Ladder Capital Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

There are 8 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning and welcome to Ladder Capital Corp's Earnings Call for the Fourth Quarter of twenty twenty four. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. This morning, Ladder released its financial results for the quarter and year ended 12/31/2024. Before the call begins, I'd like to call your attention to the customary safe harbor disclosure in our earnings release regarding forward looking statements.

Operator

Today's call may include forward looking statements and projections, and we refer you to our most recent Form 10 ks for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements and projections. We do not undertake any obligation to update our forward looking statements or projections unless required by law. In addition, Ladder will discuss certain non GAAP financial measures on this call which management believes are relevant to assessing the company's financial performance. The company's presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are reconciled to GAAP figures in our earnings supplement presentation, which is available in the Investor Relations section of our website.

Operator

We also refer you to our Form 10 ks and earnings supplement presentation for definitions of certain metrics which we may cite on today's call. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Ladder's President, Pamela McCormack.

Speaker 1

Good morning. We are pleased with Ladder's performance in the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. During the fourth quarter, Ladder generated distributable earnings of $33,600,000 or $0.27 per share, achieving a return on equity of 8.9%. For the full year, distributable earnings totaled $153,900,000 delivering a 9.9 return on equity while maintaining low leverage, robust liquidity and stable book value. In 2024, Lattice's conservative business model reinforced its position as a leading middle market focused commercial real estate finance REIT, supported by the highest credit ratings in the sector.

Speaker 1

Our disciplined credit underwriting delivered strong results despite the challenging macroeconomic environment. In addition, we believe the proactive steps we took to enhance our capital structure over the course of the year should position Ladder Well for potential investment grade ratings. Our key achievements in 2024 include strong financial performance. In 2024, we delivered strong earnings, attractive net interest margins, healthy loan repayments and consistent net operating income from our real estate portfolio. Additionally, our credit underwriting expertise and conservative investment approach enabled us to maintain steady book value, setting us apart in the commercial mortgage REIT space.

Speaker 1

Despite a period of rapidly rising interest rates, we successfully navigated the challenges and resumed originating loans by year end as the Fed began lowering interest rates and transaction volumes began to pick up. Enhanced liquidity and credit capacity. As Paul will cover in more detail, we recently extended and upsized our unsecured corporate revolving credit facility from $324,000,000 to $850,000,000 and secured an accordion to further upsize the facility to $1,250,000,000 all at a reduced cost. This transaction marks a key milestone in Ladder's ongoing efforts to streamline our balance sheet and transition to primarily using unsecured debt to finance our operations. As of 12/31/2024, LATA had $2,200,000,000 in liquidity, including $1,300,000,000 or approximately 27% of total assets comprised of cash and cash equivalents.

Speaker 1

Adjusted leverage remained modest at 1.4 times with 77% of our asset base unencumbered and 65% of Ladder's debt comprised of unsecured corporate bonds. Enhanced credit ratings. In conjunction with a $500,000,000 unsecured bond issuance complete in July of twenty twenty four, Ladder received a positive outlook from both Moody's and Fitch, who rate Ladder just one notch below investment grade, while S and P upgraded our credit rating by one notch. These achievements should move us closer to our goal of becoming an investment grade company, which we expect will strengthen our market position, lower funding costs, attract a broader base of investors. Loan portfolio overview.

Speaker 1

As of 12/31/2024, our loan portfolio stood at $1,600,000,000 representing 33% of total assets with a weighted average yield of 9.3% and minimal future funding commitments of only $35,000,000 In the fourth quarter, our loan portfolio continued to pay down as we received $575,000,000 in loan payoffs, including the full payoff of 11 loans. For the full year 2024, Ladder received 1,700,000,000 in proceeds from loan payoffs across 61 loan positions. This represents the highest annual payoffs in Lattice history, underscoring the strength and consistency of the middle market lending strategy. In Q4, we originated six loans totaling $129,000,000 primarily focusing on multi family industrial properties. Since quarter end, our pipeline has continued to build to over $250,000,000 with an ongoing focus on new acquisitions with basis resets along with select refinancing and recapitalization transactions for new and vintage properties and lease up.

Speaker 1

Our in house asset management capabilities enabled us to continue to drive value through strategic sales and capital investments. In 2024, we opportunistically divested owned real estate. We sold four multifamily properties acquired through foreclosure, realizing $2,700,000 in aggregate gains, including a multifamily property in Texas we sold during the fourth quarter for a $1,300,000 gain above our $9,700,000 carry value. Consistent carry income from our real estate portfolio. Our $9.00 $4,000,000 real estate portfolio generated $13,200,000 in net rental income during the fourth quarter and $56,300,000 for the full year 2024.

Speaker 1

The portfolio primarily consists of net lease properties with long term leases to investment grade rated tenants. In addition, we sold five net lease properties generating $2,000,000 in gains to distributable earnings. Growing securities portfolio. During the fourth quarter, we purchased $295,000,000 of AAA rated securities at a weighted average unlevered yield of 6.2%. By year end, our portfolio totaled $1,100,000,000 with a weighted average unlevered yield of 6%, primarily comprised of AAA rated securities.

Speaker 1

This unlevered portfolio provides Ladder with enhanced liquidity and stability without mark to market exposure. 2025 outlook. In conclusion, 2024 showcased the strength of Ladder's conservative approach and differentiated capital structure. As transaction volumes rebound, valuation clarity improves and commercial real estate markets stabilize, we are well positioned to deploy our substantial liquidity prudently. Entering 2025 with optimism, we're prepared to capitalize on opportunities in a recovering market, while maintaining our disciplined approach to risk and growth.

Speaker 1

With that, I'll turn the call over to Paul.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Pamela. In the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, Ladder generated $33,600,000 of distributable earnings or $0.27 per share of distributable EPS, achieving a return on average equity of 8.9%. For 2024, distributable earnings sold $153,900,000 or $1.21 per share of distributable EPS, achieving a 9.9% return on average equity. Our 2024 earnings were driven by net interest income on loans, securities and cash alongside stable net operating income from our real estate portfolio, delivering a strong return on equity. This performance was achieved while delevering our balance sheet, maintaining steady book value and dividend coverage and preserving a significant cash balance, allowing us to adopt an offensive strategy by the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four.

Speaker 2

As of 12/31/2024, Ladder's balance sheet was comprised of 27% cash and cash equivalents totaling $1,300,000,000 with $2,200,000,000 of total liquidity. As Pamela discussed, we further fortified Ladder's balance sheet through the upsize of our unsecured revolver to eight fifty million dollars and over a 2.6 times increase, including a reduced interest rate to sulfur plus 170 basis points with a further reduction to sulfur plus 125 basis points upon achieving an investment grade credit rating from two rating agencies. We are pleased with this outcome and deeply appreciate the strong support from our 10 bank syndicate. We extend our gratitude to our banking partners. As of 12/31/2024, our adjusted leverage ratio was 1.4 times with a total gross leverage ratio of two point zero times.

Speaker 2

With the trended down to 2024, we delever our balance sheet and amassed a large liquidity position. Overall, in 2024, we paid down over $1,100,000,000 in secured debt and issued $500,000,000 in unsecured core funds due in 02/1931. As of 12/31/2024, '60 '5 percent of our debt was comprised of unsecured corporate bonds with a weighted average remaining maturity of three point seven years at an attractive weighted average fixed rate coupon of 5.2%. In the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, we repurchased $26,000,000 in principal value of our 2025 bonds, which were short in October, of which $296,000,000 in principal remains outstanding. In 2024, both Moody's and Fitch placed Ladder on positive outlook and Moody's upgraded and unnotched the rating on our bonds to BA1, aligning our bonds with our corporate credit rating, one notch from investment grade.

Speaker 2

S and P upgraded our credit rating in 2024 as well. We believe the rating agencies recognize Ladder's long track record as a disciplined and prudent manager of capital, demonstrated since the inception of our business and specifically since we received our first credit rating over twelve years ago. We believe Lattice business model is an internally managed company with an unwavering focus on three investment strategies with income or for real estate, coupled with our focus on financing with unsecured debt at a modest leverage level, position us well for achieving our long held strategic goal of becoming investment grade credit. We continue to believe in investment grade credit rating will open Ladder up to broader opportunities for growth along with access to the investment grade capital markets with the goal of achieving a more attractive cost of capital and enhanced return on equity to shareholders over time. As Pamela discussed, our three segments performed well in 2024.

Speaker 2

Our loan portfolio paid down meaningfully in 2024 and closed the year with a $1,600,000,000 balance with a 9.3% yield. Ladder's mid market lending focus and flexible balance sheet helped us achieve a 50% reduction of our loan portfolio through payouts, generating meaningful liquidity and allowing for us to pivot and focus on origination in the bridge and conduit lending space. In 2024, Ladder originated $145,000,000 of loans across seven positions, the majority of which was originated in the fourth quarter, we're hopeful originations will outpace payoffs in the coming quarters. As of 12/31/2024, we had two loans totaling $77,000,000 on non accrual, including the addition of a $16,000,000 loan in the fourth quarter collateralized by two residential and retail mixed use properties in New York City. No specific impairments were identified in the fourth quarter and our general CECL reserve remained at $52,000,000 unchanged from the prior quarter.

Speaker 2

We continue to hold this level of reserve given the continued macroeconomic shift that persists in the global economy. We believe this reserve level is adequate to cover any potential loss in our loan portfolio. As of 12/31/2024, the carrying value of our securities portfolio was $1,100,000,000 In 2024, we rotated capital into AAA securities and more than doubled our holdings as our loan book continued to pay off at par. We geared up for new lending opportunities by the fourth quarter. As of 12/31/2024, '90 '8 percent of the securities portfolio was investment grade rated with 91% being AAA rated.

Speaker 2

The entire portfolio of predominantly AAA securities is unlevered and readily financeable providing additional source of potential liquidity complementing the $2,200,000,000 of same deal liquidity we maintain. Our $9.00 $4,000,000 real estate segment continued to generate stable net operating income in 2024. The portfolio includes 150 net leased properties, primarily investment credits committed to long term leases with an average remaining lease term of seven point six years. As Pamela discussed, in 2024, we executed the sale of four multifamily assets previously foreclosed on for sale proceeds of $43,600,000 generating a net gain of $2,700,000 for distributive earnings. Further, we sold six net leased properties in 2024 for $57,400,000 of proceeds generating $6,800,000 of gains for distributable earnings and $22,300,000 of net gain per GAAP, which includes the recapture of previously recorded depreciation and amortization expense.

Speaker 2

As of 12/31/2024, our unencumbered asset pool stood at $3,800,000,000 or 77% of total assets. 81% of this unencumbered asset pool is comprised of first mortgage loans, securities and unrestricted cash and cash equivalents. Overall, we believe our significant liquidity position, which includes our recently upsized revolving credit facility, large pool of high quality unencumbered assets and best in class capital structure one notch for investment grade, position Ladder with strong financial flexibility and ready access to capital as we focus on deployment within our three segments in 2025. As of 12/31/2024, Ladder's undepreciated book value per share was $13.88 which is net of the $0.41 per share CECL General Reserve established. In the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, we repurchased $6,000,000 or 532,000 shares of our common stock at a weighted average price of $11.27 per share.

Speaker 2

For the year ended 12/31/2024, we repurchased $8,000,000 of our common stock or 711,000 shares at a weighted average price of $11.31 per share. As of 12/31/2024, '60 '7 point '6 million dollars remains outstanding on Ladder's current stock repurchase program. Finally, in 2024, our dividend remained well covered. And in the fourth quarter, Ladder declared a $0.23 per share dividend, which was paid on 01/15/2025. For details on our fourth quarter and full year 2024 operating results, please refer to our earnings supplement, which is available on our website, the Ladder's annual report on Form 10 K, which we expect to file in the coming days.

Speaker 2

With that, I will turn the call over to Brian.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Paul. We believe Ladder's middle market by design lending model was on full display during 2024. Smaller loan sizes enabled us to diversify our sponsor and geographic exposure and enabled our borrowers to have a relatively easier time refinancing loans coming due last year. We also took some big steps to further strengthen our liability set having issued a $500,000,000 unsecured corporate bond that closed in July followed by an upsizing of our revolver to $850,000,000 in December. These events in a generally difficult year for commercial real estate investors enabled Ladder to be a bright spot as our liquidity position soared throughout the year as loans paid off while we were very modestly levered throughout the year.

Speaker 3

After March of twenty twenty three, when the regional bank funding model was disrupted and pushed to the breaking point for certain banks that failed, we heard the expression stay alive till '25 as it became harder for sponsors to refinance loans coming due. By early twenty twenty four, the industry seemed to think the Fed was going to cut short term interest rates six to eight times in response to a slowing economy and tame inflation figures, except the Fed never went beyond 100 basis points of rate cuts during all of 2024. I bring up these past events to highlight that most of our sponsors on loans coming due in 2024 did not see the need to stay alive until 2025 and they paid off $1,700,000,000 of our loans with $1,100,000,000 of the total received in the second half of the year. As cash proceeds from loan payoffs outpaced new originations, we purchased $911,000,000 of AAA rated securities over the last seven months, including January of twenty five at a weighted average unlevered yield of 6.48%. We believe these yields are attractive from a historical perspective and also added to interest income the day after we acquire most of them.

Speaker 3

It takes sixty to ninety days to close a loan after we receive an application. And while our pipeline of loans under application currently stands at just over $250,000,000 it is growing at a rapid rate and we believe that new loan originations will soon outpace loans paying off. To fund new loan investments, we will first move cash out of our T bills earning an average of 4.32%. Additionally, we have the option to sell or finance some of our securities which could provide up to $1,000,000,000 of additional liquidity to support continued loan growth in our pipeline. While we expect our loan inventory to build throughout 2025, this will take some time, but we expect it to be readily observable from the second quarter on.

Speaker 3

While the lag from application to loan closing takes a while, there are plenty of good alternatives available to us, including additional securities to manage the lag from the loan origination process. Overall, we plan to migrate our capital into higher concentrations of balance sheet loans and out of short term T bills and securities. We intend to accomplish all of this while maintaining low leverage with high amounts of liquidity and investing in the highest quality assets we can find that we believe present optimal risk reward relationships for our shareholders. We look forward to replenishing our asset base with higher interest rates in place. We have limited upcoming loan maturities with plenty of room to add new investments and grow our balance sheet.

Speaker 3

Ladder has a differentiated business model with a long track record of allocating investment dollars among securities loans and real estate and primarily funded by longer term unsecured corporate and non mark to market debt with low leverage. As Paul discussed, we've been buying back stock and paying down debt with excess liquidity, and we plan to continue with this strategy when market conditions present us with opportunities to enhance shareholder value. We've waited a long time to be in the position we are in today armed with large amounts of liquidity and low leverage in a relatively high interest rate environment. We are therefore optimistic that 2025 will be a very strong year for Ladder. I'd like to take this time now to thank everybody for tuning in on this call and to thank our employees for 2024 and the effort they put forth.

Speaker 3

I'll turn it back over to the operator.

Speaker 4

Thank you. Our first question is from Jade Ramimi with KBW. Please proceed.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much. I wanted to ask about the CMBS conduit business. For the market CMBS issuance was up about 100% in 2024. Ladder competes probably more than most mortgage REITs with regional banks. Therefore, do you see an opportunity to increase CMBS conduit originations meaningfully, as banks still have been pulling back and yet are more willing to let loans come to maturity now?

Speaker 3

Thanks, Jade. It's Brian. Yeah, I think so. There's a shortage of fixed income investments which is causing a great tightening to be going on in credit spreads almost everywhere. That business in the conduit and securitization works better when the yield curve is steeper.

Speaker 3

So while we're no longer inverted after being that way for years, yeah, it's improving I would say, but we're not there yet. I think when we take a look at when we reverse things as to what breakevens are on loans that we could be making on a five or a ten year fixed rate basis, It's not terribly attractive. It's not that it's not attractive at all. It's just that the other investments we make seem to be a more profitable allocation of our capital. So I wouldn't expect this to come out too strong in the very near future.

Speaker 3

However, as the curve steepens, you'll see us waiting in there a little bit more.

Speaker 5

And then just on the diesel reserve, in dollars, there was unchanged. There was no new provisionings, which means that the reserve level increased quite meaningfully. Are you planning to maintain it at that level? Or do you see the potential for releasing some of those reserves with the significant repayments that have been received?

Speaker 3

Well, I think, yes, it is a higher percentage at this point and we did leave it there because all the potential problems that we see as possible need for reserves, they're still there. Those were not the loans that paid off. However, the loans that did pay off, obviously, the denominator is getting smaller. So I think we're well covered. I don't think we'll get through all of that in the loss column.

Speaker 3

It's a little hard to gauge as to where or what quarter things could start changing. But I don't really see it increasing unless something that we're not expecting happens in the economy and in our inventory. I think it's far more likely probability that towards at some point we'll probably be releasing reserves back in. But I don't see that number going up.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much.

Speaker 4

Our next question is from Tom Catherwood with BTIG. Please proceed.

Speaker 6

Thank you and good morning everybody. Brian, appreciated the detail on originations and the lag between applications and closings. On the origination front, we're hearing of yields tightening somewhat, especially for multifamily. Kind of two parts. A, are you seeing that as well?

Speaker 6

And then B, how is it impacting your pipeline and the types of properties that you're willing to lend

Speaker 2

on? Okay.

Speaker 3

Credit spreads are tightening. I don't think interest rates are. The actual rate on the loans that people are paying is up near 7%. And that's not very low relative to our recent past. So gotta be a little cautious around when we talk about credit spreads tightening and interest rates prevailing in the mortgage market.

Speaker 3

So I think the borrowing world would like to hope that that was a new administration and some of the comments made today by the Treasury Secretary that rates might be coming down on the ten year. I personally don't see that because of the deficit situation that The U. S. Is in and how they're going to have to issue to pay their interest at this point. So as far as property types go, yes, multifamily is definitely the tightest.

Speaker 3

Obviously, the safest because people have to live somewhere. But for us, I don't think we ever redline anything other than high crime. That is something we try to avoid because it's very difficult to come back from a criminal reputation in any building or any neighborhood. But we're not overly targeting multifamily. We seem to be writing more multifamily and industrial, but I think that's a condition of stability not necessarily where we're preferencing things.

Speaker 3

If retail comes in that we happen to like or if an office building comes in that we happen to like, we'll put a number on it and we won't sacrifice credit at any rate. But if the asset looks to be recalibrated into today's market, then sure, we're happy to lend on it. I don't see office spreads terribly tighter at all. In fact, I'm not even sure I would say that it's a reasonable thought that you can refinance an office building. So, yes, that is a bit of an outlier right now, although you are seeing some very large, SaaSBI deals getting done.

Speaker 3

I think Brian Park is in the market right now. MetLife building is coming down the pipe. So this is improving. There is no doubt about it. The defroster is on.

Speaker 3

And I suspect that we will start wading into some other product types in a more meaningful way. But I do think we are still a little bit hesitant around very large cities where they're having problems with their capital flight where a lot of rich people are leaving and also to the extent that they haven't got their crime under control. So, we're going to continue to avoid Downtown LA and, yes, sir, no need to name the cities. But, we are happy to write loans in what I call the flyover states where very few people actually go in the Midwest. We happen to like those economies.

Speaker 3

They're doing pretty well.

Speaker 6

I appreciate those thoughts, Brian. And maybe sticking with the borrower profiles in your pipeline, are you seeing borrowers that maybe last year would have likely done five year fixed rate loans now looking for transitional floating rate loans to provide more flexibility? Or is that kind of not a trend that you've seen crop up yet?

Speaker 3

We have seen that I would say to some extent in that I think borrowers have been through something here, especially long time owners of real estate. And sometimes especially the generational wealth families that have owned real estate for many, many years, they're requiring cash in on refinances and they're also having to spend a lot of money on operating expenses, which they weren't used to spending over the last couple of decades. So I do think what's causing it is not necessarily spreads. I think that there's people gravitating towards the floating rate and five year part of the world because they want to sell the property, not because they necessarily think interest rates are going to go lower. They've hit a point where they can get a short extension from a bank.

Speaker 3

Having said that, I think we are very kind we actually quoted a few and have a few on our balance sheet now where we've written some one and two year fixed rate loans that are fully prepayable. And we provide that at slightly higher rates than what a conduit or floating rate loan would be. But the reason why is there's no prepayment penalty or lockout. So we simply make the coupon plus the fees we charge to originate the loan. And I think you'll see that picking up more so in the year ahead.

Speaker 6

Got it. I appreciate the answers. That's it for me. Thanks, everyone.

Speaker 4

Our next question is from Steve Delaney with Citizens JMP. Please proceed.

Speaker 7

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Congratulations on a great close to 2024. Just looking back over the last two years with all the volatility that we've had in the market from all corners, I think the most remarkable thing that I noticed is that you've been able, despite CRE problems, etcetera, to maintain a book value per share in the neighborhood of $13.70 over the last two years. And I I don't think you you have any peers that have been able to do that.

Speaker 7

So it jumps off the page to me is is just a great accomplishment. Now we've got to go forward, and now operating the new twenty twenty five. The one thing that has as you play more defense, your loan book has dropped from about $3,900,000,000 at the end of 'twenty two to about $1,600,000,000 pretty significant reduction in direct lending. I guess my question is, and you do a lot of things, but in my mind I see direct lending as your sort of the heart and soul, your core competency for all commercial mortgage rates. Can you, in 2025, do you think net, you can grow your loan book by as much as $1,000,000,000 and if right, what would you expect your average return on equity on the loans you might make in 2025?

Speaker 7

So two part question, can you do $1,000,000,000 net and what would you expect to earn on that? Thank you.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thanks, Seif. And yes, we have noticed that book value. In fact, Pamela has a chart that she sent around to the whole group of people kind of demonstrating that and we were quite proud of it. Obviously, we got paid back at a better rate than a lot of other people did.

Speaker 3

But obviously some that comes with something else and that as you said, the loan portfolio has dropped quite a bit. What's interesting is if you parse out the drop in $3,900,000,000 down to $1,600,000,000 So we are probably one of the most unlevered companies in the space, providing and as reflected in our dividend, which is I think is one of the lowest in the space. But right now, I think we would like to tell you that with SOFR at 4.3%, I think I might have that right, at 300 over that would get you to 7.3% unlevered throw in a point each year for fees maybe or even a 0.5 that gets you to seven, eight, maybe 8.25. So that's the unlevered return that we would be targeting. That said, most loans that we're writing are not 300 over.

Speaker 3

They're more in the $2.75 area. But as rates rise, as we think they will, then those spreads will tighten. They don't just go up one for one. And if rates fall, those spreads will widen. So the yield that I think we're targeting on an unlevered basis is probably something 8.5.

Speaker 3

Now when you get paid off on $1,000,000,000 worth of loans that are yielding 9%, if you put the money into a money market fund, you'll get about 4%, right? And it's ultimately you lose 500 basis points of net interest margin by holding cash instead of the loans. By taking the stop and understanding the time delay in application to closing, and taking a comfortable place to go and there are two, T bills at four thirty two and, AAA securities floating rate, which the business is picking up, so there's more CLOs going on right now. So for instance, in 2025, just in the month of January, we have so far this year, we have purchased $228,000,000 of AAA securities. And the average spread there is 140, the credit spread, and the average yield is five seventy eight.

Speaker 3

And that's interesting because you say, all right, 140 spread and I'm telling you that we're trying to write loans at 300 over about half of what a AAA is yielding to you. So because those spreads are still relatively high and keep in mind if I just add that $228,000,000 to what we bought in the third and fourth quarters of this year, we've actually purchased about $950,000,000 of securities. And the average yield on those is $6.46 So we don't go from nine to zero or nine to four on the net interest margin. We go from nine to 6.5. And then we'll hold there for a little while until we find attractive ways to deploy that capital into higher yielding loans.

Speaker 3

But I think what you're seeing right now at Ladder is we went from the, all right, let's make sure we're good on credit. We told people we were, let's make sure we are. Okay, check that box because we just got paid a lot back in a year. Earnings pushed downward a little bit, but benefited by the fact that the short term interest rates are quite high. The curve is still rather flat.

Speaker 3

And we will be moved you're going to start to see us move out of securities and T bills and into loans. Will we add $1,000,000,000 I can't imagine we won't. I think we will add $1,000,000,000 And in 2024 to illustrate this, we originated I think it was $128,000,000 in the fourth quarter and very small amount in the second quarter, but the first and third quarters, we didn't originate any loans. That's not going to happen again. And I suspect that $128,000,000 in the fourth quarter that we will dwarf that number going forward.

Speaker 3

And when I say we've got $250,000,000 under app right now, that number could double in two weeks and probably will, because we're beginning to the world is waking up and brokers and borrowers are starting to notice that Ladder is holding a lot of capital and has a very flexible and balance sheet where we can do a lot of different things because we're not beholden to the securitization market or the repo market, both of which we rarely visit anymore. We've got some CLOs outstanding too that have been paying off rapidly, so we could call one of those. So I would tell you for the February, we're probably going to cut some expenses on the interest side and pay some things off. We'll continue to acquire securities as long as they're in this neighborhood, but our preference and our push right now under Adam Seifert's origination group is to add bridge loans in the $275,000,000 ideally $300,000,000 area. Right now, there's a little too much pressure on that for me to tell you we're going to do $300,000,000 it's probably going to look like $275,000,000 So but good normal recovery end of cycle turn, gather cash, harvest your loan portfolio, then move into security so you're not earning zero while you're shopping for new loans and then never ever compromise the credit side of the business at any price.

Speaker 3

And you keep your you get your principal back, you're going to be ahead of 90% of the competitors. So we'll focus that and we're not overly concerned about how fast that happens. These assets, we don't have to figure out where we can write loans today. We have to figure out where they can pay us off in two to three years. And that's a slight detail that a lot of people overlook, but pretty comfortable with our ability to do this.

Speaker 3

I love the position we're in right now. We have access to every debt market out there. Some of them are quite inexpensive right now. We could probably borrow more right now, but we obviously don't need any additional cash. And the only thing staring at us is we got a little less than $300,000,000 coming due at the October in the corporate bond market, which we already have covered if we want.

Speaker 3

And with that upsizing of the revolver to $825,000,000 we really don't have to keep a lot of cash on hand anymore. So we're really looking for full deployment here. And you can do some math on if you add $3,000,000,000 to your balance sheet at a net spread of 200 basis points, you start adding some numbers up meaningfully here. And that's what I think we're looking forward to.

Speaker 7

All right. Thanks for all that color. Just to be clear, that 8% yield bridge loan yield would move up to what low double digits when you put leverage on it depending on the nature of the leverage, correct?

Speaker 3

That's correct. And by the way, I'd also note too the $950,000,000 of securities we purchased, they have right now, these are triple A, they have a 6.5 almost 6.5% yield. If we put leverage on that, that goes to 11%. So and rent easily financeable. And so we may not just sell them.

Speaker 3

The spreads continue to tighten. AAA is at 140% which is where we've been buying them in 2025. Those are still quite wide. They're not as wide as they were in 2022 where CLOs are being originated at 02/25 on AAAs. But they're still pretty attractive.

Speaker 3

I suspect that AAA spread on CLOs will probably get down around 115, one hundred and 20 five.

Speaker 7

Thanks for the color.

Speaker 4

Our final question is a follow-up from Jade Rahmani with KBW. Please proceed.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much. Wanted to ask a strategic question, given the high cash balance. When you look at the commercial mortgage REIT space, the three names that have traded at material premiums to book value were Starwood due to its diversification, BX and T due to its scale and Arbor which is due to the agency servicing business. And I was wondering on the agency servicing business which is in multifamily, do you see any opportunity to partner with a DOP lender, say a Walker and Dunlop? There could be a lot of potential value creation if Ladder were to co originate loans and participate in the downstream servicing economics.

Speaker 5

DXMT has established a relationship with M and T. Curious if that's something you think is reasonable to pursue?

Speaker 3

It's reasonable to pursue it. We don't have anything like that underway right now. And I do see you're seeing I think that M and T thing that you saw with somebody, that's a tie up. There were quite a few of those going on a couple of months ago. I haven't heard of too many recently.

Speaker 3

But I suspect there's a lot of money moving into the private capital market right now and some a lot of it is moving it's not like the big banks are making loans anymore. They're kind of just making the introductions and going to the rating agencies and then let the market tell the borrower where the rates are. But I do think when we have been approached by some parties who are flush with cash, think real estate is an opportunity, little hard to figure out how to get an A team in place when there's losses in a lot of places right now. So we are getting a little bit of attention where people would probably like to see us do a sidecar with them where we manage some funds for them, where we each own part of it. And I suspect that will come more from the insurance side rather than from the servicing side.

Speaker 3

But we're open to suggestions and if we appear to be a little less interested in that than perhaps you might think we would be, I mean that's very good income inside of a REIT. But I would say that given the amount of capital we've got right now, we're a little hard pressed to do anything other than something that's very attractive to our shares and our shareholders. So, I suspect if we get through about $2,000,000,000 of new originations then that probably will become a little more interesting. And right now we really do like the investment environment that we're in and we're fortunate to have all this capital, I don't think we want to start exporting our expertise or our capital to a third party. But I do think you could see us with an insurance company along the lines of what some of our competitors do.

Speaker 3

I think Apollo has an insurance company. They invest Benefit Street does too. But so we'd be happy to do something like that, but we're not underway in any discussions on that right now.

Speaker 4

We have reached the end of our question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Brian Harris for closing remarks.

Speaker 3

Just thanks for listening in. It's been a while since we've spoken to our investors on the equity side. And we look forward to the year ahead. We're already coming out of the chute in very good order. And I think that these numbers of origination that we're looking at will go up dramatically in the year ahead.

Speaker 3

So get on the train with us and we appreciate having you and thanks again for a fruitful 2024.

Speaker 4

Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.

Earnings Conference Call
Ladder Capital Q4 2024
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