BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Shares Up 4.4% - What's Next?

Key Points

• Shares rose 4.4% to about $4.16 on Friday with 40.3M shares traded (19% below average); the stock trades below its 200‑day moving average ($5.21) and has a market cap near $1.99B.
• Latest quarter showed EPS of -$0.01 (beat estimates of -$0.05) but revenue of $27.3M missed estimates ($33.31M) and fell 37.7% year‑over‑year, leaving profitability deeply negative (net margin -230.21%, ROE -18.22%).
• Analyst sentiment is mixed with recent price‑target cuts and downgrades (average rating "Hold", average target $5.50); an insider sold 80,000 shares at $4.00 while Vanguard materially increased its stake to ~27.6M shares.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report)'s stock price shot up 4.4% during mid-day trading on Friday . The company traded as high as $4.17 and last traded at $4.1550. 40,291,162 shares were traded during trading, a decline of 19% from the average session volume of 49,707,148 shares. The stock had previously closed at $3.98.

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

A number of brokerages have issued reports on BBAI. HC Wainwright cut their price target on shares of BigBear.ai from $8.00 to $6.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a research note on Tuesday, March 3rd. Wall Street Zen lowered shares of BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research note on Saturday, January 10th. Weiss Ratings restated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research note on Monday, April 20th. Finally, Cantor Fitzgerald cut their target price on shares of BigBear.ai from $6.00 to $5.00 and set a "neutral" rating on the stock in a research note on Tuesday, March 3rd. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, BigBear.ai has an average rating of "Hold" and an average price target of $5.50.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

The stock's 50 day moving average is $3.75 and its two-hundred day moving average is $5.21. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, a current ratio of 1.78 and a quick ratio of 1.78. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.99 billion, a PE ratio of -4.16 and a beta of 3.47.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Monday, March 2nd. The company reported ($0.01) earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.05) by $0.04. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 230.21% and a negative return on equity of 18.22%. The firm had revenue of $27.30 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $33.31 million. During the same period in the prior year, the firm earned ($0.43) earnings per share. The business's quarterly revenue was down 37.7% compared to the same quarter last year. As a group, sell-side analysts forecast that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.3 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In other news, Director Pamela Joyce Braden sold 80,000 shares of the business's stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, March 16th. The shares were sold at an average price of $4.00, for a total transaction of $320,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 508,687 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,034,748. The trade was a 13.59% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this link. Insiders own 0.54% of the company's stock.

Institutional Trading of BigBear.ai

Several institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of BBAI. Cantor Fitzgerald L. P. acquired a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai during the third quarter worth $1,756,000. M&T Bank Corp acquired a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai during the fourth quarter worth $5,576,000. PFG Investments LLC acquired a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai during the third quarter worth $1,593,000. Vanguard Group Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 32.6% during the third quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 27,604,836 shares of the company's stock worth $179,984,000 after purchasing an additional 6,790,890 shares during the period. Finally, Exchange Traded Concepts LLC acquired a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai during the fourth quarter worth $896,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 7.55% of the company's stock.

BigBear.ai Company Profile

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.

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