Equinix Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Equinix First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. All lines will be able to listen only until we open for questions. Also, today's conference is being recorded.

Operator

If anyone has any objections, please disconnect at this time. I'd now like to turn the call over to Chip Newcomb, Senior Director of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.

Chip Newcom
Chip Newcom
Senior Director, Investor Relations at Equinix

Good afternoon, and welcome to today's conference call. Before we get started, I would like to remind everyone that some of the statements that we will be making today are forward looking in nature and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may vary significantly from those statements and may be affected by the risks we've identified in today's press release as well as those identified in our filings with the SEC, including our most recent Form 10 ks filed 02/12/2025 and our most recent Form 10 Q. Equinix assumes no obligation and does not intend to update or comment on forward looking statements made on this call. In addition, in light of Regulation Fair Disclosure, it is Equinix's policy not to comment on its financial guidance during the quarter unless it is done through an explicit public disclosure.

Chip Newcom
Chip Newcom
Senior Director, Investor Relations at Equinix

On today's conference call, we will provide non GAAP measures. We provide a reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures and a list of the reasons why the company uses these measures in today's press release on the Equinix Investor Relations page at www.equinix.com. We've made available on the IR page of our website a presentation designed to accompany this discussion along with certain supplemental financial information and other data. We would also like to remind you that we post important information about Equinix on the IR page from time to time and encourage you to check our website regularly for the most current available information. With us today are Adair Fox Martin, Equinix's CEO and President and Keith Taylor, Chief Financial Officer.

Chip Newcom
Chip Newcom
Senior Director, Investor Relations at Equinix

Following our prepared remarks, we will be taking questions from sell side analysts. In the interest of wrapping this call up in one hour, we'd like to ask these analysts to ask one question each. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Adair.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Thank you, Chip. Hello, everyone. Good afternoon and a warm welcome to our earnings call for the first quarter twenty twenty five. I'm very pleased to share that in Q1, our team executed exceptionally well and outperformed across multiple facets of our business. I'd like to call out three salient indicators of this strong performance.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

First, our team delivered better than expected financial metrics, including revenues, adjusted EBITDA and AFFO. As a result of this performance, we are raising our guidance on each of these metrics. Second, our sales team executed remarkably well in building customer momentum, improving deal conversion and shortening the deal cycle, all whilst maintaining favorable pricing. Third, our strategy is resonating in the market. Our moves around serving better, solving smarter and building bolder have already enabled us to cultivate a stronger pipeline for the range of products and services offered by Equinix.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

This gives us continued confidence in our projections for healthy recurring revenue step ups through 2025 and in our growth ambitions for the long term. Before diving into our operating results, I'd like to take a moment to welcome Harmine Mehta, who has joined our executive team as our Chief Digital and Innovation Officer. Harmine is a visionary leader with a proven track record of digital transformation and innovation. She and her team are crucial to the execution of our strategy. Her experience in leading complex programs and developing innovative solutions should equip Equinix to better serve our customers and enhance both efficiency and user experience across our organization.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

So now I'd like to take a closer look at key financial metrics. As a reminder, the growth rates shared are all on a normalized and constant currency basis. In Q1, we delivered revenues of $2,200,000,000 up 8% year over year excluding the impact of Power Pass Through. This was driven by strong recurring revenue growth as we begin to see the impact of our second half twenty twenty four bookings performance manifest itself in our recurring revenue trajectory. Our strong recurring revenue growth was offset by lower ex scale leasing and fit out fees in the first quarter, as we expected.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Adjusted EBITDA margins increased to 48% of revenues and AFFO per share increased 9% year over year. In both instances, results were above our expectations due to strong operating performance, lower utilities costs and the timing of spend. Keith will provide additional insight into these numbers shortly. Turning to our customer momentum, we continue to cultivate and win significant opportunities across our product set and in service to the enduring demand for both AI and the broader set of workloads associated with cloud services. We had several notable AI wins in Q1, including deployments across five markets.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Generally, customers are increasingly looking to Equinix to deploy their most complex and interconnected inferencing and training infrastructure. Block will be the first company in North America to deploy the NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD with DGX GB200 systems. By deploying at Equinix, Block can leverage our unique ecosystems to ensure data privacy, flexibility and edge connectivity to thousands of partners. We also had a significant AI win with Grok, the pioneer in AI inference. Grok are rapidly scaling their high performance infrastructure through Equinix.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Our unique ecosystems and wide global footprint will serve as a connectivity gateway to their customers and enable efficient enterprise AI workflows at scale. In our enterprise cloud ecosystem, Panasonic Information Systems expanded their partnership with Equinix in Q1 to support their evolving cloud database requirements. They've chosen Equinix for our seamless high speed connectivity across key cloud platforms like AWS, Azure and Oracle. We also saw expansion with Repsol, a global multi energy company leading the energy transition. Repsol expanded their U.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

S. Operations in partnership with Equinix. With us, they have adopted a hybrid and multi cloud environment that will support both their business and sustainability objectives. Essity, a leading hygiene and health company, is globally deploying Equinix's interconnection services, including Equinix Fabric and Network Edge, to enhance their efficiency of care whilst reducing their environmental impact. And finally, Brink's is rapidly expanding their digital footprint with Equinix, deploying virtual points of presence across key U.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

S. Metros with additional expansion planned in the coming quarters. This architecture will ensure robust connectivity, security and reliability in support of their growing business needs. This wide variation in customer use cases closed in Q1 underpins the core value proposition of Equinix and our durable business model. It enables us to cultivate the pipeline we will need to achieve our revenue growth targets for the remaining quarters of 2025.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Turning now to our strategy. The momentum we experienced in Q1, coupled with our performance against key non financial indicators, demonstrate that we are on the right track. As I shared last quarter, we are focusing on three strategic moves in pursuit of our long term growth ambitions: serving our customers even better, solving smarter for them and building bolder for them. Serve Better is our strategic move focused on ensuring our customers have the right resources in the right place at the right time so that we deliver value at every stage in their relationship with us. In Q1, our improved deal conversion and shorter deal cycles resulted in more than 4,100 deals across more than 3,200 customers.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

This pushed our growth and net bookings considerably past our expectations for the quarter. I am pleased to note that our Q2 bookings performance in April is pacing in line with our targets despite the uncertainty prevalent in the macro environment. Solve Smarter is our strategic move focused on simplifying the consumption of our digital infrastructure and interconnection solutions. In Q1, we saw strong momentum for our Secure Cabinet Express product, a preconfigured colocation solution that makes it faster and easier for our customers to get up and running in our data centers. Now available in more than 75% of our IBXs around the world, this product accounted for one third of all new cabinet sales in Q1, a nearly 300% increase year over year.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Customers love it because it takes what used to be a complex, time consuming process and turns it into a repeatable streamlined experience. Our industry leading interconnection franchise continues to perform well. Interconnection revenues grew a healthy 9% year over year on a normalized and constant currency basis, with more than 486,000 total interconnections now deployed. Equinix Fabric continues to over index with strong adoption of Fabric Cloud Router in the quarter. With Build Bolder, we are building for the future, accelerating innovative ways to expand access to more digital infrastructure for our customers.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

This means we have shifted our strategy from building many smaller IBXs and phases to building fewer IBXs and larger phases. We have now 56 major projects underway in 33 metros across 24 countries, including 12 X scale projects. In The Americas, we added our Washington DC Seventeen project, which is expected to deliver 4,700 cabinets or approximately 50 megawatts of capacity to this key market in 2027. In APAC, our Johor 2 asset is expected to add greater than 2,000 cabinets of capacity in one large delivery in 2027. And in EMEA, we are actively looking to accelerate delivery of capacity in metros like London and Paris.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

We continue to make good progress across our XScale joint ventures with our announced projects more than 85% leased and pre leased. This quarter, we opened our Frankfurt 10 asset, which was 100% pre leased, and we have a strong funnel of additional ex scale opportunities in the coming quarters. Whilst we are optimistic based on our strong Q1 performance, we are closely monitoring the rapidly evolving macroeconomic environment. We have seen minimal impact from tariffs on our business directly in the immediate term. However, they are a concern for many of our customers and therefore are also a concern for us.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

The tariffs are felt acutely among specific industries in which many of our customers operate, particularly in consumer goods, transportation, energy and materials. Further, the uncertainty surrounding these tariffs, if protracted, can understandably lead to a wait and see investment posture amongst customers across all industries. We hosted our Americas Customer Advisory Board last week. At that event, our customers who represent a broad spectrum of industries told us that they have made no significant adjustments to their digital infrastructure strategies beyond some pre purchases of equipment. These customers are collectively signaling firm demand, which supports our operating plans despite the economic uncertainty.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Whilst we are tempering our optimism with prudent caution, we believe that demand for our digital infrastructure will persist through varying business cycles and economic policies. Technology remains a critical driver of revenue growth, whilst allowing companies to reduce costs, enhance operating leverage and operate with more agility and responsiveness to their customers' needs. Additionally, Equinix is highly diversified across geography, product mix, industry and segment, which historically has contributed to our resilience in the face of market dislocations. This along with strong financial performance, positive customer momentum, a healthy balance sheet and a strategy that is resonating in the market keeps us confident in our operating outlook for underlying recurring revenue throughout 2025. With that, I'll turn it over to Keith to cover the quarter's financials.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Thanks, Dare, and good afternoon to everyone. As you've just heard from Dare, we had a strong start to the year, delivering better than expected results across each of our core financial metrics. We had healthy gross bookings. Net pricing actions were firmly positive. MRR churn, despite some large unexpected churn, was lower than forecast, and therefore, net bookings were better than our expectations.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

From a results perspective, if we start with revenues and then we work our way down the income statement, every key line was better than expected. And as we look forward, our guidance implies healthy underlying recurring revenue step ups for the year and strong cash gross profit and adjusted EBITDA margins. As I mentioned last quarter, we expect to exit the year at or near the 50% adjusted EBITDA level, an important threshold for us. Now despite the continued strength of our business and the strong secular demand environment across the digital infrastructure space, we will remain vigilant given the broader and volatile market conditions and if necessary adjust accordingly. But that said, and as we've stated before, Equinix has thrived during periods of disruption, largely due to the diverse set of high quality customers across many industries and geographies as they continue to expand their digital environments with us by buying more services in the existing markets or expanding into new markets with us.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Finally, our strong liquidity position and investment grade credit profile provide us the strategic and operational flexibility, which allows us to invest in growth when others may choose to slow down or even pull back in on their investments. Now let me cover the highlights for the quarter as depicted on Slide four. Note that all growth rates in this section are on a normalized and constant currency basis. Global Q1 revenues were approximately $200,000,000 up 8% over the same quarter last year, excluding the impact of the prior pass through and near the top end of our guidance range. We saw a strong underlying quarter over quarter MRR step up of $27,000,000 bookings momentum from the second half of twenty twenty four, offset by lower ex scale NRR fees as we expected.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Q1 revenues net of our FX hedges included a $4,000,000 benefit when compared to our prior guidance rates. Global Q1 adjusted EBITDA was approximately $1,100,000,000 or 48% of revenues, above the top end of our guidance range due to strong operating performance, including solid gross profit and lower than expected SG and A expenses despite the higher seasonal costs in Q1. Q1 adjusted EBITDA, net of our FX hedges included a $2,000,000 FX benefit when compared to our prior guidance rates. Global Q1 AFFO was nine forty seven million dollars up 13% over the same quarter last year and well above our expectations due to strong operating performance, favorable net interest expense and solid FX mitigation strategies. Also consistent with prior years, recurring CapEx both in dollar terms and as a percentage of revenues is lower in the quarter in part due to timing of spend.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Q1 AFFO included a $1,000,000 FX benefit when compared to our prior guidance rates. Global Q1 MRR churn was 2.4% as expected. This core metric included two large and anticipated MR churn events. One of those events related to one of our largest customers as they evolve from a legacy service platform to a new service offering at Equinix related to certain of their Amsterdam and London deployments. The second large and an anticipated MR churn event related to a large multinational customer in our Singapore market, as previously discussed.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

For the full year, we continue to expect MR churn to average in our 2% to 2.5% quarterly guidance range. With respect to our non financial metrics, they continue to trend favorably with global MRR per cabinet yields stepping up greater than 5% or $113 year over year on a constant currency basis, driven by favorable pricing actions and increasing power densities. Cabinets billing saw a strong step up in The Americas region and solid performance in APAC, offset by softness in EMEA related to the previously noted expected churn. And finally, we had strong seasonal gross interconnection additions, resulting in a healthy net 3,900 total interconnections added in Q1. Turning to our regional highlights, whose full results are covered on Slides five through seven.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

On a year over year normalized and constant currency basis, excluding the impact of prior pass through to our customers, recurring revenues grew the fastest in our APAC region at 8%, followed by both The Americas and EMEA regions at 7%. The Americas region had an outstanding quarter delivering its best gross and net bookings performance to date with continued favorable pricing trends as power density per cabinet increased. We saw particularly strong demand from our financial services and AI oriented customers with momentum across our Chicago, Dallas, New York and Silicon Valley metros as well as our Canadian business. Our EMEA business delivered a solid gross booking performance with strong retail volume and firm pricing, although impacted by the MR churn that I already noted. In the quarter, we saw booking momentum in Dublin, Istanbul and Stockholm metros.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

And finally, the Asia Pacific region had a solid quarter with strong momentum in Malaysia and India businesses and robust net pricing activity. Also in April, we were pleased to announce the signing of our first renewable PPA in Japan, advancing our commitment to supporting the addition of new renewable energy sources in the markets where we operate. And now looking at our capital structure. Please refer to Slide eight. Our balance sheet increased to approximately $36,000,000,000 including cash and short term investments of approximately $3,700,000,000 In the quarter, we issued $500,000,000 in Singapore dollar denominated senior green notes at a rate of 3.5.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Additionally, we raised approximately $100,000,000 of equity through our ATM program during the mid February to early March timeframe at $927 a share. As we've said before, we consider our balance sheet to be a strategic tool that provides us with significant operational and strategic flexibility to invest behind the growth opportunity we see in the digital infrastructure market. Over the near term, as we review our current leverage levels, our capital raising activities will be biased towards debt capital, given our ability to access these capital pools in lower cost markets around the world, both to refinance our maturing debt and to fund our Build Boulder growth initiatives. Separately, in March, we are pleased to receive a positive outlook for Moody's as we continue to strive to obtain increased debt capacity and a higher credit rating from all of our credit rating agencies. Turning to Slide nine.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

For the quarter, capital expenditures were $750,000,000 including seasonally low recurring CapEx of $26,000,000 as expected. We opened 10 major projects since our last earnings call, adding retail capacity in Kuala Lumpur, Lagos, Manchester, Salala, Santiago and Sao Paulo. We also purchased land for development in Bogota and Milan. More than 85% of our current retail expansion spend is on our own land or own buildings with long term ground leases, and over 70% of our announced retail expansion project spend is allocated to those largest metros where we have strong established ecosystems. Now moving to Slide 10.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Our capital investments have continued to deliver strong returns. Consistent with prior years, in Q1, we completed the annual refresh of our IBX categorization exercise and our stabilized asset count increased by 13 IBXs. The PP and E related to our 2025 stabilized asset class was meaningfully larger than the prior two years and the performance to date was strong relative to those prior year cohorts. The ramping utilizations and the growth from the 2025 cohort is expected to favorably impact our cash yield metric over the course of the year. Our now 190 stabilized assets increased recurring revenues by 3% year over year on a constant currency basis and are collectively 82% utilized and generated a 26% cash on cash return on the gross PP and E invested.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

And finally, please refer to Slides 11 through 15 for our updated summary of 2025 guidance and bridges. Do note all growth rates on an annualized and constant currency basis. Now given our strong Q1 performance relative to our expectations due to the weakening of the U. S. Dollar against our other operating currencies, we're raising our guidance across each of our key financial metrics of revenues, adjusted EBITDA, AFFO and AFFO per share.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

For the full year, we're raising our 2025 revenue guidance by $142,000,000 This maintains a 7% to 8% normalized in constant currency growth rate, while adjusting for lower power costs pass through to our customers. Importantly, our outlook continues to imply a step up in our underlying recurring revenue growth over the course of the year. We're also raising our twenty twenty five adjusted EBITDA guidance by $85,000,000 Adjusted EBITDA margins are expected to be approximately 49% and now two ten basis point improvement over the last year. We continue to expect quarterly margins to step up over the course of the year with second half adjusted EBITDA margins to be at or near 50%. And we're raising our 2025 AFFO guidance by $69,000,000 This maintains our AFFO growth rate at 9% to 12% and AFFO per share growth of 7% to 9% compared to the previous year.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

2025 CapEx is now expected to range between 3,400,000,000.0 and $3,700,000,000 including approximately $180,000,000 of on balance sheet ex skill spend, which we expect to be reimbursed as we transfer assets into our U. S. Joint venture and about $270,000,000 of recurring CapEx spend. This increase in CapEx spending is due to our newly approved projects and the higher FX rates as we build Boulder behind the market opportunity in front of us. So let me stop here.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

I'm going to turn the call back to Adair.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Thank you, Keith. In closing, we had a strong start to 2025, delivering better than expected bookings and financial results. Whilst the economic landscape is dynamic and uncertain, we believe that the secular demand environment for digital infrastructure and our services will endure. Equinix has a history of not only weathering challenging environments, but growing through times of uncertainty. We are committed to delivering value to our customers and stakeholders, and I believe that our focus on innovation, operational excellence and customer centric solutions will continue to drive our success.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

I would like to extend my gratitude to our employees for their hard work and commitment, to our customers and partners for their trust in us and to our investors for their continued support. Together, we are not just navigating the complexities of today's market, we are shaping the future of the landscape for digital connectivity. Finally, we look forward to hosting our upcoming Analyst Day in June. We plan to dive deeper into how we are building out our strategy and outline our plans to pursue the opportunity in front of our business. We expect to update our long term financial outlook, including how our investments will translate into attractive revenue growth, expanding margins and equity value creation for our shareholders.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

We also look forward to sharing additional data that we believe will help investors better understand our business. So with that, I'll stop here and open it up to questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the Q and A session. And we would like to ask analysts to limit their questions to one question. Matt Niknam from Deutsche Bank. You may go ahead, sir.

Matt Niknam
Matt Niknam
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Hey, thanks so much. Sales cycles, Adair, I think you referenced some improvements that maybe have shortened sales cycles. If you can maybe shed some more light on what's driving this? And on the same topic, I'm just curious whether the macro has negatively impacted sales cycles at all in April. Thank you.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

All right. That's great. Thank you so much for the question, Matt. I guess I'll pick it up in two parts, perhaps maybe just commenting on customer demand as we see it. I think as our numbers show, we had a very strong Q1.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And in April, we can see that our bookings are keeping pace with our target. And so we're not seeing actually any significant shifts in demand during the April timeframe, meaning that we believe that we can meet our operating plans despite the uncertainty. We will continue to watch this very closely. I think as I mentioned in my opening remarks, we were very fortunate to have the timely event of our Americas Customer Advisory Board just last week or so, where we have a very broad representation of our customers across industries and across segments. And these customers indicated no changes to their plans for digital infrastructure, although some of them had noted pre purchases of various different pieces of equipment.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And just to take it a little bit broader to give it a little bit more of a global view, interestingly, in EMEA, we're seeing an increasing level of optimism amongst our customer base. And many of the requirements that are emerging are actually playing into Equinix's favor, requirements around data placement and data sovereignty and requirements around local presence and investment in that jurisdiction. And from an APAC perspective, there's a lot of diversity, as I'm sure you're aware, market to market, but very much still in the narrative for our APAC customers, a very broad emphasis on AI and on digital transformation more broadly. So I think definitely a recognition that technology is a very critical driver of growth and most of the organizations that we've spoken to and as we see it in our demand pipeline are working hard to protect opportunities that they see, technology enabling as top line opportunities for their business and those projects and processes that underpin enhancing their productivity and initiatives around that topic. As it relates to enhancing productivity, let me speak a little bit to the motions that we've seen inside our own sales organization during Q1.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

I guess I'll speak to you a little bit with my CRO hat on here because productivity of our selling engine is a very important aspect that will help us drive towards our overall margin targets. And this has been a very key area of focus for us. We saw during Q1 conversion times up. We also saw in Q1 a creation of an out of quarter pipeline for the remaining quarters of 2025 that was very healthy. And as I mentioned, time to close reduced.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

I guess there are a couple of aspects as to the reasoning behind that. First of all, we have been very circumspect in our qualification process at the front end of our pipeline build as we move into each quarter, which means that we're really executing against very highly qualified opportunities as they navigate through the sales process. Secondly, we've made some changes to our contracting process and created standardized contracts and then just some process to support the implementation of those standardized contracts. So for a specific example, for deals that were under $25,000 of MRR, we applied these standard contracts and had no exceptions to those contract terms during Q1 at all. So this meant that for our deal cycle times, we were able to reduce the median cycle time in our small deals by more than 20% and larger deal cycle time just because of some of that behavior reduced by approximately 5%.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

So this is some of the measures behind the productivity gains that you saw from our sales force in Q1. I'd also maybe just add one other aspect. Getting more standardized on the solutions that we sell also helps our teams rinse and repeat a sales motion. And we certainly saw that when we applied the team to secure Cabinet Express as a product, and that enabled us to create a solution bundle that teams became familiar with presenting with a standardized contract and then of course with a standardized implementation process following the sale. So all of these things leading us towards enhanced sales productivity and obviously then working to ensure that this is one part of the margin expansion that we're focused on at every level in the business.

Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Ari Klein with BMO Capital Markets. You may go ahead.

Ari Klein
Ari Klein
Director - Equity Research at BMO Capital Markets

Thank you and good afternoon. Can you maybe unpack a little bit more of the expectation for recurring revenue growth to step up in the second half of the year or the rest of the year and some of the drivers behind that? And was the expectation for accelerating growth also include an increase in cabinet and heads? Thanks.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

In cabinets, I missed the last part.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Cabinet adds.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

On cabinet adds, okay. Thanks very much for the question, Ari. So as we move into the second half of the year, first of all, we bring with us our bookings momentum from the second half of twenty twenty four and those sales become implementable solutions and revenue that begins to turn the clock for us in 2025. We saw some demonstrated step up of that in our Q1 results and we'll continue to see that throughout the first half of the year. Secondly, I think the very strong bookings performance in Q1 also bodes well for a second half step up because the opportunity to implement those customers and turn the booking into recurring revenue in the second half exists as it does for bookings that we would close in Q2.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

So the opportunity to continue the momentum that we saw in Q1 with our Q2 bookings framework enables us to not just add second half of twenty twenty four, but first half of twenty twenty five into the MRR step up that we're expecting to see in the second half of twenty twenty five. In terms of our cabinets, we of course are experiencing some interesting dynamics around density as we look at our market and the opportunity that this represents for us more holistically as an organization. We continue to see evolving density dynamics. It's very important to our business. And I think that Equinix is ahead of the game responding to this.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

We were the first to have broad scale liquid cooling across all of our geos and we saw a number of implementations of that occur in the first quarter of twenty twenty five. We will continue to see net cabs increase across the quarters. We have, of course, seen a challenge in EMEA in Q1 around our cabs billing and our cabs additions in EMEA. This is largely due to the churn that Keith mentioned in his remarks. We did also, in addition to that churn that we were anticipating, have an unanticipated bankruptcy occur in Q1 for Technicolor, which impacted us in EMEA and one other bankruptcy, which impacted us partly in Q1, but we know will have a continued effect in Q2 and we will see that play out a little bit as we look at our cap billing during the course of Q2.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Nick, would you add anything?

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

And then just to add on to what Adair said there, Ari, despite what we talked about there, the depth of the pipeline, as Dara referred to, the conversion rates, which continue to be strong, that's why we feel confident in the growth of the recurring revenue throughout the rest of the year. And one of the other things that we suggested to despite the unanticipated bankruptcies and the like, we still we believe recurring revenues are going to grow nicely. And you're going to also see more profit Q2 certainly over Q1, as I said on the last earnings call, and the second half certainly over the first half. And so we're on a nice trend despite absorbing some of those challenges. And as we said, some of it was anticipated and planned inside the forecast.

Operator

Thank you. Jonathan Atkin with RBC Capital Markets. You may go ahead.

Jonathan Atkin
Jonathan Atkin
Managing Director at RBC Capital Markets

Thanks. Interested in Interconnect, drove the kind of the strength, in fabric, any use cases emerging? Or was it more kind of a sales effort on a particular product? Any color would be appreciated. Thanks.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Thank you. Thanks very much. Yes, I think we had a very solid quarter in Q1. We saw very strong gross demand in Q1 for interconnects and of course added 3,900 new interconnections to the portfolio. I think there are probably some elements that begin to add some color to that demand profile that we saw in the quarter.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

First, when you think about our interconnection growth generally, it tends to follow a number of trends. And certainly, when you have new customers and new deployments, this helps create interconnection activity and interconnection demand. And we saw that in a number of places. First of all, with the net new adds that we had during the quarter creating needs for interconnects. But also as you enter new markets, the possibility for interconnection density is also something that we've seen become very apparent, and that's true of our Jakarta and Joburg entries, which both look very, very promising as it relates to interconnects.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And we also can see that our VCs are now accommodating much greater volume and a broader set of use cases. So for us, we really view interconnection as a portfolio of solutions. And the growth drivers of that portfolio will be the number of counterparties and the density of the network rather than just scaling terabytes per second. And so we continue to look forward to growing this aspect of our product portfolio and making it easy for our customers to bring onboard this capability into their infrastructure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Eric Lupko with Wells Fargo. You may go ahead, sir.

Eric Luebchow
Eric Luebchow
Director - Senior Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo Securities

I appreciate you taking the question. Maybe you could just update us on the progress of The U. S. XScale JV. I know you have a site in Atlanta with more sites under consideration.

Eric Luebchow
Eric Luebchow
Director - Senior Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo Securities

Just related to XScale, how we should think about the moving pieces of nonrecurring revenue over the remainder of the year? I know you've got some fit out costs in there that are coming out, but just wanted an update there. Thank you.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Yes. I'll perhaps do a frame and then ask Keith to add some specificity as needed. So in terms of our XScale pipeline, nothing has changed about our pipeline. We've got a strong overall pipeline and as you can see, strong pre leasing sentiment against that pipeline. And we continue a very structured, a consistent and coherent engagement with the support of our partners.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

As far as the Hampton location is concerned, we're very excited about that build out. We have begun to prepare the ground there and are continuing to progress on that project as expected. We also see that the opportunity around our XScale portfolio continues to remain with a strong demand profile. And certainly, whilst there have been some rumors around certain hyperscalers pushing back, others are pushing ahead. And certainly, hyperscalers are organizations that can move past periods of consumption very, very rapidly.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And I think what's important to understand for Equinix is that we have a very broad range of relationships with our hyperscalers. And it's not just an AI orientated relationship, but a broader cloud demand and a connectivity relationship and they continue to be exceptional partners and customers to us. And I think this bodes very, very well if they become more selective in their leasing decisions over the future months. So I'd say net, as far as our XScale portfolio is concerned, demand is up and to the right. And we continue to augment our own internal team.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

In fact, of our SG and A investment this year will be deployed into our XScale organization to ensure that we're servicing the opportunity that we see ahead of us for our XScale portfolio. Keith, anything that you would add?

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Yes. Eric, just maybe a couple of other quick points. As Adair said, we're absorbing we plan for roughly $40,000,000 investment in the SG and A line in 2025 related to exScale. As you know, we're making investments not just for today, but the recognition that these projects are going to take multi years to build and deploy. And so that's part of what you're seeing.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

But I think what's even more interesting, notwithstanding the success that we have had, when you actually look at Q1, we certainly had a lot of nonrecurring revenue. And that in fact, you can go back to Q4, we had a lot of nonrecurring revenue associated with XScale. We also had that in Q1. And when you look at Q1, it was a tremendous quarter as you look at the performance of the P and L and how we manage ourselves from a cash flow perspective. And that had still some noise in it related to these fit out costs.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

As you get to Q2, which we're guiding you to, basically, nonrecurring revenues are going to go down about $38,000,000 largely because of XScale, if not wholly because of XScale. And you're going to see an even more pure quarter in how we can deliver the performance of the business. So I think you've got the, if you will, the best of both worlds today. You've got the core businesses performing exceedingly well. And you've now got we're past the installation phase for many our AX scale deployments.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

And now we're focusing on growth into that market, not only as it relates to what we pre lease, but as we work towards the development of our XScale two point zero franchise in The Americas.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

That being said, as I mentioned at the start, we do have a strong pipeline of XScale opportunities that we look forward to executing against over the course of the year.

Operator

Thank you. Our next caller comes from Vikram Malhotra with Mizuho. You may go ahead, sir.

Vikram Malhotra
Vikram Malhotra
Managing Director at Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.

Thanks for taking the question. Just looking at kind of the cadence you mentioned the step up in growth. If you could compare that to sort of the growth comp in 2024, it seems like 2Q, the growth comp is tougher and then it eases up a little bit. So if you can just talk about some of the EBITDA growth, the AFFO, is there like a step down in 2Q before it steps up? Thanks.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

I just want to make sure, Vikram, if you would are you referring to the revenue side of the equation or EBITDA and AFFO?

Vikram Malhotra
Vikram Malhotra
Managing Director at Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.

See if you can give color on all three revenue, EBITDA and AFFO.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

Maybe, Daraj, do you want to talk about the revenue side of the

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

menu? Let

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

me deal at least let me deal with the, if you will, the EBITDA and AFFO side of the equation. As we all know, and for those that have followed us for many years, there's seasonality in our business. So in Q1, when you look at the cost model, despite what we delivered and how we performed better than our expectations, there's still some seasonal seasonal costs that go through the first quarter. And so we absorbed that. And so as you look through the second, third and fourth quarter, there's always there's ebbs and flows.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

And you've historically seen that in our results, particularly when you look at cash SG and A. As you're all aware, we made some tough decisions in the fourth quarter of last year. And so we're to reap the benefits of those decisions. But suffice it to say, as I said in my prepared remarks, the margin is going to improve throughout the year, and that's an important thing. And so some of that is coming certainly from revenues and therefore and gross profit and SG and A.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

So you're getting, if you will, the trio coming down to that bottom line. But as it relates to AFFO, as recurring CapEx component of that, again, there's a very large seasonal impact on both side AFFO. In Q1, our recurring CapEx relative to revenue was about 1.2%. By the time to get to fourth quarter, of course, we tend to do a lot more in the second half of the year in the recurring CapEx side. And so that has some impact on AFFO.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

But suffice it to say, we continue to see strong profits, strong AFFO. We obviously give you we give you the performance in Q1. We're optimistic about the rest of the year as we've spoken about. And we're also absorbing the higher cost of financing. In both Q2 and Q3, we are financing out refinancing out of some debt.

Keith Taylor
Keith Taylor
CFO at Equinix

And we anticipate raising more debt as we draw down our cash to invest in this in our Build Bolder initiative and pay the dividend, we're going to draw down on that cash, replace it with incremental debt capacity as we look into 2026 and beyond.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Just on the revenue side, there is a step up in the second half of the year as we planned. This step up will be supported by a number of factors, some of which I've mentioned already. The implementation of bookings that we close in the first half of twenty twenty five, the opportunity to incorporate those bookings into our MRR recurring revenue exists once we close in the first two quarters. And I mentioned that we have a strong pipeline of opportunities that we're working on in Q2 and our April indicator is positively disposed towards reaching that target. Secondly, there would be an element of nonrecurring revenues in our total revenue picture in the second half.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And these are things that we would actually actively work on during the course of this year to ensure that we close that component of our revenue in the timeframes necessary to meet these step up requirements. But from an MRR perspective, once you really close the bookings in Q2, your year is laid out very clearly in front of you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Mike Funk with Bank of America. You may go ahead, sir.

Michael Funk
Michael Funk
SVP at Bank of America

Yes. Thank you very much. Adair, nice to meet you. And Keith, good to speak with you again. Quick question on Inferencing.

Michael Funk
Michael Funk
SVP at Bank of America

Microsoft reported very strong Azure AI growth this evening, better than expectations. You made a slight comment in your prepared remarks. Is there a read through from what Microsoft reported? Any commentary you can make on the demand that you are seeing from customers in answering?

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Yes. Very happy to do that. I think we continue to cultivate and win very attractive and significant AI opportunities. In fact, in Q1, of our top 25 deals, 50% of those deals were AI related. So keeping in tandem with the type of breakdown in those deals that we saw in Q4.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And as I mentioned already, liquid cooling deployments were implemented across five markets during Q1. When I look at what's making up that demand, I think we continue to see the service providers chasing capacity and we're part of it. Whilst some of that is initially training based, we're definitely starting to see inference with the Grok deal that closed in Q1 as a tremendous example of that. If I then take that lens and apply it to our enterprise customers, At an enterprise level, our customers are investing in very targeted use cases rather than in large scale deployments or investments. And much of this targeting is underpinned by some of the uniques of the value prop that I believe from an inference perspective Equinix brings to the enterprise customer base.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

First of all, there's a very flexible data strategy, allowing our customers to distribute their data anywhere and to move that data easily and freely between clouds, public and private infrastructure. Secondly, we have a privacy first approach. So not only is the data secure, not only are the models protected, but operations can be aligned with the regulatory requirements of that customer either from an industry or a location basis. Thirdly, from a networks perspective, our networks are ready for low latency inferencing and for the execution of what is effectively always on AI systems. And finally then, I think the last part of the value prop really relates to the platform and the ecosystem of Equinix.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

We have massive partner access and flexibility and this is such an evolving landscape for both the data and service providers that we give our customers the opportunity to be able to adapt in that evolving landscape. And we're actually seeing the demand manifest itself in a couple of key areas. One is in the whole area of AI factories or centers of excellence, where organizations in most of the industry verticals now are centralizing their AI development efforts and getting their IT team to manage these centralized clusters both for cost and governance reasons. AI factories can leverage models that have been developed elsewhere, they're then in turn fine tuned and then some inferencing happens on those clusters. And the most recent announcement that we made with NVIDIA around the opportunity to offer an NVIDIA Instant AI factory service lends well into this trajectory that we're seeing on customer demand.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And then the second element of customer demand would absolutely be around distributed AI inferencing. Customers are now beginning to deploy AI models for inferencing. The comments that I made earlier about data residency, the ability to process the data in the country where the data originates, sometimes for regulatory compliance reasons, lends itself well to our global footprint. The level of latency that might be required at a metro, so for edge AI workloads, customers don't want to develop gear that will support inferencing from stores, airports, restaurants, etcetera, for lots of reasons, including OpEx and physical security reasons. And so they are looking for on demand metro connections and Equinix is ideally positioned to provide those.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

So we see the demand manifest itself in a number of ways across our enterprise customers and still very much see this supply constrained market where there is absolutely more demand than supply and we're happy to be part of that solution for the industry.

Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Tim Horan with OPCO. You may go ahead, sir.

Timothy Horan
Managing Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Thanks, Gus. On the supply side, do you think you are supply constrained or you may become supply constrained? And I guess can you raise prices to help manage that? Thanks.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Okay. So I think from a pricing perspective during the course of Q1, we saw some very firm pricing. Certainly, as our customers also renew, there is a yield in terms of standard step ups on auto renews, but also there is the opportunity for us to lean into that renewal process and given the supply dynamics, be able to command premium pricing for the services that we are offering. In terms of capacity constraints, certainly under our Build Bolder program, we've been working very, very hard to look at our pipeline of opportunities and our pipeline of builds and to look at where we have the opportunity to be able to accelerate build so that we can meet customer capacity requirements. And we've managed to do that in three locations during the course of this year in NY3, DC16 and LD14 to reduce the time to bring that capacity on by at least one year.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

And so a lot of build work, as Keith mentioned, underway, 56 projects underway across 33 metros. And this is something that we continue to evaluate and look at. And of course, looking at how we ensure that as we are navigating with our customers that we are helping to shape the demand to where we have the capacity that best suits that customer's requirements. So in Q1, was lovely to see a mixture of installs and transactions occurring across Tier one and non Tier one metros. So a number of different ways for us to challenge to meet the challenge of capacity requirements in the market today.

Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Michael Elias with TD Cowen. You may go ahead, sir.

Michael Elias
Director at TD Cowen

Great. Thanks for taking the question. It looks like from the capital to cabinet delivery schedule, there are some movements from 3Q to 4Q and now you're delivering about just over 9,000 cabinets in the fourth quarter. As we start thinking about the trajectory into 2026, I know that you've done some pre leasing in the interim facilities about nine months is when you start pre leasing. And just curious, is there any color you could give us in terms of the pre leasing that you've done into those 9,000 cabinets that are coming online in the fourth quarter that could give us some conviction on what the exit growth rate could be into 2026?

Michael Elias
Director at TD Cowen

Thank you.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Yes. You're quite right in terms of the capacity that's coming online. You can see a significant amount of cabs in our Q4 timeframe. I will say that in the same way that we manage our sales forecast and our pipeline forecast and our sales process, we manage very closely the RFS dates for all of the capacity that we are bringing online. We have experienced in Q1 some presale activity as we experienced in the second half of Q4 without providing any degree of what that number is like.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

We have absolutely experienced some customers who are looking to shore up both their compute and their energy future by committing to capacity that is farther out in our delivery roadmap.

Operator

Thank you. And our last caller is Michael Rolles with Citi. You may go ahead, sir.

Michael Rollins
Michael Rollins
Analyst at Citigroup

Thanks and good afternoon. In the second half of last year, the discussion picked up around Equinix going after some larger deal sizes as an incremental opportunity. So just curious how that progressed during 1Q, how that may evolve through the year? And as that evolves, should we be mindful of how that may impact the KPIs going forward?

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Yes. Thank you very much for the question. As I mentioned, I think we saw a very solid and good mix of different deal profiles throughout our Q1 journey, not just across the metros and the tiers, but also across the size and scale of the deals. So it was wonderful to see an increase in volume from our retail and our small and medium deals in our density rich interconnect rich locations. And we also saw a continued increase in large footprint transactions.

Adaire Fox-Martin
Adaire Fox-Martin
CEO & President at Equinix

Certainly, can see as you see the density from our cabs move from a 4.2 up to a 6.8 in this quarter. We can still see this increasing ask not just by service providers but also from enterprise customers around greater density in the cabinets and larger footprints to enable them again to secure the capacity that they need for their future business objectives. And this of course is something that we are considering under our Build Bolder umbrella and something that we are considering as we look at the design and evolution of our data centers.

Chip Newcom
Chip Newcom
Senior Director, Investor Relations at Equinix

Thank you everyone for joining our Q1 earnings call. We look forward to seeing many of you at our Analyst Day in June. Have a good day.

Operator

Goodbye. This concludes today's conference call. You may go ahead and disconnect at this time.

Executives
Analysts
Earnings Conference Call
Equinix Q1 2025
00:00 / 00:00

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