the lifecycle of the journey where we could stand it up as a separate standalone business.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

But now we feel that we're at that point. And I think there's it's benefited from being part of Middleby for a long time to get to this point. But now I think as a separate company, being part of Middleby will hold back the growth and separating it will accelerate the growth. So we think it's really we're excited about it. I mean, I think the things that I commented on the Greater focus with the management team not being one of three businesses.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

And as you can see in some of the slides that we had this morning, there's a very strong track record of M and A over a long period of time, which we think will continue on and perhaps even accelerate. So we think that the platform will further scale on a more rapid basis outside of Middleby as a separate standalone company.

Saree Boroditsky
Senior Vice President at Jefferies & Company Inc

Thank you. And then should we think about the free cash flow conversion of both separate businesses as being 100% or greater? How do we think about that?

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Yes. I mean, it's a little early. We haven't provided, I'll call it specific long range guidance certainly for the food processing company. But I do think that's a fair assumption. All our businesses really have somewhat similar cash flow generating characteristics.

Saree Boroditsky
Senior Vice President at Jefferies & Company Inc

Appreciate that. And then just one last one on resi, just given the positive inflection, how are you thinking about that recovery? And what are the incremental margins on that business given some of the factory investments you've made in recent years?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. So I mean, I think we're clearly at a long term cyclical trough, kind of put a bit of that in the deck as well. So I mean, I think there are significant opportunities and unrealized shareholders will kind of go through the next several years. So it's hard to tell what the inflection is going to be on the backdrop of the market with housing, but it is positive and we're we've got a significant, I'll say, tailwinds through the next several years. So I think it will be kind of gradual as we go through 2025 with some recovery, but that will pick up steam we think as in the years going forward.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

We have been operating the business into the mid to high teens, kind of if you were to go back pre COVID. And the business fundamentally is much stronger today. And what is really a tough period relative to what it was in those years. We've certainly taken a lot of actions to improve the operation of the business, which drives margins higher. And also commercially, we've made a lot of investments around new product as well as kind of our sales and marketing capabilities.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

So as we kind of get to more normalized levels, we think that is all an exciting part of the story that shows up in the years ahead.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

And, Sari, this is Brian, spanning that a little bit as you think about the incremental. Certainly, I would say this business will have the largest incremental benefits as revenues grow compared to the other segments given the low operating leverage we're seeing right now, right? And you've seen that in our gross profit reporting. So I think the incrementals here can be over 40% going forward. And to echo what Tim noted, as we achieve, I'll say revenue levels consistent with those that we have posted in the past, we will have higher levels of profitability than we achieved in the past because of the investments and improvements that have been made in the business.

Saree Boroditsky
Senior Vice President at Jefferies & Company Inc

I appreciate the color. Thank you.

Operator

The next question will come from Ross Berenblick with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Ross Sparenblek
Equity Research Analyst at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Hey, good morning gentlemen.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Good morning.

Ross Sparenblek
Equity Research Analyst at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Hey guys, just sticking with the spin, can we put a finer point on some of the moving parts as we think about one time and ongoing dis synergies and maybe the expectations of the tax benefit versus outright sale of food processing?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. So I mean it's tax free. So it's not a benefit, but it's tax avoidant if we were to contemplate other options. But we do see long term upside in this business. So we really think shareholders benefit, it being a separate public company trading on its profile with the margins, the growth characteristic, we think it trades in line with kind of higher industrial companies and that kind of comp set.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

From a dissynergysynergy standpoint, I mean, I think one of the philosophies of Middleby is running decentralized. That's been very core to us over a long period of time. So certainly, we're an engine for accelerating growth with kind of a lot of our strategies and our core company culture. I mean, I think those things are exportable and we think this is kind of Middleby two point zero as we think about it with continuing with the culture, a lot of the best practices and operating philosophies of the business that we'll port over. But because the operations are largely central or decentralized, there's not a whole lot of dis synergies here.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

So I think that makes it fairly clear from us from an operational standpoint for us to separate the business.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

And Ross, this is Brian. We're not prepared to specifically quantify those things today, but in future quarters, we will get into more levels of granularity around one time costs and such.

Ross Sparenblek
Equity Research Analyst at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Yes, I appreciate that. Well, previously it was under the expectation that food processing is more of the M and A engine here, just kind of given the fragment of white space. But with a strong free cash flow profile for Remainco, can you maybe just update us on what the M and A landscape looks like within commercial and kind of your early capital allocation expectations for the Remainco business?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. I guess, so definitely M and A is before that for a long period of time that continues. However, we're at a different size and scale today. I mean, I think as you've kind of just noted for more recent periods, food processing is still in early stages, so it's very fragmented. So it's gotten a bit more of the attention on M and A.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

And I think as a separate company that's going to become even more clear and more focused. So I think that's one of the things that we're excited about. As cash flow has grown over time, we've also contemplated and built into really more recent actions, being able to execute on M and A, while at the same time really start taking action to return shareholder to capital shareholders through stock repurchases, which is what we've been doing in the fourth quarter and the first quarter and Brian alluded to in his comments. So I think it'll be a little bit more of a balanced approach as given we've got much larger cash flow to deploy today. I think as you kind of look at RemainCo, the platform is built out larger, but however, there still are significant opportunities out there.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

I think you'll see them be a bit more focused, particularly on the ice and beverage platform. I think that's something that we've also been excited to have built and scaled relatively quickly here. If you kind of think about the last five to seven years, it is a larger market. I continue to say we're still a new player, but you can see it's meaningful to our revenues and it's already a very highly profitable business. So we're pretty happy with the portfolio that we've got right now.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

We think that portfolio will have significant organic growth opportunities given the different products, technologies and kind of backdrop of what's going on in beverage. But there are additional opportunities to further build that ice and beverage platform. So I think that's one of the areas that we'll continue to be focused on. And then just technology overall, I mean, I think we've really positioned ourselves as kind of the leader in automation controls, IoT. A lot of that has been a combination of our organic investments as well as some of the M and A activities that we've had.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

So I think we want to ensure that we're gapping the competition and I think we've positioned ourselves very nicely there for what we think is going to be driving growth over the next three to five years. So that's certainly an area that we'll continue to focus on opportunistically.

Ross Sparenblek
Equity Research Analyst at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

All right. That makes sense. Well, thank you, Tim. Thank you, Brian. Leave it there.

Operator

The next question will come from Mig Dobre with Baird. Please go ahead.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

Thank you. Just maybe start with a clarification in this strategic review process. Where are you on this? Is it complete? Is it still ongoing?

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

Maybe to ask this question more pointedly, is residential also being evaluated for strategic alternatives with something potentially happening down the line. Are there portions of your CFS portfolio that are being considered for divestiture? I I know that you've acquired a lot of businesses over time and I do wonder if all those brands are as successful as you hoped or if you might find some better owners for some of those out there. So an update here would be helpful.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. So I mean, look, I think we're continuously reviewing the portfolio, right? I mean, just this announcement is part of taking action on something that we think makes compelling strategic and financial sense for that business at this point in time. But we always review where we're at with all the businesses and what is the best opportunity to continue to grow those businesses considering where they're at in the lifecycle, what we see upcoming opportunities in the future. And so I think right now food processing is in a great place for us to take that next step, right?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

I mean, I think it will accelerate growth and be a continuation of the journey that we've been on for a long period of time. I mean, I think as we think about residential, it's a phenomenal platform. I mean, we have assembled industry leading brands, even at what is now the trough, we're at very respectable margins. I would argue the margins that we have right now are in line with some of our peers on commercial food service and some of the food processing companies out there. And so we see significant margin expansion knowing that we've been to much higher levels in the past and it's a stronger platform today, right?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

So those are things that we are considering for where we're at with the journey of residential, right? So we're always going to be thinking about what is best for that business to reach its full potential and to maximize shareholder value.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

But just to press you a little bit on residential, I guess in a theoretical recovery here, what I've heard from you in the past is that when this business is operating in normal volumes, this is maybe a 20% EBITDA margin business. So in many ways, this business is dilutive to the overall portfolio from a margin standpoint. And it also carries an inherent degree of cyclicality that arguably speaking, you do not have in commercial foodservice. The customers are also different. The way you go to market is different.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

So what I'm trying to understand here is other than where we are in the cycle, why this business would fit with the RemainCo longer term and how that would be additive to shareholder value?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Well, I think we had similar conversations with that with food processing for many years, right? So I would say it's not so different, right? I think we've got to taken a long term approach to build out that business and then take appropriate action when it was at it was an opportune time and we were at kind of an appropriate chapter of its cycle, right? So we're not saying that residential maybe at some point in time maybe in a similar junction, but it's not today. We see significant opportunity for improvement.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

And because food processing had been a very lumpy and cyclical business, we had been told by shareholders for many years that it would also had lower margins, right? So I and we've kind of built it to the point that it is today that I think now we're excited to unlock a lot of shareholder value and continue on the journey. So I would say residential has its own timing and cycle and life of where it is within the Middleby portfolio.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

Understood. Last question for me. Just on your outlook in commercial foodservice, if I heard you correctly, we're starting a little bit slow, maybe slightly negative organic growth. Implicitly, things get much better in the back half to get to low single digit growth. So I guess, I'm curious, do you expect to inflect positive from an organic growth in Q2?

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

Or is this all a second half story? And what gives you the visibility that growth here can actually improve? And maybe you can comment in terms of what the headwinds have been in recent years and what gets better? Thank you.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

This is Brian. I'll start, I'll call it on the number side a little bit and turn it over to Steve for some of the market commentary. We do think things improve sequentially throughout the year. In terms of I'll say doing some math, the one nuance we have is we will compare '25 to '24 is that Q2 twenty four was the high point.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

So I'm not going to yet note specifically whether we'll eclipse Q2 of twenty twenty four and 2025. Obviously, the comps get a little bit easier in the back half of the year. Having said that, we're really looking at things over the perspective of the year and do expect generally improving conditions and hopefully delivering that revenue I noted. But Steve, I'll give it to you for some market perspectives.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

Yes. Thank you, Brian. Good morning, Mig. I would call out maybe three specific areas, Mig, that gives us confidence in really the year progressing in a positive direction. We talk a lot about new store openings with our bigger chain customers, which they've gone back to the last couple of years.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

I think unfortunately, we have seen the last couple of quarters of those new store openings being pushed out for a number of different reasons. Ranges from everything from weather to obviously the fires out west, no flooding, etcetera has certainly impacted construction. It's been allocation of personnel to actually build restaurants and just some of the broad macro challenges that the larger restaurant chains are facing. I think the positive there is, is if we look at our collective group of top chain customers and we compare their 25 build plans holistically for the entire year knowing stuff does push and move from quarter to quarter. So the 25 build plans are up over 24.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

So I think we're pretty confident in our chain customers in their new store build plans for this year over 24. I think the other thing we're seeing with our chain customers is knowing that opening stores has been more challenging. I do think you're seeing them add in sales layers to their existing footprint to try and capture market share. So that's where we're seeing beverage really start to pick up. That's going from being a concept to being actual reality in Aglaya.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

So that's the view on chains. I'd say just two more things. When we look at more of the general market in The U. S, Massey, which is our association of reps here in The U. S.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

Tracks every quarter. They're quoting consultant activity. If you look at their progression from the fourth quarter to the first quarter already, they see a very positive uptick in consultant and quoting activity to the general market, which aligns with what we're seeing from our reps and our dealers. So I think you're seeing that pipeline more or less build in the general market. And I think the third thing I would call out if you picked up on the international markets that we talk about, I think we're very positive on what we've seen in our European divisions, knowing that there are some challenges in that market, but we've seen more and more people for innovation kitchens in both Madrid and in The UK.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

We're opening a new innovation kitchen in Munich this summer. So see Germany is a big opportunity for us. So really see Europe actually with a lot of momentum as we go into this year. So it's really the change with the new stores, it's the quoting and consulting activity and I think some of the international markets that give us the confidence for the rest of this year, Meg.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

And we did grow in Q4 internationally? Correct.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

All right. Thank you.

Operator

The next question will come from Jeff Hammond with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jeffrey Hammond
Jeffrey Hammond
Managing Director at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, good morning.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Good morning, Jeff.

Jeffrey Hammond
Jeffrey Hammond
Managing Director at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Just last one I had on the spin. Can you just talk about what you think the leverage profiles of each of the businesses are going to be? Do you lean more leverage on Remainco and leave the balance sheet drive for acquisitions or is it more balanced?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. So we're still a year out from executing the spin, right? So I think the things will evolve during the course of the year, but on balance, we would expect less leverage on the food processing business kind of given the M and A opportunities post spin.

Jeffrey Hammond
Jeffrey Hammond
Managing Director at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay. And then in terms of adding Edgarden to the Board, can you maybe just I didn't see the eight ks, I don't know if it's out yet, something I think you mentioned cooperation agreement, maybe some of the key tenants in there and if there's any kind of early feedback you've gotten from him or his group that's kind of been built into this strategic plan? Thanks.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. So maybe I'll just kind of start with the Board refresh mid overall, because that's been a process we've been going through for a couple of years. We had brought on two new Board members with Steve Sugar and Tejas Shah, which has been tremendous. So we've been excited about that and they've contributed greatly to our board. That process continued on as we kind of move through the back half of last year.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

So I think our we had a robust process that we're going through, thinking about the capabilities that we wanted to have to expand the Board and again bring out fresh perspective. So we were kind of in later stages of bringing on two new members alongside Jack Miller's announced retirement, who had been a tremendous Board member over many years. And so as Ed kind of came into the fold, we've had very constructive conversations, sharing of perspective. So truly we are very excited to have Ed join the Board. I think he's going to add a lot of financial investor operational expertise inside capabilities.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

So that's kind of aligned. There is a cooperation agreement that's out there on eight K, but it's got, I would say, kind of standard standstill confidentiality provisions in it.

Jeffrey Hammond
Jeffrey Hammond
Managing Director at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question will come from Brian McNamara with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Brian McNamara
MD - Senior Analyst Consumer at Canaccord Genuity - Global Capital Markets

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. I know you mentioned you regularly review the portfolio, but when was the official strategic review launched? Did that date back to the JB T. Murrell transaction last April?

Brian McNamara
MD - Senior Analyst Consumer at Canaccord Genuity - Global Capital Markets

And is holding on to the residential business at this point just a function of nursing that business back to health before you contemplate a separation or sale?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

So again, we continuously have been reviewing the portfolio. So that was not only last year, that was the year before. So I mean, that is something our Board does regularly. I mean, I think with these things, they evolve. I mean, certainly, we were looking at many different options as we entered the year last year.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

And then I think as we started evolving what we thought might be the most strategic option to unlock shareholder value for the long term. That was probably mid year when we made that kind of more of a official comprehensive review bringing on advisors in that regard. Look, the residential business, I would not frame it the way you did. I mean, I think we again, it is a tough period for residential. There's no question about it.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

We're housing, existing home sales, remodels are, it's disrupted operationally even by trying to execute in the marketplace because getting contractors, electricians, etcetera, I mean, I think that's been pressure on longer lead time products in the housing market. And when you're dealing kind of with the premium sector, we get hit a bit harder. So it takes a little bit longer to start the engines, but when it comes back, it's going to come back strong. So we're confident of that. So it is an exciting platform that I think when it is not in, I won't call it a cycle, I would call it a disrupted period.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

I mean kind of coming out of COVID that's just kind of not normal macro up and down. It's a significant disruption. So we think in better days that this is a best in class, the highest margin, very unique portfolio of premium brands with nothing else like it and we think there's a lot of shareholder value there. That being said, we always will continue to review the portfolio, what is the best opportunities for each of the businesses for the long term and to create shareholder value. But we think that the residential business again presents probably some of the higher growth and higher margin expansion opportunities as we go through the next several years kind of flipping it from where we are to where we think we will be.

Brian McNamara
MD - Senior Analyst Consumer at Canaccord Genuity - Global Capital Markets

Great. That's helpful. Secondly, on Commercial Foodservice, can you talk about your price and volume expectations for 2025 and compare that to recent years? Are volumes expected to be negative?

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

No. I mean, I think the pricing benefits for '25 are modest at best. We haven't maybe have the same level of pricing actions to start this year that we have in prior years as you look at what's kind of cumulatively happened over the past, let's say four years or so. So I think we are in a year here where it will be more volume driven than price driven.

Brian McNamara
MD - Senior Analyst Consumer at Canaccord Genuity - Global Capital Markets

Great. And then finally, I guess for just your restaurant customers, how would you characterize the current operating environment? You have big players really leaning into value for limited time offers going from one month to one year. You said and you're confident in your stores opening plans, I guess your store customers opening plans this year. I guess what drives that confidence kind of given the mid year surprise in 2024? Thank you.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

Yes, it's a great question. I think, yes, there has been this push towards value that I think has probably been more in the traditional fast food QSR segment. I think what you're seeing though is I think you're seeing some of the more fast casual, casual dining concepts really start to thrive. I mean I give so many of them a lot credit for thinking creatively about adopting new operational initiatives, new technology initiatives to help with throughput to help drive labor costs down, to help drive food costs down. And I think you're seeing those actually thrive in this scenario.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

So it's a little bit of a nuance that yes, there are challenges around value, but you're also seeing again those I'd say more forward thinking chains again really adopt the new technologies and try to drive their costs overall down to give a better product experience to consumer. So I think that's very positive. I think in terms of what gives us confidence is all the chains are very open with their new store plans. And I do believe that if you look at them, there are so many new markets that they're entering in, especially from an international standpoint. And so I think when you look at markets like in India, certainly parts of Europe, parts of Africa that are still new up and coming markets for these chains, they have to get there.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

And I think they're looking to us more and more to drive down the unit economics of opening those restaurants, which I think were coming through for them. So I think, yes, there's been a couple of quarters where things been kind of pushed out to the right. I think what gives us confidence is nobody for the most part in those changes pulled their numbers down holistically for the year. So again, things are always going to move from quarter to quarter, but really feel like they have held to their overall next twelve to fifteen month build plan.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Just adding a couple of other things, I mean, I think some of the chains were surprised with traffic in the back half of the year. I mean, it was expected to grow and that became a little bit more of a challenge. I think as of late or as we left the year traffic patterns had started to improve. So I mean, I think that gives a little bit more confidence to the chains. Food cost was also another driver and it's kind of a whole cycle, food cost being up, menu goes up, traffic goes down.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

I think the and we did see inflation in food costs in the back half of the year, which I don't think a lot of our chain customers were anticipating. So I think it was kind of a function of some of those dynamics and how that works through their operation. I think going into this year, there's more stability in food costs, which then I think allows them to think about menu pricing, which then helps drive traffic and then traffic patterns improving. So I just think it's a some of the issues that we saw in the third quarter have started to kind of work their way through the cycle, which then allows the chains to be a little bit more confident on executing on their plans.

Brian McNamara
MD - Senior Analyst Consumer at Canaccord Genuity - Global Capital Markets

Great. Thanks for the color guys. Appreciate it.

Operator

The next question will come from Tami Zakaria with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Tami Zakaria
Tami Zakaria
Executive Director at JP Morgan

Hi, good morning. Thank you so much. A question on the parts and services business. I saw on the presentation the remain co has about 17% and the spin co would be about 33%. Do you have any targets in mind to increase the mix of parts and services over time for either of these businesses.

Tami Zakaria
Tami Zakaria
Executive Director at JP Morgan

Is that going to be a focus or strategy going forward? Or do you think this mix is pretty reasonable through the cycle?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. No, that's a great question. I mean, I think we have initiatives and expectations to increase and invest in service for both food processing as well as Remainco. One of the slides that we also put in the investor deck, a lot of the go to market initiatives that we have to drive organic growth that includes service. I think we're very focused on how do we provide an enhanced and more efficient customer experience, kind of leveraging the scale of the platform, leveraging some of the new tools that we've got coming out.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

IoT is included in that as we start leveraging data for service. And those statements are true both for food processing as well as for commercial. So I think over time, our expectation is to increase the percentage of that piece of the pie for all the businesses respectively.

Tami Zakaria
Tami Zakaria
Executive Director at JP Morgan

Understood. That's very helpful. So a quick follow-up to that is, would you be able to tell us what the mix was for these two businesses, call it, in 2019? I'm just trying to understand how the mix has changed over time in the last five years?

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Yes, Tammy, this is Brian. I'd have to go back and see. I forget if we started breaking that out as early as 2019. My colleagues think maybe it was around 2021, we started publishing some, I'll say pie charts on that. I'll say residential has always had the lowest portion of its business in terms of parts as you think about the three segments.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

IBEC commercial has been probably fairly consistent in the high teens to 20 ish percent area. Certainly the last five years. Yes. And then food processing is one that we've probably been doing, has seen the most growth in it as we've been really working to offer more services to our customers and with that comes parts. And also our customers have seen how their operations have been managed as being evolving as we've been working through, I'll call it labor issues for the past couple of years.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

A lot of our large customers, I'll say, have lost some of their maintenance and service abilities on their own and it's giving us nice opportunities to be providing that level of service to them. As Tim noted, in commercial, working a certain thing strategically to be an even better and more aligned service provider with different networks out there.

Tami Zakaria
Tami Zakaria
Executive Director at JP Morgan

Wonderful. Thank you. That's all I had.

Bryan Mittelman
Bryan Mittelman
Chief Financial Officer at The Middleby

Great.

Operator

The next question will come from Walt Liptak with Seaport. Please go ahead.

Walter Liptak
Industry Analyst at Seaport Research Partners

Hi, thanks. Good morning. I wanted to ask about your supply chain work. I think you've been doing procurement and supply chain operations or consolidations for a number of years now. And I wonder I think I heard in the prepared remarks that there's going to be some benefits in 2025.

Walter Liptak
Industry Analyst at Seaport Research Partners

I wonder if you could talk about if that's true and if you guys are getting some benefits in 2025 from that?

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

Yes. Good morning, Walt. This is Steve. I'd call out a couple of things from a supply chain standpoint. I think our team really over the last four or five years has done a phenomenal job.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

First, navigating all the supply chain disruption certainly from a couple of years ago. And then as we kind of move into this new chapter with the tariffs coming through, I think we are extremely well positioned to navigate that from a competitive landscape standpoint. I think from a pure cost savings perspective, I think it's a challenge that we put in front of every one of our divisions every year to be thoughtful and creative on how we can come up with supply chain savings. And then you layer in the Middleby supply chain team on top of that to leverage our brands together to leverage the network together to come up with savings. So we do feel like there are savings that will come through this year from a supply chain standpoint.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

But I also really want to call out I think that we are extremely well positioned to navigate the tariffs having focused so much obviously being predominantly domestic manufacturer across really all three of our segments. Our team has done a great job over the last couple of years really, I'll call it near shoring our supply chain and manufacturing in many ways. I think we've been very focused on diversifying our qualified supplier roster, if you will, to make sure that we have domestic suppliers if we had an international supplier in some aspects. So and I think fundamentally we're always leveraging the Middleby global supply chain network having 120 brands across the globe and leveraging that to really build up a more resilient supply chain. So I think that positions us uniquely.

Steve Spittle
Steve Spittle
Chief Commercial Officer at The Middleby

It's a great competitive advantage. I think as we come into this year both from a savings standpoint, but really from a competitive selling perspective as well.

Walter Liptak
Industry Analyst at Seaport Research Partners

Okay, great. Maybe just as a follow-up with the food processing, are there or have there been supply chain cost savings between the other two segments between commercial foodservice and residential or are they or those supply chain benefits unique to each of the segments?

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

There so we've got one supply chain team that facilitates across all three of the businesses and there's kind of unique, I'll say, synergies depending on product by product, brand by brand. The food processing is inherently different in terms of the products, obviously size of the products and some of the components that go into it. So there's probably a bit less synergies there with the food processing than there is with commercial and residential, which you've got great similarity, Franklin in the process and has very much overlapping in shared supply chain.

Walter Liptak
Industry Analyst at Seaport Research Partners

Okay, great. All right. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Tim Fitzgerald for any closing remarks. Please go ahead, sir.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

Yes. No, thank you, everybody, for joining us today on the call. Obviously, we're excited about all the announcements that we've made and looking forward to the future of Middleby and the food processing spend. And we think this is going to create meaningful value to all of our shareholders and looking forward to updating everybody on those activities we've got to move through the next several quarters. Hopefully, we'll see some of you at NAFAM.

Timothy FitzGerald
Timothy FitzGerald
CEO at The Middleby

As James mentioned, we've got an exciting trade show with our latest and greatest products. And otherwise, we will talk to you next quarter.

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Executives
    • Timothy FitzGerald
      Timothy FitzGerald
      CEO
    • Bryan Mittelman
      Bryan Mittelman
      Chief Financial Officer
    • James K. Pool
      James K. Pool
      Chief Technology & Operations Officer
    • Steve Spittle
      Steve Spittle
      Chief Commercial Officer
Analysts
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Key Takeaways

  • Spin-off of Middleby Food Processing: Middleby will separate its food processing division into a standalone public company via a tax-free spin-off expected by early 2026 to unlock strategic focus and value for both businesses.
  • RemainCo innovation & growth: The remaining commercial and residential kitchen equipment business will sharpen its focus on automation, ventless kitchens, electrification, digital/IoT technologies and expansion into ice and beverage categories.
  • Record cash flow & profitability: Q4 free cash flow reached $229 million (full-year > $640 million), with adjusted EBITDA of $866 million (22.4% margin), driven by strong segment performance in food processing (25.6%), commercial (27.4%) and residential (10%).
  • Food Processing momentum: Q4 organic revenue grew 4.7% to $219 million with a 29.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, and run-rate revenues now exceed $800 million with ~24% margin following recent acquisitions.
  • 2025 outlook: The company expects low-single-digit organic growth and modest margin expansion in commercial and residential businesses, mid-single-digit organic growth in food processing, and overall profitability growth exceeding revenue growth.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Middleby Q4 2024
00:00 / 00:00

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