NASDAQ:CACC Credit Acceptance Q2 2025 Earnings Report $506.56 +6.66 (+1.33%) Closing price 10/24/2025 04:00 PM EasternExtended Trading$506.43 -0.13 (-0.03%) As of 10/24/2025 04:10 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. ProfileEarnings HistoryForecast Credit Acceptance EPS ResultsActual EPS$8.56Consensus EPS $9.84Beat/MissMissed by -$1.28One Year Ago EPS$10.29Credit Acceptance Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$583.80 millionExpected Revenue$583.30 millionBeat/MissBeat by +$501.00 thousandYoY Revenue Growth+8.50%Credit Acceptance Announcement DetailsQuarterQ2 2025Date7/31/2025TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateThursday, July 31, 2025Conference Call Time5:00PM ETUpcoming EarningsCredit Acceptance's Q3 2025 earnings is scheduled for Thursday, October 30, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 5:00 PM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Q3 2025 Earnings ReportConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by Credit Acceptance Q2 2025 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrJuly 31, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.Key Takeaways Negative Sentiment: Loan performance declined with the 2022–2024 vintages underperforming expectations, while overall forecasted net cash flows fell by 0.5% ($56 million). Positive Sentiment: Adjusted portfolio reached a record high of $9.1 billion, up 6% year-over-year, showing continued portfolio growth despite volume headwinds. Negative Sentiment: Market share in subprime used-vehicle financing dropped to 5.4% (from 6.6%), and origination volumes declined due to Q3 2024 scorecard changes and increased competition. Positive Sentiment: Adjusted return on capital stood at 8.5% versus a 7.4% cost of capital, indicating ongoing economic profitability even amid collection adjustments. Positive Sentiment: Investments in engineering modernization accelerated feature releases from months to days, and the company was named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Fortune. AI Generated. May Contain Errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallCredit Acceptance Q2 202500:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xThere are 7 speakers on the call. Speaker 500:00:00Good day everyone and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. Today's call is being recorded. A webcast and transcript of today's earnings call will be made available on the Credit Acceptance Corporation website. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Credit Acceptance Corporation Chief Financial Officer Jay Martin. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:00:22Thank you. Good afternoon and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. As you read our news release posted on the Investor Relations section of our website at ir.creditacceptance.com and as you listen to this conference call, please recognize that both contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities law. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These risks and uncertainties include those spelled out in the cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information included in the news release. Consider all forward-looking statements in light of those and other risks and uncertainties. Speaker 600:01:10Additionally, I should mention that to comply with the SEC's Regulation G, please refer to the Financial Results section of our news release, which provides tables showing how non-GAAP measures reconcile to GAAP measures. At this time I will turn the call to Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Booth to discuss our second quarter results. Speaker 400:01:30Thanks Jay. Our results for this quarter reflect the steady execution with declines in loan performance and year-over-year origination volumes balanced by continued portfolio growth. Loan performance declined this quarter with our 2022, 2023, and 2024 vintages underperforming our expectations and our 2025 vintage exceeding our expectations, while our other vintages were stable during the quarter. Overall, forecasted net cash flows declined by 0.5%, or $56 million during the quarter. We experienced a decline in unit and dollar volumes, though our loan portfolio still reached a new record high of $9.1 billion on an adjusted basis, up 6% from last Q2. Our market share in our core segment of used vehicles financed by subprime consumers was 5.4% for the first five months of the year, down from 6.6% for the same period in 2024. Speaker 400:02:25Our unit volume was impacted by our Q3 2024 scorecard change that resulted in lower advance rates and likely impacted by increased competition. Beyond these two key drivers, we continued making progress during the quarter towards our mission of maximizing intrinsic value and positively changing the lives of our five key constituents: dealers, consumers, team members, investors, and the communities we operate in. We do this by providing a valuable product that enables dealers to sell vehicles to consumers regardless of their credit history. This allows dealers to make incremental sales to the 55% of adults with other than prime credit. For these adults, it enables them to obtain a vehicle to get to their jobs, take their kids to school, et cetera. It also gives them the opportunity to improve or build their credit. Our customers are people like Sugar from Oklahoma. Speaker 400:03:14Sugar's life took a dramatic turn when the former credit counselor was arrested for driving under the influence in 2014. Overwhelmed with shame, having lost her license, she realized she needed to make a profound change. She sought help from Women's First Step, a treatment facility, and after graduating from the program eight months later, she began rebuilding her life. She regained her license, started a stable career, and achieved a powerful symbol of victory when she was approved by us for a car loan. This journey of recovery came full circle when Sugar was hired to work for the treatment facility that had helped her, dedicating herself to her new mission of helping others find their own second chance. During the quarter, we financed over 85,000 contracts for our dealers and consumers. Speaker 400:03:56We collected $1.4 billion overall and paid $63 million in dealer holdback and accelerated dealer holdback to our dealership. We enrolled 1,560 new dealers and had 10,655 active dealers. During the quarter, we continued to invest in our engineering team, which is focused on modernizing both our key technology architecture and how our teams perform work. The engineering team has made significant strides in modernizing our loan origination system. This modernization has laid a strong foundation for us to deploy innovative, frictionless dealer experiences. It has increased the velocity with which we release features from a matter of months to a matter of days, allowing us to accelerate value to our business and customers. Speaker 400:04:39During the quarter, we received two awards for our amazing workplace, including being named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work and Fortune magazine, with 93% of team members agreeing that Credit Acceptance is a great place to work. This year marked our 11th time in the last 12 years receiving this prestigious award, moving up five spots to the number 34 ranking. We support our team members in making a difference in what makes a difference to them, raising over $270,000 for St. Jude's Research Hospital and Make-A-Wish Foundation. Through these donations, we were able to fund wishes for 15 children, bringing our total to 95 wishes granted. Now Jay Martin and I will take your questions along with Doug Busk, our Chief Treasury Officer, and Jay Brinkley, our Senior Vice President and Treasurer. Speaker 500:05:27Thank you. If you have a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. If you would like to remove yourself from the queue, press star 11 again. We also ask that you wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. One moment for the first question. The first question will come from the line of Marsh Arendoch. Your line is open. Speaker 500:05:54Great, thanks. I noticed that obviously the collections were down again this quarter, but the adjusted yield higher. That's happened, I think, at least once before. Maybe if you could just talk about what drives that. Usually the adjusted yield will kind of follow that, the lower collections. Speaker 400:06:17Sure. Speaker 600:06:18The decline in forecasted collections, the change in the amount and timing there, all things being equal, would drive the adjusted yield down. The ultimate yield that we recognize is also dependent on the volume and pricing of new loan originations. That's what you've seen the last few quarters. The yields of the new loans that we've originated more than offset the decline in the yield due to loan performance. Speaker 600:06:45Right. Although, interestingly, the collection shortfall is kind of greater than the last two quarters. Even though you said that the 2025 vintage is outperforming, the underperformance in the back book has been greater than it's been in the past. Even if you kind of X out the change that you made, it's still bigger than either of the last two quarters. In the discussions we've had before, there had been an idea that you were burning through those vintages and they should be hurting you less. That's not what happened. Is there any way to kind of talk about why that is? Speaker 600:07:28Yeah, I would say that our forecasting models generally perform well during a relatively stable economic period, but are less accurate during periods of volatility like we've experienced in recent years. We do think the continued impact of inflation is contributing to the loan underperformance we've seen there. You may recall, second quarter last year, we put in an adjustment to address that underperformance. It's worked fairly well for most vintages, but for our 2024 loans, we have seen some more underperformance there than what that adjustment would have anticipated. It's specifically related to the loans that we originated in 2024 before our scorecard changed during the third quarter. That's the bulk of the decrease you saw for the quarter, was on that segment of loans. Speaker 600:08:18The good news for the loans that we originated since we put that scorecard change in during the third quarter last year, those loans are performing as expected. We haven't seen any signs of underperformance on those loans. Right. Speaker 600:08:33A couple of other trends caught my attention. The first is that the loan size continues to decline over the last couple of quarters. Is that a different type of car that you're financing, or is there something else that's going on there? A follow up to that. Speaker 600:08:59I think we've just had a different mix of consumer that's come in in recent years, and that's contributing to the size of the consumer loans. It's just a different mix of business. Speaker 600:09:11Different meaning higher quality, lower quality. Because, you know, back in 2023, I guess you were talking about a higher quality kind of borrower. Is this a lower quality borrower that you're seeing? Speaker 400:09:28I don't think it's a lower quality borrower. I think there's a slightly different mix. Speaker 400:09:32Of vehicles that are being financed. Speaker 400:09:35Again, there's been a fair amount of. Speaker 600:09:38Variability in the mix of vehicles since. Speaker 400:09:42The start of the pandemic. Speaker 600:09:43I think it's just normal volatility there. Speaker 600:09:47Right. I guess the last thing for me is that you're assuming you've got a forecasted collection percentage that's over 65% for 2025 and actually higher than that for the second quarter. It's been rising even as you've had these nine quarters in a row of having to pull your estimates back down. I mean, it's hard for me on the outside. Obviously, we don't see the detail in that, but it's hard to understand that from the outside. Speaker 600:10:26Yeah. When you look at the initial forecasted collection rate there, your point, they're very similar, but again to the point of having a different mix of business is driving that. Over the last few years we've lowered our initial expectations. All things being equal, the loans that were originated in 2024 and 2025, had we originated those back in 2022, we would have had a higher expected collection rate on those. Different mix of business. We have, as we always have, continued to adjust our expectations on the new loans to address that underperformance, and that's reflected in those initial estimates. Speaker 600:11:06Okay, thanks. Speaker 500:11:09Thank you. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of John Rowan of Janney. Your line is open. Speaker 100:11:19Good afternoon, guys. I guess I just want to understand, you know, the return profile. Your release says you've got an 8.5% return on capital, adjusted return on capital, but the cost of capital is 7.4%, which leaves a 110 basis point spread. As you look back at some of these advantages that you've written down, are some actually generating a negative economic return? Where is that watermark? I'm just trying to understand whether or not there is a point in time when you, I don't know, I want to say get more realistic, but start putting loans on the books at a number that's more achievable and whether or not you're really generating economic profit on the loans that you're putting on today. Assuming that there's going to be a reduction in forecasted collection. Speaker 100:12:11I know it's a loaded question, but you spend a lot of money on share repurchases in the quarter. I'm trying to assess whether or not you're diverting capital to repurchasing shares, because in reality, when you look back at these older vintages, if 2024 and 2025 trend that way, they're going to be generating negative economic profit. Speaker 600:12:30Yeah. Our business model is designed to produce an acceptable return even if our loans underperform. To your point, if you look at the 2022 vintage, that vintage has underperformed the most of any year that we presented in that collection rate table. I'll say those loans in aggregate are still producing a return on capital in excess of our cost of capital, assuming that those collection expectations are accurate. There would be, at some point, if they continue to decline, where that return would fall below our weighted average cost of capital. Based on our current estimates, those are still producing economic profit. Speaker 400:13:13There's still profit. Speaker 100:13:15Okay. Can you tell me how much money you spent on repurchases in the quarter and what the plans are for repurchases going forward? It seems like you spent quite a bit of money in the second quarter. Operator00:13:26Yeah, this is Jay Brinkley. Speaker 400:13:28We were very active in the quarter. Operator00:13:30We bought back 530,000 shares at roughly an average price of $490. As always, we look at ensuring that we've got adequate capital to fund new originations and then look at the share price as well. We haven't changed our view there. Volume is down, as Ken mentioned, due to our pricing change and, to some degree, the competitive environment. Year over year, growth being slower. Speaker 400:14:06If you look back over a long period. Operator00:14:08periods when originations are down, we tend to be pretty active. That was certainly the case this quarter. Speaker 100:14:16What is remaining on any current authorization, and where the plan is going forward? That's it for me. Thank you. Speaker 100:14:22Sure. Operator00:14:23Yeah, we've got, under the latest authorization, we've got 391,000 shares left. I imagine, based on that, we'll be reviewing that and going back to the board for additional capacity should the buying opportunity arise. Speaker 100:14:42All right, thank you. Speaker 500:14:44Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of Kyle Joseph Stevens. Your line is open. Speaker 300:14:59Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to talk about the competitive environment. I think in your prepared remarks you mentioned that competition either heated up or remains intense. Just given the macro outlook and expectations, with tariffs for used car prices to continue to increase and the industry kind of reeling from the 2022 vintage, is your expectation that you'd see a little bit of a pullback from traditional providers of credit, or did you actually see them kind of get more aggressive post-Liberation Day? I just want to get your sense for the pulse of the competitive environment. Speaker 400:15:47The competitive environment is always hard to kind of forecast how it's going to be going forward. Obviously, our volume per dealer went down, so it does seem like the environment is more competitive in the first half of this year. Tariffs and things that drive up costs for our consumers tend to be a negative for us both, whether it's related to vehicles or just other things that they spend money on. It is really too early to tell what the impact will be on our business. I do think from a volume standpoint, we had a pretty tough comparable. Speaker 600:16:22Last year was our highest volume year ever. Speaker 400:16:24When we compare it year over year, it's a tough comparable. We made our scorecard change last year in the middle of the third quarter. Once we get past that, we'll have an easier comparable, you know, so I think that those would be some things that might be a positive going forward. Speaker 300:16:46That's a good caller. Good reminder on the tough comps. Thanks for taking my questions. Speaker 500:16:55Thank you. With no further questions in the queue, I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Martin for any additional or closing remarks. Go ahead please. Speaker 600:17:06We'd like to thank everyone for their support and for joining us on the conference call today. If you have any additional follow-up questions, please direct them to our Investor Relations mailbox at ir@creditacceptance.com. We look forward to talking to you again next quarter. Speaker 600:17:21Thank you. Speaker 500:17:28Once again, this does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect. Speaker 500:17:58Sam. Speaker 400:18:25SA IT IT. Speaker 500:32:45SA. Speaker 400:33:11Sam. Speaker 500:33:42SA. Speaker 400:35:27Sample. Speaker 500:41:12Good day everyone and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. Today's call is being recorded. A webcast and transcript of today's earnings call will be made available on the Credit Acceptance Corporation website. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Credit Acceptance Corporation Chief Financial Officer Jay Martin. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:41:35Thank you. Speaker 600:41:35Good afternoon and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. As you read our news release posted on the Investor Relations section of our website at ir.creditacceptance.com and as you listen to this conference call, please recognize that both contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities law. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These risks and uncertainties include those spelled out in the cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information included in the news release. Consider all forward-looking statements in light of those and other risks and uncertainties. Speaker 600:42:22Additionally, I should mention that to comply with the SEC's Regulation G, please refer to the Financial Results section of our news release, which provides tables showing how non-GAAP measures reconcile to GAAP measures. At this time, I will turn the call to Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Booth to discuss our second quarter results. Speaker 400:42:43Thanks Jay. Our results for this quarter reflect the steady execution with declines in loan performance and year-over-year origination volumes balanced by continued portfolio growth. Loan performance declined this quarter with our 2022, 2023, and 2024 vintages underperforming our expectations and our 2025 vintage exceeding our expectations. While our other vintages were stable during the quarter, overall forecasted net cash flows declined by 0.5% or $56 million during the quarter. We experienced a decline in unit and dollar volumes, though our loan portfolio still reached a new record high of $9.1 billion on an adjusted basis, up 6% from last Q2. Our market share in our core segment of used vehicles financed by subprime consumers was 5.4% for the first five months of the year, down from 6.6% for the same period in 2024. Speaker 400:43:38Our unit volume was impacted by our Q3 2024 scorecard change that resulted in lower advance rates and likely impacted by increased competition. Beyond these two key drivers, we continued making progress during the quarter towards our mission of maximizing intrinsic value and positively changing the lives of our five key constituents: dealers, consumers, team members, investors, and the communities we operate in. We do this by providing a valuable product that enables dealers to sell vehicles to consumers regardless of their credit history. This allows dealers to make incremental sales to the 55% of adults with other than prime credit. For these adults, it enables them to obtain a vehicle to get to their jobs, take their kids to school, et cetera. It also gives them the opportunity to improve or build their credit. Our customers are people like Sugar from Oklahoma. Speaker 400:44:26Sugar's life took a dramatic turn when the former credit counselor was arrested for driving under the influence in 2014. Overwhelmed with shame and having lost her license, she realized she needed to make a profound change. She sought help from Women's First Step, a treatment facility, and after graduating from the program eight months later, she began rebuilding her life. She regained her license, started a stable career, and achieved a powerful symbol of victory when she was approved by us for a car loan. This journey of recovery came full circle when Sugar was hired to work for the treatment facility that had helped her, dedicating herself to her new mission of helping others find their own second chance. During the quarter we financed over 85,000 contracts for our dealers and consumers. Speaker 400:45:08We collected $1.4 billion overall and paid $63 million in dealer holdback and accelerated dealer holdback to our dealership. We enrolled 1,560 new dealers and had 10,655 active dealers. During the quarter we continued to invest in our engineering team, which is focused on modernizing both our key technology architecture and how our teams perform work. The engineering team has made significant strides in modernizing our loan origination system. This modernization has laid a strong foundation for us to deploy innovative, frictionless dealer experiences and has increased the velocity with which we release features from a matter of months to a matter of days, allowing us to accelerate value to our business and customers. During the quarter we received two awards for our amazing workplace, including being named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work and Fortune magazine. Speaker 400:46:01With 93% of team members agreeing that Credit Acceptance Corporation is a great place to work, this year marked our 11th time in the last 12 years receiving this prestigious award, moving up five spots in the number 34 ranking. We support our team members in making a difference to what makes a difference to them, raising over $270,000 for St. Jude's Research Hospital and Make-A-Wish Foundation. Through these donations, we were able to fund wishes for 15 children, bringing our total to 95 wishes granted. Now Jay Martin and I will take your questions along with Doug Busk, our Chief Treasury Officer, and Jay Brinkley, our Senior Vice President and Treasurer. Speaker 500:46:39Thank you. If you have a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. If you would like to remove yourself from the queue, press star 11 again. We also ask that you wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. One moment for the first question. The first question will come from the line of Marsh Arendoch of TD Cowen. Your line is open. Speaker 500:47:06Great, thanks. I noticed that obviously the collections were down again this quarter, but the adjusted yield higher. That's happened, I think, at least once before. If you could just talk about what drives that. Usually the adjusted yield will kind of follow that, the lower collections. Speaker 500:47:29Sure. Speaker 600:47:30The decline in forecasted collections, the change in the amount and timing there, all things being equal, would drive the adjusted yield down. The ultimate yield that we recognize is also dependent on the volume and pricing of new loan originations. That's what you've seen the last few quarters. The yields of the new loans that we've originated more than offset the decline in the yield due to loan performance. Speaker 600:47:57Right. Although, interestingly, the collection shortfall is kind of greater than the last two quarters. Even though you said that the 2025 vintage is outperforming, the underperformance in the back book has been greater than it's been in the past. Even if you kind of X out the change that you made, it's still bigger than either of the last two quarters. In the discussions we've had before, there had been an idea that you were burning through those vintages and they should be hurting you less. That's not what happened. Is there any way to kind of talk about why that is? Speaker 600:48:41Yeah, I would say that our forecasting models generally perform well during a relatively stable economic period, but are less accurate during periods of volatility like we've experienced in recent years. We do think the continued impact of inflation is contributing to the loan underperformance. We’ve seen there, you may recall, second quarter last year, we put in an adjustment to address that underperformance. It’s worked fairly well for most vintages. For our 2024 loans, we have seen some more underperformance there than what that adjustment would have anticipated. It’s specifically related to the loans that we originated in 2024 before our scorecard changed during the third quarter. That’s the bulk of the decrease you saw for the quarter, it was on that segment of loans. Speaker 600:49:31The good news for the loans that we’ve originated since we put that scorecard change in during the third quarter last year, those loans are performing as expected. We haven’t seen any signs of underperformance on those loans. Speaker 400:49:45Right. Speaker 400:49:45A couple of other trends caught my attention. The first is that the loan size continues to decline over the last couple of quarters. Is it a different type of car that you're financing, or is there something else that's going on there? A follow up to that. Speaker 600:50:11I think we've just had a different mix of consumer that's come in in recent years, and that's contributing to the size of the consumer loans. It's just a different mix of business. Speaker 600:50:23Different meaning higher quality, lower quality. Because, you know, back in 2023, I guess you were talking about a higher quality kind of borrower. Is this a lower quality borrower that you're seeing? Speaker 400:50:40I don't think it's a lower quality borrower. Speaker 600:50:42I think there's a slightly different mix of vehicles that are being financed. Again, there's been, you know. Speaker 400:50:49A fair amount of variability in the. Speaker 600:50:51Mix of vehicles, you know, since the. Speaker 400:50:54Start of the pandemic. Speaker 600:50:55I think it's just normal volatility there. Speaker 600:51:00Right. I guess the last thing for me is that you're assuming you've got a forecasted collection percentage that's over 65% for 2025 and actually higher than that for the second quarter. It's been rising even as you've had these nine quarters in a row of having to pull your estimates back down. I guess it's hard for me on the outside. Obviously, we don't see the detail in that, but it's hard to understand that from the outside. Speaker 600:51:38Yeah. When you look at the initial forecast of collection rate there, your point, they're very similar, but again, to the point of having a different mix. Business is driving that. Over the last few years, we've lowered our initial expectations. All things being equal, the loans were originated in 2024 and 2025. Had we originated those back in 2022, we would have had a higher expected collection rate on those. Different mix of business. We have, as we always have, we can continue to adjust our expectations on the new loans to address that underperformance. That's reflected in those initial estimates. Speaker 600:52:18Okay, thanks. Speaker 500:52:21Thank you. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of John Rowan of Janney. Your line is open. Speaker 100:52:31Good afternoon, guys. I guess I just want to understand, you know, the return profile. Your release says you've got an 8.5% return on capital, adjusted return on capital, but the cost of capital is 7.4%, which leaves a 110 basis point spread. As you look back at some of these advantages that you've written down, are some actually generating a negative economic return? Where is that watermark? I'm just trying to understand whether or not there is a point in time when you, I don't know, I would say get more realistic, but start putting loans on the books at a number that's more achievable and whether or not you're really generating economic profit on the loans that you're putting on today. Assuming that there's going to be a reduction in forecasted collection. Speaker 100:53:23I know it's a loaded question, you spent a lot of money on share repurchases in the quarter. I'm trying to assess whether or not you're diverting capital to repurchasing shares. Because in reality, when you look back at these older vintages, if 2024 and 2025 trend that way, they're going to be generating negative economic profit. Yeah. Speaker 600:53:43Our business model is designed to produce an acceptable return even if our loans underperform. To your point, if you look at the 2022 vintage, that vintage has underperformed the most of any year that we presented in that collection rate table. I'll say those loans in aggregate are still producing a return on capital in excess of our cost of capital, assuming that those collection expectations are accurate. There would be at some point, if they continue to decline, where that return would fall below our weighted average cost of capital. Based on our current estimates, those are still producing economic profit. Speaker 400:54:25There's still profit. Speaker 400:54:28Okay. Speaker 100:54:28Can you tell me how much money you spent on repurchases in the quarter and what the plans are for repurchases going forward? It seems like you spent quite a bit of money in the second quarter. Operator00:54:38Yeah. This is Jay Brinkley. We were very active in the quarter. We bought back 530,000 shares at roughly an average price of $490. As always, we look at ensuring that we've got adequate capital to fund new originations and then look at the share price as well. We haven't changed our view there. Volume is down, as Ken mentioned, due to our pricing change and, to some degree, the competitive environment. Year over year, growth being slower. Speaker 400:55:19If you look back over a long period. Operator00:55:20Period when originations are down, we tend to be pretty active. That was certainly the case this quarter. Speaker 100:55:28What is remaining on any current authorization, and you know where the plan is going forward. That's it for me. Thank you. Speaker 600:55:34Sure. Operator00:55:35Yeah, we've got, under the latest authorization, we've got 391,000 shares left. I imagine, based on that, we'll be reviewing that and going back to the board for additional capacity should the buying opportunity arise. Speaker 100:55:54All right, thank you. Speaker 500:55:57Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of Kyle Joseph. Stevens, your line is open. Speaker 300:56:11Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to talk about the competitive environment. I think in your prepared remarks you mentioned that competition either heated up or remains intense. Just given the macro outlook and expectations, with tariffs for used car prices to continue to increase and the industry kind of reeling from the 2022 vintage, is your expectation that you'd see a little bit of a pullback from traditional providers of credit or, you know, did you actually see them get more aggressive post-Liberation Day? I just want to get your sense for the pulse of the competitive environment. Speaker 400:56:59The competitive environment's always hard to kind of forecast how it's going to be going forward. Obviously, our volume per dealer went down. It does seem like the environment's more competitive in the first half of this year. Tariffs and things that drive up costs for our consumers tend to be a negative for us, whether it's related to vehicles or just other things that they spend money on. It's really too early to tell what the impact will be on our business. I do think from a volume standpoint, we had a pretty tough comparable. Speaker 600:57:34Last year was our highest volume year ever. Speaker 400:57:37When we compare it year over year, it's a tough comparable. We made our scorecard change last year in the middle of the third quarter. Once we get past that, we'll have an easier comparable. I think that those would be some things that might be a positive going forward. Speaker 300:57:59Oh, that's a good call. Good reminder on the tough comps. Thanks for taking my questions. Speaker 500:58:07Thank you. With no further questions in the queue, I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Martin for any additional or closing remarks. Go ahead, please. Speaker 600:58:18We'd like to thank everyone for their support and for joining us on the conference call today. If you have any additional follow-up questions, please direct them to our Investor Relations mailbox at ir@creditacceptance.com. We look forward to talking to you again next quarter. Speaker 600:58:33Thank you.Read morePowered by Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Credit Acceptance Earnings HeadlinesWhy Credit Acceptance (CACC) Is Up 5.1% After Regulatory Win and Earnings Recovery HopesOctober 24 at 3:47 AM | finance.yahoo.comCredit Acceptance Again Named a Best Workplace for Women™ by FortuneOctober 23 at 4:02 PM | globenewswire.comThis dark force is about to change everythingAn unstoppable force is reshaping America — one so powerful it’s already disrupting how we work, invest, and live. Porter Stansberry calls it The Final Displacement — a rare turning point that’s only happened four times in human history, each one redefining entire eras. His new documentary reveals why this shift could trigger both immense loss and unprecedented opportunity, and what you can do to prepare before it accelerates. | Porter & Company (Ad)Credit Acceptance Announces Timing of Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and WebcastOctober 23 at 4:02 PM | globenewswire.comCredit Acceptance Corporation (CACC): A Bull Case TheoryOctober 22 at 7:46 PM | msn.comJefferies, Credit Acceptance, Capital One, Bread Financial, and Corpay Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To KnowOctober 18, 2025 | msn.comSee More Credit Acceptance Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Credit Acceptance? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Credit Acceptance and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Credit AcceptanceCredit Acceptance (NASDAQ:CACC), founded in 1972 and headquartered in Southfield, Michigan, is a specialty finance company focused on the indirect automotive lending market. The company partners with independent and franchised auto dealers to facilitate purchase financing for consumers who may not qualify for traditional prime auto loans. By purchasing retail installment contracts originated by these dealers, Credit Acceptance provides capital and credit insurance to support vehicle sales, enabling dealers to broaden their customer base and reduce credit risk. Through its proprietary underwriting platform and risk management strategies, Credit Acceptance evaluates borrower applications, structures credit plans, and retains servicing rights on the acquired contracts. The company’s financial and operational support includes payment processing, collections, and loss mitigation programs, all designed to manage default risk and optimize cash flow. This integrated service model allows dealer partners to focus on retail operations while Credit Acceptance assumes the responsibility for credit evaluation, funding, and contract administration. Over the decades since going public, Credit Acceptance has expanded its dealer network to serve thousands of auto dealerships across the United States. Its growth has been driven by a disciplined credit approach, technology‐enabled infrastructure, and a focus on underserved consumer segments. The company’s management team comprises experienced professionals in auto finance and subprime lending, guiding strategic initiatives aimed at sustainable portfolio performance and market expansion.View Credit Acceptance ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Freeport-McMoRan Posts Strong Earnings Despite Indonesia ShutdownTesla’s Earnings Review: Does the Juice Justify the Squeeze?Fal.Con Europe Could Be CrowdStrike’s Early Earnings CatalystLogitech Eyes Breakout Before Earnings—Citigroup Sees 30% UpsideLouis Vuitton Earnings Show Luxury Bull Market Isn’t Done YetGoldman Sachs Earnings Tell: Markets Seem OkayWhy Congress Is Buying Intuitive Surgical Ahead of Earnings Upcoming Earnings Cadence Design Systems (10/27/2025)NXP Semiconductors (10/27/2025)Welltower (10/27/2025)Waste Management (10/27/2025)Booking (10/28/2025)Electronic Arts (10/28/2025)Mondelez International (10/28/2025)PayPal (10/28/2025)Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (10/28/2025)American Tower (10/28/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. 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There are 7 speakers on the call. Speaker 500:00:00Good day everyone and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. Today's call is being recorded. A webcast and transcript of today's earnings call will be made available on the Credit Acceptance Corporation website. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Credit Acceptance Corporation Chief Financial Officer Jay Martin. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:00:22Thank you. Good afternoon and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. As you read our news release posted on the Investor Relations section of our website at ir.creditacceptance.com and as you listen to this conference call, please recognize that both contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities law. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These risks and uncertainties include those spelled out in the cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information included in the news release. Consider all forward-looking statements in light of those and other risks and uncertainties. Speaker 600:01:10Additionally, I should mention that to comply with the SEC's Regulation G, please refer to the Financial Results section of our news release, which provides tables showing how non-GAAP measures reconcile to GAAP measures. At this time I will turn the call to Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Booth to discuss our second quarter results. Speaker 400:01:30Thanks Jay. Our results for this quarter reflect the steady execution with declines in loan performance and year-over-year origination volumes balanced by continued portfolio growth. Loan performance declined this quarter with our 2022, 2023, and 2024 vintages underperforming our expectations and our 2025 vintage exceeding our expectations, while our other vintages were stable during the quarter. Overall, forecasted net cash flows declined by 0.5%, or $56 million during the quarter. We experienced a decline in unit and dollar volumes, though our loan portfolio still reached a new record high of $9.1 billion on an adjusted basis, up 6% from last Q2. Our market share in our core segment of used vehicles financed by subprime consumers was 5.4% for the first five months of the year, down from 6.6% for the same period in 2024. Speaker 400:02:25Our unit volume was impacted by our Q3 2024 scorecard change that resulted in lower advance rates and likely impacted by increased competition. Beyond these two key drivers, we continued making progress during the quarter towards our mission of maximizing intrinsic value and positively changing the lives of our five key constituents: dealers, consumers, team members, investors, and the communities we operate in. We do this by providing a valuable product that enables dealers to sell vehicles to consumers regardless of their credit history. This allows dealers to make incremental sales to the 55% of adults with other than prime credit. For these adults, it enables them to obtain a vehicle to get to their jobs, take their kids to school, et cetera. It also gives them the opportunity to improve or build their credit. Our customers are people like Sugar from Oklahoma. Speaker 400:03:14Sugar's life took a dramatic turn when the former credit counselor was arrested for driving under the influence in 2014. Overwhelmed with shame, having lost her license, she realized she needed to make a profound change. She sought help from Women's First Step, a treatment facility, and after graduating from the program eight months later, she began rebuilding her life. She regained her license, started a stable career, and achieved a powerful symbol of victory when she was approved by us for a car loan. This journey of recovery came full circle when Sugar was hired to work for the treatment facility that had helped her, dedicating herself to her new mission of helping others find their own second chance. During the quarter, we financed over 85,000 contracts for our dealers and consumers. Speaker 400:03:56We collected $1.4 billion overall and paid $63 million in dealer holdback and accelerated dealer holdback to our dealership. We enrolled 1,560 new dealers and had 10,655 active dealers. During the quarter, we continued to invest in our engineering team, which is focused on modernizing both our key technology architecture and how our teams perform work. The engineering team has made significant strides in modernizing our loan origination system. This modernization has laid a strong foundation for us to deploy innovative, frictionless dealer experiences. It has increased the velocity with which we release features from a matter of months to a matter of days, allowing us to accelerate value to our business and customers. Speaker 400:04:39During the quarter, we received two awards for our amazing workplace, including being named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work and Fortune magazine, with 93% of team members agreeing that Credit Acceptance is a great place to work. This year marked our 11th time in the last 12 years receiving this prestigious award, moving up five spots to the number 34 ranking. We support our team members in making a difference in what makes a difference to them, raising over $270,000 for St. Jude's Research Hospital and Make-A-Wish Foundation. Through these donations, we were able to fund wishes for 15 children, bringing our total to 95 wishes granted. Now Jay Martin and I will take your questions along with Doug Busk, our Chief Treasury Officer, and Jay Brinkley, our Senior Vice President and Treasurer. Speaker 500:05:27Thank you. If you have a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. If you would like to remove yourself from the queue, press star 11 again. We also ask that you wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. One moment for the first question. The first question will come from the line of Marsh Arendoch. Your line is open. Speaker 500:05:54Great, thanks. I noticed that obviously the collections were down again this quarter, but the adjusted yield higher. That's happened, I think, at least once before. Maybe if you could just talk about what drives that. Usually the adjusted yield will kind of follow that, the lower collections. Speaker 400:06:17Sure. Speaker 600:06:18The decline in forecasted collections, the change in the amount and timing there, all things being equal, would drive the adjusted yield down. The ultimate yield that we recognize is also dependent on the volume and pricing of new loan originations. That's what you've seen the last few quarters. The yields of the new loans that we've originated more than offset the decline in the yield due to loan performance. Speaker 600:06:45Right. Although, interestingly, the collection shortfall is kind of greater than the last two quarters. Even though you said that the 2025 vintage is outperforming, the underperformance in the back book has been greater than it's been in the past. Even if you kind of X out the change that you made, it's still bigger than either of the last two quarters. In the discussions we've had before, there had been an idea that you were burning through those vintages and they should be hurting you less. That's not what happened. Is there any way to kind of talk about why that is? Speaker 600:07:28Yeah, I would say that our forecasting models generally perform well during a relatively stable economic period, but are less accurate during periods of volatility like we've experienced in recent years. We do think the continued impact of inflation is contributing to the loan underperformance we've seen there. You may recall, second quarter last year, we put in an adjustment to address that underperformance. It's worked fairly well for most vintages, but for our 2024 loans, we have seen some more underperformance there than what that adjustment would have anticipated. It's specifically related to the loans that we originated in 2024 before our scorecard changed during the third quarter. That's the bulk of the decrease you saw for the quarter, was on that segment of loans. Speaker 600:08:18The good news for the loans that we originated since we put that scorecard change in during the third quarter last year, those loans are performing as expected. We haven't seen any signs of underperformance on those loans. Right. Speaker 600:08:33A couple of other trends caught my attention. The first is that the loan size continues to decline over the last couple of quarters. Is that a different type of car that you're financing, or is there something else that's going on there? A follow up to that. Speaker 600:08:59I think we've just had a different mix of consumer that's come in in recent years, and that's contributing to the size of the consumer loans. It's just a different mix of business. Speaker 600:09:11Different meaning higher quality, lower quality. Because, you know, back in 2023, I guess you were talking about a higher quality kind of borrower. Is this a lower quality borrower that you're seeing? Speaker 400:09:28I don't think it's a lower quality borrower. I think there's a slightly different mix. Speaker 400:09:32Of vehicles that are being financed. Speaker 400:09:35Again, there's been a fair amount of. Speaker 600:09:38Variability in the mix of vehicles since. Speaker 400:09:42The start of the pandemic. Speaker 600:09:43I think it's just normal volatility there. Speaker 600:09:47Right. I guess the last thing for me is that you're assuming you've got a forecasted collection percentage that's over 65% for 2025 and actually higher than that for the second quarter. It's been rising even as you've had these nine quarters in a row of having to pull your estimates back down. I mean, it's hard for me on the outside. Obviously, we don't see the detail in that, but it's hard to understand that from the outside. Speaker 600:10:26Yeah. When you look at the initial forecasted collection rate there, your point, they're very similar, but again to the point of having a different mix of business is driving that. Over the last few years we've lowered our initial expectations. All things being equal, the loans that were originated in 2024 and 2025, had we originated those back in 2022, we would have had a higher expected collection rate on those. Different mix of business. We have, as we always have, continued to adjust our expectations on the new loans to address that underperformance, and that's reflected in those initial estimates. Speaker 600:11:06Okay, thanks. Speaker 500:11:09Thank you. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of John Rowan of Janney. Your line is open. Speaker 100:11:19Good afternoon, guys. I guess I just want to understand, you know, the return profile. Your release says you've got an 8.5% return on capital, adjusted return on capital, but the cost of capital is 7.4%, which leaves a 110 basis point spread. As you look back at some of these advantages that you've written down, are some actually generating a negative economic return? Where is that watermark? I'm just trying to understand whether or not there is a point in time when you, I don't know, I want to say get more realistic, but start putting loans on the books at a number that's more achievable and whether or not you're really generating economic profit on the loans that you're putting on today. Assuming that there's going to be a reduction in forecasted collection. Speaker 100:12:11I know it's a loaded question, but you spend a lot of money on share repurchases in the quarter. I'm trying to assess whether or not you're diverting capital to repurchasing shares, because in reality, when you look back at these older vintages, if 2024 and 2025 trend that way, they're going to be generating negative economic profit. Speaker 600:12:30Yeah. Our business model is designed to produce an acceptable return even if our loans underperform. To your point, if you look at the 2022 vintage, that vintage has underperformed the most of any year that we presented in that collection rate table. I'll say those loans in aggregate are still producing a return on capital in excess of our cost of capital, assuming that those collection expectations are accurate. There would be, at some point, if they continue to decline, where that return would fall below our weighted average cost of capital. Based on our current estimates, those are still producing economic profit. Speaker 400:13:13There's still profit. Speaker 100:13:15Okay. Can you tell me how much money you spent on repurchases in the quarter and what the plans are for repurchases going forward? It seems like you spent quite a bit of money in the second quarter. Operator00:13:26Yeah, this is Jay Brinkley. Speaker 400:13:28We were very active in the quarter. Operator00:13:30We bought back 530,000 shares at roughly an average price of $490. As always, we look at ensuring that we've got adequate capital to fund new originations and then look at the share price as well. We haven't changed our view there. Volume is down, as Ken mentioned, due to our pricing change and, to some degree, the competitive environment. Year over year, growth being slower. Speaker 400:14:06If you look back over a long period. Operator00:14:08periods when originations are down, we tend to be pretty active. That was certainly the case this quarter. Speaker 100:14:16What is remaining on any current authorization, and where the plan is going forward? That's it for me. Thank you. Speaker 100:14:22Sure. Operator00:14:23Yeah, we've got, under the latest authorization, we've got 391,000 shares left. I imagine, based on that, we'll be reviewing that and going back to the board for additional capacity should the buying opportunity arise. Speaker 100:14:42All right, thank you. Speaker 500:14:44Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of Kyle Joseph Stevens. Your line is open. Speaker 300:14:59Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to talk about the competitive environment. I think in your prepared remarks you mentioned that competition either heated up or remains intense. Just given the macro outlook and expectations, with tariffs for used car prices to continue to increase and the industry kind of reeling from the 2022 vintage, is your expectation that you'd see a little bit of a pullback from traditional providers of credit, or did you actually see them kind of get more aggressive post-Liberation Day? I just want to get your sense for the pulse of the competitive environment. Speaker 400:15:47The competitive environment is always hard to kind of forecast how it's going to be going forward. Obviously, our volume per dealer went down, so it does seem like the environment is more competitive in the first half of this year. Tariffs and things that drive up costs for our consumers tend to be a negative for us both, whether it's related to vehicles or just other things that they spend money on. It is really too early to tell what the impact will be on our business. I do think from a volume standpoint, we had a pretty tough comparable. Speaker 600:16:22Last year was our highest volume year ever. Speaker 400:16:24When we compare it year over year, it's a tough comparable. We made our scorecard change last year in the middle of the third quarter. Once we get past that, we'll have an easier comparable, you know, so I think that those would be some things that might be a positive going forward. Speaker 300:16:46That's a good caller. Good reminder on the tough comps. Thanks for taking my questions. Speaker 500:16:55Thank you. With no further questions in the queue, I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Martin for any additional or closing remarks. Go ahead please. Speaker 600:17:06We'd like to thank everyone for their support and for joining us on the conference call today. If you have any additional follow-up questions, please direct them to our Investor Relations mailbox at ir@creditacceptance.com. We look forward to talking to you again next quarter. Speaker 600:17:21Thank you. Speaker 500:17:28Once again, this does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect. Speaker 500:17:58Sam. Speaker 400:18:25SA IT IT. Speaker 500:32:45SA. Speaker 400:33:11Sam. Speaker 500:33:42SA. Speaker 400:35:27Sample. Speaker 500:41:12Good day everyone and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. Today's call is being recorded. A webcast and transcript of today's earnings call will be made available on the Credit Acceptance Corporation website. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Credit Acceptance Corporation Chief Financial Officer Jay Martin. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:41:35Thank you. Speaker 600:41:35Good afternoon and welcome to the Credit Acceptance Corporation second quarter 2025 earnings call. As you read our news release posted on the Investor Relations section of our website at ir.creditacceptance.com and as you listen to this conference call, please recognize that both contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities law. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These risks and uncertainties include those spelled out in the cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information included in the news release. Consider all forward-looking statements in light of those and other risks and uncertainties. Speaker 600:42:22Additionally, I should mention that to comply with the SEC's Regulation G, please refer to the Financial Results section of our news release, which provides tables showing how non-GAAP measures reconcile to GAAP measures. At this time, I will turn the call to Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Booth to discuss our second quarter results. Speaker 400:42:43Thanks Jay. Our results for this quarter reflect the steady execution with declines in loan performance and year-over-year origination volumes balanced by continued portfolio growth. Loan performance declined this quarter with our 2022, 2023, and 2024 vintages underperforming our expectations and our 2025 vintage exceeding our expectations. While our other vintages were stable during the quarter, overall forecasted net cash flows declined by 0.5% or $56 million during the quarter. We experienced a decline in unit and dollar volumes, though our loan portfolio still reached a new record high of $9.1 billion on an adjusted basis, up 6% from last Q2. Our market share in our core segment of used vehicles financed by subprime consumers was 5.4% for the first five months of the year, down from 6.6% for the same period in 2024. Speaker 400:43:38Our unit volume was impacted by our Q3 2024 scorecard change that resulted in lower advance rates and likely impacted by increased competition. Beyond these two key drivers, we continued making progress during the quarter towards our mission of maximizing intrinsic value and positively changing the lives of our five key constituents: dealers, consumers, team members, investors, and the communities we operate in. We do this by providing a valuable product that enables dealers to sell vehicles to consumers regardless of their credit history. This allows dealers to make incremental sales to the 55% of adults with other than prime credit. For these adults, it enables them to obtain a vehicle to get to their jobs, take their kids to school, et cetera. It also gives them the opportunity to improve or build their credit. Our customers are people like Sugar from Oklahoma. Speaker 400:44:26Sugar's life took a dramatic turn when the former credit counselor was arrested for driving under the influence in 2014. Overwhelmed with shame and having lost her license, she realized she needed to make a profound change. She sought help from Women's First Step, a treatment facility, and after graduating from the program eight months later, she began rebuilding her life. She regained her license, started a stable career, and achieved a powerful symbol of victory when she was approved by us for a car loan. This journey of recovery came full circle when Sugar was hired to work for the treatment facility that had helped her, dedicating herself to her new mission of helping others find their own second chance. During the quarter we financed over 85,000 contracts for our dealers and consumers. Speaker 400:45:08We collected $1.4 billion overall and paid $63 million in dealer holdback and accelerated dealer holdback to our dealership. We enrolled 1,560 new dealers and had 10,655 active dealers. During the quarter we continued to invest in our engineering team, which is focused on modernizing both our key technology architecture and how our teams perform work. The engineering team has made significant strides in modernizing our loan origination system. This modernization has laid a strong foundation for us to deploy innovative, frictionless dealer experiences and has increased the velocity with which we release features from a matter of months to a matter of days, allowing us to accelerate value to our business and customers. During the quarter we received two awards for our amazing workplace, including being named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work and Fortune magazine. Speaker 400:46:01With 93% of team members agreeing that Credit Acceptance Corporation is a great place to work, this year marked our 11th time in the last 12 years receiving this prestigious award, moving up five spots in the number 34 ranking. We support our team members in making a difference to what makes a difference to them, raising over $270,000 for St. Jude's Research Hospital and Make-A-Wish Foundation. Through these donations, we were able to fund wishes for 15 children, bringing our total to 95 wishes granted. Now Jay Martin and I will take your questions along with Doug Busk, our Chief Treasury Officer, and Jay Brinkley, our Senior Vice President and Treasurer. Speaker 500:46:39Thank you. If you have a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. If you would like to remove yourself from the queue, press star 11 again. We also ask that you wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. One moment for the first question. The first question will come from the line of Marsh Arendoch of TD Cowen. Your line is open. Speaker 500:47:06Great, thanks. I noticed that obviously the collections were down again this quarter, but the adjusted yield higher. That's happened, I think, at least once before. If you could just talk about what drives that. Usually the adjusted yield will kind of follow that, the lower collections. Speaker 500:47:29Sure. Speaker 600:47:30The decline in forecasted collections, the change in the amount and timing there, all things being equal, would drive the adjusted yield down. The ultimate yield that we recognize is also dependent on the volume and pricing of new loan originations. That's what you've seen the last few quarters. The yields of the new loans that we've originated more than offset the decline in the yield due to loan performance. Speaker 600:47:57Right. Although, interestingly, the collection shortfall is kind of greater than the last two quarters. Even though you said that the 2025 vintage is outperforming, the underperformance in the back book has been greater than it's been in the past. Even if you kind of X out the change that you made, it's still bigger than either of the last two quarters. In the discussions we've had before, there had been an idea that you were burning through those vintages and they should be hurting you less. That's not what happened. Is there any way to kind of talk about why that is? Speaker 600:48:41Yeah, I would say that our forecasting models generally perform well during a relatively stable economic period, but are less accurate during periods of volatility like we've experienced in recent years. We do think the continued impact of inflation is contributing to the loan underperformance. We’ve seen there, you may recall, second quarter last year, we put in an adjustment to address that underperformance. It’s worked fairly well for most vintages. For our 2024 loans, we have seen some more underperformance there than what that adjustment would have anticipated. It’s specifically related to the loans that we originated in 2024 before our scorecard changed during the third quarter. That’s the bulk of the decrease you saw for the quarter, it was on that segment of loans. Speaker 600:49:31The good news for the loans that we’ve originated since we put that scorecard change in during the third quarter last year, those loans are performing as expected. We haven’t seen any signs of underperformance on those loans. Speaker 400:49:45Right. Speaker 400:49:45A couple of other trends caught my attention. The first is that the loan size continues to decline over the last couple of quarters. Is it a different type of car that you're financing, or is there something else that's going on there? A follow up to that. Speaker 600:50:11I think we've just had a different mix of consumer that's come in in recent years, and that's contributing to the size of the consumer loans. It's just a different mix of business. Speaker 600:50:23Different meaning higher quality, lower quality. Because, you know, back in 2023, I guess you were talking about a higher quality kind of borrower. Is this a lower quality borrower that you're seeing? Speaker 400:50:40I don't think it's a lower quality borrower. Speaker 600:50:42I think there's a slightly different mix of vehicles that are being financed. Again, there's been, you know. Speaker 400:50:49A fair amount of variability in the. Speaker 600:50:51Mix of vehicles, you know, since the. Speaker 400:50:54Start of the pandemic. Speaker 600:50:55I think it's just normal volatility there. Speaker 600:51:00Right. I guess the last thing for me is that you're assuming you've got a forecasted collection percentage that's over 65% for 2025 and actually higher than that for the second quarter. It's been rising even as you've had these nine quarters in a row of having to pull your estimates back down. I guess it's hard for me on the outside. Obviously, we don't see the detail in that, but it's hard to understand that from the outside. Speaker 600:51:38Yeah. When you look at the initial forecast of collection rate there, your point, they're very similar, but again, to the point of having a different mix. Business is driving that. Over the last few years, we've lowered our initial expectations. All things being equal, the loans were originated in 2024 and 2025. Had we originated those back in 2022, we would have had a higher expected collection rate on those. Different mix of business. We have, as we always have, we can continue to adjust our expectations on the new loans to address that underperformance. That's reflected in those initial estimates. Speaker 600:52:18Okay, thanks. Speaker 500:52:21Thank you. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of John Rowan of Janney. Your line is open. Speaker 100:52:31Good afternoon, guys. I guess I just want to understand, you know, the return profile. Your release says you've got an 8.5% return on capital, adjusted return on capital, but the cost of capital is 7.4%, which leaves a 110 basis point spread. As you look back at some of these advantages that you've written down, are some actually generating a negative economic return? Where is that watermark? I'm just trying to understand whether or not there is a point in time when you, I don't know, I would say get more realistic, but start putting loans on the books at a number that's more achievable and whether or not you're really generating economic profit on the loans that you're putting on today. Assuming that there's going to be a reduction in forecasted collection. Speaker 100:53:23I know it's a loaded question, you spent a lot of money on share repurchases in the quarter. I'm trying to assess whether or not you're diverting capital to repurchasing shares. Because in reality, when you look back at these older vintages, if 2024 and 2025 trend that way, they're going to be generating negative economic profit. Yeah. Speaker 600:53:43Our business model is designed to produce an acceptable return even if our loans underperform. To your point, if you look at the 2022 vintage, that vintage has underperformed the most of any year that we presented in that collection rate table. I'll say those loans in aggregate are still producing a return on capital in excess of our cost of capital, assuming that those collection expectations are accurate. There would be at some point, if they continue to decline, where that return would fall below our weighted average cost of capital. Based on our current estimates, those are still producing economic profit. Speaker 400:54:25There's still profit. Speaker 400:54:28Okay. Speaker 100:54:28Can you tell me how much money you spent on repurchases in the quarter and what the plans are for repurchases going forward? It seems like you spent quite a bit of money in the second quarter. Operator00:54:38Yeah. This is Jay Brinkley. We were very active in the quarter. We bought back 530,000 shares at roughly an average price of $490. As always, we look at ensuring that we've got adequate capital to fund new originations and then look at the share price as well. We haven't changed our view there. Volume is down, as Ken mentioned, due to our pricing change and, to some degree, the competitive environment. Year over year, growth being slower. Speaker 400:55:19If you look back over a long period. Operator00:55:20Period when originations are down, we tend to be pretty active. That was certainly the case this quarter. Speaker 100:55:28What is remaining on any current authorization, and you know where the plan is going forward. That's it for me. Thank you. Speaker 600:55:34Sure. Operator00:55:35Yeah, we've got, under the latest authorization, we've got 391,000 shares left. I imagine, based on that, we'll be reviewing that and going back to the board for additional capacity should the buying opportunity arise. Speaker 100:55:54All right, thank you. Speaker 500:55:57Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from the line of Kyle Joseph. Stevens, your line is open. Speaker 300:56:11Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to talk about the competitive environment. I think in your prepared remarks you mentioned that competition either heated up or remains intense. Just given the macro outlook and expectations, with tariffs for used car prices to continue to increase and the industry kind of reeling from the 2022 vintage, is your expectation that you'd see a little bit of a pullback from traditional providers of credit or, you know, did you actually see them get more aggressive post-Liberation Day? I just want to get your sense for the pulse of the competitive environment. Speaker 400:56:59The competitive environment's always hard to kind of forecast how it's going to be going forward. Obviously, our volume per dealer went down. It does seem like the environment's more competitive in the first half of this year. Tariffs and things that drive up costs for our consumers tend to be a negative for us, whether it's related to vehicles or just other things that they spend money on. It's really too early to tell what the impact will be on our business. I do think from a volume standpoint, we had a pretty tough comparable. Speaker 600:57:34Last year was our highest volume year ever. Speaker 400:57:37When we compare it year over year, it's a tough comparable. We made our scorecard change last year in the middle of the third quarter. Once we get past that, we'll have an easier comparable. I think that those would be some things that might be a positive going forward. Speaker 300:57:59Oh, that's a good call. Good reminder on the tough comps. Thanks for taking my questions. Speaker 500:58:07Thank you. With no further questions in the queue, I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Martin for any additional or closing remarks. Go ahead, please. Speaker 600:58:18We'd like to thank everyone for their support and for joining us on the conference call today. If you have any additional follow-up questions, please direct them to our Investor Relations mailbox at ir@creditacceptance.com. We look forward to talking to you again next quarter. Speaker 600:58:33Thank you.Read morePowered by