BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Shares Down 8.4% - Here's Why

Key Points

• Shares fell 8.4% on Monday to about $5.55 with roughly 84.5 million shares traded (about 11% below the average), reflecting near-term selling pressure.
• Analyst sentiment is mixed — two Buys, two Holds and one Sell — giving a consensus "Hold" and a target price of about $6.33 (notable targets: Cantor Fitzgerald $7, HC Wainwright $8).
• Recent quarterly results showed a missed EPS of ($0.07) vs. ($0.06) expected while revenue of $33.14M beat estimates but fell 20.1% year‑over‑year, and the company remains unprofitable with a deeply negative net margin.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) dropped 8.4% on Monday . The company traded as low as $5.38 and last traded at $5.5490. Approximately 84,469,063 shares were traded during trading, a decline of 11% from the average daily volume of 95,362,227 shares. The stock had previously closed at $6.06.

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

Several equities analysts have weighed in on the stock. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an "overweight" rating and issued a $7.00 target price on shares of BigBear.ai in a report on Tuesday, November 11th. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research report on Wednesday, October 8th. Wall Street Zen upgraded BigBear.ai from a "strong sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Saturday. Finally, HC Wainwright restated a "buy" rating and issued a $8.00 target price on shares of BigBear.ai in a research report on Tuesday, November 11th. Two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, BigBear.ai currently has a consensus rating of "Hold" and a consensus target price of $6.33.

BigBear.ai Stock Performance

The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, a quick ratio of 3.13 and a current ratio of 3.13. The company has a market capitalization of $2.42 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -3.91 and a beta of 3.42. The firm has a 50-day simple moving average of $6.68 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $5.80.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Monday, November 10th. The company reported ($0.07) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.06) by ($0.01). The business had revenue of $33.14 million during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $31.82 million. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 274.70% and a negative return on equity of 26.11%. The company's revenue for the quarter was down 20.1% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period in the previous year, the business posted ($0.05) EPS. BigBear.ai has set its FY 2025 guidance at EPS. On average, sell-side analysts anticipate that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.28 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Insider Activity at BigBear.ai

In other news, CFO Sean Raymond Ricker sold 11,978 shares of the company's stock in a transaction on Wednesday, August 27th. The stock was sold at an average price of $5.35, for a total transaction of $64,082.30. Following the sale, the chief financial officer owned 296,345 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $1,585,445.75. This represents a 3.88% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. 0.54% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On BigBear.ai

Large investors have recently bought and sold shares of the stock. CWM LLC raised its position in BigBear.ai by 237.5% in the 3rd quarter. CWM LLC now owns 4,640 shares of the company's stock valued at $30,000 after purchasing an additional 3,265 shares in the last quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. grew its position in shares of BigBear.ai by 3,355.6% during the third quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. now owns 4,976 shares of the company's stock worth $32,000 after buying an additional 4,832 shares in the last quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC increased its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 68.4% during the second quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 6,222 shares of the company's stock worth $42,000 after buying an additional 2,527 shares during the period. Hantz Financial Services Inc. raised its holdings in BigBear.ai by 2,242.9% in the third quarter. Hantz Financial Services Inc. now owns 8,200 shares of the company's stock valued at $53,000 after acquiring an additional 7,850 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Flaharty Asset Management LLC purchased a new position in BigBear.ai in the first quarter worth approximately $26,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 7.55% of the company's stock.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. It offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. The company also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services.

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